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The Barnet Bypass: Can the Tories hold on again? – politicalbetting.com

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  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,395
    IanB2 said:

    P&O is just a division of the US cruise giant Carnival; they keep the brand because it helps them segment the market and pitch at mid-market Brits and anglophone Americans, just as they keep Cunard for the top-market cruises. If the brand ceases to carry value, they can easily just rebrand or fold the operation into another part of their business.
    P&O Cruises will be sailing long after P&O Ferries has ceased trading.

    Interesting story on the front of the FT - P&O Ferries are in a fight with a pension regulator over the claimed value of some ferries they have put up as collateral for pension obligations - at many multiples of the value they recently disposed of some slightly older siblings for…
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616

    Next Lords by-election is next week to replace Lord Rotherwick.

    https://www.parliament.uk/globalassets/documents/lords-information-office/2022/notice-with-candidates-list-rotherwick.pdf

    Candidature statements
    Ashcombe, L.Having been a regular attender of the ACP meetings, my longstanding
    interest in politics has been reinformed. With a civil engineering degree from Imperial
    College I have spent over 35 years in the insurance industry and am currently head of the
    Americas energy specialty at Marsh. This requires patient negotiation with multiple parties
    and cultures. I hope that I would be able to deploy this experience to the benefit of this
    House.
    Baillieu, L.
    On leaving the army (Coldstream Guards), I lived in Australia (17 years), Hong Kong (5
    years), and Russia (23 years). My career has been in banking and finance.
    Based on my experience my focus groups are:
    • Armed Forces.
    • Commonwealth.
    • Foreign Relations.
    • Banking and Finance.
    • Health Care.
    In each of these areas I have relevant (even current) experience. In the Ukraine - Russia
    situation I understand the Russian mindset, and this could support a diplomatic response.
    Biddulph, L.
    I would be honoured to serve the House if chosen.
    Camrose, V.
    Aged 52, member of the Conservative Party and life long Conservative voter. I live and
    work in London and would commit to voting and attending as needed. I advise businesses
    of all sizes on how to work more productively and adapt to change. I work with new
    ventures as a founder and investor and would hope to bring my expertise and energy to
    enhancing the public recognition of the House of Lords.
    Ironside, L.
    It would be my intention to take a very active interest in the House of Lords if elected.
    Having spent 25 years in the Lloyd’s insurance market as a director of several successful
    companies, I have acquired plenty of experience in Big Business. For the last 20 years I
    have managed and run my own specialised business establishing it as a market leader in
    the field of classic Mercedes motor cars.
    Aha. A Cayzer.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    edited March 2022

    Idly sharing a dip into another life. I've been an urbanite forever, grew up in a (nice) tower block, comfortable in everything from shopping in Oxford Street to canvassing in Glasgow tenements. I had hay fever as a kid so associate the countryside with feeling rubbish. I go for a walk now and then because a friend asks me to.

    And for various reasons I fill my life with multiple jobs - running the UK arm of the charity, translating, council Executive, chairing the CLP. I fit in relaxation (socialising, mostly, and some poker and computer games) from time to time, like someone planning a short trip to the shops. I'm quite happy, and never bored.

    But convalescing from Covid, I thought I'd take a mug of tea and Follett's The Man from St Petersburg into the neglected garden. Sat for an hour in the sun. A beautiful butterfly hovered around me, then sat companionably on the garden table. I've nothing in particular to do all day, or tomorrow, and I'm signed off from work for a few days. I suppose this is what retirement is like? It's quite nice too.

    If it were retirement, you’re supposed to be tidying the garden up a bit….

    (when you are recovered, obvs)
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,635

    Idly sharing a dip into another life. I've been an urbanite forever, grew up in a (nice) tower block, comfortable in everything from shopping in Oxford Street to canvassing in Glasgow tenements. I had hay fever as a kid so associate the countryside with feeling rubbish. I go for a walk now and then because a friend asks me to.

    And for various reasons I fill my life with multiple jobs - running the UK arm of the charity, translating, council Executive, chairing the CLP. I fit in relaxation (socialising, mostly, and some poker and computer games) from time to time, like someone planning a short trip to the shops. I'm quite happy, and never bored.

    But convalescing from Covid, I thought I'd take a mug of tea and Follett's The Man from St Petersburg into the neglected garden. Sat for an hour in the sun. A beautiful butterfly hovered around me, then sat companionably on the garden table. I've nothing in particular to do all day, or tomorrow, and I'm signed off from work for a few days. I suppose this is what retirement is like? It's quite nice too.

    That does sound lovely. And I'm glad to read that your shaking off the lurgy.

    During the first lockdowns I'd walk to a local-ish park every day and sit for an hour just watching the world go by. Occurred to me it was the first time in many, many years I'd spent time in the same spot outdoors over an extended period. There was something deeply relaxing about watching the leaves on the trees change over the weeks and months, seeing different birds come and go, berries coming out.

    I've somewhat fallen out of the habit. But now that the weather is picking up a bit I should really make the effort again. I sure it did me a world of good.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,395
    “Ukraine's defence ministry says another Russian general, Lt Gen Yakov Rezantsev, was killed in a strike near the southern city of Kherson…A western official said he was the seventh general to die in Ukraine, and the second Lieutenant General.

    https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1507715169685803010
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    MattW said:

    Aha. A Cayzer.
    >And why shouldn't a church wedding be restricted (if they want) to church goers. If you don't belong to a society/club why should you expect to benefit from it.

    >Also why does it remove that right? If the church of England wants to provide it to residents of the parish, it can if it wishes.

    That's a narrow definition of Church Membership, and that is a matter for the church.

    And it should be a matter for the Church whether they wish to give that right to all parishioners.

    The BHA turn somersaults to pretend they represent agnostics as well as humanists, and any "are you a humanist" survey I have ever seen could be signed up to by any vicar I have ever met.

    IMO the underlying issue here is that Church of England Vicars are legally Registrars who marry people in law as well as in the church, unlike some other denominations.

    Cameron should have split off the Govt-recognised marriage registration (which mainly relates to taxes) from religious (or humanist, say) marriage when he did same-sex marriage, but he was in too much of a hurry to do it in a properly thought-through way.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,674
    IanB2 said:

    If it were retirement, you’re supposed to be tidying the garden up a bit….

