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Angela Rayner is in touch with the public (sadly they are both wrong) – politicalbetting.com

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  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 12,815
    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    Am watching a Netflix history of World War 2

    It has reached Dunkirk. Every single time the story of Dunkirk brings me close to tears. Those little boats....

    Today's oddball fact. The senior surviving officer from the Titanic, 2nd Officer Charles Lightoller (the 'ill shoot you all like dogs' guy in the film) sailed his yacht over as one of the small boats
    He was the inspiration for the boat owner character in Mendes’s film
    Ah, cool, ive not seen it
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,120
    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Chris said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    It's certainly news to me that Jews believe Jesus was God!

    In fact, Jews and Muslims clearly have the same God as each other. Trinitarian Christians, not so much.
    To clarify, Jews don’t believe Jesus was God. Both Jews and Christians believe in the God of Abraham. Jews, AFAIK, don’t believe that Jesus was the son of God.
    Muslims believe Jesus was Messiah, just not God and Muhammed is their main prophet.

    Jews don't even believe Jesus was Messiah let alone God and certainly don't have Muhammed as a prophet either
    So, remind me again, PB, why do we favour Jews over Muslims?
    We don't.

    We do favour liberal democracies like Israel over authoritarian dictatorships like Iran.
    With the best will in the world, I do not think it is rational to call Israel a "liberal" democracy anymore. The majority have voted for a fascistic, fanatical government intent on genocide.
    At what stage does the choice of party(ies) chosen by voters in a liberal democracy overcome the institutional elements which go into it being regarding as such a liberal democracy? I suppose when it starts undermining those institutional elements?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,120
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    In terms of fertility rate it is atheists dying out. Globally and in the UK as well Muslims have the highest fertility rate, then evangelical Christians and Orthodox Jews, then Roman Catholics, then mainline Protestants and Eastern Orthodox and Hindus and last Buddhists and atheists.

    It is atheists who need to convert to avoid dying out therefore more than the religious, indeed today may be the peak of global atheism especially in the West
    Funnily enough, children are born without any religion.
    Don't tell many religious people that, it's an article of faith.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,892
    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Chris said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    It's certainly news to me that Jews believe Jesus was God!

    In fact, Jews and Muslims clearly have the same God as each other. Trinitarian Christians, not so much.
    To clarify, Jews don’t believe Jesus was God. Both Jews and Christians believe in the God of Abraham. Jews, AFAIK, don’t believe that Jesus was the son of God.
    Muslims believe Jesus was Messiah, just not God and Muhammed is their main prophet.

    Jews don't even believe Jesus was Messiah let alone God and certainly don't have Muhammed as a prophet either
    So, remind me again, PB, why do we favour Jews over Muslims?
    We don't.

    We do favour liberal democracies like Israel over authoritarian dictatorships like Iran.
    With the best will in the world, I do not think it is rational to call Israel a "liberal" democracy anymore. The majority have voted for a fascistic, fanatical government intent on genocide.
    Hmm...seem to have lost the capacity to edit too. I was going to add that Israel shows that democracies put under enough stress do not have a "liberal" default. They can become highly aggressive in defending their interests.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    nova said:

    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    This is palpable bollocks on multiple levels

    Just one example: Muslims

    Muslim immigrants into the west have become MORE religious in the last few decades - 2nd and 3rd generation Muslim Europeans and Americans are more devout and more conservative than their first generation antecedents (as everyone else knows, in a rather uncomfortable way)

    And that's just, as I say, one example

    Not my experience having met a lot of Muslim sixth formers in east London.
    That doesn't surprise me. There was some research a few years ago, which agreed that Muslims were more religious, but rather than being "more devour and more conservative", they were also a lot more liberal. That certainly chimes with my experiences.
    Exactly. The article that poor Leon doesn’t properly understand refers to the sense of ‘otherness’ and identity, being influenced both by social and political issues, particularly in the Middle East, and - ironically - as a counter-reaction to bigotry such as we regularly get from Leon. It’s not saying much about religiosity or extremism.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,120
    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    I share your atheism, but not your view that it is obvious that the world will tremd that way.
    Personally I think there will be a bit of a religious revivial, in global terms.
  • ConcanvasserConcanvasser Posts: 192
    Leon said:

    Am watching a Netflix history of World War 2

    It has reached Dunkirk. Every single time the story of Dunkirk brings me close to tears. Those little boats....

    The same with Eden's appeal on the wireless for Local Defence Volunteers (the Home Guard). Quarter of a million came forward within 24 hours. 1.5m within 6 weeks. The ministry expected 150k all in.

    Im confident it would happen again.

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 66,243
    IanB2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Germany is the sort of team that would be able to score despite having a red card.

    Well, they did

    This is a very *physical* match, a challenge for the ref
    Good evening

    It is, but at least they get on with it unlike men's football which features the most ridiculous injury tactics thumping the ground, rolling around as if they had been shot, and all the time peeking to see if the referee needs more acting to get their opponent sent off !!!!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 36,307
    "Middle-class families could face higher water bills to subsidise poorer households
    Labour ministers will be urged to introduce scheme that would see low-income families given huge discounts" (£)

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/07/19/middle-class-families-higher-water-bills-poorer-households/
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19

    Leon said:

    Am watching a Netflix history of World War 2

    It has reached Dunkirk. Every single time the story of Dunkirk brings me close to tears. Those little boats....

    Today's oddball fact. The senior surviving officer from the Titanic, 2nd Officer Charles Lightoller (the 'ill shoot you all like dogs' guy in the film) sailed his yacht over as one of the small boats
    The little boats helped, but the bulk of the work was done by the destroyers of the Royal Navy and a number of large ships.

    The little boats mostly served as ferries between the shore and the larger ships.
    True. And the role of the little boats was, cleverly (and wisely) over-emphasised in the subsequent narrative to make it “our” (predecessors’) collective national success rather than a straightforward military exercise. A morale booster at a grim time.

