If it is the economy stupid then Labour should sink further in the polls – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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I see the logic of your argument and I think it very sound, although I am very squeamish about ruthless deportation stuff (being a liver lived liberal), but the logic seems very sound.MaxPB said:
I really don't think it will, who cares if there's an open border with France when France has the power to deport their illegal immigrants without endless court battles and deals with third countries where they can be deported? It would need reform of the ECHR which again could be done under the cover of the UK joining Schengen and needing tougher external border controls and deportation ability. I think most European countries now want to do it, most are facing far right insurrections so any action to make it easier to deport illegal immigrants, criminals and failed asylum seekers will be widely welcomed. Using our joining Schengen as cover for all of this would be extremely convenient for the EU, it makes us the "bad guy" but everyone gets what they want.kjh said:
Trade is the more important issue to me, but I appreciate I am in a minority and migration is the bigger issue for many so I think @MaxPB comes up with an interesting idea there.DavidL said:
So…no border controls between us and France, for example ? Good luck selling that.MaxPB said:
Rather than trade, the UK and EU should talk about border controls and joining Schengen. I think that's the single biggest issue facing all of Europe (including us) and doing a deal on Schengen membership (something the EU would dearly love) in return for a very tough external border deal and offshore migrant processing and rapid deportation to third party countries etc... makes much more sense to me than joining the single market. There would probably be very wide support across all of Europe to codify a very tough external border and deportation rules, using potential UK membership of it as cover to impose new rules on it is something I think everyone would go for.kjh said:
I have also once, I think on my last trip, which felt odd and on most occasions it is pretty quick anyway regardless. I have had to queue a few times for 15 - 30 min while people with EU passports could go straight through, however that wasn't any hassle as you usually have a few things to sort out in that short wait. However I did have a nightmare at Lisbon where we queued for several hours because we landed at the same time as 2 US flights. I tried to estimate the queue from the snake and it was well over 1000. I posted here from the queue. All the gates were open and they also funnelled us through the priority gate and EU gate as well. That was frustrating as we would have been straight through with an EU passport (same gate they used for us, but didn't have to queue).biggles said:
I have actually found my route was quicker in a number of EU airports, because there weren’t many other non-EU travellers, certainly not with e-passports.Driver said:
I've travelled quite a few times to the EU and had no problems anywhere. So this, assuming Clarkson's rant isn't hyperbole, it does seem to be a specific issue with the French.MoonRabbit said:
Well, it’s clearly not as bad as out ☺️Driver said:
The Out campaign won because the In campaign didn't have a positive vision for what In meant.MoonRabbit said:
Not at all. The Out campaigns won it by promising better times than the membership times, more money for public services, better everything, and kept pointing to what globalisation not EU had done to UK, to win.Driver said:
If what we had before was actually brilliant, there wouldn't even have been demand for a referendum, let alone it winning.Scott_xP said:
That's the point.biggles said:But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available
You took the brilliant thing we had and replaced it with shit.
And you haven't worked out why people aren't thanking you for it...
Fake promises means fake win, the current Brexit polling is saying.
Because they couldn't.
It’s easier to get into Iraq than France, what’s that doing to UK business and GDP? And that’s the boring, unexciting argument for trading deals with near neighbours.
Yes you are right in that, Out won on the far more desirable “extra money” “more control in a globalised world” “better public services and everything” “higher wages”. But you know wins and changes based on lies can’t last for ever don’t you?
The vote to leave was nothing but an enabling action. One of the things it enables is, of course, rejoining. But even the most committed pro-Europeans amongst us don't believe that's likely any time soon. If they did, they wouldn't have fought so hard to overturn the referendum result.
I suspect if you are going to a holiday airport it will be fine, but if you are going to an international airport and land at the same time as a non EU flight you get stuffed.
As you say though selling it would be a challenge.
My issue with selling it is the public's reaction to an open border with the rest of Europe and people stop listening to the additional sentences which explains why it works. I assume that was @DavidL point as well. If you can do that I think you have a winner.
I'm still worried about how the European wide illegal immigrant / asylum seeker stuff will work though. Will it be too harsh? Will it be ignored? The devil is in the detail.0 -
A reluctant intervention. I sort of agree with you that EU membership wasn't a big issue in the country in the 1980s and 1990s - most people didn't care. But it was, increasingly so, in the Conservative Party; through the 1990s and into the 2000s - it was a running sore. Cameron saw a referendum as the only way, eventually, to lance the boil.Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.1 -
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And we prefer to generate our own bullshit.FrancisUrquhart said:
I always find it really bizarre that they do. Of all the places on the internet to come on and try to spread BS, PB seems like one of the worst, as its full of politically engaged people who seem to love checking everything for the smallest of mistakes.pigeon said:Our traditional Saturday visit from the Kremlin was both later and shorter than usual tonight.
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A constitutional monarch is someone who rules with Parliament not without them like an absolute monarch, whether enshrined in statute (as it has been in the UK since 1688) or not.Carnyx said:
STILL NOT THE RIGHT ANSWER. Not constitional monarchy. Not a formal settlement. No more than temporary weakness (like many a king before him).HYUFD said:
Charles II never raised an army or tried to raise taxes without Parliament's approval unlike his father.Carnyx said:
But Charles II didn't sign anything, and went back to RCism as far as he dared. Basically, as I said, kicked the can down the road.HYUFD said:
Charles II had already accepted constitutional monarchy, 1688 just entrenched it in law via the Bill of Rights (while also after James II banning Roman Catholics from the throne too as entrenched by the 1701 Act of Settlement)Carnyx said:
The acceptance of constitutional monarchy was, nevertheless, *what you specified*, and that is what happened when James VII and II got turfed out.HYUFD said:
James II was mainly removed as he was trying to remove the primacy of the Protestant faith in England and Scotland and his attempt to remove restrictions on Roman Catholics by decree without Parliament. He was not trying to restore Divine Right on a broader basis in terms of his power to raise taxes and an army without Parliament's approval as his father had.Carnyx said:
That was later, after James VII and II tried it on again and got the chop, albeit allowed by mistake accidentally for some strange reason to escape rather than having the hassle of literally chopping him.HYUFD said:
It was with an acceptance of constitutional not absolute monarchy and that Parliament was now supreme not the Crown.TimS said:
Or King Charles II trying to overturn Cromwell’s republic?Casino_Royale said:
It'd be lost by over 60:40. This is like Queen Mary trying to overturn the Reformation.biggles said:
Because it isn’t “rejoining”. It’s joining. And those who know what that means know a ten point starting lead isn’t enough to win a referendum on it.Big_G_NorthWales said:
45/37 in favour of rejoin in the latest pollCleitophon said:I am confounded how reform can do so well while brexit support is in such radical decline (rejoin and dropping red lines have huge support). I guess even farage has been critical of brexit lately 🤷♂️
It is widely accepted across politics including by the Lib Dems rejoining is years away if at all
Next.
We may rejoin the single market in time but unlikely the full EU
Indeed the strongest support for James II and VII came from Jacobite parts of Scotland and Ireland
Dinner now ready - have a nice time everyone.
He also unlike his brother backed down on a Declaration of Indulgence and agreed to implement the Test Acts passed by Parliament which required those holding office to deny the Catholic doctrine of transubstantiation and take Anglican communion
Every monarch since 1660 has been a constitutional monarch, even arguably James II except on his refusal to agree to Parliament's restrictions on the freedoms of Roman Catholics0 -
https://www.972mag.com/tunnels-hamas-lethal-gas-bombs-gaza/rottenborough said:Hamas seem to keep their hostages in conditions that nearly, or indeed probably have, killed them.
Yet based on today's numbers under this ceasefire each Israeli is worth ≈30 Hamas prisoners released.
Might be a good idea just looking at the maths to keep Israeli hostages alive and properly fed?0 -
Don’t matter how many Palestinians Israel free. They are all off to live in the Egypt desert 😆rottenborough said:Hamas seem to keep their hostages in conditions that nearly, or indeed probably have, killed them.
Yet based on today's numbers under this ceasefire each Israeli is worth ≈30 Hamas prisoners released.
