The Rail Strikes: This from Opinium is not good for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
The Rail Strikes: This from Opinium is not good for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
0
This discussion has been closed.
The Rail Strikes: This from Opinium is not good for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Comments
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1614352509899886592?t=WdApn7uQNOY_q6PWuL8vXQ&s=19
Even if they back the nurses' strike 57% to 31%
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1614352502912155652?t=ftMmA8GGJ8Ux2A7dyo4nCQ&s=19
@Gabriel_Pogrund: EXCLUSIVE w/@HarryYorke1
Boris Johnson funded his lifestyle in No10 through a credit facility of up to £800,000 u… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1614384062675800065
It doesn't help when a party is as hapless as the Tories who are facing some monumental, self inflicted challenges with the talent of Scunthorpe's B Team.....so as HYUD saids these are pretty good polls. You have to eat the crumbs where you can find them.....
Tory MPs reaping: Well this fucking sucks. What the fuck. https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1614185439224537089
Getting rising mortgage rates under control is a more pressing concern and that also means keeping a lid on inflation and not overspending
https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1614187950966988803?s=20&t=Oy-r_4pjY__89WX6koOsew
The Tories will win the next election, but that won't be the basis. It will be racism and xenophobia - "immigration".
Rattled.
Extraordinary allegations that Branson is a tosser.
“Opinium were one of the most accurate pollsters in 2019”
As you know Opinium abandoned that methodology one year ago in favour of swingback methodology, not reporting the actual return from voters - and this swingback puts you blues on dire 29% a huge 16 behind, without hope of swingback closing that, do you still want them to be the most accurate, or wish they are beautiful wildly amazingly wrong? 🤣
What a country.
The origin of Virgin Galactic system for suborbital flight came through Burt Rutan. A brilliant engineer - who knew nothing of rockets.
His experience of the space program was working on the aerodynamic side of the X-15 rocket plane. Hence the automatic stability on re entry feature of the shuttlecock design be created.
Rutan specialised in building remarkable, one off, low usage vehicles in composites. Long life, and regular operations wasn’t his thing.
So he built the carrier plane and the actual ascent vehicle in his style - totally manual, and with composite technology that while light, rapidly deliminates under repeated loading.
Knowing nothing of rocket engines he picked hybrids - a bad choice. Worse, the contractors chosen for the engine were lethally incompetent - they killed people in a ground test, forgetting that monopropellant is a nice way of saying explosive.
The manual nature of the rocket plane then killed a pilot - you are a switch throw from death in that machine. No automation.
So you have a vehicle that visibly breaks each time it flies, that requires total attention and skill from the pilots 100% of the time and the engine is a dangerous mess.
You can’t say “oh only 29% and 16 down… now let’s have some swingback with that.” Without changing methodology “the most accurate pollster” would have given Con 24 or less tonight and over 20 behind!
The Labour majority of eighty predicted from this includes getting some swing back just to keep it to that, and cannot include the level of Tory hate tactical voting likely to be going on too, boosting Libdem seat quota in places Labour will never win, that doesn’t exist in these seat calculators.
And the comparison of majority to 2005 of course is rubbish because of the number of Labour seats in Scotland these days compared to 2005, that now technically count on your side (opposition) not in the Labour governments column.
Oh dear. Dear oh dear.
That wiki link is junk. Clinton? Otto, Prince of Bismarck, Count of Bismarck-Schönhausen, Duke of Lauenburg was doing this in the nineteenth century. So really it should be called die österreichischen Schulwirtschaftsideen des Sozialstaats übernehmen, um die Sozialisten ordentlich zu ficken, and not triangulation.
I really want to take a piglet back to London, and call it our commitment animal. I’m sure I would be able to housetrain it.
We don’t have any, but I held some the other day. I ❤️ little piggies.
Dnipro is where Ihor Kolomoisky was born. He is the oligarch who propelled Volodymyr Zelensky to office, as owner of the companies that produced the TV comedy series Servant of the People (about an ordinary guy who becomes the president) and then created the political party of the same name (the vehicle for Zelensky's successful run for the presidency when he was the actor who was playing the said ordinary guy in the TV series - like a cross between Paul Eddington in Yes Minister and Robbie Coltrane in The Pope Must Die).
But Ukraine is no longer in peak Kolomoisky. He fell from grace, was stripped of his Ukrainian citizenship (although he has at least two others - Cypriot and Israeli), and is now wanted by the US FBI and other law enforcement. His current whereabouts are unknown.
I doubt he will be making any public statements any time soon, but if the shelling continues in Dnipro he will presumably be in a lot of minds as the recently Mr Very Big from that city who was also one of the top oligarchs in the country.
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/who-is-ihor-kolomoisky/
"Kolomoisky once lined the lobby of a Russian oil company he wanted to push out with a series of coffins. For the full Bond villain effect, he even maintained a shark tank in his office, which he would fill with bloody chum whenever he wanted to intimidate a visitor."
Kolomoisky was also a major backer of the Jewish community centre in Dnipro, which maybe wouldn't be so interesting in itself but the centre is symbolically highly significant, being according to some accounts the largest in the world and architecturally it's very striking and very Jewish - it's shaped like, as well as named after, a menorah candelabrum, and has 7 marble towers with the middle one 20 storeys tall.
Since it's surely in the Russian side's interests to divide its adversary's ranks, the centre may become a target.
From what I have read about Starmer's programme so far, though, there does not seem to be much that would be controversial.
https://bhamnow.com/2020/09/10/oink-7-things-we-learned-about-owning-mini-pigs-in-birmingham/