YouGov CON members’ poll adds to the pressure on Johnson – politicalbetting.com
YouGov CON members’ poll adds to the pressure on Johnson – politicalbetting.com
In looking at the above splits remember this was carried out amongst the group that you would expect to be most loyal to Johnson. If there is such division amongst CON members what do the wider pool of CON voters think?
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https://twitter.com/electpoliticsuk/status/1480232757959737349?s=20
There's a lot to be said for loyalty but in the end motivated self-interest plays a stronger card. If Conservative backbenchers think with Johnson leading they will lose their seats and with either Sunak or Truss they will keep them there's only one outcome.
The recent polling showed Sunak doing only slightly better than Johnson (all others worse). In 1990, removing Thatcher converted a 10% deficit to Labour to a tie so a 5% swing.
Tory members also get the final say now unlike 1990 and no guarantee they would pick Sunak, they could pick Truss or Patel instead
The other problem is the membership gets the choice provided by the MPs - in 2001, IDS got one more vote than Portillo in the second round and the latter was eliminated.
Would you have supported Portillo over Clarke in a hypothetical 2001 membership vote?
Do you think the MPs were wrong to oust IDS in the autumn of 2003? No consultation with the membership and no choice either as Howard was the only candidate - should someone else have contested to provide the members with a choice?
We've also had David Cameron and Theresa May, both incumbent Prime Ministers, walking away under pressure from the parliamentary party but did the membership wish either gone?
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XqoZNL0hHBUCLWxPloT6449hLK_695jkD7al65GMyLg/edit?usp=sharing
About 2 reported deaths/day at the moment.
In 2001 I voted for Clarke and would have done so over Portillo too. His problem was the Euro although he offered a free vote
https://yoursforscotlandcom.wordpress.com/2021/12/29/how-i-hoped/“
I thank you for something to read to help me understand better. 👍🏻
I’ll concede before reading it I expect Scottish Independence more complicated and nuanced than a couple of posts from Yorkie Girl could ever hope to help or even put my own concern about it very clearly. Especially if someone wants to say not all shared history of UK has been great, because we probably haven’t all been made aware of history the same, been taught UK history the same for me to agree, or disagree, only listen with open mind.
Certainly if you say you are hurting, although I can’t feel or know your pain, speaking for myself I have no reason to doubt what you are telling me. I think this is different to some replies you are getting, claiming you don’t have a problem because you’ve never had it so good from Barnett formula, which I suspect might miss the point if you see how to take back control to be in better place.
However. Certainly I don’t doubt too, after decades of globalisation the so called Brexit states of the US, the rust belt, are genuinely hurting, and they thought Dr Trump had the answer. It’s not that rust belt voters are stupid imo, it’s they were genuinely hurting, wanting change, and to be honest and fair to them, and Trump, just 4 years of such a change probably isn’t long enough to properly gauge if a new direction actually working or not.
So what is the change which helps? Because I can’t think it is Purely political. For control you do need to take back control of what you believe is your own wealth?
Do you already regard English Capital at work in Scotland as foreign? Because after Independence it should be seen as foreign.
Neither England or the USA are free of the agency of foreign capital and globalisation, so in a very nuanced picture there is one clear black and white answer - if this is the cause of your pain, for sure Independence does not relieve you of this type of pain - after Independence, power and controlling interest of English Capital will own land, housing, businesses and industry in Scotland. To a large degree. Perhaps even to a growing degree.
But he'll never do it. Unlike those supporters of his he's been Labour the whole time without any hint of wanting to be elsewhere, and his age means he can stand down and act little different to when he was a rebellious backbencher, and still be feted by the Left of the party.
...checks notes.
Penrith, Cumbria.
English Capital is bound to continue to own resources in Scotland, just as e.g. American Capital will continue to own resources in England, Scotland and elsewhere. I don’t think the ownership of the capital is as important as how it is managed. There are plenty of Scottish owned resources that are badly managed, whether land or ferries.
Another thing the article reminded me is that whereas in Geology, the past is the key to the future, in politics it doesn’t have to be.
Boris Johnson has been urged by an influential Conservative MP to end all Covid-19 restrictions in England by the end of this month, or face a massive revolt within his party and the prospect of a leadership challenge later this year.
Mark Harper, chair of the lockdown-sceptic Tory Covid Recovery Group, said Johnson should announce by January 26 — when most current rules expire — that he will end them and never bring them back.
https://www.ft.com/content/b076fc81-2320-4e08-ab18-73a19871be9d
It is also worth noting that this bunch of newbie Tory MPs has been a lot more rebellious than their newbie predecessors. I do not think that is a coincidence - they are a lot more self-made and less willing to doff their hats in deference and be told what they should do.
I also don't think Sunak aligning himself with Hunt (if that is true) is going to do Sunak much good. Many of these MPs come from constituencies where Hunt has, errmmm, not much appeal (typical, pro-Remain Tory that represents a Home Counties seat). Sunak is making the mistake of not thinking about the MP base.
Under any circumstances whatsoever?
He is clearly positioning himself for the pro-'choice' / anti-vaxx vote at home
wonder horse
Written on the fly, unsullied by commercial tie or financial obligation, by Jade (2022)
Alone in the stables, aside on your hay,
Your body mounting above mine,
The insatiate dance of your tail,
Your traveled, generous thigh.
