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MRP poll finds Tories losing 256 seats facing LAB/LD/GRN pact – politicalbetting.com

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  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,260

    Where’s you’re evidence the police have Seen these photo’s before today?
    Paul Brant on ITV, who broke the story believes similar photos of the event are integral to Gray's evidence and the old bill were given everything she had.

    It's a judgement call from the detectives, they may have deduced that despite half a dozen empty bottles of wine, sparkling wine and spirits alongside spent glasses, Johnson's ministerial box jauntily flung to the floor meant he was still at work.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211

    It turns out the entire energy market was a scam, with providers merely providing a kind of performative competition.

    The UK seems to specialise in such fictions while maintaining that it is a deregulated, post-Thatcher paradise.
    A classic British scam. Middlemen who produce nothing cashing in. Rather reminds me of the "mates rates" PPE contracts.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101
    Can't get any answers from the Metropolitan Police about this tonight. They have consistently refused to comment on details of the investigation. But they face public questions from the London Assembly later this week and the risk is that their investigation is undermined. https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1528754003416387589
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    Just looking at @RochdalePioneers quote from Boris above

    As he told the Commons: “I have been repeatedly assured since these allegations emerged that there was no party and that no Covid rules were broken”.

    Even if the events were parties AND Boris *knew* they were parties that quote is not necessarily a lie.

    All he is saying is he was “repeatedly assured” about something at a given point in time.

    Is that really the killer quote / smoking gun?
    But when he instigated the Cain leaving party. Attended. Led the toasts and made a speech. He knows that his statement "there was no party" is a lie because he was there.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    Omnium said:

    Do try to keep abreast of developments.
    lactating The hell out of punning with this run
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    Scott_xP said:

    Proof 🛒 at event where others fined but not him. Why? Coverup.
    Proof 🛒 lied to MPs.
    If MET asked 🛒 re this then 🛒 lied to them, if MET didn't...
    & MET ignored written evidence of birthday *evening* party *organised* from flat
    #RegimeChange #CrimeWeek
    https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/snippets-4-and-ama-1200-13-may-hundreds/comments?s=w https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1528782732876201984/photo/1

    What’s the deal with the shopping trolley?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101

    What’s the deal with the shopping trolley?

    That's how Dom refers to BoZo
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    Scott_xP said:

    That's how Dom refers to BoZo
    Ta. Any idea why?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760
    rcs1000 said:

    Oh, I agree.

    It is embarrassing.

    And there's no real excuse for it. But it's not that uncommon. St John's Wood - number of good restaurants... zero. Richmond/Kew... one. Primrose Hill... zero.

    My apartment on Shaftesbury Avenue has a dozen excellent restaurants within a five minute walk.
    Rents and footfall
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,468

    lactating The hell out of punning with this run
    Yeah - perhaps the most strained set of puns in living mammary.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    July this year will resolve Starmer issue, the one you tried to close down with your personal insults which you just cannot avoid

    2024 is wide open for my vote though not with Plaid
    Not for Plaid?

    Definitive proof to close down the accusations that you are a Tory :)
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101

    Ta. Any idea why?
    He lurches from side to side with no clear direction. unsteerable...
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,783

    Ta. Any idea why?
    Imagine a shopping trolley, full of booze and other stuff, with wonky wheels, careering down a supermarket aisle crashing into anything and everything, causing chaos, and yet emerging relatively unscathed from all the damage it has wreaked. That's Dom's vision of Boris.

    It's not an unreasonably analogy.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    Omnium said:

    Very, very thin gruel. There have clearly been a lot of hurdles along the way, but this government seems set to have achieved nothing.

    What's far worse is that they've completely lost the argument in many areas, and seem oblivious to it. The next Labour government is very likely to take us back to the situation in the 70s.
    In Penny we trust.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072

    Paul Brant on ITV, who broke the story believes similar photos of the event are integral to Gray's evidence and the old bill were given everything she had.

    It's a judgement call from the detectives, they may have deduced that despite half a dozen empty bottles of wine, sparkling wine and spirits alongside spent glasses, Johnson's ministerial box jauntily flung to the floor meant he was still at work.
    I think you are missing something. Similar photos aren’t necessarily the ones with Boris in them. Let me remind again exactly what I am saying to the police bashers over no FPN for PM for Cain’s leaving do “DOWNING street insist the police had ACCESS to EVERYTHING”.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211

    Hooray for the PB Fantasy football league winner..... :)

    A respectable mid table finish for Dr Foxy.

