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Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com
Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com
The only WH2024 bet I have placed has been on Nikki HaleyHale to beat Trump in the first proper primary in New Hampshire towards the end of the month. She appears to be running the best campaign as doubts about Trump increase by the day.
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DYOR
Hayley wins that, of course.
Hur hur hur....
Expect Trump to use the time until the damages hearing to continue defaming her.
Expect it to cost him extra tens of millions.
It's the White House or the Big House, isn't it?
Well done. CR, but be warned. it gets worse.
I found episode three particularly distressing.
"Look, STEM subjects are all very well. But if you really want to make an impact, you need to write TV dramas. Or act in one."
The architect of the faulty Horizon IT system who gave evidence used to convict sub-postmasters has demanded immunity before agreeing to appear at the public inquiry.
Gareth Jenkins, who is understood to have been instrumental in developing the software as a senior computer engineer at Fujitsu, is under police investigation over his role in the Post Office scandal.
His testimony given in court cases that the Fujitsu IT system was working correctly was central to convictions, and was repeatedly used by Post Office lawyers.
Tracked down by The Telegraph to his home in Berkshire, Mr Jenkins, 69, said when asked if he was sorry for what had happened: “I don’t want to talk. I don’t have anything to say to you.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/01/09/horizon-expert-gareth-jenkins-post-office-inquiry-immunity/
Good evening sir: I hope your health has not gotten worse. As others have no doubt pointed out, you have incorrectly credited yourself as "Mike Smit" and have misnamed "Nikki Haley" as "Nikki HaleyHale"
A number of witnesses have already been given this warning and a few have exercised this right, though sparingly, as far as I know.
Their behaviour was about as bad a breach of professional standards as is possible, short of actually going into the witness box to lie yourself.
From the Private Eye special report (dating from 2020) I believe:
https://www.private-eye.co.uk/special-reports/justice-lost-in-the-post
Page 5:
"When the main event resumed in the high
court, the performance of the Fujitsu staff
responsible for running the Horizon IT system
made the Post Office’s arse-covering and
mendacity in the first trial look open and honest.
QC Patrick Green dragged Fujitsu witnesses
through reams of obvious computer errors and
glitches going back nearly 20 years and featuring
a “bug table” listing 23 serious software faults.
But still, almost all of them refused to face the
plain truth that the IT was flawed.
It didn’t help that, in line with its strategy of
evasion, the Post Office didn’t call key Fujitsu
personnel for fear of what they might be forced
to reveal. One absentee was a central figure on
the Horizon contract, recently-retired lead
engineer Gareth Jenkins. He had nevertheless
provided vast amounts of information for the
written statements of the witnesses who did
appear. He’d also, it turned out, been the
company’s witness at criminal trials including
Seema Misra’s nine years earlier. This meant that
when the misleading words he had fed more
junior staff were scrutinised in the courtroom,
the cover-up began to look dark indeed.
Fujitsu IT security analyst Andy Dunks was
questioned on a particularly tortuous part of his
written evidence. He’d claimed that “at all
material times the system was operating properly,
or if not, any respect in which it was not
operating properly, or was out of operation was
not such as to effect [sic] the information held
within it”. Was this mangled syntax the party
line? No, said Dunks; there was no party line.
Green then presented him with Gareth Jenkins’s
evidence in Seema Misra’s trial all those years
before, which read word-for-word the same as
Dunks’s statement.
Plainly there was a party line, right down to
the mis-spelling of “affect”. It was also clearly an
untrue line. Emails revealed in the trial showed
that a senior Fujitsu specialist had said as far
back as 2006 about one glitch causing accounting
errors, “this bug has been around for years and
affects a number of sites most weeks”. Four
years after that, the “party line” put Seema
Misra behind bars."
https://x.com/UkTruth2020/status/1744771844312281521?s=20
https://www.postofficescandal.uk/post/jenkins-wants-inquiry-immunity/
material times the system was operating properly,
or if not, any respect in which it was not
operating properly, or was out of operation was
not such as to effect [sic] the information held
within it”. - are a carbon copy of the wording in S.69(1)(b) of the Police and Criminal Evidence Act i.e. the section which had been removed by Parliament after lobbying by the Post Office.
