Yes we Khan? – politicalbetting.com
Yes we Khan? – politicalbetting.com
Of mayors, the King in the North comes 4th in favourability among Labour members: @Survation for @LabourList https://t.co/wRF0jAJ5W3 pic.twitter.com/HyhQi9DvWV
1
Comments
https://x.com/scottishlabour/status/2022367801147597022?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
I am also going to place a double on Scotland to win the Calcutta Cup match today, combined odds of 33/1
“I was one of the first to go through the previous teeny tiny airport as it was opened. A single luggage carousel. Would have been 35 years ago today. I remember spending Valentines Day eve in the Phnom Penh Foreign Correspondents Club (now I believe closed - presumably the old soaks' livers finally gave up).”
Yes I grew to know that airport well. It had character and it was closer to the city, it also resembled a huge Soviet bus shelter. The kind of thing Sadiq Khan would eagerly approve for Euston Road
The new one is very chic
And @JohnLilburne wtt were you doing “taking a bus”??
A cab is about $20. Hardly bankrupting
That's where it's at.
I am not a Londoner, but no matter how good, a fresh face is needed every now and then. Time for Khan to do something else.
Detest is a strong word, one which I think should be reserved for your endless invective towards Baillie’s (real) boss.
That problem isn't unique to London or to Labour.
Though if the Tories picked a strong candidate like Sebastian Coe, or James Cleverly if he is not Mayor of London by then, they could give him a run for his money
It’s exactly the sort of place when an incumbent can cement a corrupt fiefdom and rule forever. As khan intends to do. The next government needs to change the law
This would apply to any mayor, Tory Labour BNP whatever. Three terms is excessive. Four is an outrage
That said I think khan will find it really hard to win again. He’s not loved or liked he’s just got an ethnic bloc vote. If the other parties can find anyone credible to stand, he will be extremely beatable
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-15558659/Why-Starmer-failed-dismally-TIM-SHIPMAN.html
If you can't read the Spectator, try the Mail's ‘version’.
https://x.com/haggis_uk/status/2022261079363965418?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
On this side of the Pennines we have the Queen of the North.
Wonder what they will talk about when house prices start falling in more areas.
Khan will be running in 2028, at the fag end of a Labour government thst shows no signs of provoking joy in the populace. The anti estsblishment vote will be massive and doubled in effect with Lab in charge nationally.
His best hope is for Labour to have been turfed out by May 2028.
If Ref and Tory are poling similar levels in London like now then Tories woukd be better placed to win as thryll pick up more transfers from the LDs etc compared to Reform. And Laila Cunningham is an utterly dreadful candidate
They will write about house prices falling, obvs.
Jenrick in a dress.
She was going to be the Tory candidate for Rotherham in 2024 but mysteriously withdrew leaving them with no candidate
Serious question. I’ve not seen much of her speaking and get mixed reports
Ocasio-Cortez says ‘unconditional’ US aid to Israel ‘enabled a genocide in Gaza’
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5738391-ocasio-cortez-israel-gaza-genocide-biden/
I need concrete evidence she’s a dud. Not negative spin
Happy to be persuaded, if this evidence exists
Cleverly might be a good candidate for the Tories. Personable, quite charismatic, business friendly - a lot better than the dreadful khan. He’s got that big city persona which makes for a good london mayor - breezy and confident
https://www.londoncentric.media/p/laila-cunningham-reform-uk-mayor-of-london-candidate
Strong sense of more noise and ambition than achievement. An Apprentice candidate who is surprised that they get fired in week five.
Still, I'm sure she won through a thorough, competitive process to pick the best candi... Oh, it's Reform, isn't it? Nigel.will just have picked her, won't be?
But yep, its opinion and bias based, i accept that. (Polituis kinda is though)
I mean, for evidence of her flakiness she went from 'i dont want Jenrick in Reform!' To 'Hi Rob baby' in, what, a week?
Laila Cunningham has no chance, she is a Muslim woman so some of the most hardcore Reform voters won't vote for her on that basis sadly and as she is Reform the average London voter wouldn't vote for her anyway
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-14814683/Seb-Coe-race-Sadiq-Khan-London-mayor-ANDREW-PIERCE.html
Second favourite behind Newsom.
I think the dream ticket for the Dems is Newsom with AOC as his VP.
Newsom provides the look (white, male, tall, presidential) and a strategy that can widen the appeal beyond the core.
AOC provides the fire and energy that will get out the core vote.
Width and depth.
