It’s not easy being Greenland – politicalbetting.com
It’s not easy being Greenland – politicalbetting.com
How likely do Britons think it is that the USA will try to seize Greenland by military force?Very likely: 10%Fairly likely: 30%Fairly unlikely: 24%Very unlikely: 11%yougov.co.uk/topics/polit…
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Ben Wallace being pretty uncompromising about crooked thieving Donald on R4 this am. Though Justin Webb brought up Badenoch’s appeasing bollocks about kidnapping Maduro being the moral thing to do, with his customary feebleness he didn’t ask Wallace what he thought about it.
➡️ REF UK 31% (+3)
🌳 CON 23% (+1)
🌹 LAB 19% (-2)
🔶 LIB DEM 12% (-1)
🌍 GREEN 10% (+1)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/2008803898308678017
Seize the airport, execute, exile or bribe the political leadership. Done. What's Europe going to do about it? Shit all.
(No he isn’t about to send the military into a NATO country. If anything happens it will be a purchase and with a referendum of the people of Greenland).
Brain dead doesn't cover it.
Bribery, astroturfing of influencers then becoming a US Protectorate like the Marshall Islands is more likely:
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-greenland-easy-steps-nato-policy-deal-military/
It would put the final nail in the coffin of NATO, and be quite a threat to Canada..
So odd, really, because the US is already there as a guest, so to speak, and surely a softer approach would have gained them more with preserved goodwill.
Good morning, everyone.
TLDR: Voices in Trump's head (eg "they're eating the cats and dogs") + industrial quantities of sophistry.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCwdOe6Pm70
https://x.com/monsieurjudge/status/2008787604754636947?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Aside: What's going on with shipping on tankers leaving Venezuela and dodging Mr Rubio's "blockade":
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcpg0S6LSTY
Ed and the Lib Dems really don’t fit the Beeb’s preferred narrative that Trump is a great statesman and Britain’s only meaningful international alliance is our special relationship.
He said: “The new rules will send a strong message that it is simply not worth taking the risk. Our message at the AA for everyone is clear: if you are going to drink, don’t drive and if you are going to drive, don’t drink.”
https://www.thetimes.com/article/798fa10d-2603-4ea2-bffd-007829a8f868?shareToken=610faef91aaa50324618f516a70a5c6d
With Grok producing sexualised images of women and children on request, does this mean anyone with a twitter account could be prosrcuted for downloading indecent images of children?
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/06/grok-ai-fake-images-women-girls-undressed-uk-minister-liz-kendall?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
I no longer have a twitter account.
I do wonder if there might be legal challenges in the US.
Finn, Swann and Rainford-Brent are ok, but Cooky trips over his words a lot, which surprises me. TNT’s coverage has been as bad as England’s fielding
At which point we see whose resolve is stronger.
Surely there are respected voices on the right who should be pointing out to the American people that this might look like a jolly at the moment but there will be long term damage to the US.
Denmark should say to the US that they have carte Blanche to agree with Greenland’s government to build as many naval bases and airbases it feels it needs to defend itself from the Russians (surely they just need an agreement from Putin to be nice?) and can knock themselves out by putting as many soldiers as it likes but sovereignty remains as before. Trump can’t then complain about security and will have to confirm (if it wasn’t clear already) that he is the Pirate King and actually only really cares about the money the US can extract.
"Few Americans want to take over Greenland — most oppose covert operations and military action | YouGov" https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/52879-few-americans-want-to-take-over-greenland-most-oppose-covert-operations-military-action-poll
https://x.com/paulhutcheon/status/2008816540435837388?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
And it's weird to me that the British right, which has spent the last decade banging on about "sovereignty" is so keen to embrace our new status as America's gimp. It's not quite so odd that the establishment likes to pretend it's not happening, but it's almost as contemptible.
Loss of control of Congress = impeachment.
America has had plenty of experience buying territory - the Louisiana Purchase, Florida, Alaska. Indeed, the war with Mexico was one of those exceptions where they got with force far more than they probably would have achieved with a simple commercial transaction.
