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Can Johnson convince that he’ll keep the Tories in power? – politicalbetting.com

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  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145

    To be fair to Boris, that’s not a lie per se.
    Cronyism, maybe.

    LHH is certainly qualified, it’s not like he proposing Dacre.
    I was following on from Lord Hennessy's FT article on Boris not being a decent chap, linked to earlier in this subthread.
  • AslanAslan Posts: 1,673

    New ‘crackdown’ on family voting following Tower Hamlets questions

    A crackdown to prevent voting malpractice is being proposed in Parliament after controversy over the town hall election in Tower Hamlets.

    Conservative peer Lord Robert Hayward will this week use a Private Members Bill to try to amend existing electoral laws which would give police clearer powers to stop relatives influencing family members at the ballot box.

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/family-voting-tower-hamlets-london-election-lutfur-rahman-lord-hayward-b1001691.html

    Proxy voting and postal voting are incredibly exposed to this sort of abuse. There was never any political reaction to this sort of thing:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/8655697.stm

    The reporting there is jaw dropping in terms of the levels of fraud, and the BBC's equivalence over it. I suspect, like mass street grooming, it will be played down or brushed under the carpet.

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,561

    To be fair to Boris, that’s not a lie per se.
    Cronyism, maybe.

    LHH is certainly qualified, it’s not like he proposing Dacre.
    It's Priti Patels judgement vs the PM's.

    Close call!
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    I don't want to concrete over the entire countryside.

    At present 4% of the UK is urban housing and 70% is farming. Even if the stock of housing increased by 25% so that those figures became 5% and 69% respectively, that's pissing in the ocean as far as concreting over the countryside is concerned.

    Even if you eliminated all planning tomorrow, the overwhelming majority of the countryside wouldn't be concreted over as there's frankly next to nobody who wants to live there for the overwhelming majority of it.
    Ok, but most housing demand is in the South East. So your figures (which contain large areas of wilderness in Scotland) are essentially meaningless.

    Even HYUFD understands this.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,759
    Dura_Ace said:

    They have been trying to push back to the 2014 borders since 2014 and failing. That seems a very unlikely prospect. Some semblance of the pre-Feb 2022 borders might be possible but realistically all of the Lugansk oblast and most of Donetsk are gone.
    The difference is that now they have more support and better offensive weaponry. It may or may not be possible - none of us are in a position to judge - but it is certainly more likely than previously.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145
    Aslan said:

    Proxy voting and postal voting are incredibly exposed to this sort of abuse. There was never any political reaction to this sort of thing:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/8655697.stm

    The reporting there is jaw dropping in terms of the levels of fraud, and the BBC's equivalence over it. I suspect, like mass street grooming, it will be played down or brushed under the carpet.

    It was last time, which is why it happened again this time. And we should not blame the BBC when it is the government which ignores actual electoral fraud and proposes voter ID instead. Cynics would point out that the losers to Lutfur Rahman are not the Conservatives but Labour (and democracy and the people of Tower Hamlets).
  • GaryLGaryL Posts: 131
    Cookie said:

    Somewhere beyond Yekaterinburg, 24 hours ago...
    "Agent Gary, this war is going poorly. There is a place in the west codenamed 'politicalbetting.com' where great intellectuals discuss matters of importance. You must infiltrate it and distract them with exciting new approaches to punctuation - sow division and discord about the nature of the ellipsis,,,"

    i would hesitate using the term "great intellectuals"
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,165
    We don’t necessarily need high rise, but we do need 6-8 storey medium density housing to maximise the use of space while keeping the scale human.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,759

    Yet the vast majority of EU citizens, who were working, were eligible for tax from day 1.
    Of course. That's the nature of a contributory system: you make payments in so that, in time, you can take funds out should you need them.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    It was last time, which is why it happened again this time. And we should not blame the BBC when it is the government which ignores actual electoral fraud and proposes voter ID instead. Cynics would point out that the losers to Lutfur Rahman are not the Conservatives but Labour (and democracy and the people of Tower Hamlets).
    Real cynics would suggest that any party that goes after actual electoral fraud is too likely to get painted as racist.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,165
    Oh and better consumer protection and recourse when buying from developers. Caveat emptor works when buying off Joe Bloggs but not when you’re buying off a whopper house builder.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,759
    Leon said:

    Yes, pretty harmless

    Your guesses look good as well
    The alternative is that it lays a trail of breadcrumbs.