Might be a good idea just looking at the maths to keep Israeli hostages alive and properly fed?0 -
Oh for gods sake, can you never admit you were wrong:Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
a) What do you think throughout the 1980s means?
b) 1988 was 4 years before Masstricht which was your baseline. 4 years before you said it wasn't an issue
c) What the hell has a GE got to do with it? You said anti Europeanism was negligible before Maastericht. Nothing about a GE. I have shown you that isn't true.
d) Not my quote. From Contemporary British History. Would you like more proving you wrong? I can list out umpteen polls and articles. I can provide many more if you wish.
You were wrong. Spectacularly so. Own it.
Just out of interest, seeing as you asked me. How old were you then? And I believe you are in manufacturing. Do you actually sell to the EU and if you do, did you before and after we left the EU and do you deal with the paperwork? Have you ever had to deal with a carnet and if so did you export before you needed to?0 -
Though it does mean a hung parliament rather than a Socialist majority with the Liberals diluting the Socialist nirvana (and we all know how much the left hated the LDs last time they held the balance of power).Stuartinromford said:
That would almost be Maximum Banter.HYUFD said:
Gives a hung parliament with Labour 305 seats, the Conservatives 115, Reform 111 and LDs 71williamglenn said:https://x.com/europeelects/status/1888324898067501475
UK, Opinium poll:
LAB-S&D: 27% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 26% (-1)
CON~ECR: 22% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 11%
GREENS-G/EFA: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 22-24 January 2025
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=N&CON=22&LAB=27&LIB=11&Reform=26&Green=8&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTReform=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2024
Labour well down.
Conservatives doing even worse than in 2024.
And Reform still behind both of them.
(It does highlight how easy the Socialists are likely to find things, as long as ex-tory wets drift off to the Yellow Peril and hard right wingers stomp off to Reform. Flip knows how you reunite them in an electorally useful way. Starmer being annoying and mediocre isn't going to do it, and neither are Badenoch's charms.)
Plus if the LDs prop up a Labour government that is the quickest way to send centre right LDs who voted for Cameron and May back to the Conservatives0 -
If you are bored or have some popcorn left hanging around that needs hovering up before Lent, then Hodges vs Owen Jones on Twitter/X this evening is a recommendation.
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Oh, yeah, absolutely.Northern_Al said:
A reluctant intervention. I sort of agree with you that EU membership wasn't a big issue in the country in the 1980s and 1990s - most people didn't care. But it was, increasingly so, in the Conservative Party; through the 1990s and into the 2000s - it was a running sore. Cameron saw a referendum as the only way, eventually, to lance the boil.Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
The other point I missed in my last comment is that through the 80s and much of the 90s Euroscepticism was very much about trying to roll back the centralisation rather than actually leaving.1 -
Can't we just send both of them abroad?rottenborough said:If you are bored or have some popcorn left hanging around that needs hovering up before Lent, then Hodges vs Owen Jones on Twitter/X this evening is a recommendation.
0 -
Not if Egypt has anything to say about it.MoonRabbit said:
Don’t matter how many Palestinians Israel free. They are all off to live in the Egypt desert 😆rottenborough said:Hamas seem to keep their hostages in conditions that nearly, or indeed probably have, killed them.
Yet based on today's numbers under this ceasefire each Israeli is worth ≈30 Hamas prisoners released.
Might be a good idea just looking at the maths to keep Israeli hostages alive and properly fed?
Although one can I suppose imagine them being made an offer by Trump too big to refuse - "here's $50billion - now will you take 'em?"0 -
I had a somewhat interesting chat recently with an LLM about the UK relations with EU. Back to the 70s votes, the initial #indyref, the Countryside Alliance, Referendum Party, Maastricht, etc.Northern_Al said:
A reluctant intervention. I sort of agree with you that EU membership wasn't a big issue in the country in the 1980s and 1990s - most people didn't care. But it was, increasingly so, in the Conservative Party; through the 1990s and into the 2000s - it was a running sore. Cameron saw a referendum as the only way, eventually, to lance the boil.Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
All kicked off from trying to remember the actor who played "Mike Yates" (UNIT - 70s Dr.Who), who it turns out went on a bit of a political voyage through time and space...
"Franklin stood as a candidate for the UK Parliament for several parties and founded the Silent Majority Party. "
Yes.0 -
What was the SDP ?dixiedean said:
Europe policy did not split Labour into two Parties.MoonRabbit said:
I’m GenZ, just, but I know that although lots of voters later confirmed our membership, a great many senior parliamentarians voted against in the 1973 vote that took us in. Labour in the commons had a three line whip not to join Europe, not enough Conservative MPs voted to get their governments flag ship policy over the line, even though their lack of support would have destroyed their own Prime Minister. it needed a sizeable Labour rebellion to take us in.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
Later on in the 1970s, it split the Labour Party into 2 parties. So in the 1970s and 1980s it was a very contentious and defining political issue. Into the 1990s, it was a very contentious issue in the Conservative government, destabilising it to the point the leader resigned, and during the 1997 campaign MPs openly disagreed with PM John Major - complete lack of discipline making the party look split.
Just because it failed to draw off sufficient Labour defectors to achieve real breakthrough doesn’t mean it wasn’t a serious split.
And its origins can be traced back to the 1973 efforts to deselect Dick Taverne (and subsequent by election) - who went on to found the Campaign for Social Democracy - over the issue of EC membership.2 -
Well of course the devil is always in the detail and such a negotiation would take years to co-ordinate given there's a lot of moving parts, probably EU treaty reform, a UK-EU bilateral treaty on migration, reform of the ECHR to amend those parts that make it difficult to deport foreign criminals, failed asylum seekers and illegal immigrants, reform of our own laws to make it easier to deport people, a bilateral deal with France because those always seem to come as part of these negotiations.kjh said:
I see the logic of your argument and I think it very sound, although I am very squeamish about ruthless deportation stuff (being a liver lived liberal), but the logic seems very sound.MaxPB said:
I really don't think it will, who cares if there's an open border with France when France has the power to deport their illegal immigrants without endless court battles and deals with third countries where they can be deported? It would need reform of the ECHR which again could be done under the cover of the UK joining Schengen and needing tougher external border controls and deportation ability. I think most European countries now want to do it, most are facing far right insurrections so any action to make it easier to deport illegal immigrants, criminals and failed asylum seekers will be widely welcomed. Using our joining Schengen as cover for all of this would be extremely convenient for the EU, it makes us the "bad guy" but everyone gets what they want.kjh said:
Trade is the more important issue to me, but I appreciate I am in a minority and migration is the bigger issue for many so I think @MaxPB comes up with an interesting idea there.DavidL said:
So…no border controls between us and France, for example ? Good luck selling that.MaxPB said:
Rather than trade, the UK and EU should talk about border controls and joining Schengen. I think that's the single biggest issue facing all of Europe (including us) and doing a deal on Schengen membership (something the EU would dearly love) in return for a very tough external border deal and offshore migrant processing and rapid deportation to third party countries etc... makes much more sense to me than joining the single market. There would probably be very wide support across all of Europe to codify a very tough external border and deportation rules, using potential UK membership of it as cover to impose new rules on it is something I think everyone would go for.kjh said:
I have also once, I think on my last trip, which felt odd and on most occasions it is pretty quick anyway regardless. I have had to queue a few times for 15 - 30 min while people with EU passports could go straight through, however that wasn't any hassle as you usually have a few things to sort out in that short wait. However I did have a nightmare at Lisbon where we queued for several hours because we landed at the same time as 2 US flights. I tried to estimate the queue from the snake and it was well over 1000. I posted here from the queue. All the gates were open and they also funnelled us through the priority gate and EU gate as well. That was frustrating as we would have been straight through with an EU passport (same gate they used for us, but didn't have to queue).biggles said:
I have actually found my route was quicker in a number of EU airports, because there weren’t many other non-EU travellers, certainly not with e-passports.Driver said:
I've travelled quite a few times to the EU and had no problems anywhere. So this, assuming Clarkson's rant isn't hyperbole, it does seem to be a specific issue with the French.MoonRabbit said:
Well, it’s clearly not as bad as out ☺️Driver said:
The Out campaign won because the In campaign didn't have a positive vision for what In meant.MoonRabbit said:
Not at all. The Out campaigns won it by promising better times than the membership times, more money for public services, better everything, and kept pointing to what globalisation not EU had done to UK, to win.Driver said:
If what we had before was actually brilliant, there wouldn't even have been demand for a referendum, let alone it winning.Scott_xP said:
That's the point.biggles said:But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available
You took the brilliant thing we had and replaced it with shit.