This shows how utterly crap the Post Office's legal department was. It was obviously the party line and it was pretty obviously put there by the lawyers without the witnesses having the first clue what it meant.
"who resisted attempts to
get to the bottom of the
affair and blocked the
sub-postmasters’ pursuit of
justice."
Together with the top brass at the Post Office and Fujitsu it also fingers the junior ministers who were to party to the obstruction:
"These were the
government ministers
who failed to properly
examine the unfurling
public scandal while
holding the postal services
brief. Under the coalition
came the uninspiring trio
of Ed Davey (2010-2012),
Norman Lamb (for seven
months) and Jo Swinson
(2012-2015). They were
followed by a succession
of shortlived Tory junior
ministers with other fish to
fry and careers that would
not have been helped
by addressing the subpostmasters’ grievances:
George Freeman, Baroness
(Lucy) Neville-Rolfe, Margot
James, Andrew Griffiths and
Kelly Tolhurst."
Given the further inaction in the four years since the report was written, you could add a few more to that list now.
And earlier in the article, it's made clear that the responsibility doesn't just rest at junior ministerial level:
"The mediation scheme also gave a shield to
ministers who were less than determined to help
those in trouble. When Arbuthnot raised the
scheme’s shortcomings, the Lib Dem with the
Post Office brief, Jo Swinson MP, bleated about
the “slightly difficult territory, because the
[mediation] working group discussions are
confidential… I cannot find out what is said in
them”. Her two superior wise monkeys, business
secretary Vince Cable (nominally sole
shareholder of the Post Office) and prime
minister David Cameron, were equally unhelpful
when Arbuthnot confronted them in the
Commons."
https://www.private-eye.co.uk/special-reports/justice-lost-in-the-post
As for rest of (what used to be called) Dixie, next GOP primaries are on Super Tuesday 2024, March 5
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- North Carolina
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Virginia
Which look (at least as of this week) to be tougher for Haley than her home turf, with best bets looking like North Carolina and Virginia, maybe Texas.
KEEP IN MIND that historically, traditionally, recently what Bush the Elder (and Better) called The Big M is during POTUS nominating process. What happens in earlier caucuses or primaries definitely effects subsequent contest in other states.
For example, in 2008 Barack Obama's caucus victory (32%) in snows of Iowa, helped Hilary Clinton beat him a week later in also-snowy New Hampshire. Even more important, it convinced Black voters across the nation, but especially in South Carolina then other Southern, Super-Tuesday states, that Obama really had a chance. With result that much her support from this quarter decamped to the Obama camp.
The PO clown wasn't up to notarizing a pet license for a sick parrot.
Huge headline on front of tommorows FT - Fujitsu won contracts under Sunak’s Watch despite Post Office IT Scandal.
Fijutsu has not been properly held accountable for this Scandal, yet they are still in Sunak’s Fast Lane to more deals from his government - complains a former Tory Chancellor.
And for the SHAMELESS PB posters pointing out to us that if Starmer is explaining why it’s not his fault, he’s already losing - a question. Will the promises to fast track help to the wrongly convicted postmasters actually happen under Primeminister Sunak, or under Primeminister Starmer? What do you think? 🤷♀️
PS headline from tomorrow’s Telegraph front page - Britain is on track to borrow a record £206 Billion from private investors this year as shameless Rishi Sunak embarks on a “Debt Binge ahead of the General Election.”
Anyway, I’m having an early night, I have to get up early to look after my sheep. 🐑🐑🐑
(Retweeted by our new vicar…)
https://www.google.com/search?q=independence+day+oh+crap&rlz=1C1VDKB_enGB1034GB1034&oq=independence+day+oh+c&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBwgAEAAYgAQyBwgAEAAYgAQyBwgBEAAYgAQyBggCEEUYOagCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:b6270ece,vid:QWNFB71MvTs,st:0
I guess not. You are right though, Keir was a “Corbyn had his place but it’s time to move on” candidate.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/01/09/cps-keir-starmer-role-post-office-wrongful-convictions/
https://x.com/davidrkadler/status/1744819540180004989
https://news.sky.com/story/hooded-gunmen-burst-onto-live-tv-set-in-ecuador-after-drug-lord-escape-triggers-state-of-emergency-13044975
Parents who refuse to allow their children to change gender would face up to seven years in jail under SNP plans to ban “conversion therapy”...