    Someone on Twitter now says "as the well-known poster, @GaryL, on the respected independent political website said..."
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    How do you stop buy to let in your new towers?
    Change the law. This isn’t hard. The builders only get planning permission if the flats are sold to owner occupiers. SORTED

    Yes this will piss off the class of rentier landlords, but, you know, World’s Tiniest Violin etc
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited May 2022

    Ok, but most housing demand is in the South East. So your figures (which contain large areas of wilderness in Scotland) are essentially meaningless.

    Even HYUFD understands this.
    Actually in the South East the figures are not world's apart from the UK as a whole (since the South East insists upon excluding London from itself as HYUFD was extremely vocal and adamant about).

    For the South East the 2020 figures are 9.4% of land is developed, 90.4% is not developed and 0.2% is vacant.

    So that again shows why brownfield talk is bollocks there simply isn't that much vacant land, but nor is there any possibility of a 10-fold increase of development in the South East.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    Oh and better consumer protection and recourse when buying from developers. Caveat emptor works when buying off Joe Bloggs but not when you’re buying off a whopper house builder.

    You need an insurance-backed guarantee so that you're still covered even if the developer has gone bust.

    In principle this should also mean that the insurer has an incentive to check that the houses are being built properly, and so you have regulation from the market.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    Thank god!

    Surely that depends on where I’m going NEXT
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539

    Only one question remains.

    Was the pre-emptive briefing against Sue Gray because her report is really bad for Bozza? Or is it just because dishonest studs-first is what he always does?
    I expect it to be "most people would of course resign over it" bad.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,013

    Actually in the South East the figures are not world's apart from the UK as a whole (since the South East insists upon excluding London from itself as HYUFD was extremely vocal and adamant about).

    For the South East the 2020 figures are 9.4% of land is developed, 90.4% is not developed and 0.2% is vacant.

    So that again shows why brownfield talk is bollocks there simply isn't that much vacant land, but nor is there any possibility of a 10-fold increase of development in the South East.
    So already almost double the percentage of land in the South East is developed compared to the UK as a whole. Even if you exclude London
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,561

    The difference is that now they have more support and better offensive weaponry. It may or may not be possible - none of us are in a position to judge - but it is certainly more likely than previously.
    I seem to recall discussions here back in February as to the viability and provenance of, and justification for, the pre-2014 borders. There were significant population movements after WWII which suggested those in the West are reasonable but in the far east of Ukraine there's a great deal of mixing between those who consider themselves Ukrainian and those who consider themselves Russian.
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,759

    Why do you need to? If you build enough homes, the prices come down. Including rents.

    Incidentally, there are plenty of lenders who will lend on hi-rise. They won't lend on buildings with dodgy construction - but why is that a problem?
    True. Although those with buy to let properties do benefit through leveraging assets. I thought preventing none first time buyers from owning flats in the new blocks my reduce some of the market distortion.

    I suppose I think of buy to let as a monopoly esque situation. Those with the largest pockets can distort the rental market by owning significant bits of cheap housing. Effectively locking out specific locations to first time buyers.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    Only one question remains.

    Was the pre-emptive briefing against Sue Gray because her report is really bad for Bozza? Or is it just because dishonest studs-first is what he always does?
    There has been plenty of briefing from all sources that the report will be catastofuck bad for Number 10. So almost certainly their attempt to portray Gray and the report as a politically-motivated hatchet job.

    The Good News for everyone is that they have so enraged the civil service that massive leaks of really really good bad stuff appears to be imminent.

    Even if it doesn't immediately remove Bonzo we can all have a laugh. Even if its just at prats like Simon Clarke or Nadim Zahawi being sent onto the media to make a Howard of themselves.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,340

    I expect it to be "most people would of course resign over it" bad.
    So PM Bozza for the forseeable future, then.
  • HYUFD said:

    So already almost double the percentage of land in the South East is developed compared to the UK as a whole. Even if you exclude London
    No because 4% and 70% don't add up to 100%. 9.4 + 90.4 + 0.2 OTOH does.

    The first set of figures were just housing and farming. 26% of land is used in other means, such as wilderness (undeveloped, unfarmed land) or industrial (developed but not residential).
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    HYUFD said:

    So already almost double the percentage of land in the South East is developed compared to the UK as a whole. Even if you exclude London
    Looking at land use in the SE and excluding London is utterly batshit.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979

    Only one question remains.

