I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
Given Labour’s current polling figures I cannot see why Labour, with a majority north of 150, would want to call an election this year or next year, I expect Starmer and Labour to go long and hold the election in 2029.
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A: A pig with a knife.
Could Aaron Ramsdale cause a shock election result ?
Although it is enlightening to see who is demanding a "second vote".
Putinists might be outraged at the damage, however screw them.
The named individuals should be getting awarded medals for a job well done.
The isle of Wight Ferry
And the political situation was a bit shit, too.
You weren't alone. The BBC missed it too.
The Home Office and owners of the Bell Hotel in Essex are appealing against last week’s temporary injunction granted to Epping Forest district council, ordering its closure as asylum accommodation.
In documents submitted to the court, Home Office lawyers said: “Epping represents the public interest that subsists in planning control in its local area.
The [Home Secretary] is taken for these purposes as representing the public interest of the entirety of the United Kingdom and discharging obligations conferred on her alone by Parliament.
“Epping’s interest in enforcement of planning control is important and in the public interest.
“However, the [Home Secretary’s] statutory duty is a manifestation of the United Kingdom’s obligations under Article 3 ECHR [European Convention on Human Rights], which establishes non derogable fundamental human rights.”
They’re talking about local planning v national interest . Which is blatantly obvious for those that can read and don’t have an agenda.
It may be in the national interest that the government can housecasylum seekers, but I don't see why it has to be in a particular hotel in Epping.
Surely just increasing the income tax % on rental income would be the sensible action?
It's declared on the tax return already (or should be), so easy enough to do.
Are they trying to tax allowable costs as well?
How does this work for landlords who are over the state pension age and NI exempt?
Regardless of case for increasing tax on rental income, this would have to be the stupidest means of doing it.
Which also happens to be the government's policy aim.
Just a pair of Welsh Dragon flags adorning the M4 at Pontardulais today.
A pretty poor show Wales to be honest, particularly after the West Midlands had smashed flags out of the park yesterday.
SWAT team arrives 5 years too late and ransacks house searching for previous owner.
Only in Las Vegas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VaOpY3cmGzs
A new policy for Nigel?
Remember this is the same government that lied about Afghanistan and then put a super injunction to hide their lies. They’re now claiming it is “social media disinformation” that is fuelling the protests
It’s not fecking disinformation. There have been rapes and murders by asylum seekers across the country. This is not disputed. There is an ongoing case of an Epping asylum seeker, involving a 14 year old local girl, right now
How is that “disinformation”?
"Israeli forces land at former air-defence base near Syrian capital"
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/aug/28/israeli-forces-former-air-defence-base-southern-syria-damascus
Win or lose it’s a disaster
In trying to win the appeal against the asylum hotel closure/injunction the lawyers are making very lawyerly arguments which may succeed but in doing so they are writing headlines for the next few months that will push Reform's vote share up into the mid 30s.
Saying out loud on behalf of the government that due to article whatever of some international convention the rights of asylum seekers override the rights of local people is a fucking disaster for the government and the Labour party. It may be legally correct but saying it out loud and telling the voters and taxpayers that they rate lower for the state than asylum seekers feeds into the already existing memes about two tier Kier.
Absolute fucking disaster for the government even if it wins them the legal case. Talk about a scorched earth strategy, did no one with any political sense tell them that it's better to lose than to go into a very high profile court case and win by saying asylum seekers have a higher claim to rights then citizens. Wtf were they thinking.
Or will this be even bigger than Chagos?
We've moved on from asylum seeker hotels. Starmer redeployed his PPS today. That is today's scandal.
If anything, that's less than usual.
(Edit: I mean in that there's nothing wrong with it and you shouldn't assume that there are ulterior motives).
“Man denies raping girl, 12, in Nuneaton in case that prompted anti-asylum protests
“A man has pleaded not guilty to raping a 12-year-old girl in Nuneaton while another man has denied strangling her, in a case that prompted anti-asylum protests in the town.
“Ahmad Mulakhil and Mohammad Kabir, both 23, are accused of abducting and assaulting the child in the Warwickshire town on 22 July. The defendants denied nine charges between them at a plea hearing at Warwick crown court on Thursday.
Mulakhil, of no fixed abode, denied abducting a child, three counts of rape of a child under 13, and two counts of sexual assault of a child under 13. Kabir, also of no fixed abode, pleaded not guilty to attempting to take a child, aiding and abetting rape of a child under 13, and intentional strangulation of the girl.”
