The polling’s not looking good US Congressman Santos – politicalbetting.com

One of the big stories in US politics at the moment has been on George Santos who last November gained the Long Island seat in the US House of Representatives for the Republicans.
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Also, Sunak is useless. Now Raab is on the loose
It is a rubbish visualisation, though.
"What I think it's showing is the percentage of a) outright owners and b) owners with a mortgages, who fall in each age group. Hence the percentages for each series add up to 100."
It wasn't unknown that he was a dodgy character prior to the election, either.
The media seriously dropped the ball, though.
As did the Democrats, though slightly more understandably in the circumstances.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Santos
...Democrats took Santos seriously enough that Jill Biden campaigned for Zimmerman.[60] His campaign tried in vain to interest the media, at both the national and local levels, to look more closely at Santos. "We knew a lot about him did not add up; we were very conscious of that", Zimmerman said later. "But we didn't have the resources as a campaign to do the kind of digging that had to be done."[31]
One local outlet, The North Shore Leader, a weekly newspaper serving the affluent suburban area of that name that has historically been the core of the district, did report on the questions raised by Santos's personal financial disclosure forms when he finally filed them in September 2022, as well as some other dubious claims of his personal wealth. No other media outlet reported on the matter until after the election...
LAB: 46% (=)
CON: 29% (+1)
LDM: 9% (-1)
REF: 6% (=)
GRN: 3% (-2)
via @BMGResearch, 24-26 Jan
(Changes with 1 Dec)
Santos: In New York’s third congressional district, we are seeing an uptick in crime
https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1620561429463179264
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chairman_of_the_Conservative_Party
Okay it's not a public position, but the fact that the vacancy is unfilled is still Sunak's "fault", if one can call it a fault to run the Tory party so badly. Arguably he's doing the country a favour.
4th resident of The Villages admits to voting twice in the 2020 election
John Rider avoids jail time under pre-trial intervention program
https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2023/01/30/4th-resident-of-the-villages-admits-to-voting-twice-in-the-2020-election/
… Rider indicated in court papers that he plans to “buy out” his requirement of completing 50 hours of community service at a cost of $10 per hour.
Three other residents of The Villages accused of voting twice signed similar pretrial intervention contracts last year.
All four were facing a maximum of five years in prison if a jury convicted them of a third-degree felony.
As part of their agreements with the state, Joan Halstead, Charles Barnes and Jay Ketcik were required to complete a 12-week adult civics class based on the textbook “We the People; the Citizen and the Constitution.”
Under the pretrial intervention contracts, prosecution of the defendants will be deferred for a period of 18 months, with the possibility that it will be permanently deferred if they successfully complete the court-ordered requirements…
The Republican DA looks prepared to bring charges.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/30/george-santos-new-york-nassau-county-da-00080083
When Long Island Republicans organized in 2021 to take back the Nassau County District Attorney’s Office after 16 years of Democratic control, no one expected the first blockbuster case to be against a sitting member of the party.
Yet here we are…
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/jan/06/met-police-chief-mark-rowley-london-fantastically-safe-homicide-rate-falls
Most of the Protestant Irish see themselves as British. But some of them do have a problem with the English. See the Ulster loyalist song, "The Englishman's Betrayal".
It's the Scots that hate the English.
Behold, movement. (the Times)
This surprises me, as I’d assumed she was actually a net benefit to her party.
The new PM, Chris Hipkins, will be happy that he is being granted a modest honeymoon by voters.
He’s already made a subtle, but possibly clever, re-shuffle which has removed some egregious under-performers from where they were doing damage.
I think when Ardern resigned, the commentariat assumed this was it for Labour, but it seems that, for now, NZ voters want to be charitable.
Hipkins’s opponent, Chris Luxon, Leader of National, does not exactly provoke huge enthusiasm.
So, oafism not confined to London politicians.
Political parties really should conduct due diligence.
https://twitter.com/skynews/status/1612345929629155329?s=46&t=kIulQMq5Dv5XbeBGQtGDMw
Also, the DUP will almost certainly vote against it and a chunk of the ERG too - the question is, how many?
