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A prelude to the next general election? – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723

    Eabhal said:

    Scott_xP said:

    They already backtracked on the flag announcement

    https://x.com/MarkHam80780803/status/1919410143877333212

    Now follows an infantile flag battle in Reform voting areas. Will just be like IndyRef all over again 🥰
    Sectarian murals will be next.
    Surely the only people who own a bowler hat now vote Reform?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971

    Eabhal said:

    Scott_xP said:

    They already backtracked on the flag announcement

    https://x.com/MarkHam80780803/status/1919410143877333212

    Now follows an infantile flag battle in Reform voting areas. Will just be like IndyRef all over again 🥰
    Sectarian murals will be next.
    Surely the only people who own a bowler hat now vote Reform?
    Hatchworth wore a bowler hat doubt he voted reform
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723
    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,836
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,832
    Pagan2 said:

    For all those saying we have a duty to asylum seekers cogitate on this

    If you are a british citizen and fall ill you will not get treatment if it exceeds nice guidelines (about 25k) and be left to die

    then you have this from a progressive think tank the ippr

    "New analysis conducted by the think tank finds that the average annual cost of housing and supporting an asylum seeker has soared from £17,000 per person in 2019/20 (adjusted for inflation) to approximately £41,000 in 2023/24"

    source
    https://www.ippr.org/media-office/decentralise-asylum-accommodation-to-tackle-soaring-costs-and-substandard-quality-says-ippr#:~:text=New analysis conducted by the,£41,000 in 2023/24.

    Plus, a successful asylum seeker can apply to bring a spouse in. Born here? Hope you earn enough...
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,836
    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,325

    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.

    His mental decline is more rapid than the other guy
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
    Hamas won 74 seats out of 132....ie 56% of seats....they didnt need a partner to form a government
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723
    Pagan2 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Scott_xP said:

    They already backtracked on the flag announcement

    https://x.com/MarkHam80780803/status/1919410143877333212

    Now follows an infantile flag battle in Reform voting areas. Will just be like IndyRef all over again 🥰
    Sectarian murals will be next.
    Surely the only people who own a bowler hat now vote Reform?
    Hatchworth wore a bowler hat doubt he voted reform
    But was that a bowler - or a Derby?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971
    carnforth said:

    Pagan2 said:

    For all those saying we have a duty to asylum seekers cogitate on this

    If you are a british citizen and fall ill you will not get treatment if it exceeds nice guidelines (about 25k) and be left to die

    then you have this from a progressive think tank the ippr

    "New analysis conducted by the think tank finds that the average annual cost of housing and supporting an asylum seeker has soared from £17,000 per person in 2019/20 (adjusted for inflation) to approximately £41,000 in 2023/24"

    source
    https://www.ippr.org/media-office/decentralise-asylum-accommodation-to-tackle-soaring-costs-and-substandard-quality-says-ippr#:~:text=New analysis conducted by the,£41,000 in 2023/24.

    Plus, a successful asylum seeker can apply to bring a spouse in. Born here? Hope you earn enough...
    We have one poster here with that issue.

    However its why people are up in arms, it seems to a lot that asylum seekers are treated better than citizens
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971

    Pagan2 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Scott_xP said:

    They already backtracked on the flag announcement

    https://x.com/MarkHam80780803/status/1919410143877333212

    Now follows an infantile flag battle in Reform voting areas. Will just be like IndyRef all over again 🥰
    Sectarian murals will be next.
    Surely the only people who own a bowler hat now vote Reform?
    Hatchworth wore a bowler hat doubt he voted reform
    But was that a bowler - or a Derby?
    looked like a bowler to me
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,325
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,832
    I just liked a ScottP post. Look at me being all bipartisan.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971
    carnforth said:

    I just liked a ScottP post. Look at me being all bipartisan.

    sounds more likely bipolar
  • glwglw Posts: 10,387

    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.

    Every time I think "boy, he's even dumber than I thought" I also think "nothing will top this" and I'm wrong again.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 60,174
    Just end the right to asylum. Job done
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,833
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
    Hamas won 74 seats out of 132....ie 56% of seats....they didnt need a partner to form a government
    But how many people who voted for them in 2006 are still alive now?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 15,115

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
    Or it’s a nice big FU to Ukraine.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
    Hamas won 74 seats out of 132....ie 56% of seats....they didnt need a partner to form a government
    But how many people who voted for them in 2006 are still alive now?
    You confuse me with someone that cares about the middle east
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,447
    Zack Polanski is running for leader of the Green Party. he has a video. It's a bit David Mitchell... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fDdl9yc8M0
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 4,830
    edited May 5
    (4/5)

    Reform apparently hate working from home but have just put up a load of jobs that have working from home.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,836
    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
    Or it’s a nice big FU to Ukraine.
    Much more likely to be a gay pride/trans thing

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,325
    @wired.com‬

    The communications app TeleMessage, which was spotted on former US national security adviser Mike Waltz's phone, has suspended “all services” as it investigates reports of at least one breach.

    https://bsky.app/profile/wired.com/post/3lohcwsvig42c
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,471

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
    Or it’s a nice big FU to Ukraine.
    Much more likely to be a gay pride/trans thing

    As others have said, that's almost certainly the case. The trouble is, they haven't thought through the consequences.

