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Annoying your core vote 2019 Tory style – politicalbetting.com
Annoying your core vote 2019 Tory style – politicalbetting.com
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Health Secretary says it is ‘morally unacceptable’ that Britain has not trained more doctors
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/03/26/nhs-plundering-foreign-doctors-wes-streeting/ (£££)
Streeting is right on both counts.
Productivity will increase by treating people sooner on the NHS so they and their carers can return to work.
Of course there is. It's just that Labour are frit
Whether there is much they can realistically do about the other two is another question. I mean, everyone knows deep down how to sustainably lubricate the economy, but only the foolishly brave will say it out loud, for fear of the usual suspects.
And today on the BBC where they were interviewing people about the effects of the Spring Statement. Did anyone explain that the money being paid out has to come from the (declining) working population? There is only so much burden they can shoulder. Roll on August when we'll hear employers complain they can't get cheap benefit-subsidised labour and need a bung.
We need clear economic thinking and not slavishly following whatever the media wants to dream up without fact-checking first.
Tumbleweed from the DoH. It's cheaper and easier to import Nigerians and Egyptians.
I always remember how people used to quote the ones that said nobody cared but the EU in the years leading up to 2016.
And how did that work out?
We had an interesting discussion, here, the other day, about sending medical staff for their training abroad. The Philippines - many of the products of their teaching already work in the NHS.
This could be used while the teaching in the U.K. is ramped up - which would take decades to get to a level where we could train 100% of the NHS requirement for staff in the U.K.
FPT: I think that's wrong, but I can't find the survey I saw - which had improved views of the USA under Trump in the Fab Four - Russia, North Korea, India and I think one other.
I don't think it has fed through yet. Give it 3 or 6 or 12 months.
But as 'Reckless' (if only) Rachel says, "the world has changed". So change your policies.
Hilariously, some of the numbers haven’t change in a decade. So parts of the training system are *shrinking* relative to the population.
Indeed as the money for these comes via NHS England, which has just been abolished, it's possibly going to be even less funded in the future.
But I think the point is that any issue can become a means of crystallising popular discontent, given the right circumstances.
Brexit was as much, probably more about immigration and the economic left behind as anyone giving a toss about the EU itself.
1) Increasing demand in the NHS. Aging and increasing population.
2) training of medical staff is pretty much static
3) so we have a bigger gap each year.
4) as other countries become richer, so does their demand for medical staff.
So in the long run, importing medical staff may run into a shortage.
The sane policy is to increase the training pipeline in the U.K., faster than the planned increase in size of the NHS ( planned years in advance). Do it steadily, over the years.
Almost as if abusing the staff until they leave is the goal.
Creating surpluses in a time of shortage is just part of the brand.
It is not only medicine that has a major problem with funding post graduate training. It has been neglected in favour of increasing the number of undergrads for far too long.
As some doctors are keen to say, this is going to hurt.
Good morning, everybody.
It wasn’t mentioned in the Chancellor’s speech, but the Spring Statement papers contain a major suite of anti-tax avoidance proposals, probably the toughest ever introduced. If enacted this will, in effect, criminalise the tax avoidance industry.
https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/03/26/radical-anti-avoidance-measures-hidden-in-the-spring-statement/
Dan Neidle has been reading the small print.
https://dauk.org/glut-of-unemployed-and-underemployed-gps-ready-to-work/
This dallas fed survey of the energy industry is remarkable, the oil patch is completely bewildered by and furious with the trump administration..
https://x.com/MattZeitlin/status/1904963020637299008
He'll probably be out of the Cabinet in a few years as a focus for internal anger.
In the medium term NATO is dead, as is probably 5 eyes as well, and we need to separate from them in any way we can.
Its not simply Trump and Vance, 50% of the voting public back their approach, as a former ally we cannot be cosy with such a hostile nation.
Scrapping NHS England if it fails to improve NHS delivery also won't go down well. Inflation has at least stabilised in better news for Labour but it was Rishi and Hunt who did the main work on cutting inflation and Trump's tariffs won't help.
Rishi of course tightened migration visa requirements with Cleverly after Boris had opened the doors to non EU migration post Brexit not that the voters gave them much thanks as the party still took the blame for that and Truss surging inflation and interest rates
The NHS as monopoly employer of newly qualified doctors is one example of many of this trend. We should be leading by example in the other direction.
It is notable that one area of the economy where we are strong - financial services - sees most firms pay for expensive post-graduate qualifications, whether that is accounting, CFA, actuarial etc...
Universities like Masters degrees as they can set their own fees and numbers, so these students get priority.
Unless you want to emigrate
to the US or have family there
Trump is deporting or are Palestinian or Houthi why
would he bother you?
It is difficult, though not impossible to do something about the former. The latter appears to be a cultural thing. 'We fly by the seat of our pants'. Hmm,yes...and not very well in the main.
Almost any such polling will show people want better public services and lower taxes. Surveys rarely ask how Governments are meant to achieve that. (And when they do the answer tends toward 'greater efficiency', which of course would be nice, but is hardly likely to bridge the gap between expectations and costs.)
We need this big dog back. He gets all the big calls right.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/2032886/boris-johnson-rachel-reeves-obr
He also owns the magic money tree.
Unusually she allows her questioner to get his questions off without interruption. Having said that this isn't the best version of Nick Robinson. Far too angry and questions like 'Jim's going to be homeless if you take his £900 a month off him. What have you got to say to Jim...' Just reminds you how many of the BBCs brightest and best have moved on.
It’s very simple
Foreign medics cost nothing to train.
U.K. trained medics come out of the NHS budget.
So in the short term (a Parliament) training in the U.K. reduces the amount of money for the NHS.
Back in the real world, I slightly disagree with the header - Governments since 2010 were and are appealing to the same demographic.
