Reform voters are going to hell – politicalbetting.com
Reform voters are going to hell – politicalbetting.com
Some people complain there’s too much polling in this life, but what is voting intention in the after life? Reform leads among both those who think they’d go to heaven & those who think they’d go to hell. Though their lead grows from 6 to 20 among (self selected) denizens of hell
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Oh, and you are going to be reborn in Samsara unless you attain enlightenment.
Regardless of how you vote or how much you earn.
Voters at all incomes think they are mainly going to heaven, albeit middle income earners less sure. For Christians it is love of money not hard earned money and savings that is the problem, as long as you support charities, pay your taxes and help the poor even the rich can get to heaven
Market is as thin as an anorexic tapeworm
Though the really interesting figure there is the way that Reform voters are 3 times more likely to think that they are going to the Bad Place as Conservative voters. A consequence of ghastly centrists telling them what awful people they are all the time? A world-weary cynicism that anything can ever get better?
Apart from the enormously expanded role of all kinds of drones (which will be essential on any conceivable battlefield), the use and utility of armour has been greatly reduced.
And the new systems which the UK is procuring are particularly unsuited to the new warfare.
Speed and manoeuvrability (and recoverability, repairability and ease of maintenance), are now far more important than better armour or increased firepower.
IOW, Challenger 3 and Ajax should probably be curtailed as soon as possible, and the funding put into more effective systems.
Emergent Approaches to Combined Arms Manoeuvre in Ukraine
https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/insights-papers/emergent-approaches-combined-arms-manoeuvre-ukraine
It will also mean completely retraining our army.
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/11/29/hell/
It turns out that he was visiting the mosque in Peacehaven that suffered an arson attack recently.
Good on him.
https://www.biodiversitylibrary.org/
https://about.biodiversitylibrary.org/about/future-of-bhl/
The way the world is going. There is something called Biodiversity Heritage Library which is a brilliant cooperative scheme to make as much natural science information and publications accessible online for free globally as possible, focussing on biodiversity but with lots of spinoffs e.g. whole runs of journals. It's enormously useful. "The world’s largest open access digital library for biodiversity literature and archives." So for instance if you want to find an 1839 dinosaur paper published in the British Association Annual Report, they're your helpers. LIkewise a 1906 paper on Dorset spiders (and in the same journal the Cerne Cartulary). For taxonomists without access to university libraries, and many with access, it's great.
It was based at the Smithsonian Institution. A small staff and the servers. Supported also by Internet Archive and AWS. A major way for the Smithsonian to fulfil its mission, one would think.
Now the Smithsonian some months back decided to pull the plug. Gave a year's notice, wef 1 January 2026, to be fair. BHL don't say what reaons if any were given. But it is having to leave, and to set up a new and independent arrangement, based more on private donations. I've just sent them something.
It's about time that the moderators focused on the real criminals rather than those posting harmless nonsense.
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1981381039185449420
Quite a bit of it still applies; some really doesn't.
We should probably reassess our long range stuff, both artillery and missiles, too.
There's a lot of detail in Watling's piece, some of it only relevant to Ukraine, but the broad outlines have a lot of grim logic to them.
Top Republicans warned that air-traffic controllers would miss their paychecks next week due to the government shutdown, saying there would be no last-minute reprieve
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/air-traffic-controllers-paychecks-government-shutdown-e94ffa5c?mod=e2tw
Heaven would be absolute hell.
(PS Evening all)
https://youtu.be/qB0ZOu_EZ2M?si=7xYkhKKgTPxmXTZw&t=164
Lam, who is seen as a rising Tory star, said last weekend she believed “a large number of people” living legally in the UK should have their right to stay revoked and “go home”. “What that will leave is a mostly but not entirely culturally coherent group of people,” she told the Sunday Times.
Her remarks have triggered alarm among Tory MPs. “If we are using phrases like that, we need to explain what they mean,” one said. “‘Culturally coherent’: it’s either dog-whistle or it’s so vague it’s meaningless.
“‘Go home’ is a chant used by people who are bigoted or racist – so we have to be very careful when using phrases like ‘go home’, when talking in particular about legal migration. Politicians, especially ones who aspire to be in leadership frontline roles, should use language that is appropriate.”
A senior Tory said: “All this time Lam has been seen as number two to Robert Jenrick. That seems to have shifted post-conference where it looks like she’s now trying to take his spot on the hard right of the party. In trying to do so she has upset a lot of colleagues.