    (when you are recovered, obvs)
    Bollocks to that :). But I wonder, reading @ohnotnow's response, if a significamnt number of people have been encouraged by lockdown to reconsider their livestyles.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,206
    edited March 2022

    So nothing to do with the fact that she was a manipulative bully?
    Oh, I think that the Royal Family have long experience of manipulative bullies within the organisation.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited March 2022

    I wonder if they have a credible valuation for the brand from before it was completely destroyed that they can use as part of a claim.

    I'd suggest that P&O Cruises need to create a completely new brand asap.
    Consignia :smile:

    A "vanishing down the plughole" logo seems appropriate for something maritime.


  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    Belarus. And I am sure they have troops in Kaliningrad (not that the ones in Transdnistria seem to have been used to attack Ukraine).
    It seems that the Russian troop numbers in Transnistria, have dwindled to 1,400 - 1,500. I had assumed that the Russians would have boosted that pre-invasion, but there does not seem to be any evidence for that.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,674
    ohnotnow said:



    That does sound lovely. And I'm glad to read that your shaking off the lurgy.

    During the first lockdowns I'd walk to a local-ish park every day and sit for an hour just watching the world go by. Occurred to me it was the first time in many, many years I'd spent time in the same spot outdoors over an extended period. There was something deeply relaxing about watching the leaves on the trees change over the weeks and months, seeing different birds come and go, berries coming out.

    I've somewhat fallen out of the habit. But now that the weather is picking up a bit I should really make the effort again. I sure it did me a world of good.

    That's really great - might try it next...
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Mines floating in the Bosphorus with Turkish authorities cleaning up anchorages and shipping lanes, and reports of SAM missiles fired/intercepting Ukrainian targets over Sebastopol

  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    “Ukraine's defence ministry says another Russian general, Lt Gen Yakov Rezantsev, was killed in a strike near the southern city of Kherson…A western official said he was the seventh general to die in Ukraine, and the second Lieutenant General.

    https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1507715169685803010

    err I might be wrong but isn't that the Lt General that was killed 2days ago? perhaps its only just been confirmed for defiant.

    P.S. I think to got to 7 generals, they are including the Checken Maj General.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    TimT said:

    Mines floating in the Bosphorus with Turkish authorities cleaning up anchorages and shipping lanes, and reports of SAM missiles fired/intercepting Ukrainian targets over Sebastopol

    Ukrainians over Sebastopol!

    sounds like the Ukrainians might be after the Russian Fleet.

    however could also be:
    a) Russians calming Sebastopol is under attack to wipe up anti Ukrainian feeling in Crimea, or
    b) Jumpy Russians firing at a flock of birds, or similar.

    I would be interested to see more on that, where did you see it reported?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    TimT said:

    Mines floating in the Bosphorus with Turkish authorities cleaning up anchorages and shipping lanes, and reports of SAM missiles fired/intercepting Ukrainian targets over Sebastopol

    Turks are good with mines.

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    Blimey, if this is correct, it’s a massive temperature anomaly in Antarctica.
    https://twitter.com/jeffgoodell/status/1507715500159217664
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546

    Ah, I know the mere mention of them can trigger the bile gland of some folk.
    See, you get it.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,757
    ping said:
    Except it doesn’t quite work like that

    People who are caught by fiscal drag are getting a pay rise

    They may get to keep less that they expect, but the number on the bottom of the pay slip is going up
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    BigRich said:

    Ukrainians over Sebastopol!

    sounds like the Ukrainians might be after the Russian Fleet.

    however could also be:
    a) Russians calming Sebastopol is under attack to wipe up anti Ukrainian feeling in Crimea, or
    b) Jumpy Russians firing at a flock of birds, or similar.

    I would be interested to see more on that, where did you see it reported?
    https://twitter.com/GrangerE04117/status/1507671422839111685
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441
    Nigelb said:

    Small, lightweight, simple, cheap.
    Doesn't sound like Arriflex.
    The 'cheap' obviously not! But their heads cameras lenses are beautifully made. The Mercedes-Benz of cameras! Everything is where you'd want it to be. Outside of Germany companies are using Arri gear that's fifty and sixty years old. Still working perfectly.The joy of working in Germany is you get the very latest including some incredible bits that no one else has thought of
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    algarkirk said:

    Agreeing with you. Thanks.

    Because of the way societies develop not according to pre design but in an evolutionary way we have several strands. 1, the established church, 2 an amazing ecclesiastical building heritage, 3 the public expectation that the CoE is available for all comers (still massively strong in some parts) as and when they want it, 4 enthusiastic and diverse religious traditions.

    Because of 2 and 3 the tax payer should support the buildings aspect. There is no public desire to let them fall down or to be told to go away when asking the established church for something. And there is a case for public support for established church ministers in run down places that can't fund them. The wealthy can and do fund the vicars. But the public do still expect them in Scunthorpe as well as South Kensington.

    Interesting perspective. But it falls down on the issue of: why should the Scottish, Welsh, and Irish taxpayer pay a C of E priest's salary? Which in turn is easily dealt with: the BArnett formula.

    But also we have people to hatch, match and despatch already. Paid for by the state. Called 'registrars'.

    So this amounts to religious (and, in some ways, de facto though not intentional racial) bias in public services, which is ...
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,295

    Except it doesn’t quite work like that

    People who are caught by fiscal drag are getting a pay rise

    They may get to keep less that they expect, but the number on the bottom of the pay slip is going up
    A pay rise in nominal terms isn't really a pay rise of its at or below inflation. So yes, fiscal drag is effectively a tax increase.

    There's a reason we report on real (i.e. inflation adjusted) and not nominal GDP growth.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,011
    Carnyx said:

    Interesting perspective. But it falls down on the issue of: why should the Scottish, Welsh, and Irish taxpayer pay a C of E priest's salary? Which in turn is easily dealt with: the BArnett formula.

    But also we have people to hatch, match and despatch already. Paid for by the state. Called 'registrars'.

