Like Donald Trump, Reform voters will sell out Ukraine – politicalbetting.com
Like Donald Trump, Reform voters will sell out Ukraine – politicalbetting.com
57% of Britons would support deploying British soldiers as peacekeepers in Ukraine, if a peace deal to end the war is reached, with Keir Starmer saying he is "ready and willing" to send UK troops to help guarantee security following a peace dealSupport: 57% (-1 from January)Oppose: 25% (+4)
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Govt issues urgent appeal for 5,000 homes to,house 20,000 asylum seekers.
They should put them all in the leafy shires.
https://x.com/tonydowson5/status/1958264617928728987?s=61
I do wonder how soft their polling is. Are these leads illusory? Will their supporters bother to vote?
Recent votes would tend to suggest the first option is most likely.
Every party does it a bit, because it's human nature to think that. But the Uniparty and its voters tend to draw the line in one place, and Faragists draw it somewhere else.
And because "me" and "them" are different for everyone, Nigel will have a rotten time if he ever has to take responsibility.
Personally I am somewhat opposed to garrisoned the Donbas indefinitely, though joint manoeuvres and training in drone warfare might be useful.
Some temporary accommodation blocks in the grounds
He’s quite good at the social media side of things.
Kemi’s claim to fame is she’s a grass.
https://x.com/robertjenrick/status/1958410339860529454?s=61
Reform seem to be consistently clocking up 30% by not being 'normal'. Frankly, when you look at where voting for the 'normal' parties has got us, who can blame those who have abandoned 'normal'.
Durham council are consulting on HMO’s at the moment with a view to making it tougher to convert a home into an HMO. More driven by students than anything else as County Durham is not really overflowing with these asylum seekers unlike Gateshead, Hartlepool and Middlesbrough who have over 8 times (proportionally) the amount of these men.
Labour have played a poor hand badly. But their hand was poor from the prior administration.
So Reform voters are something of an outlier again. More information would be nice !
I wonder how well the sample tracks the changing Reform support coalition? How well is the overall Yougov panel matched to the whole population, and to the subset of the population who vote? I suspect the answer to these is "quite well".
I wonder how that tracks across the different sections of the Reform support base? How do people who like Tommy Robinson (30% of Ref UK support base earlier this year) with "fed up Labour", and "fed up Tories", and "like Farage" (70% earlier this year) compare, for example?
The residents are a mix of the outgoing and enthusiastic, and the depressed and introverted. My parents volunteer there and have got to know people the, like the Iranian family with a girl who appears to be a child genius, who cooked them a slap up Persian feast or the flamboyant Sudanese man, who they’re convinced is gay but hasn’t said so, who helps out with the church gardening.
Other residents scarcely show their faces and seem deeply depressed. It’s a sort of gilded prison, far from anyone they know. Being a refugee seems to be an extrovert’s game.
How long until these flags are a tatty disgrace?
I'm all for flags- the more, and the more varied, the better. It's one of the things that makes towns on the continent nicer. But this isn't the right way to do it.
Tenants - “Why are you kicking us out?
Landlord - “So I can go legit - get an HMO license and fill the place with undocumented workers.”
Tenants - “But we are undocumented workers!”
Landlord - “Yeah, funny, isn’t it?”
No cricket grounds though as the teams need more practice.
At least HQ has recognised they are in a fight for their existence and now they are going for it. If ReFUK voters want to screw Ukraine and Tory managers want to outflank them on the right, does that mean open support for Putin?
Even better is that Tory ministers would be out insisting they have always supported Putin. As they are with lower taxes and not opening asylum hotels and all the other two-faced lines they continue to be ripped apart over on social media.
We are talking about places that are going back in condition. A bit of digging would probably reveal poor occupancy. 100% guaranteed occupancy should have reduced the price to about £20 per room, per night. Especially since all the facilities apart from the kitchen were to be shuttered.
Bet they will be paying hundreds per person per night in HMOs…
It needs balancing out.
Middlesbrough, Gateshead and Hartlepool all have circa 45 per 100,000 people. Far higher than the leafy shires.
I wonder what the actual crime risk is from this group, in the context of overall crime?
