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Never go full Corbyn 2019 – politicalbetting.com

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  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Foxy said:

    I don't think we are contempories though. I finished in the early Eighties, but it still an excellent school.

    I went to the same school as Freddie Laker, Robert Wyatt and Milo Yiannopoulos. The latter being invited back to give a talk causing a minor local scandal.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,695
    ydoethur said:

    Only if they're full time.

    A complicating factor in my case might be that rather a lot of my money is from abroad.
    That helps you, since the 90k is for UK earnings only. Used to be for total EU earnings, of course, so a little Brexit win for you there.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    Peter Symonds is excellent; my sister went there. I went to Alton College, also good.

    It's not a comprehensive school, though; it's a sixth form college and you have to apply for it for post-GCSEs.
    When I went, you just needed a B at O level in the subjects you wanted to do at A level. There was no other selection.

    That is the same as the Comprehensive that my son went to, and a reasonable threshold. If someone cannot get a B at GCSE then they won't do well at A level in that subject.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    Fffs said:

    In fact it's about the same as the 75th percentile after tax in the last year for which figures are available (2021/22).

    So it's beyond the reach of most people. But 1 in 4 people could stretch to it if they were partnered with someone else who could pay the mortgage etc.
    What we have here is essentially a socialist argument: if anyone earns 'more' than the median wage or average wage then they are well-off and privileged and no level of taxation can be high enough for them.

    If that's where the country is at, then I'd be best off emigrating.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,687

    This is such a myth. It's astonishing people believe this. I don't know anyone from my old school, outside of two people I'm still vaguely in touch with on Facebook, and nor has anyone ever helped me out.

    Those who have helped have been those I've met through my working career as I've developed my professional network. And, that's through my employers and clients. And, no, secret handshakes and ties have never come into it.

    This stuff is just silly.
    This report, https://www.suttontrust.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Elitist-Britain-2019-Summary-Report.pdf , provides data on educational privilege.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    I’m just interested in the idea that tutors are paying tax on their earnings.

    I still recall a music tutor to one of my daughters who was your classic Frenchy lefty - when I tried to pay by BACS, she accused me of trying to force her to pay tax.
    French gonna French
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    Andy_JS said:

    Anyone know when the next poll or group of polls are due?

    Very good question. Because it seems since the election was called all but Opinium and YouGov have decided to go en grève. Really not on. I was expecting a cascade of Saturday night polls and it never materialised.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198

    The median salary in this country is £35k so, no, I'm not aware of it because it's not true.

    Are you aware that's what a full-time nursery place costs now in the South, which a plurality of two-working parents now have to pay?

    Lots of families where both parents work full-time with one child exercise this choice, provided their housing is modest and they don't go on expensive holidays.

    The real issue comes when one considers a second child.
    The price of nursery in West London is similar to the cheaper private schools.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    MJW said:

    On a) By definition if you are among the small percentage of the population for whom sending your kids to private school is an option you are among the most privileged people in the country. You are in the 7% who receive an education that if it's worth the money you are paying for it, places you in a position of privilege above the 93%.

    The fact there are an even smaller group of people who are more privileged still and can send their children to an even more expensive, elitist one doesn't change that fact.

    b) Is debatable. Labour's rationale is that it would be revenue raising. You can see how there will be some private schools closing whose kids go into the state sector, but it would have to be an awful lot to wipe out the gains. I'd tend to go with Labour over the private school lobby. Especially as over time, you'll get more of an equilibrium as schools' business models adjust.

    On c) It's not an eye for an eye, it's making a simple point. All tax and spend policies have winners and losers. There will always be people on the hard edge.

    In this case it's a small number of relatively well off people who are losing a tax break they previously enjoyed. It's sad for them. But it's difficult to have sympathy when they are much better able to cope with the end of a previously enjoyed tax break than far poorer children were when the Tories took away educational and childcare services they relied on. The same commentators (though by no means the parents) squealing now that it's all so unfair were cheering that.

    So it's difficult to see it as people not used to be being told "no" and that yes, a government may end tax breaks you benefit from but which it doesn't see as beneficial to the nation. It's tantrum throwing because for once in their lives it's them on the wrong end of a decision rather than those at the bottom of society.
    For the umpteenth time, it's not a tax break. The tax break is precisely the other way round: the parents who send their kids to private schools are giving you the tax break. Take it away and it's a tax take. Yours.