The mythical legion of "hard working families" - every policy pronouncement since 2010 has been about "hard working families" - remember "alarm clock Britain" ?
I thought Government was meant to work for all citizens not just one group.
It never works, but looks superficially like it does, and by the time the HMRC takes them through the legal process the promotors have run for the hills with their fees leaving the greedy saps on the hook for the liabilities
The one thing in Johnson's favour was he talked a good job. This lot don't. Free beers all around and they could sell it as they were ripping us off.
Amusingly those departed workers sometimes regret their decision as they discover that businesses which do not invest in training but offer higher pay are also unpleasant places to work at.
Instead, we let everyone have a big spending splurge on imports which caused problems in the supply chain and drove up inflation - the economics of the madhouse.
@DPJHodges
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Question. If Trump continues to impose tariffs. If he continues to support Putin. If he continues to threaten our allies and NATO partners. Does he still get rewarded with his state visit. Or does he actually have to do something for us, to earn it.
Some wanted spending increases and others wanted tax cuts. Both presumably thinking that they would produce a sustained surge in economic growth.
Living with our means and increasing productivity were not options to be considered.
Neither the British government or the (Not My) king has dared to say a word about his belligerence toward Canada and Denmark. Anybody anticipating even a pugil of moral courage from SKS or KC3 now is heading for disappointment.
F1: rumours confirmed, Lawson is out, Tsunoda 'promoted' to Red Bull.
If Lawson outqualifies him, I wonder if they'll shift Verstappen to Racing Bulls.
Edited extra bit: https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article/breaking-tsunoda-to-replace-lawson-at-red-bull-from-japanese-gp-as-new.49qawI5Q4YYPhhMJpHqUiO
Adolescence Directors Answer Your Questions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WfLJGRSLDOQ
We import about £110B of goods and services from the US. A 10% tariff will raise £11B. There may be some substitution but not a lot with only a 10% tariff.
It would raise inflation by about 0.5% but only for the year of introduction. That will cost a bit on state pensions. But 0.5% of the £120B cost of the state pension is only £0.6B,
Go for it Rachel. I hope it is in her scenario planning.
This is Trumpian thinking of course.
I am not an economist but are you correct in assuming tariffs can be applied to services ?
In 2023 we imported £57.9 billion of goods from the US
I think the recognition of global supply chains wasn't strong - just because we were getting back to "normal" didn't mean everywhere else was and re-establishing the previous supply routes and chains wasn't like a switch which could be flicked on or off.
The original crash in the immediate onset of lockdown was predictable - the economy basically stopped for three months - and the statistical bounceback, while impressive on graphs and charts, masked the fact we weren't back to "normal". As people who couldn't spend (apart from online and the online spend figures during the lockdown periods are impressive) accumulated cash (as did companies), there was a pool of money ready to be used.
Sunak added to that with his furlough relief and there's plenty of evidence there was copious amounts of fraud which has largely gone unpunished. Filling the economy with a sudden amount of cash rarely ends well if you want to avoid inflation and of course that's exactly where the post-pandemic demand splurge led us (combined with the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine).
That inflation and the return of normal monetary policy post QE has left economies stagnating and Governments unpopular. It's easy to be liked when you're presiding over cheap fuel, cheap food, cheap money and asset price rises well in advance of inflation but lose those and no one likes you anymore.
Short of a horse drawn carriage driving down the Mall with Axel Rudakubana it's difficult to imagine a less easily controlled event
Q - is the scheme legal?
A - our tame KC says it can work - here is his brief
The KC gets paid, the advice always turns out to be wrong. No comeback on the KC.
Client: Is that solution legal?
Lawyer: It is rarely prosecuted.
So she would only get £5.8B not £11B.
But every little helps.
PS Make is a 20% tariff.
Some serious potential competition for US tech over the next few years.
Massive release from SiCarrier/Huawei
They went ALL IN
https://x.com/zephyr_z9/status/1904777346667729197
Interesting article about how the Trump administration's security advisors' mobile numbers, emails, and passwords can be found in commercial databases and publicly available leaks.
My question is, why does Pete Hegseth have a Russian email address?
https://x.com/P_Kallioniemi/status/1905176792337461363
The only thing that works with Trump is flattery - as Putin has so amply demonstrated.
https://youtu.be/EsPuD64aIQQ
They would have been better announcing in the Joint press conference that King Charles asked Starmer to let Trump know that once Trump has ended the Ukraine war and pushed the Russians back to pre invasion boundaries the King would like to invite Trump for a State Visit to be enobled as Duke of Diego Garcia and Golf and pander to Trump’s vanity.
The jets are involved in defending the skies from Russian drones, jamming radars, aerial reconnaissance, and now, precision bombing.
https://x.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1905192571422310465
As in the banks tell the customers that the opinions of certain lawyers are a very bad sign.
Originally it was funded by an investor from the USA.
The business was originally owned by Port.ru, a company founded in 1998 by Eugene Goland, Michael Zaitsev and Alexey Krivenkov as a spin-off from DataArt. It received an initial investment of US$1 million from investor James Melcher.
The Mail.ru business expanded rapidly to reach the No. 1 market position in Russia by 2000. Attempts to fund the company's expansion in 2000–2001 were thwarted by the collapse of the technology bubble and Mail.ru had to seek merger partners.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VK_(company)
Art of the deal - innit?
PS If the answer is Pete Hegseth, that's not going to be a runner.
I advocate merging all training and higher education into universities.
This would get rid of the academic/blue collar divide - degrees for all. Modular, part time in the mix as well.
I would go further, and demand a mix in all degrees - Elizabethan Poetry with a side of Welding.
A plumbing degree with a side of Moral Philosophy.
Not enough work, people booking to overhead...
"People are our greatest liability"