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Compulsory voting ID – A CON gift to LAB & the LDs? – politicalbetting.com

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  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Will Guido Crosetto be the new Archduke Franz Ferdinand?

    Russian Wagner Group puts €15m bounty on Italian minister’s head

    Guido Crosetto has been critical of the Kremlin, making him a possible assassination target for the mercenary group


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/16/russian-wagner-group-places-15m-bounty-italian-minister-guido/

    I hope they quadruple the protection detail on Ben Wallace.

    What, up to 4? Seems a bit excessive.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    Do PBers realize - let alone approve - that there is no longer no such a-thing as the Dominion of New Zealand? In fact, not since circa 1946.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_of_New_Zealand

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Realm_of_New_Zealand

    The linked article suggests it is ambiguous:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_of_New_Zealand#Dominion_in_disuse
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,697

    Why is 5% a pay cut next year - when inflation will be 2%?
    Prices have gone up permanently while the £1655 is one time

  • DougSeal said:

    I didn’t know there was any such thing as a Dominion of New Zealand. I knew Canada was, Dominion Day and all that, but not NZ. The only real dominion is the Old Dominion of course.
    There's only one Dominion I'm interested in.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_(Star_Trek)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    Do PBers realize - let alone approve - that there is no longer no such a-thing as the Dominion of New Zealand? In fact, not since circa 1946.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_of_New_Zealand

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Realm_of_New_Zealand

    Shame.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    Do PBers realize - let alone approve - that there is no longer no such a-thing as the Dominion of New Zealand? In fact, not since circa 1946.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_of_New_Zealand

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Realm_of_New_Zealand

    ... let alone care
  • DavidL said:

    What, up to 4? Seems a bit excessive.
    We all know, very sadly, Sir Micky Fallon had two bodyguards with him, when he was Defence Secretary.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    The Metropolitan police service is riddled with deep-seated racism, sexism and homophobia and has failed to change despite numerous official reviews urging it to do so, an official report will say.

    The report from Louise Casey, which is due to be published on Tuesday, will excoriate Britain’s biggest police force, the Guardian has been told. Senior government and policing figures are aware of its contents, with one describing it as “horrible” and another as “atrocious”. One source with knowledge of the findings said the report would make clear that the Met was in the “last-chance saloon”.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/mar/16/met-police-on-last-chance-as-casey-report-to-condemn-failure-to-change

    That's just going to trigger another round of excruciating Wokery and frenetic virtue-signalling turned up to 11.

    They're not actually going to do anything about it.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067

    How come you get to have so much fun?

    Lash and horses. And then more lash.

    My day has been the full arbeit.
    Na na nana nah.

    (Hope you enjoy the brevity of this post)
  • That's just going to trigger another round of excruciating Wokery and frenetic virtue-signalling turned up to 11.

    They're not actually going to do anything about it.
    Defund The Met, make Cyclefree or myself Commissioner.,
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Sign-off from PB to watch the Man U game, come back to find Pagan2 has spent the whole 2 hours painting himself into an HYUFD-esque corner. Very odd.

    Excellent goal by Rashford but can't help feeling Haaland would have had a hat trick with the chances he had.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    That's just going to trigger another round of excruciating Wokery and frenetic virtue-signalling turned up to 11.

    They're not actually going to do anything about it.
    Wokery? That's sure one way to describe not wanting to be assaulted by someone in a Met Police uniform (or just out of it).
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Will Guido Crosetto be the new Archduke Franz Ferdinand?

    Russian Wagner Group puts €15m bounty on Italian minister’s head

    Guido Crosetto has been critical of the Kremlin, making him a possible assassination target for the mercenary group


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/16/russian-wagner-group-places-15m-bounty-italian-minister-guido/

    I hope they quadruple the protection detail on Ben Wallace.

    Isn't the Wagner Group about done, morphing from an allegedly crack (also wack) elite military strike force, into a badly-led, worse-supported, below-average penal brigade?

    Even by Mad Vlad's pathetic standards! Which is why he's reportedly cut Satan's F-Troop off from recruiting more drone-fodder from Russia's most elite prisons and borshtals (sp).

