This polling trend doesn’t look good for ministers – politicalbetting.com

Ex-PBer and now Ipsos-MORI polling director, Keiran Pedley, made this comment:
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Ex-PBer and now Ipsos-MORI polling director, Keiran Pedley, made this comment:
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and first.
(and second, like 'right direction')
Week ending: COVID deaths, non-COVID deaths in excess of the five-year average
08-Jan-21: 6,057, -481
15-Jan-21: 7,245, -3,025
22-Jan-21: 8,422, -2,962
29-Jan-21: 8,433, -2,745
05-Feb-21: 7,320, -2,334
12-Feb-21: 5,691, -2,262
19-Feb-21: 4,079, -1,897
26-Feb-21: 2,914, -1,848
05-Mar-21: 2,105, -1,696
12-Mar-21: 1,501, -2,012
19-Mar-21: 963, -1,857
26-Mar-21: 719, -1,247
02-Apr-21: 400, -2,329
09-Apr-21: 379, -1,586
16-Apr-21: 362, -444
23-Apr-21: 260, -816
30-Apr-21: 205, -971
07-May-21: 129, -2,084
14-May-21: 151, 437
21-May-21: 107, -435
28-May-21: 95, -407
04-Jun-21: 98, -491
11-Jun-21: 84, 143
18-Jun-21: 102, -60
25-Jun-21: 99, -813
02-Jul-21: 109, -594
09-Jul-21: 183, 386
16-Jul-21: 218, 229
23-Jul-21: 327, 324
30-Jul-21: 404, 679
06-Aug-21: 527, 624
13-Aug-21: 571, 699
20-Aug-21: 570, 358
27-Aug-21: 668, 443
03-Sep-21: 659, -103
10-Sep-21: 857, 996
17-Sep-21: 851, 852
24-Sep-21: 888, 532
01-Oct-21: 783, 350
08-Oct-21: 666, 586
Unpicking this is tricky as there are deaths brought forward by COVID and there are deaths put back by lockdown. But it seems clear to me that unless we do impose significant restrictions, we're going to be catching up on the c.30,000 deaths avoided at the start of the year.
And the potential need isn't for the unvaxxed. Personally, I'd say sod them. The problem is that their insistence on relying on natural immunity invariably expires the moment they get seriously ill and they go to unnatural hospitals and take up unnatural beds and require the attention of doctors and nurses giving them unnatural drugs (sometimes experimental) and unnatural ICU support.
Which screws things up for literally everyone else.
A&E unavailability, ambulances stacked outside the hospital unable to unload patients, longer and longer waits for everything - the potential for much of the NHS being unavailable to everyone else is the risk.
If the unvaxxed would have the courage of their convictions and quietly expire at home, we'd be fine.
I guess he's not so bad, but he is worse than Hancock.
Labour would of course be far, far worse.
LD's, Greens - they just don't have the people. The only good LD MP is Weira Hobhouse.
With all their might they will resist implementing anything like we saw in the past, BUT I hope they do have plans in place and are ready to implement them if they simply have to. IF they don't we could be in real trouble again this winter.
https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/non-economic-data/happiest-countries-europe
The only large European country ahead of the UK is Germany.
Two million people eligible for booster jabs have not yet been invited to make appointments as GPs insist that the government needs to do more to get vaccines to the vulnerable.
NHS England says that vaccination is speeding up, with 199,008 jabs yesterday, taking the total number of boosters administered in England to more than four million.
But many older people are complaining that they are not being invited and are unable to book in for appointments despite being eligible because their second dose was more than six months ago.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/coronavirus-two-million-vulnerable-people-have-not-been-offered-covid-booster-jab-mrwgh20w9
So if the Tories can win over that 6% and the don't knows it could even increase its poll lead
Newcastle United have asked supporters to stop wearing tea towels and other home-made headdresses to matches as a way of celebrating the club’s takeover by the Saudi Arabian-funded consortium.
Hundreds of fans attended St James’ Park for Sunday’s defeat by Tottenham Hotspur dressed in fake Arabic-style clothing in what was the first match since the club were bought for £305 million by the Saudi Public Investment Fund.
The anti-racism group Kick It Out had planned talks with Newcastle after the decision of many fans to wear tea towels to mimmick the traditional keffiyeh headdress. The club has responded by urging supporters to refrain from dressing in “culturally inappropriate” clothes so not to cause offence.
“Newcastle United is kindly asking supporters to refrain from wearing traditional Arabic clothing or Middle East-inspired head coverings at matches if they would not ordinarily wear such attire,” the statement read.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/newcastle-united-tell-fans-to-stop-wearing-culturally-inappropriate-head-coverings-as-saudi-tribute-qvgqd95mh
If not been contacted for a booster within a week of being eligible
Go online https://nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/book-coronavirus-vaccination/book-or-manage-a-booster-dose-of-the-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine/ or call 119 and book in.