Literally, today. In today’s Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/aug/28/man-denies-raping-girl-nuneaton-anti-asylum-protests
https://tinyurl.com/yv9ubymu
https://bsky.app/profile/bestforbritain.org/post/3lxhjm3qd5s2s
Actually, I think Leon is right in that crystallises the issue into a single bitesize topic. I don't think the government have much choice but to take this case given the wider implications of losing it, and I believe strongly in application of the law etc etc, but it's a brutal symptom of an issue they were left with by the Conservatives and have so far been unable to find a solution.
What's mad is that even Reform are being eaten by it with their mad Taliban Tax thing. It's like a political black hole.
There is a very small chance of a 2027 vote, but I only really see that happening if Starmer has fallen on his sword and someone tries a Theresa May gambit.
2028 is probably value. A third of elections since 1979 were held in the fourth year of a parliament (though generally when the government thought they had a good chance of winning them).
Bet accordingly.
Merging NI with Income Tax would be my preferred solution, but applying NI to unearned incomes like rental incomes is a close second.
And for the benefit of HYUFD that NI could be hypothecated.
Since July 24 Starmer has promised to smash the gangs and Farage has arrived on the scene leading all the news media with deportations and ending the boats issue
These are todays topics that lead the narrative and Starmer doesn’t seem to have a clue how to deal with the issue
Find Out Now voting intention:
🟦 Reform UK: 34% (+1)
🔴 Labour: 18% (-)
🔵 Conservatives: 15% (-2)
🟠 Lib Dems: 13% (+1)
🟢 Greens: 10% (-)
Changes from 20th August
[Find Out Now, 27th August, N=2,538]
Suboptimal for Lab and Con
I disagreed with you, honestly and sincerely, for your spouting pro Putin arguments like that Ukrainians should be punished for blowing up Russian infrastructure like Nordstream.
That is not a troll, it is a sincere belief.
You swore at me which is why you were sinbinned. I've not sworn at you, even if you dislike your Putinist arguments getting called out.
If everyone who disagreed with someone else got banned, there'd be no users here. Except @TridentSubCommander
Does anyone want to hear about my lovely hike in the “Tuscany of Austria”?
https://bsky.app/profile/bestforbritain.org/post/3lxhltxay5c2s
His friend would discuss the events in detail back in the day.
Not sure that ignoring the law is something we want governments to be in the habit of doing.
Implement domestic law, yes. International ones should be subservient to Parliamentary laws.
Government should change not break domestic laws, but international ones aren't subject to Parliamentary amendments which is why they should never be conflated with actual, domestic laws.
Or perhaps, white supremacy. I am not entirely sure...
He's got to come back to the pack soon hasn't he?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBUEMV15oHk
Nice knowing you, Toppers.
But I thought that Sunak would hold on until the Autumn or even the Winter last year.
Callaghan was forced to go earlier than he planned in 1979 and look what happened then.
I ignored the itinerary which was keen to send to me to some stupid tourist cable car and then a naff sculpture park, and decided on a proper hike
I found a route with a suitably noomy name. The “ Heiligengeistklamm” - LITERALLY the Holy Ghost walk. Way down in south styria. I thought “that’s got to be good”
And it was good and pretty, up a little ravine in the forests, but it was also 30C and I got severely hot and bothered and I was about to give up. But then I saw a sign for a weinbar in the woods so I hiked there. But it was shut! Sleeping dogs and closed doors in the heat. Aaargh!
But then I saw a flag and I realised I was 50 meters from the Slovenian frontier. The old Iron Curtain. But what was once barbed wire and death and watchtowers was turned into millponds and pretty flower meadows asleep in the woods and then I found a “self service honesty bar” where you could just take cold fruit wine spritzer from a fridge in the woods and I sat there in the sun on a log and I gazed at borderless Europe, at peace where there was war. And, verily, it was lovely
Local authorities are responsible for housing people with ties to the area, so homeless Essex people in this case, not people from Mogadishu or Kandahar
Which would have taken the edge off the story somewhat.
Also vibes of Michael Mosley in there for a moment.
Which would have taken the edge off the story somewhat.
Also vibes of Michael Mosley in there for a moment.
I can recommend the Styrian Riesling. Sensational. It’s better than the sauv blanc which is, paradoxically, what they’re known for
Reform have been on a plateau for a while now, 4 months I reckon. Despite the attempts of you and your mates in the right wing press to to drum up a violent summer, the Reform vote share has remained static since April. I think the immigration lemon has been squeezed dry. You could easily cruise at this level for 3-4 years and win the next election or something could happen that shifts the focus from immigration. In which case you need to start looking at what else your party has to offer.