    Was the pre-emptive briefing against Sue Gray because her report is really bad for Bozza? Or is it just because dishonest studs-first is what he always does?
    Boris will brazen it out whatever happens, but I think there's a nervousness in Tory ranks about how it will look if crooked Boris fights the election against an exonerated Sir Keir 'Mr Rules' Starmer. For this reason Boris's people are trying to alter the public psyche into thinking PartyGate never happened - witness the repeated assertions that all Boris did was eat a slice of birthday cake. Painting Sue Gray as some kind of unreliable witness - a lefty show pony overwhelmed by her fifteen minutes of fame - is all part of this.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,798
    GaryL said:

    i would hesitate using the term "great intellectuals"
    Ha, yes, and I smiled at this - but for clarity, and at the risk of killing the joke stone dead by explaining it, I was using irony to be self-deprecating. I like the idea of the Russian secret services monitoring us and assigning great importance to the thoughts of me and HYUFD and malcolmg and so on.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,798
    Leon said:

    Change the law. This isn’t hard. The builders only get planning permission if the flats are sold to owner occupiers. SORTED

    Yes this will piss off the class of rentier landlords, but, you know, World’s Tiniest Violin etc
    There is at least one nice development in central Manchester which is only available to owner occupiers. I don't know how they police it but it is not without precedent.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited May 2022

    Looking at land use in the SE and excluding London is utterly batshit.
    It was HYUFD who insisted that London must be excluded, and then you referenced him.

    Include London and the South East has awfully low home ownership rates and needs a solution.

    Exclude London and the South East is over 90% undeveloped.

    You can't cherry pick to include London in one, but exclude it in the other. I'm fine with either, sort it out with HYUFD.
  • GaryLGaryL Posts: 131

    The alternative is that it lays a trail of breadcrumbs.

    Someone on Twitter now says "as the well-known poster, @GaryL, on the respected independent political website said..."
    oh you flatter me so
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346

    We don’t necessarily need high rise, but we do need 6-8 storey medium density housing to maximise the use of space while keeping the scale human.

    As an aside, tower blocks may not be very liveable for everyone. In my first year at uni, I lived on the ninth floor of a student tower block in South Woodford. I was on crutches for the last term, and when the lift broke down (frequently, for prolonged periods), I would have to go up and down the stairs on crutches.

    Not too bad for an otherwise fit 19-year old, but if you are elderly or infirm you are somewhat reliant on 100% working lifts.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    GaryL said:

    This from the mail today Of course Russia is no nuclear threat

    Russia will soon have 50 '14-storey high' Satan-2 nukes capable of reducing Western enemies into 'radioactive craters', Putin's space agency chief says in new threat 

    By Will Stewart for MailOnline07:55, 23 May 2022 , updated 09:08, 23 May 2022

    You do realise that we are all laughing at you. You are about as convincing as your military
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098

    Only one question remains.

    Was the pre-emptive briefing against Sue Gray because her report is really bad for Bozza? Or is it just because dishonest studs-first is what he always does?

    Yes
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,256
    edited May 2022

    As - also shockingly - is the Heil.
    Rather than fannying around with undermining Gray, surely the single best solution to spiking the Partygate report is for the Mail/Conservatives to give Durham Constabulary the nod, and announce Rayner and Starmer's FPNs on the day of publication.

    Starmer and Rayner resign, the Gray Report goes away.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    Only one question remains.

    Was the pre-emptive briefing against Sue Gray because her report is really bad for Bozza? Or is it just because dishonest studs-first is what he always does?
    I must leap to the PM's defence. Clearly he usually goes in head first.

    https://youtube.com/watch?v=uOivzoRc0I8
  • OllyT said:

    You do realise that we are all laughing at you. You are about as convincing as your military
    There must be a certain level of self awareness or trolling in boasting about their Satan weapons.

    https://youtu.be/8JOpPNra4bw
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,637
    Leon said:


    Surely that depends on where I’m going NEXT
    Calm down, I was only kidding!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,013
    edited May 2022

    It was HYUFD who insisted that London must be excluded, and then you referenced him.

    Include London and the South East has awfully low home ownership rates and needs a solution.

    Exclude London and the South East is over 90% undeveloped.

    You can't cherry pick to include London in one, but exclude it in the other. I'm fine with either, sort it out with HYUFD.
    London is not the South East and the South East is not London. It is London which has the lowest home ownership rate of any region in the UK and which needs more high rise in the inner city and semis in the suburbs.

    The South East however has the 3rd highest home ownership level of any UK region and already has enough pressure in its countryside and greenbelt spilling over from underdevelopment in London as it is compared to the rest of the UK
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,637
    From that Wiki list:

    "As of 2020, there are 103 buildings or structures that are at least 100 metres (328 ft) tall in the Greater London metropolitan area, with 22 of these being in the City of London and 25 being in the Canary Wharf / Isle of Dogs district. The Greater London metropolitan area contains the second most skyscrapers of a city in Europe. There are 33 skyscrapers in Greater London that reach a roof height of at least 150 metres (492 ft),[1] with 57 in Moscow, 21 in the Paris Metropolitan Area, 17 in Frankfurt, 16 in Warsaw, 6 in Madrid, 5 each in Milan and Rotterdam, and 4 in Manchester."
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    As an aside, tower blocks may not be very liveable for everyone. In my first year at uni, I lived on the ninth floor of a student tower block in South Woodford. I was on crutches for the last term, and when the lift broke down (frequently, for prolonged periods), I would have to go up and down the stairs on crutches.