    This is why Labour governments over the last 100 years haven't touched it, even when they've been in office and had the opportunity to do so.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729
    If education can't even function with VAT, like any old retailer or professional services firm, then maybe it's a highly inefficient business that can't deliver value for money, and maybe the upper-middle class tax break pushed far too much resources into an inefficient sector.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785
    edited May 2024

    I went to a state sixth-form college.

    No-one is saying it's the worst thing that can happen, or that it is second class.

    The argument is that it's a destructive and counterproductive policy to the education sector.
    BiB - see the very next post to yours, 8.27, for one of many examples.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    Tres said:

    Not factually accurate at all as you well know the closure was announced when the chances were Sunak was going to hang on into January next year.
    You're really quite dim, aren't you?
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    Not really. Most families pay that for a full-time nursery place. And that's a strong plurality of parents. It's simply extending it from the age of 5 to 18, rather than ending it at that stage.

    Do you have kids?
    Yes I do, two of them actually. Both thriving in the state sector.

    And yes, nursery fees are a mare, but there are two important differences. One is that they're for a fairly short period of time and we only had to pay for one set of fees at a time. The other is the hefty government contributions through free hours and salary sacrifice.

    I am very very comfortable. Two public sector professional salaries, no mortgage, fairly frugal habits. With no mortgage to pay, I might, just about, be able to squeeze out £2800 a month, but it would be tight. With a mortgage to pay, forget it.

    People paying school fees out of earnings are, by definition, not normal.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    DougSeal said:

    French gonna French
    Sous la table has definitely declined. France is becoming a decidedly North European country. Maybe it’s losing some Noom in the process. But it’s definitely a thing.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,687

    No, that's you and your lot.

    I've been following your "likes" today, and they simply reinforce that.
    I’m glad someone is paying attention to my “likes”. I wouldn’t want to think pressing that button was entirely pointless!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    edited May 2024

    I’m just interested in the idea that tutors are paying tax on their earnings.

    I still recall a music tutor to one of my daughters who was your classic Frenchy lefty - when I tried to pay by BACS, she accused me of trying to force her to pay tax.
    *looks sadly at large payment just made to HMRC Cumbernauld for Acland-Hood to spend on boozing*
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    IIRC at previous general elections we always used to get a YouGov at 10 or 11pm, every day apart from Mondays. Maybe that was at GE2015.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785
    edited May 2024

    You're really quite dim, aren't you?
    He probably went to a comprehensive school? :)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    I exaggerated, it's only a five-fold better chance of a top job:

    Britain’s most influential people are over 5 times more likely to have been to a fee-paying school than the general population. Just 7% of British people are privately educated, compared to two-fifths (39%) of those in top positions.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/elitism-in-britain-2019
    Private schools will always be disproportionately represented in such jobs because they're not educating absolutely everybody, and very few of them will go on to work in Tesco, McDonalds, or not at all. So that will skew the averages significantly.

    You'd need to control against a control group of good state schools in fairly middle class areas to measure the real effect.
  • Foxy said:

    I don't think we are contempories though. I finished in the early Eighties, but it still an excellent school.

    We are not, without revealing my age.
  • Peter Symonds is excellent; my sister went there. I went to Alton College, also good.

    It's not a comprehensive school, though; it's a sixth form college and you have to apply for it for post-GCSEs.
    Alton College is about 10 minutes from where I grew up, how interesting.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    edited May 2024
    The sheer cynicism of this:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cg665grg7plo

    I thought I was past being shocked.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    edited May 2024

    For the umpteenth time, it's not a tax break. The tax break is precisely the other way round: the parents who send their kids to private schools are giving you the tax break. Take it away and it's a tax take. Yours.

    This is why Labour governments over the last 100 years haven't touched it, even when they've been in office and had the opportunity to do so.
    It’s a VAT exemption for a service, in the same way financial services are exempt, but other educational services are not.

    One of the downsides of exemption is inability to recover VAT. That’s one of the reasons the actual cost of taxability will be much smaller than the headlines.

    Most private schools will be fine, they’ll adapt. My son goes to one which has already let us know what their plans are. Fees have gone up by a ridiculous degree in the last few years so this will just be yet another hike, but much less than 20%.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    Foxy said:

    When I went, you just needed a B at O level in the subjects you wanted to do at A level. There was no other selection.

