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If the 2028 election is about the economy – politicalbetting.com
If the 2028 election is about the economy – politicalbetting.com
The good news is that Trump is killing his own presidency in record-breaking time. The bad news is that he will do an extraordinary amount of damage along the way. https://t.co/Y9gqeEGxS6
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Elon Musk’s Grok AI literally thinks Trump is a Russia asset.
“I estimate a 75-85% likelihood Trump is a Putin-compromised asset, leaning toward the higher end due to the consistency of his behavior and the depth of historical ties.” — Grok
https://x.com/EdKrassen/status/1897078971784974711
Don't exaggerate, Mr Eagles.
The Hindenburg fire lasted 30 seconds and killed a few dozen.
Chernobyl only contaminated a comparatively small area, not the whole planet.
Britain survived the fall of Singapore.
Manchester United have actually won some games and are not in the relegation zone, so their season isn't *that* bad.
This is more like the Chicxulub asteroid meets a Disney remake.
Alexander Poskrebyshev is standing outside the Kremlin as Marshal Zhukov leaves a meeting with Stalin, and he hears Zhukov muttering under his breath, "Murderous moustache!"
He runs in to see Stalin and breathlessly reports, "I just heard Zhukov say 'Murderous moustache'!" Stalin dismisses Poskrebyshev and sends for Zhukov, who comes back in.
"Who did you have in mind with 'Murderous moustache'?" asks Stalin.
"Why, Josef Vissarionovich, Hitler, of course!"
Stalin thanks him, dismisses him, and calls the secretary back. "And who did you think he was talking about, comrade Poskrebyshev?"
Where has this 15-25% uncertainty come from?
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/article/russia-sends-warship-into-channel-to-escort-suspected-arms-shipment-jd70tvzgf (£££)
Did JD Vance have a point? For all the tough talk from Europe and Westminster, neither the Royal Navy nor the French navy intercepted the Russian arms shipment or the warship sent to escort it.
But the main issue is not the policies per se but the song and dance that accompanies it. If someone produced "Trump: the musical" is would be considered more of a pantomime.
*Inadvertently did very well out of Bidenomics - right place, right time - but won't complain.
This is the Disney movie of Deccan Traps. Written by a committee of screenwriters who hate volcanos, India and coherent, non teenage characters.
Seizing a Russian flagged ship on the high seas is an unambiguous act of war.
The English Channel has been defined as “right of free passage” for centuries.
Yes they could have done some childish harassment - flying low over the ship, sending ships too close. But that’s just a way of creating accidents.
And putting tariffs on raw material imports from your neighbour is also eff all to do with tackling a balance of payments problem.
The policies are the pantomime.
1) *Anyone* who touches that ship is going for “overt acts of war with Russia”.
2) It’s quite clear that supplying Ukraine with virtually any weapons doesn’t meet the level of “overt acts of war with Russia”.
No-one wants, or is asking for, overt acts of war with Russia.
The European countries could afford to supply all the required material to Ukraine. The issue is the ability to build the weapons in Europe. Artillery shells are not potatoes - to build factories to make them takes time.
1 Trump/Musk are doing the “move fast and break things” jiu jitsu on the US economy
2 It might just work: and elements of it are entirely sensible. The US has a Blob like us, the only way to deal with it is remove it in toto very fast (we must do the same)
However
3 The tariff stuff - even if justifiable with some radical economic theory - is heedlessly alienating. American is not the global hegemon anymore. It needs allies
Any low earner in the USA who voted for Trump can just suck it up and enjoy hanging on to their denial whilst they’re thrown under a bus .
(I hope)
I disagree. That's a fair enough comment, even if it sounds a bit racist.
Nations, like companies have a “rep”, which has enormous value. Trump has burnt trillions in value, which isn’t coming back.
That’s before you get to the actually monetary value of trade wars and supply chains broken.
For example, Poland are choosing airborne tankers as part of their build up - Boeing vs Airbus*. Which one is getting the work now?
*Yes, I know, Airbus does quite a bit of work through US companies.
