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Happy Eurovision day – politicalbetting.com

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  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,744

    Ooh I like this one-Waterloo!

    If it had been written now, would it win?
    Probably not.
    Surely though Waterloo is the undisputed best ever Eurovision song?
    By a country mile. Followed by Love Shine a Light.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,416
    My favourite 5 .

    Austria
    Latvia
    Greece
    Poland
    Denmark
  • SandraMcSandraMc Posts: 738
    edited May 17
    It's finally ended - apart from the voting. I liked the one with the muscular young man who was topless with mud smeared on him. I can't remember the song though.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,972
    Still haven't forgotten how Cliff was robbed in 1968 with Congratulations.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071
    Our song deserves negative points
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,292

    Ooh I like this one-Waterloo!

    If it had been written now, would it win?
    Probably not.
    Surely though Waterloo is the undisputed best ever Eurovision song?
    By a country mile. Followed by Love Shine a Light.
    Nah. Hard Rock Hallelujah
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,582

    Omnium said:

    My three favourite Tom Cruise movies are Rainman, The Color of Money and A Few Good Men

    Mostly because of Dustin Hoffman, Paul Newman and Jack Nicholson

    A Few Good Men like To Kill A Mockingbird and Inherit The Wind shows the importance of lawyers and how awesome they are.
    A Few Good Men has to be Cruises best film. Twelve Angry Men the best film about lawyers.
    Isn't Twelve Angry Men a film more about jurors.
    I know :)

    And I knew you'd bite!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,972
    It would be nice if some of the songs this year actually have a tune or melody. Usually most of them don't, if we're being honest.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071

    Ooh I like this one-Waterloo!

    If it had been written now, would it win?
    Probably not.
    Surely though Waterloo is the undisputed best ever Eurovision song?
    By a country mile. Followed by Love Shine a Light.
    Nah. Hard Rock Hallelujah
    An entry so utterly unEurovision that of course it won. Glorious
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,646
    I forecast

    1 Sweden
    2 France
    3 San Marino

    I might be wrong. DYOR 😈
  • MattWMattW Posts: 27,177
    edited May 17
    The huge list of Eurovision links on the BBC has the 1974 final in Brighton at the bottom.

    Which proves that there is nothing new under the sun, in Eurovision :smile: , apart from bits of tech.

    Waterloo at 35:30.

    The conductor is a salad, dressed up as Napoleon, Sven-Olaff Walldoff.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p007x8b2/eurovision-song-contest-grand-final-1974
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,213
    So, the big question now ahead of the voting. Which Swedish city will be hosting next year?
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 6,021
    https://www.ft.com/content/894c1ce3-23cc-4648-a468-542fff034ff2

    Britain now second-largest foreign holder of US treasuries as China reduces holdings.
  • vikvik Posts: 380
    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Interesting take on Gaga-gate

    "Way back in 2016 when journalists/pundits/blue-checks (2016 version) were going crazy with "How did Trump possibly win" and offering up all sorts of crazy atavistic explanations, a few of us who had actually talked to voters before this, and so were not surprised, said, "Well, a whole lot of the country thinks the system is corrupt and you elites now screaming are who they think are the most corrupted," and they thought about that for a moment and said, "Naaaaaaah, American voters are dirty racist idiots and we don't need to change a bit,"

    "And then they go and pull off the whole Biden isn't senile thing—which is more and more looking like they covered for a deeply detached and mentally incompetent president while a cadre of unelected bureaucrats could run stuff the way they wanted to run stuff and then they kept trying to do this telling whoever pointed it out that Biden sure looked out of it that no, don't believe your eyes, no you instead were lying misinformation spreaders who needed more education and were fascists as well, which because Biden was now so clearly a zombie that no amount of their usual big word lying could hide they got caught, and the result is the very person they hate the most, Trump, got elected again.

    It really boggles the mind that a group could be lacking this much self awareness, this incompetent, and keep on stepping on rakes they way they do, all without suffering any consequences or moral reflection"


    https://x.com/Chris_arnade/status/1923691545867264105

    I think it's fair to say that the Dems had the worst of all possible worlds in 2016; a poor, or at least dreadfully advised, candidate and a poor campaign. They had a better campaign in 2020 but really should have had a younger candidate; surely somewhere there was a Governor or other prominent Dem who could have run?
    Had Biden been Democratic nominee in 2016, as by rights historically he should have been as incumbent VP, he probably would have beaten Trump narrowly.

    However the Democratic establishment insisted it had to be Hillary and she was the ideal candidate for Trump to beat and so Biden had to be called out of retirement to run in 2020 when he should have been running for his second term not his first, in which case win or lose he would not have been running last year when he was too old anyway
    If Biden (or Hillary) had won in 2016, then Trump would have done the same thing he did in 2020. He would have claimed that the election was stolen.

    Biden would have faced a hostile Senate and Congress, and would be unable to to anything. This would have caused increased disillusionment among Democrats. Meanwhile, Republicans would get angrier and angier after 12 years of rule by Democratic Presidents.