    That is the same as the Comprehensive that my son went to, and a reasonable threshold. If someone cannot get a B at GCSE then they won't do well at A level in that subject.
    That's a form of academic selection, and the school is therefore not comprehensive.

    But, I don't have an issue with selection.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,480
    This is discussion is getting a bit boring an repetitive now.

    Surely it must be time for Sunak to drop another banger of a policy. Bringing back corporal punishment?
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,564

    1 in 5 adults in the UK has attended a private school as a child (20%) and it's actually higher amongst younger age groups:




    It's much more common than you think.
    I went to the source and not much background data on, for instance, the questions used to get these figures. But I'm going to call bullshit on the output number.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    I fear adding 'and USA' on that puts you in a rather exclusive group!
    Yes, I went to High School in the USA for a few years, a public school in the US sense.

    I came back straight into O levels. It was quite a jolt in terms of school style and curriculum. I was ahead in Maths and English as they were very well taught but way behind in Sciences, language and geography. History was a bit different. I had done a lot of European history until the reformation, then the Mayflower sailed and Europe didn't matter!

    So I had a lot of catching up to do, but did well at the Comprehensive Montgomery of Alamein* School in Winchester, then Peter Symonds College.

    * It was weirdly militaristic, with many of the teachers having done military service in WW2, and had a boarding house and CCF, for boys who had parents in the army. Unusual for a Comprehensive but not unique.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    Yes I do, two of them actually. Both thriving in the state sector.

    And yes, nursery fees are a mare, but there are two important differences. One is that they're for a fairly short period of time and we only had to pay for one set of fees at a time. The other is the hefty government contributions through free hours and salary sacrifice.

    I am very very comfortable. Two public sector professional salaries, no mortgage, fairly frugal habits. With no mortgage to pay, I might, just about, be able to squeeze out £2800 a month, but it would be tight. With a mortgage to pay, forget it.

    People paying school fees out of earnings are, by definition, not normal.
    So what if they're not? It's no secret they cost money.

    It seems lots of people on here would prefer they spent that money on bigger houses in good catchment, expensive holidays, nicer cars and made the taxpayer pick up the bill.

    Excuse me if I struggle to see how that's the selfless choice.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729

    So what if they're not? It's no secret they cost money.

    It seems lots of people on here would prefer they spent that money on bigger houses in good catchment, expensive holidays, nicer cars and made the taxpayer pick up the bill.

    Excuse me if I struggle to see how that's the selfless choice.
    Either way, it's a private benefit to you. And you'll pay 20% VAT on those things. Good!
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819

    You're really quite dim, aren't you?
    Better to be dim than deranged!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    That's a form of academic selection, and the school is therefore not comprehensive.

    But, I don't have an issue with selection.
    In that case no school is Comprehensive after 16 and many after 14 as schools have academic requirements for GCSE at these levels.

    It seems a strange quibble to me.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,695
    TimS said:

    It’s a VAT exemption for a service, in the same way financial services are exempt, but other educational services are not.

    One of the downsides of exemption is inability to recover VAT. That’s one of the reasons the actual cost of taxability will be much smaller than the headlines.

    Most private schools will be fine, they’ll adapt. My son goes to one which has already let us know what their plans are. Fees have gone up by a ridiculous degree in the last few years so this will just be yet another hike, but much less than 20%.
    Much smaller? Aren't wages 75 percent or so of a school's costs?

    (Carnforth's genius populist recommendation: 5% for UK students, 20% for furriners.)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,359
    Foxy said:

    Yes, I went to High School in the USA for a few years, a public school in the US sense.

    I came back straight into O levels. It was quite a jolt in terms of school style and curriculum. I was ahead in Maths and English as they were very well taught but way behind in Sciences, language and geography. History was a bit different. I had done a lot of European history until the reformation, then the Mayflower sailed and Europe didn't matter!

    So I had a lot of catching up to do, but did well at the Comprehensive Montgomery of Alamein* School in Winchester, then Peter Symonds College.

    * It was weirdly militaristic, with many of the teachers having done military service in WW2, and had a boarding house and CCF, for boys who had parents in the army. Unusual for a Comprehensive but not unique.
    So... a massive dollop of privilege in all that!
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,400
    Tres said:

    Better to be dim than deranged!
    If only the Tories had stuck to that slogan...
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785
    My final word on the matter:-
    Thank God HYUFD isn't around to get us started on grammar schools.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,110
    @PrimeshPatel
    Oh dear. Fake Rishi strikes again.