    Not too bad for an otherwise fit 19-year old, but if you are elderly or infirm you are somewhat reliant on 100% working lifts.
    So fix the lift, don’t use this as a reason to build two bed semis across the entire country.

    I am surrounded by elderly, infirm Jewish people. It is likely the densest concentration of such outside of Tel Aviv.

    They all live in apartments.

    The special pleading on here is laughable.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Boris will brazen it out whatever happens, but I think there's a nervousness in Tory ranks about how it will look if crooked Boris fights the election against an exonerated Sir Keir 'Mr Rules' Starmer. For this reason Boris's people are trying to alter the public psyche into thinking PartyGate never happened - witness the repeated assertions that all Boris did was eat a slice of birthday cake. Painting Sue Gray as some kind of unreliable witness - a lefty show pony overwhelmed by her fifteen minutes of fame - is all part of this.
    In fairness, officially the worst thing he did was be in a room where birthday cake was present (but not eaten).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Cookie said:

    There is at least one nice development in central Manchester which is only available to owner occupiers. I don't know how they police it but it is not without precedent.
    Most young Londoners would jump at the chance of owning rather than renting. They wouldn’t give a damn if it’s a flat on floor 23. Just make it a reasonably cool location. East London is the obvious place, especially with the Liz Line

    Build a million flats in 10,000 towers. Build so many the price of an E London 2 bed falls to £150,000 and anyone on an average salary can buy one, certainly any young couple

    Build them in proper elegant clusters, with one or two super tall central towers, and shorter towers surrounding. Build the infrastructure to go with them, from pubs to shops to gyms. Forget about providing car parking. These are for young urbanites who don’t want to drive

    Also relax the insanely cautious height restrictions in London, allow towers up to 1500 feet

    I could sort this all out over a brief lunch
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    It was HYUFD who insisted that London must be excluded, and then you referenced him.

    Include London and the South East has awfully low home ownership rates and needs a solution.

    Exclude London and the South East is over 90% undeveloped.

    You can't cherry pick to include London in one, but exclude it in the other. I'm fine with either, sort it out with HYUFD.
    You’re advancing a dishonest argument (as per usual) and now you’re hiding behind HYUFD?

    Whatever.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,369
    Cookie said:

    There is at least one nice development in central Manchester which is only available to owner occupiers. I don't know how they police it but it is not without precedent.
    It's not uncommon in the US. And FWIW, ownership with conditions is far from unusual in the US. Want to be a McCarthy & Stone property (from its now deceased owner...), well you will need to be at least 455 years old.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346
    OllyT said:

    You do realise that we are all laughing at you. You are about as convincing as your military
    Particularly if 'Putin's space agency chief' is Rogozin, who is an absolute joke. He is well known for (ahem) talking out of his rear end.

    (ISTR he once said the US would have to use a trampoline to get its astronauts to the ISS, or somesuch.)
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,955
    Leon said:

    Most young Londoners would jump at the chance of owning rather than renting. They wouldn’t give a damn if it’s a flat on floor 23. Just make it a reasonably cool location. East London is the obvious place, especially with the Liz Line

    Build a million flats in 10,000 towers. Build so many the price of an E London 2 bed falls to £150,000 and anyone on an average salary can buy one, certainly any young couple

    Build them in proper elegant clusters, with one or two super tall central towers, and shorter towers surrounding. Build the infrastructure to go with them, from pubs to shops to gyms. Forget about providing car parking. These are for young urbanites who don’t want to drive

    Also relax the insanely cautious height restrictions in London, allow towers up to 1500 feet

    I could sort this all out over a brief lunch
    Point of order, most flats are leasehold, therefore you don't own them. You just have a very long lease, coupled with unlimited service charges and unlimited liability when things go wrong (as people caught up in the cladding scandal have found out).

