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  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Low interest rates were arguably the cause of Britain's rise to global ascendancy - but I'm given to understand that they resulted from the willingness of Parliament to vote for taxation once they had wrested control of spending it from the Monarch, thereby making Britain a safe bet to lend to, rather than by dictatorial fiat.

    I guess we'll find out how well Trump's approach works out.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,808

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Can't wait for the -1,000,000% US interest rate.
    Trump can be famous for having his picture on the ten trillion dollar bill.
  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 488
    HYUFD said:

    '@ElectionMapsUK
    🚨 | Holyrood Nowcast:

    🎗️ SNP: 58 (-6) - 34.6% | 27.8%
    ➡️ RFM: 22 (+22) - 18.8% | 19.0%
    🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 16.3% | 16.8%
    🌳 CON: 12 (-19) - 10.8% | 11.8%
    🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.4% | 10.0%
    🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 7.7% | 11.0%'
    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2020854437217014263?s=20

    Looks about right HYUFD .... maybe the Tories get one or 2 seats higher depending on how the list seats fall.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,778
    stodge said:

    Taz said:

    Lib Dems trail a major announcement

    https://x.com/libdems/status/2021299046783054259

    Who cares just fucking tell us..
    They’re just desperate for attention.
    You talk about them all the time....
    Actually I don’t. I doubt I speak about them, or post about them, for more than 10 minutes a week.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,412
    The Volgograd oil refinery is burning.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,890
    edited February 10

    MikeL said:

    Matthew Parris tipping John Healey in article in tomorrow's Times.

    Apparently Parris bet on Healey at 40-1 over the weekend.

    He's now 28-1 on Betfair.

    Although I was talking up Healey this morning, for the record I am not Parris!
    Neither am I - though I did tip McFadden, Healey and D Alexander on here about a week ago when they were all in the hundreds.

    For me they are the three who have the authority and credibility to be PM.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,778
    Foxy said:

    I can’t believe that Southampton just beat Leicester

    3-0 down after half an hour, and still after an hour

    Won 3-4 deep into injury time

    Yep. Very much a game of two halves. First half we played positive attacking football, second half defended timidly, with no pressing, and no counter attacks. The players confidence is shot. Once we conceded a goal the writing was on the wall.
    I find it amazing Leicester get hit with a points deduction over Premiership financial stuff yet, here we are, a couple of years down the line ans with Man City nothing still.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,778

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Are they going to inflate their debt away ?
  • Matt Goodwin running away

    Sounds good to me.
    And me
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,092
    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

  • MikeL said:

    Matthew Parris tipping John Healey in article in tomorrow's Times.

    Apparently Parris bet on Healey at 40-1 over the weekend.

    He's now 28-1 on Betfair.

    I believe somebody tipped Healey at 50/1 at the weekend.

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/02/08/could-a-healey-or-benn-finally-lead-labour/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108
    edited February 10

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    Apparently it is going to rain every day bar one for the next two weeks even after all we've had, according to my local forecast.

    Pothole season is going to be wild.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    Scott_xP said:

    The Volgograd oil refinery is burning.

    I think that's the first oil refinery hit for a fortnight.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 57,579

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    In Biblese 40 days and 40 nights was shorthand for a long time. It has been raining for a very, very long time.
  • It’s been a very mild winter really.
  • Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Can't wait for the -1,000,000% US interest rate.
    Trump can be famous for having his picture on the ten trillion dollar bill.
    One big numbered beautiful bill.
  • Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    edited February 10

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    That's a mostly dry couple of days in Ireland.

    The first winter I had a weather station set up I was quite excited about an eight-day period when the humidity didn't drop below 98%, but my Irish in-laws were not at all fazed.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,919

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    They’ve ran out of ideas already?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,933
    In news from Australia
    'One Nation has emerged as the leading party in the country for working-class people, surpassing both Labor and the Coalition.

