??? Quick thread on some of our findings ahead of today's Canadian election.Our headline results put the Liberals ahead, but we've uncovered evidence that the Conservatives may have won the election (or at least the most seats) if Trump had not won in November.
Comments
"We're gonna ensure that our truckers, who are the backbone of our policy, are all able to speak English" -- Leavitt says Trump will sign an order demanding that all truckers can speak English
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lnvdmfgu7s2q
(Trump, not you.)
Biden gave a big smile and said:
"Of course it’s an independent country. It’s a great independent country. If I were defecting, I’d go to Canada!"
https://x.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1916874688304738743
Who is the sad person with the ridiculous moustache? And are they about to be eaten by a Triffid.
Etc.
Just out from over an hour’s immigration queue at Chicago. I thought all those depressed visitor numbers might have thinned out the queues, but seemingly not today.
Trump has some trouble reading
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lnvm3xrohw2r
MGM laying off all concierge staff at all Vegas resorts except Aria and Bellagio; closing buffet at Excalibur, parking staff reductions due to lower visitor counts and demand.
The Golden Age continues..
https://x.com/BonkDaCarnivore/status/1916670135789576431
I have not seen the dates of Putin's ceasefire, but I presume it is to avoid having drones and missiles slathering the military targets in Red Square on Parade Day.
I'm sure there will be some military targets there the day before the ceasefire starts, or some potholes on the route that need enlarging enough to meet the Moscow Council spec to be deep enough to need repairing,so Ukr could help with that. It is within range of Neptune Extended Range version.
In Nottinghamshire they seem to need to be the size of a small artillery crater before the County Council turn up. It's also a Highlands' speciality:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0434kvrp24o
via @tombaldwin66.bsky.social
"when I walked around one of the constituency’s more well-to-do areas last week a woman told me she was backing Labour for the 1st time because of what the reputational damage of having a Reform MP 'might mean for our property prices'
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
https://bsky.app/profile/pickardje.bsky.social/post/3lnvajtirhc2l
It's our ultimate fallback, and was even where the whole British government and state planned to retreat to had the UK been overrun in WW2.
Do not suspect she will be voting Reform…
I always liked the loyalty the Aussies and New Zealanders have given us too.
From Gallipoli to Bob Muldoon's comments over the Falklands.
Trumps Swing State victories were not exactly a polling error.
But nor would Liberals having to go into opposition from these results come as a huge shock. The Wisdom of the Crowd method is to be respected. The fuss about who can best handle Trump, and a change of leader to pretend the voters have the change they have made up their mind for, isn’t going to work. The voters had clearly made up their mind to change party in government and give others a go, it would be actually be a surprise if Libs can come back from that, on the flimsiness of a leader swap out and a who best to handle Trump, campaign. .
Forget tariffs: build better cars and US consumers might buy them.
https://akns-images.eonline.com/eol_images/Entire_Site/2018101/rs_634x1024-181101080659-634-Freddie-Mercury-Mary-Austin-JR-110118.jpg
Yuk.
I think we moved the gold and Crown Jewels to Canada?
Said aloud in my Northern accent, it’s like they have no data at all.
Moog Inc. creates components for space vehicles and the F35. Moog Music Inc. creates synthesizers
One (was) run by Bill Moog, the other (was) run by Bob Moog. They are cousins.
One put’s stuff in space, the other makes space sounds.
Oh, and they both went to Cornell.
https://x.com/lauriewired/status/1916951710008021019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8FvGECcK46o
USA, UK, Canada, Australia, Ireland, New Zealand
US Territories (5)
US Associated States (3)
UK Crown Dependencies (3)
UK Territories (13 exc. Antarctic claim)
UK Commonwealth Realms (11 not mentioned above)
Australian Island Territories (6 exc. Antarctic claim)
NZ Territory and Associated States (3 exc. Antarctic claim)
States with Australian and/or NZ defence ties (3)
492 million people
28.7 million sq. km. (11.1 million sq. miles)
128 States and seats in the Federal Council
56 "Left", 47 "Right", 25 "Other" (per most recent elections, Canada pending)
801 seats in the Electoral College
417 "Left", 363 "Right", 21 "Other" (per most recent elections, Canada pending)
England most populous state (56 million people)
Pitcairn least populous state (47 people)
Western Australia largest area: 2,527,013 sq. km. (975,685 sq. miles)
Sark smallest area: 5 sq. km. (2 sq. miles)
76% speak English as main/home language
$37.665 trillion GDP ($76,510 per capita)
508 cities of 100,000 people or more
23 cities of 1,000,000 or more
London and New York more than 8,000,000
190 airports each serving at least 1,000,000 passengers in 2023
19 airlines with widebody jets, total of 955 widebodies
128,000 km. (80,000 miles) of passenger railways, serving 14,410 stations
89 Submarines (inc. 22 ballistic)
24 aircraft and helicopter carriers
152 major surface ships
82 major patrol vessels
3,421 jet fighters and bombers
2,817 main battle tanks
They put forward some good policies which were taken up when in the coalition with the LPC , now the thanks they get from the public is a big fat zero .
This is the reality of FPTP where voters are forced into tactical voting .
Operation Fish - there's a very interesting Mark Felton about it from February.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boOPyGBLfv4
It’s still quite astonishing though how literally a whole country can lose power .
