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Labour are, just, the favourites on the most seats markets now – politicalbetting.com

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  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    Are Reform worried about losing votes to Restore?
    Zia Yusuf was talking about the 'patriotic duty' to do a deal with the Tories if it were required this weekend.
    Yep. They are.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    England 4 down. Utter garbage team
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    An awful lot riding on Banton and Curran again.

    You wonder if one of them is batting for the captaincy.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,321

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    You shouldn't wish death on anyone.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    Indeed, just as bad and evil as raping his own daughter and invading another country.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822

    England 4 down. Utter garbage team

    Curling or cricket?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767
    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Inapproriate comment.
    Indeed

    What we want is ISIS and Tommy Robinson attacking each other *unsuccessfully*, over many, many years.

    This would keep them from doing harm to anything valuable and provide valuable entertainment.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446

    England 4 down. Utter garbage team

    Curling or cricket?
    You pays your money.....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Banton gone. England buggered.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,321
    "The Birmingham ward where a convicted terrorist is running for office
    Sparkhill’s residents are angry bomb-plotter Shadid Butt is launching a council bid – and hope Sharon Osbourne can be an unlikely saviour"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/16/birmingham-council-sparkhill-shahid-butt/
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 126,349
    One positive of England losing to Italy is that it means the end of Brendon McCullum.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639

    One positive of England losing to Italy is that it means the end of Brendon McCullum.

    I can only admire your optimism.

    And unless he is actually replaced by somebody competent, say Richard Dawson or Alfonso Thomas, I don't think it will make much difference as long as Key is still there and picking his mates.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 63,526
    Brixian59 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    Personally I'd rather see the bastard rot in a hell hole jail somewhere for the rest of his life.

    If UK prisons are too soft may be we could swop him for someone in a hell hole despot County, or Hong Kong may be - let the Chinese have him.
    He’s currently awaiting trial in October on charges of harassment causing fear of violence against two journalists, so depending on how that case goes, he could be back in jail for the… I think sixth time.
    Swop him for Jimmy Liu

    Massive PR win for Starmer

    Ask the Chinese to keep him for 10 years minimum
    Jimmy Lai, no?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553
    edited 10:33AM

    One positive of England losing to Italy is that it means the end of Brendon McCullum.

    No chance, I have a fiver on the Italians at 15-1.

    Not sure how sure Rome is looking on March 7th either tbh.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,045

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Do you honestly think the world would be a better place if a Muslim terrorist murdered Tommy Robinson?

    He should be in jail as a criminal, not deceased as a "martyr".
    If you wanted a result to produce a Reform and Restore landslide then yes the murder of Robinson by Muslim extremists would be it
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822
    Andy_JS said:

    "The Birmingham ward where a convicted terrorist is running for office
    Sparkhill’s residents are angry bomb-plotter Shadid Butt is launching a council bid – and hope Sharon Osbourne can be an unlikely saviour"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/16/birmingham-council-sparkhill-shahid-butt/

    He was convicted of terrorism in Yemen in 1999, but says the charges were fabricated and his confession obtained under torture.

    Of course, UK democracy has often seen terrorists stand for office before, and several were elected.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639

    Andy_JS said:

    "The Birmingham ward where a convicted terrorist is running for office
    Sparkhill’s residents are angry bomb-plotter Shadid Butt is launching a council bid – and hope Sharon Osbourne can be an unlikely saviour"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/16/birmingham-council-sparkhill-shahid-butt/

    He was convicted of terrorism in Yemen in 1999, but says the charges were fabricated and his confession obtained under torture.

    Of course, UK democracy has often seen terrorists stand for office before, and several were elected.
    Are you saying his conviction was feined?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822
    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Do you honestly think the world would be a better place if a Muslim terrorist murdered Tommy Robinson?

    He should be in jail as a criminal, not deceased as a "martyr".
    If you wanted a result to produce a Reform and Restore landslide then yes the murder of Robinson by Muslim extremists would be it
    I'm not convinced of that. Charlie Kirk's murder didn't shift polling in the US.

    But let's hope no-one gets murdered!
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 15,196
    Andy_JS said:

    "The Birmingham ward where a convicted terrorist is running for office
    Sparkhill’s residents are angry bomb-plotter Shadid Butt is launching a council bid – and hope Sharon Osbourne can be an unlikely saviour"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/16/birmingham-council-sparkhill-shahid-butt/

    I'd vote for him if he'll blow the cobwebs off his soldering iron and sort "Tommy" out.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,045
    edited 10:40AM

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Do you honestly think the world would be a better place if a Muslim terrorist murdered Tommy Robinson?