    In 2020, Covid would happen, and Congressional Republicans would do their best to crash the economy so that Biden lost the upcoming election. Republicans would be even angrier if a Democratic President tried to impose Covid restrictions, and there would be mass civil unrest by Republicans protesting against these restrictions.

    Trump would have kept his second candidacy viable by continuing to claim that the 2016 election had been rigged against him. In an atmosphere of intense Republican anger, he would have won the 2020 nomination and then because of the crashing Covid economy, he would have won the 2020 election in a landslide.

    He would have been a lot better than Biden at claiming credit for the post-Covid recovery, and wouldn't have lost control of the border, and would have easily won re-election in 2024.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,416
    boulay said:

    So, the big question now ahead of the voting. Which Swedish city will be hosting next year?

    That song was dire . Hard to believe it’s the favourite.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,744
    Andy_JS said:

    Still haven't forgotten how Cliff was robbed in 1968 with Congratulations.

    By General Franco no less!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Recorded abortions anyway.
  • SandraMcSandraMc Posts: 738
    Volare came 3rd in Eurovision in 1958. How many of the songs we heard tonight will people be singing nearly 70 years from now?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,995
    nico67 said:

    boulay said:

    So, the big question now ahead of the voting. Which Swedish city will be hosting next year?

    That song was dire . Hard to believe it’s the favourite.
    Dire but annoyingly catchy trumps just dire.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,213
    nico67 said:

    boulay said:

    So, the big question now ahead of the voting. Which Swedish city will be hosting next year?

    That song was dire . Hard to believe it’s the favourite.
    It was pure Eurovision, silly, catchy, fun. Well staged. Most of the songs were pure bollocks but this isn’t about the general music industry as the relation between the success of the UK music industry v the performance of the UK in Eurovision shows.

    Incidentally Sweden is probably the outlier in having a hugely disproportionately successful music industry and Eurovision success.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    carnforth said:

    https://www.ft.com/content/894c1ce3-23cc-4648-a468-542fff034ff2

    Britain now second-largest foreign holder of US treasuries as China reduces holdings.

    I wouldn't want to be holding that baby.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,825
    nico67 said:

    boulay said:

    So, the big question now ahead of the voting. Which Swedish city will be hosting next year?

    That song was dire . Hard to believe it’s the favourite.
    Disagree. I heard it once and thought Eurovision winner. Jus5 the right amount of catchy and utter bollocks at the same time. What’s not to like?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    SAS: Rogue Heroes is a fuck of a lot better than Eurovision
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,825
    Foxy said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Recorded abortions anyway.
    And one possible explanation might be an increase in birth control.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,605
    Norton getting criticised for not mentioning that the Israeli singer is a Nova survivor.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    Estonia
    Finland
    Malta


    Not a forecast so much as a hope
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,853
    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,744
    Leon said:

    SAS: Rogue Heroes is a fuck of a lot better than Eurovision

    What colour is the boathouse in Hereford?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 11,223
    HYUFD said:

    Pagan2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I'll be deciding where the wind is blowing in 2028 and betting accordingly. If that's towards Reform then I'll be betting on them.

    But at the moment it's just too early to say. I don't underestimate Starmer simply because the people here saying he's done were the same people saying he was done in 2021 and laughing at me.

    So I'll stick with my guns for now.

    Who are these people?
    I was basically the only person here at the peak of Johnson predicting he'd not last and Labour would win. I'm not sure if you were one of the people laughing but there were certainly a large number calling my predictions ridiculous.

    Of course I also predicted a Corbyn win in 2019 so you can't win them all.
    A stopped clock is right twice a day. If you just always say the party you vote for is going to win, and repeat it constantly, that doesn’t show any insight, it’s just noise
    I've learned from the best.
    Passive aggressive nonsense again

    You obviously mean me, but I don’t always say the party I am voting for is going to win, so you’re passively aggressively bang wrong. And I understand betting.
    Sam I was one of the people here most trying to get you to be unbanned as I thought it unfair. Be careful where you're throwing that fire.

    I understand betting just as much as you.
    I very much doubt both of those statements!

    I haven't been banned for about three years anyway, what are you talking about?
    Horse was very keen for your return be that you were on an enforced holiday or a voluntary one. Obviously there were a fair number of your more obvious supporters demanding your return too. Fair play to them all.

    You asked earlier who were the Starmer nay sayers way back before the Hartlepool by election. There was a common theme on here then poking fun at Starmer's perceived incompetence. He was called Brittas, Captain Hindsight, Mr Indecisive, Sir Fence Sitter. They then moved on to Kid Starver, Granny Starver, Two Tier Keir, Free Gear Kier.and now flip flop.

    I am not here to defend Starmer. I think he is a poor politician. However it does seem odd that Farage doesn't get the same vitriol thrown at him in opposition that Starmer did, despite being a complete barsteward.
    I don't disagree. Since the election it has been a one way barrage against Starmer and co. I don't think it's been that fair to be honest, but I suspect that is the sign of the times.