    (Which could well turn out to be the party motto.)
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,268

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
    Or it’s a nice big FU to Ukraine.
    Much more likely to be a gay pride/trans thing

    We’re going to see a lot of this performance politics by Reform .
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723
    glw said:

    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.

    Every time I think "boy, he's even dumber than I thought" I also think "nothing will top this" and I'm wrong again.
    Just wonder if even one of his fluffers will crack up laughing. "That's your best one yet, Sir..."
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,610

    (4/5)

    Reform apparently hate working from home but have just put up a load of jobs that have working from home.

    Hopefully Reform will show that they love cash as well. I haven't heard anything yet.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,401
    Scott_xP said:

    @wired.com‬

    The communications app TeleMessage, which was spotted on former US national security adviser Mike Waltz's phone, has suspended “all services” as it investigates reports of at least one breach.

    https://bsky.app/profile/wired.com/post/3lohcwsvig42c

    These geniuses used a version of Signal with a backdoor that wrecked the security.

    Signal without the security…
  • glwglw Posts: 10,387

    Scott_xP said:

    @wired.com‬

    The communications app TeleMessage, which was spotted on former US national security adviser Mike Waltz's phone, has suspended “all services” as it investigates reports of at least one breach.

    https://bsky.app/profile/wired.com/post/3lohcwsvig42c

    These geniuses used a version of Signal with a backdoor that wrecked the security.

    Signal without the security…
    Apparently one of the archive options is dumping the messages into an email account. I'm not going to be surprised if they picked the worst option.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,720
    viewcode said:

    Zack Polanski is running for leader of the Green Party. he has a video. It's a bit David Mitchell... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fDdl9yc8M0

    I was bemoaning an AI generated overlay on a video to friends earlier. This is almost the opposite. "Let's just do an overlay of every single word as the code is easier to 'vibe'!".

    (this was the output of the YT overlay generator)


  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    Reform UK confirms the English County Councils it controls will only fly the Union flag, St George’s flag and County flags"

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1919422420957471087

    Nice big FU to Ukraine. Thanks Nige.
    Not really. It’s not the place of county councils to get involved in foreign affairs whether it be Scotland/EU or London/Venezuela
    Or it’s a nice big FU to Ukraine.
    Much more likely to be a gay pride/trans thing

    A nice big FU to Ukraine is just a Brucie bonus.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,833
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
    Hamas won 74 seats out of 132....ie 56% of seats....they didnt need a partner to form a government
    But how many people who voted for them in 2006 are still alive now?
    You confuse me with someone that cares about the middle east
    You seem to know exactly how many Seats they won in 2006!
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,268
    The Guardian reporting on a possible semi u-turn on the WFA . And the Times on changes to immigration rules re visas in particular for Pakistan , Nigeria and Sri Lanka which have apparently a lot of asylum applications once in the UK.

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,971

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Seems Thomas Friedman's prediction right back at the beginning was correct:

    ‪Shashank Joshi‬
    @shashj.bsky.social‬


    A big & lamentable shift. “The plan provides for the “conquering of Gaza” and retaining the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. The security cabinet unanimously approved the plan to expand the Gaza operation, the official said.” www.timesofisrael.com/israel-okays...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3logcfgmivk2b

    Sounds like a plan that might defeat Hamas and end the cycle of violence.

    I don't hear any others that might.
    That’s what Putin said about Ukraine.

    We benefit from a presumption that conquest is always wrong
    I must have missed Ukrainians invading Russia, killing thousands, kidnapping hundreds and raping many. Perhaps you can tell me when that happened, or STFU with the false comparison.

    Israel is perfectly entitled to wipe out Hamas and they have every right to do so - and Gaza is stateless currently, there is no Palestinian state, it was Egyptian and Egypt abandoned it, so if Israel ends up annexing it and the Palestinians end up back in Egypt or in other Middle Eastern states then I have no qualms with that whatsoever.