    He should be in jail as a criminal, not deceased as a "martyr".
    If you wanted a result to produce a Reform and Restore landslide then yes the murder of Robinson by Muslim extremists would be it
    I'm not convinced of that. Charlie Kirk's murder didn't shift polling in the US.

    But let's hope no-one gets murdered!
    Trump of course won after he was shot and if it was Muslim terrorists who killed Robinson that would massively expand the culture wars and anti immigration sentiment, especially anti Muslim immigrant sentiment
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    edited 10:42AM
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Do you honestly think the world would be a better place if a Muslim terrorist murdered Tommy Robinson?

    He should be in jail as a criminal, not deceased as a "martyr".
    If you wanted a result to produce a Reform and Restore landslide then yes the murder of Robinson by Muslim extremists would be it
    I'm not convinced of that. Charlie Kirk's murder didn't shift polling in the US.

    But let's hope no-one gets murdered!
    Trump of course won after he was shot
    It was the person next to him that got shot. Trump got a grazed ear.

    Melissa Hartman was assassinated at around the same time, of course.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 15,196
    ydoethur said:

    Trump got a grazed ear.

    If that's what happened, and I have my doubts while not being given to Leonine flights of hysteria, then it's not nothing. Even a near miss from small arms can shit you up for good.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 7,895

    Andy_JS said:

    "The Birmingham ward where a convicted terrorist is running for office
    Sparkhill’s residents are angry bomb-plotter Shadid Butt is launching a council bid – and hope Sharon Osbourne can be an unlikely saviour"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/16/birmingham-council-sparkhill-shahid-butt/

    He was convicted of terrorism in Yemen in 1999, but says the charges were fabricated and his confession obtained under torture.

    Of course, UK democracy has often seen terrorists stand for office before, and several were elected.
    Terrorism has a massively wide definition. To my mind, attempting to overthrow a totalitarian government by force, for example, is not terrorism, and I suspect that Yemen in 1999 was no democracy and political opponents of the government had no choice but to use force.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 7,895
    ydoethur said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    Do you honestly think the world would be a better place if a Muslim terrorist murdered Tommy Robinson?

    He should be in jail as a criminal, not deceased as a "martyr".
    If you wanted a result to produce a Reform and Restore landslide then yes the murder of Robinson by Muslim extremists would be it
    I'm not convinced of that. Charlie Kirk's murder didn't shift polling in the US.

    But let's hope no-one gets murdered!
    Trump of course won after he was shot
    It was the person next to him that got shot. Trump got a grazed ear.

    Melissa Hartman was assassinated at around the same time, of course.
    The assumption is the grazed ear was through being shot. Of course the conspiracy theories say otherwise.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    And just when England were rebuilding...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump got a grazed ear.

    If that's what happened, and I have my doubts while not being given to Leonine flights of hysteria, then it's not nothing. Even a near miss from small arms can shit you up for good.
    In his case, how would we tell?
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 7,895
    Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump got a grazed ear.

    If that's what happened, and I have my doubts while not being given to Leonine flights of hysteria, then it's not nothing. Even a near miss from small arms can shit you up for good.
    Luckily it missed his brain by several feet (to recycle an old joke from, I think, Not the Nine O'clock News)
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    edited 10:51AM

    Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump got a grazed ear.

    If that's what happened, and I have my doubts while not being given to Leonine flights of hysteria, then it's not nothing. Even a near miss from small arms can shit you up for good.
    Luckily it missed his brain by several feet (to recycle an old joke from, I think, Not the Nine O'clock News)
    Good job it didn't hit him in the forehead. Ricochets can be very nasty.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    Have the Greens or Your Party dragged the Overton Window leftward? Not as I have noticed.
    Farage remains what he has always been, a rightwing traditional Tory hoping to show enough leg to voters further to the right to persuade them into his camp while maintaining enough distance from outright fascists to keep centre right voters on board. I reckon Lowe unambiguously makes that position harder for him to maintain.
    Actually, I think the Greens HAVE successfully shifted the Green Overton Window, hence the absurdity that is Ed Miliband's ministerial career 2024-now

    Your Party, not so much, unless there is an Overton Window of political ineptitude, which they are eager to fill
    Speaking of Overton windows..
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767

    Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Trump got a grazed ear.

