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The money goes on Trump mounting a WH2024 challenge – politicalbetting.com
The money goes on Trump mounting a WH2024 challenge – politicalbetting.com
The odds on whether Trump will run in 2024 have now settled down as can be seen punters rate his chances at more than 71%. This is a good bet because of the way the market is defined:
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Even if he's not going to run, a Statement would allow him to fundraise and milk his followers for every penny he can get off them.
What’s the relevant fundraising law - is it that you can’t raise any money until you register, or that you only have to start declaring it after you do? The former will lead to him declaring earlier, and the latter to him declaring later.
More and more conditions can be treated. The patient takes x pills a week. They can then live their life without much apparent difficulty (in many cases).
A couple of relatives have such conditions. Their health requires monitoring because of the powerful medications. So, every couple of months, they get blood tests etc. Then go to the GP, who smiles, and says that this iso put of her knowledge and sends them on to their usual consultant.
The appointment with the GP adds nothing.
What they really need is a permanent booking in the diary of the consultant in question, once every x months.
EDIT: A&E is often used as a substitute for seeing a GP, since GPs don't generally work weekends, or out of working hours. In experiments where they triaged the A&E queues to see (in effect) GPs in the hospital, much of the A&E queue moved that way.
All 3 of Rhodri Morgan, Carwyn Jones & Mark Drakeford were/are fluent Welsh speakers.
I think Drakeford said he considered joining Plaid Cymru as a young man, before settling on Llafur. So, Drakeford is popular with many Plaid Cymru voters.
I suspect Drakeford prefers Wales to be in the UK -- but not in a UK run by Johnson or with endless Tory Govts in Westminster.
Drakeford has surprised me (and others) on the upside. He looks like a bumbling, incompetent academic, but he has a set of skills and attributes that has proved electorally successful in Wales.
In fact, I prefer Drakeford to any of his likely successors -- he is standing down as leader of Llafur before the next Senedd elections.
Be interesting to see what happens next to Llafur. Incompetent, half-assed leadership is certainly one of the things that killed SLAB, and that Llafur have so far avoided.
I wasn't convinced by any of them.
Unless he is actually dead he will run.
Got into an accident and couldn't come to school..
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2021/oct/17/small-firms-fury-as-amazon-offers-3000-sign-up-bonus-to-attract-christmas-staff
(Of course diversity is also a huge strength, as a quick glance at any list of Silicon Valley CEO names will show).
If we didn't endlessly talk about what race, sex, sexuality and gender everyone was - categorising and judging them accordingly - we might find out we had rather a lot in common.
Fun watching the contortions whenever the superior educational, occupational, and IQ levels of Koreans is pointed out, though.
If racism exists it should be called out and opposed, so gestures like kneeling against intolerance are a good thing.
But to be racist yourself in reply is a very bad thing. You don't fix racism, by being racist yourself.
It appears there’s lots of opportunities for the enterprising young to earn some serious cash this winter, with pretty much unlimited hours available to people willing to work. I recall once putting in the December timesheet with more than 300 hours on it, in a hospitality job. Hourly paid, of course. That covered a lot of beer the costs of living for the next semester.
4d a day in Summer, 5d a day in Winter.
Investing in courts so cases are seen and dealt with quickly, investing in tribunals so that decisions are made and appealed quickly seem (to me) to be sensible places to spend money. Instead the home office seems to spend money on anything but the one central thing that would remove delays and made things run quickly.
a) Chernenko was dead for his entire premiership.
b) He was one of the better leaders in Soviet times.
I don't think from his personal grifting POV it makes much difference when he declares. Though of course there are (some weakish) limitations on what he can do with cash raised before he declares.
Not enough black people in the workforce or as CEOs? Then positive discrimination would redress that balance at the expense of, what? "The best candidate for the job"? Perhaps. But as with, ahem, Brexit, a transition period would mean that there are costs which are justified for the longer term overall benefit.