    The latest Sky News Pulse, conducted by YouGov between February 3-10 showed the minor party secured 34 per cent of the working-class vote, compared to 27 per cent for Labor and 14 per cent for the Coalition.

    Among all voters, 28 per cent supported One Nation, above the Coalition at 19 per cent primary vote, but slightly behind Labor on 30 per cent.

    The Greens captured 12 per cent of the vote, the independents five per cent and other minor parties six per cent.'
    https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/one-nation-secures-34-per-cent-primary-vote-among-workingclass-voters-above-both-labor-and-coalition-in-sky-news-pulse/news-story/62b6a2606bfeb7c099e3d7a5d570576b
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
  • Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I wonder how much the rebrand has / will cost?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,933
    'Angus Taylor is expected to resign – potentially after Question Time – from Sussan Ley’s frontbench on Wednesday ahead of a challenge for the Liberal Party leadership.
    https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/cfmeu-inquiry-told-queensland-labor-did-the-bidding-of-unions-in-government-costing-taxpayers-billions/live-coverage/536023b09959d81f904e65faaf956883
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,835

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm a quiet republican, but the branding of the government strikes me as a problem which doesn't need to be solved. It's "ooh, look at us, we're modern".
  • RobD said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    They’ve ran out of ideas already?
    Hello is that the cones hotline AI Skill Hub....
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387

    It’s been a very mild winter really.

    I believe at the time the 2013-14 winter broke recirds for rainfall and it was also mild. Those things tend to go together, as it's the mobile weather systems bringing rain from the Atlantic that keeps the temperatures up.
  • Scott_xP said:

    The Volgograd oil refinery is burning.

    Enemy at the Gates!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,808

    Maybe Trump can negotiate a permanent peace. He’s good at that.
    "I have ended 43 wars, 34 of them in the Labour Party...."
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,184
    Taz said:

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Are they going to inflate their debt away ?
    Remember: one person's debt is another person's savings.

    Inflating their debt away is just a transfer from savers to borrowers. And, of course, one with long term consequences.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,778
    This, from Paddy Power, was most prescient

    ‘ Newcastle with another defeat and no league wins for over a month.

    It’s the perfect time for a visit to Doctor Tottenham in midweek…’


    https://x.com/paddypower/status/2020429651919925376?s=61
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,184

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Low interest rates were arguably the cause of Britain's rise to global ascendancy - but I'm given to understand that they resulted from the willingness of Parliament to vote for taxation once they had wrested control of spending it from the Monarch, thereby making Britain a safe bet to lend to, rather than by dictatorial fiat.

    I guess we'll find out how well Trump's approach works out.
    I would argue that it was the lack of inflation that was the key. Lenders knew they wouldn't be stiffed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108

    Maybe Trump can negotiate a permanent peace. He’s good at that.
    "I have ended 43 wars, 34 of them in the Labour Party...."
    I think Trump could be the only person capable of uniting the 428 factions of leftist politics in this country.

    Just kidding, I've got some Corbynite relatives who have not gone pro-Trump exactly, but have definitely warmed up to him (they hate Starmer and seem to buy that Trump cares about peace).
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,933

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    Absolutely disgraceful, how dare they fail to respect the fact they are merely the King's temporary ministers?

    I would certainly vote Reform over Labour on a forced choice now
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,699

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    How long until the hosepipe ban comes in?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,808

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    That's a mostly dry couple of days in Ireland.

    The first winter I had a weather station set up I was quite excited about an eight-day period when the humidity didn't drop below 98%, but my Irish in-laws were not at all fazed.
    I remember Glasgow once having a run of 54 winter days without registering an hour of sunshine.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108
    HYUFD said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    Absolutely disgraceful, how dare they fail to respect the fact they are merely the King's temporary ministers?