    If that's what happened, and I have my doubts while not being given to Leonine flights of hysteria, then it's not nothing. Even a near miss from small arms can shit you up for good.
    Luckily it missed his brain by several feet (to recycle an old joke from, I think, Not the Nine O'clock News)
    To hit Trumps brain.... that would take someone better than Simo Häyhä.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,917

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,045

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    He was a covenient way to block the revealing of The Thing We Can't Talk About. Probably delayed publication in the mainstream press by *years*.

    The reason that some trials are held in varying level of secrecy, is nearly always agitation/threats of violence regarding witness or the matter in hand. So anti-muslim rabble rouser and promoter of violence is surprised that trials involving some muslims (for example) have to be held with reporting restrictions?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 32,113

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,798
    edited 11:00AM
    HYUFD said:

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
    You think that justifies this ladies fear and intimidation

    What would Jesus say ?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,917
    Pulpstar said:

    One positive of England losing to Italy is that it means the end of Brendon McCullum.

    No chance, I have a fiver on the Italians at 15-1.

    Not sure how sure Rome is looking on March 7th either tbh.
    I'm not that worried yet about the rugby. Scotland produced their best performance in ages against England, had the best of the bounce of the ball and a bit of help from the ref (Arundell's first yellow card was really harsh and a similar Scottish penalty didn't result in a yellow). And England showed a disturbing inability to change the plan. Even with that they three times knocked on on the Scottish line and Ford should really have been better placed for the drop goal.

    I don't buy the Matt Dawson narrative that they were 20 points better than England. On another day England could have won.

    I'm also prepared to eat humble pie when Ireland click against us on Saturday... Some really generous odds out there folks. I've just grabbed Ireland at 5-1.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,321
    Bring back Geoff Boycott and Chris Tavare.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,917

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    He was a covenient way to block the revealing of The Thing We Can't Talk About. Probably delayed publication in the mainstream press by *years*.

    The reason that some trials are held in varying level of secrecy, is nearly always agitation/threats of violence regarding witness or the matter in hand. So anti-muslim rabble rouser and promoter of violence is surprised that trials involving some muslims (for example) have to be held with reporting restrictions?
    purge
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Andy_JS said:

    Bring back Geoff Boycott and Chris Tavare.

    I never, ever thought I'd be glad to see Will Jacks playing for England. But without him England would have absolutely nothing to defend.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 5,114
    HYUFD said:

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
    One thing that's clear from talking to voters is just how little they know about UK politics, let alone the politics of other countries! The first chap was convinced that the Lib Dems intended to give up the nuclear deterrent and that Farage would sort Russia out.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,917
    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
    Don't get me started on "lucked out" which surely means "your luck was out", right?
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 2,505

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    There are plenty of issues to be discussed but the media and 'influencers" have made it so toxic that it's difficult to see where the discussion will land. @Malmesbury can tell you about 'community leaders' and issues that can't be discussed.

    Should we have the sort of freedom of speech that the US is pushing for, or do there have to be some limits.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Battlebus said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    There are plenty of issues to be discussed but the media and 'influencers" have made it so toxic that it's difficult to see where the discussion will land. @Malmesbury can tell you about 'community leaders' and issues that can't be discussed.

    Should we have the sort of freedom of speech that the US is pushing for, or do there have to be some limits.
    I don't think the US can be accused of not setting limits on freedom of speech.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,045
    edited 11:05AM

    HYUFD said:

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
    You think that justifies this ladies fear and intimidation


    What would Jesus say ?
    No but it is a fact the populist anti immigration right is surging across the western world. Rightwing nationalist anti immigration parties lead polls here and France and half the polls in Germany and are in government in Italy and part of a coalition leading polls in Spain.

    Trump and the GOP won in the US on a nationalist anti immigration agenda and in New Zealand the anti immigration New Zealand First are part of the coalition government. In Australia One Nation are second in many polls.

    Even beyond the traditional west Japan has just re elected a rightwing nationalist PM and Modi leads a rightwing nationalist government in India. Putin is basically a nationalist too of course in Russia as is Netanyahu in Israel
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,321
    edited 11:07AM
    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767
    a
    Battlebus said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    There are plenty of issues to be discussed but the media and 'influencers" have made it so toxic that it's difficult to see where the discussion will land. @Malmesbury can tell you about 'community leaders' and issues that can't be discussed.