And you haven't worked out why people aren't thanking you for it...
Fake promises means fake win, the current Brexit polling is saying.
Because they couldn't.
It’s easier to get into Iraq than France, what’s that doing to UK business and GDP? And that’s the boring, unexciting argument for trading deals with near neighbours.
Yes you are right in that, Out won on the far more desirable “extra money” “more control in a globalised world” “better public services and everything” “higher wages”. But you know wins and changes based on lies can’t last for ever don’t you?
The vote to leave was nothing but an enabling action. One of the things it enables is, of course, rejoining. But even the most committed pro-Europeans amongst us don't believe that's likely any time soon. If they did, they wouldn't have fought so hard to overturn the referendum result.
I suspect if you are going to a holiday airport it will be fine, but if you are going to an international airport and land at the same time as a non EU flight you get stuffed.
As you say though selling it would be a challenge.
My issue with selling it is the public's reaction to an open border with the rest of Europe and people stop listening to the additional sentences which explains why it works. I assume that was @DavidL point as well. If you can do that I think you have a winner.
I'm still worried about how the European wide illegal immigrant / asylum seeker stuff will work though. Will it be too harsh? Will it be ignored? The devil is in the detail.
The UK joining Schengen would be a huge change for all of Europe, I think it is probably the single most important thing for the EU to achieve. It makes the UK feel "European" rather than some offshore entity where everyone needs a passport to go. It's a huge part of their cultural push behind ever closer union so getting the UK in, I think in their opinion, would remove the single largest barrier to the UK rejoining the EU completely.1 -
It may be the one thing that saves us in next ten years.HYUFD said:
A constitutional monarch is someone who rules with Parliament not without them like an absolute monarch, whether enshrined in statute (as it has been in the UK since 1688) or not.Carnyx said:
STILL NOT THE RIGHT ANSWER. Not constitional monarchy. Not a formal settlement. No more than temporary weakness (like many a king before him).HYUFD said:
Charles II never raised an army or tried to raise taxes without Parliament's approval unlike his father.Carnyx said:
But Charles II didn't sign anything, and went back to RCism as far as he dared. Basically, as I said, kicked the can down the road.HYUFD said:
Charles II had already accepted constitutional monarchy, 1688 just entrenched it in law via the Bill of Rights (while also after James II banning Roman Catholics from the throne too as entrenched by the 1701 Act of Settlement)Carnyx said:
The acceptance of constitutional monarchy was, nevertheless, *what you specified*, and that is what happened when James VII and II got turfed out.HYUFD said:
James II was mainly removed as he was trying to remove the primacy of the Protestant faith in England and Scotland and his attempt to remove restrictions on Roman Catholics by decree without Parliament. He was not trying to restore Divine Right on a broader basis in terms of his power to raise taxes and an army without Parliament's approval as his father had.Carnyx said:
That was later, after James VII and II tried it on again and got the chop, albeit allowed by mistake accidentally for some strange reason to escape rather than having the hassle of literally chopping him.HYUFD said:
It was with an acceptance of constitutional not absolute monarchy and that Parliament was now supreme not the Crown.TimS said:
Or King Charles II trying to overturn Cromwell’s republic?Casino_Royale said:
It'd be lost by over 60:40. This is like Queen Mary trying to overturn the Reformation.biggles said:
Because it isn’t “rejoining”. It’s joining. And those who know what that means know a ten point starting lead isn’t enough to win a referendum on it.Big_G_NorthWales said:
45/37 in favour of rejoin in the latest pollCleitophon said:I am confounded how reform can do so well while brexit support is in such radical decline (rejoin and dropping red lines have huge support). I guess even farage has been critical of brexit lately 🤷♂️
It is widely accepted across politics including by the Lib Dems rejoining is years away if at all
Next.
We may rejoin the single market in time but unlikely the full EU
Indeed the strongest support for James II and VII came from Jacobite parts of Scotland and Ireland
Dinner now ready - have a nice time everyone.
He also unlike his brother backed down on a Declaration of Indulgence and agreed to implement the Test Acts passed by Parliament which required those holding office to deny the Catholic doctrine of transubstantiation and take Anglican communion
Every monarch since 1660 has been a constitutional monarch, even arguably James II except on his refusal to agree to Parliament's restrictions on the freedoms of Roman Catholics1 -
The first SDP leader, Lord Jenkins, was previously punched and spat on by Labour front benchers, on his way into the lobby, as he was leader of the Labour rebels who took the UK into Europe in 1973. It comes across clearly in all the history books, overriding policy difference SDP founders had with Labour Party was Europe membership.dixiedean said:
Europe policy did not split Labour into two Parties.MoonRabbit said:
I’m GenZ, just, but I know that although lots of voters later confirmed our membership, a great many senior parliamentarians voted against in the 1973 vote that took us in. Labour in the commons had a three line whip not to join Europe, not enough Conservative MPs voted to get their governments flag ship policy over the line, even though their lack of support would have destroyed their own Prime Minister. it needed a sizeable Labour rebellion to take us in.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
Later on in the 1970s, it split the Labour Party into 2 parties. So in the 1970s and 1980s it was a very contentious and defining political issue. Into the 1990s, it was a very contentious issue in the Conservative government, destabilising it to the point the leader resigned, and during the 1997 campaign MPs openly disagreed with PM John Major - complete lack of discipline making the party look split.
What have you got to make you argue differently?1 -
Euroscepticism was given a shot in the arm by the Delors Commission’s various attempts to impose additional labour rules on Europe.
The UK largely managed to avoid this, but Maastricht was a turning point in Tory opinion and I certainly recall the right wing press (Telegraph, Times, and Sun) as being distinctly Eurosceptic from the early 90s onwards.
Others cite Lisbon which, it’s true, delivered an even less congenial settlement.
European membership was a core principle - along with NATO membership - of the British state ever since the decolonisation of the late 50s and 60s.
No wonder the sundering has been so damaging and painful.0 -
Yep, that is the big one. I have highlighted it a number of times. if you are taking stuff to Europe and you are bringing it back (in some form or other) it is a nightmare. Been there done that and the change is awful. Typical problem areas are musicians, motor racing, filming, building exhibition stands or stages, etc.TheScreamingEagles said:
Have you travelled with a film crew and equipment? This is the issue Clarkson is highlighting.Driver said:
I've travelled quite a few times to the EU and had no problems anywhere. So this, assuming Clarkson's rant isn't hyperbole, it does seem to be a specific issue with the French.MoonRabbit said:
Well, it’s clearly not as bad as out ☺️Driver said:
The Out campaign won because the In campaign didn't have a positive vision for what In meant.MoonRabbit said:
Not at all. The Out campaigns won it by promising better times than the membership times, more money for public services, better everything, and kept pointing to what globalisation not EU had done to UK, to win.Driver said:
If what we had before was actually brilliant, there wouldn't even have been demand for a referendum, let alone it winning.Scott_xP said:
That's the point.biggles said:But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available
You took the brilliant thing we had and replaced it with shit.
And you haven't worked out why people aren't thanking you for it...
Fake promises means fake win, the current Brexit polling is saying.
Because they couldn't.
It’s easier to get into Iraq than France, what’s that doing to UK business and GDP? And that’s the boring, unexciting argument for trading deals with near neighbours.
Yes you are right in that, Out won on the far more desirable “extra money” “more control in a globalised world” “better public services and everything” “higher wages”. But you know wins and changes based on lies can’t last for ever don’t you?