    TSE in the relegation zone...
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,106

    Ta. Any idea why?
    Empty basket (case) , useful for putting your own ideas in ?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    Omnium said:

    Yeah - perhaps the most strained set of puns in living mammary.
    This suckles.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760
    Foxy said:

    But nipplegate?!?
    I think a Tory MP woke up to find an older Tory Mp licking his nipples or something…
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    This suckles.
    Areola bad pun, that one.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    sarissa said:

    Empty basket (case) , useful for putting your own ideas in ?
    Often found abandoned in canals?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,524

    "Mr Speaker, when I said that there was no party this was a result of me getting so totally shit-faced that I have no recollection of what happened."

    'The people who remember what happened in Government in lockdown weren't there.'
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,222
    The Italian plan looks baked in reality to me.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Interesting that Anthony Albanese has been sworn in as Australia PM when his party has only reached 73 seats with 76 needed for an overall majority.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az&state=all
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,370
    biggles said:

    I don’t really see any risk to him from photos of an event the police have seen and didn’t fine him for to be honest - only if he withheld them. As far as I can see those saying he should go are the ones who always have, and his defenders are awaiting the line to take.

    Re: Lying to Parliament, the public just don’t care, no matter how much we on here think they should. The long term damage of this all comes down to whether enough people forgive him this when he shoves cash at them in a few weeks as part of a “non-emergency Budget” emergency Budget.

    I remain of the option that if cost of living impacts due to Ukraine can be unwound in a few months (hopefully with a Ukrainian victory) then he’s odds on to win the next election.

    I think that's right.

    On the other hand, if sanctions drag on, then the situation for the UK is only going to get worse as the Europeans increase their LNG import capacity. (Of course, looking out four or five years, lots of new natural gas supply will come on stream, and the situation will resolve itself.)
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760
    kle4 said:

    I don't think there is a killer quote. The likely situation is not in doubt, but he can and will rely on the unlikely situation still being possible.

    But it is still not a good look for a Prime Minister to be so reliant on appearing to be bloody clueless and incurious about everything.
    For the “lying to Parliament” accusation to stand up there has to be a killer quote
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760

    It was all a blur..
    An oasis of calm
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211

    I think a Tory MP woke up to find an older Tory Mp licking his nipples or something…
    Good grief. Parliament need some bromide in their tea
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,468

    In Penny we trust.
    Maybe. I think the Tories need someone like Rory Stewart. I like what I've seen of two Tory MPs - Alok Sharma, and Alex Chalk.

    I also quite like Priti Patel, so maybe my judgement isn't so good :)
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760

    But when he instigated the Cain leaving party. Attended. Led the toasts and made a speech. He knows that his statement "there was no party" is a lie because he was there.
    He didn’t say “there was no party” in the quote above. He said “I have been assured there was no party”.

    That’s not the same thing at all.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    An oasis of calm
    With a bunch of charlatans at no 10.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760
    Omnium said:

    Yeah - perhaps the most strained set of puns in living mammary.
    Milking it for all its worth
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    He didn’t say “there was no party” in the quote above. He said “I have been assured there was no party”.

    That’s not the same thing at all.
    Hmm, what did he think he saw? Elevenses?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072

    But when he instigated the Cain leaving party. Attended. Led the toasts and made a speech. He knows that his statement "there was no party" is a lie because he was there.
    But COVID rules were broken, at both the parties that night. Johnson knew he was lying when he made that reply because he knew when he stood up to answer, neither of the “work events” he attended that evening remotely fitted his own rules being lectured to the Nation across the road from the cinema room. Johnson, and everyone of his supporters in the media are a one rule for us another rule for you tribe.

    I also found it funny the Mail currently out there on news stands carried out an investigation proving Sue Gray instigated the secret meeting with Boris. Downing Street shredded that Daily Mail proof confessing this morning THEY instigated it. so much for voracity of mails thorough front page investigations.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    He didn’t say “there was no party” in the quote above. He said “I have been assured there was no party”.

    That’s not the same thing at all.
    "I have been assured there was no party, but I know that to be incorrect because I fucking organised it" would have been the more accurate answer.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    Omnium said:

    Maybe. I think the Tories need someone like Rory Stewart. I like what I've seen of two Tory MPs - Alok Sharma, and Alex Chalk.