    I am not a labour supporter btw, but it has been very obvious.
    Are you seriously trying to claim the press (or PB) are unfair on Starmer, because they were nicer to the Tories? Really???

    Starmer gets intense grief because he has made unforced error after unforced error, starting from day 1 (the free lingerie and designer spectacles), and he is - it turns out - politically inept, wooden on TV, very poor at speaking, devoid of ideas, devoid of charisma, and fantastically bad at making deals

    Take just one recent example. He went to Albania expecting to announce a new Rwanda-lite deal with Albania, where they would take boat people. But he was humiliated on live TV when the Albanian PM said, Nope, that's not happening, with Starmer standing by his side, blushing furiously

    How does a UK PM get into these pickles? It is basic and shocking political incompetence, an inability to "do" politics, and Starmer makes these errors all the time. He deserves all the criticism he gets. Soz
    I don't think Starmer ever expected to be PM when he went into politics. And, if it hadn't been for the bog Corbyn made, or was said by the twitterati to have made, of things sometimes, Starmer might have ended up as a competent Attorney General or Roy Jenkins-like Home Secretary.
    IMHO, for what little it is worth, I think Ed Miliband should have stayed in post after 2015. He might well have defeated May in 2017.
    Burnham maybe, Ed Miliband no
    You may be right about Burnham but I really don't see him now coming back to Parliament unless it's to the HoL. Same with Sadiq Khan.
    It's only in the recent past, though, that defeated leaders have abandoned the job after a GE. Heath didn't, nor Wilson, nor most other leaders going back though Attlee, Churchill to pre-war.
    I could see Burnham coming back in a Greater Manchester seat, I can't see Starmer lasting more than 1 more term as PM and Labour leader
    Burnham would most likely have to run as an independent. (Similarly Boris)

    He then rejoining the party and sweeping to leadership seems a long shot. Quite why the PLP might then choose to let him sweep all before him escapes me.
    Why? He was Labour members top choice in the last Labour poll to succeed Starmer and unlike the Tories once nominated Labour members pick from all candidates not just the final 2.

    Boris would also be Tory members top choice, a Boris v Burnham GE would probably the only way to really push back Reform
    Reform would eat the Tories for breakfast if Johnson was leader.

    What killed the Tories and is killing Labour today? Immigration! What individual politician is blamed by racists and non- racists alike for teeing up mass immigration from the Indian subcontinent?
    MiC had Reform still on 23% v a Boris led Tories but the Conservatives reached 26% under Boris with Labour on 22% as Boris reaches centrist swing voters that Farage can't
    Bring boris back I say if you are so convinced, it will drive your vote into greens territory if you promote him as pm
    Given you didn't even vote for Boris when he won his landslide in 2019 why is your opinion on his electability relevant?
    Then go ahead and do it I dare you to.....it will amuse me to see the tory party come 5th in a general election
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,580
    Leon said:

    SAS: Rogue Heroes is a fuck of a lot better than Eurovision

    Jack O'Connell (who plays Paddy Maine) is 5ft 8. If Barbara Broccoli was still in charge of Bond he would be automatically disqualified because IIRC she only went for 6ft+ . Now that Amazon are in charge he might be chosen, tho I doubt it. A pity because he'd be my pick out of current British actors.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,416
    The best recent Eurovision song was Heroes . That year there was some pretty good songs , Polina Gagarina with a Million Voices .

    Also A Monster Like Me , from Norway , superb probably too good for Eurovision .
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    edited May 17

    Ooh I like this one-Waterloo!

    If it had been written now, would it win?
    Probably not.
    Surely though Waterloo is the undisputed best ever Eurovision song?
    By a country mile. Followed by Love Shine a Light.
    Volare

    A genuinely world class song

    Cantaray-oh-oh-oh-ohhh
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,744
    SandraMc said:

    It's finally ended - apart from the voting. I liked the one with the muscular young man who was topless with mud smeared on him. I can't remember the song though.

    Albania? A step away from Norman Wisdom...
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071
    .

    Leon said:

    SAS: Rogue Heroes is a fuck of a lot better than Eurovision

    What colour is the boathouse in Hereford?
    “Heerford”
  • TazTaz Posts: 18,182
    This burn from Lineker on Wayne Rooney is just majestic.

    https://x.com/argyletweet/status/1923780023384760614?s=61
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 11,223
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Interesting take on Gaga-gate

    "Way back in 2016 when journalists/pundits/blue-checks (2016 version) were going crazy with "How did Trump possibly win" and offering up all sorts of crazy atavistic explanations, a few of us who had actually talked to voters before this, and so were not surprised, said, "Well, a whole lot of the country thinks the system is corrupt and you elites now screaming are who they think are the most corrupted," and they thought about that for a moment and said, "Naaaaaaah, American voters are dirty racist idiots and we don't need to change a bit,"

    "And then they go and pull off the whole Biden isn't senile thing—which is more and more looking like they covered for a deeply detached and mentally incompetent president while a cadre of unelected bureaucrats could run stuff the way they wanted to run stuff and then they kept trying to do this telling whoever pointed it out that Biden sure looked out of it that no, don't believe your eyes, no you instead were lying misinformation spreaders who needed more education and were fascists as well, which because Biden was now so clearly a zombie that no amount of their usual big word lying could hide they got caught, and the result is the very person they hate the most, Trump, got elected again.