The vote to leave was nothing but an enabling action. One of the things it enables is, of course, rejoining. But even the most committed pro-Europeans amongst us don't believe that's likely any time soon. If they did, they wouldn't have fought so hard to overturn the referendum result.
It's happening with other EU countries due to all the new Brexit dividends that British companies are experiencing.
I dread to think what a carnet for several artics are for a Rock band or McLaren looks like nor the conversations at the border. I had enough trouble with a car load. A friend who built exhibition stands and stages just wound up his business immediately upon Brexit because he could no longer compete in Europe, which just left him the UK.1 -
Andrew Gwynne MP - What a scum bag!0
-
(d) oh, my word, you're really tying yourself in knots now. "your quote" to mean "the quote you quoted" is surely not controversial.kjh said:
Oh for gods sake, can you never admit you were wrong:Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
a) What do you think throughout the 1980s means?
b) 1988 was 4 years before Masstricht which was your baseline. 4 years before you said it wasn't an issue
c) What the hell has a GE got to do with it? You said anti Europeanism was negligible before Maastericht. Nothing about a GE. I have shown you that isn't true.
d) Not my quote. From Contemporary British History. Would you like more proving you wrong? I can list out umpteen polls and articles. I can provide many more if you wish.
You were wrong. Spectacularly so. Own it.
Just out of interest, seeing as you asked me. How old were you then? And I believe you are in manufacturing. Do you actually sell to the EU and if you do, did you before and after we left the EU and do you deal with the paperwork? Have you ever had to deal with a carnet and if so did you export before you needed to?
But (c) explains, I think, why you're tying yourself in knots. My original claim was that anti-Europeanism in the sense of actually wanting to leave (see the original comment I was replying to for the context) was negligible before Maastricht.
And, yes, I export to the EU and deal with all the paperwork. It's easier than exporting to the Channel Islands was before Brexit.0 -
Trump has fired the National Archivist.0
-
https://nitter.poast.org/owenjonesjournorottenborough said:If you are bored or have some popcorn left hanging around that needs hovering up before Lent, then Hodges vs Owen Jones on Twitter/X this evening is a recommendation.
0 -
Two attention seeking twerps... attention seeking? No thanks!rottenborough said:If you are bored or have some popcorn left hanging around that needs hovering up before Lent, then Hodges vs Owen Jones on Twitter/X this evening is a recommendation.
0 -
Anyway, enough of this nonsense. It's past my bedtime.0
-
I agree with you and actually acknowledged the point that it wasn't in the top tier of issues then. I was really making a point because @Driver has done this several times over the last few weeks as has @Luckyguy1983 (admittedly only on one pet topic - EU regulations) which I highlighted today. You can't just come out with statements of fact that are plainly not true or are an opinion or not be able to back them up. This was not a fact. It was an opinion and the evidence available shows that it is invalid. Most people at that point admit they were mistaken and that it wasn't their memory of events.Northern_Al said:
A reluctant intervention. I sort of agree with you that EU membership wasn't a big issue in the country in the 1980s and 1990s - most people didn't care. But it was, increasingly so, in the Conservative Party; through the 1990s and into the 2000s - it was a running sore. Cameron saw a referendum as the only way, eventually, to lance the boil.Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
0 -
It wasn't the only reason for the split but it was certainly part of the reason (and a big part at that) ?dixiedean said:
Europe policy did not split Labour into two Parties.MoonRabbit said:
I’m GenZ, just, but I know that although lots of voters later confirmed our membership, a great many senior parliamentarians voted against in the 1973 vote that took us in. Labour in the commons had a three line whip not to join Europe, not enough Conservative MPs voted to get their governments flag ship policy over the line, even though their lack of support would have destroyed their own Prime Minister. it needed a sizeable Labour rebellion to take us in.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
Later on in the 1970s, it split the Labour Party into 2 parties. So in the 1970s and 1980s it was a very contentious and defining political issue. Into the 1990s, it was a very contentious issue in the Conservative government, destabilising it to the point the leader resigned, and during the 1997 campaign MPs openly disagreed with PM John Major - complete lack of discipline making the party look split.0 -
While the proximate reason for the split was Militant, Europe was certainly a live issue - and opposition to membership was something that probably kept some on Labour’s right in the party led by Foot.MoonRabbit said:
The first SDP leader, Lord Jenkins, was previously punched and spat on by Labour front benchers, on his way into the lobby, as he was leader of the Labour rebels who took the UK into Europe in 1973. It comes across clearly in all the history books, overriding policy difference SDP founders had with Labour Party was Europe membership.dixiedean said:
Europe policy did not split Labour into two Parties.MoonRabbit said:
I’m GenZ, just, but I know that although lots of voters later confirmed our membership, a great many senior parliamentarians voted against in the 1973 vote that took us in. Labour in the commons had a three line whip not to join Europe, not enough Conservative MPs voted to get their governments flag ship policy over the line, even though their lack of support would have destroyed their own Prime Minister. it needed a sizeable Labour rebellion to take us in.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
Later on in the 1970s, it split the Labour Party into 2 parties. So in the 1970s and 1980s it was a very contentious and defining political issue. Into the 1990s, it was a very contentious issue in the Conservative government, destabilising it to the point the leader resigned, and during the 1997 campaign MPs openly disagreed with PM John Major - complete lack of discipline making the party look split.
What have you got to make you argue differently?0 -
It did become a "do or die" moment. I think most people realized that we either took this one and only opportunity to set a new course, or we had to submit completely to the EU, including the Euro.MaxPB said:
I think what scared me the most was a Remain vote being used by EU politicians to tell dissenting UK representatives to stfu because the public had voted by a narrow margin to stay. Suddenly we become the whipping boys and our interests are overridden even though no one consented to that new arrangement.Driver said:
I wasn't sure how I was going to vote until I was walking to the polling station. What was always clear to me was that, whichever of leaving and voting to remain was better, the worst of all worlds by far would be to vote to leave but be forced by the politicians to remain anyway.biggles said:
I was in exactly the same place. I wasn’t even fully Leave until after the botched negotiation. And even then I was on the fence a bit during the campaign. On one level I wanted to vote leave, but have it narrowly lose and some reforms flow from that. But then Leave won, Remainers started being unpleasant, and I firmed up my position.MaxPB said:
The problem was Lisbon, if the government had given us a referendum as promised then it would have secured our veto power in key policy areas that Lisbon moved to QMV as a "No" vote from one of the big three would have been impossible to ignore as they did with Ireland. After Labour welched on it I think leaving became inevitable. The amount of control Lisbon gave the EU over our nation was very high and we had no way to reject their ideas or force them to rethink with a veto. It got people like myself and others into the Leave camp where before Lisbon it didn't bother me much as an issue.DavidL said:
Maastricht wasn’t the problem. It was the closest we ever got to a solution. It allowed the UK to opt out of the bits of Europe we didn’t like whilst opting in to the bits we did. It was a masterpiece of a negotiation.kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
And then Blair and Brown came. along saying that we had to be at the heart of Europe and waived most of our opt outs. The path was fairly inevitably fixed from that point forward.
We couldn't go on as we were. Half in, half out, griping from the sidelines but always (ALWAYS) getting deeper and deeper involved with every new treaty.
So people took their chance... And then added to that you have the people who hadn't voted for 30 years and had nothing. If you have nothing you have nothing to lose...
Put it all together and you have Brexit.1 -
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
1 -
Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday1 -
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
2 -
Due to her involvement in his classified documents case apparently.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
He has said he will appoint a new National Archivist to replace her, I hope they are qualified!0 -
Musk still has time for his frivolous lawsuits, while he's taking over the federal government.rottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
(from a week ago, but I missed it then)
https://www.npr.org/2025/02/01/nx-s1-5283271/elon-musk-lawsuit-advertisers-boycott-new
Elon Musk's X sues Lego, Nestlé and more brands, accusing them of advertising boycott
0 -
Evening, PB.rottenborough said:Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday
This reminds me of when Bozza Johnson often took the Tory Party to be the U.K, too.0 -
@DriverDriver said:
(d) oh, my word, you're really tying yourself in knots now. "your quote" to mean "the quote you quoted" is surely not controversial.kjh said:
Oh for gods sake, can you never admit you were wrong:Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
a) What do you think throughout the 1980s means?
b) 1988 was 4 years before Masstricht which was your baseline. 4 years before you said it wasn't an issue
c) What the hell has a GE got to do with it? You said anti Europeanism was negligible before Maastericht. Nothing about a GE. I have shown you that isn't true.
d) Not my quote. From Contemporary British History. Would you like more proving you wrong? I can list out umpteen polls and articles. I can provide many more if you wish.