    I also quite like Priti Patel, so maybe my judgement isn't so good :)
    There we diverge except on Patel. I like her too.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,154
    edited May 2022

    For the “lying to Parliament” accusation to stand up there has to be a killer quote
    Killer quote you say…

    “Do you like Phil Collins? I've been a big Genesis fan ever since the release of their 1980 album, Duke. Before that, I really didn't understand any of their work. Too artsy, too intellectual. It was on Duke where Phil Collins' presence became more apparent. I think Invisible Touch was the group's undisputed masterpiece. It's an epic meditation on intangibility. At the same time, it deepens and enriches the meaning of the preceding three albums. Christy, take off your robe. Listen to the brilliant ensemble playing of Banks, Collins and Rutherford. You can practically hear every nuance of every instrument. Sabrina, remove your dress. In terms of lyrical craftsmanship, the sheer songwriting, this album hits a new peak of professionalism. Sabrina, why don't you, uh, dance a little. Take the lyrics to Land of Confusion. In this song, Phil Collins addresses the problems of abusive political authority. In Too Deep is the most moving pop song of the 1980s, about monogamy and commitment. The song is extremely uplifting. Their lyrics are as positive and affirmative as anything I've heard in rock. Christy, get down on your knees so Sabrina can see your a**hole. Phil Collins' solo career seems to be more commercial and therefore more satisfying, in a narrower way. Especially songs like In the Air Tonight and Against All Odds. Sabrina, don't just stare at it, eat it. But I also think Phil Collins works best within the confines of the group, than as a solo artist, and I stress the word artist. This is Sussudio, a great, great song, a personal favorite.”
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277

    He didn’t say “there was no party” in the quote above. He said “I have been assured there was no party”.

    That’s not the same thing at all.
    This really is getting silly now . Can’t people just say they simply don’t care how many parties Johnson went to.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760
    Carnyx said:

    Hmm, what did he think he saw? Elevenses?
    What he thought is irrelevant.

    Not if that quote is all the “lying” case is based on.

    I phone up Boris and say “there was no party at Downing Street” 3 times. He has now been “repeatedly assured there was no party at Downing Street”

    I might have no reasonable basis for my statement. He might know for a fact that my assertion is untrue. But he can still say “I have been repeatedly assured there was no party at Downing Street”
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,105
    The Met comes out of this process utterly discredited doesn’t it? (As well at the prime
    Minister)

    Ugh
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    edited May 2022
    Cutting through all the crap, Boris looks like a fraud and the Met look like bungling crooks.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,760

    "I have been assured there was no party, but I know that to be incorrect because I fucking organised it" would have been the more accurate answer.
    Yes. But I don’t think lying by omission counts under parliamentary rules
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    edited May 2022
    I understand Sue Gray will go into detail on each event including this one and maybe best not to jump to conclusions as who organised each event as it will become clear very soon
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    edited May 2022
    Foxy said:

    Good grief. Parliament need some bromide in their tea
    Or maybe to develop some brain function, though I realize that's asking a lot in some cases.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,105

    Cutting through all the crap, Boris looks like a fraud and the Met look like bungling crooks.

    Boris is finished regardless- either shortly or at next GE. But my longer term worry is how the Met can continue in its current form
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    Nigelb said:

    It’s at least a credible hypothesis that the Met investigation was a deliberate whitewash.
    It’s also a live hypothesis this evening, rather like wallpapergate investigation, the investigation didn’t get to see key bits of evidence they apparently “had access to”.

    I wouldn’t like to come over all Miss Marple, though suspect some of you would like to see me try - but my hypothesis fits a ‘pattern of behaviour’
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    Is this Dom playing 5D chess here? Did he leak the more incriminating photos to Gray after the Met had stated that Boris was (mostly) in the clear? That would be a great way of reigniting the story just as Number Ten thought it had fizzled out, and it would also make the Met look inept and their previous exoneration of Boris utterly worthless.
    Does he ever want to work again? I mean we all know why he has fallen out with Boris but as a prospective client what I would take from this is that you can’t rely on confidentiality if he falls out with you…
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,468

    There we diverge except on Patel. I like her too.
    Do you have anything you dislike about Sharma or Chalk? Or just a lack of any positives?