A new intro'd bill in Arizona would criminalize drag in presence of a minor as a felony punishable by up to 15 years in prison and a requirement to register as a sex offender. The bill defines drag as just singing and dancing while wearing make-up.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Esqueer_/status/1620467163172868096
Few people realise how lucrative it is to be an antivax grifter. @alexberenson a middling player in the field makes an estimated ~$108,000/month from his Substack alone, roughly 10X what I make as a a very senior infectious disease epidemiologist.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1620512284086009860
https://twitter.com/magnusllewellin/status/1620673022339284992
There’s a good argument that it’s a mistake to regulate crypto because you can end up having to bail out investors who you have convinced that it’s now safe. And do we really want the UK to be a “ global crypto hub”?
https://twitter.com/ruskin147/status/1620681347974201344
“Never stand between a fool and his folly”…
...Sunak is also nervous about reaction to the compromise among Brexit-supporting MPs and in particular any intervention by Boris Johnson, who agreed to the original protocol with the EU.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/uk-and-eu-set-for-northern-ireland-brexit-deal-tj9v9bgzw
Civil servants flagged that there had been “issues” with Raab in his previous departments before Sunak decided to bring him back into government. Downing Street sources insisted that the prime minister was not “directly told” and that officials never advised against appointing Raab.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/no10-was-warned-of-dominic-raab-issues-before-rishi-sunak-promoted-him-9dg708grs
Trans people are people. They deserve as much respect and compassion as everyone else in our society. This constant "They're a threat!" shittiness that goes on on here is really, really dangerous.
That poll is deeply disturbing. WTF are the 29% who think he shouldn’t resign thinking?
Edit - FFS Autocorrect!
Probably not wrong either…
There doesn’t have to be deposit insurance, either. It’s the “exchanges” that are the problem.
At the moment it’s safer to invest your money with a bloke from Devon, you met on a pub in Deptford. Who has this plan to steal gold from the Spanish, use it as collateral in slave trading and bribe the government with half the profits to make it legal, retroactively.
That one actually worked, once.
You might note that the concern is not with trans people but with men who will abuse poorly drafted law. The attacks on critics of this law frequently resort to blanket claims of “transphobia” because their initial attempt to get it through with “no debate” has been ignored, mainly by women (frequently left wing) who will not be told to “shut up”.
Did you ever read about the time he tried to rig a horse race?
But he did have a sense of humour. While in prison he was visited by a friend, who found him sewing mail bags. ‘Ah, sewing?’ asked the friend. ‘No, reaping.’ came the grim reply.
Stephen Noon described a route map based on the likely prospect of Sir Keir Starmer winning the keys to Downing Street at the next general election, expected before the end of next year.
He argued that in exchange for giving legislative consent to the Labour government for a Westminster bill reforming the UK constitution, Holyrood should demand powers to hold an independence referendum. He said under his plan a new independence referendum could be held in 2027 or 2028.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/23290184.stephen-noon-unveils-path-independence-labour-government/
Read the tweet you posted. It is part of a constant drip-drip of poison that trans people are a threat. The tweet connects, to anyone reading it, trans people and negative traits.
Some questions: how many trans people cross-dress for erotic purposes? All? Some? None? If they do, is giving them access to "women's spaces" (i.e. loos) fulfilling these dark "erotic purposes"? What about trans people who just want to have a pee without being hassled or beaten up when they go into the 'wrong' toilet? What even are "erotic purposes"?
The tweet below about Arizona shows the direction we're heading in, if we're not careful.
UK tech start-ups hasten overseas expansion after R&D tax cuts
Move threatens Britain’s standing as a tech hub and government ambitions to grow the sector
https://www.ft.com/content/f9b8a08a-2e98-4e10-9dd1-188d30408c36
The total number of homicides recorded under Home Office counting rules for 2022 was 109, which was 17% down on 2021, the Met said. Nine homicides were gun enabled in 2022, a 25% fall and the lowest figure since 2014. Sixty-nine homicides were knife enabled, a 17% reduction and equal to the pre-pandemic figure for 2019.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/jan/06/met-police-chief-mark-rowley-london-fantastically-safe-homicide-rate-falls
The ERG would still but with a majority of 80 Sunak might still get it through
And, as you say, your post wasn't about trans people it was about miscreants who pretend to be to make use of a dodgy law. (Personally, I think this risk is exaggerated but I may be wrong.)