    So this amounts to religious (and, in some ways, de facto though not intentional racial) bias in public services, which is ...
    A good reason for why, though there is a case, it isn't going to happen. However it is still the fact that the CoE is expected to provide a National Religion Service with a bit of public help to keep the roof on the listed bits, and no help at all with wage costs.

    The entire population has rights with regard to the CoE, but no duties of any sort. Obviously lots of people want to abolish it, but millions of people simply assume that's the way it is and that's OK. It still has to be paid for. I think the people of Scunthorpe are as important as the posh bits who can pay for it easily.

  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    TimT said:

    https://twitter.com/GrangerE04117/status/1507671422839111685
    For best guess as to Russian Black Sea Fleet disposition, see:

    https://twitter.com/TheShipYard2/status/1507138034499821575/photo/1
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    So we’re discussing the CofE; an institution less relevant to the life of the country today is hard to imagine.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339
    Ratters said:

    A pay rise in nominal terms isn't really a pay rise of its at or below inflation. So yes, fiscal drag is effectively a tax increase.

    There's a reason we report on real (i.e. inflation adjusted) and not nominal GDP growth.
    It's the interesting question going forward.

    On paper, pay will go up and tax rates will go down.

    But people are likely to have less money at the end of the month. More likely, negative money.

    Which perception wins out?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    Roger said:

    The 'cheap' obviously not! But their heads cameras lenses are beautifully made. The Mercedes-Benz of cameras! Everything is where you'd want it to be. Outside of Germany companies are using Arri gear that's fifty and sixty years old. Still working perfectly.The joy of working in Germany is you get the very latest including some incredible bits that no one else has thought of
    Oh, and disposable after shooting.
    Definitely not Arri, either. :smile:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    IanB2 said:

    So we’re discussing the CofE; an institution less relevant to the life of the country today is hard to imagine.

    There's such an easy joke to make about the Liberal Democrats there...
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    Except it doesn’t quite work like that

    People who are caught by fiscal drag are getting a pay rise

    They may get to keep less that they expect, but the number on the bottom of the pay slip is going up
    But if their pay rise is only matching inflation, then the increased tax take from fiscal drag means that their post-tax pay is declining in real-terms.

    For an inflation rate of 6%, the effect of fiscal drag is that someone currently earning at the higher rate of tax threshold (£50,271) needs a pay increase of 8.5% to maintain their real post-tax income at the same level in real terms.

    People complained about Gordon Brown using fiscal drag to stealthily raise taxes, but he did so at a time when the rate of inflation was low. With the rate of inflation now much higher, the effect of fiscal drag is also much higher. It represents a massive increase in taxation.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    ydoethur said:

    There's such an easy joke to make about the Liberal Democrats there...
    So easy that the same thought came into my mind as I was typing the post. But I thought, ‘no, PB’ers are better than that’ and typed on.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    IanB2 said:

    So easy that the same thought came into my mind as I was typing the post. But I thought, ‘no, PB’ers are better than that’ and typed on.
    There's quite an easy joke to make about the eternal optimism of Liberal Democrats there and all! :smile:
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,088
    Cabinet allies of Johnson are caustic about Chancellor

    ‘I don’t think Rishi is everything PR people make him out to be

    ‘He’s a billionaire who’s building a gym & swimming pool

    ‘I don’t think public mind someone who is successful there’s a problem when they seem privileged’

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1507712476288372737



    there’s a problem when they seem privileged

    WTF is Gold wallpaper?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Scott_xP said:

    Cabinet allies of Johnson are caustic about Chancellor

    ‘I don’t think Rishi is everything PR people make him out to be

    ‘He’s a billionaire who’s building a gym & swimming pool

    ‘I don’t think public mind someone who is successful there’s a problem when they seem privileged’

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1507712476288372737



    there’s a problem when they seem privileged

    WTF is Gold wallpaper?

    Johnson appointed Sunak to have a pliable Chancellor who would do what he wanted. And he got one.

    It never seems to have occurred to him that there might be a drawback to this idea...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    Scott_xP said:

    Cabinet allies of Johnson are caustic about Chancellor

    ‘I don’t think Rishi is everything PR people make him out to be

    ‘He’s a billionaire who’s building a gym & swimming pool

    ‘I don’t think public mind someone who is successful there’s a problem when they seem privileged’

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1507712476288372737

    there’s a problem when they seem privileged

    WTF is Gold wallpaper?

    Man of the people Boris. LOL.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited March 2022
    Roger said:

    The 'cheap' obviously not! But their heads cameras lenses are beautifully made. The Mercedes-Benz of cameras! Everything is where you'd want it to be. Outside of Germany companies are using Arri gear that's fifty and sixty years old. Still working perfectly.The joy of working in Germany is you get the very latest including some incredible bits that no one else has thought of
    Some of the German Zeiss lenses from the 1950s are incredible. A whole load of other mid-sized companies, in the typical cottage-industry precision genius the germans had, and still have, too, from the same period of the 1950s to the 70s - Schacht, Voigtlander, obviously Leica.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    Indeed. IIRC the way it worked was that you had to get roubles converted to vouchers by the state (if you were a Soviet Citizen). If you were an ordinary citizen, you got a certain rate. And quality was extremely limited. If you were a high official, you got another rate and limited amounts could be converted.
    Sounds like London with Scottish notes
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    Any tips for qualifying, @Morris_Dancer ?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    I have done a quick bit of research and Vlad apparently goes for Ferragamo (kudos to me) and John Lobb.
    His suits are Brioni (which just to aftertime I would have gone for) and a shadowy tailor to the Kremlin called Tigorico; the latter charge c.$5000 per suit.

    Divvie, PB style correspondent with his finger on the sartorial pulse of depraved tyrants.
    He use same tailor as use TUD, sounds like you are a bit of a dapper dandy.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Foxy said:

    Oh, I think that the Royal Family have long experience of manipulative bullies within the organisation.
    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    Had a similar experience in Sofia, Bulgaria, in 1985. The waiters etc wanted tips in Western currency.

    Been reading through while waiting for Mrs C to have an Outpatient procedure. Satisfactory, I’m glad to say; one more in three months and she’ll be discharged.
    Good news OKC
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    Leon said:

    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
    I remember seeing somewhere that the LFT doesn’t turn positive until at least day four. Although symptoms don’t arrive on day one either, obvs.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Leon said:

    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
    Spending an intimate time with covid myself. Y experience sounds similar, totally knackered with sweats. Took three days to go +ve. The trick is to really shove the cue tip up your nose.