Spread it around.
https://twitter.com/ThatRyanChap/status/1450863057329131530?s=20
The point I was making to the person in question is that illiberal measures always sound good. Until one of your "in" groups gets hit by them.
A year from now, 10, they'll swing back to the belief that they can make people...better. And I do not hold to that.
Rishi Sunak is understood to be planning an extension of a coronavirus loan guarantee scheme to help protect businesses next year amid signs that Britain’s economic recovery has lost momentum.
The chancellor is expected to use his budget speech next week to announce a six-month extension of the government’s recovery loan scheme that had been due to end on December 31. The planned delay to the end of the scheme was first reported by Bloomberg.
The scheme was launched in April as a bridge between the more generous coronavirus loan schemes and more normal credit conditions.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/rishi-sunak-to-extend-covid-recovery-loan-scheme-gf76nzpsg
The point is that floating voters feel they can risk Labour (and that the country deserves a splurge) when everything is looking pretty good.
Whereas if we're in a crisis then they feel they can't take a chance.
Health is devolved.
As countries around the world reopen borders and loosen coronavirus restrictions, Beijing is doubling down on its zero-Covid strategy. The latest example: a $260 million, 5,000-room quarantine facility for incoming travelers set to open in the southern metropolis of Guangzhou in the coming days.
Comprised of rows of three-story buildings topped with gray roofs in traditional Chinese style, the massive complex spans an area the size of 46 football fields and took less than three months to be built from scratch on the outskirts of the city.
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/29/china/guangzhou-covid-quarantine-center-mic-intl-hnk/index.html
Covid is not over. Cases/hospitalisations on the rise. Plan B not yet, but depends on public behaviour/people 'doing their bit'.
Get your jabs "not just to save lives, but to keep your freedoms too"
https://twitter.com/BethRigby/status/1450865583252283392?s=20
In my limited experience, living in the Midal East for 7 months, some of my fronds took to wearing the big wight garment, that many Arabs where (sorry cant remember the name) mostly because of the heat, and nobody seemed offended.
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/H-aibUV-Ltg/maxresdefault.jpg
Have they come up with a list of people who were offended?
Though they may have been "wiring the bag whote gorment"
At the actual wedding, all the young men in the family got rather Mafia style suits made by a local tailor. On the day of the wedding - made then and there. Given that quite a few of them were actually in the secret police, we found this strangely.... appropriate.
Sometimes you have to laugh particularly with the sleazy, incompetent Government that we have all to endure.
Just over 20% not taking it up
You don't know how lucky you are to have him.
Covid vaccination rollout: How is Wales leading the UK and the world?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-57270903
Then on the flip side there are people like me who a. would answer that yes, I think things in Great Britain are moving in the right direction, and b. would not vote for that rabble who call themselves a government if you paid me.
How can there be any follow up when the original invitation hasn't been sent, in any form?
I liked his idea of making everyone eligible for a third dose and making three doses of vaccine a complete course.
I mean I had my booster jab three weeks ago but I know people who are eligible for their jabs like now, they go online (or I on their behalf) and get told they aren't eligible then call 119 who are way too busy.
But you keep on defending this screw up.
2010, 1997, 1979, 1970, 1964, 1950, and 1945.
Edit - Honourable mention to the Lib Dems who lost 49 seats at the 2015 GE.
JCVI were wrong on their delayed advice and I do not come at this from an anti HMG stance
The government has taken their eye off the ball.
There was only upsides and no downsides for the government in ensuring a successful booster jab rollout.
The only good LibDem MP is Alistair Carmichael, if only because he winds @malcolmg up rotten.
We were told at the time of the booster jab it would show in the NHS App within a week.
I don't think it's an issue to acknowledge that this needs to be fixed ASAP so everyone can get their opportunity to be safe for the winter.
The problem for many of is that the other parties are worse
Presumably these are going to people who have had the first 2 doses so should not the normal anti-vax people?
Finland, Denmark, Switzerland, Iceland, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Luxembourg, Austria, Germany and Ireland...
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/maggie-throup-new-vaccine-minister-1204015
Perhaps there should be a private option for healthy non-eligible under 50s as there is for flu now.
https://twitter.com/MattCartoonist/status/1449406515027263490
I've also left the party, a couple of months ago, but for the moment at least all the other party's appear even worse.
Starmer is like this ultra sensible, boring adult; who wants to appeal to an imagined cohort of sensible adult voters, overlooking the fact that the same people recently elected a clown as prime minister, plunging the country in to chaos, and all the polls show that they want more of the same.