    Incidentally, the Norwegians take their wartime history seriously, with lots of well kept museums, monuments and information boards for everything out in the countryside, all well signposted. I pulled off into a layby earlier and one of the Narvik memorials had fresh flowers. Part of the road I drove on yesterday was built originally by a gang of captured Yugoslav partisans, who didn’t count as PoWs and were basically worked to death building it. There was both a memorial and an infoboard explaining it in multiple languages.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    nova said:

    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    This is palpable bollocks on multiple levels

    Just one example: Muslims

    Muslim immigrants into the west have become MORE religious in the last few decades - 2nd and 3rd generation Muslim Europeans and Americans are more devout and more conservative than their first generation antecedents (as everyone else knows, in a rather uncomfortable way)

    And that's just, as I say, one example

    Not my experience having met a lot of Muslim sixth formers in east London.
    That doesn't surprise me. There was some research a few years ago, which agreed that Muslims were more religious, but rather than being "more devour and more conservative", they were also a lot more liberal. That certainly chimes with my experiences.
    Yes, that is my experience.

    I do see families in clinic where the elderly parents are dressed in quite a secular British style, while the daughter who is accompanying them is in Niqab, but translating for a parent not confident in English with a local accent. So outward appearances can be quite misleading. Traditional dress doesn't always indicate archaic values in other spheres of life.

    Younger Muslims often see Islam as an important part of their identity, but very often get the quid pro quo in a multicultural city is that other people will live differently. Live and let live.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 39,312
    @JenniferJJacobs
    News: One of the senior staffers on SecDef's team at the Pentagon, Justin Fulcher, is no longer in his job, sources told
    @edokeefe

    @ellee_watson
    and me. Fulcher started at the Defense Department as a member of Elon Musk's DOGE team and was later promoted to a job as a senior adviser to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

    https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1946664521449209999
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 36,307
    Offside?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    In terms of fertility rate it is atheists dying out. Globally and in the UK as well Muslims have the highest fertility rate, then evangelical Christians and Orthodox Jews, then Roman Catholics, then mainline Protestants and Eastern Orthodox and Hindus and last Buddhists and atheists.

    It is atheists who need to convert to avoid dying out therefore more than the religious, indeed today may be the peak of global atheism especially in the West
    Funnily enough, children are born without any religion.
    Pelagius* would agree...

    *perhaps the first published author born in these islands, and correct about a lot of things.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
  • isamisam Posts: 42,214
    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    This is palpable bollocks on multiple levels

    Just one example: Muslims

    Muslim immigrants into the west have become MORE religious in the last few decades - 2nd and 3rd generation Muslim Europeans and Americans are more devout and more conservative than their first generation antecedents (as everyone else knows, in a rather uncomfortable way)

    And that's just, as I say, one example

    Not my experience having met a lot of Muslim sixth formers in east London.
    Which school Ian?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    isam said:

    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    This is palpable bollocks on multiple levels

    Just one example: Muslims

    Muslim immigrants into the west have become MORE religious in the last few decades - 2nd and 3rd generation Muslim Europeans and Americans are more devout and more conservative than their first generation antecedents (as everyone else knows, in a rather uncomfortable way)

    And that's just, as I say, one example

    Not my experience having met a lot of Muslim sixth formers in east London.
    Which school Ian?
    Over my time pretty much every school in the borough.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19
    Penalty for Germany now

    Saved! Still 1:1
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 39,312
    Womens' football is really boring
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 55,745
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,747
    IanB2 said:

    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    I share your atheism, but not your view that it is obvious that the world will tremd that way.
    Tbf I didn’t say globally; we were discussing the UK. I suspect the new immigrant communities will, over time, trend the same was as the Jewish community has here, and in general become less religious.
    It's gone the other way. Those who have married 'out' in many cases no longer identify as Jewish or if they do they're usually just one generation from not doing. At the same time Orthodoxy has become a much bigger thing with ten and twelve children families living in particular areas becoming the new normal.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 25,338
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Chris said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    It's certainly news to me that Jews believe Jesus was God!

    In fact, Jews and Muslims clearly have the same God as each other. Trinitarian Christians, not so much.
    To clarify, Jews don’t believe Jesus was God. Both Jews and Christians believe in the God of Abraham. Jews, AFAIK, don’t believe that Jesus was the son of God.
    Muslims believe Jesus was Messiah, just not God and Muhammed is their main prophet.

    Jews don't even believe Jesus was Messiah let alone God and certainly don't have Muhammed as a prophet either
    So, remind me again, PB, why do we favour Jews over Muslims?
    We don't.

    We do favour liberal democracies like Israel over authoritarian dictatorships like Iran.
    With the best will in the world, I do not think it is rational to call Israel a "liberal" democracy anymore. The majority have voted for a fascistic, fanatical government intent on genocide.
    Hmm...seem to have lost the capacity to edit too. I was going to add that Israel shows that democracies put under enough stress do not have a "liberal" default. They can become highly aggressive in defending their interests.
    There is nothing illiberal about aggressively defending your civil liberties from external threats.

    We have done the same, with vastly higher death tolls.

