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My my – politicalbetting.com
"The economy [could] be Trump's Waterloo to quote Abba"His economic net approval has fallen to his record low (including term 1) at -14 pts per Ipsos–a 20 pt drop from January. Worse for Trump? Economy/inflation is voters' top issue, & under 40% say Trump's prioritizing it. pic.twitter.com/T2DW0e3ug3
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Signalgate and how these incompetent clowns are bollixing our national security has certainly taken the spotlight off how these incompetent clowns are fucking up the economy.
https://x.com/jefftimmer/status/1904888731200336301
Say it ain’t so.
LOL
JUST IN: Search and recovery efforts are underway for four U.S. Army soldiers who went missing during scheduled tactical training near Pabradė, Lithuania, the U.S. Embassy in Vilnius said.
https://x.com/ABC/status/1904910515261813056
They've breached the "I don't talk politics with family" containment, my brother just sent me this.
https://bsky.app/profile/lethalityjane.bsky.social/post/3llc3syein22d
Mainstreet Research
Lib 44%
Con 40%
NDP 7%
BQ 5%
Green 2%
PPC 1%
Others 1%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election#National_polls
So the GOP strategists have nothings to worry about given how Musky boy is looking at “auditing” the electoral registers of states
BREAKING:
4 U.S. soldiers have been found dead in Lithuania near the border with Belarus.
They and their tracked vehicle went missing during military exercises
https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1904921647993278796
Question. Musk is raising the price of premium plus on X from £30 a month to £47 from next month
Premium plus gets you unlimited access to all X capabilities
That is an enormous increase with no obvious reason why. No pre-announced upgrade. So what’s going on?
Theory?
1. Musk is desperate for cash
2. X is about to make some incredible new functionality available, or X will be offering the worlds first convincing virtual sex etc
What is it? Thoughts?
Brace.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1904918878863446250
rcs1000 said:
» show previous quotes
I think this is true: this is a story that appeals to political junkies, and in particular people who lean Democrat already.
But what it does tell you, however, is that Trump's cabinet picks aren't very bright or organized.
It also tells us that they routinely discuss high policy and affairs of State like a bunch of pub boors in their local bar.
We might have guessed that much, but now we know for sure.
I don't think it's anything more than classic market segmentation, and he reckons the price elasticity is going to be less than 0.5, so he reckons he'll come out ahead.
Personally, I think the sum is too high... that's rapidly reaching a level where people (even well off people) notice it.
If you take all the risk out of exercises, they become pointless. But if you make them too risky, you injure and kill people unnecessarily...
He's just mad.
Edit to add: those numbers suggest that the NDP are going to be absolutely Clegged, while the SNP will be pretty badly Sturgeoned.
At the last election, the NDP got 18%, while the BQ was on 8%. I wouldn't be surprised to see the NDP lose 22 of their 24 seats, while the BQ would probably see their count halve.
@josh_wingrove
NEWS: President Trump's auto tariff announcement is being planned for as soon as today, per sources, though it's still fluid. He has long threatened levies on the sector. Scope/rate/exemptions unclear.
https://x.com/josh_wingrove/status/1904926321005715550
"Migrant paedophile who attacked teenage girl allowed to stay in Britain as he would face 'inhuman treatment' in Pakistan because he's an 'alcoholic'"
https://x.com/GBNEWS/status/1904801146197209229
Basically the courts are saying that it's better that this rapist alcoholic Pakistani assaults British girls, rather than Pakistani girls back home, because..... what? Can someone tell me?
Guido:
"In yet another ludicrous display of a left-wing judge thwarting the deportation of foreign criminals under the ECHR, a Pakistani paedophile, deemed a “danger to the community,” was allowed to stay in the UK last year…because he’s an alcoholic.
The criminal, who’s been granted anonymity, came to the UK in 2010, was jailed in June 2020 for assaulting emergency workers while “heavily intoxicated,” and was jailed again in December 2022 for sexually abusing a girl under 13. At a June 2024 First-tier Tribunal, Judge Leanne Turner ruled that deporting him would breach European human rights law. Her reasoning? He could be persecuted in Pakistan as an alcoholic because alcohol is illegal over there. The judge ruled:
“Sufficient evidence to show the lower standard, that the appellant would face inhuman or degrading treatment on return to Pakistan as a result of a highly likely criminal prosecution and imprisonment for his uncontrollable alcohol consumption. As such, returning to Pakistan would breach the U.K.’s obligations under Article 3 of the ECHR.”
Details of the case were published on Monday"
https://tribunalsdecisions.service.gov.uk/utiac/ui-2024-003437
I'd suggest he's trying to be Apple.
I paid one month of £30 to see what Grok 3 was like (very good, as we agree) and I wanted to do research for a possible article on it and its siblings; I was already highly unlikely to pay a second month and now the idea of that is absurd. £47???
I don't believe there are enough Musk fanbois willing to pay that kinda cash, for Grok/X as is - so I am genuinely wondering if Musk is planning something spectacular. He is known for it, to be fair
Yesterday, Michael Waltz claimed that he’s “never met, don’t know, never communicated with” Jeffrey Goldberg.