    I would certainly vote Reform over Labour on a forced choice now
    What a twist!
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,778
    AnneJGP said:

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    How long until the hosepipe ban comes in?
    There’s some parts of the country it’s still in place.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,699
    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Have they produced an estimate of how much the rebrand will cost?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108
    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Have they produced an estimate of how much the rebrand will cost?
    Not as much as people think but more than it should is my guess.
  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 488

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    Yeah its been pretty grim. The NE of Scotland is getting hit hard, they've went a ridiculous numbers of days without seeing the sun at all. Heavy rain again over there for the next couple of days
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,699

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I wonder how much the rebrand has / will cost?
    Snap.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    edited February 10
    rcs1000 said:

    Taz said:

    Trump: "We should be the lowest interest rate in the world."


    Good luck America!!

    Are they going to inflate their debt away ?
    Remember: one person's debt is another person's savings.

    Inflating their debt away is just a transfer from savers to borrowers. And, of course, one with long term consequences.
    According to this article - https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/08/12/what-to-know-about-the-bond-market/ - the Federal government spends about 13% of its budget on debt interest, more than $800bn, while the average interest rate on treasury bonds is still historically low, at 3.352% (last July).

    If inflation expectations rise, the interest rates on new bonds issued will have to rise too, and the interest the US government will need to pay on its debt will grow rapidly. Could create an awful mess for whoever becomes President after Trump dies.

    Edit: which is to say, can you inflate a debt away when you are still running a budget deficit?
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,699
    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    edited February 10
    Taz said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Met Office has rain at more than 50% and mainly 80 or 90% for my area for every hour for over FORTY EIGHT hours.

    This winter is insane.

    How long until the hosepipe ban comes in?
    There’s some parts of the country it’s still in place.
    How can it still be in place after all the rain we've had? 🤔
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108
    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Interesting stats.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    So who is recording the phone calls?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,835
    HYUFD said:

    'Angus Taylor is expected to resign – potentially after Question Time – from Sussan Ley’s frontbench on Wednesday ahead of a challenge for the Liberal Party leadership.
    https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/cfmeu-inquiry-told-queensland-labor-did-the-bidding-of-unions-in-government-costing-taxpayers-billions/live-coverage/536023b09959d81f904e65faaf956883

    For a lovely moment I thought you were bringing us news of the UK Liberal Party - i.e. the ones who stayed in the old party after the bulk of members joined the new Lib Dem Party in 1989. I hadn't thought of them for years. Looking them up, I see, like the SDP, they were broadly on the side of Leave during the Brexit Referendum:

    "In the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum campaign, the party let candidates express their own views, but both the National Executive and many party members supported Leave. As the party had a long-standing opposition to the use of referendums, they released a statement that ceding sovereignty was an exception to this principle, and that the Lisbon and Maastricht Treaties should have been subjected to referendums on transferring power to the European Union."

    There is no betting or any other angle to this, but I thought it was interesting.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,565
    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    I hope not! What the hell are they thinking?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 41,268
    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,835
    Andy_JS said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Interesting stats.
    I reckon I agree with the majority in every one one of those cases. Though I'm perhaps in two minds between Davey and Starmer.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,466
    viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    I hope not! What the hell are they thinking?
    Of course they haven't

  • isamisam Posts: 43,595
    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,981
    edited February 10
    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
    Part of the problem for the Tories now is that FPTP makes it look like a Tory vote is a wasted vote in lots of areas.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    edited February 10

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    Thanks for the article. You only have to look at people in restaurants, cafes, on trains, buses, to see that it's stopping people from actually talking to other people around them.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Have you heard of hysteresis?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    It's always been likely that it's mostly just an increase in diagnosis rather than a real increase.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243
    More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50
  • More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    Looks like Labour needs more scandals.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,699
    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    It was phone calls during the pandemic, I believe.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,981

    More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    So Labour's voteshare holding steady or rising is absolutely a thing.