    It really boggles the mind that a group could be lacking this much self awareness, this incompetent, and keep on stepping on rakes they way they do, all without suffering any consequences or moral reflection"


    https://x.com/Chris_arnade/status/1923691545867264105

    Newly released audio appears to confirm Biden’s memory lapses in 2023
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/17/audio-biden-memory-lapses
    Even that Guardian article, admitting that Biden WAS gaga and that the Dems obviously lied about all this, tries to Whatabout the subject by referring to Trump's mad statements and many gaffes

    Yes, Donald Trump does say stupid shit. But this story is not about Trump. It is about how the Democrats conspired to hide, from the entirety of the USA, the fact that a sitting US president was incapable of doing the job. Worse, they then tried to get him re-elected, with this hidden knowledge

    You can't "whatabout" that. You have to confront it, honestly

    There must be a case for criminal prosecutions
    On the flip side donald is obviously not compis mentis and hasnt been for several years why is that not a a case for criminal prosecutions....the man is mazy
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,243
    nico67 said:

    The best recent Eurovision song was Heroes . That year there was some pretty good songs , Polina Gagarina with a Million Voices .

    Also A Monster Like Me , from Norway , superb probably too good for Eurovision .

    Polina Gagarina is a big Putin supporter and appeared at the rally in Moscow when the invasion began.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,646
    A long time to wait for the voting

    The Exit Poll is a lot quicker!
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,416

    nico67 said:

    The best recent Eurovision song was Heroes . That year there was some pretty good songs , Polina Gagarina with a Million Voices .

    Also A Monster Like Me , from Norway , superb probably too good for Eurovision .

    Polina Gagarina is a big Putin supporter and appeared at the rally in Moscow when the invasion began.
    I didn’t know that . Regardless her song was very good . That was back in 2015 .
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 84,032
    Taz said:

    This burn from Lineker on Wayne Rooney is just majestic.

    https://x.com/argyletweet/status/1923780023384760614?s=61

    Who thought Rooney would be an excellent choice for talking head role?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071
    So Austria gave us a castrati. And now Nemo is recreating the act of castration
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,243
    Is this Ladyboy Gaga?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,012
    I think for me it's -

    Finland
    Germany
    Sweden
    Denmark
    Spain

    The German song is a proper 90s club banger, the studio version is really good.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,213
    Annie Lennox has let herself go a bit.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,436
    edited May 17
    carnforth said:

    https://www.ft.com/content/894c1ce3-23cc-4648-a468-542fff034ff2

    Britain now second-largest foreign holder of US treasuries as China reduces holdings.

    Holding the baby?

    What happened to Japan, which was top?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    Stephen Knight is such a good TV writer. At the top of his game
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 11,223

    So Austria gave us a castrati. And now Nemo is recreating the act of castration

    Blinks clownfish are castrating you? is this an lsd dream?
  • xyzxyzxyzxyzxyzxyz Posts: 109
    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
    I had to look that up not having a degree in philosophy! Abortion is lower in Hungary when adjusted by population size compared with the U.K.

  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,038

    So Austria gave us a castrati. And now Nemo is recreating the act of castration

    Castrato
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    STOP VOTING!
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,995
    edited May 17
    geoffw said:

    So Austria gave us a castrati. And now Nemo is recreating the act of castration

    Castrato
    Probably quite good as a countertenor.

    Pop song did not suit.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 6,021
    IanB2 said:

    carnforth said:

    https://www.ft.com/content/894c1ce3-23cc-4648-a468-542fff034ff2

    Britain now second-largest foreign holder of US treasuries as China reduces holdings.

    Holding the baby?

    What happened to Japan, which was top?
    Still top.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 11,223
    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
    I had to look that up not having a degree in philosophy! Abortion is lower in Hungary when adjusted by population size compared with the U.K.

    Abortion laws are stricter as well in hungary only allowing a 12 week cut off instead of 24 for example so you are comparing apples with kookaburras
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,972
    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 27,177
    edited May 17
    IanB2 said:

    carnforth said:

    https://www.ft.com/content/894c1ce3-23cc-4648-a468-542fff034ff2

    Britain now second-largest foreign holder of US treasuries as China reduces holdings.

    Holding the baby?

    What happened to Japan, which was top?
    Japan still no 1.

    Not so much holding the baby, I think. Only a small amount of the US Govt debt held in the UK is by our Govt - perhaps 15-20% of "our" total.

    The changes are fairly small. We only get data a couple of months behind, and changes over 6-12 months for both UK and China are single digit percentages.

    https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/slt_table5.html
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,038

    geoffw said:

    So Austria gave us a castrati. And now Nemo is recreating the act of castration

    Castrato
    Probably quite good as a countertenor.