    Good luck to your friends. Covid is not nice.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    Next Lords by-election is next week to replace Lord Rotherwick.

    https://www.parliament.uk/globalassets/documents/lords-information-office/2022/notice-with-candidates-list-rotherwick.pdf

    Candidature statements
    Ashcombe, L.Having been a regular attender of the ACP meetings, my longstanding
    interest in politics has been reinformed. With a civil engineering degree from Imperial
    College I have spent over 35 years in the insurance industry and am currently head of the
    Americas energy specialty at Marsh. This requires patient negotiation with multiple parties
    and cultures. I hope that I would be able to deploy this experience to the benefit of this
    House.
    Baillieu, L.
    On leaving the army (Coldstream Guards), I lived in Australia (17 years), Hong Kong (5
    years), and Russia (23 years). My career has been in banking and finance.
    Based on my experience my focus groups are:
    • Armed Forces.
    • Commonwealth.
    • Foreign Relations.
    • Banking and Finance.
    • Health Care.
    In each of these areas I have relevant (even current) experience. In the Ukraine - Russia
    situation I understand the Russian mindset, and this could support a diplomatic response.
    Biddulph, L.
    I would be honoured to serve the House if chosen.
    Camrose, V.
    Aged 52, member of the Conservative Party and life long Conservative voter. I live and
    work in London and would commit to voting and attending as needed. I advise businesses
    of all sizes on how to work more productively and adapt to change. I work with new
    ventures as a founder and investor and would hope to bring my expertise and energy to
    enhancing the public recognition of the House of Lords.
    Ironside, L.
    It would be my intention to take a very active interest in the House of Lords if elected.
    Having spent 25 years in the Lloyd’s insurance market as a director of several successful
    companies, I have acquired plenty of experience in Big Business. For the last 20 years I
    have managed and run my own specialised business establishing it as a market leader in
    the field of classic Mercedes motor cars.
    What a bunch of tossers.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156
    Leon said:

    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
    Someone suggested the other day that you can get quite a lot of symptoms if your immune system swings into gear, and that can keep the level of infection below the threshold where it would be picked up by an LFT.

    Anecdotally, my brother-in-law had symptoms for a few days, tested negative, but then subsequently tested positive, so perhaps the initial symptoms were his initial immune system response, which the virus eventually managed to overwhelm sufficiently for him to test positive on an LFT.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    algarkirk said:

    A good reason for why, though there is a case, it isn't going to happen. However it is still the fact that the CoE is expected to provide a National Religion Service with a bit of public help to keep the roof on the listed bits, and no help at all with wage costs.

    The entire population has rights with regard to the CoE, but no duties of any sort. Obviously lots of people want to abolish it, but millions of people simply assume that's the way it is and that's OK. It still has to be paid for. I think the people of Scunthorpe are as important as the posh bits who can pay for it easily.

    Does the population actually have rights? Even in England (the C of E bit seems a giveaway). Just checking ...

    I have no problem at all with supporting the old buildings and so on.

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,476
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mr. B, just about to check the markets, although Ladbrokes can often be a bit slow to wake up.

    The circuit is more forgiving this year... but not by much. Super easy to cock up a lap and turn your car into a ruin.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,560
    ydoethur said:

    Johnson appointed Sunak to have a pliable Chancellor who would do what he wanted. And he got one.

    It never seems to have occurred to him that there might be a drawback to this idea...
    Rishi’s appointment answered the immediate question. For Johnson that’s job done.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Joshua de Silva all over England like a cheap suit here.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    Leon said:

    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
    As I understand it, yes.
    It's the flipside of the invisible damage issue that some people had back before the vaccines.

    Virus stages:

    - Virus gets into you. Very low level, you are not infectious yet. PCR goes positive at some point between here and the third stage
    - Virus starts eating its way into your cells, taking them over to reproduce itself (kind of like a very mini Alien)
    - Viral load increases, you become infectious, LFT goes positive

    The immune system is what gives you symptoms as it swings into gear. If it doesn't recognise the thing (due to being immune-naive) and reacts slowly, the virus can get chewing away at you and spreading silently for quite a while. This is where an oximeter can come in handy, as it registers the loss of lung capacity.

    If the immune system recognises the thing really quickly (vaccinated, boosted, strong immune system, low initial viral load), it can get traction very early. Symptoms kick in as it goes and this can be before the virus has chomped away enough to spread sufficiently to be discernibly infectious to others (so no positive LFT). Sometimes it'll get infectious enough before being swept up (so you'll still get a positive LFT in time - just a couple or three or four days after symptoms begin). On occasion, the immune system will hold it down so well that it never spreads enough to become infectious and you have covid and recover without ever triggering an LFT.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771
    BigRich said:

    It seems that the Russian troop numbers in Transnistria, have dwindled to 1,400 - 1,500. I had assumed that the Russians would have boosted that pre-invasion, but there does not seem to be any evidence for that.
    They don't seem able to organize a military operation on 3/4 fronts within Ukraine. And 75% of their total military capability is involved in that operation. How would they open 3-5 additional operations with only 25% of their forces available?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Jonathan said:

    Spending an intimate time with covid myself. Y experience sounds similar, totally knackered with sweats. Took three days to go +ve. The trick is to really shove the cue tip up your nose.

    Good luck to your friends. Covid is not nice.
    That does sound exactly like his experience. I’ll give him the nose advice.

    For various reasons he is also at peak immunity. Boostered about five weeks ago. Perhaps that might also produce negative tests?

    Thanks to all for the feedback
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mr. B, just about to check the markets, although Ladbrokes can often be a bit slow to wake up.

    The circuit is more forgiving this year... but not by much. Super easy to cock up a lap and turn your car into a ruin.

    Verstappen had a close shave in FP3.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    On the subject of casualties in the war I just noticed this:


    According to the Donetsk PR, That's on of the 2 self declared independent republics fighting alongside Russia: there casualties reported on 17 March: 349 soldiers killed, 1,930 wounded.