I’ve met several orangutang. None of them look like Trump. None of them showed any signs of acting like him, either. Calm, collected with a gentle sense of humour was my impression.
If an orangutang had met Zelensky, it would probably have offered to share some fruit with him. While hanging, by one foot, from the chandelier.
While this might not be conventional diplomacy, I think we can all agree it would be a vast improvement on what took place.
I withdraw my racist slur and apologise to all orangutans.
Astute comment and I think correct. Other things have fed into this journey as well
https://bsky.app/profile/jfb1066.bsky.social/post/3ljl5ayfgc22s
Cracks In KC-46 Tankers Halt All Deliveries
The USAF is inspecting its fleet of 89 KC-46s to see if the problem is systemic while Boeing works to figure out a fix.
https://www.twz.com/air/cracks-in-kc-46-pegusus-tankers-halt-all-deliveries
I doubt that Poland wants the EX - capable, but very expensive, and no stealth.
They already have the F35 on order, which provides greater capability for the same cost.
Along with the Korean FA-50PLs, they've got about as much as they're likely to be able to afford.
I often thought about that when saying we should be rearming over the long term once Russia became bogged down.
As usual, whenever I think I've had an original idea, it turns out that either Churchill or Shakespeare had it first and expressed it better.
It’s happened *every day* for the last week. The radio comes on at 7.10am and there’s fucking Trump sounding off about something. Well, every day except yesterday when it was a reporter saying something about Musk.
I’ve concluded 7.10 must be Trump time. 7.15 and it would be other news, often British economy, then the sport a bit later. Later still and I could have woken to a delightful interview with the young couple taking up residence as caretakers on Great Blasket Island.
I think I need to change my wake up time. But it used to be 7.00 and that meant the pips and the headlines - my fear is those are going to be dominated by Trump doing stupid stuff for the foreseeable future.
Trump’s governments primary goal is TV ratings and likes in social media. As such actual policy or coherent improvements don’t matter. It’s all about outrage. To an extent you can’t blame Donald for that, it what happens when you elect a reality TV star, that was his job.
“Here are 3 maps and a thread which show you what is now unfolding in some parts of England 🧵
1. Let me introduce you to St Matthews and Highfields in Leicester.
In this part of Leicester more than 80% of people who are living in social housing were born outside of the UK, of whom only half are currently in work.
More people in this area were born in the Middle East or Asia than in the UK. Three-quarters of residents are Muslim. Not even two-thirds identify as British or English while close to one in three identify with a 'non-UK identity only'. More than four in ten people here live in households that contain NO adults who speak English as their main language.”
https://x.com/goodwinmj/status/1896929504389464080?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
So yes, break a broken system. Good idea. Until you realise what they want to replace it with - a system that is even more like North Korea with the Juche philosophy and small dicked big leader syndrome in full effect.
3 is bonkers. All those clips of Trump voters saying they like tariffs because China will be paying them? I believe the same basic ignorance is shared by many of the people in the administration. Let's stick a fat tariff on our own automotive sector so that our domestic vehicles now cost 20% more whereas imports don't. Go America! We can talk about it. MAGA is a racist isolationist movement. Trump blamed the Potomac crash on black people, has fired the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs and replaced him with whitey, has got Josef Musk ramping the German neo-nazis and they've released and pardoned all of their own domestic neo-nazis.
And why stop with non-whites? They're after non-christians as well. And christians - Jesus was a White Man who spoke American after all. So none of that false prophet faggy christianity teaching compassion and forgiveness. Just the vengeful God who smites the sodomites.
When I was in Greece this summer, they showed a clip from the Turkish parliament, and Erdogan's annual, keynote speech. In the back rows, his loyslists broke into noisy chants of his name, throughout the speech. Opponents looked fearful and apprehensive. America is still not Turkey, yet, because the opponents were still allowed to hold up placards, but something felt similar to the atmosphere in Trump's speech last night.