“This is what happens when you are new to the party and don’t really understand what it is about. There is a line but she has gone so far past it, it is just a dot to her.”
Keir Starmer vehemently condemned Lam’s comments on Thursday, saying: “I can’t tell you how much I disagree with her.”
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/23/conservatives-complain-to-whips-about-fellow-mps-comments-on-legally-settled-people
Reeves considers breaking manifesto pledge with income tax rise to fill £30bn gap
Exclusive: Treasury discussions include possibly adding 1p to basic rate or raising higher or additional tax rates
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2025/oct/23/rachel-reeves-is-considering-raising-income-tax-to-reduce-deficit-sources-say
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mB3eSud1_Cs
Jesus looked at them and said, “With man this is impossible, but with God all things are possible.”
"I tell you, use worldly wealth to gain friends for yourselves, so that when it is gone, you will be welcomed into eternal dwellings." Luke 16 9
Missiles, ditto.
Also the long lead stuff (next gen aircraft) needs funding now.
It's some of the big ticket items of dubious utility (Challenger and Ajax are excellent examples, as are, arguably, some large surface ships) that need very close scrutiny.
More likely is increasing the additional rate for the highest earners back to 50p in the pound if earn over £125k
This pitch should have been rolled for months. Reeves and Starmer are utterly useless.
Was AI having a joke?
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3m3uwoemyzh2i
Reeves and Starmer have a comfortable Labour majority in Parliament by contrast
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7jA3PLbBYM
Starmer has to go bandwagon getting going again.
Imagine an endless cycle of "Your Man Is Crap But Will Be PM" midterm polls followed by inevitable swingback against you, forever...
... Remind me, what bad thing did we do in a previous life?
Some might even go Reform if they like low immigration with their low taxes
And that's just one of eight worlds that make up the universe
Jury is out on that.
Unless he was another who thought just being Labour was the silver bullet.
That is behaviour that attracts the greatest amount of opprobrium these days isn't it?
IIRC, this lord had repeatedly committed adultery with his own mother.
Politically it might be better to do that as you broke your manifesto commitments but then gave a surprise NI cut .
I still think this is kite flying and Reeves will cobble together other hikes that won’t break the manifesto pledge ,
*a bunch of convicts formed a social democracy. With a mammal that lays eggs, has a ducks bill and poisoned thumbs as a national mascot. Black fucking swans???!!!?
@allenanalysis
Mark Carney just said the quiet part out loud.
Canada’s decades-long economic reliance on the United States is now a vulnerability; not a strength. The so-called partnership that once fueled growth has turned into a leash.
Carney’s message wasn’t subtle: America’s instability is now a national risk. Canada needs to insulate itself, trade beyond its shadow, and rebuild a system that doesn’t collapse every time Washington elects chaos.
For the first time in decades, Ottawa isn’t just hedging, it’s preparing to stand alone.
https://x.com/allenanalysis/status/1981337482768576591
I can’t see them doing it, myself. They will continue to try and raise the revenue through all these creative wheezes that have all sorts of bad knock-on effects and concentrate opposition, but that allow them to stand by their silly pledge.
Spencer Hakimian
@SpencerHakimian
BREAKING: Nancy Pelosi says local authorities may arrest federal agents if they break California law, and if they are convicted, President Trump cannot pardon them.
They have a plan, it will be revealed nearer the time he says but it involves contesting the meaning of the wording of the amendment's "terms". So presumably SCOTUS will be asked to rule on things like whether it meant consecutive or what "elected" means.
Spencer Hakimian
@SpencerHakimian
Steve Bannon: “Well he’s gonna get a third term.
https://x.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1981432900273807392
It should be a step towards merging Employee NI and income tax. But I think easier to do piecemeal.
Otherwise, once the midterms are done with, there’s a strong chance that they run for the proverbial hills & repudiate Trump knowing that nobody who follows him will be able to whip up the MAGA vote in the way that Trump can against them.
That doesnt mean that Trump won’t try to retain power in some way. Through a proxy seems to be most likely to me. Or he could try to run as VP and argue the constitution allows him to succeed to the presidency on a vacancy, which is less clearly prohibited.
I'd have settled for moderately competent stab at making a start to address our problems.
That is a couple of decades' project.