Now, you could argue. Florida aside, there weren't that many people involved (well, the Indians and the Eskimos didn't count then). In an era of self-determination, how much will money talk? Imagine if Argentina had been a country with the oil and GDP of Dubai and had offered every Falkland Islander £5 million to either leave the island or stay as Argentine citizens?
Essentially, Washington could make the Greenlanders an offer they'd find hard to refuse - the kind of money and investment of which they could dream but presumably backed with a 25 year guarantee of maintainign the existing social welfare and education systems.
How much is your national identity worth? We see many examples of people threatening to leave the UK if the wrong party gets elected and when you have a level of income sufficiently large, you can basically live almost anywhere and you have only an economic identity which is the size of your various accounts and investments. That's the true definition not so much of a citizen of nowhere but a citizen of everywhere.
Money talks, men walk. Why should anyone fight to preserve a identity which can be bought and sold like any other product?
I’m not a criminal lawyer but had a couple of clients seek advice on dismissal from work for related issues and AIUI the act of "making" an image is interpreted broadly and includes opening an email attachment or simply viewing an image that automatically downloads to a device. I believe a defendant has a defence in certain circumstances if they can prove that the photograph in question was unsolicited and that they did not keep it for an unreasonable time. So I’m pretty sure just having a Twitter/X account alone, with nothing else, would not cross that threshold.
That, I think, counts as possession - which is an "each way" offence.
On Op Ore the police went in hard with "accept a caution or get taken to Court with all the implications of publicity etc", sometimes on questionable evidence (Journalist Duncan Campbell investigated) Some convictions were overturned, but not many. And there were quite a number of suicides. I'd have to check to see how closely the circs matched.
I am not aware of detail of more recent case law.
However, "sent to me anonymously" was one of the defence lines deployed by the former Labour Councillor Sean Morton, which led to the resignation of a Scottish MSP form the Lab front bench over continuing their friendship.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-42647568
In this case there was also an "extreme pornography" charge (which covers "bestiality"), which I have viewed as a bit of a shitshow ever since the "Cartoon Tiger" case, where the police prosecuted because they did not turn up the volume on the video clip.
https://www.theregister.com/2010/01/06/tiger_police/
The CPS dropped a prosecution under the extreme porn law last week when it apparently accepted that the soundtrack on a clip of a tiger apparently having sex with a woman rendered the video comical rather than pornographic.
Andrew Robert Holland of Coedpoeth near Wrexham appeared at Mold Crown Court on New Year's Eve to answer two charges of possessing extreme porn. Both charges related to video clips sent to him by friends, allegedly as jokes.
The first charge involved a video clip of a woman having sex with a tiger. The tiger, according to Mr Holland, was an animated image, rather than a real tiger.
That Musk hasn't disabled or modified this function of Grok despite it being the most accessible form of AI deepfake pornography does make it look intentional. Perhaps he sees the future of his AI is to gain market share in the Gooniverse.
How are you doing btw? Aberdeenshire looks apocalyptic. One of my friends in Mountain Rescue is ferrying doctors around in a 4x4.
A senior Metropolitan Police Service (MPS) officer has been handed a community order and placed on the sex offenders register after receiving a child abuse video from her sister.
https://policeprofessional.com/news/superintendent-placed-on-sex-offenders-register-despite-never-viewing-child-abuse-image/
16s about an England win - not the worst bet ever...
Shocked that it is only a third admitting to this.
Survey Warns a Third of UK Adults Use VPNs to Bypass Internet Porn Age Checks
https://www.ispreview.co.uk/index.php/2026/01/survey-warns-a-third-of-uk-adults-use-vpns-to-bypass-internet-porn-age-checks.html
I saw the Caracas raid as evidence that they are on the Go Big side of the go big or go home choice facing them in 2026. Hold midterms and they lose and they go to jail. An oil heist immediately followed by a pivot to open threats against NATO allies does not feel like they are planning to go out there and win over their critics.
There is a democratic window of opportunity to overthrow the regime and restore America. Not the midterms, I am talking about the battle to actually hold them in places they would lose. Whether that happens or not I am unclear about...
https://www.whitehouse.gov/j6/
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1988/33/section/160
It requires the image not to be kept for an unreasonable time, but as your report says -
“ Judge Richard Marks said Supt Williams made a grave error of judgment in not reporting the video and said she was unlikely to retain her job.”