    Yet still you spout bullshit about "genocide".
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
    Why? 'Pentecostal churches in the UK have exploded in the last 20 years, from 2,500 congregations in 2000 to 4,200 by 2020.'
    https://lausanne.org/global-analysis/christianity-in-the-uk
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,271
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    A little sidepoint: in many parts of the world, slavery never went away. And in the form of modern slavery, it can still exist here int he UK. Just because the triangular trade was stopped, does not mean that slavery has been.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 19,159
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
  • CookieCookie Posts: 15,696
    IanB2 said:

    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    I share your atheism, but not your view that it is obvious that the world will tremd that way.
    Tbf I didn’t say globally; we were discussing the UK. I suspect the new immigrant communities will, over time, trend the same was as the Jewish community has here, and in general become less religious.
    Yes, I was talking about the UK - it's not obvious to me that immigrants will lose their religion over generations. I find it interesting that you do. More broadly, perhaps you expect immigrant communities to become more like the host population - to integrate - whereas, at least in the case where those communities have syrong religious belief, I do not. This probably explains much of our differing attitudes to immigration, to which you tend to the optimistic and I tend to the pessimistic.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 63,125
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
    Why? 'Pentecostal churches in the UK have exploded in the last 20 years, from 2,500 congregations in 2000 to 4,200 by 2020.'
    https://lausanne.org/global-analysis/christianity-in-the-uk
    As was explained to you earlier, a big percentage increase in a small part of the pie is not sufficient to balance with the high level numbers you were citing - hence why even religious experts have challenged their accuracy
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    A little sidepoint: in many parts of the world, slavery never went away. And in the form of modern slavery, it can still exist here int he UK. Just because the triangular trade was stopped, does not mean that slavery has been.
    Yes, I anticipated that challenge by inserting ‘legal’ into my earlier, but not quick enough….
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    You’re the fool, for having a go at something I never said.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
    1.75 million Roman Catholics in England and Wales now attend Mass on a regular basis
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/extraordinary-comeback-catholicism/
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19
    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    I share your atheism, but not your view that it is obvious that the world will tremd that way.
    Tbf I didn’t say globally; we were discussing the UK. I suspect the new immigrant communities will, over time, trend the same was as the Jewish community has here, and in general become less religious.
    Yes, I was talking about the UK - it's not obvious to me that immigrants will lose their religion over generations. I find it interesting that you do. More broadly, perhaps you expect immigrant communities to become more like the host population - to integrate - whereas, at least in the case where those communities have syrong religious belief, I do not. This probably explains much of our differing attitudes to immigration, to which you tend to the optimistic and I tend to the pessimistic.
    That’s a fair summary.

    Taking a wide and long view, you’d have to explain why recent immigrants won’t trend the same way as all those we’ve taken in over hundreds of years prior? Although integration isn’t quite the right word - as it implies unidirectional influence, whereas the truth is that they influence those here before, as well. Britons, Saxons, Vikings, Normans and all that.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 55,745
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
    Why? 'Pentecostal churches in the UK have exploded in the last 20 years, from 2,500 congregations in 2000 to 4,200 by 2020.'
    https://lausanne.org/global-analysis/christianity-in-the-uk
    As was explained to you earlier, a big percentage increase in a small part of the pie is not sufficient to balance with the high level numbers you were citing - hence why even religious experts have challenged their accuracy
    It is, see also the regular Mass attendance figures I gave
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 36,307
    We haven't had many polls recently. Disappointing for election anoraks.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 19,159
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
    1.75 million Roman Catholics in England and Wales now attend Mass on a regular basis
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/extraordinary-comeback-catholicism/
    Counterpoint:

    The same methodology can be applied to the data for the Catholic Church, the next largest denomination. The report said that it has grown from 23% of attendees in 2018 to 31% in 2024, meaning it would have grown from around 850,000 regular attendees in 2018 to 1.8 million in 2024, spectacular growth of almost a million regular worshippers.


    The Catholic Church in England and Wales reported regular mass attendance down around 20% from pre-pandemic levels, to 555,000 in 2023 from 702,000 in 2019.


    (From the same analysis of the Quiet Revival data in the Church Mouse blog liked above.)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    Andy_JS said:

    We haven't had many polls recently. Disappointing for election anoraks.

    We have umpteen every week and a general election still likely nearly 4 years away
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    For now.

    Say by 2100 the UK is 30% Muslim, 25% evangelical Christian and 20% Roman Catholic a UK Parliament could be elected that might scrap same sex marriage
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    For now.

    Say by 2100 the UK is 30% Muslim, 25% evangelical Christian and 20% Roman Catholic a UK Parliament could be elected that might scrap same sex marriage
    I’d offer you a bet, but the timescale is rather long
  • LeonLeon Posts: 63,125
    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    You’re the fool, for having a go at something I never said.
    You're the worst kind of fool, because you DO have some intelligence, just not a great amount, and this modest intelligence gives you a superficial understanding of humanity, which you take to be profound. Thus, you are wildly misguided

    There is no point in engaging with you. It's like arguing with GPT2 in about 2022

    Have a lovely holiday with your dog, I do envy you those white nights in Norway, they look amazing
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    For now.

    Say by 2100 the UK is 30% Muslim, 25% evangelical Christian and 20% Roman Catholic a UK Parliament could be elected that might scrap same sex marriage
    I’d offer you a bet, but the timescale is rather long
    Matt Goodwin has already said the UK will on current trends be 20% Muslim by 2100, from 7% now.
    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1930538705556545616

    Plenty of African immigrants are evangelical Christians or Catholic too and Eastern European migrants tended to be Roman Catholic.

    The section of the white British population with the highest birthrate is also evangelical Christians
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    You’re the fool, for having a go at something I never said.
    You're the worst kind of fool, because you DO have some intelligence, just not a great amount, and this modest intelligence gives you a superficial understanding of humanity, which you take to be profound. Thus, you are wildly misguided

    There is no point in engaging with you. It's like arguing with GPT2 in about 2022

    Have a lovely holiday with your dog, I do envy you those white nights in Norway, they look amazing
    You should just go and play on Twitter. As usual, your actually engaging in any sort of sensible, analytical discussion is asking too much.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 15,696
    edited July 19
    IanB2 said:

    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    Cookie said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    I bet their children won’t be quite so religious. It’s just a matter of time.
    I share your atheism, but not your view that it is obvious that the world will tremd that way.
    Tbf I didn’t say globally; we were discussing the UK. I suspect the new immigrant communities will, over time, trend the same was as the Jewish community has here, and in general become less religious.
    Yes, I was talking about the UK - it's not obvious to me that immigrants will lose their religion over generations. I find it interesting that you do. More broadly, perhaps you expect immigrant communities to become more like the host population - to integrate - whereas, at least in the case where those communities have syrong religious belief, I do not. This probably explains much of our differing attitudes to immigration, to which you tend to the optimistic and I tend to the pessimistic.
    That’s a fair summary.