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,867
    Andy_JS said:

    Reform surge.

    "Westminster Voting Intention:
    LAB: 46% (-4)
    CON: 25% (-1)
    RFM: 9% (+3)
    GRN: 7% (+2)
    LDM: 6% (-1)
    SNP: 3% (-1)
    Via
    @Omnisis
    , 15 Mar.
    Changes w/ 8-9 Mar."

    Main swing Labour to RefUK there!!!
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    There's only one Dominion I'm interested in.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominion_(Star_Trek)
    My Dominion is better than your Dominion though…

    https://youtu.be/L6ehkhTn48Q
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    Na na nana nah.

    (Hope you enjoy the brevity of this post)
    Lol. Enjoy!
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067
    HYUFD said:

    Main swing Labour to RefUK there!!!
    Most polls this week have Tory share going backwards since firms previous survey. Worst delta for some time.

    As Mike flagged up in at least one header, gap opening up between established and newb pollsters; the long-standing and experienced firms, yougov, Ipsos Mori, consistently find Tory’s under 25%.

    And what Andy is astutely flagging up to us, would you have predicted 9% reform ratings a year ago?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    That's just going to trigger another round of excruciating Wokery and frenetic virtue-signalling turned up to 11.

    They're not actually going to do anything about it.
    A bit of Wokery clearly wouldn't go amiss in the Met.
  • Carnyx said:

    Five times the budget, I think?
    It does seem strange how infrastructure costs so much to build in the UK. Do we 1) build with unnecessary quality (100 year events being over specified) or 2) set original cost estimates too low on purpose (because otherwise nothing would get approval). Edinburgh trams for example - a neighbour who worked on the scheme told me that the cost per mile is 5 times that for trams in German cities where there are significant numbers of WW2 UXBs.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319
    rcs1000 said:

    (1) Wouldn't a 22 year old chap with an Albanian accent who turned up and said his name was Reginald Smythe not be a tad suspicous?

    (2) Given the high risk of getting caught and the likely prison sentence followed by deportation in those circumstances, how much do you think you'd need to pay per vote?

    (3) If one person got caught it would rather rumble your plan, surely? And if there were more than a dozen of these Albanians (where are you finding them, by the way?), then it is almost certain that at least one would end up being found out.

    (3a) And that Albanian is definitely dobbing you in
    Nah. More likely they take the cash and don't go anywhere near any polling stations.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    A bit of Wokery clearly wouldn't go amiss in the Met.
    Wokery is Wokery. It solves nothing and just annoys the fuck out of people - because it's all about lazy grouping of people by their identity group, censoring people for not using the latest trendy language and very noisy, self-indulgence and narcissistic virtue-signalling.

    This is bad leadership and bad behaviour, and an organisation with no integrity. A problem down the ages.

    That's what they need to fix.
  • HYUFD said:

    Main swing Labour to RefUK there!!!
    I know your role on the site but don't be fooled. Compared to two weeks ago the Cons are down 1, Lab up 1, Ref up 3. The last poll had seen a dubious Lab surge of 5 points that has now corrected itself. You don't win many elections with 25%. Omnisis is a skittish poll so I'd always want to see other pollsters match a trend. Delta, RW, Savanta and Techne all showed Reform level or down on their previous poll. It is possible Reform will lose that gain in the next Omnisis poll just as Lab did this time and the LDs did last time.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    kamski said:

    Nah. More likely they take the cash and don't go anywhere near any polling stations.
    Or get back in the minicab as SeanT has just made a booking
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,390
    rcs1000 said:

    (1) Wouldn't a 22 year old chap with an Albanian accent who turned up and said his name was Reginald Smythe not be a tad suspicous?

    (2) Given the high risk of getting caught and the likely prison sentence followed by deportation in those circumstances, how much do you think you'd need to pay per vote?

    (3) If one person got caught it would rather rumble your plan, surely? And if there were more than a dozen of these Albanians (where are you finding them, by the way?), then it is almost certain that at least one would end up being found out.