You were wrong. Spectacularly so. Own it.
Just out of interest, seeing as you asked me. How old were you then? And I believe you are in manufacturing. Do you actually sell to the EU and if you do, did you before and after we left the EU and do you deal with the paperwork? Have you ever had to deal with a carnet and if so did you export before you needed to?
But (c) explains, I think, why you're tying yourself in knots. My original claim was that anti-Europeanism in the sense of actually wanting to leave (see the original comment I was replying to for the context) was negligible before Maastricht.
And, yes, I export to the EU and deal with all the paperwork. It's easier than exporting to the Channel Islands was before Brexit.
So no answer for a) and b) then that prove you wrong.
Re d). Never said it was controversial. It isn't, but good deflection to avoid dealing with the evidence that proves you wrong in that point
Re c) What a load of bollocks. Your reply has nothing to do with what either you or I said. Again trying to deflect from what you said being painfully obviously wrong.
Re what you do:
a) You didn't answer most of my questions. So how old were you in 1980 and do you send stuff to Europe that has to be returned in some form or other eg exhibition equipment, racing cars going to a race, etc.
b) Your justification for exporting to the EU being more difficult now is that it is easier than exporting to say Jersey. Really. Well whoopy do. So your argument is let's make stuff harder to export to Europe provided it is easier than sending to Jersey. And that is ok is it? Rather than Jersey lets make the baseline Bhutan instead. let's be more adventurous. Then by your logic as long as anywhere is marginally more easier than exporting to Bhutan that is ok then. Bizarre! Which school of logic did you study at?0 -
And as we all answered - SHHHHHHHHHHHrottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
At least by being so open in their anti institutions, cross checks on power, and fast and loose with democracy and accountability, they are proving without doubt they are not conservatives. It makes it very awkward for those UK Conservatives who now appear part of MAGA gang.1 -
As you can imagine, that hits close to home...Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
1 -
Fixed your fixFrancisUrquhart said:
Fixed for you.MaxPB said:
This government doesn't understandglw said:
Even better is the Silicon Valley of Europe guff, but we demand backdoors into your cloud services that have a global scope. Absolutely bonkers. It makes the UK perhaps second to only North Korea in terms of the worst place to store or process data.rottenborough said:It is madness.
Where is the strategy? The joined up thinking?
We are told it is growth, growth, growth and also security.
Then they blow this deal up for a few pence effectively.
I despair.tech, data or financeanythingto do with private enterprise.
0 -
There is nothing on the front page to say who these “LEADING TORIES” and “POWERFUL FIGURES” are.rottenborough said:Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday
Maybe they got a meow from the cat of a former Tory donor now in reform, made it up from that, knocked off early having this front page sorted and opened a couple of boxes of cheap supermarket wine?0 -
Not sure Starmer's magic genie is still working.
0 -
Are there any conservatives, in the traditional, widely understood meaning, left in Badenoch's party?MoonRabbit said:
And as we all answered - SHHHHHHHHHHHrottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
At least by being so open in their anti institutions, cross checks on power, and fast and loose with democracy and accountability, they are proving without doubt they are not conservatives. It makes it very awkward for those UK Conservatives who now appear part of MAGA gang.0 -
And for the likely gang on here who have moved seamlessly from fervent Brexitism to outright Trumpery.MoonRabbit said:
And as we all answered - SHHHHHHHHHHHrottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
At least by being so open in their anti institutions, cross checks on power, and fast and loose with democracy and accountability, they are proving without doubt they are not conservatives. It makes it very awkward for those UK Conservatives who now appear part of MAGA gang.0 -
I'm gonna take a wild guess and say the new archivist will be a glamorous, blonde, twenty-something producer from Fox News who owns a dictionary so she is qualified.HYUFD said:
Due to her involvement in his classified documents case apparently.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
He has said he will appoint a new National Archivist to replace her, I hope they are qualified!
3 -
And we know it is genuine too, since Trump was not even popular among Consevative voters, so any current or former Tory MPs trying to ape MAGA are doing it because they believe in it, not to be popular among their voters (possibly Reform voters).MoonRabbit said:
And as we all answered - SHHHHHHHHHHHrottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
At least by being so open in their anti institutions, cross checks on power, and fast and loose with democracy and accountability, they are proving without doubt they are not conservatives. It makes it very awkward for those UK Conservatives who now appear part of MAGA gang.0 -
The only surprise would be that it took this long for more people to start saying it.rottenborough said:Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday
You can see from the front page of Reform's website that they really do want to be friends.
1 -
What was his beef with them?Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
0 -
He believes he can unclassify things secretyly with his mind and that government papers become his personal property just because.HYUFD said:
Due to her involvement in his classified documents case apparently.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
He has said he will appoint a new National Archivist to replace her, I hope they are qualified!
Of course the replacement won't be qualified.
(He wouldn't even have been in any legal trouble if he'd just handed the documents back when asked, it was the most inexplicable of all the cases against him as it was completely needless).1 -
The President is the only state people need.Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
Believes Clarence Thomas, probably.
(Just kidding, he would believe in the need for a Supreme Court which is unaccountable to and superior to all other branches of government).1 -
As a party name it sounds about as contrary to its probable efforts as the Left Unity party.ohnotnow said:
"Franklin stood as a candidate for the UK Parliament for several parties and founded the Silent Majority Party. "Northern_Al said:
A reluctant intervention. I sort of agree with you that EU membership wasn't a big issue in the country in the 1980s and 1990s - most people didn't care. But it was, increasingly so, in the Conservative Party; through the 1990s and into the 2000s - it was a running sore. Cameron saw a referendum as the only way, eventually, to lance the boil.Driver said:
So by your own quote, you're saying that Euroscepticism was neither legitimate nor mainstream before September 1988. Negotiations for the Maastricht Treaty started in December 1990. Given that there was no general election between the two, this is a distinction with minimal difference.kjh said:
I agree with you on the death penalty argument and I know what you are trying to say and you are simply wrong. Try the following extract:Driver said:
Oh, FFS again. I literally just explained to you that this is not what I'm talking about, so why reiterate the same point as if it proves anything?kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
But let's try another one to see if it helps you grasp the point. Is support for the death penalty currently a negligible factor in British politics or is it a significant one?
'Conservative Euroscepticism evolved throughout the 1980s as EEC measures, such as budget contributions, qualified majority voting, and the Single European Act were increasingly scrutinised by ministers committed to developing their technical expertise.Footnote22 During the same period, Rupert Murdoch’s ideological and commercial interests in influencing European policy at the national level led to increasingly hostile, partisan, and sometimes xenophobic reporting of European affairs within the British press.Footnote23 Thatcher’s Bruges speech in 1988 is frequently cited as the turning point when elite, media, and public opinion began to turn against Europe. It has been described as ‘a lightning rod for Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party’ and is commonly associated with legitimising or mainstreaming Euroscepticism within British politics.'
You were mistaken. This was all before Maastricht. You got it wrong.
And you asked where was I in the 1980s and 90s? Well I was living this. I was regularly working across Europe, dealing with all of this stuff so I remember it very, very well.
Edited to add: It's true that politicians throughout the 1980s, and indeed subsequently, often blamed "Europe" for them implementing an unpopular policy. Makes you wonder why they were surprised that people took it to heart.