    To me this seems credible, with a less sophisticated PR department and there men fighting closer to home its probably harder to hide the losses, and the KIA and wended ratio sounds credible at nearly 5 to 1. its 9 days ago so it will have gone up since then, and its worth noting that up to that point Donetsk had been less active than many other areas, both the movement of the front and behind the Front. even so Donetsk clamed to have an army of 20,000 before the war, therefor that would be 21.4% of there starting manpower, in 3 weeks.

    Anybody else this this might be the first credible self reputed casualty number so far?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    As I understand it, yes.
    It's the flipside of the invisible damage issue that some people had back before the vaccines.

    Virus stages:

    - Virus gets into you. Very low level, you are not infectious yet. PCR goes positive at some point between here and the third stage
    - Virus starts eating its way into your cells, taking them over to reproduce itself (kind of like a very mini Alien)
    - Viral load increases, you become infectious, LFT goes positive

    The immune system is what gives you symptoms as it swings into gear. If it doesn't recognise the thing (due to being immune-naive) and reacts slowly, the virus can get chewing away at you and spreading silently for quite a while. This is where an oximeter can come in handy, as it registers the loss of lung capacity.

    If the immune system recognises the thing really quickly (vaccinated, boosted, strong immune system, low initial viral load), it can get traction very early. Symptoms kick in as it goes and this can be before the virus has chomped away enough to spread sufficiently to be discernibly infectious to others (so no positive LFT). Sometimes it'll get infectious enough before being swept up (so you'll still get a positive LFT in time - just a couple or three or four days after symptoms begin). On occasion, the immune system will hold it down so well that it never spreads enough to become infectious and you have covid and recover without ever triggering an LFT.
    As authoritative as ever. PB is great for this kind of thing. Thanks!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited March 2022
    Leon said:

    Question for you doc. One of my oldest friends has a wife with Covid. She’s had two positive tests and feels fairly bad. Like a modestly nasty cold

    Now he’s got symptoms. Sleeping all the time. Sweats. Yet he’s had two negative lft tests.

    Is it possible to have symptomatic covid yet consistently test negative?

    I’ve told him he’s either faking it, like a sympathetic pregnancy, or he should get a PCR. He’s non amenable to either idea
    A relative of mine currently has COVID, has been one of those test-acholic, always taking the damn things every day. Started feeling ill a week ago, doing their usual LFT routine, 3 days in a row after symptoms all negative (and of course all negative before feeling ill). Has an upcoming medical procedure so had to go and get a PCR, was positive.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,476
    Mr. B, aye, as did Leclerc and Sainz both in second practice.

    Heroically, I've split a single stake equally between Sainz each way at 9 and Perez each way at 15 to be fastest qualifier (third the odds top 2). I'll post the waffle soonish.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156
    BigRich said:

    On the subject of casualties in the war I just noticed this:


    According to the Donetsk PR, That's on of the 2 self declared independent republics fighting alongside Russia: there casualties reported on 17 March: 349 soldiers killed, 1,930 wounded.

    To me this seems credible, with a less sophisticated PR department and there men fighting closer to home its probably harder to hide the losses, and the KIA and wended ratio sounds credible at nearly 5 to 1. its 9 days ago so it will have gone up since then, and its worth noting that up to that point Donetsk had been less active than many other areas, both the movement of the front and behind the Front. even so Donetsk clamed to have an army of 20,000 before the war, therefor that would be 21.4% of there starting manpower, in 3 weeks.

    Anybody else this this might be the first credible self reputed casualty number so far?

    I think there's been a lot of activity on that front, it just hasn't resulted in much movement. I also thought that the DNR forces were involved in the fighting in Mariupol (it is in the Donetsk Oblast after all), so quite possible that their casualty figures are also an underestimate.

    On the twitters that collate photos of vehicles destroyed and captured it does seem as though most of the Ukrainian vehicles captured/destroyed have been attacked by the DNR - which is another sign of an active front, but perhaps if they've done relatively well they won't have suffered terrible losses.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303

    A relative of mine currently has COVID, has been one of those test-acholic, always taking the damn things every day. Started feeling ill a week ago, doing their usual LFT routine, 3 days in a row after symptoms all negative (and of course all negative before feeling ill). Has an upcoming medical procedure so had to go and get a PCR, was positive.
    To add my own anecdote: I felt rubbish for three days (enough to be off school) while testing negative on LFT. I then felt better and was preparing to go back to school, thought I ought to do a test, and it came back positive. I then tested positive for the next six days despite feeling fine.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    England couldn't bowl out a Sunday Village team....
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,476
    edited March 2022
    Betting Post

    F1: as mentioned, backed (with one stake split evenly) Perez at 15 each way and Sainz at 9 each way (third the odds top 2) to be fastest qualifier.

    It seems like a definite top four but with narrow barriers, traffic potentially being a problem, and gusting wind it'd be very easy for Leclerc or Verstappen to make an error or get unlucky.

    Edited extra bit: https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2022/03/saudi-arabia-pre-qualifying-2022.html
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited March 2022
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    Flight back from Mexico, BA's advice was a bit confused on masks. They announced that people should wear them but then some enterprising woman brought up BA's own website and showed them the rule that if you're travelling to a country that doesn't have a mask mandate on public transport you don't need to wear them so a second announcement was made that masks were merely recommended and not mandatory. It made a huge difference to the flight experience, I was actually able to sleep.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    I think there's been a lot of activity on that front, it just hasn't resulted in much movement. I also thought that the DNR forces were involved in the fighting in Mariupol (it is in the Donetsk Oblast after all), so quite possible that their casualty figures are also an underestimate.

    On the twitters that collate photos of vehicles destroyed and captured it does seem as though most of the Ukrainian vehicles captured/destroyed have been attacked by the DNR - which is another sign of an active front, but perhaps if they've done relatively well they won't have suffered terrible losses.
    Yes all good points, although, I don't think they had properly entered Mariupol on by 17th.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    As I understand it, yes.
    It's the flipside of the invisible damage issue that some people had back before the vaccines.