    There's a reason why the housing market is booming but leasehold flats aren't selling.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    OllyT said:

    You do realise that we are all laughing at you. You are about as convincing as your military
    Let's suppose he's posting from Moscow. Isn't this a great opportunity to discuss with a Russian about all this. Why the insecurity of having to dismiss him. I mean in this case he is simply quoting the MailOnline. Or did he make that up?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    rcs1000 said:

    It's not uncommon in the US. And FWIW, ownership with conditions is far from unusual in the US. Want to be a McCarthy & Stone property (from its now deceased owner...), well you will need to be at least 455 years old.
    Yes, but the US is cursed by the existence of HOAs.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,013

    From that Wiki list:

    "As of 2020, there are 103 buildings or structures that are at least 100 metres (328 ft) tall in the Greater London metropolitan area, with 22 of these being in the City of London and 25 being in the Canary Wharf / Isle of Dogs district. The Greater London metropolitan area contains the second most skyscrapers of a city in Europe. There are 33 skyscrapers in Greater London that reach a roof height of at least 150 metres (492 ft),[1] with 57 in Moscow, 21 in the Paris Metropolitan Area, 17 in Frankfurt, 16 in Warsaw, 6 in Madrid, 5 each in Milan and Rotterdam, and 4 in Manchester."

    Yes but London has the highest gdp of any city in Europe, so is running behind its gdp on skyscrapers still
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Congrats mate.
    Welcome to the club.
  • HYUFD said:

    London is not the South East and the South East is not London. It is London which has the lowest home ownership rate of any region in the UK and which needs more high rise in the inner cities and semis in the suburbs.

    The South East however has the 3rd highest home ownership level of any UK region and already has enough pressure in its countryside and greenbelt spilling over from underdevelopment in London as it is compared to the rest of the UK
    Okay so if you're adamant that London isn't part f the South East then you must accept you can't include London within your development figures. What's source for the goose ...

    Which means 9% of the South East is developed of which some is residential, some is commercial or transport, some is industrial and some is other uses. So not far off UK wide figures actually.

    And over 90% of the South East, by your own definition of the South East, is undeveloped.
  • PJHPJH Posts: 813
    Cookie said:

    There is at least one nice development in central Manchester which is only available to owner occupiers. I don't know how they police it but it is not without precedent.
    When I owned a flat (Leasehold) it was a condition of the lease that I couldn't sublet without permission from the Landowner. So I assume it would be something like that.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346

    So fix the lift, don’t use this as a reason to build two bed semis across the entire country.

    I am surrounded by elderly, infirm Jewish people. It is likely the densest concentration of such outside of Tel Aviv.

    They all live in apartments.

    The special pleading on here is laughable.
    I'm not saying it's a reason not to do it, but am pointing out an issue they have. And 'So fix the lift' is rather silly thing to say when a) these things take time, and b) the person needs to get out and about in that time. But you evidently don't care about that.

    And it's not 'special pleading'. It's a point that needs addressing in a more realistic way than your stupid one-liner.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,798
    Leon said:

    Most young Londoners would jump at the chance of owning rather than renting. They wouldn’t give a damn if it’s a flat on floor 23. Just make it a reasonably cool location. East London is the obvious place, especially with the Liz Line

    Build a million flats in 10,000 towers. Build so many the price of an E London 2 bed falls to £150,000 and anyone on an average salary can buy one, certainly any young couple

    Build them in proper elegant clusters, with one or two super tall central towers, and shorter towers surrounding. Build the infrastructure to go with them, from pubs to shops to gyms. Forget about providing car parking. These are for young urbanites who don’t want to drive

    Also relax the insanely cautious height restrictions in London, allow towers up to 1500 feet

    I could sort this all out over a brief lunch
    Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.
    London is at risk of ossifying. A city where no-one can any longer afford to live. If we do nothing, we kill our golden-egg laying goose. (I'm not sure that metaphor works - the goose that layed the golden egg should have been left well alone - but still. I'm a busy man and the right metaphor doesn't present itself and I can't be bothered to go looking for it.)
    It is a problem common to the whole country, and solutions related to the one you propose, adapted for local purposes, could be put forward in other places too - but in London it is at its most acute.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    So fix the lift, don’t use this as a reason to build two bed semis across the entire country.

    I am surrounded by elderly, infirm Jewish people. It is likely the densest concentration of such outside of Tel Aviv.

    They all live in apartments.

    The special pleading on here is laughable.
    It is ridiculous. “The British won’t live in flats, and what if you break an ankle”

    Young families ideally need gardens, for everyone else they are nice-to-have, that is all

    And given a choice between a flat on floor 28 with a spectacular view of Shoreditch - a flat that you OWN - compared to perpetually renting a bedsit in south Croydon in a low rise ex council block, then 99% of young people will say LET ME OWN
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,013

    Okay so if you're adamant that London isn't part f the South East then you must accept you can't include London within your development figures. What's source for the goose ...

    Which means 9% of the South East is developed of which some is residential, some is commercial or transport, some is industrial and some is other uses. So not far off UK wide figures actually.