    Patel is an odd case - I think it's absolutely clear she gets a wildy unfair press. So hard to work out if any home secretary is doing a good job though. In hindsight it seems May was awful, but that wasn't the vibe at the time.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    The Met comes out of this process utterly discredited doesn’t it? (As well at the prime
    Minister)

    Ugh

    +1
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035

    She’s disliked him for 30 years. I understand he was a bit of a shit to her when they worked together in Brussels but she’s hardly a neutral commentator
    I agree that she probably isn't a neutral commentator but lots of people across the board who have had dealings with Johnson say very similar things. The weight of evidence from those that have been close to him seems to be that he is shit and would sell his grandmother to save his own skin.

    FWIW I think he will survive till the next GE because I don't believe the current Tory membership are much bothered by his mendacity.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072

    I don't really think that's true. I think his Government (whatever his own true feelings are, which we never learn) seems to be exactly as you describe. Boris just doesn't take the flak for it because every now and again he declares something vaguely commonsensical, eg. that 18 stone hulks of testosterone with balls like melons shouldn't compete in women's shinty, and Telegraph readers get all excited. It's pretty thin gruel really isn't it?
    Boris “is doing a pretty good job at the moment” is a staggering thing to hear someone say - i think it’s more like, why would someone want to be PM if they have no sane ideas how to lead the country forward? This is the first government in my lifetime without an economic plan and direction.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,662

    For the “lying to Parliament” accusation to stand up there has to be a killer quote
    The BBC have been showing it. When asked in Parliament if there was a party on the date in question, Bozo says "No".
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,543
    Nigelb said:

    Energy policy is a consistent failure of successive governments of the last two decades.

    One big reason Switzerland appears to have so much lower inflation than basically anywhere else

    Hydroelectric and nuclear power FTW
    https://efginternational.com/us/insights/2022/Why-is-Swiss-inflation-low.html


    For hydro, substitute wind and tidal.
    The first hasn’t happened fast enough; the second has been completely and irrationally hobbled.

    Boris should resign for lying to the House, as per the convention. But Boris not following up on his promise to develop tidal when on the stump for his leadership bid in 2019 is the true reason he should resign.

    Pushing nuclear when we have a massive tidal resource is condemning the taxpayer and the bill payer to decades of unnecessary pain. Every nuclear power plant on the planet has only been built with massive state aid. Boris is at grave risk of Starmer felling him with the charge he has sided against the customer in the cost of living crisis. To which, frankly, Boris has no answer.

  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    Boris is finished regardless- either shortly or at next GE. But my longer term worry is how the Met can continue in its current form
    Frankly the met should be reformed for all the other shit.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    He didn’t say “there was no party” in the quote above. He said “I have been assured there was no party”.

    That’s not the same thing at all.
    He Was There. He doesn't need to be assured.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,662

    With a bunch of charlatans at no 10.
    It seems that they enjoyed Happy Mondays, Happy Tuesdays, Happy every day.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,554

    For the “lying to Parliament” accusation to stand up there has to be a killer quote
    That was my point. The accusation is hard to prove (though easy to be seen as very likely), so long as he can maintain that he is astoundingly inept and unable to tell what is going on.

    So far he has been very disciplined in that regard. He's happy to look ridiculous, so long as it means he cannot be proven a liar, even if his being a liar is a far more likely scenario given he is not an idiot.
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 766
    Scott_xP said:

    That's how Dom refers to BoZo
    Labour should start using it, without referencing where it came from.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,554

    The Met comes out of this process utterly discredited doesn’t it? (As well at the prime
    Minister)

    Ugh

    They went into the process that way as well, in fairness.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    boulay said:

    Killer quote you say…

    “Do you like Phil Collins? I've been a big Genesis fan ever since the release of their 1980 album, Duke. Before that, I really didn't understand any of their work. Too artsy, too intellectual. It was on Duke where Phil Collins' presence became more apparent. I think Invisible Touch was the group's undisputed masterpiece. It's an epic meditation on intangibility. At the same time, it deepens and enriches the meaning of the preceding three albums. Christy, take off your robe. Listen to the brilliant ensemble playing of Banks, Collins and Rutherford. You can practically hear every nuance of every instrument. Sabrina, remove your dress. In terms of lyrical craftsmanship, the sheer songwriting, this album hits a new peak of professionalism. Sabrina, why don't you, uh, dance a little. Take the lyrics to Land of Confusion. In this song, Phil Collins addresses the problems of abusive political authority. In Too Deep is the most moving pop song of the 1980s, about monogamy and commitment. The song is extremely uplifting. Their lyrics are as positive and affirmative as anything I've heard in rock. Christy, get down on your knees so Sabrina can see your a**hole. Phil Collins' solo career seems to be more commercial and therefore more satisfying, in a narrower way. Especially songs like In the Air Tonight and Against All Odds. Sabrina, don't just stare at it, eat it. But I also think Phil Collins works best within the confines of the group, than as a solo artist, and I stress the word artist. This is Sussudio, a great, great song, a personal favorite.”
    He was right you know. The Duke suite is bloody epic.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211

