Will an Ayrshire hotelier win the 2026 Nobel peace prize? – politicalbetting.com
Will an Ayrshire hotelier win the 2026 Nobel peace prize? – politicalbetting.com
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize? Our odds give him a 33% chance of winning it next yearNo – 4/11 Yes – 2/1 https://t.co/DK44q0IqyU#NobelPeacePrize pic.twitter.com/QK8yqkrUWw
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I'd not be inclined to tie my money up that long but if the peace holds he has a good chance.
Hamas seems to be openly re-establishing itself as the rulers of the Gaza rubble, and that doesn't bode well for real peace.
A two state solution looks as far away as ever.
If he wins he is an Aberdeenshire hotelier
So what’s this story of an anti-war demonstration in… St. Petersberg?
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1978171447290798513
As in % shares and data?
I am about to cancel my membership of American Express, ban this sick filth.
F1 introduces pre-race ‘half time’ show with ‘Grid Gigs’ concept
At this weekend’s United States Grand Prix, the pre-race build-up will feature a “pre-race opening show” courtesy of American Express.
Ahead of lights out at Circuit of The Americas this weekend, country music artist Drake Milligan will perform on the grid as cars begin to leave their garages for their sighting laps.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/cars/news/f1-introduces-pre-race-half-time-show-with-grid-gigs-concept/ar-AA1Osd2E?ocid=msedgntp&pc=ASTS&cvid=68ee8d5ddecd4dd993ed69807ca0c9c2&ei=52
Hand the man his bauble.
This is the article but not sure if it is pay walled
How Reform would crush all before them if election was now
https://newspaper.mailplus.co.uk/data/6778/reader/reader.html?social#!preferred/0/package/6778/pub/23069/page/2/content/1070139
And it didn't matter when they could avoid it now the impact of war is too close for comfort...
When other people are affected, it's a necessary and potentially even good thing for the state. When it affects oneself...
How much would a poll like this cost to produce? How does that compare with a page of proper news?
Place it in the round filing cabinet.
To be fair, I never watch any pre-race bullshit like that anyway, so it wouldn't affect my viewing experience. But coming after the race where Sainz overtaking a quarter of the field was ignored in favour of pretty women in garages it's not the best look.
“Disarmament is going to be the big thing,” says the former official. “It’s easy to do a token disarmament but real disarmament is what would change the mood of Hamas from passive acceptance to active resistance.”
If Hamas is dragged into a gang war, Gaza risks descending into anarchy
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/10/14/the-gangs-of-gaza-are-coming-for-hamas
Better than not winding back, and to be taken as a good thing, but a long long way from a stable solution.
The Mail has become notably more pro-Reform of late, roughly in proportion to the number of anti-immigrant stories that it's running, so this is also part of a propaganda exercise. They're somewhat losing hope of a Tory revival, and the Rothermeres have form in thinking the far-right can be useful.
Oh well, never mind.
I see no realistic prospect of Hamas giving up effective control of Gaza. Even if they feign disarmament and allow international peacekeepers to come in, they'll be intimidated and bought into tacitly facilitating Hamas.
That's not to say they don't want an end to the fighting for the foreseeable future. But let's not pretend this will be the start of a peacefully led Gaza. It still makes it the least bad option on the table.
And no announcement from Trump two days before the bloody nobel announcement.
Trump’s so-called ‘peace plan’ is a farce. It is inconsistent with international law and human rights protections.
Our Government should unequivocally condemn it because it will cause even more suffering for the Palestinian people who have already endured so much.
https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/1222441947861864449?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
François Valentin
@Valen10Francois
Reminder that a majority of French people want a retirement age at... 60.
The French electorate and its delusion are crucial players in the current mess
https://x.com/Valen10Francois/status/1978112457588519023
13 seems feasible for Your Party. 5 Gaza independents, Zarah Sultana, plus a couple of seats each in Tower Hamlets and Birmingham, Ilford North, Luton South, Bradford West.