    And over 90% of the South East, by your own definition of the South East, is undeveloped.
    So given 4 to 5% only of the UK is developed, even excluding London the South East is far more developed already than the UK overall.

    It is London which needs more development to stop further overspill to the South East
  • MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Congratulations!

    Best wishes for mother and baby. Good luck getting some sleep.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,561

    Boris will brazen it out whatever happens, but I think there's a nervousness in Tory ranks about how it will look if crooked Boris fights the election against an exonerated Sir Keir 'Mr Rules' Starmer. For this reason Boris's people are trying to alter the public psyche into thinking PartyGate never happened - witness the repeated assertions that all Boris did was eat a slice of birthday cake. Painting Sue Gray as some kind of unreliable witness - a lefty show pony overwhelmed by her fifteen minutes of fame - is all part of this.
    It's surprising how often, l when something like this comes out, or looks as though it's going to come out. our PM visits a school and paints or draws with the little children.
    We must be approaching the point where parents send letters to schools saying 'don't allow my child to be photographed with the PM'!
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    I'm not saying it's a reason not to do it, but am pointing out an issue they have. And 'So fix the lift' is rather silly thing to say when a) these things take time, and b) the person needs to get out and about in that time. But you evidently don't care about that.

    And it's not 'special pleading'. It's a point that needs addressing in a more realistic way than your stupid one-liner.
    It is special pleading.

    You were - as an aside - pearl clutching about invalids who might suffer when a lift breaks down.

    How old are you, 100?

    Many of my neighbours seem to be.
    And they are not moaning about imaginary lift breakdowns.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539
    TOPPING said:

    Let's suppose he's posting from Moscow. Isn't this a great opportunity to discuss with a Russian about all this. Why the insecurity of having to dismiss him. I mean in this case he is simply quoting the MailOnline. Or did he make that up?
    I thought the usual argument was that the MailOnline makes it up?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Gratz!
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,641
    Somewhat related to the changing ellipsis and punctuation - I remember looking into the phrase 'dash it all!'. Supposedly because publishers couldn't print 'Damn!' and changed it to 'D---!' 'the young set' took to saying the 'dash' literally. Faux politeness and snark in one. Eventually becoming so common it made it's way back into print.

    Might not be true - but the idea tickled me.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,561
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Many congratulations and best wishes to all three of you!
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    Leon said:

    It is ridiculous. “The British won’t live in flats, and what if you break an ankle”

    Young families ideally need gardens, for everyone else they are nice-to-have, that is all

    And given a choice between a flat on floor 28 with a spectacular view of Shoreditch - a flat that you OWN - compared to perpetually renting a bedsit in south Croydon in a low rise ex council block, then 99% of young people will say LET ME OWN
    I doubt Jeremiah Jessop has ever been to London.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    All the very best to the @MaxPB family!
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Congratulations! The best feeling in the world, good luck with it all.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Many congratulations Max and Mrs Max. And of course Jennifer Rose.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    I thought the usual argument was that the MailOnline makes it up?
    Well indeed if we are berating him for quoting the Mail that's entirely understandable. Not sure that is what is happening here, that said.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    kyf_100 said:

    Point of order, most flats are leasehold, therefore you don't own them. You just have a very long lease, coupled with unlimited service charges and unlimited liability when things go wrong (as people caught up in the cladding scandal have found out).

    There's a reason why the housing market is booming but leasehold flats aren't selling.
    Yep. 20+ years ago I balked at the opportunity to buy a flat. "I will only own the front door key" was my thought. And now that we have had Grenfell followed by the outrage of so many buildings being clad in "BurnKwik" cladding which the government is happy to leave in place (having taken bungs from property companies) its hardly a surprise that leasehold isn't selling.

    I think we do need to build more higher-density housing and that means more blocks. But surely leased is the way to go.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539
    edited May 2022

    From that Wiki list:

    "As of 2020, there are 103 buildings or structures that are at least 100 metres (328 ft) tall in the Greater London metropolitan area, with 22 of these being in the City of London and 25 being in the Canary Wharf / Isle of Dogs district. The Greater London metropolitan area contains the second most skyscrapers of a city in Europe. There are 33 skyscrapers in Greater London that reach a roof height of at least 150 metres (492 ft),[1] with 57 in Moscow, 21 in the Paris Metropolitan Area, 17 in Frankfurt, 16 in Warsaw, 6 in Madrid, 5 each in Milan and Rotterdam, and 4 in Manchester."