    The BBC have been showing it. When asked in Parliament if there was a party on the date in question, Bozo says "No".
    https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1468563160827568130?t=14nQF-pGGaPFeX-0tv9ghg&s=19

    “Can the prime minister tell the House whether there was a party in Downing Street on 13 November?” asks Labour’s Catherine West

    “No, but I’m sure whatever happened the guidance... and the rules were followed at all times,” says the PM

    Strangely, I remember that day very well. It was the day Mrs Foxy was redeployed to Intensive Care, pre vaccination. She came down with it a few days later.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,554
    biggles said:

    Does he ever want to work again? I mean we all know why he has fallen out with Boris but as a prospective client what I would take from this is that you can’t rely on confidentiality if he falls out with you…
    I think that ship sailed a long time ago. He was clearly never the right fit to be a glorified Spad or chief adviser, in that he was not willing to fall on his sword, and was happy to be the story. Years ago now it was clear he kept records and notes of secret conversations and decisions, and was happy to share them if he was pissed off (and not before then, it was no moral choice).

    I'm sure an able chap like him can find a niche, but anyone involved in politics would be a fool to go anywhere near him.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    edited May 2022
    Omnium said:

    Do you have anything you dislike about Sharma or Chalk? Or just a lack of any positives?

    Patel is an odd case - I think it's absolutely clear she gets a wildy unfair press. So hard to work out if any home secretary is doing a good job though. In hindsight it seems May was awful, but that wasn't the vibe at the time.
    Sharma I have been unimpressed with. Stewart I saw as buying into his own messianic image a little too much. And in a funny way I felt was like Macron in France - a bold, brave new way of presenting being exactly the same as everyone else. Chalk I must be honest I have never seen anything of. Seems nice and pleasant from his headshot. Though does look uncannily like a young Danny La Rue (when not in drag).
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,543
    kle4 said:

    That was my point. The accusation is hard to prove (though easy to be seen as very likely), so long as he can maintain that he is astoundingly inept and unable to tell what is going on.

    So far he has been very disciplined in that regard. He's happy to look ridiculous, so long as it means he cannot be proven a liar, even if his being a liar is a far more likely scenario given he is not an idiot.
    Not exactly easy to sell on the doorsteps though:

    "Can we have your vote please for the ridiculous Prime Minister who was astoundingly inept and unable to tell what was going on in his workplace - but who wasn't a liar, no sirree, not a liar?"
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,105

    Frankly the met should be reformed for all the other shit.
    Well, yes. But you’d expect some degree of reflection of their utter incompetence after the last decade or so. No - they plough on regardless into a bizarre party gate investigation which the most bizarre application of the law.

    God knows where they go from here. Full restructure and re brand maybe
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,937
    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting that Anthony Albanese has been sworn in as Australia PM when his party has only reached 73 seats with 76 needed for an overall majority.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az&state=all

    Believe he's been provisionally sworn in.
    Since Scott Morrison has conceded defeat they, like us, have to have a PM.
    Incidentally, Labor has fallen behind today in Deakin as postals were counted meaning they are on for 76. A majority of 1 not 3.
    The decision to reject the original Electoral Commission recommendations that NT get only one MP has had the decisive effect.

  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    Cutting through all the crap, Boris looks like a fraud and the Met look like bungling crooks.

    It's not like the Met have had a senior management meeting and said "lets cover this up". The establishment is a network of people who attend the right clubs and went to the right schools, ensuring that everything happens as they believe it should.

    The problem is either that they have suddenly become rubbish at organising cover-ups, or they simply weren't in possession of both the facts they needed to bury or the news agenda coming out of Downing Street.

    As an example, not even that demented troll Dacre would publish a full page one "investigation" proving the meeting was instigated by that Trot monster Gray only to have Number 10 say "we did it" by lunchtime.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    The BBC have been showing it. When asked in Parliament if there was a party on the date in question, Bozo says "No".
    Ah, I have a spin-line for that, which is that he wasn't saying 'No, there wasn't a party', he was saying 'No, I can't confirm to the House that there was a party, because that would be an awkward admission '.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,554

    Not exactly easy to sell on the doorsteps though:

    "Can we have your vote please for the ridiculous Prime Minister who was astoundingly inept and unable to tell what was going on in his workplace - but who wasn't a liar, no sirree, not a liar?"
    Hey, I'm not the one who has chosen that strategy!