    Taking a wide and long view, you’d have to explain why recent immigrants won’t trend the same way as all those we’ve taken in over hundreds of years prior? Although integration isn’t quite the right word - as it implies unidirectional influence, whereas the truth is that they influence those here before, as well. Britons, Saxons, Vikings, Normans and all that.
    Well the example of Vikings, Saxons, Normans etc don't provide a great reason for optimism for the impact of integration on hist populations...

    But my pessimism is driven by e.g. the fact we now have five Islamic sectarian MPs, the fact that the Islamists - including the 'men and women should be kept separate' party are now the official opposition on Lamcashire County Council and frankly any visit to Rusholme or Longsight or Cheetham Hill in Manchester or their counterparts in Oldham, Rochdale or Bolton. These communities are not integrating, they are creating separate ghettoes of an entirely separate culture which seems to actively reject the host culture.

    There are some reasons for optimism - immigrants from HK or from India (who are an active part of my local cricket club and it seems every otger club locally). But for me, from my point of view in Manchester, many more for pessimism.

    Very broadly, they won't behave like other immigrants over the centuries becauae the scale is much, much greater.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    Extra time
  • novanova Posts: 864
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
    Why? 'Pentecostal churches in the UK have exploded in the last 20 years, from 2,500 congregations in 2000 to 4,200 by 2020.'
    https://lausanne.org/global-analysis/christianity-in-the-uk
    As was explained to you earlier, a big percentage increase in a small part of the pie is not sufficient to balance with the high level numbers you were citing - hence why even religious experts have challenged their accuracy
    It is, see also the regular Mass attendance figures I gave
    Has anyone seen the data tables for the Quiet Revival report?

    The report itself has a lot of results, but when we're looking at a quite astonishing change in young male attendance at Church going from 3% to 18% in just a few years, it would be interesting to drill down a little more.

    I note they say that the sample has changed since 2018 as ethnic minorities were underrepresented, and admit that this would increase the numbers, but say this isn't "problematic". They said they've therefore been cautious when comparing trends amongst ethnic minority groups, but that suggests they haven't made any adjustments for the overall figures being based on different samples. Again, it would be interesting to see the actual tables so we could get a better understanding.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,120
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Some of those examples are probably not coming back, I would agree, but I do think some democratic backsliding is occurring with greater frequency, and that probably comes with other accompanying changes retreating from some attitudes. The more progressively inclined than I are arguing that is already the case with some trans rulings.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
    1.75 million Roman Catholics in England and Wales now attend Mass on a regular basis
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/extraordinary-comeback-catholicism/
    Counterpoint:

    The same methodology can be applied to the data for the Catholic Church, the next largest denomination. The report said that it has grown from 23% of attendees in 2018 to 31% in 2024, meaning it would have grown from around 850,000 regular attendees in 2018 to 1.8 million in 2024, spectacular growth of almost a million regular worshippers.


    The Catholic Church in England and Wales reported regular mass attendance down around 20% from pre-pandemic levels, to 555,000 in 2023 from 702,000 in 2019.


    (From the same analysis of the Quiet Revival data in the Church Mouse blog liked above.)
    The 1.75 million regular attendance figure I quoted was the Catholic Bishops Conference own figures for England and Wales, your figures were I presume every Sunday without fail 52 weeks a year which you don't need to do to be regular
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,120
    edited July 19
    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,209
    Vanilla has gone funny (again). I don't like it (again).
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    For now.

    Say by 2100 the UK is 30% Muslim, 25% evangelical Christian and 20% Roman Catholic a UK Parliament could be elected that might scrap same sex marriage
    I’d offer you a bet, but the timescale is rather long
    It’s only a few years ago that same sex marriage was illegal. It’s good to see it’s now accepted - and indeed embraced as a core national attribute - by those who until very recently were sharply opposed.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,147
    edited July 19
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    “Never” would be quite a bold claim. One day, the UK will cease to be a liberal democracy, because all systems of government eventually fail.

    I could easily envisage situations in which slavery is practised (even if it is called something else).
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 79,373
    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    “Never” would be quite a bold claim. One day, the UK will cease to be a liberal democracy, because all systems of government eventually fail.
    No, all systems of government are imperfect, on current trends if liberal democracy failed in the UK its most likely replacement would be Fascist Nationalism. Liberal democracy is imperfect but better still than the alternatives
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    edited July 19
    nova said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    Stuart is telling you that the figures don’t add up. And it’s obvious why.

    First question - are you religious?

    Second question - for those that answer yes - which flavour of religion are you?

    Third question - how often do you practice it?

    Quite obvious the third question is going to be self-exaggerated
    Why? 'Pentecostal churches in the UK have exploded in the last 20 years, from 2,500 congregations in 2000 to 4,200 by 2020.'
    https://lausanne.org/global-analysis/christianity-in-the-uk
    As was explained to you earlier, a big percentage increase in a small part of the pie is not sufficient to balance with the high level numbers you were citing - hence why even religious experts have challenged their accuracy
    It is, see also the regular Mass attendance figures I gave
    Has anyone seen the data tables for the Quiet Revival report?

    The report itself has a lot of results, but when we're looking at a quite astonishing change in young male attendance at Church going from 3% to 18% in just a few years, it would be interesting to drill down a little more.