The most obvious explanation for current US trade policy is that Donald Trump is the Manitoban Candidate, a sleeper agent put in place decades ago by the Canadian Liberals until such time he was needed
https://x.com/Birdyword/status/1896973029349183989
The British system is far better with a paid Leader of the Opposition (arguably the genius bit of the U.K. constitution that’s missing in the US) In the UK you get elected on a Thursday, take office on Friday and the questions start the following Weds, with Opposition setting the agenda holding power to account.
🌹 LAB 26% (+3)
🌳 CON 24% (-1)
➡️ REF UK 24% (nc)
🔶 LIB DEM 13% (-3)
🌍 GREEN 7% (-1)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
N = 2,010 | Dates: 28/2 - 2/3 | Change w 21-24/2
https://x.com/luketryl/status/1897197399501922768?s=46
(Although they weren't clichés when he invented them, of course.)
Just reflect on the fact that the maths you couldn't understand was pre GCSE level stuff and therefore stuff you post here is often just embarrassing.
But that doesn’t - and mustn’t - obscure the fact that vast, speedy and unwanted demographic changes are happening in the UK; and resentment and pushback is seething, close to the surface - and will inevitably break out, politically, quite soon
In the end our prisons can’t take everyone who posts something iffy on Facebook
It also has a two person cockpit which is very useful (and cost effective) for both blooding nuggets and controlling complex strike packages. I can see the appeal of EX. Israel has just ordered 50, despite having F-35.
Pretty much everything hey are doing is stupid and will do untold damage that might never be repaired
They are not slowing down, it's the opposite--will put a lot of Western companies out of business.
"Backed by state subsidies and a self-sufficient supply chain, China is ramping up SiC substrate and mature process chip production at an unprecedented pace. The expansion is fueling fears of a global oversupply and intensifying price competition..."
https://x.com/lithos_graphein/status/1897104472100294989
SiC production is a big growth market - power electronics for inverters, etc.
Building fabs is a long term investment, and this will kill most of the US and European manufacturers' businesses. As they did with solar panel manufacturing.
A general tariff, such as the one Trump just imposed on China will make no effective difference at all.
I think the Libs should go for a quick election , paint Poilievre as a Trump wannabbee and hope that and the tariff issue gets them over the line .
They have been in government a long time and the “ time for a change “ mantra can’t be underestimated.
Personally i just cannot look past that he blames the EU and NATO for Putin's invasion. His attempt to walk that back was to act as though he could call it a pretext but still criticise the West for creating a pretext, which doesn't work.
It was a mask off moment, when the chips are down he parrots Russian talking points, and he's fortunate no one seems to care.
The EX is an impressive bit of kit, but it's expensive, not immediately available, is probably beyond Poland's budget, and doesn't fill a big gap in their requirements.
They bought the Korean jet, as they got 12 airframes immediately, not because it's the biggest and best. And the order includes 2 seaters.
https://x.com/markpalexander/status/1896537845369913777
For some bizarre reason Robinson didn’t prove him wrong and just let the muppet get away with bollocks.
Maybe a GE sees polls revert back to 'normal' but they might not, there's a new leader, and they cannot do worse than they looked like doing several months ago.
So would you recommend the gov spend loads of money on training lots of pilots and buying lots of good but not most expensive planes or have fewer better?
"Leftwing BBC".
The target date for being ready was 1941. Because that was before the German Navy would be ready.
Where he failed was that his government lied to the Queen. Our constitution is vague and unwritten, with the monarch having powers not used or cascaded out to others. It's ironic that the Boris assault on the normal process fell apart because lying to Brenda was a line that could not be crossed.
The problem with you 'Great displacement theory' asshats is that everyone in the category is the same. You don't care if that woman without English as her 'main' language is a nurse; that man who speaks Bengali runs a successful business. They are different. They are bad.
Trump repeated overnight his intention to possess Greenland. Is it possible to give broader hints of the overall agenda? And does the Reichstag Fire moment await?
He seems to be trying to woo them for the independence referendum, but only as a background and starting-point before integration.
'What Trump wants is to see a total collapse of the Canadian economy, because that'll make it easier to annex us.