    Serves Hamas right for what they did.
    Karma's a bitch.
    Conquest is a bad thing. Regardless of any claimed justification. As a medium sized nation we benefit from global institutions.

    What Hamas and its allies did in Israel was unfathomable. Israel had every right to react robustly and I was (and am) a strong supporter of their right to do so.

    But that doesn’t give them a carte blanche to withhold food from the general population. That is a war crime. It doesn’t give them the right to invade and conquer a neighbouring territory.

    I believe Gaza was the one that invaded
    israel on the 7th of october
    It was from Gaza not by Gaza.


    Who is the government of Gaza? Oh thats right its hamas....who invaded israel...oh
    thats right it was hamas. However given your statement maybe we should send the royal marines to retake calais then say hey wasn't the uk it was just from the uk
    It was not an official act by the state, but actions by individual who are members of the governing party.

    In any event starving civilians is a war crime and that is what the Israeli government is doing
    Should we have sent food to germany in ww2?


    And sorry it wasnt an action by the governing party but members of the governing party? For one if you think the hamas government had no knowledge of the intended action I have a bridge to sell you, for two if members of the labour party invaded france do you really think the french wouldnt take that as an act of war?
    They are restricting suppliers from international relief agencies from entering Gaza. That is against the Geneva Conventions.

    I am sure that members of the Hamas government (which is not legitimately elected) knew about the attack. That still
    does not make it more than a particularly horrific terrorist act. I have no issue with them seeking reprisals and overthrowing Hamas. That is not the same as conquering territory.
    As far as I am aware unless you can show evidence otherwise the 2006 election that swept hamas into power with 42% of the vote was perfectly legitimate

    The *2006* election

    That doesn’t bestow permanent legitimacy
    Didn't claim it did but just like the us voting for trump they got elected in a free and fair election intially the fact they turned it into a perpetual fiefdom doesn't change that....hell not having read hamas's manifesto might even be what they campaigned on for all I know
    Hamas attacked their partners in the post election government and threw them out
    Hamas won 74 seats out of 132....ie 56% of seats....they didnt need a partner to form a government
    But how many people who voted for them in 2006 are still alive now?
    You confuse me with someone that cares about the middle east
    You seem to know exactly how many Seats they won in 2006!
    We have this little invention called the internet....it isnt hard to look it up perhaps you should try it rather than implying they attacked coalition partners and drove them out of government
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,833
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Scott_xP said:

    They already backtracked on the flag announcement

    https://x.com/MarkHam80780803/status/1919410143877333212

    Now follows an infantile flag battle in Reform voting areas. Will just be like IndyRef all over again 🥰
    Sectarian murals will be next.
    Surely the only people who own a bowler hat now vote Reform?
    Hatchworth wore a bowler hat doubt he voted reform
    But was that a bowler - or a Derby?
    looked like a bowler to me
    The Bowler's Holding, the Batsman's Willey :lol:
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,268
    Maybe a sign that the UK US talks on tariffs are going nowhere fast is the red line from the US to Japan re the auto tariffs .

    What’s the point of the UK doing any deal if it doesn’t lower those tariffs . And now Trump is threatening to screw film production in the UK this has complicated things further.

    Most countries don’t extend state visits to those who are actively trying to fxck some of their businesses. It’s just pitiful that the UK government has demeaned itself and is becoming a total embarrassment with this desperate fawning over Trump .
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,031
    https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1919525364998799810

    We won two World Wars, but we never took credit for it — Everyone else does! All over the World, the Allies are celebrating the Victory we had in World War II. The only Country that doesn't celebrate is the United States of America, and the Victory was only accomplished because of us. Without the United States, the War would have been won by other Countries, and what a different World it would be. Therefore, I am hereby declaring a National Holiday in celebration of the Victories of World War I, where the Armistice was signed on November 11, 1918, and World War II, where the Victory date was May 8, 1945. We will not be closing the Country for these two very important Holidays, November 11 and May 8, World War I and World War II, because we already have too many Holidays in America — There are not enough days left in the year. We were Workers then, and we are Workers now! Documentation to follow. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,610
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,832
    Andy_JS said:
    Only The Guardian could make me feel positively towards Reform. Jesus.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,809
    edited 12:33AM
    Downing Street is rethinking its controversial winter fuel payment cut amid growing anxiety at the top of government that the policy could wreak serious electoral damage, the Guardian has been told.

    Keir Starmer’s senior team has been discussing for several weeks how to handle public anger over the policy, which bubbled over in last Thursday’s local elections, when the party lost two-thirds of the council seats it was defending.