    (3a) And that Albanian is definitely dobbing you in
    Wow the Tory imagination machine is on overdrive tonight. Illegal immigrants stealing our elections... Must be a trans angle we can work in there somewhere! "Woke trans migrants stealing YOUR vote - while lefty lawyers LAUGH IN YOUR FACE"
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Wow the Tory imagination machine is on overdrive tonight. Illegal immigrants stealing our elections... Must be a trans angle we can work in there somewhere! "Woke trans migrants stealing YOUR vote - while lefty lawyers LAUGH IN YOUR FACE"
    To be fair I am laughing in their face
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    kjh said:

    This really is utter nonsense Pagan. As @Foxy points out you are into one hell of a conspiracy here. You have the donor, the parson organising the criminal gang and training them, the transport, acquisition of the marked register for which you have to identify yourself and apply in writing (bit of a give away) and can be refused. The register then has to be worked on and sheets of who the criminals are going to vote as and at what polling stations prepared. This is assuming you are working off one marked register, which would be an unreliable source for non voters. There is also the annual churn of voters (movers, deaths, new 18 year olds) and if at a general election and using 2 marked registers you are looking at probably 8 years of churn.

    The idea that this is all done without the local party's knowledge is farcical. No agent or candidate is going to risk his freedom.
    At what point did I say it was done without someone in the party knowing about it? What I have suggested is no more complex than most drug gangs where the leads rarely lead to the top.....oh yes they have been running for years so yes its feasible
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    Wokery is Wokery. It solves nothing and just annoys the fuck out of people - because it's all about lazy grouping of people by their identity group, censoring people for not using the latest trendy language and very noisy, self-indulgence and narcissistic virtue-signalling.

    This is bad leadership and bad behaviour, and an organisation with no integrity. A problem down the ages.

    That's what they need to fix.
    I think I'd need to see your definition of 'wokery', and 'woke' for that matter.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,697
    DougSeal said:

    I didn’t know there was any such thing as a Dominion of New Zealand. I knew Canada was, Dominion Day and all that, but not NZ. The only real dominion is the Old Dominion of course.
    Anywhere with a “House” in London had a special status in the British Empire.

    Australia, Canada, New Zealand and South Africa were Dominions. India was an Empire. Everywhere else were colonies.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    Anywhere with a “House” in London had a special status in the British Empire.

    Australia, Canada, New Zealand and South Africa were Dominions. India was an Empire. Everywhere else were colonies.

    Poor Newfoundland.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    rcs1000 said:

    (1) Wouldn't a 22 year old chap with an Albanian accent who turned up and said his name was Reginald Smythe not be a tad suspicous?

    (2) Given the high risk of getting caught and the likely prison sentence followed by deportation in those circumstances, how much do you think you'd need to pay per vote?

    (3) If one person got caught it would rather rumble your plan, surely? And if there were more than a dozen of these Albanians (where are you finding them, by the way?), then it is almost certain that at least one would end up being found out.

    (3a) And that Albanian is definitely dobbing you in
    One.....illegal immigrants are actually easy to get hold off
    two.. you work through cutouts that never know your name anyway the people who organise the illegals have families that are in debt you buy it out and you make it clear...carry the can if traced back your family is looked after till you come out......don't carry the can well maybe they wont be there when you come out.
    Its not really that difficult it is how most drug gangs operate
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,430

    I had henbane in the garden of my previous house. Magnificent.
    I have a patch of bittersweet - Solanum dulcamara. Close relative of the belladonna - poisonous too. I keep it as the foodplant for a micromoth, Acrolpeia autumnitella

    https://ukmoths.org.uk/species/acrolepia-autumnitella/adult/
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,697
    RobD said:

    Poor Newfoundland.
    Meh. They ran out of money

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,709
    People are on the streets protesting about the pension changes.

    https://twitter.com/LibreQg/status/1636434659667001362
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603

    Isn't the Wagner Group about done, morphing from an allegedly crack (also wack) elite military strike force, into a badly-led, worse-supported, below-average penal brigade?

