Labour v. The Greens – politicalbetting.com
Labour v. The Greens – politicalbetting.com
Ladbrokes have a market up on who will the most seats out of Labour and the Greens at the next general election, my initial thought is that I’m not backing either side.
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https://www.youtube.com/shorts/zMmjKRettxA
https://x.com/user84848384/status/1989101967613071489?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Showing my age with that big over round
I think Eze has just been a good sportsman there crediting Foden but should have really pushed back.
clip: https://youtu.be/dO-pY4pNWEg?si=yJUp-gmYDnTVF3n0&t=367
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/live/c2319djp94et
I still remember Raheem Sterling pointing out how the media cover young white players buying houses and young black players buying houses.
Streeting won’t budge. Good for him.
Meanwhile the Russians hit nearly a dozen apartment blocks in Kyiv.
Russia must lose and be seen to lose.
Do papers still do,those dream league things ? Assists count in that too.
Would the Budget chaos have anything to do with this?
12 days to go! 👿
Pro tip, if you ever go see him live do not heckle or engage with him, he will rip the piss out of you, and if you're really lucky, you'll make it onto the edit of the TV show/DVD/Blu-ray.
On a similar subject, from last week's Popbitch.
Frank Skinner’s Manchester show went a tad awry this week when he did a routine about no longer being in the Top 10 list of most famous comedians.
He comforted himself by asking: “Well, who’s the most famous GP?” Cue gasps of horror from the audience, and someone shouting back “Harold Shipman killed my mother and father”, before spending the rest of the gig sobbing in her seat.
We’re not sure Frank handled the heckling very well. “Well, how was I supposed to know that?” he asked the crying woman. To which another audience member helpfully provided: “You’re in Manchester!”
A cautionary tale in reading the room - and perhaps editing your sets geographically.
On the front lines the action is in the town of Pokrovsk, with the Russians sending tens of thousands of men there in the last few days, most of whom meet an unfortunate fate.
FPT:
Oil pipeline terminal in Novorossiysk, with a bit of a smoking problem.
https://x.com/tendar/status/1989110149127238095
https://x.com/jayinkyiv/status/1989196881931694280
https://x.com/bohuslavskakate/status/1989121637367836967
Also a military facility in the same city, probably air defences and ammunition.
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1989146396256334302
https://x.com/tendar/status/1989124320598073606
The Russians, meanwhile, well they’re bombing apartment blocks in Kyiv.
https://x.com/bohuslavskakate/status/1989122025143824804
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/14/ukraine-war-briefing-flamingo-flies-into-battle-zelenskyy-defers-to-commanders-over-pokrovsk?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
Of course, a critic of Starmer couldn’t have been taken seriously if they criticised him for not winning a huge majority well enough, but the huge majority was a kind of illusion; they didn’t really win by much.
Was there any need for the ming vase strategy? They had an open goal anyway, they could have done what they wanted. As it is, the victory margins were often so shallow that it’s left the govt too scared to do anything, despite being gifted an amount of power far in excess of what the underlying numbers say they deserved
I’d compare it a football team winning the league with 60 points. Most seasons that would be failure, but if all the other sides fail worse, you’re left as Champions and in the UCL. The right thing to do is surely to acknowledge your luck, then double down by absolutely going for it in the transfer window with the money you’ve gained. Instead, Starmer has decided it wasn’t luck, that they were popular, and the triangulation should continue
Jimmy Carr does more than 250 live shows a year all over the world, and is one of few British comics to properly conquer the US standup market.
Good morning, everyone.
Polanski's populist radicalism may well attract young Corbynites but will repel in equal measure middle-aged small-c conservatives whose only interest in Greenery is the preservation of their green belt.
That's a big deal.
Only thing to disagree with there is on Ticketmaster, I know someone who worked for them, despite all their protestations of innocence back then a % of tickets were retained for sale on the "secondary market".
1) Theresa May had an open goal in 2017 and thought she'd - laudably, in my view - use it to come up with a solution to funding adult social care, and look where that got her. Meanwhile, it was a strategy nit so very removed from Ming Vase which led to the 1997 landslide. While I agree with your point I can understand Labour's reticence.
2) One of my many, many gripes with football is the way you can just buy someone else's players. That's not sport, surely? "We won the league!" "What do you put that down to?" "We bought all the other clubs' best players." It's not really 'we', then, is it? People in football seem so firmly embedded in this culture that they don't appear to see the absurdity of this.
When Nottingham Forest won the league, they may have aquired a handful, but half the team were those who'd been playing in Division 2 the previous year.
I appreciate this is incidental to your point.
If you use channel4.com as a catch-up service to stream later, then no licence is needed. Basically, for any channel, if you watch it as it is broadcast, you need a licence, but if you only stream it on a non-live catch-up basis, you do not. The exception is you need a licence for BBC iplayer at all times, whether live or catch-up. The anomaly for iplayer was introduced by the Conservative government in its time off from running referenda.
This lady, Vicky, is going to be in her forties now, possibly with a husband and kids watching her video from two decades ago.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCGg1AlcIZI
https://bsky.app/profile/greenelects.world/post/3m5koek7zmc2x
One under remarked feature of shire politics is that there's quite a strong rural radical vote still. In true blue Huntingdon Corbyn got 31% in 2017 GE and 22% in 2019. In a multiparty contest 31% could take such a seat, depending on how the vote splits elsewhere.
Three and a half years after Operation Barbarossa started, the Red Army was closing on Berlin.
Three and a half years after the SMO began, Russia has advanced 20 miles into the Donbass.
