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Where do we even start with this? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,394

    It was carefully crafted to achieve that objective. Thank you
    The greatest thing about our beautiful English language is that there is no authoritarian "regulating" body, like the French language has with the Academie Francaise.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,767

    The greatest thing about our beautiful English language is that there is no authoritarian "regulating" body, like the French language has with the Academie Francaise.
    Have you ever met the PB grammar fascists ?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,858

    Have you ever met the PB grammar fascists ?
    All nein of them…
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,267

    Indeed. There is not much in the UK's constitution that would stop a party with a majority in the Commons installing an authoritarian dictatorship, although theoretically the monarch could stop such a process.
    I agree but the fact that the government / executive is chosen by MPs is an important constraint.

    Trump can't be removed by Congress even if they wanted to for four years.

    An unexpectedly authoritarian UK government can be ousted by a simple majority in the Commons. The threat of defection constraints how far governments are willing to go - even when they have significant majorities.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008

    They're probably at school.
    Or in a furnace.

    or am I getting confused?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,394

    Have you ever met the PB grammar fascists ?
    Yes, I'm one of them!
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207

    It would be disappointing if he didn't have two brothers, Meshach and Abednego.
    I'm more inclined, the name being spoken, that there is a single sibling called Gorbag.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,092
    edited March 28

    In reality, to the extent that the king might get involved directly, his easiest option would simply be to dissolve parliament and let the people decide.

    But yes, the UK constitution is less robust against autocratic types than the US - mainly because since the last really big constitutional crisis, the executive has migrated from the crown into parliament. In 1689, parliament was the check on the executive (not a very effective one, it has to be said); now it's its power-base
    Parliament's power was reaffirmed in 2019 by the Miller II judgement.
    The opposite to Marbury v Madison in the USA when their Supreme Court took power though it appeared to give it, Miller though appearing to nobble the gov't actually reaffirmed the supremacy of Parliament above themselves, the gov't and the king.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,929

    I think the greatest thing about our beautiful English language is that the Vikings spoke it badly, so we gave up on lots of the complicated grammar in Anglo-Saxon.
    There's a lesson there.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,695
    edited March 28

    In reality, to the extent that the king might get involved directly, his easiest option would simply be to dissolve parliament and let the people decide.

    But yes, the UK constitution is less robust against autocratic types than the US - mainly because since the last really big constitutional crisis, the executive has migrated from the crown into parliament. In 1689, parliament was the check on the executive (not a very effective one, it has to be said); now it's its power-base
    There does seem to be something about constitutional monarchies that puts a bit of a check on untrammelled political power though. Not so much the specific checks and balances, but the soft power of the monarch. No PM can argue that l’etat c’est moi. There’s always another source of authority above.

    Ceremonial presidents have the same effect, but they can be overridden and redesigned more easily. Take Erdogan and Turkey as an example.

    Constitutional monarchy isn’t a foolproof check on power. Franco ruled Spain as an authoritarian under a king, and several Thai governments have done likewise, but even there monarchical intervention has sometimes held juntas in check.

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,929
    So rendition, without due process, to a third country jail where inmate deaths are frequent, is AOK.
    If you're "not productive".

    @marcorubio backtracks and admits that Venezuelans sold to El Salvador were NOT necessarily members of Tren de Aragua.

    Rubio says the U.S. sent a “combination of people” who were “not productive to the United States” and who were “removable” by law.

    https://x.com/camilapress/status/1905396651381960739

    I am definitely not visiting the US again while Trump is still in office.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,493
    https://x.com/telegraph/status/1905570610173932012

    A prisoner who was freed as part of Sir Keir Starmer’s controversial prison scheme killed someone on the same day he was released
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,200

    https://x.com/telegraph/status/1905570610173932012

    A prisoner who was freed as part of Sir Keir Starmer’s controversial prison scheme killed someone on the same day he was released

    TBF the prisoner release scheme was something they didn’t want to do but had to do, thanks to the previous shambles.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,047
    edited March 28

    So rare earths aren't literally rare?
    That is correct: take neodymium, which is used in the magnets of electric cars, as neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB).