    Pop song did not suit.
    Should have had a yodel or two

  • MattWMattW Posts: 27,177
    Leon said:

    SAS: Rogue Heroes is a fuck of a lot better than Eurovision

    There's a story on Rogue SAS that has not had very much coverage - killing of unarmed prisoners:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj3j5gxgz0do

    Former members of UK Special Forces have broken years of silence to give BBC Panorama eyewitness accounts of alleged war crimes committed by colleagues in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Giving their accounts publicly for the first time, the veterans described seeing members of the SAS murder unarmed people in their sleep and execute handcuffed detainees, including children.

    "They handcuffed a young boy and shot him," recalled one veteran who served with the SAS in Afghanistan. "He was clearly a child, not even close to fighting age."

    Killing of detainees "became routine", the veteran said. "They'd search someone, handcuff them, then shoot them", before cutting off the plastic handcuffs used to restrain people and "planting a pistol" by the body, he said.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,646
    Not looking all that encouraging for UK so far...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081

    Not looking all that encouraging for UK so far...

    Austria off to an early lead.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    UK 6 points from Luxembourg!!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    Thanks Luxembourg 6 points!
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,646
    LOL
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    2 from San Marino!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Ukes give us 10 points!
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071
    Ten points thanks to BORIS
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    7 points from Norway
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,436
    Who said Ukraine never says thank you?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Austria in the lead, Swiss second
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627

    Ten points thanks to BORIS

    Starmer surely, and 12 for Germany too.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    7 from Austria!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    Juries surprising on the upside for UK.

    We won't be bottom.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    12 points from Italy!!
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,327
    edited May 17
    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    2 more from Portugal
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,436

    12 points from Italy!!

    You wonder what some of these juries were drinking.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    It's a massive television audience. Just enjoy...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    4 from Denmark

    Switzerland in the lead now
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627

    4 from Denmark

    Switzerland in the lead now

    Sweden dropping down the table.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Close between Austria and Switzerland.

    Irish give us only 2
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,071
    Yah yah Ding Dong still with no points
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627

    Close between Austria and Switzerland.

    Irish give us only 2

    The public votes change everything.

    I don't think Austria will do so well there.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,853
    edited May 17
    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
    I had to look that up not having a degree in philosophy! Abortion is lower in Hungary when adjusted by population size compared with the U.K.

    1. You claim that liberal democracies have had to import people (immigrants) because of liberal abortion laws.
    2. I point out that fertility rates have collapsed everywhere, irrespective of the legal status of abortion.
    3. You point out that Hungary has enacted pro-natal policies.
    4. I point out that Hungary's fertility rate - despite extremely expensive pro-natal policies - is still shit.
    5. You point out that Hungary's abortion rate is relatively low.
    6. I point out that that is a non-sequitar.

    I don't think this is too complicated. But then again, I do have a philosophy degree.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,038
    Austria has peaked too early
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,012
    Absolutely criminal that the juries have voted our song ahead of Germany's. Literally don't get it at all.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,612
    The first interesting Eurovision factoid of the evening.

    https://x.com/hush_kit/status/1923830375379276142?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Austria 136 so far
    Swiss 127
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    I only realised this year why I have come to despise Eurovision, rather than merely ignore it

    I used to vaguely watch it, a long time ago

    But the pre-packaged, utterly fake, industrially pasteurised "campness" is now rebarbative, and speaks to a sickness. Fuck it to high heaven, and beyond

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Czechs give us 10!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,627
    Juries really are all over the place, apart from Iceland.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    We give 12 points to Latvia.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,012
    Leon said:

    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    I only realised this year why I have come to despise Eurovision, rather than merely ignore it

    I used to vaguely watch it, a long time ago

    But the pre-packaged, utterly fake, industrially pasteurised "campness" is now rebarbative, and speaks to a sickness. Fuck it to high heaven, and beyond

    I think it was way less this year than the last few. The worm is turning against the TQ+ part of that movement now. That Austrian song might be the last hurrah for it for a while.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,624
    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
    I had to look that up not having a degree in philosophy! Abortion is lower in Hungary when adjusted by population size compared with the U.K.

    1. You claim that liberal democracies have had to import people (immigrants) because of liberal abortion laws.
    2. I point out that fertility rates have collapsed everywhere, irrespective of the legal status of abortion.
    3. You point out that Hungary has enacted pro-natal policies.
    4. I point out that Hungary's fertility rate - despite extremely expensive pro-natal policies - is still shit.
    5. You point out that Hungary's abortion rate is relatively low.
    6. I point out that that is a non-sequitar.

    I don't think this is too complicated. But then again, I do have a philosophy degree.
    Fertility rates haven't collapsed in Africa and abortion is mostly illegal there
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,624
    edited May 17
    Leon said:

    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    I only realised this year why I have come to despise Eurovision, rather than merely ignore it

    I used to vaguely watch it, a long time ago

    But the pre-packaged, utterly fake, industrially pasteurised "campness" is now rebarbative, and speaks to a sickness. Fuck it to high heaven, and beyond

    You live in Camden though which must be one of the most Eurovision loving areas of the UK.