    The 'I'm a fool' defence is never a good sign for any politician, and is surely only used as a last resort, which says something about the weakness of those who use it (see also 'I didn't notice the contents of the mural I was commenting about' and many other examples)
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    edited May 2022

    Paul Brant on ITV, who broke the story believes similar photos of the event are integral to Gray's evidence and the old bill were given everything she had.

    It's a judgement call from the detectives, they may have deduced that despite half a dozen empty bottles of wine, sparkling wine and spirits alongside spent glasses, Johnson's ministerial box jauntily flung to the floor meant he was still at work.
    You’ve made your point very clear - but what you just typed there, do you actually believe it? Alternately you can believe what the investigation lead said last week, the key determinant to each FPN issued was to be sure it was correct to issue (and not challenged and overturned) everybody in the media seemed to believe this meant was FPN by being in photograph. The point you are making in this mini discussion with me you yourself are admitting “similar photos to these” in other words “you are stonkingly right again MoonRabbit, until today the police have not seen these particular photos”.

    I don’t want to come over all Sherlock, but what alerted me to it was the haste Downing Street hit the microphones this evening to claim “the police had access to all photos”
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    It's not like the Met have had a senior management meeting and said "lets cover this up". The establishment is a network of people who attend the right clubs and went to the right schools, ensuring that everything happens as they believe it should.

    The problem is either that they have suddenly become rubbish at organising cover-ups, or they simply weren't in possession of both the facts they needed to bury or the news agenda coming out of Downing Street.

    As an example, not even that demented troll Dacre would publish a full page one "investigation" proving the meeting was instigated by that Trot monster Gray only to have Number 10 say "we did it" by lunchtime.
    I don’t know what happened, I’m just saying what it looks like.

    Forget the PM, we know he‘s a shyster.
    The Met need to explain what their process and decision-making.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Foxy said:

    A respectable mid table finish for Dr Foxy.

    TSE in the relegation zone...
    Perfect.... :)
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,937
    Our electoral commission doesn't have the big decisions the Aussie one does btw.
    From wiki.

    The electoral division of...
    Corangamite would not be renamed to Tucker over concerns that it would be vandalised as "Fucker".
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,554
    dixiedean said:

    Our electoral commission doesn't have the big decisions the Aussie one does btw.
    From wiki.

    The electoral division of...
    Corangamite would not be renamed to Tucker over concerns that it would be vandalised as "Fucker".

    Corangamite, more like CoranCatamite, amiright?

    Damn, they were right, that is harder to vandalise.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,690

    It turns out the entire energy market was a scam, with providers merely providing a kind of performative competition.

    The UK seems to specialise in such fictions while maintaining that it is a deregulated, post-Thatcher paradise.
    True, but more importantly, long term planning for reliable and economic energy generation was non existent.
    The failure to invest in large scale projects that only government could undertake was forever kicked into the long grass.

    And I think we've missed our best opportunity to secure cheap funding for tidal - over the last decade we could have borrowed hundreds of billions, long term, at very low rates had the debt been government backed. It could likely have been paid off profitably from tidal electric revenues.
    That might not work if long term rates are too high.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    dixiedean said:

    Believe he's been provisionally sworn in.
    Since Scott Morrison has conceded defeat they, like us, have to have a PM.
    Incidentally, Labor has fallen behind today in Deakin as postals were counted meaning they are on for 76. A majority of 1 not 3.
    The decision to reject the original Electoral Commission recommendations that NT get only one MP has had the decisive effect.

    Yes, like the nerdy political junky I am becoming, I have been following the remaining counts here

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az&state=all
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    Monkeys said:

    Labour should start using it, without referencing where it came from.
    Love you avatar picture btw monkeys
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    Ah, I have a spin-line for that, which is that he wasn't saying 'No, there wasn't a party', he was saying 'No, I can't confirm to the House that there was a party, because that would be an awkward admission '.
    “Frankly we were very rarely sober though the whole period in the office so in my mind this wasn’t a party, it was just the next round.”
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,807
    Nigelb said:

    True, but more importantly, long term planning for reliable and economic energy generation was non existent.
    The failure to invest in large scale projects that only government could undertake was forever kicked into the long grass.

