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At 20% both Trump and Biden are value in the WH2024 betting – politicalbetting.com

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  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,962
    edited October 2021
    Dura_Ace said:

    Johnson's best chance at hanging on to his majority is to turn the next election into Brexit purity test. The shitmunchers still love banging on about WW2 so he has to position Brexit in similar state of cultural fixity.
    And in Starmer, Labour has put forward the perfect candidate for PM to allow him to run that line.

    Burnham? Not so much.....
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,058
    kjh said:

    Normally when one wins the losers are unhappy and the winners happy, but leavers seem more animated than remainers currently. It's as if they lost.

    Smarter Brexiteers know that their prize was a neverending shitshow.

    No wonder they are upset
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    If 'Real Housewives of New York City' is representative, it is full of middle aged wealthy women who are gagging for it. (When not having arguments with each other.)
    Replace “women” with “men”, and that’s just PB on an average evening.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,992

    Johnson has nothing to gain by Brexit becoming an issue and everything to lose.

    His Brexit majority is built on the fact he was best placed to "Get Brexit done".

    The less done it looks, the more shaky that majority looks.


    https://twitter.com/chriscurtis94/status/1448230833622589440?s=20

    I'm not sure I agree. Claiming it is 'done' but that others (The EU, Labour etc) are trying to undo it or undermine it strikes me as politically useful (ie He got it done, now he's needed to keep it done). It's not as though the EU would mind that either.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,992
    edited October 2021

    Replace “women” with “men”, and that’s just PB on an average evening.
    We're not all wealthy :)
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,568

    Visited Cragside, near Alnwick, recently. There's a statue of an African woman in chains on the main staircase with what I thought was a rather desperate notice explaining why it was there and how it was meant to represent liberation from slavery.
    Just realised that the title of the statue is 'A Daughter of Eve' - a very pointed reference to our common humanity. Indeed, a lot of slavers loved the alternative hypothesis that Blacks were a separately created species and therefore sans human rights etc. The fact that Armstrong bought it for Cragside (vide my earlier posting) suggests his views on the matter - ergo a valid aspect of Cragside. If that isn't cvoming over in the label, them someone hasn't done a good job surtely.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    I thought the example Charles was giving was contemporary, of a living person.
    He died in 1969.

    FWIW, our policy as a business is we don’t talk about clients from later than the end of the 19th century. Before 1900 counts as history.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,242

    One of the things I am interested in (vaguely) is that the modern assumption is that one’s sexuality is utterly essential to one’s identity.

    I don’t think that’s always been the case.

    Attitudes towards sexuality vary enormously across time and place. If you were talk to Alexander the Great about homosexuals he'd just blink at you.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Sandpit said:

    Oh I’m sure ministers would like to make that argument, and it’s not the PM’s fault that he has to travel everywhere with half a dozen policemen - but he knew what he signed up for, and has the rest of his life to take expensive holidays.

    The PM’s generic personal cost of living is minimal, they have no day-to-day accommodation nor transport costs to pay out of a £150k salary.
    IIRC they pay for accommodation in Downing Street as a BiK
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,802
    Carnyx said:

    There are those C19 trials where the Times reporter usually shuts up with "The evidence was too disgusting to publish". As they were often a conflict between gent and proletarian it was never easy to be sure whether the prole was telling the truth or blackmailing an easy target.So gent often got let off - but the aura would remain.

    PS But yes, the point re the young today is a good one.
    The comparison with the earlier discussion about left handers coping in a right handed world is perhaps instructive.
  • kjh said:

    I disagree with that. I think it helps him if he can get the message over that the evil EU is still messing with us.

    Normally when one wins the losers are unhappy and the winners happy, but leavers seem more animated than remainers currently. It's as if they lost.
    Brexit was significantly driven by Grumpy Old Man syndrome, being perpetually angry about x, y and z, and things not being as good as they used to be. None of those things are changing, or ever will, so many Brexiteers will always be moaning about something or other, or just modernity.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,290
    Charles said:

    IIRC they pay for accommodation in Downing Street as a BiK
    Paying tax on a benefit in kind is not paying for it.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    Brexit was significantly driven by Grumpy Old Man syndrome, being perpetually angry about x, y and z, and things not being as good as they used to be. None of those things are changing, or ever will, so many Brexiteers will always be moaning about something or other, or just modernity.
    Brexit is a nasty bout of dyspepsia, fashioned into an economic and geopolitical policy.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Selebian said:

    Having Googled that, it seems a bit crass and insensitive of the NT - you would have thought they would have consulted with near family (I accept godchildren are debatable for that definition) for someone who died recently enough to have living family/friends who might object to his story being told in this way.