    Those 57 in Moscow, comrade. Looking a bit shaky...with all this talk of firing off nukes. If you get my drift.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,253
    Cookie said:

    Hooray! Well done!
    Advice to a first time Dad - remember to look after yourself over the next few days too. Remember to eat. You are no use to your wife and daughter if you are not properly functioning and you cannot run on empty. It is hard work.
    But congratulations. Children (though this may take a little while to become apparent) are the best things in the world.
    I'd only add: if either of you worry that you're doing it wrong, well you will be, at least some of the time :smile: But worrying about whether you're doing it right, learning from your mistakes, realising the lessons learned don't apply next time round, trying again and again until you find what works for you all, and accepting that sometimes you get it wrong - those are the marks of a good parent. Toughest and most rewarding job in the world.

    Oh, and congratulations!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,222
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Nice one, hope your first month is smoother than mine was !
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145

    I doubt Jeremiah Jessop has ever been to London.
    He's just said he lived in a student flat in South Woodford which is on the right hand side of the Central Line and iirc those flats are for Queen Mary College in Mile End, where the Kray twins shot the elephant man, or some such.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,793
    edited May 2022
    algarkirk said:

    The fact that extreme views exist and are promoted shows the importance of the discussion also taking place between non extremes. The denial of the validity of any view apart from one's own is itself an extreme mindset. I think we are agreed about that in all probability. So I don't really see your point, though I share your angst.
    My point is that the debate for all practical purposes is between an extreme position of banning abortion and a moderate nuanced consensus position of not banning it but having some controls. The opposite extreme - abortion totally fine in all circumstances and right up to point of natural delivery - has no real world traction. Hence the equivalence between the 2 extremes is there only in theory. In practice it isn't. The 'Pro Life' extreme is the one to worry about because its proponents are numerous and influential and are hell bent on implementing it. It's an extreme that's gone mainstream in many US states and in one of that country's 2 main political parties.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661
    Emley Moor mast in West Yorkshire is the same height as the Shard.

    And was there first.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,637
    As many of you have probably guessed, the Elizabeth Line has been rushed into opening in time for the Platinum Jubilee without it all functioning as one cohesive service.

    So, from tomorrow, the central section east of Paddington (low level) including the branch from Whitechapel to Canary Wharf, Custom House, Woolwich and Abbey Wood, will not yet be connected to Stratford in the east, and Acton in the west. Bond Street platforms are also not ready. But the connections and Bond Street should be ready "by the autumn". Hmmm,,, we'll see!

    Also, if you're into trying to take pics of trains arriving/leaving at the stations from Paddington to Canary Wharf, as well as Woolwich - don't bother! Platform edge doors similar to those on the Jubilee line will prevent you having a clear view of the trains or the tracks!

    Best places to see the trains on the section that's opening tomorrow are Custom House and Abbey Wood, which are out in the open. Also, there's a footbridge at Silvertown, near LCY Airport, affording views of the route.

    Journey time is 29 minutes from Paddington to Abbey Wood. And the frequency is every 5 minutes. Not bad at all for a "main line" service.

    Personally, travelling in from Ilford, I aim to change trains at Liverpool Street, head southeast to Abbey Wood, then visit each station on the way back to Liverpool Street, head west through to Paddington (low level), then visit the remaining two stations in Zone 1 (Tottenham Court Road and Farringdon) on the way back to Liverpool Street, thereby doing the route and all nine stations opening tomorrow.

    Also, it's bound to be full of media-people and fucking Youtubers tomorrow, so I'm seriously mulling delaying my expedition until Wednesday when it's bound to be less busy. But then, that's just me!
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    He's just said he lived in a student flat in South Woodford which is on the right hand side of the Central Line and iirc those flats are for Queen Mary College in Mile End, where the Kray twins shot the elephant man, or some such.
    While the jukebox played “The Sun Ain’t Gonna Shine Anymore”.

    If he’s judging everything by student accommodation in the ?90s, no wonder he’s confused.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,955

    Yep. 20+ years ago I balked at the opportunity to buy a flat. "I will only own the front door key" was my thought. And now that we have had Grenfell followed by the outrage of so many buildings being clad in "BurnKwik" cladding which the government is happy to leave in place (having taken bungs from property companies) its hardly a surprise that leasehold isn't selling.

    I think we do need to build more higher-density housing and that means more blocks. But surely leased is the way to go.
    I bought a leasehold flat in London as, at the time, it was all I could afford. It's been a non-stop nightmare of bills, charges and assorted grifters posing as managing agents ever since. If I could do it all over again, I'd simply rent until I could afford to buy a house. Never again.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    edited May 2022
    kyf_100 said:

    I bought a leasehold flat in London as, at the time, it was all I could afford. It's been a non-stop nightmare of bills, charges and assorted grifters posing as managing agents ever since. If I could do it all over again, I'd simply rent until I could afford to buy a house. Never again.
    Leasehold, and all that shit, needs proper regulation.