Megyn Kelly: "I know somebody very close to this case…Jeffrey Epstein, in this person's view, was not a pedophile…He was into the barely legal type, like he liked 15 year old girls…He wasn't into like 8 year olds…There's a difference between a 15 year old and a 5 year old."
https://x.com/AccountableGOP/status/1989014083274952746
Jeremy Corbyn by contrast is on -7% with 2024 Labour voters but +24% with Green voters, so I think the Greens are more likely to prevent Your Party from taking off than really threatening to overtake Labour
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_Favourability_251014.pdf
Eye of the beholder, I guess.
All it means is that Russia would gain another pile of rubble, at a cost of thousands of lives, before having to repeat the exercise.
The Saudis and OPEC have decided to pump like crazy to take out Russia, which is great news for pretty much everyone expect Putin and the US shale producers.
I can also see why Labour did what they did. If they’d been bolder and lost, people would have slaughtered them, but reality has shown that the grass isn’t always greener. Had they been bold and lost they’d have ruminated about how a large majority won by a ming vase approach would have given licence to radically change the country, but it’s not been the case
The broader point about the negatives of the ‘Ming Vase’ strategy is certainly valid, however
Then one guy said ‘Jimmy Carr’.
What she said is wrong
15 year old girls are not legal, barely or otherwise, in any US state
As far as the bubble is concerned, no one has much of an idea which, or how many of the players will actually make serous returns on their investment.
Not a few won't at all.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15289831/Lord-Mandelson-caught-relieving-garden-wall-visit-George-Osborne-Notting-Hill.html
Based on the new evidence and reporting
@DAGToddBlanche got Maxwell to record a video pretending to clear Donald Trump when the Dept of Justice had emails that PROVED she LIED UNDER OATH to him
https://x.com/donwinslow/status/1988835935014760887
The terrifying part of this is not just a repeat of the dotcom failure (inflated prices based on unrealistic future revenue) but that most of the real investment in new data centres is being financed using the sub-prime mortgage model.
Two epic failure modes for the price of one...
Besides, its a convoluted area but I believe the law is pretty clear that under-18s can't give consent if money is involved. If someone else paid the money, I do not believe that changes the age of consent back down to 16, since consent can't be given.
Again though, IANAL.
Sorry, I meant 'hilarious'.
15 year olds aren't barely legal. They're patently illegal.
She is however correct that there’s a difference between paedophiles and pederasts, even though both are illegal and obviously wrong.
Overwhelmingly the desire was to kick out the Tories, and not much more than that. That seems to have boomeranged back on Labour and they are going to get a pasting next time. Theres no love of the Tories still, so it will be other parties that benefit from the backlash, mostly but not exclusively Reform.
*that Ming Vase is now a White Elephant, a gift that bankrupts the holder.
Disappointing news if it is confirmed Starmer and Reeves have backed away from income tax rises in the Budget.
The obvious conclusions from this are a) the onus will be more on spending cuts to try to reverse the deficit which will please many on here and b) it's very likely we'll be back here having the same discussion in twelve months when borrowing remaind stubbornly high.
Clearly, the argument tax rises would choke off any signs of returning business and consumer confidence has won the day and I get that but the idea now must be to try to slow the borrowing train and unless Reeves does something radical on property taxation (the signs aren't encouraging), it will be as much an admission economically the country is unmanageable since the economic decisions can't be taken for political reasons (though if your party is polling around or below 20%, there's another question).
@isam, who, it's fair to say, is no friend of Starmer, Reeves or the Labour Government, makes the compelling point big victories should allow incoming Governments to be radical but that's not the case, more often than not. The Attlee example isn't valid because of the unique circumstances of 1945 - Thatcher's Government saved its real radicalism for the second term and Blair did little or nothing with his 1997 landslide and any thoughts of radicalism in the second term were disrupted by events elsewhere.
You could perhaps argue Boris Johnson might have been a radical Prime Minister had it not been for the pandemic but talking radical and doing radical are very different things.
Counter intuitively, it's often Governments with small majorities, who know time isn't on their side, who are often the most radical and the most united.
Of course things might change in the next three years but a choice that involves Starmer Baddenoch or Farage in any configuration must give Zak a chance
Megyn Kelly in 2018: " There's no consenting for a 14 or even a 17 year old."
Megyn Kelly today: "Jeffrey Epstein…was not a pedophile…He was into the barely legal type, like he liked 15 year old girls…There's a difference between a 15 year old and a 5 year old."
https://x.com/AccountableGOP/status/1989166977676636601?s=20
Given it’s fiscally impossible to reduce the tax, burden, right now, a competent government could at least simplify taxation.
Why not go for an annual property tax, in return for abolishing Council Tax and IHT?
NI is much worse than income tax, it is a tax only on those working for a living.
Paedophilia is a sexual attraction to pre-pubescent children.
Pederasty is a sexual attraction to teenagers.
British law discriminates between the two, having sex with a girl under 13 is specifically a different and more serious offence than having sex with a girl under 16.
Epstein was likely most attracted to collecting blackmail material on those who visited his island, he wanted 15 year olds dressed up to look like 19 year olds.
Changing PM without a GE is a bit like defectors not holding a by election really. Don’t like it myself
The thread header simply shows how bizarre our politics have become
Starmer and Reeves are hopeless, bending to every criticism and cowardly opting out of the right thing to do in favour of their desire for their perceived popularity which in itself is plainly on the floor
Predictably bond rates are not impressed
Personally I’d be looking at a more, shall we say, Al Capone style resolution.