    Virus stages:

    - Virus gets into you. Very low level, you are not infectious yet. PCR goes positive at some point between here and the third stage
    - Virus starts eating its way into your cells, taking them over to reproduce itself (kind of like a very mini Alien)
    - Viral load increases, you become infectious, LFT goes positive

    The immune system is what gives you symptoms as it swings into gear. If it doesn't recognise the thing (due to being immune-naive) and reacts slowly, the virus can get chewing away at you and spreading silently for quite a while. This is where an oximeter can come in handy, as it registers the loss of lung capacity.

    If the immune system recognises the thing really quickly (vaccinated, boosted, strong immune system, low initial viral load), it can get traction very early. Symptoms kick in as it goes and this can be before the virus has chomped away enough to spread sufficiently to be discernibly infectious to others (so no positive LFT). Sometimes it'll get infectious enough before being swept up (so you'll still get a positive LFT in time - just a couple or three or four days after symptoms begin). On occasion, the immune system will hold it down so well that it never spreads enough to become infectious and you have covid and recover without ever triggering an LFT.
    Symptoms don't just come from the immune system's response - although many do. The virus also hijacks the cell's apparatus to produce a number of proteins, some of which do damage to the body, which damage also produces symptoms. If this were not the case, immune deficient people would have nothing to fear from the virus.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,790
    Anyway, sorry, but fun if you know (and like) the song -

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16y1AkoZkmQ

    Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey …

    There lives a man in Russia as we speak
    He is short and bald, and his torso oh so sleek
    Asked if they love him his subjects say of course
    And especially when they see him on a horse

    He bangs on and on about the weak west
    Full of piss and wind
    Thoughts he harbours, of its bloody conquest
    All that woke shit binned

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    No more trannies is the dream
    He is a cat that really has gone
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    Until it’s done, he’ll just carry on

    Things get rather messy very quick
    Sheets of fire rain down and the world is feeling sick
    Vlad’s ok though, he really doesn’t care
    Cos he’s safe as houses in his Moscow lair

    For his sins he pays a price of zero
    He still thinks it’s cool
    In his mind’s eye he’s a Soviet hero
    To be taught in school

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    No more voting is his dream
    He is a cat that really has gone
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    Until it’s done, he’ll just carry on

    But when his ranting and raving
    And his designer wardrobe
    Become known to more and more people
    The demands to do something
    About this outrageous man
    Become louder and louder


    Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey …

    Vlad’s just got to go, declared the spooked west
    If we don’t get rid he’ll become an awful pest
    How should we do it? Macron has a plan
    At the next peace talks he will take him like a man

    So one night he walks into the Kremlin
    Fingers on the blade
    “Hello Manu,” said the smirking Putin
    Last sound that he made

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    Ruler of the Russian scene
    A total bastard, it has to be said
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his mighty war machine
    It didn’t save him and now he is dead

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    Tsar of Tsars his fevered dream
    But what he bit off he couldn’t quite chew
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    He lies at rest now, lips going blue

    Oh, those Russians. :smile:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    kinabalu said:

    Anyway, sorry, but fun if you know (and like) the song -

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16y1AkoZkmQ

    Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey …

    There lives a man in Russia as we speak
    He is short and bald, and his torso oh so sleek
    Asked if they love him his subjects say of course
    And especially when they see him on a horse

    He bangs on and on about the weak west
    Full of piss and wind
    Thoughts he harbours, of its bloody conquest
    All that woke shit binned

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    No more trannies is the dream
    He is a cat that really has gone
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    Until it’s done, he’ll just carry on

    Things get rather messy very quick
    Sheets of fire rain down and the world is feeling sick
    Vlad’s ok though, he really doesn’t care
    Cos he’s safe as houses in his Moscow lair

    For his sins he pays a price of zero
    He still thinks it’s cool
    In his mind’s eye he’s a Soviet hero
    To be taught in school

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    No more voting is his dream
    He is a cat that really has gone
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    Until it’s done, he’ll just carry on

    But when his ranting and raving
    And his designer wardrobe
    Become known to more and more people
    The demands to do something
    About this outrageous man
    Become louder and louder


    Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey …

    Vlad’s just got to go, declared the spooked west
    If we don’t get rid he’ll become an awful pest
    How should we do it? Macron has a plan
    At the next peace talks he will take him like a man

    So one night he walks into the Kremlin
    Fingers on the blade
    “Hello Manu,” said the smirking Putin
    Last sound that he made

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    Ruler of the Russian scene
    A total bastard, it has to be said
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his mighty war machine
    It didn’t save him and now he is dead

    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    Tsar of Tsars his fevered dream
    But what he bit off he couldn’t quite chew
    Mad bad Vlad Putin
    With his Russian war machine
    He lies at rest now, lips going blue

    Oh, those Russians. :smile:

    He'll be offended you don't consider him 'Russia's greatest love machine' although you were wise to ditch the bit about loving queens...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,506

    A relative of mine currently has COVID, has been one of those test-acholic, always taking the damn things every day. Started feeling ill a week ago, doing their usual LFT routine, 3 days in a row after symptoms all negative (and of course all negative before feeling ill). Has an upcoming medical procedure so had to go and get a PCR, was positive.
    My hairdresser told similar story last week: felt crap, four days of negative LFT, finally persuaded by son to get PCR, positive.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    My hairdresser told similar story last week: felt crap, four days of negative LFT, finally persuaded by son to get PCR, positive.
    I could tell many similar stories from my school.

    Which begs the fairly obvious question, what was the fricking point of all this LFT obsession?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited March 2022
    pooka said:

    There is no reason to assume that disestablishing the CoE would mean that the established church would de facto become the Roman Catholic Church. I cannot think of a country even where the majority faith is Roman Catholic and that church is 'established' in the way the CoE is in England. The Irish constitution only requires the state to support freedom of religion. In the USA there is an unestablished Anglcan Church whilst the largest single demonination is RC. Neither are established - the first ammendment to the constitution rules out establishment. And RC canon law precludes clerics occupying positions of civil governance.
    Christianity in the USA is divided between the Roman Catholic Church and the evangelical Baptist and Pentecostal churches which dominate.

    The US Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority now
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099

    England couldn't bowl out a Sunday Village team....

    I told you a couple of weeks back.