    It’s the sort of micro-economic improvement that make everyone’s life easier and indeed help inflation, and in which the government is profoundly uninterested.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,189
    TOPPING said:

    Let's suppose he's posting from Moscow. Isn't this a great opportunity to discuss with a Russian about all this. Why the insecurity of having to dismiss him. I mean in this case he is simply quoting the MailOnline. Or did he make that up?
    He's quoting Dmitry "Trampoline" Rogozin. Who is always wrong. He pops up from time to time to say some bullshit about Russian space. If it is about capabilities, it never comes to pass. If it is a threat, Russia never follows through with it.

    Even among Putin's circle, he is a joke.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,512

    As many of you have probably guessed, the Elizabeth Line has been rushed into opening in time for the Platinum Jubilee without it all functioning as one cohesive service.

    So, from tomorrow, the central section east of Paddington (low level) including the branch from Whitechapel to Canary Wharf, Custom House, Woolwich and Abbey Wood, will not yet be connected to Stratford in the east, and Acton in the west. Bond Street platforms are also not ready. But the connections and Bond Street should be ready "by the autumn". Hmmm,,, we'll see!

    Also, if you're into trying to take pics of trains arriving/leaving at the stations from Paddington to Canary Wharf, as well as Woolwich - don't bother! Platform edge doors similar to those on the Jubilee line will prevent you having a clear view of the trains or the tracks!

    Best places to see the trains on the section that's opening tomorrow are Custom House and Abbey Wood, which are out in the open. Also, there's a footbridge at Silvertown, near LCY Airport, affording views of the route.

    Journey time is 29 minutes from Paddington to Abbey Wood. And the frequency is every 5 minutes. Not bad at all for a "main line" service.

    Personally, travelling in from Ilford, I aim to change trains at Liverpool Street, head southeast to Abbey Wood, then visit each station on the way back to Liverpool Street, head west through to Paddington (low level), then visit the remaining two stations in Zone 1 (Tottenham Court Road and Farringdon) on the way back to Liverpool Street, thereby doing the route and all nine stations opening tomorrow.

    Also, it's bound to be full of media-people and fucking Youtubers tomorrow, so I'm seriously mulling delaying my expedition until Wednesday when it's bound to be less busy. But then, that's just me!

    So good to see London get yet another massive transport link while the rest of us make do with crap buses and ancient trains on shit and non-electrified lines.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    kyf_100 said:

    Point of order, most flats are leasehold, therefore you don't own them. You just have a very long lease, coupled with unlimited service charges and unlimited liability when things go wrong (as people caught up in the cladding scandal have found out).

    There's a reason why the housing market is booming but leasehold flats aren't selling.
    Get rid of leasehold. Fuck the landlords

    Make everything freehold from now on, make it insanely easy to change from leasehold to freehold if that’s where you are now
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,782
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Congratulations.

    I do vaguely hope that your surname doesn't begin with M.

    JRM is not a good look.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    So good to see London get yet another massive transport link while the rest of us make do with crap buses and ancient trains on shit and non-electrified lines.
    You voted for it (perhaps not you personally), so STFU.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Well that’s one way to get 25 likes in 15 minutes! Congratulations @MaxPB, wife and daughter.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,013
    MaxPB said:

    Well it happened! We welcomed Jennifer Rose to the world last night, will be off PB for quite a while, back in a few weeks!

    Congratulations
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539
    Sandpit said:

    Well that’s one way to get 25 likes in 15 minutes! Congratulations @MaxPB, wife and daughter.

    ....and no more for 18 years!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,637

    I doubt Jeremiah Jessop has ever been to London.
    South Woodford is Zone 4 (and part of Redbridge, administered from Ilford).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    edited May 2022
    Pulpstar said:

    Nice one, hope your first month is smoother than mine was !

    A friend of mine says that it was only heroin that got him through the first few months

    They are TOUGH

    I was off heroin when my turn came, and jeez it was not easy. We all blot out the pain, later


    The terror of the first bath!

    And yes for 96% of people - not all, but most - it is totally worth it
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    MaxPB said:

    Thanks everyone, I'm glad that everyone has come through the other side unscathed plus Spurs got Champions League on the same day she arrived which has got to be a good omen of some kind.

    I know we're in for a big change to our lives but I'm looking forwards to it!

    It's going to be a huge change. You'll have to improve the squad for starters and then ensure that Kane and Son stay where they are although Levy as we know never lets anyone leave.

    Is what you meant, right?
This discussion has been closed.