0 -
No one really wanted to start the fighting up again and Charles II wasn't stupid or stubborn enough to push things to the point confrontation became inevitable again.HYUFD said:
Charles II never raised an army or tried to raise taxes without Parliament's approval unlike his father.Carnyx said:
But Charles II didn't sign anything, and went back to RCism as far as he dared. Basically, as I said, kicked the can down the road.HYUFD said:
Charles II had already accepted constitutional monarchy, 1688 just entrenched it in law via the Bill of Rights (while also after James II banning Roman Catholics from the throne too as entrenched by the 1701 Act of Settlement)Carnyx said:
The acceptance of constitutional monarchy was, nevertheless, *what you specified*, and that is what happened when James VII and II got turfed out.HYUFD said:
James II was mainly removed as he was trying to remove the primacy of the Protestant faith in England and Scotland and his attempt to remove restrictions on Roman Catholics by decree without Parliament. He was not trying to restore Divine Right on a broader basis in terms of his power to raise taxes and an army without Parliament's approval as his father had.Carnyx said:
That was later, after James VII and II tried it on again and got the chop, albeit allowed by mistake accidentally for some strange reason to escape rather than having the hassle of literally chopping him.HYUFD said:
It was with an acceptance of constitutional not absolute monarchy and that Parliament was now supreme not the Crown.TimS said:
Or King Charles II trying to overturn Cromwell’s republic?Casino_Royale said:
It'd be lost by over 60:40. This is like Queen Mary trying to overturn the Reformation.biggles said:
Because it isn’t “rejoining”. It’s joining. And those who know what that means know a ten point starting lead isn’t enough to win a referendum on it.Big_G_NorthWales said:
45/37 in favour of rejoin in the latest pollCleitophon said:I am confounded how reform can do so well while brexit support is in such radical decline (rejoin and dropping red lines have huge support). I guess even farage has been critical of brexit lately 🤷♂️
It is widely accepted across politics including by the Lib Dems rejoining is years away if at all
Next.
We may rejoin the single market in time but unlikely the full EU
Indeed the strongest support for James II and VII came from Jacobite parts of Scotland and Ireland
Dinner now ready - have a nice time everyone.
He also unlike his brother backed down on a Declaration of Indulgence and agreed to implement the Test Acts passed by Parliament which required those holding office to deny the Catholic doctrine of transubstantiation and take Anglican communion0 -
Although funnly enough 'Conservative Reform' is probably the kind of reform most people prefer over the radical kind.kle4 said:
The only surprise would be that it took this long for more people to start saying it.rottenborough said:Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday
You can see from the front page of Reform's website that they really do want to be friends.0 -
On topic, not for the thread but for the site.
"Revealed: gambling firms secretly sharing users’ data with Facebook without permission
Meta accounts of those affected flooded with ads for casinos and betting sites"
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/feb/08/gambling-firms-secretly-shared-users-data-with-facebook-without-permission1 -
It was also emblematic of Trump's belief that the rules do not apply to him.kle4 said:
He believes he can unclassify things secretyly with his mind and that government papers become his personal property just because.HYUFD said:
Due to her involvement in his classified documents case apparently.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
He has said he will appoint a new National Archivist to replace her, I hope they are qualified!
Of course the replacement won't be qualified.
(He wouldn't even have been in any legal trouble if he'd just handed the documents back when asked, it was the most inexplicable of all the cases against him as it was completely needless).2 -
There’s me. Fighting the good fight. I know my stuff, know Conservatism is right. Though I’m not in the party. But my Dad is. He says in politics it all just goes round in a cycle, and a One Nation Conservative Party will get back in power again, somewhere on the cycle.rottenborough said:
Are there any conservatives, in the traditional, widely understood meaning, left in Badenoch's party?MoonRabbit said:
And as we all answered - SHHHHHHHHHHHrottenborough said:
As I posted earlier -Nigelb said:
There’s a general assault on all state institutions.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
first they came for the librarians.
At least by being so open in their anti institutions, cross checks on power, and fast and loose with democracy and accountability, they are proving without doubt they are not conservatives. It makes it very awkward for those UK Conservatives who now appear part of MAGA gang.
There’s plenty of people with very right wing views who still believe in democracy, still believe all politicians should be held accountable, for whom the juvenile cosplay fascism across the pond becomes something of an embarrassment.
For Conservatives everywhere, including Boris, Farage, who associated themselves with Trump, this is far more than embarrassing, being tarred by their association with the Project 25 Gang can start to hurt their own political ambitions, arm interviewers with a whole load of very good questions.
Conservatives cannot be populist. Populism pushes the idea of popular sovereignty above the independence of democratic institutions and the professionalism of the representatives and leaders of those institutions - populism as opportunism, masquerading as values and agenda for government like a crusading ideology pretending it is voice of all the people, whilst acting undemocratically deaf to anyone with a different view. Likewise the undermining and attack on all the counterbalances of power. This is very opposite ideology to UK Conservatism, which has thrived in UK opposing such people and their populist ideology - be the populist threat from the left or the right.
Sleepy Joe’s Administration was indeed sleepy on what voters felt about uncontrolled immigration, yet as governments around the world who had presided over historic income falls, themselves fell, Trump was so rubbish he still nearly blew it. Joe Biden said he would be a transitional president and then refused to announce his retirement in January 2023. Then Biden pulled out so late in 2024, there was no time for a normal primary. Imo very few Americans actually voted for Project 25, they don’t want this. There’s an argument - despite price of eggs and immigration - Trump would be packed off into retirement now, and Biden has some responsibility for all this happening. And as it plays out in America, giving populism a bad reputation, it is going to hurt UK populists, so far cosy with Trump.
It’s possible Leon might have declared peak Leon this evening with his “happiest day ever” post. From here, his happiness might only deteriorate. 😈1 -
This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs3 -
This is -sadly- very plausible.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs
2 -
I get the impression another explanation for the rise of populism is that a lot of people feel like governments over the last 20 years or so didn't do enough to stop this sort of thing when it was first happening. They just sat back and let the scammers do almost whatever they wanted.rcs1000 said:
This is -sadly- very plausible.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs0 -
One of the main articles on Tory Home.
"Will the last Tory to leave please turn out the lights?"
https://conservativehome.com/2025/02/06/will-the-last-tory-to-leave-please-turn-out-the-lights/0 -
Good morning, everyone.0
-
End to end encryption doesn't work with Shift+Prt Scrottenborough said:Get the popcorn in kids!!!
Michael Crick
@MichaelLCrick
·
1h
I hear that scores of screenshots of Andrew Gwynne's Trigger Me Timbers WhatsApp group are likely to emerge in the next few days, which will make life very uncomfortable for several local councillors and at least one MP.1 -
Not a genie, he has the monkeys paw.rottenborough said:Not sure Starmer's magic genie is still working.
0 -
Is this a coded reference to Elon Musk?Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs0 -
Apologies of already posted but it's such hypocrisy
https://www.thetimes.com/article/4fd983a7-de62-4117-98e7-ee0f40ecba79?shareToken=5c95d274d02c100ae1e9f1555c4221e2
0 -
An average middle manager in the South East can earn that. What's the issue? Pay peanuts, get monkeys?squareroot2 said:Apologies of already posted but it's such hypocrisy
https://www.thetimes.com/article/4fd983a7-de62-4117-98e7-ee0f40ecba79?shareToken=5c95d274d02c100ae1e9f1555c4221e20 -
What is hypocritical about leaning on the BBC to stop it reporting Sue Gray is paid £3,000 more than Starmer?squareroot2 said:Apologies of already posted but it's such hypocrisy
https://www.thetimes.com/article/4fd983a7-de62-4117-98e7-ee0f40ecba79?shareToken=5c95d274d02c100ae1e9f1555c4221e2
Bloody stupid, perhaps. If you care that much, why not have given her a smaller pay increase, say £3,001 less?
And besides newspaper editors, who does Starmer imagine gives a damn about yet another "X gets more than the Prime Minister" story?
This is a story about the Prime Minister's lack of political judgement but not hypocrisy.0 -
In theory the Online Safety Act should deal with fraud but in practice, the only thing its creators seem to care about is porn. Fraud gets about three words.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs1 -
I just scratch my head over what people do online. Texting dick pics, glorifying rapists, racist rants, plotting with undercover officers to kidnap and murder celebrities etc.Battlebus said:
End to end encryption doesn't work with Shift+Prt Scrottenborough said:Get the popcorn in kids!!!