    I note they say that the sample has changed since 2018 as ethnic minorities were underrepresented, and admit that this would increase the numbers, but say this isn't "problematic". They said they've therefore been cautious when comparing trends amongst ethnic minority groups, but that suggests they haven't made any adjustments for the overall figures being based on different samples. Again, it would be interesting to see the actual tables so we could get a better understanding.
    The notion that 1 in 5 men between 18-24 are regulars at Church simply doesn't pass the sniff test, if you simply watch outside churches of any denomination on a Sunday morning, even the pentocostal African or Big Shed Vinyard churches. Even less so outside any CoE or RC Church.

    If you don't believe me then go and look yourself.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    “Never” would be quite a bold claim. One day, the UK will cease to be a liberal democracy, because all systems of government eventually fail.
    No, all systems of government are imperfect, on current trends if liberal democracy failed in the UK its most likely replacement would be Fascist Nationalism. Liberal democracy is imperfect but better still than the alternatives
    We needn’t speculate. We know what will replace it: not fascist nationalism, but populist oligarchy. On the same spectrum, but different. There are enough international examples that we don’t need to guess.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,147
    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 23,159
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
    1.75 million Roman Catholics in England and Wales now attend Mass on a regular basis
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/extraordinary-comeback-catholicism/
    Counterpoint:

    The same methodology can be applied to the data for the Catholic Church, the next largest denomination. The report said that it has grown from 23% of attendees in 2018 to 31% in 2024, meaning it would have grown from around 850,000 regular attendees in 2018 to 1.8 million in 2024, spectacular growth of almost a million regular worshippers.


    The Catholic Church in England and Wales reported regular mass attendance down around 20% from pre-pandemic levels, to 555,000 in 2023 from 702,000 in 2019.


    (From the same analysis of the Quiet Revival data in the Church Mouse blog liked above.)
    The 1.75 million regular attendance figure I quoted was the Catholic Bishops Conference own figures for England and Wales, your figures were I presume every Sunday without fail 52 weeks a year which you don't need to do to be regular
    If you mass mass you have sinned, and need to report this sin in the confessional. Catholicism is a 52 weeks per year gig. Plus holy days of obligation.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,147
    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    “Never” would be quite a bold claim. One day, the UK will cease to be a liberal democracy, because all systems of government eventually fail.
    No, all systems of government are imperfect, on current trends if liberal democracy failed in the UK its most likely replacement would be Fascist Nationalism. Liberal democracy is imperfect but better still than the alternatives
    We needn’t speculate. We know what will replace it: not fascist nationalism, but populist oligarchy. On the same spectrum, but different. There are enough international examples that we don’t need to guess.
    You don’t need to formally reinstate capital punishment, or outlaw homosexuality, when a populist government does these things extra-judicially.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 39,312
    I don't know who is going to win this game, but it should be Germany
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    “Never” would be quite a bold claim. One day, the UK will cease to be a liberal democracy, because all systems of government eventually fail.
    No, all systems of government are imperfect, on current trends if liberal democracy failed in the UK its most likely replacement would be Fascist Nationalism. Liberal democracy is imperfect but better still than the alternatives
    We needn’t speculate. We know what will replace it: not fascist nationalism, but populist oligarchy. On the same spectrum, but different. There are enough international examples that we don’t need to guess.
    Populist oligarchy is basically Putin's Russia and increasingly Trump's US, certainly well on the way to Fascist Nationalism even if not full Nazi. Then again Peron and Mussolini and Franco were not full Nazi either
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    TimS said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Legal slavery - hmmm. Talk to the police arresting people who are buying and selling immigrants. Not to mention the Libyan Ciastguard.

    Bear baiting? Well, hare coursing is back, and being run by some very nasty people. Dog fighting is a profitable crime, as well.

    Corporal punishment? Well, there’s fun with some faith schools. And there the practise in some communities, of sending kids home to “serious schools” to sort them out. The ones in Ghana sound like an exaggerated version of what someone thinks UK public schools were like in 1890. I’ve seen the results - traumatised children, basically.
    In the UK, parliament is never going to reverse any of the changes I mentioned, and similarly it is never going to vote to abolish same sex marriage, that was my point. Hence it will remain both the law and the expectation, and sooner or later mainstream religions will have to take it on board. That there will always be small minorities who flout both laws and norms doesn’t negate my point.
    For now.

    Say by 2100 the UK is 30% Muslim, 25% evangelical Christian and 20% Roman Catholic a UK Parliament could be elected that might scrap same sex marriage
    I’d offer you a bet, but the timescale is rather long
    It’s only a few years ago that same sex marriage was illegal. It’s good to see it’s now accepted - and indeed embraced as a core national attribute - by those who until very recently were sharply opposed.
    I am one who has changed my mind on this. I couldn't see the point myself once civil partnerships existed, but I was wrong. Same sex marriages have brought a lot of happiness to a lot of people, and were an important step towards being visible equality.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 79,373
    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The difference is that in the US, the Supreme Court ruled that corruption is a constitutional right for the rich, which Congress can't limit even if it wishes.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    Scott_xP said:

    I don't know who is going to win this game, but it should be Germany

    Allez Les bleues.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Sadly not, however much I might wish it to be so. From last time we discussed this-

    According to their data, 41% of the English and Welsh Church attendance in 2018 was in Anglican settings. Based on a total regular attendance of 3.7m people, we can calculate the Anglican attendance at around 1.5m. By 2024, Anglicans had reduced as a proportion to 34% but of a much larger reported attendance of 5.8m people, so we should be seeing an increase in attendance of around 500,000 to around 2m. In other words, the report claims that the Church of England has grown by a third since 2018.


    https://www.churchmousepublishing.co.uk/2025/05/confessions-of-quiet-revival-sceptic.html

    There may well be big percentage growth in funkier churches, but the CofE is such a large part of British Christendom that the total can't plausibly grow without the CofE growing.

    And other, better, measurements just don't show that.
    Not true, Christian church attendance is growing in the UK, just not C of E church attendance.