    (I withdraw that comment if there were nearer family who were in favour of the NT's actions and who were consulted)
    The family weren’t consulted. They would have said “no” because they don’t like the limelight

    (And @Theuniondivvie PB doesn’t count as “limelight”!)
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    New thread
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,658
    Surprised to learn that the rail industry thinks it can easily cut £2bn per year in costs without rail users really noticing. If that's the case then why have they waited this long?! It surely can't be that rail franchise operators were getting rich from state subsidies having bought themselves a monopoly position for a few years at a time. No way at all.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,504

    New thread

    Well, there was. It seems to have gone away again!
  • kjh said:

    I disagree with that. I think it helps him if he can get the message over that the evil EU is still messing with us.

    Normally when one wins the losers are unhappy and the winners happy, but leavers seem more animated than remainers currently. It's as if they lost.
    Are you sure about that?

    I only knew that Frost had spoken yesterday because there was suddenly a whole swathe of FBPE-inspired Tweets getting posted here by people moaning (and people quoting people who were moaning) about what was said.

    Right now the Unionists are unhappy with the settlement and the UK government has the tactical advantage and holds all the cards so it makes sense to push hard for a victory in the dispute. That's just logic not animation. All the animation seem to be people horrified at the UK doing what is in the UK's best interests.
  • Brexit is a nasty bout of dyspepsia, fashioned into an economic and geopolitical policy.
    The fact is that those who support the EU failed to win the argument and have ever since acted like grumpy old men and continue their angst and have so far been unable to beat Boris so resort to name calling as everything else seems to have no effect on his popularity

  • eekeek Posts: 29,391
    MaxPB said:

    Surprised to learn that the rail industry thinks it can easily cut £2bn per year in costs without rail users really noticing. If that's the case then why have they waited this long?! It surely can't be that rail franchise operators were getting rich from state subsidies having bought themselves a monopoly position for a few years at a time. No way at all.

    It seems it's been told to find £2bn of savings which I can't see myself. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/10/13/rail-bosses-slash-thousands-jobs-scramble-implement-2bn-cuts/

    £700m from staff cuts which means closing booking offices as near enough everything else is at minimal levels anyway...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited October 2021

    The fact is that those who support the EU failed to win the argument and have ever since acted like grumpy old men and continue their angst and have so far been unable to beat Boris so resort to name calling as everything else seems to have no effect on his popularity

    We had years of Remainers saying that Britain would face economic chaos of mass unemployment and that Europe would bind us to their sphere of influence as they were so big and we were so small.

    Now we have full unemployment and the UK is carving its own path and the same people are complaining about the full employment and the "disruption" to "alliances" with Europe.

    They might be less grumpy if they could just admit they were wrong.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,046

    As I get ready for NY, I am aware I will be entering the true citadel of wokerati.

    My friends are telling me I’m going to have to straighten up my act in a world of “affinity groups” etc.

    Should be fun.

    Good luck. I expect it'll make our disagreements look like a picnic.
  • eek said:

    It seems it's been told to find £2bn of savings which I can't see myself. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/10/13/rail-bosses-slash-thousands-jobs-scramble-implement-2bn-cuts/

    £700m from staff cuts which means closing booking offices as near enough everything else is at minimal levels anyway...
    A serious plan to transition eg the Tube and rail like that to being fully automated and driverless might help.

    Unions would hate it, but does the rail network exist to serve customers or unions?
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    We had years of Remainers saying that Britain would face economic chaos of mass unemployment and that Europe would bind us to their sphere of influence as they were so big and we were so small.

    Now we have full unemployment and the UK is carving its own path and the same people are complaining about the full unemployment and the "disruption" to "alliances" with Europe.

    They might be less grumpy if they could just admit they were wrong.
    Edit needed? Full unemployment?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,999
    Pro_Rata said:

    I think we are looking at some interventions now, though in the near term I'm hopeful the good weather last week will mean a small pause in the current increases.

    - I'd call a two week half term school holiday now: all schools to close England wide from 25/10-7/11. The reset in under 16 case rates should be rapid enough that this makes a big difference in the run up to Christmas. It is very late in the day to make this decision, I'd been advocating for this since August as a planned precautionary measure, but it looks needed.

    On the practicalities. schools would be open for already fixed vaccination dates and out of school and nurseries could operate as normal.

    - Bring back in the WFH where possible instruction. Make clear that offices can stay open, already organised mentoring, meetings etc are free to go ahead, and 'where possible' is at discretion.

    - Re-emphasise the importance of testing and minimising interaction as much as possible if you are a vaccinated contact, even whilst not re-mandating anything for that.

    These are mild NPIs but should make a difference and cam be reviewed as necessary.
    There's just absolutely no urgency around the school rollout whatsoever in England.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    The fact is that those who support the EU failed to win the argument and have ever since acted like grumpy old men and continue their angst and have so far been unable to beat Boris so resort to name calling as everything else seems to have no effect on his popularity

    I’m not aware of anyone “supporting the EU” per se, just folks arguing again and again that Brexit is a wrong turn.

    It’s Brexiters who turn everything into a Manichaean “us” versus “them”. Until we left the EU, “they” were also “us”!