Michael Crick
@MichaelLCrick
·
1h
I hear that scores of screenshots of Andrew Gwynne's Trigger Me Timbers WhatsApp group are likely to emerge in the next few days, which will make life very uncomfortable for several local councillors and at least one MP.
1 -
Because Starmer slagged off the Tories about leaning on the BBC about Lineker.DecrepiterJohnL said:
What is hypocritical about leaning on the BBC to stop it reporting Sue Gray is paid £3,000 more than Starmer?squareroot2 said:Apologies of already posted but it's such hypocrisy
https://www.thetimes.com/article/4fd983a7-de62-4117-98e7-ee0f40ecba79?shareToken=5c95d274d02c100ae1e9f1555c4221e2
Bloody stupid, perhaps. If you care that much, why not have given her a smaller pay increase, say £3,001 less?
And besides newspaper editors, who does Starmer imagine gives a damn about yet another "X gets more than the Prime Minister" story?
This is a story about the Prime Minister's lack of political judgement but not hypocrisy.
It absolutely is hypocritical behaviour, the poor judgement is a given.. in appointing her ...and subsequently trying to hush up the salary.2 -
The Trump administration is removing consumer protection rights, while Republicans in the states crack down on pornographic sites instead. If people voted for populism to solve the problem of online scammers, they will be disappointed at the results.Andy_JS said:
I get the impression another explanation for the rise of populism is that a lot of people feel like governments over the last 20 years or so didn't do enough to stop this sort of thing when it was first happening. They just sat back and let the scammers do almost whatever they wanted.rcs1000 said:
This is -sadly- very plausible.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs1 -
This whole Gray mess gives off an absolute stink of corruption. It may not have been corrupt, or even dodgy, but it sure as heck stinks like it is.squareroot2 said:
Because Starmer slagged off the Tories about leaning on the BBC about Lineker.DecrepiterJohnL said:
What is hypocritical about leaning on the BBC to stop it reporting Sue Gray is paid £3,000 more than Starmer?squareroot2 said:Apologies of already posted but it's such hypocrisy
https://www.thetimes.com/article/4fd983a7-de62-4117-98e7-ee0f40ecba79?shareToken=5c95d274d02c100ae1e9f1555c4221e2
Bloody stupid, perhaps. If you care that much, why not have given her a smaller pay increase, say £3,001 less?
And besides newspaper editors, who does Starmer imagine gives a damn about yet another "X gets more than the Prime Minister" story?
This is a story about the Prime Minister's lack of political judgement but not hypocrisy.
It absolutely is hypocritical behaviour, the poor judgement is a given.. in appointing her ...and subsequently trying to hush up the salary.
And that's a sign of people who have zero political instinct.1 -
I suppose on one level it makes sense that if scammers are allowed to rip us and deceive the public with no regard to the laws of the land or accountability then perhaps Presidents and Prime Ministers should be allowed to do the same.Andy_JS said:
I get the impression another explanation for the rise of populism is that a lot of people feel like governments over the last 20 years or so didn't do enough to stop this sort of thing when it was first happening. They just sat back and let the scammers do almost whatever they wanted.rcs1000 said:
This is -sadly- very plausible.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs1 -
Otoh I feel my country voting to stay but forced by the politicians to leave has turned out just fine.Driver said:
I wasn't sure how I was going to vote until I was walking to the polling station. What was always clear to me was that, whichever of leaving and voting to remain was better, the worst of all worlds by far would be to vote to leave but be forced by the politicians to remain anyway.biggles said:
I was in exactly the same place. I wasn’t even fully Leave until after the botched negotiation. And even then I was on the fence a bit during the campaign. On one level I wanted to vote leave, but have it narrowly lose and some reforms flow from that. But then Leave won, Remainers started being unpleasant, and I firmed up my position.MaxPB said:
The problem was Lisbon, if the government had given us a referendum as promised then it would have secured our veto power in key policy areas that Lisbon moved to QMV as a "No" vote from one of the big three would have been impossible to ignore as they did with Ireland. After Labour welched on it I think leaving became inevitable. The amount of control Lisbon gave the EU over our nation was very high and we had no way to reject their ideas or force them to rethink with a veto. It got people like myself and others into the Leave camp where before Lisbon it didn't bother me much as an issue.DavidL said:
Maastricht wasn’t the problem. It was the closest we ever got to a solution. It allowed the UK to opt out of the bits of Europe we didn’t like whilst opting in to the bits we did. It was a masterpiece of a negotiation.kjh said:
I don't think I have ever come across anyone so stupid. This is the umpteenth time you have stated a fact on PB in the last few weeks that someone has come back and pointed out was factually wrong. Would you like me to go and list them all for you? They are easy to look up.Driver said:.
Oh, FFS, I'm going to have to try at least for the benefit of others who might be seduced by your wilful disingenuousness.kjh said:
Good grief. Do you not know what you just wrote?Driver said:.
Not what I said, so I'll leave it there, as you clearly haven't and won't try to understand what I've been saying.kjh said:
You are going off on a tangent. The original point had nothing to do with Foot. You said anti Europeanism was negligible pre Maastricht. Your words. Yet there were polls in the 40%. Hardly negligible. Now you are arguing those polls are worthless. Now I don't see how you can deduce that as polls are carried out using statistical methods, but even if they are, your evidence is just your opinion based upon nothing, absolutely nothing. I tend to rely on facts.Driver said:
Afraid you've missed the point. Anti-Europeanism being a fringe thing was one reason Foot crashed so hard, as people thought "you're thinking this is one of the most important things?"kjh said:
Not relevant. Not for the first time you have come out with a fact that just isn't.Driver said:
Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?Stuartinromford said:
Salient enough for Her Majesty's opposition to put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.Driver said:
Not mentioned: salience.Foxy said:
That's simply not true.Driver said:
Not true. Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.Nigelb said:
You spent four decades whinging and moaning before you managed that.biggles said:
But it’s still whinging about what we used to have. What we used to have is no longer available: we’ve taken it from you and you can never have it back...Scott_xP said:
He's not wrongTheScreamingEagles said:Jeremy ClarksonGood: Brexit makes me want to sit in a gutter and weep
Since we left the EU it’s been easier to get into Iraq than France. None of this has made our lives better in any way
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/jeremy-clarkson-brexit-makes-me-want-to-sit-in-a-gutter-and-weep-8tz2fl5vr
Rejoining, should it ever happen, won’t take nearly as long.
In the meantime, just get used to it.
The highest polling against EU membership was in 1980, and it polled in the 40s quite often in the 1980s.
https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-british-views-on-in-or-out-of-europe-61250
It was a blooming stupid manifesto, but that's not the point.
Anyone can poll on anything at any time. Given how inaccurate polls on this topic were when it was a live issue, trying to prove anything with polls from when it wasn't is... heroic, shall we say?
And if you think Foot lost just because of the EU you are deluded. The longest suicide note in history contained a lot more than EU membership. A lot.
In reply to 'Her Majesty's opposition put Brexit in their 1983 manifesto.' You replied 'Yeah, and what happened as a result of that manifesto?'
Now the normal implication from your reply to that statement is one of cause and effect. If not why say it? So it is what you said.
And anyway you are again arguing a tangent. You said the EU wasn't an issue pre Maastricht and you were proved wrong, by you know, actual facts. Your response seems to be that those facts can be ignored. Handy. And come up with nothing else.
Honestly.
Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was unimportant in mainstream politics. The one time a major party mentioned it, it was as part of a very non-mainstream manifesto that got an utter thrashing at the ballot box. It absolutely was not a serious political issue, and saying "but 40% of people answered this way in a poll when it wasn't a live issue" is a laughable rebuttal.
I'm assuming you must be too young to remember the politics of the 80s and 90s. Or old enough to have forgotten them.
You never mentioned Foot or the manifesto in the first place. Someone else did who pointed out you were wrong in your claim. That person also pointed out themselves how daft that manifesto was as have I.
So can we stop talking about that f***** manifesto.
You said 'Before Maastricht, anti-Europeanism was negligible.'