    Even by Mad Vlad's pathetic standards! Which is why he's reportedly cut Satan's F-Troop off from recruiting more drone-fodder from Russia's most elite prisons and borshtals (sp).

    There was a short piece on R4's PM programme tonight with some Ukrainian soldiers talking about fighting the Wagner troops. Seems they are using the criminal/junky/whatever 'troops' as cannon fodder to flush out where the Ukrainian positions are - then sending the better troops in to engage in proper combat.

    It all sounded utterly horrific.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    edited March 2023
    HYUFD said:

    Main swing Labour to RefUK there!!!
    I’d expect most of the reform to move back towards the Tories at the GE and the same for the Greens towards Labour so the voter pool would be 53% Labour and 34% for the Tories .
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    People are on the streets protesting about the pension changes.

    https://twitter.com/LibreQg/status/1636434659667001362

    France spends an eye-watering 16% of GDP on pensions, a lowly 6% in the UK. Tories, take note.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,484
    edited March 2023
    Pagan2 said:

    At what point did I say it was done without someone in the party knowing about it? What I have suggested is no more complex than most drug gangs where the leads rarely lead to the top.....oh yes they have been running for years so yes its feasible
    You specifically said you were anonymous. This is bonkers beyond belief. So far we have dozens of people involved to make it happen including the local party. Lots of people are going to go to prison. I have been an agent and I can assure you, I was paranoid just about just getting the imprint right on the literature so I was sure I wasn't breaking the law. The idea I would have allowed or not known what you are talking about happening and then not done something about it is bizarre.

    PS As far as I am aware election law doesn't apply to drug gangs. Don't think for instance they have to file expenses or put an imprint on their literature.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    ohnotnow said:

    There was a short piece on R4's PM programme tonight with some Ukrainian soldiers talking about fighting the Wagner troops. Seems they are using the criminal/junky/whatever 'troops' as cannon fodder to flush out where the Ukrainian positions are - then sending the better troops in to engage in proper combat.

    It all sounded utterly horrific.
    Also Red Army standard playbook circa 1944.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,430

    Anywhere with a “House” in London had a special status in the British Empire.

    Australia, Canada, New Zealand and South Africa were Dominions. India was an Empire. Everywhere else were colonies.

    Several of the A4 locos were named after these Commonwealth countries. By BR numbers, they were 60009 Union of South Africa, 60011 Empire of India, 60012 Commonwealth of Australia and 60013 Dominion of New Zealand.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,122
    Andy_JS said:

    Reform surge.

    "Westminster Voting Intention:
    LAB: 46% (-4)
    CON: 25% (-1)
    RFM: 9% (+3)
    GRN: 7% (+2)
    LDM: 6% (-1)
    SNP: 3% (-1)
    Via
    @Omnisis
    , 15 Mar.
    Changes w/ 8-9 Mar."

    Lab on 425 seats or so on that.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603

    Sign-off from PB to watch the Man U game, come back to find Pagan2 has spent the whole 2 hours painting himself into an HYUFD-esque corner. Very odd.

    I think you'll find a HYUFD-esque corner is known as a 'Moebius Strip'.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603

    I just met a guy in a bar who was telling me he was a huge star in the 80s.

    I didn't believe him, but he was adamant.

    PB-tastic. In both senses.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    I think I'd need to see your definition of 'wokery', and 'woke' for that matter.
    Literally just told you.

    Please don't waste my time.
  • ohnotnow said:

    PB-tastic. In both senses.
    I've had a couple of jokes published in PopBitch.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    kjh said:

    You specifically said you were anonymous. This is bonkers beyond belief. So far we have dozens of people involved to make it happen including the local party. Lots of people are going to go to prison. I have been an agent and I can assure you, I was paranoid just about just getting the imprint right on the literature so I was sure I wasn't breaking the law. The idea I would have allowed or not known what you are talking about happening and then not done something about it is bizarre.
    No you dont have dozens involved that is your mistake because you look at it as someone is a law abiding person, someone say to a party official if someone was to make a donation of £x,000,000 to a charity (which are easy enough to set up) then people may favour the party.