    Basically Eurovision interest is inversely correlated with Reform voteshare in your area
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 54,081
    Austria running away with the Juries.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,641
    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    I only realised this year why I have come to despise Eurovision, rather than merely ignore it

    I used to vaguely watch it, a long time ago

    But the pre-packaged, utterly fake, industrially pasteurised "campness" is now rebarbative, and speaks to a sickness. Fuck it to high heaven, and beyond

    I think it was way less this year than the last few. The worm is turning against the TQ+ part of that movement now. That Austrian song might be the last hurrah for it for a while.
    It is repulsive and stupid and anyone that watches it is a cretin. Apart from that, Go Eurovision
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,624
    Pagan2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pagan2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I'll be deciding where the wind is blowing in 2028 and betting accordingly. If that's towards Reform then I'll be betting on them.

    But at the moment it's just too early to say. I don't underestimate Starmer simply because the people here saying he's done were the same people saying he was done in 2021 and laughing at me.

    So I'll stick with my guns for now.

    Who are these people?
    I was basically the only person here at the peak of Johnson predicting he'd not last and Labour would win. I'm not sure if you were one of the people laughing but there were certainly a large number calling my predictions ridiculous.

    Of course I also predicted a Corbyn win in 2019 so you can't win them all.
    A stopped clock is right twice a day. If you just always say the party you vote for is going to win, and repeat it constantly, that doesn’t show any insight, it’s just noise
    I've learned from the best.
    Passive aggressive nonsense again

    You obviously mean me, but I don’t always say the party I am voting for is going to win, so you’re passively aggressively bang wrong. And I understand betting.
    Sam I was one of the people here most trying to get you to be unbanned as I thought it unfair. Be careful where you're throwing that fire.

    I understand betting just as much as you.
    I very much doubt both of those statements!

    I haven't been banned for about three years anyway, what are you talking about?
    Horse was very keen for your return be that you were on an enforced holiday or a voluntary one. Obviously there were a fair number of your more obvious supporters demanding your return too. Fair play to them all.

    You asked earlier who were the Starmer nay sayers way back before the Hartlepool by election. There was a common theme on here then poking fun at Starmer's perceived incompetence. He was called Brittas, Captain Hindsight, Mr Indecisive, Sir Fence Sitter. They then moved on to Kid Starver, Granny Starver, Two Tier Keir, Free Gear Kier.and now flip flop.

    I am not here to defend Starmer. I think he is a poor politician. However it does seem odd that Farage doesn't get the same vitriol thrown at him in opposition that Starmer did, despite being a complete barsteward.
    I don't disagree. Since the election it has been a one way barrage against Starmer and co. I don't think it's been that fair to be honest, but I suspect that is the sign of the times.

    I am not a labour supporter btw, but it has been very obvious.
    Are you seriously trying to claim the press (or PB) are unfair on Starmer, because they were nicer to the Tories? Really???

    Starmer gets intense grief because he has made unforced error after unforced error, starting from day 1 (the free lingerie and designer spectacles), and he is - it turns out - politically inept, wooden on TV, very poor at speaking, devoid of ideas, devoid of charisma, and fantastically bad at making deals

    Take just one recent example. He went to Albania expecting to announce a new Rwanda-lite deal with Albania, where they would take boat people. But he was humiliated on live TV when the Albanian PM said, Nope, that's not happening, with Starmer standing by his side, blushing furiously

    How does a UK PM get into these pickles? It is basic and shocking political incompetence, an inability to "do" politics, and Starmer makes these errors all the time. He deserves all the criticism he gets. Soz
    I don't think Starmer ever expected to be PM when he went into politics. And, if it hadn't been for the bog Corbyn made, or was said by the twitterati to have made, of things sometimes, Starmer might have ended up as a competent Attorney General or Roy Jenkins-like Home Secretary.
    IMHO, for what little it is worth, I think Ed Miliband should have stayed in post after 2015. He might well have defeated May in 2017.
    Burnham maybe, Ed Miliband no
    You may be right about Burnham but I really don't see him now coming back to Parliament unless it's to the HoL. Same with Sadiq Khan.
    It's only in the recent past, though, that defeated leaders have abandoned the job after a GE. Heath didn't, nor Wilson, nor most other leaders going back though Attlee, Churchill to pre-war.
    I could see Burnham coming back in a Greater Manchester seat, I can't see Starmer lasting more than 1 more term as PM and Labour leader
    Burnham would most likely have to run as an independent. (Similarly Boris)

    He then rejoining the party and sweeping to leadership seems a long shot. Quite why the PLP might then choose to let him sweep all before him escapes me.
    Why? He was Labour members top choice in the last Labour poll to succeed Starmer and unlike the Tories once nominated Labour members pick from all candidates not just the final 2.

    Boris would also be Tory members top choice, a Boris v Burnham GE would probably the only way to really push back Reform
    Reform would eat the Tories for breakfast if Johnson was leader.