Sounds like she didn’t do anything with the image when she got it. If she’d reported it ASAP she may (I emphasise May) have had the defence.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/25744988.glaring-flaw-scottish-labours-theatrical-split-keir-starmer/
But busy with stuff so not been paying much attention.
Most Republicans back buying Greenland but not invading it though most Americans overall oppose both
Reform: 31% /26%
Conservatives: 23% / 19%
Labour: 19% / 17%
Liberal Democrats: 12% / 16%
Greens: 10% / 15%
These aren't small variations - these are significant and substantial differences (apart from the Labour number). Now, why are these differences happening? We can assume sampling, weighting and other aspects of the methodologies differ between More In Common and YouGov and that doesn't make either "right" or "wrong" but it does provide polls for anyone to choose what they want.
I'm curious - noting in any of the Reform statements suggests any willingness whatsoever to work with or co-operate with the Conservative Party (or the Labour Party). Yet some still seem to subconsciously think, believe or hope (delete as appropriate) Reform and the Conservatives are potential allies and partners.
Gallego (D) is trying to force a Senate vote to rule out any Greenland action: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/01/06/congress/greenland-war-powers-gallego-00712605
Also of course, it requires a 2/3 vote in the Senate to make it stick.
Use it.
This leaves us speculating about why he wants Greenland, and without knowing what his motivation is it becomes very difficult to predict what actions he might take in service of those motivations.
So it's possible that what he wants - self-aggrandisement and self-enrichment in some form most likely - would not have been achievable by a softer approach (while national defence motivations would have been) and this leaves us with extortion or expropriation. Or this could simply be distraction from the previous distraction from his humiliation by Putin as part of his failure to create peace in Ukraine the attempt of which was a distraction from the Epstein Files.
One of the things about Trump is that he relentlessly and rapidly moves the news agenda on so that critics and impartial observers are unable to detail his failure, corruption, etc.
There's no criticism of Trump for swallowing Putin's lies about the attack that never happened on Putin's Novgorod Palace, that acted to derail any pressure on Putin for refusing a peace deal, because he forced us to rapidly move on to the abduction of Maduro, his supposed control of Venezuela, his desire to annex Greenland, etc.
For a normal politician, who tries to move the news agenda on by announcing a new policy on school meals, the tactic doesn't work so well, because the attempted distraction can either be ignored, or dealt with briefly (food is good). But Trump doesn't do half measures. Talking about invading the territory of a supposed NATO ally is not something you can brush off in order to concentrate on the previous news story. And so he escapes scrutiny.
Compared with the 2024 GE, the poll indicates (if you want a cheap laugh on a Wednesday morning):
Reform: 26% (+11)
Conservative: 21% (-5)
Labour: 18% (-16)
Liberal Democrat: 17% (+4)
Greens: 16% (+9)
Independents & Others: 2% (-3)
When did they last show any sign of exercising their constitutional powers against Trump ?
If the this officer had done the same (a) I doubt she would have been prosecuted (not in the public interest to prosecute anyone, let alone a police officer, reporting a crime) and (b) she would have had a s.160(2)(c) defence anyway.
On the Yougov numbers though it would be a hung parliament
They now have the worlds largest hydrocarbons resource in Venezuela (albeit, I doubt the dumb fucks in the White House appreciated it is as mobile as boot polish before they went in).
Roughly 85% are Inuit - Danes make up most of the rest with very small numbers from other nationalities. To offer each of them $1 million would equal $60 billion - now, I got told off a couple of days ago for suggesting £2 billion for the British economy is a drop in the ocean - from a Conservative supporter by the way, whose perspective is strange given his party wasted £300 billion during Covid but that's different apparently. For the American economy, $60 billion is very little and easily affordable.
If you come across any such images online though as long as you did not request them, notify police and delete them you will not be convicted
Never mind, if it makes you feel better...
I'm reminded of the Resource Wars in Fallout - is the 21st century going to be about resources (the 20th Century was as well to an extent)? Will we end up fighting for oil, water, wind - anything from which we can gain control of our own energy supply and deny it to our opponents?
A dozen or so GOP members of Congress have already decided to step down rather than resist Trump.