Given that the Govt has already reduced the cost per person by 1/4 to 1/3 in hotels over the last Govt, it will also be a further money saving move.
https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/1958419898117353676
We go back to the question of worst chancellor of the past 50 years and I think I could make a very good case for Hunt being that person
What I do think is off is Birmingham Council will remove British/English flags but have said they won’t touch the Palestinian ones
I suppose the enraged right of centrist dads will turn their ire on having dusky hued asylum seekers scattered about the community rather than safely tucked up at a single location.
"The new appeal is understood to have been seeking shorter-term leases or rents, where migrants would be accommodated for 90 days with an additional 30 days’ notice."
Houses in the North West, North East and other areas they are sent in large numbers to are cheap compared to London
It’s the same principle that sees southern councils dump problem families in places like Stoke and Ferryhill.
BBC news coverage was very positive throughout the day for the Tories. Emma Barnett took down Dan Jarvis over Labour losing control of immigration yesterday morning.
I believe the Conservatives have turned this corner. Absolutely brilliant opportunist politics. They are back to the top of their Johnsonian stunts game.
Flags, it seems, are never too far away from the top of the agenda. The rule against putting flags on street architecture (and that includes painting St George crosses on mini-roundabouts) is clear and as long as it is applied consistently (is there evidence it isn't apart from those trying to weaponise the story by saying Council,X took 12 hours to get rid of the St George's flags and 18 hours to get rid of the Palestinian ones), there should be no issues.
It's all a bit reminiscent of Northern Ireland in the Troubles - this is "our" street etc, etc and we saw the same in Ballymena recently.
As for asylum applicants in hotels, well, we have a temporary injunction which may or may not face an appeal. We already know the current Government, desperate to look as though they were doing something, were moving the asylum applicants out of hotels and into HMOs which, as we've seen, are not without their own issues and those with longer memories will recall the trouble in the old East Germany when this happened.
The hostility toward "outsiders" and "they're not like us" combines both issues - the fortress of cultural identity gets ever stronger. It;s not a failure of multiculturalism but a failure of simple humanity.
Would be a lot easier if France bit the bullet for a bit and agreed that everyone arriving in the UK via France illegally immediately gets returned. Those returned have their finger prints/iris scans stored and are barred from any future asylum claim in the UK.
Whilst in the short term the French won’t like it, it will kill the smugglers model - why pay smugglers thousands to get on a boat and then just get sent back to where you started with no future right to claim asylum. We could spend the money we are giving the French police to achieve nothing to build a load of temporary camps to house returnees in.
Eventually migrants will see that there is absolutely no point whatsoever in heading for the Calais region in the hope of getting on a boat to the UK.
Is there some hidden well equipped army still there we do not about.
I don’t recall any Tory opposition pol going with the comparatively Swiftian Tony Bliar. What a sorry state UK politics is in (Badenoch is also a fckn idiot which doesn’t help).
Durham are doing something about making it tougher to turn a house into an HMO, primarily aimed at student conversions. There’s already been some rejected in Gilesgate.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjwnjd76e98o
The notion of Brazilian, Indian and Kenyan troops patrolling Donetsk in the depths of winter is not without a certain wry amusement but the first question is going to be who will pay for this force - I suspect it won't be Ukraine or Russia (though it should be). I can't see America stumping up so it'll be the Europeans who will have to fork out as I suspect it will be a primarily European force (it shouldn't be).
Now this from Politico USA:
Pentagon’s top policy official told a small group of European allies Tuesday night that the U.S. plans to play a minimal role in any Ukraine security guarantees,
“There’s the dawning reality that this will be Europe making this happen on the ground,” said a NATO diplomat who was briefed on the talks. “The U.S. is not fully committed to anything.”
“I don’t know where that leaves us,” said one of the European officials. “Pretty much back to where we were in the spring with the coalition of the willing.”
https://x.com/afneil/status/1958428810870690253?s=61
So the hard graft of campaigning and delivering on the key issues that will get them to a position where the electorate are prepared to give them another look in the future before the next GE has to happen at both local and Westminster Parliamentary level. Internal fights or open disunity leading to speculation about leadership challenges right now would not only be a huge negative media distraction that undermined that political rebrand, it would also be a clear reminder of the chaotic rotating door of leaders that beset the party over the last eight years. Its not a new leader that the Conservatives needs right now to get wider media attention or public interest, its a rebuilding of the brand with a sound policy base that engages and regains the trust of the electorate.