    Should we have the sort of freedom of speech that the US is pushing for, or do there have to be some limits.
    The Freedom Of Speech where the Government is busy trying to arrest and dig into the files of reporters? No thank you.

    In any case, the old saw about Shouting Fire In A Theatre applies - even in the most free speech friendly countries, there are limits. And very often these limits include reporting on certain ongoing court cases.

    The hiding of court cases has been abused in the UK - the family courts stuff was a fascinating, slow motion scandal that went away. When MPs stood up in parliament and used privilege to reveal stuff.

    But the cases that Tommy Lots of Names bangs on about aren't an abuse - see the evidence and sentences revealed after the trials have finished.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    The world would be a better place if ISIS successfully attacked Tommy Robinson.
    That's you openly wishing death on someone; indeed that's you openly wishing for a successfully murderous attack by IslamoNazis on a British citizen

    Do you thank benefits the forum? Or your soul?
    I openly wish death on truly evil people; Putin, Robinson, Jozef Fritzl.
    What's he done to put him in that category?
    Well, what he's been found guilty of is...

    - assault occasioning actual bodily harm and assault with intent to resist arrest, 2004
    - using threatening, abusive or insulting behaviour, and leading a group of football hooligans into a fight, 2010
    - use of a false passport, 2012
    - mortgage fraud, 2012
    - contempt of court, 2017
    - libel, 2018, and contempt of court again for repeating the libel, 2024
    - stalking a journalist and her partner, 2021
    He's no doubt a nasty piece of work. But I think he doesn't quite merit the same class as Putin who has unleashed a war killing hundreds of thousands (?) and all the other things.

    I am conflicted about him. For his own ends he pushed a narrative about the thing that cannot be discussed that others feared to tread (and still do, and still wilfully ignore). He was right, to a large extent. But then stopped clocks etc. And his motives were never about protection of young girls and women, it was all about the anti-muslim sentiment.

    Its in everyone's interests not to sabotage court cases, but it can often seem odd when there seems to be secrecy about certain trials and not others. Bad actors will then inflate their conspiracies.
    He was a covenient way to block the revealing of The Thing We Can't Talk About. Probably delayed publication in the mainstream press by *years*.

    The reason that some trials are held in varying level of secrecy, is nearly always agitation/threats of violence regarding witness or the matter in hand. So anti-muslim rabble rouser and promoter of violence is surprised that trials involving some muslims (for example) have to be held with reporting restrictions?
    Robinson's first contempt of court conviction had nothing to do with special reporting restrictions. It was straight up standard stuff that applies to all trials. He had filmed inside Canterbury Crown Court and described the defendants as guilty while the jury was deliberating.

    His second contempt of court conviction was for repeating a libel he had already been found guilty of.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    202-7

    That's gettable for Italy even without Madsen. England will have to bowl much better than they have up to now to win.
  • eekeek Posts: 32,599

    HYUFD said:

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
    One thing that's clear from talking to voters is just how little they know about UK politics, let alone the politics of other countries! The first chap was convinced that the Lib Dems intended to give up the nuclear deterrent and that Farage would sort Russia out.
    Thanks to social media and the way it feeds you a news feed to keep you (angry and remaining) there it’s incredibly hard to know what “news” people are actually seeing and reading

    What I suspect is that for a lot of people the news they see is not actually news nor truthful
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553
    Well played Will Jacks !
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,587

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
    Don't get me started on "lucked out" which surely means "your luck was out", right?
    There's nothing wrong with that idiom. It's like "won out".
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
    Don't get me started on "lucked out" which surely means "your luck was out", right?
    That's a transatlantic thing. Lucked out means you got good luck in the US, but means you ran out of good luck in the UK.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 7,895

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
    Don't get me started on "lucked out" which surely means "your luck was out", right?
    No, I think it's from verb phrases like "checked out" which don't carry a meaning of something running out
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,587

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Rupert Lowe is an estimable and noble gent in many ways, as we all can surely agree (for once!), but one of the best things about him is that he shifts the Overton Windpw firmly to the right, Making Reform look what they are: a sensible centrist vote. For ethnocentrist dads

    Thus he possibly benefits Farage
    I had to look this up, but it seems estimable and inestimable are a rare example of the positive and negative meaning much the same thing. A bit like flammable and inflammable*. Inestimable is technically a bit more superlative than estimable though

    *Actually inflammable isn't a negative of course, it just looks like one.
    "could care less", "couldn't care less".
    Don't get me started on "lucked out" which surely means "your luck was out", right?
    That's a transatlantic thing. Lucked out means you got good luck in the US, but means you ran out of good luck in the UK.
    If you run out of good luck, your luck's out, not lucked out.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,798
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    I was out convassing this weekend, and met a few stand-out constituents:

    1) The 90-year old bloke who referred to Farage as "my mate", was convinced that the Lib Dems were in favour of unilateral disarmament and that Ed Davey was personally and fully responsible for the Horizon scandal. He then went on to give us a full list of the medications that he was on. Former Tory, now definite Reform.