    Right now, most (80%) of neodymium is mined in China. But even five or six years ago, it was essentially 100% China. Now, the US and Australia are also big producers, and production is coming on stream in Russia, India, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brazil.

    Something people thought that China had a strategic lock on... well, it turned out, it was simply no-one bothered mining it in other places because the demand wasn't big enough.

    And as neodymium is actually more common than Copper, there's no shortage of places it can be mined from. It's just we didn't need to.

    Greenland (ands for that matter Ukraine) are highly unlikely to ever be big sources of rare earths. The former because the costs of operating there will be through the roof, and the latter because no one actually know there are commercial quantities of rare earths there.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,408
    Taz said:

    TBF the prisoner release scheme was something they didn’t want to do but had to do, thanks to the previous shambles.
    That isn't something that is of concern to the Telegraph.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,946
    Pulpstar said:

    Parliament's power was reaffirmed in 2019 by the Miller II judgement.
    The opposite to Marbury v Madison in the USA when their Supreme Court took power though it appeared to give it, Miller though appearing to nobble the gov't actually reaffirmed the supremacy of Parliament above themselves, the gov't and the king.
    The disgusting hate filled coverage by the right wing media completely ignored that . Instead of celebrating that UK citizens rights can’t be removed by Henry VIII powers and have to have legislation passed through parliament we got weeks of judge bashing and lies from them intended to dupe the gullible .

    If the SC had sided with the government our rights would have been at the whims of government ministers who at a stroke of a pen could remove them .
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 76
    said:Maldon percentages

    Con 41.1% (+18.3)
    LD 36,4% (-5.4)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,297

    They do.
    They definitely love me. I have big fans in Novosibirsk
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    Nigelb said:

    So rendition, without due process, to a third country jail where inmate deaths are frequent, is AOK.
    If you're "not productive".

    @marcorubio backtracks and admits that Venezuelans sold to El Salvador were NOT necessarily members of Tren de Aragua.

    Rubio says the U.S. sent a “combination of people” who were “not productive to the United States” and who were “removable” by law.

    https://x.com/camilapress/status/1905396651381960739

    I am definitely not visiting the US again while Trump is still in office.

    Which way did the cash transfer?

    I have heard both USA paid El Salvador $6m, and vice-versa.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,929
    edited March 28
    rcs1000 said:

    That is correct: take neodymium, which is used in the magnets of electric cars, as neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB).

    Right now, most (80%) of neodymium is mined in China. But even five or six years ago, it was essentially 100% China. Now, the US and Australia are also big producers, and production is coming on stream in Russia, India, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brazil.

    Something people thought that China had a strategic lock on... well, it turned out, it was simply no-one bothered mining it in other places because the demand wasn't big enough.

    And as neodymium is actually more common than Copper, there's no shortage of places it can be mined from. It's just we didn't need to.

    Greenland (ands for that matter Ukraine) are highly unlikely to ever be big sources of rare earths. The former because the costs of operating there will be through the roof, and the latter because no one actually know there are commercial quantities of rare earths there.
    There quite probably are - but in any event, mines take long term investment, and confidence that you can get your money back over the kong term. Absent a permanent and reliable ceasefire (ie something akin to NATO membership, or its European equivalent), there's zero incentive for anyone to invest there.

    Which is why Trump's plan to take all the potential economic benefits, while contributing zero in terms of security guarantees, would be ridiculous, even if you could trust him. Which you can't.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,493
    Trump has called the Canadian election for Carney:

    https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1905638870227824651

    I just finished speaking with Prime Minister Mark Carney, of Canada. It was an extremely productive call, we agree on many things, and will be meeting immediately after Canada's upcoming Election to work on elements of Politics, Business, and all other factors, that will end up being great for both the United States of America and Canada. Thank you for your attention to this matter!
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008
    edited March 28
    rcs1000 said:

    That is correct: take neodymium, which is used in the magnets of electric cars, as neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB).