And I of course put "best candidate for the job" in quotation marks because it is far from clear that the best candidate for the job wouldn't be picked.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/oct/18/psychosis-cases-soar-in-england-as-pandemic-hits-mental-health
Partner receiving one new client enquiry per day. She is chock full. So is everyone she knows, so nowhere to refer to. NHS mental health waiting lists getting longer by the day. We have no idea what is happening to any of these folk.
As a result of the degrees-for-all approach, there are alot of people looking a a career in some seriously low end "white collar" jobs.
According to an Australian friend, once inside Amazon, there are (at least in some parts of the world) considerable opportunities to get up the rungs.
I think that even if he doesn't want it, he'll say that he does just to mess with the heads of any other GOP wannabes.
“Klarna to offer “pay now” option”
So… they’ve reinvented the wheel and become a pointless middle man, ie, an expensive payment processor.
These people are just parasites inflating the cost of stuff. Regulate them into oblivion, I recon.
Problem is, MP’s like @Tissue_Price know on which side their bread is buttered. I don’t expect any meaningful action from govt.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10101947/Amazon-3k-sign-bonus-sparks-Christmas-shopping-fear-high-street-staff-lured-retail-giant.html
Whatever 'spin' there is comes from the other retailers.
down the path and alongside the lake...
Nope sorry - can't remember. What are those?
So instead of trying to come to an accurate decision quickly the Home Office find any pretext to reject claims, or to stop financial support (so that claimants have to scramble to get financial support restarted instead of working through their asylum application), forcing applicants to go through multiple appeals before having refugee status granted.
This is in the hope of forcing people to give up and go away, whether into the illegal economy, or out of the country, makes no difference.
Delay is the policy.
If the fifty states were each choosing their own President without reference to or in a union with each other I think it'd be much healthier.
I think one of the issues we have at the moment is the perception that GP's are hard to see, or get to. Many surgeries that wont be an issue. My parents surgery, based in a village, is easy to get same day appointments. My surgery, a medium sized town, getting a physical GP appointment has been hard for many years, with typical offerings of 5 weeks in the future. However they have worked hard on other provision, and the e-consult has worked really well for us.
People don't really like change, and I don't think GP surgeries have always explained things to their patients that well. As an example I was contact by text in mid August to arrange my flu jab. I was on holiday and missed the allocated 7 days. I assumed I would ne contacted again. Up to last week, nothing, so I rang the surgery, only for the receptionist to be faintly rude, and say there is no news as they have no flu vaccine. Why not put that on the web-page then?
Patients also do not like receptionists conducting triage for patients. I think at least a nurse would be better than a nosy. middle-aged gossip who you might bump into in Waitrose. (Last bit was a JOKE, but only just...)
If Biden's approval rating remains under 50% he would then have a reasonable chance of winning the EC again and being the first President since Grover Cleveland to lose his re election bid and then win the Presidency back in 4 years.
If the Democrats hold Congress though next year I doubt Trump will run again. If the GOP win back the House but the Democrats hold the Senate he might run again but he would not be able to object to the EC results in 2024 if he has lost as the Republicans would need control of both chambers for that
Most domestic policy in the US for example is decided by the state governor and state legislature, the President is mainly responsible for foreign policy and national security and a few Federal programmes and Federal taxes along with the US Congress.
In effect every US state is already as independent from Washington DC as Scotland is from Westminster
I don't think an artificial, unjustified "balance" helps anyone. Hiring someone as your "token" minority individual doesn't really do either them, their "community" or your team any favours. Nor does it deal with any impediments of racism that made such an imbalance happen - and it creates a backlash that potentially makes such impediments worse not better.
Lets say you have an impediment stopping black people working in your team and want to address that. If you find out what impediments were stopping you from getting the good black applicants through then great, job done. But if you're not doing that then unless you suddenly have a way to eg find the best black person (in which case why aren't you hiring them in the first place?) if you're just hiring to meet "quota" requirements then you're going to overlook the best black person and potentially hire a dud because you overlooked the star that you were supposed to hire because you were too busy worrying about quotas rather than looking at the individuals involved.