Stopping someone from “dressing in a way that reflects their sexual orientation or gender identity” was put forward as an example of an action that would become illegal, even if a parent believed they were acting in a child’s best interests.
@ydoethur you queried a comment I made a few weeks ago about how in practice people in Russia have 'freedom'. The answer is that they are free from laws like this. This type of thing is also why people vote for Trump as a 'least worst option'. People call them fascist etc but they have sound reasons that make sense to them and to me this explains the destabilisation of Western Culture - because the liberal establishment fails to stop the totalitarian tendencies of the "woke left".
Simply not fit for purpose.
... The Horror.....
Kier might have to look sad in a press release. That's how serious it could be. If it's even more serious Rishi or Clegg might have to issue press statements from abroad.
And that's expensive.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/01/09/cps-keir-starmer-role-post-office-wrongful-convictions/
(I have no idea myself, but listening to some of their podcast output they clearly have a very, very odd outlook)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/09/keir-starmer-children-sky-tv-mistake-son-daughter/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/09/starmer-work-new-labour-office-freezing-parliament-building/
The good news is all these Starmer smears are in front of the paywall. Bargain!
If it takes one to know one, he'll know for sure.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/24037768.conversion-therapy-ban-proposal-published-scottish-government/
This whole article reports the view of the 'progressives' that are promoting the legislation. One sentence is given to view of the 'opponent', although they put a photo of him in the article, an old white man, presumably signifying the past.
"Writing in his local paper, the Strathspey and Badenoch Herald, Ewing argued that he had not “come across any parents who were happy about the prospect of some third party having power – unclear and unspecified power at that – over their own children”."
Secondly, the SNP have not jailed any parents opposed to their children’s gender transition. I doubt they ever would. This is a biased write-up of a proposal. It is not a description of something that is happening.
Thirdly, yes, even if everything in this Telegraph write-up came to pass, that would be better than living under Putin!
The MAGA-esque right in the US screamed that Obama would take their guns. He didn’t. They screamed that Biden would take their guns. He didn’t. Endlessly crying wolf over the evils of the “woke left” is equally unconvincing.
But Keir Starmer obsession? WTF?
Unless they don't know.
But Starmer does.
Great name.
https://youtu.be/wO2lWmgEK1Y?si=ZH679TbkH_xLCC72
Hands up if you believe it is going well.
Googling will yield next?
We can see the final throws of the desperate Tory regime now, to try and blame SKS for the failure of the government's 14 years to get a handle on the Post Office scandal.
A final throw of the dice, I am sure next week we will see SKS go up in the polls once again.
The public have had enough. This country is broken and it is the Tories who broke it. Not Ed Davey. Not Sir Keir Starmer. The Tories.
See you all soon
Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention results (2-3 Jan)
Con: 22% (-2 from 19-20 Dec)
Lab: 46% (+3)
Lib Dem: 10% (=)
Reform UK: 9% (-2)
Green: 7% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1744656534208909536
See you
We have had people on here crowing that Starmer is a lucky general. Well, maybe that luck is about to break - and in a really spectacular way. He may have a huge lead in the polls - but any affection for him is an inch deep.
And frankly, if he is going to be PM, he will be better in the job if he has had a tough crisis to negotiate first.
win the election for the Conservative Party I suspect.
At some point, when you have a tutor teaching 10+ children, you’ll need a proper classroom space (WeWork?)….
So some bright spark buys bitcoins, takes over the SEC account, tweets that they've approved a bitcoin ETF and then sells the bitcoins. The betting market on this temporarily goes from 17% to 1%:
* There's also the theory that the SEC posted the tweet early by mistake and are lying about being hacked.
The UK generally will conspire to make this red-taped into non-existence, as they’ve tried to do with childcare provision.
It is a nonsense, but it is a nonsense that could damage Starmer.
What is utterly remarkable is that the Conservatives have not been contaminated after the ITV show despite being in Government since 2010. The wagons have been circled and are protecting little Rishi. He is as you suggest a lucky General.
I want to be a bookie...