    2) The neighbour of the aforementioned gent, an English lady of South Asian heritage, who was scared of him and his family and felt extremely intimidated by the flag wavers. She very worried about her Muslim parents and had warned them not to venture into the flag festooned areas. She felt that the UK was rapidly going backwards with regard to tolerance and wished that she was in a position to emigrate to Canada or Australia. Voted Lib Dem last time, probably this time too.

    3) The initally belligerant 50-something bloke who was fed up with both Labour and the Conservatives (no accountability!) and intended to vote Reform. After a bit of a chat, though, he calmed down and did seem to consider that the Lib Dems might also be a possible protest vote, and actually requested a leaflet from us. Former Tory, this time probable Reform but possibly Lib Dem.

    As expected, most are utterly pissed off with Labour, especially because of the bin strike. Our main job seems to be to remind people that Reform are not the only protest vote and, indeed, already don't have a stellar track record themselves when it comes to running councils.

    2 That would be the Australia where Pauline Hanson’s hardline anti immigration party is also surging in the polls?
    You think that justifies this ladies fear and intimidation


    What would Jesus say ?
    No but it is a fact the populist anti immigration right is surging across the western world. Rightwing nationalist anti immigration parties lead polls here and France and half the polls in Germany and are in government in Italy and part of a coalition leading polls in Spain.

    Trump and the GOP won in the US on a nationalist anti immigration agenda and in New Zealand the anti immigration New Zealand First are part of the coalition government. In Australia One Nation are second in many polls.

    Even beyond the traditional west Japan has just re elected a rightwing nationalist PM and Modi leads a rightwing nationalist government in India. Putin is basically a nationalist too of course in Russia as is Netanyahu in Israel
    The question is do you agree with them and more especially the Farage/Robinson/ Trump solution
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,822
    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Bloody hell. That top edge was higher than Kristi Noem when there's a dog to shoot.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    This is now looking too easy, so im going to say
    Very straightforward England win from here. Guaranteed. 100%
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    edited 11:25AM
    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    ydoethur said:

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
    The early wobble has lit the fusili
    Penne them in
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    If we win by more than 100 the racist Dolmio puppets are allowed again
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639

    ydoethur said:

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
    The early wobble has lit the fusili
    Penne them in
    To be competitive, this parnetrship would need to put on 80 orzo.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,730
    edited 11:33AM

    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
    I see this as very much a Tory-caused problem. I can understand the fact that Blair gets criticism for his policy, but I don’t think it was done in any way that contradicted any democratic mandate he had - I may be wrong.

    The Tories repeatedly, incessantly, unequivocally continued to repeat their pledge that they’d reduce immigration to the tens of thousands, or at least significantly reduce it. That was the basis on which they sought and obtained their mandates, and they consistently failed on that pledge - in Boris’ case, egregiously so, without any great attempt to level with the public or speak frankly on the topic.

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,414
    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Combination of two effects?

    The apparently successful launch Rupert Spode's party is new news. He might not win many seats himself, but siphoning off a slice of Farage's vote hurts Reform a lot.

    That Starmer probably won't be on the ballot next time shouldn't be news, but apparently is. On such confusions profits and losses are made.

    Yes, I would guess that this is a(n over)reaction to Restore Britain launching. Lowe is, for inexplicable reasons, popular with the online brigade. (Maybe because Musk promotes him?) I don't think he has the rizz (as the kids say) to make much impact on the broader public, but if Tommy Robinson rows in behind him, maybe they can represent a serious threat to Reform's right flank.
    Farage/Reform is the leading brand. Advance/Restore are unknown to the general public, outside a handful of constituencies.
    Tommy is also a brand.