    Wild theory - like Labour's dramatic 'rise in membership', could this positive indicator actually be in anticipation of Starmer going? These people are probably going to vote Labour again because that twat will be gone?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,565
    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Spectrum diagnoses annoy me. It's not just that the stats are more difficult for continuous variables than binary variables for individuals, but that for some cases they don't make sense :(
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,981

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Have you heard of hysteresis?
    Am I going to like it?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
    Part of the problem for the Tories now is that FPTP makes it look like a Tory vote is a wasted vote in lots of areas.
    But how many voters know that? They aren't baxtering opinion polls.
    All the held seats and second places from 2024 won't feel that way. That's 300 plus seats
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108
    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    It was phone calls during the pandemic, I believe.
    Ah, makes sense, we wouldn't have wanted a PM to kill the Queen.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243

    More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    So Labour's voteshare holding steady or rising is absolutely a thing.

    Wild theory - like Labour's dramatic 'rise in membership', could this positive indicator actually be in anticipation of Starmer going? These people are probably going to vote Labour again because that twat will be gone?
    Rally round the (party) flag effect plus constant 'Labour' in the news maybe
    Voters are weirdos
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
    Part of the problem for the Tories now is that FPTP makes it look like a Tory vote is a wasted vote in lots of areas.
    But how many voters know that? They aren't baxtering opinion polls.
    All the held seats and second places from 2024 won't feel that way. That's 300 plus seats
    Voters have a sense for these things. That's why even when parties put out "X can't win here" leaflets based on past election results it doesn't always work.

    People know they hear a lot more about Reform than the Tories now, that there are defections, that Reform may win (or at least challenge) at a by-election. In some areas they will be able to see Tories are still the main choice, but that won't be the case everywhere.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    By the way, people who know nothing about science shouldn't go around saying that certain things are unscientific.

    Anyway, look up hysteresis and you should be able to learn why it is perfectly scientific to believe otherwise to your statement. Arrow of time would also be a useful concept to consider.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243

    More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    Looks like Labour needs more scandals.
    Indeed.

    Link BTW https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/our-work/voting-intention-trackers/
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,679
    RFK Jr's Nutrition Chatbot Recommends Best Foods to Insert Into Your Rectum

    https://www.404media.co/rfk-jrs-nutrition-chatbot-recommends-best-foods-to-insert-into-your-rectum/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108

    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    So who is recording the phone calls?
    Who isn't? Livestreaming such calls on Youtube would probably be more secure than our government.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,387
    edited February 10

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Have you heard of hysteresis?
    Am I going to like it?
    So, on the one hand it's a fascinating aspect of physical reality.

    But on the other it makes your confident assertion complete cobblers.

    Depends on you how you will take that.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,184

    RFK Jr's Nutrition Chatbot Recommends Best Foods to Insert Into Your Rectum

    https://www.404media.co/rfk-jrs-nutrition-chatbot-recommends-best-foods-to-insert-into-your-rectum/

    Everyone knows the answer to that.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,184
    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Spectrum diagnoses annoy me. It's not just that the stats are more difficult for continuous variables than binary variables for individuals, but that for some cases they don't make sense :(
    I'm really sorry that the world won't conform to your desires.
  • More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    Looks like Labour needs more scandals.
    Indeed.

    Link BTW https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/our-work/voting-intention-trackers/
    I remain completely of the view that a new leader makes the next election absolutely in play.

    For a PM this unpopular, doesn’t it say how unpopular Reform are?
  • Andy_JS said:

    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    It's always been likely that it's mostly just an increase in diagnosis rather than a real increase.
    In autism particularly there was a change in definition so that ASD (autism spectrum disorder) now covers a far wider range of conditions than previously. @Leon used to post about this quite often, back in the day. Probably there are similar effects with other conditions.