    So @RishiSunak was in my manor of Stanmore in Harrow East today to support the Tory candidate.

    It’s claimed he ‘surprised local diners’ but everyone in these photos is a Tory councillor or staffer, without exception.

    Don’t be fooled by Rishi.

    https://x.com/PrimeshPatel/status/1794779254330405003

  • The median salary in this country is £35k so, no, I'm not aware of it because it's not true.

    Are you aware that's what a full-time nursery place costs now in the South, which a plurality of two-working parents now have to pay?

    Lots of families where both parents work full-time with one child exercise this choice, provided their housing is modest and they don't go on expensive holidays.

    The real issue comes when one considers a second child.
    According to the ONS PAYE information, median monthly pay is £2381 per month: https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/bulletins/earningsandemploymentfrompayasyouearnrealtimeinformationuk/may2024
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,772
    edited May 2024

    So Labour says no changes to IC and NI...so my guess would be new council tax bands, IHT threshold being cut, raid on pensions and capital gains cut to zero allowance / increase in tax rate, as a minimum to raise extra taxes.

    I don't think they'll cut the IHT threshold. IHT isn't popular and the basic threshold has already been frozen at £325k for 15 years. I think they'll probably leave IHT completely as it is.

    But I suspect they will:

    - Bring CGT rates in line with IT rates - which is a big increase

    - Dramatically cut back ISAs. Firstly reduce the £20k annual investment limit to about £5k. Maybe also put a cap on the total amount you can have invested in ISAs - say £100k or £200k. If they do that, the question is what happens to people with ISAs already above the cap? But whatever the detail, it'll be a dramatic reduction in the scope for investing completely outside of tax.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    So what if they're not? It's no secret they cost money.

    It seems lots of people on here would prefer they spent that money on bigger houses in good catchment, expensive holidays, nicer cars and made the taxpayer pick up the bill.

    Excuse me if I struggle to see how that's the selfless choice.
    Just that this sub thread started with you saying

    The kids at my local school are perfectly normal and aren't even developing cut-glass accents. It's just an independent school with its own educational ethos, that requires parents to afford £5k a term, or £1.4k a month spread over 12 months (with the extras and interest).

    And it's simply not the case that a school which serves families with that much spare cash is normal. It may be a lot of good things, but it's not normal.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Pro_Rata said:

    I went to the source and not much background data on, for instance, the questions used to get these figures. But I'm going to call bullshit on the output number.
    It's not impossible that 20% go to a private school at some point and 7% at any one time.

    On here there are a fair number went to both sectors.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    Foxy said:

    In that case no school is Comprehensive after 16 and many after 14 as schools have academic requirements for GCSE at these levels.

    It seems a strange quibble to me.
    Not for English.

    Maths or Science to an extent because of the paper tiers.
  • Scott_xP said:

    @PrimeshPatel
    Oh dear. Fake Rishi strikes again.

    So @RishiSunak was in my manor of Stanmore in Harrow East today to support the Tory candidate.

    It’s claimed he ‘surprised local diners’ but everyone in these photos is a Tory councillor or staffer, without exception.

    Don’t be fooled by Rishi.

    https://x.com/PrimeshPatel/status/1794779254330405003

    Well, one of them is his wife.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,381
    Luke Tryl
    @LukeTryl
    Our first
    @Moreincommon_
    poll of Scottish voters since the campaign was announced. Labour lead by 5.

    Labour 35% (+16)
    SNP 30% (-15)
    Cons 17% (-8)
    Lib Dem 10% (-)
    Reform 4%
    Green 3% (+2)

    Changes with 2019 n= 1016 22-24 May
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,522
    Pro_Rata said:

    I went to the source and not much background data on, for instance, the questions used to get these figures. But I'm going to call bullshit on the output number.
    It implies that most of those 18-24 year olds who attended private school at some point, did so for only one or two years each. Is that really likely? What would be driving that sort of behaviour?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    carnforth said:

    Much smaller? Aren't wages 75 percent or so of a school's costs?

    (Carnforth's genius populist recommendation: 5% for UK students, 20% for furriners.)
    Depends on the school. A lot of them spend more than that on other goods and services. Certainly ours does - looks like the hike will be 10% or less, some coming out of profits.