    Charity receives the donation pays a contractor for work done....receipt given for say pr activities all above board.

    person behind charity then purchases debt from criminal gangs for the gang bosses... no name needed nor face seen. Tells them debt is wiped out if they cooperate....if they get traced back to take the rap family gets looked after, else if they squeal family gets taken care of.

    Points bosses at people to contact for illegals

    It would take a lot to trace it back to the person behind the charity let alone the party.

    Its merely sensible organisation and happens every day
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Meh. They ran out of money

    In part due to their above-average rate of enlistments and other contributions to the British war effort 1914-18. The rest due to depression already shaky local economy.

    Newfies were loyal to Britain. Pretty much a one-way street. Very Dickensian.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,451
    EXCLUSIVE: Dozens of Mar-a-Lago staff, from servers to aides, are subpoenaed in classified documents probe
    https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/16/politics/mar-a-lago-trump-subpoenas/index.html
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138
    RobD said:

    France spends an eye-watering 16% of GDP on pensions, a lowly 6% in the UK. Tories, take note.
    If you're arguing the Tories should almost triple the massive amount they already spend on pensions and pensioner benefits I think I might just go and jump off a cliff.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    Literally just told you.

    Please don't waste my time.
    I didn't waste my time by reading past 'Wokery is wokery'.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    If you're arguing the Tories should almost triple the massive amount they already spend on pensions and pensioner benefits I think I might just go and jump off a cliff.
    That may have been a sarcastic comment at the end.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,451

    Literally just told you.

    Please don't waste my time.
    The other view is that wokery woke up enough folk to call it out.

    No doubt you'll dismiss that, but yours is a circular definition - it's the annoying shit that annoys you - so you're hardly the unbiased arbiter anyway.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Speaking of "dominions" about the easiest way to get a rise out of a Canuck this century, is to start referring to the "Dominion of Canada''.

  • Speaking of "dominions" about the easiest way to get a rise out of a Canuck this century, is to start referring to the "Dominion of Canada''.

    Nah, to get a rise out of Canadians just call them Americans.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,482
    edited March 2023
    Foxy said:

    Lab on 425 seats or so on that.
    LAB+CON+LD+SNP change =-6%

    Broken sleazy political class on the slide?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,484
    Pagan2 said:

    One.....illegal immigrants are actually easy to get hold off
    two.. you work through cutouts that never know your name anyway the people who organise the illegals have families that are in debt you buy it out and you make it clear...carry the can if traced back your family is looked after till you come out......don't carry the can well maybe they wont be there when you come out.
    Its not really that difficult it is how most drug gangs operate
    I know politicians have a bad reputation but really they are not that bad. You seem to have an unhealthy knowledge of exploitation of illegals and drug gangs. I'm afraid us activists are novices at this stuff.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Speaking of "dominions" about the easiest way to get a rise out of a Canuck this century, is to start referring to the "Dominion of Canada''.

    While ironically many Virginians are still quite taken by Charles II’s catchy alleged nickname for their colony/state “The Old Dominion”.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    kjh said:

    I know politicians have a bad reputation but really they are not that bad. You seem to have an unhealthy knowledge of exploitation of illegals and drug gangs. I'm afraid us activists are novices at this stuff.
    I am sure you will learn, perhaps I should offer a course
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,278
    The revamped UKPollingReport website is currently predicting the following number of seats based on the latest polls.

    Lab 369
    Con 187
    SNP 45
    LD 26
    Oth 22
    Grn 1

    https://pollingreport.uk/seats
  • Several of the A4 locos were named after these Commonwealth countries. By BR numbers, they were 60009 Union of South Africa, 60011 Empire of India, 60012 Commonwealth of Australia and 60013 Dominion of New Zealand.
    I saw each and everyone of those in full steam from my school in Berwick in the 1950s
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Nah, to get a rise out of Canadians just call them Americans.
    I went to the Maple Leaf in Covent Garden on Canada Day and earnestly asked some drunken patrons whether “Oh Canada” was sung to the same tune as “Sweet Caroline”. They thought it a good idea.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,484
    Pagan2 said:

    I am sure you will learn, perhaps I should offer a course
    No I'll give it a miss. I find leaflet deliveries exciting enough
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Pagan2 said:

    I am sure you will learn, perhaps I should offer a course
    You really are PB’s answer to Jay out of The Inbetweeners.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138
    Nigelb said:

    The other view is that wokery woke up enough folk to call it out.