    There’s more suspense in dog dancing.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    Good morning

    It seems my comments on the royal family last night triggered @HYUFD into a fierce debate which looks to have carried on into this morning

    As I said last night I have been a republican most of my life but of recent times have had nothing but praise and admiration for HMQ but it has become an anachronism and the media coverage of William and Kate talking to children contained behind a wire fence and standing on the back of a land rover waving at the people gives credence to it

    80% of my 78 years have been lived in Scotland and Wales and maybe I just do not get this Queen appointed by God and we are subservient to their position and must bow when meeting them etc

    I am content for Charles to be king and William and Kate to succeed him but they do need to modernise and accept attitudes change

    I give William full marks when he told the Caribbean nations that he will support any decisions to become republics and it is unthinkable that Australia, NZ, or Canada will continue indefinitely to have our monarch as their head of state

    We are in a rapidly changing world and only those who accept change and even welcome it will survive

    https://news.sky.com/story/prince-william-tells-caribbean-nations-that-any-decisions-to-become-republics-will-be-supported-12575266

    The wire fence was nothing to do with the royal visit. Other (black) celebrities also met people in the same place.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Zelenskyy publicly giving every EU country marks out of ten for support. Germany, Ireland, Portugal: Could do better. Belgium: Must try harder. Hungary, see me after school


    https://twitter.com/davekeating/status/1507714229922680834?s=21&t=8n43xDGp1pUgdhld3GII4w
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,506
    Dmitri A. Medvedev, the former Russian president and vice chairman of Russia’s Security Council, said the country was prepared to use nuclear weapons against the United States and Europe if its existence was threatened, the latest instance of nuclear saber-rattling as Russia faces fierce resistance in Ukraine.

    NY Times blog
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,622
    ydoethur said:

    I could tell many similar stories from my school.

    Which begs the fairly obvious question, what was the fricking point of all this LFT obsession?
    No point now. Previously it was useful when suppression was possible as positive lateral flow indicated infectiousnous far better than PCR which can be positive way after you cease being a hazard to others.
    Problem is some are addicted to them, and for them the end of the free drug is going to be an issue.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    HYUFD said:

    Christianity in the USA is divided between the Roman Catholic Church and the evangelical Baptist and Pentecostal churches which dominate.

    The US Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority now
    Has always surprised me that RC has continued to be strong in the US.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    Omnium said:

    Has always surprised me that RC has continued to be strong in the US.
    The Hispanic population are overwhelmingly Roman Catholic and the Irish and Italian Americans are too.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979
    Leon said:

    Zelenskyy publicly giving every EU country marks out of ten for support. Germany, Ireland, Portugal: Could do better. Belgium: Must try harder. Hungary, see me after school


    https://twitter.com/davekeating/status/1507714229922680834?s=21&t=8n43xDGp1pUgdhld3GII4w

    I bet Boris is ruing Brexit now: surely he'd have got top of the class / a credit to his house / the boy all others should aspire to be.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    HYUFD said:

    The Hispanic population are overwhelmingly Roman Catholic and the Irish and Italian Americans are too.
    Yeah, I know - lots of RC roots. Just the Catholic church seems quite at odds with much else concerning the US. Perhaps that's some of it's appeal there?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    Here’s a fun thread - someone has created a green screen of the clown taken from the video of him wandering around being blanked by the other world leaders, and the rest of Twitter has had fun inserting it into various scenarios:

    https://twitter.com/MattHighton/status/1507129762203979786
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467

    I bet Boris is ruing Brexit now: surely he'd have got top of the class / a credit to his house / the boy all others should aspire to be.
    I doubt he'd be PM though.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    Omnium said:

    I doubt he'd be PM though.
    Is there any downside to this scenario at all?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    IanB2 said:

    Is there any downside to this scenario at all?
    Er.... Corbyn might be?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited March 2022
    Leon said:

    Zelenskyy publicly giving every EU country marks out of ten for support. Germany, Ireland, Portugal: Could do better. Belgium: Must try harder. Hungary, see me after school


    https://twitter.com/davekeating/status/1507714229922680834?s=21&t=8n43xDGp1pUgdhld3GII4w

    What has become apparent from all these speeches he gives to various parliaments is Zelenskyy is a canny political operator, where he uses well known stereotypes, triumphs and sore sorts in equal measure to both garner plaudits but also enough red meat to local audience to guilt trip them into doing more.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    Omnium said:

    Er.... Corbyn might be?
    We’d have whoever stepped up after Cammo retired, tho
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,143

    No point now. Previously it was useful when suppression was possible as positive lateral flow indicated infectiousnous far better than PCR which can be positive way after you cease being a hazard to others.
    Problem is some are addicted to them, and for them the end of the free drug is going to be an issue.
    Also, were we not told right from the start that LFT is only for symptomless testing and that if you have symptoms, you should take a PCR test?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited March 2022
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    Club class review on the BA 787 - Overall a good experience, I'd upgrade the food from merely acceptable to good compared to pre-COVID. Wine selection was ace as usual, I think we were on a brand new plane which made the beds extra comfy. The bedding seems to be better as well, kept us warm through the whole flight.

    Entertainment selection was still spotty and I'm still shocked that in flight WiFi is a paid extra for club class (as is advanced seating, which we paid for to get two together), only included for first.

    I'd say that BA have definitely improved the product since I last flew pre-COVID, but it was so far behind the competition at that point the only way was up

    Special mention to the BA cabin crew and absolutely brilliant flight crew. We ran into the worst ever turbulence I've experienced (and I fly a lot, so bad that they paused cabin service and at times you could see the crew looking a bit nervous) and the flight crew kept us well informed, told us how long they expected it to last and to keep calm if it felt as though the plane was falling because it wouldn't be. I think it's the crew that really sets BA apart from other airlines still, the product itself doesn't compare but the staff are still incredible. The true BA resource.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    HYUFD said:

    Christianity in the USA is divided between the Roman Catholic Church and the evangelical Baptist and Pentecostal churches which dominate.

    The US Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority now
    It's weird. The CofE's biggest defenders (including me) tend to be staunch conservatives, and I suspect that's true of most of its congregation too.