Here’s a photo of Waltz standing next to Goldberg during a 2021 event at the French Embassy.
The event Waltz attended—a Q&A with a French filmmaker—was moderated by Goldberg.
https://bsky.app/profile/annabower.bsky.social/post/3llc2pwsfac2n
Just asking for a friend, like...
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/06/06/politics/us-military-deadly-accidents/index.html
Those power users who rely on Twitter/X for income from making posts that go viral will pay it to keep the benefits. Those who are just wasting time will baulk or do so out of slavish loyalty.
Every one of these insane judgements adds major fuel to an underground fire, ready to break out
Next week they will argue that the times warplanes took off to bomb Yemen is not classified information, BEFORE THE SAME JUDGE !!
Hanging around now for 9 minutes to get back on timetable.
Again, saw a Great White Egret on the journey through Somerset. Was a time they were quite the rarity. Something is enjoying global warming...
The real problem is the way that rights get decoupled from responsibilities. So, the tribunals uphold a right to remain in this country, but impose no responsibility on the person claiming that right, to obey our criminal laws.
How about the human rights of British people who will be attacked by this alcoholic Pakistani pedophile? Because he will obviously do it again, look at his record. Why do HIS human rights override British rights to be safe on the street?
Fact is, when a foreigner with a violent criminal history gets convicted for sexually assaulting a 13 year old girl, he shoud be on a plane home the very next day. That's it. No question, no delay. He can "appeal" from Lahore on his own shilling, if he insists
He clearly needs to be certified.
I do wonder if the 20th century version of rights will endure.
If you put this forward as a potential sitcom it would be instantly rejected as completely implausible.
Hegseth is still looking like a five year old swearing he never even saw the missing donuts, despite the vast amount of jam and suger smeared over his face...
As far as the progressive legal complex is concerned, the rights of British people not to be attacked by alcoholic foreign paedophiles don't come into it. A case like this just highlights the need for more progress to be made, which necessitates lots of funding for people working towards the goal that one day, alcoholic paedophiles can get the treatment they need wherever they are in the world. Until that day arrives, we will just have to carry the burden ourselves.
Ultimately, this is unsustainable. He should be gone already. He has abused our hospitality outrageously and we owe him nothing.
Here's the last bit of the Guido article that our pro journalist omitted from his quote when he truncated it halfway though a sentence:
Details of the case were published on Monday after the Home Office appealed the decision, arguing Judge Turner made mistakes by assuming he would drink and would be imprisoned in Pakistan. At the Upper Tribunal, Judge Soraya Reeds said:
“Given that there are likely to be Muslims in Pakistan who drink and possess alcohol, the assertion that all will be arrested, prosecuted and indeed receive imprisonment is not evidenced.”
The case is back with the First-tier Tribunal, where a new hearing will decide at a later date if he’ll finally be deported. The Judiciarchy strikes again…
So what has happened is that the Upper Tribunal has ruled that the First Tier Tribunal Judge made an error in law, and has told them to think again.
As the court report linked says, omitting the first 8500 or so words:
The decision of the First-tier Tribunal involved the making of an error on a point of law; the decision is set aside. The appeal is remitted to the FtT for a hearing.
It's remitted because the First Tier Tribunal did not consider other points of law, since they had made their decision on the basis of the point laid aside.
The claims are accurate in that a (looks to me) questionable decision was made, but the process is considering it - so the outrage about a "lefty Judge" is rather confected. Not that will stop either GBN or Guido - though Guido is usually somewhat reliable on bare facts where it is a factual matter; his habit is to leave some out or add some selective interpretation.
https://x.com/wallstengine/status/1904945809617244561?s=61
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/03/26/pakistani-paedophile-allowed-stay-uk-as-he-is-alcoholic/
And Aileen Cannon is a judge of remarkable probity and ability, and we know how the Supreme Court cherishes the law and due process, so there's no chance they may have been lying.
I think "persistent high wage growth" is the most interesting thing in their forecast, politically. It also assumes productivity growth, which isn't completely mad if you consider that immigration will fall and the cost of employing people has gone up.
But the killer is tariffs. Any room is wiped out if the trade war escalates.
In that piece 16652 deaths between 2006 and 2018 (ish):
“Since 2006 … a total of 16,652 active-duty personnel and mobilized reservists have died while serving in the US armed forces. Seventy-three percent of these casualties occurred under circumstances unrelated to war,” the report states.
It is a trend that has only seemed to pick up momentum of late, as noncombat deaths have exceeded the number of military members killed in action every year since 2015.
In 2017, nearly four times as many service members died in training accidents as were killed in combat, according to a House Armed Services Committee report related to the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2019 – a key point highlighted by many lawmakers and military officials who argued for additional defense spending to help offset readiness issues that have compounded for years.
Presumably trying to prevent avoidable incidents is too woke.
You could perhaps go majorly on it, and change your name to Robert Chairman. 😌
> surely this one is just too absurd
> check the tribunals website
> it’s real, as usual
https://x.com/maxtempers/status/1904942610902286839