    As I posted earlier Roman Catholics now make up 31% of church goers from 24% in 2018 and Pentecostals have more than doubled from 4% to 10%
    But if Quiet Revival report is to be believed, the CofE is growing overall- from 1.5 million in 2018 to 2.0 million in 2024. It's a smaller share of a bigger pie.

    Trouble is, that doesn't match what we see in parishes. And the CofE is good at counting. Since that's a quarter of the claimed growth that hasn't happened, it does cast doubt on the rest of the study. (I think something similar happens when you compare the survey and actual attendance for RCs, but I'm less familiar with their systems.)
    1.75 million Roman Catholics in England and Wales now attend Mass on a regular basis
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/extraordinary-comeback-catholicism/
    Counterpoint:

    The same methodology can be applied to the data for the Catholic Church, the next largest denomination. The report said that it has grown from 23% of attendees in 2018 to 31% in 2024, meaning it would have grown from around 850,000 regular attendees in 2018 to 1.8 million in 2024, spectacular growth of almost a million regular worshippers.


    The Catholic Church in England and Wales reported regular mass attendance down around 20% from pre-pandemic levels, to 555,000 in 2023 from 702,000 in 2019.


    (From the same analysis of the Quiet Revival data in the Church Mouse blog liked above.)
    The 1.75 million regular attendance figure I quoted was the Catholic Bishops Conference own figures for England and Wales, your figures were I presume every Sunday without fail 52 weeks a year which you don't need to do to be regular
    If you mass mass you have sinned, and need to report this sin in the confessional. Catholicism is a 52 weeks per year gig. Plus holy days of obligation.
    It is a broad spectrum, the Vatican counts all those baptised as Catholic as Catholic until death even if they never attend church or become atheist
  • LeonLeon Posts: 63,125
    The COCOON nears completion

    This is my eyrie, whence I shall witness the Endtimes


  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,885
    ED Miliband’s protege sent secret WhatsApp messages to Labour rebels working to torpedo Keir Starmer’s welfare reforms, The Sun on Sunday can reveal.

    Net Zero minister Miatta Fahnbulleh was active on key WhatsApp chats used to organise the revolt - posting several messages.

    The Sun on Sunday
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    Not that much, Modi was elected, as was Putin as was Trump.

    China was state enforced atheist under Mao
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,147
    edited July 19
    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    It’s sometimes hard to distinguish real religious belief, from using it as a pretext to bash those you dislike. But, I think the latter is common in Russia, and explains Trump-voting “evangelicals” who never attend church.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 63,125
    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    Your idiot complacency is off the fucking dial

    Just consider the subjects we are not allowed to mention on here. And think again
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    I don't think that Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990. The rise of Hindutva ideology there suggests very much the opposite.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    edited July 19
    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    Your idiot complacency is off the fucking dial

    Just consider the subjects we are not allowed to mention on here. And think again
    You’re conflating curbs on freedom with corruption. 2 different things.

    Nice boudoir by the way.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 55,745
    edited July 19
    Nigelb said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The difference is that in the US, the Supreme Court ruled that corruption is a constitutional right for the rich, which Congress can't limit even if it wishes.
    Wishes? Congress is the heart of the process.

    Why do you think AOC wants to ban share and option ownership in Congress and the Senate?

    “When buying and selling are controlled by legislation, the first things to be bought and sold are legislators.” - P. J. O'Rourke
  • LeonLeon Posts: 63,125
    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    Your idiot complacency is off the fucking dial

    Just consider the subjects we are not allowed to mention on here. And think again
    You’re conflating curbs on freedom with corruption. 2 different things.

    Nice boudoir by the way.
    I'm not even talking about that, Just THINK
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    Foxy said:

    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    I don't think that Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990. The rise of Hindutva ideology there suggests very much the opposite.
    It suggests they’re more nationalist. Not more religious.

    It’s pretty difficult to believe all that shit, like really deep down, faced with modern science. That doesn’t mean people don’t sometimes use it in order to justify group supremacy.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    edited July 19
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
    Yes, but the democracy point was a non sequitur from Leon; there was no reference to systems of government in any of the earlier discussion. Whether or not some sort of democracy is a pre condition for social progress is an interesting, but different question. The decline in the dominance of and adherence to religion, in the ‘west’ at least, has been a long and slow progress, from the days when people were tortured and murdered merely for having small differences in belief, and that progress started in societies that we wouldn’t today describe as democratic.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,147
    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    I think @Cyclefree exposes the UK’s prevalent form of corruption. Good chaps and chapesses turn a blind eye to their peers’ less savoury activities. Scandals are automatically covered up, miscreants are moved sideways or pensioned off. Compensation schemes are made very complex. Beyond a certain level, there are no penalties for failure.

    None of that involves anything as tasteless as brown envelopes full of used notes.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    Your idiot complacency is off the fucking dial

    Just consider the subjects we are not allowed to mention on here. And think again
    The global corruption index for each country is recently out, should you care to go check the view of experts, rather than just ejaculating your prejudices into the forum.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    IanB2 said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
    Yes, but the democracy point was a non sequitur from Leon; there was no reference to systems of government in any of the earlier discussion. Whether or not some sort of democracy is a pre condition for social progress is an interesting, but different question. The decline in the dominance of and adherence to religion, in the ‘west’ at least, has been a long and slow progress, from the days when people were tortured and murdered merely for having small differences in belief, and that progress started in societies that we wouldn’t today describe as democratic.

    The biggest mass murdering regime in human history was of course Mao's atheist Communist regime in China
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,724
    Sean_F said:

    TimS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Nigelb said:

    I think Ossoff might just have an outside chance next time around.

    America has the most corrupt political system in the Western world.
    https://x.com/ossoff/status/1946318914880778491

    I think corruption takes different forms.