    While a full reversal of the cut is not expected, No 10 sources said they were considering whether to increase the £11,500 threshold over which pensioners are no longer eligible for the allowance.

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/05/no-10-reviewing-winter-fuel-payment-cut-after-labour-slump-in-local-elections

    This will end up with the savings being the the square root of f##k all and they won't get any credit for reversing it. They could have increased the tax rich oldies pay in more stealthier ways and end up with more money.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,031

    Downing Street is rethinking its controversial winter fuel payment cut amid growing anxiety at the top of government that the policy could wreak serious electoral damage, the Guardian has been told.

    Keir Starmer’s senior team has been discussing for several weeks how to handle public anger over the policy, which bubbled over in last Thursday’s local elections, when the party lost two-thirds of the council seats it was defending.

    While a full reversal of the cut is not expected, No 10 sources said they were considering whether to increase the £11,500 threshold over which pensioners are no longer eligible for the allowance.

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/05/no-10-reviewing-winter-fuel-payment-cut-after-labour-slump-in-local-elections

    This will end up with saving the square root of f##k all and they won't get any credit for reversing it. They could have increased the tax rich oldies pay in more stealthier ways and end up with more money.

    I can see a repeat of Gordon Brown's 70p or whatever it was.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,832

    Downing Street is rethinking its controversial winter fuel payment cut amid growing anxiety at the top of government that the policy could wreak serious electoral damage, the Guardian has been told.

    Keir Starmer’s senior team has been discussing for several weeks how to handle public anger over the policy, which bubbled over in last Thursday’s local elections, when the party lost two-thirds of the council seats it was defending.

    While a full reversal of the cut is not expected, No 10 sources said they were considering whether to increase the £11,500 threshold over which pensioners are no longer eligible for the allowance.

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/05/no-10-reviewing-winter-fuel-payment-cut-after-labour-slump-in-local-elections

    This will end up with the savings being the the square root of f##k all and they won't get any credit for reversing it. They could have increased the tax rich oldies pay in more stealthier ways and end up with more money.

    Indeed. Reputational damage is done. They should move on with a different eye-catching policy for the same group.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,610
    Where's the money going to come from if the WFA is reinstated without means testing?
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,373
    carnforth said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Only The Guardian could make me feel positively towards Reform. Jesus.
    Well, they are banning the flying of Ukrainian flags. What's wrong with the article.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,031
    Andy_JS said:

    Where's the money going to come from if the WFA is reinstated without means testing?

    It would be ironic if it triggers a Liz Truss style meltdown and vindicates Reeves.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,809
    edited 1:07AM
    Andy_JS said:

    Where's the money going to come from if the WFA is reinstated without means testing?

    More borrowing...they government is already borrowing £150bn a year and was £20bn "over borrowed" last year. The £1bn we are talking about hardly registers on its own. Its like the VAT on private school, in terms of a pure revenue raiser it doesn't make any material difference.

    I wouldn't be surprised though if we end up with some sort of scheme that requires more paperwork invalidating the small amount of savings even more.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,389

    Andy_JS said:

    Where's the money going to come from if the WFA is reinstated without means testing?

    More borrowing...they government is already borrowing £150bn a year and was £20bn "over borrowed" last year. The £1bn we are talking about hardly registers on its own. Its like the VAT on private school, in terms of a pure revenue raiser it doesn't make any material difference.

    I wouldn't be surprised though if we end up with some sort of scheme that requires more paperwork invalidating the small amount of savings even more.
    Has the word U-turn fallen out of favour at Guardian HQ or something?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,389
    edited 1:28AM
    DM_Andy said:

    carnforth said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Only The Guardian could make me feel positively towards Reform. Jesus.
    Well, they are banning the flying of Ukrainian flags. What's wrong with the article.
    What business do Councils have flying the Ukrainian flag anyway?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,610
    Cash is important, but so are cheques and chequebooks.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,404
    Scott_xP said:

    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.

    His mental decline is more rapid than the other guy
    The Hollywood claim is simple ignorance rather than mental decline.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,404
    Taxpayers’ money spent on renting constituency offices from Labour

    MPs charging £1.1m to rent from their own party is ‘extremely questionable’, says pressure group
    ...
    Twelve Labour MPs including Ellie Reeves, the Labour chairman [sic], have constituency offices in buildings owned by Labour.