As pointed out to you this was not true as polls regularly put it over 40%. Now regular over 40% polls is NOT negligible. In fact IPSO/Mori polls between 1979 and 1983 were all over 50% for leave. One in 1979 was 60 - 32 and one in 18980 was 65 - 26.
So yep you were mind mindbogglingly spectacularly wrong in your initial statement.
And then Blair and Brown came. along saying that we had to be at the heart of Europe and waived most of our opt outs. The path was fairly inevitably fixed from that point forward.1 -
WRT Gwynne, the Guardian online doesn't want to big up this story at the moment, various bits of trivia being ahead of it.
Gorton joins Runcorn as a seat neither Tories nor Labour will want a by-election in. Gorton and Denton is interesting. Labour gets 50%. C, LD, G and R all figure in the fight for the other half of the vote, with R just in second place on 14%.0 -
Everyone knows historical records are Woke.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
Plus who wants evidence of their shithousery preserved.1 -
The Sunday Rawnsley, more or less on topic, nice and early today (probably just before an NT):
Voters indicating that they are backing Reform are telling us that they don’t like either Labour or the Tories. That is not the same as saying that they all want Nigel Farage to be the next prime minister.
“Reform is not great for Labour, but it is an existential threat to the Tories,” remarks one Labour strategist, noting that last week’s YouGov poll reported that one in five of Tory voters in 2024 said they would now back Reform. [But] one Labour veteran, usually a phlegmatic sort, recently remarked to me that both his party and the Conservatives “are living in the last chance saloon”.
Labour staffers and campaign groups are now spending a lot of time trying to devise strategies to combat Reform. The topic was on the agenda of the cabinet when it met for a six-hour “away day” at Lancaster House on Friday. One minister present told me afterwards that there was no single “killer” tactic that will do the trick. “I don’t think we’ve figured this out yet, if I’m being entirely honest.”
One school of thought within Sir Keir’s ranks argues that Labour should present itself as the more authentic enemy of the status quo and project the government as the insurgents. The snag with trying to be an “insurgent government” is that it is really hard not to look like the establishment when you are in power and the prime minister is a knighted lawyer who used to run the crown prosecution service.
A potentially promising approach is to subject [Farage's] beliefs and policies to the scrutiny that he is unaccustomed to. Labour has belatedly started to draw attention to his view that we should move to an insurance-based system of healthcare. Sir Keir won a lusty cheer from his MPs at the most recent session of PMQs when he took on the leader of Reform by walloping him for wanting “to charge them (his constituents) for using the NHS”. [Farage's] signature theme is hostility to immigration and this raises the most vexed questions about the lengths to which Labour should go. A new pressure group of Labour MPs, drawn from those 89 seats that are potentially most vulnerable, is urging Sir Keir to toughen up the government’s stance on immigration and be noisy about it.
If Labour is to beat back Reform, the job won’t be done simply by coming up with some sharper attack lines. Mr Farage is thriving now, just as he did in the years running up to the Brexit referendum, because he is tapping into high levels of voter discontent about the quality of their lives in a country with a stagnant economy and dilapidated public services. Immigration is one of the factors, but so is the cost of living and the condition of the health service. Sorting that is critical to seeing him off. It is not enough to say that Reform has bad ideas. Labour must demonstrate that it can deliver good results.0 -
I remember seeing her confirmation hearings and there were doubts raised about her impartiality given her social media activities which were pretty clearly partial.Theuniondivvie said:
Everyone knows historical records are Woke.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
Plus who wants evidence of their shithousery preserved.
Everyone is entitled to have their opinions but posting them openly may not be the best choice if you want a job like this in the public sector.
So it doesn't surprise me that this action was taken.0 -
Or the politicians employ the scammers as special advisors.noneoftheabove said:
I suppose on one level it makes sense that if scammers are allowed to rip us and deceive the public with no regard to the laws of the land or accountability then perhaps Presidents and Prime Ministers should be allowed to do the same.Andy_JS said:
I get the impression another explanation for the rise of populism is that a lot of people feel like governments over the last 20 years or so didn't do enough to stop this sort of thing when it was first happening. They just sat back and let the scammers do almost whatever they wanted.rcs1000 said:
This is -sadly- very plausible.Andy_JS said:This is pretty scary.
"As our new eight-episode podcast, “Scam Inc”, describes, online fraudsters have become rich and powerful enough to corrupt entire governments, turning whole countries into the cyber-scam equivalent of narco-states. Scam operations can be found all over the world, from Myanmar to Mexico. The global proceeds of online fraud are probably more than $500bn a year, estimates Martin Purbrick, an expert in Chinese organised crime who was a police officer in Hong Kong for 11 years. That puts scamming on a par with the illegal drugs trade as one of the world’s biggest illicit industries. And unlike illegal drugs, scams cannot be seized by police or customs. With nothing more than a phone line and internet connection, scammers can turn anyone into a potential victim."
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/02/06/online-scams-may-already-be-as-big-a-scourge-as-illegal-drugs0 -
NEW THREAD
0 -
Wait till you hear about the social media output of the unelected head of DOGE.oxfordsimon said:
I remember seeing her confirmation hearings and there were doubts raised about her impartiality given her social media activities which were pretty clearly partial.Theuniondivvie said:
Everyone knows historical records are Woke.Gardenwalker said:Trump has fired the National Archivist.
Plus who wants evidence of their shithousery preserved.
Everyone is entitled to have their opinions but posting them openly may not be the best choice if you want a job like this in the public sector.
So it doesn't surprise me that this action was taken.4 -
Yet not one poll, even FindOutNow, is forecasting a Reform majority even as most polls forecast a hung parliament. So the political reality for Farage is without a deal with the Tories he has near zero chance of becoming PM or getting into governmentkle4 said:
The only surprise would be that it took this long for more people to start saying it.rottenborough said:Hah, ha, ha...
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
2h
SUNDAY EXPRESS: Tories call for Reform pact to save UK #TomorrowsPapersToday
You can see from the front page of Reform's website that they really do want to be friends.1 -
More on the smart meters débâcle today:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/feb/09/a-mess-energy-suppliers-face-scramble-to-install-smart-meters-in-uk-homes
40% of all households still don't have them, six years after the rollout was originally meant to have been completed. Mine is one of them. Wouldn't touch one of those things with a ten foot bargepole, and nothing short of compulsion by law will make me change my mind. Malfunctioning pieces of junk that crap energy companies can use to remotely disconnect you on a whim if they make a bureaucratic cock-up, and which they won't replace when they go wrong.
Yet another example of something important in this country that doesn't work properly. Is there anything left that does?2 -
So what would be the betting if there were a by-election in Morecambe and Lunesdale ?0
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Regarding bat tunnels, jumping spiders and European Union Law, there are two main pieces of UK legislation that govern the protection of species, The Wildlife and Countryside Act of 1981, and more importantly in a recent context (because we were still able to build things in the 80s and 90s), The Conservation of Habitats and Species Regulations of 2017.
Both were implemented in order to enshrine EU law, despite the fact that in 2017, we'd already voted to leave.
The Wildlife and Countryside Act of 1981 enshrined the Birds Directive and the Bern Convention into UK law. It was enacted primarily to implement these European Council Directives 79/409/EEC on the conservation of wild birds and the Bern Convention, which focuses on the conservation of wild flora and fauna and their natural habitats in Europe and some African countries.
The Conservation of Habitats and Species Regulations 2017 implements guidelines from the European Union's Habitats Directive (Council Directive 92/43/EEC) and the Wild Birds Directive (2009/147/EC) specifically within the UK context.
This regulation applies to anyone planning land or property development projects and requires compliance with strict parameters, such as conducting appropriate ecology surveys and obtaining a European Protected Species Licence (EPSL) when necessary.
It also mandates that any plan or project proposal affecting a European site must undergo a Habitats Regulations Assessment (HRA) to ensure it does not significantly harm the designated features of the site.
The regulation is enforced by various organisations including the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA), Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC), and Natural England, among others.
Hopefully this helps some PBers who have been in denial over this issue.0