    State schools have faced far worse austerity than that for years. It’s fair that they’re all in it together.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,213
    So the Indy 500 is going ahead after all. I'd make a joke about how boring oval tracks are, but we've just had the Monaco Grand Prix so it would be a tad hypocritical.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933

    Luke Tryl
    @LukeTryl
    Our first
    @Moreincommon_
    poll of Scottish voters since the campaign was announced. Labour lead by 5.

    Labour 35% (+16)
    SNP 30% (-15)
    Cons 17% (-8)
    Lib Dem 10% (-)
    Reform 4%
    Green 3% (+2)

    Changes with 2019 n= 1016 22-24 May

    Last few polls seem to suggest Lib Dems holding on better than feared in Scotland.
  • megasaurmegasaur Posts: 586
    EPG said:

    If education can't even function with VAT, like any old retailer or professional services firm, then maybe it's a highly inefficient business that can't deliver value for money, and maybe the upper-middle class tax break pushed far too much resources into an inefficient sector.

    It's not a business at all. And it's not recovering much in the way of inputs to match it's outputs like retailers do
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    EPG said:

    Either way, it's a private benefit to you. And you'll pay 20% VAT on those things. Good!
    You're an idiot, and a fuckwit.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    So the parents sending their kids to private school are actually doing it out of kindness for the rest of society.

    They all deserve medals for such selfless sacrifice.

    And the kids have to suffer the sad consequences. Improved life chances. The horror.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    MikeL said:

    I don't think they'll cut the IHT threshold. IHT isn't popular and the basic threshold has already been frozen at £325k for 15 years. I think they'll probably leave IHT completely as it is.

    But I suspect they will:

    - Bring CGT rates in line with IT rates - which is a big increase

    - Dramatically cut back ISAs. Firstly reduce the £20k annual investment limit to about £5k. Maybe also put a cap on the total amount you can have invested in ISAs - say £100k or £200k. If they do that, the question is what happens to people with ISAs already above the cap? But whatever the detail, it'll be a dramatic reduction in the scope for investing completely outside of tax.
    Cutting the IHT threshold just means more people put their property in trust etc.

    Cutting the ISA limits seems clever - it’s well known that excessive savings are the weak point of the British economy.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Scott_xP said:

    @PrimeshPatel
    Oh dear. Fake Rishi strikes again.

    So @RishiSunak was in my manor of Stanmore in Harrow East today to support the Tory candidate.

    It’s claimed he ‘surprised local diners’ but everyone in these photos is a Tory councillor or staffer, without exception.

    Don’t be fooled by Rishi.

    https://x.com/PrimeshPatel/status/1794779254330405003

    Harrow is handy for Wembley. Was he at the match?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    TimS said:

    Depends on the school. A lot of them spend more than that on other goods and services. Certainly ours does - looks like the hike will be 10% or less, some coming out of profits.

    State schools have faced far worse austerity than that for years. It’s fair that they’re all in it together.
    Or, we could adopt policies that grow and improve the whole education sector rather than damage it.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    AlsoLei said:

    It implies that most of those 18-24 year olds who attended private school at some point, did so for only one or two years each. Is that really likely? What would be driving that sort of behaviour?
    Sixth form attendance?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    Just that this sub thread started with you saying

    The kids at my local school are perfectly normal and aren't even developing cut-glass accents. It's just an independent school with its own educational ethos, that requires parents to afford £5k a term, or £1.4k a month spread over 12 months (with the extras and interest).

    And it's simply not the case that a school which serves families with that much spare cash is normal. It may be a lot of good things, but it's not normal.
    It depends if you define the word normal in a statistical sense or as a euphemism for strangeness.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    Cutting the IHT threshold just means more people put their property in trust etc.

    Cutting the ISA limits seems clever - it’s well known that excessive savings are the weak point of the British economy.
    Have you been taking lessons in subtlety from Our New Genial Host?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,359
    Foxy said:

    It's not impossible that 20% go to a private school at some point and 7% at any one time.

    On here there are a fair number went to both sectors.
    I went to both. Public primary, state primary, state middle, then private from 13+

    Oddly enough, the only 'famous' person I was at school with (a film director) was at the state middle school. I can't remember him though, but can remember his situation.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    According to the ONS PAYE information, median monthly pay is £2381 per month: https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/bulletins/earningsandemploymentfrompayasyouearnrealtimeinformationuk/may2024
    So it doesn't equate to more than the median salary in this country then.