    Although he's recently fled the country because, he says, he's been targetted by ISIS, and you can donate some money to help him protect his family. (I happened to be talking to an expert on ISIS at the weekend. They said, no, ISIS are definitely not targetting Tommy Robinson.)
    Tommy Robinson is, in fact, being targeted by ISIS

    "The Bedfordshire Police officer can be heard informing Robinson during the conversation: "So we have received intelligence that an Isis publication has stated... are encouraging others to commit violence against yourself."

    "The constabulary, responsible for policing Robinson's native Luton, verified the telephone exchange was genuine and took place on Thursday, reports the Mirror.

    "During the recording, Robinson enquired whether he might obtain a copy of the material, but was advised it is probably classified as proscribed content, which UK residents are prohibited from holding under counter- terrorism legislation. During the call, the officer proceeds to inform Robinson that he lacks authorisation to carry weapons or "take pre-emptive action" against others."

    https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/tommy-robinson-leaves-uk-after-33424514

    Dunno, maybe you, @bondegezou are the sort of ultra-brave type that would shrug off a call by ISIS for its followers to harm or kill you, but I somehow suspect you are not "the ultra-brave type", indeed I imagine you are the absolute opposite, a delta-gamma cuck who would scuttle away if you were slightly menaced by the Salvation Army
    This is one of the few things I have in common with Yaxley-Lennon - though in my case it was some geriatric motor-fanatic putting stuff out on Facebook. I changed my commute for two days then forgot about it.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
    The early wobble has lit the fusili
    Penne them in
    To be competitive, this parnetrship would need to put on 80 orzo.
    Julius Caesar, Giuseppe Garibaldi, Georgia Meloni. Can you hear me Georgia Meloni? Your boys just took one hell of a beating
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    That was some catch by Buttler. Not the world's greatest keeper but even a Bob Taylor would have been pleased with that one.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,414
    edited 11:39AM

    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
    I see this as very much a Tory-caused problem. I can understand the fact that Blair gets criticism for his policy, but I don’t think it was done in any way that contradicted any democratic mandate he had - I may be wrong.

    The Tories repeatedly, incessantly, unequivocally continued to repeat their pledge that they’d reduce immigration to the tens of thousands, or at least significantly reduce it. That was the basis on which they sought and obtained their mandates, and they consistently failed on that pledge - in Boris’ case, egregiously so, without any great attempt to level with the public or speak frankly on the topic.

    Also "Stop the boats", which didn't work. At all. To any extent.

    They increased the numbers from 2,000 to 46,000 and then made it their campaign slogan.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,940
    Lightning to start the day, then a gorgeous bit of spring sunshine, now heavy hail.

    Who do I complain to about this weather?

    It's probably knocking a good 5% off the Labour polling.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,024
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
    The early wobble has lit the fusili
    Penne them in
    To be competitive, this parnetrship would need to put on 80 orzo.
    They will have to be bold now, no point in batting farfalle.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    Pro_Rata said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Come on, bowl these spaghetti men out for under 50

    Is a reckless top edge a spaghetti hoop?
    The early wobble has lit the fusili
    Penne them in
    To be competitive, this parnetrship would need to put on 80 orzo.
    They will have to be bold now, no point in batting farfalle.
    Although Jacks as a ziti kid is taking a pastang.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767

    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
    I see this as very much a Tory-caused problem. I can understand the fact that Blair gets criticism for his policy, but I don’t think it was done in any way that contradicted any democratic mandate he had - I may be wrong.

    The Tories repeatedly, incessantly, unequivocally continued to repeat their pledge that they’d reduce immigration to the tens of thousands, or at least significantly reduce it. That was the basis on which they sought and obtained their mandates, and they consistently failed on that pledge - in Boris’ case, egregiously so, without any great attempt to level with the public or speak frankly on the topic.

    The problem was the refusal by the traditional parties to recognise that if you want an increasing population, you need to actually spend money and do some things. Things that may be politically unpopular.

    We are just seeing the political movement to Build, Build, Build getting underway, for example.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,940

    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
    I see this as very much a Tory-caused problem. I can understand the fact that Blair gets criticism for his policy, but I don’t think it was done in any way that contradicted any democratic mandate he had - I may be wrong.

    The Tories repeatedly, incessantly, unequivocally continued to repeat their pledge that they’d reduce immigration to the tens of thousands, or at least significantly reduce it. That was the basis on which they sought and obtained their mandates, and they consistently failed on that pledge - in Boris’ case, egregiously so, without any great attempt to level with the public or speak frankly on the topic.