But the rights they want can be abused by predatory men seeking access to women only spaces. We need safeguards to ensure that does not happen. The GRR bill has no such safeguards. That is what needs addressed.
The safeguards may require modifications of the Equality Act which is ambiguous because it does not distinguish between sex and gender. That is what people should be focusing on. The political game playing around this threatens the reputation and safety of those the proponents say they want to protect.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/this-young-american-couple-had-scotlands-first-ever-queer-jewish-wedding/
The issue with the Scottish GRR bill is that it will substantially widen the cohort to whom a GRC is available. People like “Isla Bryson” a convicted double rapist with prison onset gender dysphoria.
The statistics could be crudely read as suggesting that trans people are more likely to be sex offenders. Not a view I take, but very much more likely that sex offenders are falsely claiming to be trans.
That’s why Self-ID (not in the SNP manifesto) without any gate keeping is potentially highly dangerous. That’s what the quarrel is with - not with trans people.
Its not that we find the word acceptable, its just that you're not that interesting. The press would rather talk about more interesting things instead, like TV shows like Queer Eye.
Suggestions and guesses welcome as to what the DUP want, but they have to be within the laws of logic and gravity. And unicorns don't exist.
Trans people are not sexually women and where safeguarding means a women's-only space is required, then that may mean that trans people need to be excluded for safeguarding reasons, just as men are excluded for safeguarding reasons.
That does not make trans people lesser or not people, any more than it makes men lesser or not people.
{digs out ancient map of Sierra Leone}
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/31/nikki-haley-2024-presidential-race-00080575
...Haley declared in 2021 that she wouldn’t run for president if Trump did. But Haley telegraphed her change of plans in an interview with Fox News earlier this month, saying, “It’s bigger than one person. And when you’re looking at the future of America, I think it’s time for new generational change. I don’t think you need to be 80 years old to go be a leader in D.C.”..
A legal expert has warned Scotland’s controversial gender laws will provide men “who cross-dress for erotic purposes” with a “magic certificate” to access women’s spaces.
https://twitter.com/magnusllewellin/status/1620673022339284992
The issue is that men are excluded from women's spaces and this law violates that. Safeguarding needs to exclude men.
Which actually have some legal basis for the exclusion of “men” at present. Unlike loos, where it is, I believe, almost entirely social convention.
Shadow cabinet ministers were given a presentation on their local election prospects by the party’s campaign director, Morgan McSweeney, on Tuesday as Labour attempts to turn its 20-point poll lead into votes.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/feb/01/labour-may-vote-campaign-general-election
While the Tories will likely use it to indulge in more infighting…
The complaint seems to be that he used the people in videos to raise money.
Isn’t this just reinventing charities, or have I missed something?
There is a forgotten, nay almost forbidden word, which means more to me than any other. That word is England.
Consumer group Which? measured the caffeine in cappuccino, espresso and filter coffee at Caffè Nero, Costa, Greggs, Pret a Manger and Starbucks.
It found Pret's single espresso had six times as much caffeine as Starbucks's.
:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64472214
I utterly disagree with the above; people are explicitly *not* saying that. All we see on here is the *threat* they pose.
And that will end up in a very poor place.
I wonder what the sage of Sweden thinks the Q in LGBTQIA2S+ stands for?
"Today, the term transvestite is commonly considered outdated and derogatory, with the term cross-dresser used as a more appropriate replacement." (1)
So yes, the tweet is referring to trans people; just men who dress up as women; not women as men.
(1): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transvestism
You seem desperate to trash the rights of 50% of the population just on the whim of a few cross dressers , about 0.04% of population and 95% still have their block and tackle.
Almost 13,000 offshore companies with UK property fail to declare owners
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/feb/01/almost-13000-offshore-companies-with-uk-property-fail-to-declare-owners