    Glad we got that straight.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    I went to both. Public primary, state primary, state middle, then private from 13+

    Oddly enough, the only 'famous' person I was at school with (a film director) was at the state middle school. I can't remember him though, but can remember his situation.
    What was his take on this?
  • So it doesn't equate to more than the median salary in this country then.

    Glad we got that straight.
    You might want to check the maths on that.

    2x £1400 = £2,800

    £2800 is more than £2381
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    TimS said:

    It’s a VAT exemption for a service, in the same way financial services are exempt, but other educational services are not.

    One of the downsides of exemption is inability to recover VAT. That’s one of the reasons the actual cost of taxability will be much smaller than the headlines.

    Most private schools will be fine, they’ll adapt. My son goes to one which has already let us know what their plans are. Fees have gone up by a ridiculous degree in the last few years so this will just be yet another hike, but much less than 20%.
    I'm pleased for you.

    Mine closed, and my son will lose his teachers and his friends and the former their jobs too.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    edited May 2024

    Or, we could adopt policies that grow and improve the whole education sector rather than damage it.
    Really, CR. Tear up 80 years of dedicated work, just to benefit the nation's children? You're just being silly.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    You're an idiot, and a fuckwit.
    What’s the difference?
  • Luke Tryl
    @LukeTryl
    Our first
    @Moreincommon_
    poll of Scottish voters since the campaign was announced. Labour lead by 5.

    Labour 35% (+16)
    SNP 30% (-15)
    Cons 17% (-8)
    Lib Dem 10% (-)
    Reform 4%
    Green 3% (+2)

    Changes with 2019 n= 1016 22-24 May

    This is a terrible poll for the Tories, reducing the lead Labour needs for a majority.

    I would not have predicted Labour taking back most of Scotland under SKS - but it may well happen.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    AlsoLei said:

    It implies that most of those 18-24 year olds who attended private school at some point, did so for only one or two years each. Is that really likely? What would be driving that sort of behaviour?
    Example: My niece was sent to a wanky private school for a year before she started infant school. Presumably that would be included in the stats.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,813
    edited May 2024

    Well, one of them is his wife.
    And she's the most surprised looking one of the lot.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    You might want to check the maths on that.

    2x £1400 = £2,800

    £2800 is more than £2381
    Ah, for two kids. I was only ever talking about one, which is why I said a second child was the issue.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,713
    ydoethur said:

    The sheer cynicism of this:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cg665grg7plo

    I thought I was past being shocked.

    A spokesperson said it was a relief the cash had been approved before the election...

    Fucking LOL.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,400

    This is a terrible poll for the Tories, reducing the lead Labour needs for a majority.

    I would not have predicted Labour taking back most of Scotland under SKS - but it may well happen.
    Means the Lib Dem/Tory seats in the North and North East all go Lib Gem
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,359

    I have offered data. I gave you a link to an article earlier.

    I am slightly puzzled why you are having a go at me on supplying data when you have responded with speculation rather than data yourself. What’s up? I’m not trying to have an argument with you. I’m happy to discuss the issue, explore the data. I found something and shared it. I hope it was interesting. Feel free to share what you’ve got.
    I'm not trying to 'have a go' at you, or anyone. If you mean the link to the Indy article above, then it's not relevant as far as I can see - it's about the increase in fees. If it's another link, then I've missed it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    So the parents sending their kids to private school are actually doing it out of kindness for the rest of society.

    They all deserve medals for such selfless sacrifice.

    And the kids have to suffer the sad consequences. Improved life chances. The horror.

    What's wrong with a win-win? And why is that worse than a lose-lose?
  • Ah, for two kids. I was only ever talking about one, which is why I said a second child was the issue.
    Yeah I said originally "for two kids": Are you aware that £1.4k a month for two kids equates to more than the median salary in this country?
  • Is Sunak so worried about how he is perceived that he'll only talk to Tory staffers? Or does he not understand, or not care?

    I suppose it probably doesn't matter much politically, just seems a bit odd.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    DougSeal said:

    What’s the difference?
    The idiot for the argument; the fuckwit for saying it's good when the policy has just closed my son's school.
  • If Labour are in favour of removing VAT exemptions, I trust they'll be removing the exemption on train tickets too?