    For instance, some people are better at football than others. If you gave not being good at football a medical label, then the number of people diagnosed with Spursism would increase from none to lots, and even more if the government inadvertently encouraged people to seek a diagnosis of Spursism by handing out free taxi rides to school and extra time in GCSE PE exams.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243
    kle4 said:

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
    Part of the problem for the Tories now is that FPTP makes it look like a Tory vote is a wasted vote in lots of areas.
    But how many voters know that? They aren't baxtering opinion polls.
    All the held seats and second places from 2024 won't feel that way. That's 300 plus seats
    Voters have a sense for these things. That's why even when parties put out "X can't win here" leaflets based on past election results it doesn't always work.

    People know they hear a lot more about Reform than the Tories now, that there are defections, that Reform may win (or at least challenge) at a by-election. In some areas they will be able to see Tories are still the main choice, but that won't be the case everywhere.
    Sure, but the Tories need to get their vote out where they are the main choice. Walk before they try and run again.
    If they work out how to operate in the world as it is, not as they want it to be/think it should be by rights then they'll be ok
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243
    edited February 10

    kle4 said:

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    The cry babies can’t even whinge that it’s Find Out Now

    Forced choice head to head on preferred prime minister.
    🌹Starmer v.narrowly edges Farage and Polanski but loses to Davey and Badenoch
    🌳Badenoch wins all four head to heads
    🔶Davey beats Starmer & v.narrowly Farage, but loses to Badenoch
    ➡️ Farage narrowly beats Polanski and loses to Badenoch & v.narrowly Starmer and Davey
    💚Polanski loses to Badenoch & more narrowly Farage & v narrowly Starmer





    https://x.com/luketryl/status/2021311990392852903?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Kemi needs to start converting this into VI, again my anecdata is that people who previously voted Tory but didn't turn out in 2024 are broadly positive about her and willing to give the party a hearing. That's a start but we need to see how she motivates them to actually get off the sofa and vote.
    Part of the problem for the Tories now is that FPTP makes it look like a Tory vote is a wasted vote in lots of areas.
    But how many voters know that? They aren't baxtering opinion polls.
    All the held seats and second places from 2024 won't feel that way. That's 300 plus seats
    Voters have a sense for these things. That's why even when parties put out "X can't win here" leaflets based on past election results it doesn't always work.

    People know they hear a lot more about Reform than the Tories now, that there are defections, that Reform may win (or at least challenge) at a by-election. In some areas they will be able to see Tories are still the main choice, but that won't be the case everywhere.
    Sure, but the Tories need to get their vote out where they are the main choice. Walk before they try and run again.
    If they work out how to operate in the world as it is, not as they want it to be/think it should be by rights then they'll be ok
    Further - they need 'areas' to work out from. I've identified one or two before a key one for example is the West Lincs/Notts/Leics/Rutland/P'bo and Cambs quadrant
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,483
    A non-denial denial from Streeting:

    https://x.com/wesstreeting/status/2021348719313162617

    The @guardian did not approach me or my team with these claims.

    Had they done so I would have said this is categorically untrue.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,565
    rcs1000 said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    Spectrum diagnoses annoy me. It's not just that the stats are more difficult for continuous variables than binary variables for individuals, but that for some cases they don't make sense :(
    I'm really sorry that the world won't conform to your desires.
    So am I! How dare it! Bad reality, bad! 😎
  • kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    kle4 said:

    Not only I am voting Labour at the next election I am joining the Labour Party, this has won me over.

    ‘Disrespectful’ Labour drops HM title from Government communications

    Rebrand raises ‘serious questions’ about Labour’s attitude towards monarchy, Tories say


    Labour has been accused of disrespecting the King after the HM title was dropped from official Government communications.

    In a controversial rebrand, the Government now refers to itself as the UK Government, rather than HM Government.

    The Tories accused Labour of trying to “quietly obliterate tradition”, pledging to reverse the move if they returned to power.

    Previous guidelines from the Government Communication Service stated that HM Government should always be used in official branding “unless there is a specific reason not to”.