Buttigieg or Shapiro or Beshear might worry Vance and the GOP, Newsom and AOC would not
He would be a clear different right of centre option to Cunningham's new sherriff stuff.
Seb Coe risks being a bit celebrity candidate (to the many unaware of much of his political career)
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DUqtS4ajBQf/?igsh=a3c0NTM0Zmd6dTAz
If Reform were serious about London, they could have done a lot worse than Keith Prince (ran Redbridge, GLA member for yonks, not my cup of tea but plausible) rather than a GBeebie Babe.
But Reform is a curious mix of people desperate for change, people desperate for excitement and grifters promising both.
if not and he replaces Kemi then Seb Coe likely gets the nomination and he would do a good job as he did when he ran the 2012 London Olympics, Coe could also get LDs and some swing voters in London to vote for him who wouldn't touch Cunningham and Reform
if you put someone controversial but who is also a good communicator on the ticket, they're going to be attacked and they need to be able to take up a whole news cycle hitting back. They can't do that if they're only VP nominee, they won't have enough control of the news and to the extent that they do it'll distract from the presidential candidate's agenda.
Running AOC would be a gamble but it's a gamble with a decent upside. To get the upside of the gamble, she needs to actually be the nominee.
Now, me, I am a prettier version of Ed Miliband!
Marco Rubio tells Bloomberg’s John Micklethwait at the Munich Security Conference that Russia will not be able to achieve its objectives in Ukraine
“They desire 20% of Donetsk they don’t possess”
He says Russia isn’t winning the war and it’s “difficult to say anyone is winning”
Either almost any Dem wins in 2028, or no non-MAGA candidate wins. And it's not up to the Democrats which door the USA goes through.
That should be either liberating or terrifying. We just don't know which.
Gavin Newsom's father meanwhile was attorney for Getty Oil and AOC's father was an architect and neither have shown any ability to connect with swing voters in the rustbelt, they have only been elected in safe Democrat states.
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/2022597491212923049
Starmer to claim 'lamps would go out across Europe' under Reform UK or Greens
Not confident about Scotlands rugby chances today, not as good a side as 2-3 years ago, and England have improved.
I've went for the alternative 33/1 on Sunderland to win the FA cup - away to Oxford tomorrow. On their day they can beat anyone, likely be the best chance for them to get into Europe.
That's the start of it - xenophobia being a core value in Ref UK, but then listen to her a little and see what you think.
Reform at 29% are winning. Reform at, say, 24% start falling just short everywhere.
He's been timid and constrained on the Brexit was crap arguments scared of Reform. He's been out flanked by LD and Greens as a result
The clear evidence is a growing majority want closer ties economically and practically but not a full blown return.
Starmer has more credit in the bank with the EU and Europe than any Leader since Blair.
He can now pitch that without fear of Reform, knowing the EU still destroys the Tory schism and can outflank LD and Green with pragmaticism over piped dreams.
It can be of he grasps it his legacy and a great boost for British Business too.
Take on the dinosaurs Farage, Lowe, Badenoch...
Closer closer closer ties.
Although given that lunatic he has in the Energy portfolio he’s got nothing to make a fuss about.
Steve 🇺🇸
@SteveLovesAmmo
It’s a boy!!!! 💀
https://x.com/SteveLovesAmmo/status/2016672934828687649?s=20
It’s such a chilled city. They’re having their weekend festival on sisowath quay. It turns into a kind of mild long farmers market all down the tonle sap river. Families picnic by the palace as the sun goes down. Very charming. And the food is superb (apart from the insects and newts and algae and frogs) and the people are lovely and peaceful. And the women are probably the prettiest in South east Asia
And its poignantly perfect that the city with the WORST history in Indochina (if not the world) is now the most seductive
Also you can buy Xanax and Tramadol OTC
Oooof. Nowcast for the Senedd on that MiC poll
PC Lab 47
Ref Con 47
plus 1 each Green and LD
No chance that holds for 4 years!
'Yes Prime Minister, international politics is your forte so let's get it working for a domestic by election!'
I love it!
He applies zero independent thought to it, because he has no conviction other than the furtherance of his own career.
His general style is 1) Very anti-immigration and foreigners, 2) Probably Social Conservative 3) Dry Thatcherism, 4) Pro wealthy-people like him.
There's a lot of MAGA borrowing, and a lot of utter impracticality in his ideas and ambiguity in his beliefs, plus he's embracing an imagined BNP-style ethnic nationalism based on colour without stating it. A number of his concepts are imaginary, as might be found in Arthur Mee. He's going more full Trump than Ref UK. One of his problems is finding a market for the violence implicit in his proposals; it's sinking Trump.