    I pay VAT on my fuel to get to work, while others don't pay VAT on their train tickets. This loophole should be closed too, I'm sure Labour will be queueing up to do this, right?
  • EXCL: Greg Hands triggers backlash after spamming Whatsapp group of parents of boys at elite St Paul's School - alma mater of George Osborne, etc. - about Labour's private school plans.

    Trade minister told "stop assuming everyone's a Tory" and that some feel it is "hard to justify" VAT exemption

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1794787580212391981

    I am sorry but this is brilliantly funny.
  • EXCL: Greg Hands triggers backlash after spamming Whatsapp group of parents of boys at elite St Paul's School - alma mater of George Osborne, etc. - about Labour's private school plans.

    Trade minister told "stop assuming everyone's a Tory" and that some feel it is "hard to justify" VAT exemption

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1794787580212391981

    I am sorry but this is brilliantly funny.

    Do you agree the VAT exemption on your train tickets should be removed too?

    Or is it just some exemptions you object to?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    DougSeal said:

    Home, Thatcher and Major as representatives for their birth decades are infinitely preferable to the 49 day disaster. She was (as I bang on about) in my year at Oxford, which is an absolute embarrassment
    She was a LD at that time I think.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735

    What's wrong with a win-win? And why is that worse than a lose-lose?
    It's a lose lose, personally I want pushy parents ensuring that State Schools don't take the easy option...
  • The private school group Greg Hands posted in, has this amazing reply.

    "Can we stop assuming everyone is a Tory in this group. A return to more morality, less corruption and more social conscience in British politics is not something to oppose necessarily. I appreciate this will be widely derided as a comment but I do think this group needs some balance."

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1794787580212391981/photo/3
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    EXCL: Greg Hands triggers backlash after spamming Whatsapp group of parents of boys at elite St Paul's School - alma mater of George Osborne, etc. - about Labour's private school plans.

    Trade minister told "stop assuming everyone's a Tory" and that some feel it is "hard to justify" VAT exemption

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1794787580212391981

    I am sorry but this is brilliantly funny.

    Chelsea could go Labour for the first time ever. I assume Greg Hands is the Tory candidate there again.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,633

    Is Sunak so worried about how he is perceived that he'll only talk to Tory staffers? Or does he not understand, or not care?

    I suppose it probably doesn't matter much politically, just seems a bit odd.

    Very little benefit to actually talking to the public I'd guess, and a lot of risk they make you look a tit (Sunak has some form for this, but a risk for all politicians).

    Lots of inside baseball bad stories about softball questions nowhere near as bad as say a Gordon Brown bigot woman moment.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    Foxy said:

    Harrow is handy for Wembley. Was he at the match?
    I took your advice (not that you directly advised it) and bailed out of the spreads.

    I remembered that it's quite hard to trade on SPIN and they take the market down whenever anything vaguely price related happens, and the downside risk on my bet is significantly worse than the potential upside. Last time they pursued me immediately and quite firmly after the result to plug the loss straight away.

    So I blew £60 on that but, yes, will sleep better and use my cash for better bets.
  • Do you agree the VAT exemption on your train tickets should be removed too?

    Or is it just some exemptions you object to?
    Actually Bart, I've already posted on VAT exemptions. They should in my view really only exist for vital services. Private education is not vital, I would argue transport is.

    But actually I don't really care much for the VAT on school fees, I'd rather Labour made state education better first.
  • megasaurmegasaur Posts: 586

    Cutting the IHT threshold just means more people put their property in trust etc.

    Cutting the ISA limits seems clever - it’s well known that excessive savings are the weak point of the British economy.
    The tighter the iht limit the less scope for trusts because, ignoring the smoke and mirrors, you are effectively giving away stuff you don't need when you set them up. And they cost professional fees to establish

    In Canada the TFSA (ISA equivalent) has a life time contribution limit of $95000 or about 55000 earth pounds. That does seem reasonable: it's perfectly possible to be taking an income over the national average wage out of an ISA tax free, at the same time as having lots of other assets. Nice feeling but the social justice of the situation is, ahem, nuanced.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    megasaur said:

    It's not a business at all. And it's not recovering much in the way of inputs to match it's outputs like retailers do
    Private schools are businesses.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    The thing about privilege is: it is easy to see in other people, but often very hard to see in ourselves.

    Below I stated that good health as a child is a privilege. It is, and one I did not have at times.

