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What would be happening if Corbyn was still LAB leader – politicalbetting.com
What would be happening if Corbyn was still LAB leader – politicalbetting.com
Westminster Voting Intention (Corbyn as Labour Leader):LAB: 36% (-10)CON: 35% (+7)LDM: 15% (+4)RFM: 6% (=)GRN: 5% (=)SNP: 3% (=)Via @Moreincommon_, Aug 2023.Changes w/ Regular VI.
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Lab 20 short of a majority, not that Jezza was very coalitionable!
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=35&LAB=36&LIB=15&Reform=6&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=18.3&SCOTLAB=33.3&SCOTLIB=8.3&SCOTReform=0&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=36.3&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
https://12ft.io/proxy?&q=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/08/17/under-50-time-jump-ship-leave-britain
Or did part of RS's remarks get ett by the tech?
But that doesn't mean the stories are in any way connected. The F16 decision has been a long time coming, and would have happened whether Ukraine was being knocked back on all fronts towards Kiev, or was already besieging Melitopol.
How about Robocop? "We polled 25,153 voters via MRP and the result was Alex Murphy (Lab) 35%, Jon Pertwee (Con) 33%, and Pamela Lillian Isley (Green) 25%".
But no.
The headline More in Common VI with Sunak and Starmer as leaders is:
Lab 44%
Con 29%
LD 11%
Ref 6%
Grn 6%
SNP 3%
Apply the net change found if Corbyn were to replace Starmer and you would get
Lab 34% (-10)
Con 36% (+7)
LD 15% (+4)
Ref 6%
Grn 6%
SNP 3%
Incidentally, More in Common also asked about the impact if Johnson not Sunak were Conservative leader and found that the Labour lead under Starmer would fall by 6%. The gloss really has worn off Sunak.
The link to the More in Common August 2023 research and the data tables with the Corbyn and Johnson figures is here:
https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/our-work/research/voting-intention-august-2023/
Donald Trump’s apparent decision to skip the first debate is an affront both to the Republican National Committee and to Fox News, which is hosting the event.
In 2022, the state’s population dropped by roughly 138,400 people, to 38.94 million.
By Soumya Karlamangla"
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/us/california-population-decline.html
The UK has its problems but at least you can go out without fear of getting your head blown off !
Have a good evening, everyone.
Fortunately voters have Corbyn a landslide defeat in 2019 to force Labour to dump him as leader, which they did and replaced him with the more centrist Starmer
The Kirchners and their party have been much more bellicose on the Falklands than Milei is and the Kirchners are also pro Putin
"Falklands: Milei favors diplomacy and the Hong Kong model, respecting people's wishes — MercoPress" https://en.mercopress.com/2023/08/14/falklands-milei-favors-diplomacy-and-the-hong-kong-model-respecting-people-s-wishes
He then can ride a wave of nationalism and no one messes with Global Britain euphoria to the next election !
1. is quite possibly wrong, since US intelligence's guesses have not proved better than random - except for the prediction of the invasion itself, which was detailed and spot on.
The F16s aren't going to be relevant until halfway through next year, probably.
What would make a difference, immediately and significantly, would be the supply of HIMARS rockets with cluster munition warheads.
The HK treaty model would therefore be fine.
Who would you consider the most right-wing Conservative elected - the list is Heath, Thatcher, Major, Cameron and Johnson? I discount May because she never won a majority - all the others did at least once.
Argentina is one of those democracies with outsized political importance considering its diminutive economy and population. Like Greece, Serbia or New Zealand.
But he does the habit of getting what he wants.
How do we define left? Tax? Spend? Redistribution?
Is the share of taxation overall higher or lower now than when Blair left office? Or when Brown did?
Is spending on redistribution/"social protection" higher or lower now than when Blair left office? Or when Brown did?
Yay, now the Malawian comedian having a go, followed by an Aussie making the audience roar mocking King Charles. What an enormous pile of wank. Just turning off at the point that “white men” have been blamed for everything.
And when you're only producing one video every four days, that isn't a great performance.
Really it makes a lot of sense though, there's no upside for him. What's the RNC going to do about it?
In other words, no Callaghan, no Brown, no Sunak, and no Truss.