    The problem was the refusal by the traditional parties to recognise that if you want an increasing population, you need to actually spend money and do some things. Things that may be politically unpopular.

    We are just seeing the political movement to Build, Build, Build getting underway, for example.
    But not to build, build, build schools, hospitals, dentists, roads without potholes. It is just going to squeeze local services way more. The stuff that impacts on local services that is already pissing off the voters.

    We don't have the money to upgrade these services. So voters are going to continue to get pissed off.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,679

    If we win by more than 100 the racist Dolmio puppets are allowed again

    There was a parliamentary petition about that:

    https://petition.parliament.uk/archived/petitions/32938

    Though it only managed to garner twelve signatures.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,798
    edited 11:59AM
    Starmer said this morning the cabinet office are looking into yet another scandal

    A cabinet office minister being investigated by the cabinet office ?

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/16/cabinet-office-looking-into-labour-together-report-claims-says-minister?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 12,628
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sean_F said:

    @theprole fpt

    I thought it was reasonably well established that there were female Deacons in the early church - not teachers or Rabbis but still a senior pastoral (more significantly than today’s deacons)

    Pliny tortured a pair of them.
    With the enthusiastic later approval of Catherine Nixey, no doubt.
    Her wiki bio includes the intriguing line

    “Her mother was a nun and her father a monk [further explanation needed]”

    Ya think?!
    They had both resigned their orders before getting married.
    You’re no fun!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sean_F said:

    @theprole fpt

    I thought it was reasonably well established that there were female Deacons in the early church - not teachers or Rabbis but still a senior pastoral (more significantly than today’s deacons)

    Pliny tortured a pair of them.
    With the enthusiastic later approval of Catherine Nixey, no doubt.
    Her wiki bio includes the intriguing line

    “Her mother was a nun and her father a monk [further explanation needed]”

    Ya think?!
    They had both resigned their orders before getting married.
    You’re no fun!
    They just wrote a new chapter.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,940

    Starmer said this morning the cabinet office are looking into yet another scandal

    A cabinet office minister being investigated by the cabinet office ?

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/16/cabinet-office-looking-into-labour-together-report-claims-says-minister?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    On the bright side, it doesn't appear to have an Epstein-paedo link...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    These two are batting far too well.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 86,394
    A significant explosion and subsequent secondary detonations occurred at the facility, situated approximately 70 km northeast of Moscow. This arsenal, spanning roughly 3.5 square kilometers (around 865 acres), was recognized as one of Russia's most substantial ammunition storage sites, with estimated capacities ranging from 100,000 to 264,000 tons, although actual stored quantities fluctuated.
    https://x.com/Osinteurope/status/2023229842980831495
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,798

    Starmer said this morning the cabinet office are looking into yet another scandal

    A cabinet office minister being investigated by the cabinet office ?

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/16/cabinet-office-looking-into-labour-together-report-claims-says-minister?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    On the bright side, it doesn't appear to have an Epstein-paedo link...
    Didn't cross my desk
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 7,555
    ydoethur said:

    These two are batting far too well.

    They’re gnocching it around the park
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,898
    Nigelb said:

    A significant explosion and subsequent secondary detonations occurred at the facility, situated approximately 70 km northeast of Moscow. This arsenal, spanning roughly 3.5 square kilometers (around 865 acres), was recognized as one of Russia's most substantial ammunition storage sites, with estimated capacities ranging from 100,000 to 264,000 tons, although actual stored quantities fluctuated.
    https://x.com/Osinteurope/status/2023229842980831495

    Actual storage quantity has presumably fluctuated downwards a bit now?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,944
    edited 12:10PM
    Government is struggling to make the numbers add up on increased defence spending.

    I don't think increased defence spending is popular. ie I don't think people are willing to accept the increased taxes and/or reductions in other spending that make it possible.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,639
    England needed to bowl well.

    Archer's first over apart, they haven't.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553
    Italy back into about 30-1 from 140-1 at their highest.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,553
    Jacks could get the most undeserved man of the match in a long time today tbh.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,767
    edited 12:16PM

    Andy_JS said:

    The British public never consented to mass migration, but the political elites went ahead with it anyway.

    That get says often, but it's not remotely true, is it? Net UK immigration hit six figures in 1998 under Tony Blair's government. The British public voted Blair back into office, twice. Net immigration then hit a new peak in 2014 under David Cameron. He was voted back into office at the next election. If the British public were unhappy about those immigration levels then, they didn't show it at the ballot box.