That "positive discrimination" doesn't help the star that you should have hired but still hasn't been, and it doesn't help your team.
Nationalism in Wales is just confined to mainly a few Welsh speaking areas on the West coast and in the NorthWest and Anglesey and parts of the Rhondda.
Hence Labour can easily ignore Plaid
Right now we have a situation where "best candidate for the job" usually equals "person most similar to the person or people doing the appointing." Whether conscious or not.
Race is only one factor amongst many, but a significant one.
No wonder people just go to A&E....
However, I'm less in favour of global domination by Amazon. I know I'm swimming against the tide, but there's little doubt that the growth of Amazon (and a few others) has a negative impact on small retailers, and on our high streets. We may live to regret the demise of town centre shops, and the concomitant impact on communities, in the future.
I've had a couple in the last week - an annual (Type 1) Diabetes checkup with the specialist nurse at the hospital, and a 6-monthly post-leukemia phone call from the haematology nurse with a set of blood tests done first via the drop-in clinic. I have another one at the GP tomorrow, also for Diabetes, with the practice nurse.
That suggests there is a possible confused boundary between hospital supervision and GP supervision, but it was ever thus as clinical need changes.
Also an eye test this morning, where at Specsavers they have separated diabetic screenings (ie have you any eye complications) from eye tests, which is something I have never seen before. To do with the 2 workstreams getting out of sync and people having to wait too long on the premises. Mask discipline strong on the premises (asked at the door if there is a reason why I could not put a mask on).
There's a big backlog of diabetic eye screenings.
More generally town very quiet.
How many FTSE CEOs are black for example? No idea but I'm guessing not as many as the proportion of black people in the population. So to have a policy of appointing more black CEOs would create a society in which there is less discrimination against black people becoming CEOs and then sooner or later it would become the norm and the habit of discrimination would be reduced if not eliminated.
Leafy middle class village like mine. Same day, no problem.
Red Wall ex-mining, elderly population with chronic ill-health like my Mother? Weeks and weeks.
We need something like the London Challenge for schools. It would be genuine levelling up.
I am inclined to ask which has killed more, 5 years of terrorism, or Extinction Rebellion and associates stopping all those patients getting to hospital.
The older the Welsh population the more Tory it will become
The problem to me seems to be with those GPs who, for whatever reason, simply don't want to do face to face at all anymore. If that is their attitude then they should find another job.
https://news.sky.com/story/the-number-of-doctors-is-falling-and-appointments-are-going-up-but-thats-only-part-of-the-problem-12431982
Getting an appointment is being made somewhat worse by this.
The reality is we don't have enough GPs and those that are qualified to do it don't need the money anymore.,
Anthony Zurcher for the BBC asks if Trump's allure is starting to fade with the Republicans: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-58904507
What you MUST remember here is that this is one of the three most glittering prizes in world politics. Power is the reason that politicians draw breath. Trump might appear like a shoo-in right now but when the pincer movement by other candidates begins they will really start laying into him. They have a huge amount of ammo with which to do so. Their aim will be simple: defenestrate Trump and then its an open dog-fight amongst themselves.
No opposition has ever coasted a candidate, especially one who lost last time (whatever he thinks). Only an incumbent President gets the right to coast a nomination.
So it's not all bad out there.
If you tamper with the outcomes instead of the real problems then there's still the discrimination against black people becoming CEOs, even if you've got token black CEOs. The talented black people that should have risen to the top to become CEO are still facing discrimination preventing them from doing so even if other black people are lifted up as a token. Indeed if companies feel they've already made their token hires then that could make the discrimination they face even worse.
If you positively discriminate instead of choosing by talent, then how do you know you're discriminating in favour of the right person? Two wrongs don't make a right.
Only by eliminating the discrimination in the first place will you allow the talented black person who should become CEO to do so, and if you do that there's no reason for positive discrimination.