    But Labour changed the rules, making UK Government the new “primary identity” of its branding.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/02/10/disrespectful-labour-drops-hm-title-from-government-communi/

    I'm not about to throw a strop about it, but with these kind of rebrands I'm somewhat at a loss as to whether anyone was confused by it to necessitate a change.
    Does SKS still bother to meet the King every week or has that gone too, I wonder.
    I think that transitioned to phone calls years ago.
    So who is recording the phone calls?
    China, USA, Russia, ...
  • I really like Claire Coutinho

    She’s a mathematician, and she’s articulate, intelligent and attractive. She opposes Miliband effectively

    Her parents are Goan. Her dad was an anaesthetist called Winston

    Claire Coutinho satisfies the Oxford test (© DJL) for future leaders but has she really been effective in shadowing Miliband? Consistent and persistent no doubt but has she caused a change in policy?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,565

    Andy_JS said:

    isam said:

    The autism epidemic is a myth: The increase is only in expansive overdiagnosis of kids "on the spectrum," e.g. "Would rather be alone than with others,” “Has difficulty making friends,” and “Is regarded by other children as odd or weird.” Severe cases (no language, socially unresponsive, etc.) have decreased. By my former grad student @AdamOmaryPhD

    https://x.com/sapinker/status/2021281661045129240?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    It's always been likely that it's mostly just an increase in diagnosis rather than a real increase.
    In autism particularly there was a change in definition so that ASD (autism spectrum disorder) now covers a far wider range of conditions than previously. @Leon used to post about this quite often, back in the day. Probably there are similar effects with other conditions.

    For instance, some people are better at football than others. If you gave not being good at football a medical label, then the number of people diagnosed with Spursism would increase from none to lots, and even more if the government inadvertently encouraged people to seek a diagnosis of Spursism by handing out free taxi rides to school and extra time in GCSE PE exams.
    Indeed. 😀
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,933

    More In Common have done their accidentally updating a bit early on the website trick, so tomorrow's VI is

    Ref 30 (=)
    Lab 23 (+2)
    Con 21 (+1)
    Ld 12 (-2)
    Grn 10 (=)
    SNP 2 (=)

    Starmers approval drops to just above his low of -51 at -50

    Gives a hung parliament but Reform most seats.

    Reform 310, Labour 137, LDs 70, Tories 56
    https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
  • OT it has just popped into my head that today is Microsoft's ‘patch Tuesday’ and Windows 11 is removing support for old printer drivers. If your old printer stops working...
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,679

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Bodies are weird and difficult to predict things. Advanced cancers can go into remission, but it is exceedingly unlikely. New treatments can be successful, and that is a bit more likely. My aunt was given a few months to live in 2018, but is fortunately still with us and doing fairly well. I hope for the same for other cancer sufferers and we have made big strides in treating cancer over my professional lifetime. (My first proper job was for the Imperial Cancer Research Fund, as then was,)

    Hope is important for people facing difficult prognoses. However, remember that false hope can also be damaging.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,981

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    By the way, people who know nothing about science shouldn't go around saying that certain things are unscientific.

    Anyway, look up hysteresis and you should be able to learn why it is perfectly scientific to believe otherwise to your statement. Arrow of time would also be a useful concept to consider.
    I've removed the tag and perhaps we can continue the conversation without it. I don't think Cyclefree needs a notification that some worthless little scrote thinks it's OK to make what they fondly perceive to be some sort of 'clapback' in a tagged thread about her health challenges.
  • Very cool,

    gave Seedance 2.0 a grid of images. It read them like a storyboard and animated the whole thing No manual editing. No timeline. It just... knew
    https://x.com/lucatac0/status/2021298549644788087?s=20

    In a couple of months people will figure out how to use Seedance for porn and then the government will want to ban it. Another two or three months and hostile states will be using it to create fake news films to influence elections.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,981

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Bodies are weird and difficult to predict things. Advanced cancers can go into remission, but it is exceedingly unlikely. New treatments can be successful, and that is a bit more likely. My aunt was given a few months to live in 2018, but is fortunately still with us and doing fairly well. I hope for the same for other cancer sufferers and we have made big strides in treating cancer over my professional lifetime. (My first proper job was for the Imperial Cancer Research Fund, as then was,)

    Hope is important for people facing difficult prognoses. However, remember that false hope can also be damaging.
    I don't think 'false' hope is particularly damaging actually - though obviously being taken in by a swindler is.