    And I think we've missed our best opportunity to secure cheap funding for tidal - over the last decade we could have borrowed hundreds of billions, long term, at very low rates had the debt been government backed. It could likely have been paid off profitably from tidal electric revenues.
    That might not work if long term rates are too high.
    Never too late.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771

    Cutting through all the crap, Boris looks like a fraud and the Met look like bungling crooks.

    What I don't understand is that the *knew* what she had for her report. Did they just hope she would fudge it all for them?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    mwadams said:

    What I don't understand is that the *knew* what she had for her report. Did they just hope she would fudge it all for them?
    Cripes! We forgot about that!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    He was right you know. The Duke suite is bloody epic.
    I dunno, I quite like Trick of the Tail and Wind & Wuthering. They are a bit like Pink Floyd in prob having improved for selling out and going mainstream (and losing the founding genius barrett/Gabriel)

    I'll tell you what worries me: I have just watched The Departed and not realised till literally the last 2 minutes (shot of shoes with overshoes, pan upwards) that I have seen it before. Great film.
  • From my limited view once the Prime Minister (and other senior civil servants) avoided significant censure from the police and relatively junior staff didn’t it seemed inevitable that photo leaks would happen.

    And like the Allegra Stratton video visual matters on this story.

    The Metropolitan Police are going to keep on getting asked to “show us your working out.” They will hold fast as long as they can. However, if there is a “drip, drip” that is eventually going to prove untenable. But if that is the case what then? Justice has to be transparent, but surely the police can’t be badgered into an investigation / reopening an investigation? Or even putting out a line-by-line on how they came to recommending fines for certain individuals but not others.

    I guess the Prime Minister has to be happy with the rumours that a lot of the photos have already been deleted. But, even though he is pretty teflon (and all that nonsense about the fact that him being a shit is “priced in”) I can’t understand how he can continue as PM. But will that really mean a PM Truss?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    biggles said:

    “Frankly we were very rarely sober though the whole period in the office so in my mind this wasn’t a party, it was just the next round.”
    Don't think so. I don't have Boris down as a drunk, whatever his other faults
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,019
    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting that Anthony Albanese has been sworn in as Australia PM when his party has only reached 73 seats with 76 needed for an overall majority.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az&state=all

    Yes but the Greens have 3 and will back Labor giving 76 combined and Morrison conceded defeat already
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101
    Breaking in @FT

    Rishi Sunak has ordered officials to draw up plans for possible windfall tax on more than £10bn of excess profits by electricity generators, including wind farm operators, on top of a hit on North Sea oil & gas producers

    https://www.ft.com/content/ddbde592-a4e0-465a-9dd2-d6566790403f @GeorgeWParker
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Leon said:



    You’re half right. i did put it in to provoke Nats, tho it is also true, to an extent. I’ve never eaten well in Edinburgh - to me it has been like Hampstead. Wealthy, beautiful, full of tourists, not great food. Not terrible just not great

    Sunderland is interesting. Could you not find decent ethnic food? They are usually the saviour of British cities. Wherever you are, you can generally get decent Indian, and probably Chinese and Thai as well. This is no small thing. It means you can eat well almost anywhere in the UK, it just won’t be “British” food

    Edinburgh is filled with decent food but is absolutely up itself about how good it thinks it is. Vastly over priced, especially when compared to Glasgow.

    Edinburgh's big food secret (possibly the city is shamed by it and doesn't want to talk about it) is at the low end.
    1) Literally everywhere in Edinburgh that sells a baked potato does a perfect baked potato. I have never eaten anything other than a 10/10 baked potato in Edinburgh - perfect crisp skin, angel soft in the middle. It blows me away every time.
    2) Similarly they know how to do a portion of chips. I've had one bad portion of chips of Edinburgh in my entire life.
    3) The hole in the wall places like Snax will actually do you a solid value full breakfast without doing stupid shit like making their own baked beans and charging you 5 quid over the odds for the privilege.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211
    IshmaelZ said:

    Don't think so. I don't have Boris down as a drunk, whatever his other faults
    He is pretty much permenantly pissed surely?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Foxy said:

    He is pretty much permenantly pissed surely?
    Nope. Doesn't look it to me.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,019
    Scott_xP said:

    Proof 🛒 at event where others fined but not him. Why? Coverup.
    Proof 🛒 lied to MPs.
    If MET asked 🛒 re this then 🛒 lied to them, if MET didn't...
    & MET ignored written evidence of birthday *evening* party *organised* from flat
    #RegimeChange #CrimeWeek
    https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/snippets-4-and-ama-1200-13-may-hundreds/comments?s=w https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1528782732876201984/photo/1

    Who cares? The Met already fined Johnson and Sunak, the vast majority of voters made up their minds on Johnson months ago over partygate, all the further stories on this like tonight's are just noise.