@andrew_lilico
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1h
One way to think about this. Cases in non-kids are currently ~1/2 their level in July & have hardly changed since. Cases in kids are about to crash. So for total cases to rise, cases in non-kids wld need to nearly double, despite having bn stable up to now. Why wld they do that?
Like idiots the GOP acquiesced to many of Trump's demands when he was candidate and President which means Trump effectively controls the flow of funds from small donors to candidates.
By embracing the Trumpian base into the party, like they did with the Tea Party before them, the Establishment GOP have a terrifying problem where non can admit that Biden won the election nor disavow insane Q-Anon conspiracy thoeries.
It is Trump's party.
Indeed adversarial FPTP politics will tend towards 48/52 style splits excluding don't knows as each side attempts to get just over half. But in a single entity instead of across them the split will be on the issues that matter to them rather than on issues that are priorities for elsewhere.
https://www.bmj.com/content/375/bmj.n2497
"Fatalism is the awkward conclusion of the joint inquiry by the House of Commons Health and Social Care Committee and the Science and Technology Committee into the UK’s pandemic response (doi:10.1136/bmj.n2487; doi:10.1136/bmj.n2485; https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/10/12/chris-ham-dithering-and-delays-hampered-the-uks-covid-19-response).789 The verdict is damning, but the wording is a weasel explanation for the UK’s calamitous pandemic failures. Negligence, incompetence, and dereliction of duty are closer to the mark. Indeed, the report skips over the government’s misuse of billions of pounds of public funds to enrich associates."
If you miss the call, even by a second there is absolutely no way to get in contact with the doctor who just called you unless they decide to call you back. It's infuriating when you miss the call.
The word 'endorse' is from the Old French endosser - to put on the back - which is the prefix en- with the Latin dossum or dorsum for 'back', from which we also get the adjective 'dorsal'
Care should perhaps be taking when offering or accepting endorsement, given an 18th Century meaning of 'endorse' or 'indorse' as it was alternatively spelt.
According to A Classical Dictionary of the Vulgar Tongue, (by Grose), London, 1785, an indorser was "a sodomite"
And researching today's topic, I came across an interesting use of the word in this sense from A trip through London: containing observations on men and things, 1728, and this passage where the author meets a man who wants to share his affection with other men, and a (brothel owning/running) "Gentlewoman", who blames "these endorsing sons of bitches" for her reduced trade
An elderly Gentlewoman who sat on my right Hand, in a short Silk Cloak, with a Number of Patches on a wrinkled Face, hearing this, fell upon the Man in a most unmerciful Manner, saying, It was along with such Villains as he, that she was so reduc'd in the World; that Time had been when she could boast of as fine a Covey of sound, plump, and juicy Sluts in her House, as any Gentlewoman in London, and had kept Eigteen of as good Feather Beds going, as a Brace of Fornicators need desire to regale their Limbs upon; but that now, what with China Shops, Hackney Coaches, Taverns, and these endorsing Sons of Bitcheś together, it was as much as she could do, to make both Ends meet; and solemnly declar'd that she did not foul more than à dozen Pair of Sheets in a whole Week. This she express'd with Tears in her Eyes, and farther said, she had in her Custody at that Instant a pretty black Ey'd Filley, of about Fifteen, who could carry the Weight of a Lord, and had never yet been Back'd, but that the Business had been so spoil'd of late by these Practices, she doubted whether she should be able to make the Money that she had cost in fetching from Lancashire
https://www.google.co.uk/books/edition/A_trip_through_London_containing_observa/folhAAAAcAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1
http://news.sky.com/story/ford-backs-uk-plant-with-163230m-investment-to-support-electric-car-future-12437092
I think that where local retail can prosper is where it is genuinely providing something local and distinctive, and so it takes advantage of the trend to buy directly from producers.
Retailers who are simply selling stuff from a range of suppliers, and not providing any additional value, will all get squashed by Amazon, or another high-volume internet retailer.
I think this split is probably good. I can buy generic commodities in the most efficient way, and I can make sure the producer receives maximum value for other purchases.
It's imperative that the booster programme needs ramping up.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/cricket/58260913