    Right now, most (80%) of neodymium is mined in China. But even five or six years ago, it was essentially 100% China. Now, the US and Australia are also big producers, and production is coming on stream in Russia, India, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brazil.

    Something people thought that China had a strategic lock on... well, it turned out, it was simply no-one bothered mining it in other places because the demand wasn't big enough.

    And as neodymium is actually more common than Copper, there's no shortage of places it can be mined from. It's just we didn't need to.

    Greenland (ands for that matter Ukraine) are highly unlikely to ever be big sources of rare earths. The former because the costs of operating there will be through the roof, and the latter because no one actually know there are commercial quantities of rare earths there.
    Would it not be far easier and hassle free for US companies to mine for it and process in Greenland, than in the USA?
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,667
    TimS said:

    Thanks, the anthropology museum is very close to my hotel so I’ll definitely pay it a visit in that case.
    Agreed. This is a pretty good summary of options:

    https://www.tripadvisor.co.uk/Attractions-g150800-Activities-Mexico_City_Central_Mexico_and_Gulf_Coast.html
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,297

    The thing I found amusing in Vegas (as a good Muslim boy) is that they offer the gamblers free alcohol, which I passed on to my other half.

    Just imagine how loud I would be drunk and lacking judgment whilst gambling.

    They should be banned from giving gamblers free booze.

    Martin Amis was once asked to describe Las Vegas in one word. He thought for a bit, then said

    “Unislamic”

    Genius
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,929
    rcs1000 said:

    That is correct: take neodymium, which is used in the magnets of electric cars, as neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB).

    Right now, most (80%) of neodymium is mined in China. But even five or six years ago, it was essentially 100% China. Now, the US and Australia are also big producers, and production is coming on stream in Russia, India, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brazil.

    Something people thought that China had a strategic lock on... well, it turned out, it was simply no-one bothered mining it in other places because the demand wasn't big enough.

    And as neodymium is actually more common than Copper, there's no shortage of places it can be mined from. It's just we didn't need to.

    Greenland (ands for that matter Ukraine) are highly unlikely to ever be big sources of rare earths. The former because the costs of operating there will be through the roof, and the latter because no one actually know there are commercial quantities of rare earths there.
    Non exhaustive list of where you might find it:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbonatite#Occurrence
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bastnäsite#Occurrence
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008
    Leon said:

    They definitely love me. I have big fans in Novosibirsk
    And both of them need to lose weight.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,929

    Trump has called the Canadian election for Carney:

    https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1905638870227824651

    I just finished speaking with Prime Minister Mark Carney, of Canada. It was an extremely productive call, we agree on many things, and will be meeting immediately after Canada's upcoming Election to work on elements of Politics, Business, and all other factors, that will end up being great for both the United States of America and Canada. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

    Is that intended to undermine his campaign ?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,380
    MattW said:

    Which way did the cash transfer?

    I have heard both USA paid El Salvador $6m, and vice-versa.
    The US paid El Salvador, $20,000 per detainee, totalling ~$6 million, with additional payments of up to $15 million possible.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,408

    Trump has called the Canadian election for Carney:

    https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1905638870227824651

    I just finished speaking with Prime Minister Mark Carney, of Canada. It was an extremely productive call, we agree on many things, and will be meeting immediately after Canada's upcoming Election to work on elements of Politics, Business, and all other factors, that will end up being great for both the United States of America and Canada. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

    Back tracking I'd call it!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,092
    Nigelb said:

    Is that intended to undermine his campaign ?
    The funny thing is Mark Carney was actually a governor for twelve years of his career whereas Trudeau never was a governor in any shape or form, and now Trump refers to Carney as the PM but called Trudeau the governor :D
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,107
    Shashank Joshi‬ ‪@shashj.bsky.social‬
    ·
    34m
    More deranged, dangerous threats. "We need Greenland for national security & international security...we'll go as far as we have to go. We need Greenland. And the world needs us to have Greenland, including Denmark. Denmark has to have us have Greenland" abcnews.go.com/Internationa...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3llh2t3eqp22p
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,380

    Shashank Joshi‬ ‪@shashj.bsky.social‬
    ·
    34m
    More deranged, dangerous threats. "We need Greenland for national security & international security...we'll go as far as we have to go. We need Greenland. And the world needs us to have Greenland, including Denmark. Denmark has to have us have Greenland" abcnews.go.com/Internationa...

    https://bsky.app/profile/shashj.bsky.social/post/3llh2t3eqp22p

    When did Trump first start talking about Greenland? Was it in his presidential campaign? Does he have a mandate from the voters? (I realise this is an academic point.)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,107
    Nigelb said:

    Is that intended to undermine his campaign ?
    That's what I thought.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,047
    When thinking of resource shortages, it is always worth remembering Oscar Wilde's definition of a gold mine: "A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar at the top."

    Why?

    Because he owns the hole. And right now, it's producing nothing. If you give him money, and it works out, he's rich. And if it doesn't, it is you that loses all your money.

    It is therefore in the interests of the man at the top to persuade you that (a) this hole contains gold, and (b) gold is incredibly rare, and therefore you will make a lot of money from extracting the gold from this hole.

  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,034

    When did Trump first start talking about Greenland? Was it in his presidential campaign? Does he have a mandate from the voters? (I realise this is an academic point.)
    At least as far back as 2019 in his first Presidency.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,946
    Nigelb said:

    Is that intended to undermine his campaign ?
    It’s a strange situation for Carney because Trump continuing his anti Canada tirade helps the Libs . The less risk Canadians see from Trump they might feel more comfortable voting for other parties .

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,585
    @MichaelTakeMP

    To insult two highly respected and free thinking politicians like this is disgraceful.
    It just shows how far standards in society have fallen.
    Anyone reposting this insulting photograph should feel utterly ashamed.


  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,425

    NEW THREAD

  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008
    rcs1000 said:

    When thinking of resource shortages, it is always worth remembering Oscar Wilde's definition of a gold mine: "A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar at the top."

    Why?

    Because he owns the hole. And right now, it's producing nothing. If you give him money, and it works out, he's rich. And if it doesn't, it is you that loses all your money.

    It is therefore in the interests of the man at the top to persuade you that (a) this hole contains gold, and (b) gold is incredibly rare, and therefore you will make a lot of money from extracting the gold from this hole.

    That works Robert, with the idea Trump is the lone, rather whimsical liar at the top of the hole. But when most of an industry who are SME in this and make money from the investments, security experts and the Broligarchy are all agreeing it’s a good idea - does that not change our mind how we see it?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    edited March 28
    I've been listening this afternoon to a podcast interview suggesting that one problem with recognising even the possibility of Russia's war on Ukraine is that we have a generation educated since 1991 into having Fukuyama's "end of history" as being such an inground cultural narrative for that generation that WW2 style war crimes are not possible in Europe.

    And that is why Russia's repeat of them in Ukraine has received so little coverage, and political attention, and why Western Europe politics / culture has been so slow to wake up to the possibility of a direct threat. Expecting such a conflict on our home ground becomes almost impossible.

    There are parallels with the impossibility of discussing the experience of soldiers in wars overseas, and domestic violence at home, which is why we can need to blame the other.

    One analogy drawn was 1930s denial even of the possibility of what Germany did to minorities.