    But its clergy, and those in the Synod, are basically Corbynites and they probably secretly despise those who attend its services.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    There was an interesting piece in today's Helsingin Sanomat, which I can no longer find, discussing Finland's possible application for NATO membership. They are ready and willing, but there's a rub - it needs unanimity of existing Nato members and the Finns fear rejection by Turkey. Turkey is of course not currently best pleased with the EU for putting its application there on ice. Also it has an ambiguous attitude towards Russia, not wishing to prod the bear.
    Sweden would probably not join Nato without Finland.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,154

    What has become apparent from all these speeches he gives to various parliaments is Zelenskyy is a canny political operator, where he uses well known stereotypes, triumphs and sore sorts in equal measure to both garner plaudits but also enough red meat to local audience to guilt trip them into doing more.
    I think he has to be a little careful to be honest. At present he has the support and sympathy of the west. He can get away with pointing out their weakness/failures. He’s fresh and the first leader in a war who has ever had to or had the opportunity to build and use social media as a weapon.

    There will be a time possibly soon where if Russia lowers their aims to taking the Donbas and that is the only area of Ukraine under threat and “at war” where some countries will start to think that it’s not the worst situation and start looking at their own economies and will want to reduce or end sanctions to suit.

    It’s a lot easier to seriously consider that if they’ve been slagged off and criticised compared to those countries who have been covered with love and praise and are emotionally tied.

    I hope countries would see the importance of keeping the pressure on Russia until major change there but as I said if you aren’t careful then the goodwill isn’t as strong for the long run.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    Dmitri A. Medvedev, the former Russian president and vice chairman of Russia’s Security Council, said the country was prepared to use nuclear weapons against the United States and Europe if its existence was threatened, the latest instance of nuclear saber-rattling as Russia faces fierce resistance in Ukraine.

    NY Times blog

    Actually, I don't think that was nuclear saber rattling. That is the whole basis of MAD, is that NW WILL, not might, be used if there is an existential threat.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    It's weird. The CofE's biggest defenders (including me) tend to be staunch conservatives, and I suspect that's true of most of its congregation too.

    But its clergy, and those in the Synod, are basically Corbynites and they probably secretly despise those who attend its services.
    Maybe one reason why their congregations are down to very low levels in most places.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    ydoethur said:

    I could tell many similar stories from my school.

    Which begs the fairly obvious question, what was the fricking point of all this LFT obsession?
    Because the LFT picks up the level of virus where the person is infectious.

    image

    Should someone be non-infectious, having them moving around and interacting is not an issue spread-wise. Picking them up when they are infectious (as per LFT positives) IS very useful.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    geoffw said:

    There was an interesting piece in today's Helsingin Sanomat, which I can no longer find, discussing Finland's possible application for NATO membership. They are ready and willing, but there's a rub - it needs unanimity of existing Nato members and the Finns fear rejection by Turkey. Turkey is of course not currently best pleased with the EU for putting its application there on ice. Also it has an ambiguous attitude towards Russia, not wishing to prod the bear.
    Sweden would probably not join Nato without Finland.

    Interesting point, applying to join and then being rejected would put anyplace in a vulnerable position, especially if you have a boarder with Russia.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    boulay said:

    I think he has to be a little careful to be honest. At present he has the support and sympathy of the west. He can get away with pointing out their weakness/failures. He’s fresh and the first leader in a war who has ever had to or had the opportunity to build and use social media as a weapon.

    There will be a time possibly soon where if Russia lowers their aims to taking the Donbas and that is the only area of Ukraine under threat and “at war” where some countries will start to think that it’s not the worst situation and start looking at their own economies and will want to reduce or end sanctions to suit.

    It’s a lot easier to seriously consider that if they’ve been slagged off and criticised compared to those countries who have been covered with love and praise and are emotionally tied.

    I hope countries would see the importance of keeping the pressure on Russia until major change there but as I said if you aren’t careful then the goodwill isn’t as strong for the long run.
    This is where Biden has to take over from Zelenskyy - in reframing this as a titanic and continuous struggle of liberal democracy vs authoritarianism. Biden has made a good start on this.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    IanB2 said:

    We’d have whoever stepped up after Cammo retired, tho
    Yeah probably - might well have still been Cameron. All sorts of politicians have foundered somewhat on the passage through the Brexit straits.

    Boris has some good qualities, and I'm not sure that anyone else would have managed to get us unstuck from the mire that we found ourselves in a couple of years ago. Nonetheless he has substantial bad points too, and worse still his leadership seems to have encouraged others in the Tory party to behave like children - JRM for example.

    I'm relieved that we didn't see a Corbyn government. I think we all know it would have been a bit of a disaster at best.


  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546
    TimT said:

    This is where Biden has to take over from Zelenskyy - in reframing this as a titanic and continuous struggle of liberal democracy vs authoritarianism. Biden has made a good start on this.
    I think this is right. Zelensky is thanking, begging, chiding, shaming, anything he can to get attention and support and he has to do that, but as things become a grind he can only encourage so much and it will be on external leaders to demonstrate if they actually give a damn or if they really just want a quiet life, whatever its cost.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    TimT said:

    Symptoms don't just come from the immune system's response - although many do. The virus also hijacks the cell's apparatus to produce a number of proteins, some of which do damage to the body, which damage also produces symptoms. If this were not the case, immune deficient people would have nothing to fear from the virus.
    True; it's oversimplified to some extent. Many of the symptoms are caused by the immune response (and these are usually the ones that people are feeling when they get symptoms significantly prior to LFT positives)

    And eventually those with delayed or missing immune response will feel something as the virus chomps away - the damage from the parts no longer working as they should and producing incorrect proteins will cause a noticeable effect, but this could be delayed (thus the silent damage that can get picked up by an oximeter - when the virus eats away at the cells in the lungs but without triggering enough of an immune response for symptoms from the immune response - lung action can fall dangerously low before the body realises enough)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited March 2022
    Pickford
    Stones
    Coady
    Guéhi
    Walker-Peters
    Henderson
    Gallagher
    Shaw
    Foden
    Mount
    Kane

    Seems a bit of a wasted opportunity to pick T-Rex arms in goal as usual and also not give Bellingham a start. We know exactly what Pickford and Henderson give you (and what their limitations are).
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