    Immigration then shot up in 2021 under Boris Johnson. He departed No 10 and his successor (skipping over the brief May premiership) responded to public concern about immigration and acted to reduce the numbers. The Tories were voted out and the new Labour government have continued to bring immigration down sharply. So, the political elites have responded now.
    I see this as very much a Tory-caused problem. I can understand the fact that Blair gets criticism for his policy, but I don’t think it was done in any way that contradicted any democratic mandate he had - I may be wrong.

    The Tories repeatedly, incessantly, unequivocally continued to repeat their pledge that they’d reduce immigration to the tens of thousands, or at least significantly reduce it. That was the basis on which they sought and obtained their mandates, and they consistently failed on that pledge - in Boris’ case, egregiously so, without any great attempt to level with the public or speak frankly on the topic.

    The problem was the refusal by the traditional parties to recognise that if you want an increasing population, you need to actually spend money and do some things. Things that may be politically unpopular.

    We are just seeing the political movement to Build, Build, Build getting underway, for example.
    But not to build, build, build schools, hospitals, dentists, roads without potholes. It is just going to squeeze local services way more. The stuff that impacts on local services that is already pissing off the voters.

    We don't have the money to upgrade these services. So voters are going to continue to get pissed off.
    Item - One real thing that leads NIMBYism is the squeeze on services.

    Item - the Victorian and Edwardian approach was to turn a village into a suburb. The new roads were laid out, but critically, infrastructure went in first. So the locals got schools, doctors surgeries, railway stations etc, before the new houses were built.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,898
    ydoethur said:

    That was some catch by Buttler. Not the world's greatest keeper but even a Bob Taylor would have been pleased with that one.

    No 'Buttler fingers'!
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 498
    FF43 said:

    Government is struggling to make the numbers add up on increased defence spending.

    I don't think increased defence spending is popular. ie I don't think people are willing to accept the increased taxes and/or reductions in other spending that make it possible.

    The relatively easy relatively safe and acceptable way to create a fund specifically for defence on the Bond Markets.

    Set aside from fiscal headroom and constraints.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    edited 12:19PM
    Lol England are so utterly awful
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,446
    Hans, are we the associate nation?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,587
    https://news.sky.com/story/tehran-producer-dana-eden-found-dead-in-athens-hotel-room-while-filming-new-season-13508177

    The executive producer of hit TV spy thriller Tehran has been found dead in an Athens hotel, police have said.

    The cause of death has not been confirmed but police said it was being treated as suicide based on evidence and testimonies.
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 498

    Starmer said this morning the cabinet office are looking into yet another scandal

    A cabinet office minister being investigated by the cabinet office ?

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/16/cabinet-office-looking-into-labour-together-report-claims-says-minister?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    On the bright side, it doesn't appear to have an Epstein-paedo link...
    Nice to see scandals being investigated rather than swept under the carpet like they were under the Tories
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,253
    Italy's main man Wayne Madsen is being sorely missed here
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 86,394
    Get ready for another almighty shitshow before the midterms.

    The argument it's going to happened seems quite persuasive.
    The possible replacements range from worse than Alito to completely unhinged.

    It Sure Looks Like This Supreme Court Justice Is Getting Ready to Retire
    https://archive.is/qQfVj#selection-775.0-775.72
    ...At the same time, I can imagine that the White House might not want to reopen Bove’s scandals or give Democrats an opportunity to probe them. He’s already gotten his reward with a lifetime seat on the 3rd Circuit. So, to my mind, Oldham is the more likely candidate. He’s a former Alito clerk and a MAGA fanatic who has gone very far out of his way to campaign for this seat with a constant stream of Trump-pandering opinions. He’s even further right than Alito, who has overruled him multiple times. He also looks the part, which may seem like a shallow observation, but we know that that is important to this president. I think he has a leg up on his colleague James Ho, who has also been campaigning for the seat, because Ho will not look the part to this president. If I had to put money down, I’d say Oldham will be the pick, because he’s got the far-right jurisprudence and he looks like the MAGA justice from central casting in Donald Trump’s dreams.
    I think you’re aiming way too high in selecting actual sitting judges for this. I’m going to go with Lindsey Halligan and Jeanine Pirro. I know central casting is the most important phrase for Trump when selecting someone. But I also think the “Own the Libs” vibe is such that it could be Kash Patel. You seemed to suggest that gravitas at some level is important. And I’m not sure it’s going to be...
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