    In total, more than £1.1 million has been spent by the taxpayer on rent for these 12 properties since 2010.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/05/05/taxpayers-money-spent-on-renting-constituency-offices/ (£££)

    You need to read a fair way down to learn that Conservative MPs do similar, including Kemi.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,404
    Eton-Harrow match at Lord’s clashes with exam timetable
    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/education/article/eton-harrow-match-at-lords-clashes-with-exam-timetable-nqp6crr8b (£££)

    You'd think that would be question 1 in GCSE Scheduling Cricket Matches.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,404
    How much the UK pays for TV licence fee, compared with Germany, Italy and Switzerland

    The £174.50 licence fee is now the third most expensive in Europe. The BBC cost is rising as other nations cut or axe their TV tax altogether

    https://inews.co.uk/news/media/how-much-uk-pays-tv-licence-fee-compared-germany-italy-switzerland-3676024
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,809
    edited 4:15AM
    Around £102m in new funding will be committed to expanding and modernising GP surgeries, the government says. More than 1,000 surgeries will benefit from the cash boost to upgrade and create additional space for doctors to see more patients.

    More than 1,000 surgeries will benefit from the cash boost to upgrade and create additional space for doctors to see more patients.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx28erkmm3yo

    £100k per surgery, that will get you half a GP. Or are they talking about upgrading the building, again £100k won't get you much these days.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723

    Around £102m in new funding will be committed to expanding and modernising GP surgeries, the government says. More than 1,000 surgeries will benefit from the cash boost to upgrade and create additional space for doctors to see more patients.

    More than 1,000 surgeries will benefit from the cash boost to upgrade and create additional space for doctors to see more patients.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx28erkmm3yo

    £100k per surgery, that will get you half a GP. Or are they talking about upgrading the building, again £100k won't get you much these days.

    And the million of extra appointments from closing down non-dom status?

    Yeah, right.

    Was talking to a friend over the weekend down to Devon from St. John's Wood. High-end interior decorator. She is very worried for her business because of the number of people leaving the UK. She and her husband would be off to Dubai too, if it weren't for their children's education. If they discover education of a high enough standard, I suspect they will be gone.

    And their lost annual tax alone would have upgraded several surgeries each year.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,617

    How much the UK pays for TV licence fee, compared with Germany, Italy and Switzerland

    The £174.50 licence fee is now the third most expensive in Europe. The BBC cost is rising as other nations cut or axe their TV tax altogether

    https://inews.co.uk/news/media/how-much-uk-pays-tv-licence-fee-compared-germany-italy-switzerland-3676024

    Does anyone watch the BBC anymore?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,723

    How much the UK pays for TV licence fee, compared with Germany, Italy and Switzerland

    The £174.50 licence fee is now the third most expensive in Europe. The BBC cost is rising as other nations cut or axe their TV tax altogether

    https://inews.co.uk/news/media/how-much-uk-pays-tv-licence-fee-compared-germany-italy-switzerland-3676024

    Does anyone watch the BBC anymore?
    The snooker.

    Er...Wifey likes Race Across the World.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,809
    The Welsh first minister will criticise Keir Starmer’s welfare reforms in a major speech on Tuesday, saying she will pursue a leftwing “red Welsh way” and put a clear dividing line between Welsh Labour and the national party.

    Eluned Morgan will distance herself from Starmer’s government in a speech on Tuesday billed by allies as a reset moment for Welsh Labour to counter the threats from Reform UK and Plaid Cymru.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/may/06/eluned-morgan-to-set-out-red-welsh-way-in-speech-criticising-starmer
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,654

    How much the UK pays for TV licence fee, compared with Germany, Italy and Switzerland

    The £174.50 licence fee is now the third most expensive in Europe. The BBC cost is rising as other nations cut or axe their TV tax altogether

    https://inews.co.uk/news/media/how-much-uk-pays-tv-licence-fee-compared-germany-italy-switzerland-3676024

    Does anyone watch the BBC anymore?
    Basically only watch BBC, and YouTube. Dip into the streaming shows when they have a good series and then cancel once done.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,665
    edited 5:32AM

    How much the UK pays for TV licence fee, compared with Germany, Italy and Switzerland

    The £174.50 licence fee is now the third most expensive in Europe. The BBC cost is rising as other nations cut or axe their TV tax altogether

    https://inews.co.uk/news/media/how-much-uk-pays-tv-licence-fee-compared-germany-italy-switzerland-3676024

    Does anyone watch the BBC anymore?
    I do, although not often live because I'm so busy, And I listen to a lot of radio when I'm driving.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,471

    Scott_xP said:

    Trump claiming that not long ago America used to make 100% of all movies.

    Good to know where Bollywood is, Donald.

    His mental decline is more rapid than the other guy
    The Hollywood claim is simple ignorance rather than mental decline.
    Seems unfair to brand Trump as ignorant.

    He could just he flat-out lying.
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