    No doubt you'll dismiss that, but yours is a circular definition - it's the annoying shit that annoys you - so you're hardly the unbiased arbiter anyway.
    You could always read my post and enlighten yourself.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    kjh said:

    No I'll give it a miss. I find leaflet deliveries exciting enough
    British voting is less corrupt that a lot of places, mine were hypotheticals about how I would organise it I wasn't saying it is happening. Just saying it could be done easily with no comeback to the organisers
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    Nah, to get a rise out of Canadians just call them Americans.
    Why are you so driven by getting a rise out of people?

    I can't say trolling people gives me any sense of satisfaction or positive feeling, but you really seem to enjoy it.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    Fishing said:

    LAB+CON+LD+SNP change =-6%

    Broken sleazy political class on the slide?
    Does anyone believe for a moment that Reform UK are going to get more votes than the Lib Dems? I mean, Ed is a bit of a disaster but seriously? It is just nonsense.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    DougSeal said:

    You really are PB’s answer to Jay out of The Inbetweeners.
    Well no idea who either Jay is or the inbetweeners so no idea what the thrust of your undoubted barb was
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Why are you so driven by getting a rise out of people?

    I can't say trolling people gives me any sense of satisfaction or positive feeling, but you really seem to enjoy it.
    Chill. I think you’re reading a bit too much into that
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Wokery is Wokery. It solves nothing and just annoys the fuck out of people - because it's all about lazy grouping of people by their identity group, censoring people for not using the latest trendy language and very noisy, self-indulgence and narcissistic virtue-signalling.

    This is bad leadership and bad behaviour, and an organisation with no integrity. A problem down the ages.

    That's what they need to fix.
    Interesting. Do you blame bird flu and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Wokery as well?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138
    DougSeal said:

    Chill. I think you’re reading a bit too much into that
    I'm chilled but I'm just curious.

    He does it all the time and I find the psychology interesting.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Pagan2 said:

    Well no idea who either Jay is or the inbetweeners so no idea what the thrust of your undoubted barb was
    I won’t lose any sleep over it
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,726
    DougSeal said:

    I won’t lose any sleep over it
    Neither will I then as you don't care to explain
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    ohnotnow said:

    I think you'll find a HYUFD-esque corner is known as a 'Moebius Strip'.
    Or, indeed, a Schroedinger's Box.
  • Why are you so driven by getting a rise out of people?

    I can't say trolling people gives me any sense of satisfaction or positive feeling, but you really seem to enjoy it.
    I’ve never called any Canadians Americans.

    I know a lot of Canadians though.

    The other thing that boils their piss.

    Their contribution on D-Day, constantly airbrushed.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,482
    DavidL said:

    Does anyone believe for a moment that Reform UK are going to get more votes than the Lib Dems? I mean, Ed is a bit of a disaster but seriously? It is just nonsense.
    UKIP got 3.9m votes in 2015, vs 2.4m for the Lib Dems, and that was when the Conservatives were much more popular. So it's possible, if not particularly likely.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,296
    Foxy said:

    Lab on 425 seats or so on that.
    Electoral calculus makes it 479-94 with no tactical effects.

    And OK, that's not going to happen (is it?).

    But the nearest comparable polls in '92-'97 were the ICM/Guardian series. Gold standard, Spiral of Silence, all that jazz.

    Their polls in 1995 were all in the range Conservative 29 +/- 3
    Labour 50 +/- 3
    Lib Dem 20 +/- 3

    We all know history doesn't repeat and Starmer isn't Blair. And there's still only a bit less than 2 years to go.