On the header, my first thought is that is not really a deal; this remains something that was set up without one of the two parties being involved, and with none of the items needed for a long term settlement defined. So I don't see it lasting, especially as the genocide on Netanyahu's instructions on one side, and the original Hamas attack on the other, have wired in another 50+ years of struggle.
The only secure peace will be when both sides have a secure home, and accept such a home existing for the other.
If Trump maintains it and successfully builds a wider peace over the next 3 years, consider a NPP for Trump in 2028.
I think it's safe to say that we can take this MRP with a pinch of salt. I distrust any agency with that has its fingers in that many pies across that many sectors of industry via that many companies. Dreams of being Saatchi but on a B&M budget.
Daily Mail story as factual as ever. They think Angela Smith is one of those whose seat is safe from Reform. Who's going to tell them...?
No TV
Ref 33
Lab 19
Con 16
LD 11
Grn 9
YP 5
SNP 3
With TV
Ref 36
Lab 21
Con 15
LD 10
Grn 7
YP 4
SNP 3
It was conducted by Find Out Now a month ago, EC running the with tactical voting seats as the headline
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_vipoll_20251015.html
https://x.com/jayinkyiv/status/1978360099878908363
Looks like there’s now no storage left, at the largest export terminal under Russian control.
Oh well, so sad, too bad, never mind…
Well, the data collection anyway
Boris basically saying the treasury pushed for what has become known as the ‘Boriswave’ because of inflationary wage pressures.
In other words, net migration of 900k in one year to stop wage growth.
https://x.com/aaronbastani/status/1978082407094894917?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Debt/GDP is around 100% in most developed countries, and with interest rates around 5% that’s 5% of GDP just on the debt interest.
Add to the demographic time bomb and increasing life expectancy, and it’s unrealistic to be retiring at 65, let alone 60.
Ref 30 (-3)
Lab 22 (+2)
Con 20 (+1)
LD 15 (+1)
Grn 9 (+1)
SNP 3 (=)
Oth 2 (-1)
Crazy
Maybe I’m an optimist, who knows.
I cannot say it is a term I have come across before.
@Leon , anyone ?
Reform 346, Labour 128, LDs 66. Cons 49 and SNP 28
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=N&CON=20&LAB=22&LIB=15&Reform=30&Green=9&UKIP=&TVCON=100&TVLAB=100&TVLIB=100&TVReform=100&TVGreen=100&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTReform=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2024base
Build like crazy, encourage business through low taxes, and increase immigration.
BUT, and this is the key point, the immigrants need to be on time-limited employment visas, not accruing state pensions, and not entitled to any public funds, otherwise you’re just adding to the Ponzi scheme.
Oh, and the houses and infrastructure need to be built before the immigration, for blindingly obvious reasons.
I'm all for boosting wages at the bottom, particularly given our exceptionally high rates of in-work poverty. But that has to take place gradually and you have to give businesses time to plan around it.
Beta = lower status male, as opposed to alpha; wimpy, uses oat milk and eats vegan scones at NT cafes as opposed to raw steaks
Cuck = cuckoo = allusion to the beta status male's wife being rogered by alpha males, I believe, with ensuing illegitimate offspring (yes, yes, I know, but those of a certain tendency probably don't spend their weekends birdwatching, or at least watching the feathered variety)
It's a very nasty insult when used in person.
It's not a long term solution, any more than that was, though clearly there's a bit more chance of the ceasefire holding for a while.
'Find out Now interviewed 7449 people' (from data tables on EC)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjek274q99xo
The support for Your Party, such that it is, will likely be concentrated in urban areas, and so might well win a bunch of seats on a low national vote share - particularly if Labour are below 20% nationally themselves.
That was when Starmer was still Corbyn's best friend who would never betray the far left Labour membership.
You'll be saying that he's the most cynically dishonest politician in living memory with no courage, integrity or principles next.
It's not so much what it will cost in a single year, so much as its unsustainability in future years.
Until a government has the courage to scrap it, it makes future spending projections steadily worse.
