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Trump makes a late intervention to ensure a Liberal landslide – politicalbetting.com

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  • TazTaz Posts: 18,214

    Also, please, noone blame me for Spain/Portugal.

    They’re not into something good.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,988

    NEW THREAD

  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,302
    Distantly related to the topic: There’s red Tesla parked on my street — with a sticker on it saying: “I bought this before Elon went crazy.” Hope the sticker works; the car is parked next to some very flammable trees.

    (There have been a few cases of vandalism in this area.)
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 14,237

    Starmer needs to find someone new to write his tweets. This faux-authoritarian voice doesn’t suit him.

    https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/1916750747540095053

    Our NHS has been stuck in the dark ages — that ends now.

    By using the latest technology and expanding the NHS app, my government will slash waiting lists, get patients seen faster, and save taxpayers money.

    They've continued the slashing of NHS England staff we saw under the last government. You're not going to achieve these advances with technology without good staff to implement systems.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,833
    Taz said:

    14 year old boy hits second fastest ever IPL Century.

    https://x.com/thebarmyarmy/status/1916906596371701814?s=61

    Taz said:

    14 year old boy hits second fastest ever IPL Century.

    https://x.com/thebarmyarmy/status/1916906596371701814?s=61

    Assuming he genuinely is 14 that’s astonishing.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 27,196
    edited April 28

    Can anyone tell me why Ukraine should observe the Russian three day ceasefire so that Putin can have his parade in Moscow without fear of drones attacking left, right and centre? No doubt the Russians could use the three days to get some respite for the depleted forces. If Ukraine agrees it will surely be because its supporters have not just gone wobbly but turned into jelly. We have what looks like a surprisingly hawkish German government coming into office at which moment Europe (including UK) will quietly betray Ukraine so as not to displease Donald Trump.

    Perhaps to spike Putin's scheme.

    I have not seen the dates of Putin's ceasefire, but I presume it is to avoid having drones and missiles slathering the military targets in Red Square on Parade Day.

    I'm sure there will be some military targets there the day before the ceasefire starts, or some potholes on the route that need enlarging enough to meet the Moscow Council spec to be deep enough to need repairing. It is within range of Neptune Extended Range version.

    In Nottinghamshire they seem to need to be the size of a small artillery crater before the County Council turn up. It's also a Highlands' speciality:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0434kvrp24o
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,584
    edited April 29
    viewcode said:

    Canadian election results
    https://enr.elections.ca/National.aspx?lang=e
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-canada-election-results/
    https://globalnews.ca/news/11095128/canada-election-live-results-2025-vote/

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bt2bgNChUnw
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vfaDsMhCF4
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SATBOqyYODU

    The East coast releases its results around 7:30pmET/12:30amBST (ie just after midnight tonight)
    The West coast releases its results around 10pmET/3amBST

    Notes
    * It's Canada so the constituencies are called "ridings". If memory serves they stand, not run.
    * @MoonRabbit has bet on the Conservatives winning most votes. I have bet on the Liberals. So it's a battle of the Titans (cue that David Mitchell video on WATCH THE FOOTBALL).
    * I have bet £20 on the outcome. This may be the smallest or second smallest amount I have ever bet on an election. By comparison I had approx £1K on POTUS24 and UKGE24. Sorry Canada but I had my head up the Hyperliberalism article and could not clear the headspace/Désolé Canada, mais j'avais lu l'article sur l'hyperlibéralisme et je n'ai pas réussi à me vider la tête.

    At 10am BST 29 Apr 2025 Bloomberg gives these results
    Liberals (LPC)
    43.5%
    Conservatives (CPC)
    41.4%
    Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
    6.4%
    New Democrats (NDP)
    6.3%
    Greens (GPC)
    1.2%
    Other affiliation
    1.2%

    I win my £20 bet on Libs most votes at 1/2, a profit of TEN WHOLE POUNDS. I was however wrong about the "stand/run" distinction, as Canadians run, not stand, for a riding.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-canada-election-results/
  • theakestheakes Posts: 962
    Not a landslide, has Carney even got an actual majority, if so it will be very narrow?.
  • theakestheakes Posts: 962
    As we come to the local elections it is useful to look at a larger set of by-election results rather than just the few held this week. Here is my data for the last fifty local by-elections:

    Share of vote:
    Conservatives 23.93%, Liberal Democrats 21.08%, Labour 20.22%, Reform 18.50%, Greens 9.78%, Others 6.49%

    Gains and losses are:
    Reform: Net gain of eight: 8 gains, 0 held, 0 lost
    Lib Dems: Net gain of three: 5 gains, 10 held, 2 lost
    Greens: Net gain of one: 2 gains, 1 held, 1 lost
    Independents: Net gain of one: 3 gains, 1 held, 2 lost
    Conservatives: Net loss of one: 4 gains, 7 held, 5 lost
    Plaid Cymru: Net loss of one: 0 gains, 2 held, 1 lost
    Labour: Net loss of eleven: 0 gains, 8 held, 11 lost

    Liberal Democrats won 15 seats, Conservatives 11, Labour 8, Reform 8, Independents 4, Greens 3, Plaid Cymru 2
    (This does not add up to 50 as there was a double election in one ward)

    This data is for the most recent 50 by-elections in England & Wales (6th February to 24th April). Parish/Town councils are not included.

    YOU WOULD NEVER GUESS LISTENING TO THE MEDIA
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