    But Conservatives need something to change the narrative. What?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,484

    That's an amazing coincidence. I just met a woman who told me she was a huge star in the 90s.

    I didn't believe her, but she was in no doubt.
    This is embarrassing. I don't get it.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    edited March 2023

    Defund The Met, make Cyclefree or myself Commissioner.,
    I vote for Cyclefree, she might have to make her threads shorter....
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,138

    Electoral calculus makes it 479-94 with no tactical effects.

    And OK, that's not going to happen (is it?).

    But the nearest comparable polls in '92-'97 were the ICM/Guardian series. Gold standard, Spiral of Silence, all that jazz.

    Their polls in 1995 were all in the range Conservative 29 +/- 3
    Labour 50 +/- 3
    Lib Dem 20 +/- 3

    We all know history doesn't repeat and Starmer isn't Blair. And there's still only a bit less than 2 years to go.

    But Conservatives need something to change the narrative. What?
    Many more Conservatives will rally round as the election approaches to close the gap.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,582

    I’ve never called any Canadians Americans.

    I know a lot of Canadians though.

    The other thing that boils their piss.

    Their contribution on D-Day, constantly airbrushed.
    Yep, one fifth of the landing troops, give or take.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    DavidL said:

    Does anyone believe for a moment that Reform UK are going to get more votes than the Lib Dems? I mean, Ed is a bit of a disaster but seriously? It is just nonsense.
    Opinion polls are of limited value in any case, but these kinds of numbers for the moribund and deeply obscure RefUK are utterly laughable. They'll be doing well come the next GE to match the Brexit Party's 2% national share from last time.

    I'm assuming that these pollsters must be prompting for them, and that most of their supposed vote would vanish into thin air if this were not the case; besides which, are they going to have either the money or the support to stand candidates in that many seats in any event?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    pigeon said:

    Opinion polls are of limited value in any case, but these kinds of numbers for the moribund and deeply obscure RefUK are utterly laughable. They'll be doing well come the next GE to match the Brexit Party's 2% national share from last time.

    I'm assuming that these pollsters must be prompting for them, and that most of their supposed vote would vanish into thin air if this were not the case; besides which, are they going to have either the money or the support to stand candidates in that many seats in any event?
    I wondered how many of their alleged supporters thought that they were actually indicating their support for a Referendum party. It frankly makes no sense but if the abbreviation Ref UK was used that is possible. After all has even 1 person in 100 heard of Tice, let alone be willing to vote for his party.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,296

    Many more Conservatives will rally round as the election approaches to close the gap.
    That's what people said in 1997. It happened, but it didn't happen anything like enough.

    This time might be different, but what do you think that different looks like?
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Electoral calculus makes it 479-94 with no tactical effects.

    And OK, that's not going to happen (is it?).

    But the nearest comparable polls in '92-'97 were the ICM/Guardian series. Gold standard, Spiral of Silence, all that jazz.

    Their polls in 1995 were all in the range Conservative 29 +/- 3
    Labour 50 +/- 3
    Lib Dem 20 +/- 3

    We all know history doesn't repeat and Starmer isn't Blair. And there's still only a bit less than 2 years to go.

    But Conservatives need something to change the narrative. What?
    The Return of Liz Truss
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,443

    Electoral calculus makes it 479-94 with no tactical effects.

    And OK, that's not going to happen (is it?).

    But the nearest comparable polls in '92-'97 were the ICM/Guardian series. Gold standard, Spiral of Silence, all that jazz.

    Their polls in 1995 were all in the range Conservative 29 +/- 3
    Labour 50 +/- 3
    Lib Dem 20 +/- 3

    We all know history doesn't repeat and Starmer isn't Blair. And there's still only a bit less than 2 years to go.

    But Conservatives need something to change the narrative. What?
    The "third party" fragmented vote is proving difficult to pin down. The LDs are at 6% with Omnisis but 11% with Redfield & Wilton. Greens are at 10% with People Polling and 4% with Deltapoll, Reform are 9% with Omnisis and 4% with Deltapoll so make of that what you will.