As for cash . I always keep around 100 pounds cash on me just in case . I know this is heresy to some in here!
I believe that there are two people spaces available, so he would fit.
Cockney for we are out of tea.
If so do we know when the first results are expected?
How to make three minutes thirty nine seconds sound like three hours.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im3JzxlatUs
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/04/28/reeves-plans-milkshake-tax/
Sure, in the Eighties there was a lot of weird experimental music, big hair, mismatched clothing and dubious choreography, but boy was it fun. The best decade to be young, unless you were on the dole.
This has forced a lot of NDP voters towards the LPC in an effort to stop the CPC .
It was running at just under £50 million per day, in 1940-41 prices.
It was even called the Cash & Carry system. According to Mr Felton.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boOPyGBLfv4
Nah...
"Why do British people speak English, which is American, instead of some European language..."
ABC - "The Look Of Love"
Bananarama - "Venus"
Culture Club - "Karma Chamaeleon"
Duran Duran - "The Reflex"
Eurythmics - "Sweet Dreams"
Frankie Goes to Hollywood - "Relax"
Peter Gabriel - "Sledgehammer"
Human League - "Don't You Want Me"
Imagination - "Just An Illusion"
Michael Jackson - "Billie Jean"
Kylie Minogue - "I Should Be So Lucky"
Level 42 - "Lessons In Love"
Madonna - "Into The Groove"
New Order - "Blue Monday"
Billy Ocean - "When The Going Gets Tough"
Pet Shop Boys - "West End Girls"
Queen - "Radio Gaga"
Rick Astley - "Never Gonna Give You Up"
Spandau Ballet - "Gold"
Tears for Fears - "Everybody Wants To Rule The World"
UB40 - "Red Red Wine"
Visage - "Fade To Grey"
Wham! - "Wake Me Up Before You Go-Go"
XTC - "Senses Working Overtime"
Yazz - "Don't Go"
ZZ Top - "Gimme All Your Lovin'"
Main language of 94% of the population = English
Our political class - all of them - have been far too keen to appease Trump; from day one we should have made it clear we stood with Canada.
Australia doesn't want either of these things to happen, and that's why it turned down Johnson's proposal for free movement of people.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/morrison-government-rules-out-visa-free-travel-between-australia-uk-20200102-p53o7l.html
But she'd have to charge.
The fundamentals are the Liberals have been in power for 9 years, were in power during COVID and have done some pretty unpopular stuff (hence the polling pre-Trump)
The zeitgeist is that Canadians feel threatened by Trump.
The parallel for me is NZ 2020.
Jacinda's Labour got an unprecedented absolute majority (the first ever under MMP) due to COVID, but then it all came crashing down by 2023.
If the Canadian Libs win then I'd expect them to be unpopular again within a few years and Trump will be gone by the time Canada next votes in 2029, when you'd expect a big swing rightwards.
Good choices though.
"Ladies and Gentlemen, it is my great pleasure to introduce our guest Sir Vivian F*cks"
"Ah, thank you, but it is pronounced Fooks"
"Aye lad, but there's some words we don't say around here"
60’s great style, great music. 70’s, some iffy style but great music. 90’s great style great music. Every decade since, great style great music.
80’s. Complete aberration.
Ian Wells, a 23-year-old student who plans to go into teaching, decided against voting for the smaller left leaning New Democratic Party. He says his priority now is “how best to stave off the conservatives".
What’s happening in the US with the Department of Justice under President Donald Trump “horrifies him", he says, referring to the judge who was arrested, and the way the administration has handled deportations and revoked foreign students' visas.
He says he doesn’t want Canada going in that direction. “I don't necessarily know for sure if Pierre Poilievre is that here, but he's close enough to it that I don't want to risk anything like that,” he explains.
https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2025/apr/28/mark-knopfler-dire-straits-money-for-nothing
Deacon Blue - Ship Called Dignity : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QP1EGudMF3M
Spacemen 3 - OD Catastrophe : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SaBz49jZo_Y
Lil Lois - French Kiss : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Y8w2W1uy2A
Another thing I spot that is very wrong, weren’t U2 and the Pogues big in the eighties? Why are they not on the list?
Trump seemed ok to me (assuming the 57 was correct) and perhaps part of it was an ad lib rather than a scripted ad lib.
"White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt says she will speak to Trump and the National Security team about whether the US can offer political asylum to British citizens fleeing UK free speech laws."
https://bsky.app/profile/adamjschwarz.bsky.social/post/3lnvd6k4kck2a
Cocteau Twins - Pink Orange Red : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFN6BaulEX8
This Mortal Coil - Song To The Siren : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFWKJ2FUiAQ
Elizabeth Fraser in a later song for those who don't recognise her :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7K72X4eo_s
(she also worked with FSOL, for those who remember those days)
Walking on Sunshine.
U2 ? Nah.
There are three very competitive ridings to look out for , Long Range Mountains , Terra Nova and Central Newfoundland .
In particular CN has only 0.88% between the CPC who won last time and the LPC . There’s only 7.10% NDP vote there .
What’s quite unusual in Canada is their ridings have a large range in population density .
And first recorded in Jan 1980, so maybe only days from being 70s!!
For instance, would I have liked this track from Low when I was 12 in the 80s? Probably not. But now it's one of my all time favourite songs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=12RnKyivaVc