    I agree broadly with the rest of your post though.

    Unscientific language and theories abound in the cancer world, and in my experience much more in the world of conventional treatment than in naturopathic medicine. Our own oncology specialist recently described cancer as 'a wily opponent' - and that sort of anthropomorphism is so common it is universally accepted - yet it is very unhelpful. Cancer doesn't dislike you. It isn't sentient. It's a response of the body to something that's gone wrong.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,483
    Pauline Hanson is almost in the lead.

    https://x.com/AusPoll6/status/2021319388658585736

    🚨 NEW: Federal voting intention

    🟥 ALP: 30% (-1)
    🟧 ONP: 28% (+3)
    🟦 L/NP: 19% (-1)
    🟩 GRN: 12% (-)
    ⬜️ IND: 5% (-1)
    ⬛️ OTH: 6% (-)
  • OT it has just popped into my head that today is Microsoft's ‘patch Tuesday’ and Windows 11 is removing support for old printer drivers. If your old printer stops working...

    As far as I can tell they're removing old printer drivers from the Windows Update database, so any printers you have connected and working will continue to work as before but if you have to buy a new computer or move the printer to another PC then you'll need to manually source and install drivers for it.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    From the Guardian.

    "Streeting still ready to challenge Starmer despite show of unity, allies say

    Health secretary poised to make leadership bid after May local elections to pre-empt a potential challenge from rival Rayner, MPs close to him say"

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/10/streeting-still-ready-to-challenge-starmer-despite-show-of-unity-allies-say
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,108

    Pauline Hanson is almost in the lead.

    https://x.com/AusPoll6/status/2021319388658585736

    🚨 NEW: Federal voting intention

    🟥 ALP: 30% (-1)
    🟧 ONP: 28% (+3)
    🟦 L/NP: 19% (-1)
    🟩 GRN: 12% (-)
    ⬜️ IND: 5% (-1)
    ⬛️ OTH: 6% (-)

    What's gone wrong for the Coalition?

    Worth nothing that if Albanese can avoid imminently self destructing he should make it to be the first PM to reach 4 years in office since 2007.

    I also learn that in Australia they call it a "leadership spill" when there is a contest for a new leader of the a parliamentary party.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,595

    isam said:

    isam said:

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165032726001825

    Reducing social media use decreases loneliness regardless of gender or level of social comparisons in youth with anxiety and depression: A randomized controlled trial

    Loneliness and feeling socially isolated is especially problematic in youth experiencing anxiety and depressive symptoms. Social media use (SMU) was designed to promote social connection, but correlational studies suggest it is often associated with greater loneliness and mental health problems, with girls and those who engage in more frequent upward social comparisons being more negatively impacted by SMU. However, experimental studies are needed to gain insights into causality, especially in a vulnerable population of youth with affective distress. The present study experimentally investigated the effects of voluntarily reducing SMU to 1 h/day on loneliness, and whether intervention effects were moderated by gender and/or baseline levels of social comparisons in youth with pre-existing symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. After completing a baseline survey and providing daily screenshots of SMU for one week, 260 participants were randomly assigned to an intervention (reduce SMU to 1 h/day) or control group (no SMU restriction) for the next three weeks. A total of 219 participants completed the study and were included for analysis. Mixed models indicated a significant group x time interaction whereby the intervention group showed significantly greater reductions in loneliness compared to controls (β = −0.11, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.005]). However, neither gender (β = 0.23, 95% CI [−0.16, 0.63]) nor baseline social comparison (β = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.24, 0.15]) moderated these intervention effects. These findings suggest that reducing SMU may represent an important intervention component in a comprehensive approach to combating loneliness among a vulnerable population of youth presenting with affective distress.