    On the other hand, having two loving parents is also somewhat of a privilege, and one I most certainly had. Likewise, having loving siblings.

    It's easy to reject such privileges that you have as unimportant - but to those who did not have them, they can appear very important.

    If you use the definition such as: "a special right, advantage, or immunity granted or available only to a particular person or group."

    Greatest privileges probably are: loving family, being fit and healthy, being good-looking, tall(ish) and good with people.
  • What is most interesting beyond Hands being a prat is that people at St Paul's don't seem to overwhelmingly hate the policy, which I find surprising.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,480
    edited May 2024

    The private school group Greg Hands posted in, has this amazing reply.

    "Can we stop assuming everyone is a Tory in this group. A return to more morality, less corruption and more social conscience in British politics is not something to oppose necessarily. I appreciate this will be widely derided as a comment but I do think this group needs some balance."

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1794787580212391981/photo/3

    Doesn't really surprise. When you look loads of leftie journalists, creatives, etc went to St Pauls and came from similar well known lefty parents. Guardian journalists used to get very funny when people used to troll the comments with list of where all the leading lights went to leading private school like St Pauls.
  • Actually Bart, I've already posted on VAT exemptions. They should in my view really only exist for vital services. Private education is not vital, I would argue transport is.

    But actually I don't really care much for the VAT on school fees, I'd rather Labour made state education better first.
    By that logic we should abolish VAT on fuel.

    That we charge VAT on top of fuel duty is absurd.

    I agree that making state education better first would be a better policy and I've suggested how earlier.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,300

    If Labour are in favour of removing VAT exemptions, I trust they'll be removing the exemption on train tickets too?

    I pay VAT on my fuel to get to work, while others don't pay VAT on their train tickets. This loophole should be closed too, I'm sure Labour will be queueing up to do this, right?

    I actually think that would be sensible.

    Build new train infrastructure and receive 20% of revenue raised as a result.

    Apply the tax base widely and subsidise for those who need it should be the principle. There's lots of people commuting into London on well paid jobs paying thousands a year in train tickets. I don't think that should be VAT exempt either.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    This is a terrible poll for the Tories, reducing the lead Labour needs for a majority.

    I would not have predicted Labour taking back most of Scotland under SKS - but it may well happen.
    Those are changes since 2019, I think.

    Tories slightly lower than I'd thought (at about 20%) but not massively so.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    Example: My niece was sent to a wanky private school for a year before she started infant school. Presumably that would be included in the stats.
    Mrs Foxy went to private school for a year when she came from Africa, but hated it as all of the other kids were much posher and had ponies and such. She transferred to the local Comp and was much happier there.
  • megasaurmegasaur Posts: 586
    edited May 2024
    eristdoof said:

    Private schools are businesses.
    They are not, on average. Nothing stopping them being, but the ones I went to and sent my children to (5 in all) were in all cases not for profit trusts. So unlike a business you can't hike profitability to deal with VAT shocks.

    Edit to clarify 5 schools, not 5 children
  • By that logic we should abolish VAT on fuel.

    That we charge VAT on top of fuel duty is absurd.

    I agree that making state education better first would be a better policy and I've suggested how earlier.
    Wasn't it the Tories who put VAT on fuel originally?

    Arguably I think VAT could be used as a way to disincentivise using cars - something which I strongly support - but again that's more of an aspiration as opposed to a policy I want to see implemented.

    I am not opposed to Labour's plan in principle - but I think they've got it the wrong way round and should have done the state education bit first.

    We're not all drones, I know you think all Labour voters are. But I've voted Tory in the past.
  • Doesn't really surprise. When you look loads of leftie journalists, creatives, etc went to St Pauls and came from similar well known lefty parents. Guardian journalists used to get very funny when people used to troll the comments with list of where all the leading lights went to leading private school like St Pauls.
    I'd like to get the thoughts of other school parents. I'll ask some friends who have friends or siblings at Marlborough and Wellington.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,110
    @WhoTargetsMe

    Labour seems to already be buying search ads against the keywords "Tory Manifesto" to direct searches to this site:

    https://torymanifesto.org.uk
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    For some reason my wife is watching some Indian drama on Netflix roughly set around the time of the Mutiny. It's in (accented) English, with subtitles.

    I just heard a terrific insult: low-born spawn of a pervert.
This discussion has been closed.