    What killed the Tories and is killing Labour today? Immigration! What individual politician is blamed by racists and non- racists alike for teeing up mass immigration from the Indian subcontinent?
    MiC had Reform still on 23% v a Boris led Tories but the Conservatives reached 26% under Boris with Labour on 22% as Boris reaches centrist swing voters that Farage can't
    Bring boris back I say if you are so convinced, it will drive your vote into greens territory if you promote him as pm
    Given you didn't even vote for Boris when he won his landslide in 2019 why is your opinion on his electability relevant?
    Then go ahead and do it I dare you to.....it will amuse me to see the tory party come 5th in a general election
    Given Boris is the only Tory polled who leads Reform and Labour they are more at risk of that not making him leader again
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,853
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    xyzxyzxyz said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    I'm so clever that only I understand how clever I am

    Inter alia, this explains the last twenty years of conversation on PB

    I'm not even joking. I asked the cleverest person I know (me) how clever I am, and that person confirmed it

    I can speak the following languages.

    English, Latin, Greek, German, French, Urdu, Punjabi, and American.

    That is the sign of true intelligence.
    And yet, you live in..... Sheffield
    Yeah, I could be one of those sad Londoners who live in a million pound shoe box or I can live in a very nice house.

    Tough choice.
    There are many markers of high intelligence. "Living in Sheffield" is, I fear, not one of them

    There is a story of Queen Victoria on the royal train heading north to Balmoral. Apparently she loved all the varying views. However as the train pulled into Sheffield she would ask her equerry to close the curtains, and not open them until the regal train had entirely exited Sheffield
    It depends where you live. Dore & Totley is staggeringly opulent.
    Indeed, which is where I live.

    A house near me.

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/159141434#/?channel=RES_BUY
    Yes on Dore & Totley; it's where the nobs and the Cleggs live.

    I don't want to be too rude about that house, but it's cookie cutters 2010s footballer in a leafy bit of Cheshire with Peak District wallpaper - no character.

    Leon's just wibbling from his own lack of experience !
    I've been to Sheffield several times. It's a shithole. Most northern English post industrial citiies are, I am afraid. Grotty, ugly, declining (again), riven with new racial divides, vape shops, despair. Indeed the decline and grot is spreading south (and the south has shit-holes of its own). And the weather sucks

    I really really really wish this wasn't true, but it is. Hopefully down the line a new government can at least improve the economic sitch, and the architectural nightmare, even if they can't improve the weather

    @Cookie gives us hopeful posts from Manc, so we shall see

    There are a few acceptable places to live in the UK. Central and central ish London. The nicer suburbs of London. Posh cathedral cities (but not all of them). Cornwall and Devon in general, the nicest parts of the Home Counties and Welsh Marches, wilder bits of Scotland if you can cope with the winters and the midges. Er, Southwold?


    I hesitate to say you need to get out more, but perhaps get out different. You have missed out the whole of: Lincolnshire (have you never been to Stamford?), Cumberland and Westmorland, Yorkshire, Edinburgh, Norfolk and almost all of Suffolk, Sussex, Northumberland, the entire of the Scottish side of the borders, Wiltshire and Doset, Northamptonshire. And Yorkshire.

    Apart from that you are on the right lines.
    I did say I was being provocative

    However, you also forget I have travelled the entire world, pretty much. So I can compare multiple places in a way 99% of PBers cannot. Half of you barely go over the Channel

    Britain, as a place to live, is falling behind quite badly, in terms of quality of life, beauty of surroundings, urban architecture

    I'm a patriot. I wish this wasn't true. But it is

    The UK has always been a crap place to live if you like nice weather. However we made up for that with quite handsome cities, free speech, a high trust society, social homogeneity, low crime, political stability, notably high incomes, lush green countryside, and clean bracing coastlines etc

    One by one we have lost and are losing all of these, which makes the UK, steadily, much less attractive

    I've noticed the scuzziness of my town worsening over the last 5-10 years.

    Lots of Turkish/Albanian barbers all over the place, lots of carers from overseas (usually sub-saharan Africa), some people with serious addiction and mental problems walking round, and a noticeable number of hijabs, which were once non-existent. And, in general, young men (in particular) in their twenties being noticeably fatter with bad beards and really shit tattoos.

    This is a market town in rural Hampshire.
    Liberal society chose abortion over adoption. The 12m immigrants since 1997 more than replacing the 10.7m aborted since 1967.

    Birth rates have collapsed even in countries where abortion is illegal. I guess you could make contraception illegal, or perhaps make it so a woman is not allowed to resist a man, but I'm not 100% sure those policies would be popular.
    Wages went down and rents went up. Hungary is giving a lifetime 25% tax cut to women who have children. Abortions are down 50% and divorce rates are lower. Liberal societies are declining while conservative societies prosper.

    Hungary spends 5% of GDP on measures to try and get its birthrate up.

    Its TFR is ... 1.52

    It's an utter failure.
    2010 to 2023 abortion in Hungary fell from 40,449 to 21,136. Source abort-report.eu via grok.