    I found this article yesterday after you had said ivermectin had no effect on cancer, but didn’t link to it as I thought sciencedirect would turn out to be some kind of site for quacks!

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043661820315152
    Thanks. Studies based on action in a test tube are a start, but only a start. There’s no evidence of in-human effectiveness, as this explainer covers: https://www.macmillan.org.uk/about-us/latest-news/news-and-stories/cancer-and-ivermectin
    Someone flagged my post, as if I were giving malicious advice out of badness. I did say I wasn't claiming to be a medical expert of any kind, and was just relating the story of the relative of a friend who has defied the doctors predictions to stay alive, and possibly recover from a "terminal" diagnosis. I was trying to give some hope to @Cyclefree, who seemed very down. I am pleased to read the conclusion of that Science Direct article

    There are some odd people on here

    I did not read Cyclefree's posts - I am assuming that she disclosed very difficult medical prognoses.

    Without wishing to upset or anger anyone, especially Cyclefree, I remain very firmly of the view that if a body can get cancer (or any illness) when certain stimuli are applied, it can also reverse cancer when those are reversed. To believe otherwise would be unscientific.

    All the very best Cyclefree.
    Bodies are weird and difficult to predict things. Advanced cancers can go into remission, but it is exceedingly unlikely. New treatments can be successful, and that is a bit more likely. My aunt was given a few months to live in 2018, but is fortunately still with us and doing fairly well. I hope for the same for other cancer sufferers and we have made big strides in treating cancer over my professional lifetime. (My first proper job was for the Imperial Cancer Research Fund, as then was,)

    Hope is important for people facing difficult prognoses. However, remember that false hope can also be damaging.
    My friend’s brother is taking ivermectin behind the doctors back, so is still having chemo. Perhaps the chemo is what’s killing the cancer, but that raises the question of why they gave him six months to live.

    Anyway, as I said, I just wanted to share a positive story to Cyclefree. I wasn’t trying to con her into having false hope. I’m not on an earner if people buy ivermectin, I don’t even know what it is!
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,243
    Comfortable Plaid win in Pembrokeshire, Reform not competitive this time, everyone ekse in a nice little bunch really with the LDs perhaps regaining a bit of that old Ceredigion shine in second

    Fishguard North East (Pembrokeshire) Council By-Election Result:

    🌼 PLC: 33.8% (New)
    🔶 LDM: 18.0% (New)
    ➡️ RFM: 12.7% (New)
    🌹 LAB: 11.1% (-47.9)
    🙋 Ind: 10.5% (New)
    🌳 CON: 9.2% (-31.9)
    🙋 Ind: 4.7% (New)

    Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour.
    Changes w/ 2022.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 5,862

    Very cool,

    gave Seedance 2.0 a grid of images. It read them like a storyboard and animated the whole thing No manual editing. No timeline. It just... knew
    https://x.com/lucatac0/status/2021298549644788087?s=20

    In a couple of months people will figure out how to use Seedance for porn and then the government will want to ban it. Another two or three months and hostile states will be using it to create fake news films to influence elections.
    At the start of the image/video generation model 'era' there was a site called Civitai. Still on the go - but now has it's own weird 'currency'. And is so full of porn generators that I would recommend a vpn even just to search for the history of the site. Really proper grim.

    From 'how to give your images a bit of a Film Noir feel' twist to... whatever is is now. Not a brilliant "our amazing story" blogpost.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,286
    What on earth is going on in Australian politics?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,933
    edited 12:06AM
    Andy_JS said:

    What on earth is going on in Australian politics?

    Same as many other western nations, a white working class surge to a party of the populist anti immigration right but coming mainly at the expense of the main centre right party rather than the centre left (unless like Trump you converted the centre right into a populist right party)
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