Crusty old Tories of the John Carlisle / Alan Clark stripe (eg old UKIP style) will be attracted, as will people who are more obsessive about immigration. That is Older Authoritarian Right / Traditional Conservatives and Working Right Reform tribes in the Hope not Hate characterisation from 2025.
He won't I think get the symbolic ethnic minorities that Farage is parading on Reform platforms. Some will like that. I'm not sure about the symbolic women.
I think one determinant is how he will handle the extreme right / neo-fascist groups, who include Yaxley-Lennon's lot, Homeland Party types, influencers and also the far right priests (or ex-priests) such as Calvin Robinson. I'd say he will probably go Christian Nationalist (cultural Christian variety).
He'll be looking for 5x, 6x or 7x year old business types like himself to be his candidates.
It would have the side effect of painting the tories as "the other reasonable party", which I'm not sure he would want.
I mean - really? Can't they come up with somebody better than those two? A fairly useless governor and a person who has Donald Trump's fanaticism, self-righteousness and contempt for democracy without even the excuse of being totally past it?
Graham Linehan
@Glinner
·
13 Feb
Alan Dershowitz received the Samizdat Prize alongside me yesterday and he tried to distance himself from my views on stage! Like Ardal O'Hanlon, I asked him what he disagreed with and he spluttered and changed the subject.
To be fair to him, I did get the impression he's being bamboozled by his son, who apparently doesn't even think women should have fair sports.
Still, a giant of a man in many ways, just not this one.
https://x.com/Glinner/status/2022211117339357302?s=20
This is the Nigel problem. He has to win power outright, he doesn't have a von Papen in another party prepared to work with him.
The fact that they are desperate to bribe the US into allowing them the remaining portion of the Donbas region and present it as a victory shows how disastrously wrong things have gone for them.
What a shame he’s not still at the IOC, one suggests he would have been better at dealing with this week’s controversy in Italy.
A 2025 AtlasIntel poll found her to be one of only three major political leaders with a net positive image, with 46% of Americans viewing her positively compared to 44% negatively.
AOC recently toured Arizona and Nevada with Bernie Sanders, where they attracted record-breaking crowds (including 34,000 in Denver, Colorado).
A July 2025 poll of "Biden skippers"—voters in battleground states who sat out the 2024 election—found that 78% had a favorable view of Bernie Sanders, the highest of any Democratic-aligned figure.
I'm not suggesting her for President - too young, short, woman, brown - but as a VP complement to Newsom (tall, white, male, presidential). It's a ticket that reaches Bernie Sanders supporters. AOC is young enough to bide her time as VP for two terms if necessary.
It's a strong combination.
It’s not really a day where you can change your plans around watching the match.
Con wont do a coalition with Ref if numbers hold, but theyd allow a Ref minority (if RefCon>48) to collapse at their leisure
He will try and burn Reform to the ground though for what they did to him.
I can see Rosindell ending up double jumping to him although Lowe seems anti defection
At the 2024 Mayoral Election Khan lost much of the Muslim vote on the Gaza question, and he still had nearly half the vote, with 44% of the vote vs 33% for Susan Hall. And 3.2% for Howard Cox the 2-24 Ref UK candidate who is now in Rupert Lowe's outfit.
Those on the Right need to get away from the bullshit firehose, or they will be chasing wild geese in London.
For example a Zogby poll last month had Vance beating Newsom 44% to 41%
https://www.newsweek.com/jd-vances-chances-of-beating-harris-newsom-in-2028-election-poll-11362016
A poll last year had Buttigieg with a 4% lead over Vance, similar to Biden's winning victory margin over Trump in 2020 while Newsom led Vance by just 2%, similar to Hillary's lead in the popular vote in 2016 which was not enough to win the EC
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Bj9_tUbMG1yCnME1rc7ggQF7qt8mmxetIfD7bQL167w/edit?gid=1183487657#gid=1183487657
Emerson last year gave Vance a 3% lead over AOC
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2025-national-poll/
If he’s the only GB gold medalist he’ll almost certainly be on the shortlist.
They also used them to destroy a base of the feared Russian Rubikon drone operators.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C208kpEXiLA
So much winning by RUssia. They also appear to be losing territory in a Ukrainina counter - territory it cost sthem many ts of thousand dead to acquire. If so, the whole Russian strategy in Ukraine of swapping bodies for land is collapsing.