    In the USA corruption is blatant. Here, as befitting an older State, it is more opaque, and insidious.
    The US for all its faults remains much less corrupt than many “democracies”. And the UK is objectively one of the least corrupt states on earth. That’s not to say we don’t have any, but it’s generally low level and a bit comically pathetic.
    I think @Cyclefree exposes the UK’s prevalent form of corruption. Good chaps and chapesses turn a blind eye to their peers’ less savoury activities. Scandals are automatically covered up, miscreants are moved sideways or pensioned off. Compensation schemes are made very complex. Beyond a certain level, there are no penalties for failure.

    None of that involves anything as tasteless as brown envelopes full of used notes.
    That stuff happens in every country. Whether it counts as corruption or something else - group exclusivity, nepotism etc - is questionable. But by all measurements, including both recorded corruption and public perception, we’re less corrupt than the majority of other countries. Not as good as Scandinavia, NZ or Canada, but ahead of most of our European neighbours and certainly the US.

    Just peruse the scandals coming out of France or Italy, let alone the totally opaque Swiss system or the regular shenanigans in Ireland.

    It’s typical British exceptionalism to think we’re either the best in the world or the worst. We’re one of the better ones, that’s all.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,206
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    I don't think that Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990. The rise of Hindutva ideology there suggests very much the opposite.
    It suggests they’re more nationalist. Not more religious.

    It’s pretty difficult to believe all that shit, like really deep down, faced with modern science. That doesn’t mean people don’t sometimes use it in order to justify group supremacy.
    On the other hand there is evidence that Hindu religiosity is on the increase.

    400 million Hindus attended the Kumb Mela over the course of a few weeks in January of this year.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg7gzzx3gno
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 55,745
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    I don't think that Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990. The rise of Hindutva ideology there suggests very much the opposite.
    It suggests they’re more nationalist. Not more religious.

    It’s pretty difficult to believe all that shit, like really deep down, faced with modern science. That doesn’t mean people don’t sometimes use it in order to justify group supremacy.
    You are making the classic assumption that it must all be con. Because you can’t see how anyone can believe it.

    There are endless millions who do, genuinely, believe in the resurgent, militant version of Hinduism.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 36,307
    Amazing from Germany with 10 players.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
    Yes, but the democracy point was a non sequitur from Leon; there was no reference to systems of government in any of the earlier discussion. Whether or not some sort of democracy is a pre condition for social progress is an interesting, but different question. The decline in the dominance of and adherence to religion, in the ‘west’ at least, has been a long and slow progress, from the days when people were tortured and murdered merely for having small differences in belief, and that progress started in societies that we wouldn’t today describe as democratic.

    The biggest mass murdering regime in human history was of course Mao's atheist Communist regime in China
    Which when you examine it, right down to its ‘holy’ book, was effectively a religion.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,885
    Leon said:

    The COCOON nears completion

    This is my eyrie, whence I shall witness the Endtimes


    What is the dark blue box on the lower wall by right of the door?

    Concealed plug?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 55,745
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
    Yes, but the democracy point was a non sequitur from Leon; there was no reference to systems of government in any of the earlier discussion. Whether or not some sort of democracy is a pre condition for social progress is an interesting, but different question. The decline in the dominance of and adherence to religion, in the ‘west’ at least, has been a long and slow progress, from the days when people were tortured and murdered merely for having small differences in belief, and that progress started in societies that we wouldn’t today describe as democratic.

    The biggest mass murdering regime in human history was of course Mao's atheist Communist regime in China
    Which when you examine it, right down to its ‘holy’ book, was effectively a religion.
    “Political Religions” is a term that has been applied to the Nazis, Mao, Stalin and others.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,362
    I just noticed my hotel room has a painting glued to the ceiling. Like at the dentists. How bizarre?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,123
    edited July 19
    Usyk must be considered to be a pantheon of boxing....he has earned his right to be amongst the immortal few...what a complete boxer....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,962
    edited July 19
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    theProle said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    It seems that Israel is on the good side because they’re like us. They have the same God, even if they don’t have the same support for Jesus. Whereas the other countries in the Middle East, don’t have the same God. Jesus was only a prophet of Mohammed.

    If we ignored religion, and thought of Israel as just another Middle Eastern country, would we think of them the same as we do now? I suspect not.

    Given that the UK is basically not religious why do we think the way we do?

    How many PB contributors attend their church, or place of worship, regularly? I suspect that, apart from @HYUFD, not many.

    Me.
    Every day.
    It turned out that the PB demographic (older, more thoughtful about big questions) was more church-going than the average, I wouldn't be surprised. Though even then, a minority thing.

    And a demographic that is moving on as fast as Tory voters and Telegraph readers, I expect.
    'Of adults surveyed, 12 per cent reported that they attended a church of any denomination at least once a month last year, compared with eight per cent in 2018. This does not include weddings, baptisms/christenings, and funerals. “In numerical terms, that’s growth from 3.7m in 2018 to 5.8m in 2024 — an increase of 56%,” the report says.

    This “dramatic growth” is owed largely to younger generations, it says. In 2018, four per cent of the 18- to 24-year-olds reported that they attended church monthly, compared with 16 per cent in 2024. For men, this increased from four per cent to 21 per cent, and, for women, from three per cent to 12 per cent.

    “This is now the second most likely age group to attend church regularly.”

    The result is a “curve” rather than a straightforward association between age and attendance, the report says, with the middle-aged (45-54) the least likely to attend (five per cent). The reversing trend is also true of gender, it says: overall attendance by men (13 per cent) outstrips attendance by women (ten per cent).

    The shift to younger generations is also increasing diversity in the Church, the report says. While just 19 per cent of all churchgoers belong to an ethnic minority, this figure rises among 18- to 54-year-olds to almost one third (32 per cent).