'Everyone’s capable of coming back, but they’ve got to win you back'
"Those who had defected from the Conservatives had not yet been convinced to go back, though most did not rule out doing so. Having “imploded” and “turned into this whole comedy show” and a “middle-aged white-boy rich person’s party” beset by scandals and broken promises, the Tories “need a full reset.” Though some liked what they had seen of Kemi Badenoch (“she’s strong willed and she puts up a fight. She’s got opinions”), people would take some persuading that the party was united, trustworthy or even relevant (“I think everyone’s capable of coming back, but they’ve got to win you back”). Since the succession of prime ministers was part of what put them off about the Conservatives, none thought another leadership election was the answer (“they need a bit of stability. They were just rotating people in and out”).
Some felt the party should be more open about what it thought had gone wrong during its time in office: “I’d like to hope they are reflecting on what they could have done better, and hold their hands up and say we could have done this and this, we made a mess of this, and this is what we’ll do to become better.”"
https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2025/08/this-is-what-happens-when-you-get-normal-people-like-us-and-no-one-listens-to-them-my-latest-focus-groups/
I attach a handy guide to flag etiquette for flag shaggers of all persuasions.
https://www.naco.uk.com/assets/Uploads/flagprotocol.pdf
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cnv76zzze47o
This will result in a big European defence industry feeding this more muscular Europe which will, on one hand, be a rival to the US industry for global sales, and on the other will divert spending by Europe on US kit which will damage the all powerful US defence industry.
Europe will also, when they no longer have to kowtow to the US for protection, will likely no longer feel the need to back up the US in any future global shenanigans such as Iraq and Afghanistan.
Making Europe responsible for Ukraine alone might not be the strategic win Trump and his ilk think it is.
https://x.com/asentance/status/1958424105080041873?s=61
But looking ahead, what is Israel's and USA's actual agenda? IMO both Trump and Israel's government have decided that by one means or another this will occur:
Gaza to be uninhabitable.
The population to go elsewhere either by agreements (unlikely) or by force; this to be deemed an Arab/Islamic/UN problem.
An unambiguous One State permanent solution to Israel, backed by USA security guarantees.
West Bank process to follow on from the Gaza process.
Israel not to become a 'Jewish only' state but to continue to have a Palestinian/Islamic/ Christian population, the rights being conferred on individuals and families, not wholesale.
Gaza either to become Jewish or to be handed to Egypt with a North Korean quality guarded boundary.
(I don't support any of this but I think that's the plan).
The Palestine flags in Small Heath were/are predominantly on street furniture.
They have a huge number of soldiers up in the mountains having violent stick fights with the Chinese and they garrison the mountains in Kashmir which is not exactly a warm posting.
Personally, I'd answer don't know to this question as I'd need more information.
This is the asylum hotel population. Robert Jenrick was Minister of State for Immigration from 25 October 2022 and 6 December 2023. These are quarters.
ISTM That as with so many things, the new Govt are gradually sorting out, whilst Jenners and co are resolutely refusing to look at themselves in the mirror.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgeqwv98d55o
(LG, I'll aim to get to your post yesterday this evening - I'm at a funeral today. This is my friend's Facebook photo page, which is a good browse, and he went downhill quickly - he was a musician who helped put on community musicals, amongst other things:
https://www.facebook.com/ron.newsham/photos_by ).
Have a good day everyone.
There are Palestinian flags in evidence in East Ham but they are on private property such as businesses (we have a coffee shop in the Barking Road which displays a Palestine flag) or have been painted onto vehicles of which some may not approve but it's not to my knowledge illegal.
We have LTTE flags on occasion outside some of the Tamil businesses and the Romanian shops proudly have their own flag.
It's when you put a flag on public property that a line is crossed and in the aftermath of October 2023 that happened a lot round here but Newham moved quickly to remove them (in all fairness). We now see the same in Birmingham.
Interestingly 3 house have recently gone up for rent in her cul-de-sac. The 2 family homes were rented in hours, the student house is seeking 2.5 times the other houses and has zilch interest.
https://x.com/rupertlowe10/status/1958433737831600152?s=61
But a sinner that repenteth, and all that.
Students are exempt from Council Tax, so local authorities get £1500-£4000 per annum for every one they keep as a family home.
But University run of affiliated institutional accommodation is more expensive for the student.
Apprenticeships are a truly good thing.