Chestnut coat, washed first in rain,
Blessed by sun of late.
Finger through forest fern of mane
From astride your strong back,
And here there I have gone and come again.
Sharing ginger snaps, with my hand
I feel your neck and press my body close,
While you turn your head around me now,
I go in for the hug and you wrap your neck
around, neither of us want to stop.
Innocence yet wisdom of this close,
Two of us carefree.
I whisper, I wonder horse -
What becomes of you and me.
Which makes a better comparison, no?
The Blue Wall, on its own, does not have the numbers to force someone of their liking into the last two. (Plus, of course, some Blue Wall MPs, like TissuePrice of this site, are fearsomely independent.)
Entry to Serbia
All visitors to Serbia (with a limited number of exceptions set out below) must present one of the following documents on arrival. You will be refused entry if you do not provide one of these documents:
A negative PCR test result issued within 48 hours of arrival. Visitors travelling from the USA may also present an antigen FIA Rapid Test result. Tests cannot be taken on arrival;
Certificate of vaccination issued in Serbia, or a country with which Serbia has concluded an agreement on vaccine recognition (includes the UK – See Demonstrating your COVID-19 status);
Certificate of Covid-19 recovery, issued within 6 months of arrival, issued in Serbia or a country with which Serbia has concluded an agreement on such documents (does not include the UK).
Had Heseltine stood he might well have won, but he chose not to.
So it seems a reasonable request.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cHYbphiulKc&feature=youtu.be
A cursory inspection shows it to be a QAnon post generated by 'DemoQracy Fighters' (note the Capitalised Q is as they describe themselves). Amongst their videos are videos on Pizzagate, several on Pedogate (with Tom Hanks given over to a whole video) Alien Invasion (the take over of Govt by aliens), David Icke the freedom fighter, Plandemic, New World Order, Covid 19 is a Global Scam. The list goes on. It was not rocket science to identify the source; it's there with the video. @Moonshine should be called out for posting this stuff.
I appreciate it is not my place but my view is that anyone posting and promoting QAon videos should be banned.
As I haven't yet clicked the button to buy new interlinked alarms to replace the existing interlinked alarms I was curious about the whole fiasco.
Various MSPs and councillors demanding a further delay as so many people don't know about it or don't have the cash or think they are already compliant.
http://www.open.ac.uk/blogs/per/?p=1793
I'm pretty anti-lockdown.
But I'd see a case for restrictions in the face of, say, an outbreak of the bubonic plague.
That said, anything short of 'never' is going to embolden the lockdowners.
£220. Piss off.
If their was a Socialist Party led by Corbyn I would donate money to it and vote for it but dont think its going to happen
2) Because of Conservative Party members.
Cos that frightens me more than wearing a mask in Tesco.
Suggest you shop around or ask for recommendations.
So now supposedly they want a 2nd set. Including one on the ceiling of my living room right next to the one on the ceiling of my hallway. Which will go off interlinked even if there is a power cut just like the ones I already have.
Point here is that a lot a lot of people appear not to have installed new alarms and there have been shortages of supply. I get fire safety but most of us don't live in Grenfell. How the insurance industry copes with mass non-compliance will be interesting - especially as the legislation makes 1st February not an absolute deadline...
A lot of people don't though. And buying compliant smoke alarms when they already have smoke alarms and are skint is not their priority.
Good night.
(Autocomplete suggested "convenience" after "public". That would also be an option.)
Could it possibly be duller?
Will their insurance company refuse to pay out because their functional alarms which worked as intended were not the specific type required by Scotland's new law?
Most insurance policies have a clause about complying with legislation. But that's always so far been about things like building codes (which Grenfell did!). So it's a letter vs spirit of the law question...
Perhaps, as @darkage suggests, we should have got the draw carried out by those last bastions of hope and freedom against the encroaching darkness, Conservative backbench MPs.
We can but hope these doughty fighters for freedom and civilisation will ensure it's a decent day tomorrow and my milk is nice and cold - to be fair, they wouldn't allow me to protest about it in case I was too "noisy" or they'll take my citizenship away if I as much as mutter the slightest discontent against their munificent rule.
Admiral. Legends.
(Also that it was in mint condition. Hard to tell after the crash).
So it's back down to how much of a row the insurance industry wants to have up here. Invalidating one person's policy because they had functional smoke alarms that did their job is one thing. If they try and do that to a lot of people, it may be the insurers in trouble.
Edit: I have no idea why that post above displays with a line break after 'always' (at least it does on my browser).
2nd edit: Damn! Now I've added the edit the line break has gone - PB is messing with my mind!
To be honest I would have thought making them all mains wired rather than battery would save more lives, but that is a bigger change.
This is the mess we have with this new law. Even the deadline isn't a deadline. Law says homeowners have a "reasonable period" afterwards to be compliant.
So, 3rd April. Fire. Everyone out as the alarms go off. You're the insurance company. How do you handle it?
Of course the Scottish government say everyone must know about the new rules as advertised in a locked filing cabinet in the basement with a sign that says beware of the leopard
Even with a big garden, air source is probably the better option.