    Growth among the denominations varies, however. In 2018, Anglicans (C of E and Church in Wales) made up 41 per cent of all churchgoers. This decreased to 34 per cent in 2024. Roman Catholic churchgoers have increased from 23 per cent to 31 per cent, while Pentecostals have increased from four per cent to ten per cent.'
    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2025/11-april/news/uk/dramatic-growth-in-young-people-attending-church-bible-society-research-finds
    Yes, we have discussed this survey before. It’s self certification, of a group of people under moral self-pressure to over report, rather the inverse of the NHS asking us how much we drink each week. It’s also been commented on by people inside the CofE that it doesn’t match up either with their own anecdotal experience or the congregation count data the church itself collates.
    If you had actually bothered to read the article rather than add your preconceived atheist prejudice, you would see it was the Roman Catholics and evangelical Pentecostals seeing the main growth in church going amongst the young, not the C of E.

    Not that surprising as most Christian immigrants to the UK tend to be Roman Catholic or evangelical Protestant rather than middle of the road Anglican.

    The more immigration rises the more the decline in religion in the UK may start to reverse, especially as the religious tend to have more children than atheists and agnostics on average as well
    Antidote rather than data, but in my patch of the evangelical world, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in Christianity, particularly from young people, in a pattern very similar to that implied by that survey. Our church (evangelical Anglican, just about still in the CofE, but not for much longer) has literally had teenagers (white, English, locals from birth) wander into church off the street ask what it's all about and become Christians - and talking to friends in similar churches, many have had similar experiences. Compared to 20, or even 10 years ago, this is remarkable - back then you had to lure the youth in with table tennis and pizza, and then barely any of them were even slightly interested in anything deeper.

    Of course the CofE is still falling off the cliff, because the bulk of it doesn't actually belive in anything, which is a difficult message to sell with conviction. It's decline is also being accelerated because not only are it's only growing churches the fundimentalist evangelicals, those same churches are leaving the CofE in droves over gay marriage, either lock stock and barrel where that's possible, or more commonly by 85% of the congregation and 95% of the staff walking out and founding a new church outside the CofE just down the road.
    I wouldn't say the only growing churches in the C of E are the conservative evangelical ones. High church London churches like St Bartholomew the Great are also growing as are cathedral congregations and rural village churches still tend to have above average attendance as a percentage of the local population and of course gay marriage is still not performed in C of E churches anyway. PLF for same sex services are allowed within services now but only because a majority of Synod voted for them, even if even that was too much for the most hardline of evangelicals. However if they refuse to offer any recognition of same sex couples married in English law now in the established church they are better off not being in the established church if even the opt out from PLF for them is not enough
    Same sex marriage is with us to stay. Sooner or later, religion will have to take social progress on board as, eventually, it generally does.
    It’s nice that you think social progress is inevitable and in one direction.

    History, so far, doesn’t look like that.
    You’re quite right that there is a lot of pressure in the opposite direction right now, both domestically and around the world. And of course the pendulum has swung between conservative and liberal in both directions through history - c.f Victorian social attitudes compared to those prior.

    But legal slavery isn’t coming back, neither is property-based limited suffrage, or bear baiting, or corporal punishment in schools. Some progress is permanent.
    Democracy is in retreat around the world. I wish it wasn't, but it is. You're an absolute fool

    https://www.economist.com/interactive/democracy-index-2024

    "Just 6.6% of the world's population now lives in a full democracy, down from 12.5% ten years ago."
    Yes but only because they count a full democracy as a nation not only with universal suffrage and multi party elections but which usually elects liberals or left liberals
    There might be legitimate criticism of their methodology but given your own interpretation of democracy is 'anywhere which holds elections, even if blatantly not free or fair' such as Russia I don't think you are the best person to expose it.

    Indeed, people taking such a, ahem, liberal view of what counts as a democracy is possibly a sign of the democratic backsliding Leon's post identifies in that we are more accepting of flawed democracies than we were.
    Yes, but the democracy point was a non sequitur from Leon; there was no reference to systems of government in any of the earlier discussion. Whether or not some sort of democracy is a pre condition for social progress is an interesting, but different question. The decline in the dominance of and adherence to religion, in the ‘west’ at least, has been a long and slow progress, from the days when people were tortured and murdered merely for having small differences in belief, and that progress started in societies that we wouldn’t today describe as democratic.

    The biggest mass murdering regime in human history was of course Mao's atheist Communist regime in China
    Which when you examine it, right down to its ‘holy’ book, was effectively a religion.
    No, it was a political philosophy of enforced state control of the economy and property.

    Religion normally requires a God or Gods or at least worship of Spirits or interest in life after death
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 30,330
    Andy_JS said:

    We haven't had many polls recently. Disappointing for election anoraks.

    TimS said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimS said:

    Vanilla is now readable again. Just rejoice at that news.

    As for immigrant religious belief: surely the trends of the last couple of hundred years hold true. 1. That incoming groups will become more like the host population over time, 2. That the host population will take on some traits of the incomers, particularly in popular and youth culture, 3. Most cultures seem to be getting less religious over time.

    Certainly not true in Iran compared to the 1970s under the Shah, or India which is more militantly Hindu than it was under Modi, or China where underground evangelical Christianity is growing from near non existence under the rule of atheists like Mao or Russia where the Russian Orthodox church is a close ally of Putin and was repressed under the Soviet Union. Trump is also the most pro evangelical US President there has ever been policy wise
    Government is different from public opinion. I don’t have the stats to hand, but I would hazard a guess that:

    - Iranians are on average more secular than in 1979
    - Indian Hindus are more secular than in 1990
    - Chinese are less, what, let’s say superstitious, than in the 1950s

    I don’t know about Russians, who the fuck knows, but they’re in the middle of a national mass delusion so let’s hope they’re not indicative of anything other than Russians.
    Why are the Chinese "superstitious?"
    Are their religions less real?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 39,312
    edited July 19

    What is the dark blue box on the lower wall by right of the door?

    Concealed plug?

    OK, we tolerate all sorts of deviance on this forum, but this must not stand

    You are talking about sockets, known in some parts of the World as outlets.

    Plugs are the things you push into the sockets
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