    What we can say is Labour are polling mid to high 40s, Conservatives mid to high 20s and the fragmented third party vote between LDs, Greens and Reform around 20%.

    The swing from Conservative to Labour is from 15-18% depending on which poll you look at and as @Foxy suggests, that's landslide territory. However, and it's worth stressing, we are still a long way from an election and you only have to look at history to see how large opposition leads can prove to be chimera on polling day ad in a time of enhanced voter volatility I bet Starmer and Labour are taking nothing for granted.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Yep, one fifth of the landing troops, give or take.
    Why is their contribution supposed to have been airbrushed? Just wondering. (I really like Goerge Blackburn's books on being a Canadian artilleryman in the Normandy campaign and NWE. But I don't think he was on D-Day, not that it matters given the contribution they clearly made to the war.)
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    Many more Conservatives will rally round as the election approaches to close the gap.
    The Tories need a break. Britain needs change.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Yep, one fifth of the landing troops, give or take.
    Don't think it was as high as that. According to this source they had 14k troops out of 156k, so slightly under 10%. Still a very serious contribution though.
    https://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/juno-beach
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,582
    Carnyx said:

    Why is their contribution supposed to have been airbrushed? Just wondering. (I really like Goerge Blackburn's books on being a Canadian artilleryman in the Normandy campaign and NWE. But I don't think he was on D-Day, not that it matters given the contribution they clearly made to the war.)
    Broadly D-Day is seen as a US and British affair. For sure the USA had two beaches, and dropped two airborne divisions, the Brits had two beaches and dropped one airborne division. But the Canadians had a beach to themselves, and their navy was present too off shore.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    DavidL said:

    I wondered how many of their alleged supporters thought that they were actually indicating their support for a Referendum party. It frankly makes no sense but if the abbreviation Ref UK was used that is possible. After all has even 1 person in 100 heard of Tice, let alone be willing to vote for his party.
    I don't know if this has been done, but it would be interesting to see how much support could be mustered in a poll for an entirely fictitious political party if it were inserted as one of the available prompted choices - especially if it were given an appealingly button-pushing name? The NHS Action Party or the Pensioners' Party could probably drum up 5% without too much difficulty.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,561
    edited March 2023
    Carnyx said:

    Why is their contribution supposed to have been airbrushed? Just wondering. (I really like Goerge Blackburn's books on being a Canadian artilleryman in the Normandy campaign and NWE. But I don't think he was on D-Day, not that it matters given the contribution they clearly made to the war.)
    Things in films/media.

    Watch The Longest Day as an example, you'd be hard pressed to see a mention of the Canadians.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Broadly D-Day is seen as a US and British affair. For sure the USA had two beaches, and dropped two airborne divisions, the Brits had two beaches and dropped one airborne division. But the Canadians had a beach to themselves, and their navy was present too off shore.
    Thanks. Juno Beach, sure. Surprising it is downplayed at all.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,122

    Broadly D-Day is seen as a US and British affair. For sure the USA had two beaches, and dropped two airborne divisions, the Brits had two beaches and dropped one airborne division. But the Canadians had a beach to themselves, and their navy was present too off shore.
    Canadian Navy was pretty substantial by the end of the war. The third biggest in the world.

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited March 2023
    Foxy said:

    Canadian Navy was pretty substantial by the end of the war. The third biggest in the world.

    From almost nothing, too. Dreadful problems in getting up ro speed, unsurprisingly, from such a small beginning.

    Made a lot of weapons and equipment too. Bofors guns, aircraft, Ram tanks, Sexton SP guns.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,867
    @pollreport
    ·
    Mar 15
    Do you support or oppose stricter gun laws in the United States?

    WOMEN
    Support 66%
    Oppose 28%

    MEN
    Support 41%
    Oppose 54%

    (Quinnipiac U. Poll, 3/9-13/23)
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited March 2023

    Things in films/media.

    Watch The Longest Day as an example, you'd be hard pressed to see a mention of the Canadians.
    Thanks. Also provided a lot of the garrison of the UK [edit] in the bad early years, and caught it bad at Dieppe.
This discussion has been closed.