    Non-sequitar of the day.
    I had to look that up not having a degree in philosophy! Abortion is lower in Hungary when adjusted by population size compared with the U.K.

    1. You claim that liberal democracies have had to import people (immigrants) because of liberal abortion laws.
    2. I point out that fertility rates have collapsed everywhere, irrespective of the legal status of abortion.
    3. You point out that Hungary has enacted pro-natal policies.
    4. I point out that Hungary's fertility rate - despite extremely expensive pro-natal policies - is still shit.
    5. You point out that Hungary's abortion rate is relatively low.
    6. I point out that that is a non-sequitar.

    I don't think this is too complicated. But then again, I do have a philosophy degree.
    Fertility rates haven't collapsed in Africa and abortion is mostly illegal there
    Fertility rates have collapsed in Africa. In fact the biggest declines in fertility in the last 20 years are all in Africa.

    I will admit, that fertility rates are higher in Africa than elsewhere, but that is because they started at a higher level.

    Also: if you think fertility rates are higher in Africa because of a lack of access to abortion, then I have a bridge to sell you.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,624
    vik said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Interesting take on Gaga-gate

    "Way back in 2016 when journalists/pundits/blue-checks (2016 version) were going crazy with "How did Trump possibly win" and offering up all sorts of crazy atavistic explanations, a few of us who had actually talked to voters before this, and so were not surprised, said, "Well, a whole lot of the country thinks the system is corrupt and you elites now screaming are who they think are the most corrupted," and they thought about that for a moment and said, "Naaaaaaah, American voters are dirty racist idiots and we don't need to change a bit,"

    "And then they go and pull off the whole Biden isn't senile thing—which is more and more looking like they covered for a deeply detached and mentally incompetent president while a cadre of unelected bureaucrats could run stuff the way they wanted to run stuff and then they kept trying to do this telling whoever pointed it out that Biden sure looked out of it that no, don't believe your eyes, no you instead were lying misinformation spreaders who needed more education and were fascists as well, which because Biden was now so clearly a zombie that no amount of their usual big word lying could hide they got caught, and the result is the very person they hate the most, Trump, got elected again.

    It really boggles the mind that a group could be lacking this much self awareness, this incompetent, and keep on stepping on rakes they way they do, all without suffering any consequences or moral reflection"


    https://x.com/Chris_arnade/status/1923691545867264105

    I think it's fair to say that the Dems had the worst of all possible worlds in 2016; a poor, or at least dreadfully advised, candidate and a poor campaign. They had a better campaign in 2020 but really should have had a younger candidate; surely somewhere there was a Governor or other prominent Dem who could have run?
    Had Biden been Democratic nominee in 2016, as by rights historically he should have been as incumbent VP, he probably would have beaten Trump narrowly.

    However the Democratic establishment insisted it had to be Hillary and she was the ideal candidate for Trump to beat and so Biden had to be called out of retirement to run in 2020 when he should have been running for his second term not his first, in which case win or lose he would not have been running last year when he was too old anyway
    If Biden (or Hillary) had won in 2016, then Trump would have done the same thing he did in 2020. He would have claimed that the election was stolen.

    Biden would have faced a hostile Senate and Congress, and would be unable to to anything. This would have caused increased disillusionment among Democrats. Meanwhile, Republicans would get angrier and angier after 12 years of rule by Democratic Presidents.

    In 2020, Covid would happen, and Congressional Republicans would do their best to crash the economy so that Biden lost the upcoming election. Republicans would be even angrier if a Democratic President tried to impose Covid restrictions, and there would be mass civil unrest by Republicans protesting against these restrictions.

    Trump would have kept his second candidacy viable by continuing to claim that the 2016 election had been rigged against him. In an atmosphere of intense Republican anger, he would have won the 2020 nomination and then because of the crashing Covid economy, he would have won the 2020 election in a landslide.

    He would have been a lot better than Biden at claiming credit for the post-Covid recovery, and wouldn't have lost control of the border, and would have easily won re-election in 2024.
    Had Trump lost in 2016 the GOP may well have picked Cruz or Rubio in 2020 instead
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,469
    edited May 17
    Leon said:

    Ratters said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I wonder which year was the last year that Eurovision didn't make a conscious effort to appear camp.

    Yes. It’s the laboured contrived industrialised campness which makes Eurovision so disgusting and unwatchable. It’s not funny or transgressive any more - it’s a product being forced on you

    Eurovision is to camp what McDonalds is to a really good burger. It’s about as transgressive as Disney - but far less skilful

    It only appeals to morons who don’t get this, at this point
    The only people I know interested in Eurovision are friends of mine who are gay and commenters on PB.

    I think it's got its target market nailed on.
    I only realised this year why I have come to despise Eurovision, rather than merely ignore it

    I used to vaguely watch it, a long time ago

    But the pre-packaged, utterly fake, industrially pasteurised "campness" is now rebarbative, and speaks to a sickness. Fuck it to high heaven, and beyond

    You try so so hard to be hip to the kids... but you really are just a reactionary old fart.
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