    There are more facets to that analogy that I need to reflect on, including it working the other way sometimes, such as people from the USA not being able to conceive of societies as non-violent as we have in Western Europe, Looking up murder rates in Birmingham, Alabama, for 2024, how do we get on trying to imagine 3 homicides consistently each and every week of the year in Portsmouth, Swansea, Derby or Aberdeen? 3 murders in Nottingham by stabbing on one occasion was a national shock,

    That's the frame where a tweet from Brazil about the current UK incoming ban on Ninja swords, expressed incredulity. It's actually a privilege to be in a country nonviolent enough for such a ban to be contemplated as significant.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,477

    “The problem with defending the purity of the English language is that English is about as pure as a cribhouse whore. We don't just borrow words; on occasion, English has pursued other languages down alleyways to beat them unconscious and rifle their pockets for new vocabulary.”
    I agree with not defending its purity, but nevertheless, it is the case that all the idiosyncrasies and charm of British English that you have described is being eroded away by ubiquitous American usages due to social media, TV and other forms of what are essentially cultural imperialism. I think PB's right thinking commentariat would be saddened by the prospect of many other peoples' languages and dialects being extinguished - I happen to think that British English (and all its regional and home nation variations) are worth preserving, enjoying and defending.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207

    The US paid El Salvador, $20,000 per detainee, totalling ~$6 million, with additional payments of up to $15 million possible.
    So who is this Camilla person on twatter claiming Rubio "admits" Venezuelans "sold to El Salvador".

    Ahem, checking - Press TV.

    That leaves me a little confused as to whether Rubio is actually one of Trump's mushrooms, or Iran's official TV station Press TV (iirc) is playing a strange game.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,978
    edited March 28
    This must be close to our best ever day for renewables? Been bumping around the baseline of 3-5GW of gas for over 12 hours; the spot price of electricity was negative £0.37 per MWh at 12.30pm.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    Pulpstar said:

    The funny thing is Mark Carney was actually a governor for twelve years of his career whereas Trudeau never was a governor in any shape or form, and now Trump refers to Carney as the PM but called Trudeau the governor :D
    Mr Chump actually spends his time removing governors:

    governor
    : an attachment to a machine (such as a gasoline engine) for automatic control or limitation of speed


    The plan for Canada?

    I still say Canada should offer status as a Province to Alaska. Given that they both have massive energy resources desired by the USA, it's a logical union.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    Pulpstar said:

    The funny thing is Mark Carney was actually a governor for twelve years of his career whereas Trudeau never was a governor in any shape or form, and now Trump refers to Carney as the PM but called Trudeau the governor :D
    Mr Chump actually spends his time removing governors:

    governor
    : an attachment to a machine (such as a gasoline engine) for automatic control or limitation of speed


    The plan for Canada?

    I still say Canada should offer status as a Province to Alaska. Given that they both have massive energy resources desired by the USA, it's a logical union.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,959
    algarkirk said:

    That sentence is a nice example of why it is essential that words are capable of having objective and fixable meanings rather than merely being decided by use (pace Wittgenstein etc). If you go by 'use' it is impossible to know what the sentence means.
    A recent discussion informed me, to my embarrassment, that pace Wittgenstein means "my point is against the argument of Wittgenstein". If you wanted to agree with him, it should be per. So per Wittgenstein, not pace Wittgenstein.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,947
    edited March 28

    People looking for a western counterweight to Trump will need to look to Canada rather than Europe.

    What do you think about this one from your team? Critic of Putin arrested and due to be sent back to Russia.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/harvard-scientist-russia-deportation-antiwar-b2723063.html
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,615

    Trump has called the Canadian election for Carney:

    https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1905638870227824651

    I just finished speaking with Prime Minister Mark Carney, of Canada. It was an extremely productive call, we agree on many things, and will be meeting immediately after Canada's upcoming Election to work on elements of Politics, Business, and all other factors, that will end up being great for both the United States of America and Canada. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

    “Prime Minister”…
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,656

    So what do we call earth that is literally rare.......
    You call it Cornwall
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