    It is Starmer who has said he will resign if fined, even if the Met decided to go further with Johnson and fine him again it would be irrelevant given he was already fined
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/may/23/office-for-students-chair-james-wharton-same-event-as-denounced-racist-zsolt-bayer

    I look forward to hearing PB Tories and other stalwart opponents of anti semitism calling out the man the government has appointed to oversee England's universities - after he ran Boris Johnson's leadership campaign, natch - for sharing a platform with a Hungarian anti semite and racist who calls Jews "stinking excrement." James Wharton said it was good to attend the conference and "fight for the values that we all hold dear."
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211
    Scott_xP said:

    Breaking in @FT

    Rishi Sunak has ordered officials to draw up plans for possible windfall tax on more than £10bn of excess profits by electricity generators, including wind farm operators, on top of a hit on North Sea oil & gas producers

    https://www.ft.com/content/ddbde592-a4e0-465a-9dd2-d6566790403f @GeorgeWParker

    What is the point of the Tories? They just constantly nick Labour policies. I see why Starmer is reluctant to put out a plan for government just yet.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101
    Alistair said:


    1) Literally everywhere in Edinburgh that sells a baked potato does a perfect baked potato. I have never eaten anything other than a 10/10 baked potato in Edinburgh - perfect crisp skin, angel soft in the middle. It blows me away every time.

    There used to be one at Tollcross that sold haggis as a filling. Practically lived on those for a panto season at the Kings.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,101
    Millions are struggling to make ends meet, and ministers splashed £20k of public cash on, amongst other things...juggling lessons.

    This government is a literal clown show.


    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1528743508823138305?s=20&t=S6zPadddumGLNBns6B1b3A
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Foxy said:

    What is the point of the Tories? They just constantly nick Labour policies. I see why Starmer is reluctant to put out a plan for government just yet.
    I am left wondering what an “excess” profit is and who gets to decide. 7%? 12%? 20%? 35%?

    Is it still an excess profit if I reinvest the lot?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,211
    IshmaelZ said:

    Nope. Doesn't look it to me.
    Not as blatently off his tits as Gove, perhaps.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,937
    edited May 2022
    Interesting comparison raised between Australia and USA's political culture.
    We don't yet know if there's a majority or not. The votes haven't all been counted after three days, and it's on a knife edge really*.
    Yet. Morrison has conceded, Albanese has been sworn in, and has met with foreign leaders and is appointing a Cabinet.
    No one has launched a legal action, denied any votes were real, assembled a pitchfork wielding mob, made scattergun, unsubstantiated accusations of fraud, nor demanded anyone stop counting whilst my side is ahead.
    Everyone's just moved on.

    *I know largest Party isn't a question. But a majority is still questionable. And though the Coalition couldn't form a government, Labor hasn't actually done so either. If it needs to.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Alistair said:

    Edinburgh is filled with decent food but is absolutely up itself about how good it thinks it is. Vastly over priced, especially when compared to Glasgow.

    Edinburgh's big food secret (possibly the city is shamed by it and doesn't want to talk about it) is at the low end.
    1) Literally everywhere in Edinburgh that sells a baked potato does a perfect baked potato. I have never eaten anything other than a 10/10 baked potato in Edinburgh - perfect crisp skin, angel soft in the middle. It blows me away every time.
    2) Similarly they know how to do a portion of chips. I've had one bad portion of chips of Edinburgh in my entire life.
    3) The hole in the wall places like Snax will actually do you a solid value full breakfast without doing stupid shit like making their own baked beans and charging you 5 quid over the odds for the privilege.
    The baked tattie place at the top of Cockburn Street was amazing. They used to do brilliant vegetarian Haggis samosas too.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    Foxy said:

    What is the point of the Tories? They just constantly nick Labour policies. I see why Starmer is reluctant to put out a plan for government just yet.
    Damned if they do, damned if they dont one this one though. Bit odd about wind energy has there been a lot of wind recently, or are they riding the price surge on oil and gas?
This discussion has been closed.