But I can't get behind the increasing tendency to add entertainment to something which is entertaining to start with. Usually a completely different sort of entertainment.
At best, the additional entertainment is superfluous; at worst, its annoying. My bet is that even the blandest and most mainstream of music would alienate more Formula 1 fans than it would enthuse.
I remember a decade or so back going to see Lancashire v Yorkshire in the T20. The 90s indie band Cast* were playing in the car park on the way out. I didn't know they'd be there. I actually quite like Cast*. But I was there for the cricket. Live 90s indie music wasn't on my agenda. I filed past them, along with everyone else. I felt quite sorry for them.
*It may have been Dodgy, not Cast. Always get those two confused.
It's nonsense of course as we are not baboons, but an insult very often used by the hyper-online right as it fits their macho and misogynistic worldview. It's a bit ironic really that the Christian Evangelical right thinks we are monkeys.
https://leftfootforward.org/2025/10/nobel-committee-chair-roasts-trump-we-only-give-the-award-to-people-of-courage-and-integrity/#google_vignette
Depends on whether the IMF insists on it when they get called in. Quite a high chance then...
He was the PM, and he is trying to blame parts of his own Government that he failed to control? WTF? (Did I miss something.)
It's more of a squirrel, which is Boris all over. Take responsibility for myself? Who? ME? Why?
Every time he is exposed, or may be exposed, on something, he goes on a bear hunt for excuses, or runs away, or launches an attack on somebody else.
We saw it when he ran away from Parliament, and attacked the investigators, the investigation, and left Parliament like a crooked policeman seeking refuge in retirement.
And we saw it again in the last few days when he has been found out by the Advisory Committee on Business Appointments for breaking the rules for former PMs:
https://www.civilserviceworld.com/professions/article/boris-johnson-breaches-lobbying-rules-for-third-time
Unfortunately, in true British Government style, there are no meaningful consequences.
That will make it much easier for them to recruit new fighters.
You will not get rid of Hamas while Netanyahu leads Israel.
Functionally, it doesn't really mean anything more than that.
There should be a Nobel Prize for an outstanding contribution to the ammunition industry by increasing wars and production volume; Trump would be a shoo-in for that one.
It's as though someone else was PM.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/09/norway-braces-for-trumps-reaction-if-he-does-not-win-nobel-peace-prize
Many over-68s are perfectly capable of working so why should they be paid £12k a year to sit around doing nothing? We have far too many entitled layabouts in this country as it is. A relative of mine just retired at 79 and one of his colleagues famously was still working at 105 (!).
Pensions should be merged with incapacity benefit and the rules tightened up. People should only qualify once old age makes them genuinely incapable of working, not just too lazy to work, any more.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/13/eform-uk-abandoning-manifesto-pledge-tax-cuts-deputy-leader-admits
It should be pointed out though the state pension is now significantly below minimum wage, so if you don't means test it a lot of poor pensioners who have no significant private pension would be hit by scrapping the triple lock if they rely on the state pension
But it was for the PM and government to decide, the Treasury etc merely lay out the options and consequences for ministers to choose.
Boris just demonstrates his cowardice with this as an excuse.
But you're right that it's now a word largely divorced from any substantive meaning.
It should have been obvious that Trump wouldn't win it this year, and it's in no way a judgement on what he did or did not achieve, or any supposed bias on the part of the committee.
Do we even know if he was nominated before the deadline?
Announce now that if the peace in Gaza holds until next October then Trump will be the winner of the prize in 2026.
And then take it a step further and announce that if the peace results in a two state solution and that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has finished by October 2027, then Trump will become the first person to win the Nobel Peace Prize twice.
Trump is a transactional President and they have the thing in the world he covets most at the moment. Charge him!
And of course Ardeer in Ayrshire was where Nobel set up a major explosives and propellant works. Closed now, but it was enormous.
Oy Vey..
Why people listen to these politicians on the right who simply cannot be honest about immigration I don't know.