I assume it's because people can already get their fill of conspiracist ranting on youtube and other platforms already - for all the moaning about the 'mainstream' media, people like seeing pandering of that nature from a 'proper' show on Fox or whatever, it gives it more gravitas.
As a share of GDP ...
Who left taxes higher: Blair or Johnson?
Who left social protection expenditure higher: Blair or Johnson?
Or same question for their Chancellor's if you like, Brown v Sunak.
Firstly, no one is going to watch Tucker's show.
Secondly, what if someone really shines in the debate?
(Not only that, but the NYTimes polling has shown what the most effective line for Republicans is: "yes, I like former President Trump too. But with inditement after inditement, making him the nominee is asking to but Biden back in the White House." With Trump not there, pretty much everyone can hammer than point home. Alongside, maybe, him being frit.)
It's only elected MPs.
And all PMs are 'elected' in the other sense by their party or party members.
Which one is right? I am genuinely not sure. I obviously hope for the latter but this has been a seriously hard summer for Ukraine and Russia have proven to be far more resilient than we hoped.
https://news.sky.com/story/tenerife-wildfire-thousands-evacuated-as-firefighters-battle-out-of-control-blaze-12941891
Rather than whether Russia is going to be able to still push on to take even more land.
The fact that Russia is being purely defensive and stretched at that is a good sign.
Russia is depleting it's forces and has fewer and fewer stockpiled Cold War machines to add to the mix.
Ukraine hasn't even got it's F16s yet. It's forces are strengthening not weakening.
This war is currently ratcheting one way. Long may that continue.
Question: which country in north-west Europe (and indeed also northern Europe as a whole) has the lowest suicide rate?
https://twitter.com/C5N/status/1462897053856641027
Pro-Trump
Pro-gun
Anti-abortion
Anti-workers’ rights
Pro-Al Capone
Anti-sex education
Vaccine sceptical
Pro-selling human organs
Pro-tantric sex
Pro-Israel
Anti-tax
Doesn’t believe in climate change
Mixed views on trans rights
Sang in a Rolling Stones cover band
Pro-free love
Pro-group sex
Catholic
Pro-dog
Anti-government funding of science
Pro-Bitcoin
If they don't make a major breakthrough this year, and I hope they do, then hopefully they can regroup, be reinforced and go again next year with better armaments and F16s to support them.
Unknowable because of different reporting standards; one country's topped himself is another's unfortunate accident cleaning his gun.
https://country.eiu.com/article.aspx?articleid=462085029&subtopic_1 The Economist: “[He] has expressed scepticism about the efficacy of covid-19 vaccines.”
People who have to say their pro-vaccines and usually anti-vax.
That was shit, too.
It isn't easy to define "Left" and "Right" as you say. Blair in the 2000s would have been quite happy in Owen's SDP in the mid-80s.
As for the Conservatives, Heath was elected on a much more radical manifesto than Thatcher's in 1979. I'm no Tory so it's not easy for me to say but I'd put Cameron, Major and to an extent Johnson more on the one nation side of the fence.
The truth is radical manifestos rarely win - 1945 was exceptional so we're looking at "Selsdon Man" in 1970 as the last radical manifesto to win office - the 1983 Conservative manifesto was also radical but this was about re-election not winning power in the first place.
You could again argue only Heath, Thatcher and Cameron have won power from opposition since 1970 on the Conservative side while Major and Johnson won re-election as Conservative governments.
Name escapes me.
It’s this weird asymmetric fear of provocation that is frankly baffling. Let Russia act like a complete c*nt, but pussyfoot around just in case we make them a bit cross.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/michel-roux-to-close-le-gavroche-after-34-years-as-head-chef-wdc2vppl8 (£££)
The problem is that the Tories have ceased to be the pro market economy party. They're just another tax and spend party now.
In the past the Tories were the party of aspiration, enterprise and business. Today the Tories are a party primarily for people who aren't in the workforce and who get substantial welfare instead.
So under the Tories taxes and welfare have both risen now since Labour left office. Only welfare isn't aimed at the poor or needy anymore, but it's redistribution just the same!
Higher taxes and higher redistribution today than under Blair. What else to call that other than left wing?
There was also this thing with a box and a scarf, but it slips my mind.
[EDIT: if you want proof of the injustice of the world, the 1972 Anne of Green Gables has been wiped and is now lost. Fuck.]