    As for “unable to beat Boris”, I am very confused. 50% of the time you are telling us you don’t like him, the other 50% you appear to be in supine adulation of him.

    I guess it depends what channel you were watching last.
  • Farooq said:

    Awful when people never admit they're wrong, isn't it?
    Indeed. That's why I'm scrupulous in always admitting when I'm wrong and apologising when I am, which I've done multiple times before.

    It provides closure on the debate. There's really no reason to dig your heels in, but some people insist they have to.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,656

    If 'Real Housewives of New York City' is representative, it is full of middle aged wealthy women who are gagging for it. (When not having arguments with each other.)
    Oh right. So that's where the Sex in the City gals ended up.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,639
    edited October 2021
    Dura_Ace said:

    Johnson's best chance at hanging on to his majority is to turn the next election into Brexit purity test. The shitmunchers still love banging on about WW2 so he has to position Brexit in similar state of cultural fixity.
    The EU remains a work in progress after many decades. (Western Balkans. Turkey. Defence. Euro. Policy coordination. Democratic deficit. Defence(!!). Poland. Hungary. Unification of Cyprus and Ireland. EFTA. Switzerland, to name a few.)

    Brexit, while smaller and less important, will be a work in progress for the rest of the lives of most PBers. Including me.

    One of SKS's greatest weaknesses, despite his clear personal electability as a decent person, is both his record on Brexit, and the difficulty of campaigning on the basis that the best people to handle Brexit are the people and party who remain against it.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109
    It’s another PB Tory meme that Remainers predicted mass economic collapse.

    I don’t think they did.

    The Treasury predicted a slowdown in growth which as far as I can see has happened.

    It’s true, there were expectations of a short-term recession but in the event we did not exercise A50 immediately, and the pound took the strain (making us a smidgeon poorer).

    PB Tories are always trying to change history.
    Or perhaps senility makes them act this way.
  • Indeed. That's why I'm scrupulous in always admitting when I'm wrong and apologising when I am, which I've done multiple times before.

    It provides closure on the debate. There's really no reason to dig your heels in, but some people insist they have to.
    I will always treasure your gracious admission that your assertion that the area between Glasgow and Edinburgh was virtually empty was complete shite.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,568
    Farooq said:

    Just three World Heritage sites, that's basically nothing.
    That's right, poking their heads above the dunes of the desert. Sod all else to see except the natives and Wilfred Thesiger.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507

    New thread

    Well there was. About Dominic Cummings being wrong. Mysterious.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721

    A serious plan to transition eg the Tube and rail like that to being fully automated and driverless might help.

    Unions would hate it, but does the rail network exist to serve customers or unions?
    Well, its a public service so I am going with the latter.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    Charles said:

    IIRC they pay for accommodation in Downing Street as a BiK
    Ooh, really? Didn’t know that.

    Can I take a wild guess, that it’s not priced at anything close to the market rent for a two-bed in Westminster.
  • It’s another PB Tory meme that Remainers predicted mass economic collapse.

    I don’t think they did.

    The Treasury predicted a slowdown in growth which as far as I can see has happened.

    It’s true, there were expectations of a short-term recession but in the event we did not exercise A50 immediately, and the pound took the strain (making us a smidgeon poorer).

    PB Tories are always trying to change history.
    Or perhaps senility makes them act this way.

    "The Treasury's "cautious" economic forecasts of the two years following a vote to leave - which assumes a bilateral trade agreement with the EU would have been negotiated - predicts Gross Domestic Product would grow by 3.6% less than currently predicted.

    In such a scenario, it suggests sterling would fall by 12%, unemployment would rise by 520,000, average wages would fall by 2.8% and house prices would be hit by 10%."

    Even if Brexit has constrained the UK economy, there has been no such shock.

    (I voted Remain)
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,708
    edited October 2021

    We had years of Remainers saying that Britain would face economic chaos of mass unemployment and that Europe would bind us to their sphere of influence as they were so big and we were so small.

    Now we have full unemployment and the UK is carving its own path and the same people are complaining about the full employment and the "disruption" to "alliances" with Europe.

    They might be less grumpy if they could just admit they were wrong.
    We already had full employment prior to Brexit. That's why closing the door to foreign drivers, care staff, and food pickers and packers wasn't such a great idea and is likely to cause economic damage to the UK.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,568
    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, really? Didn’t know that.

    Can I take a wild guess, that it’s not priced at anything close to the market rent for a two-bed in Westminster.
    It's Chequers that I do wonder about.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792
    Apologies if already posted but this article is as perfect an example of Covid Derangement Syndrome as any I have seen. It's been repurposed for the Guardian. The authors seem to ignore the effect of vaccination, for starters, but the flaws are manifold.

    https://theconversation.com/why-we-must-not-allow-covid-to-become-endemic-in-new-zealand-169608?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721

    Well there was. About Dominic Cummings being wrong. Mysterious.
    Clearly people still underestimate his influence.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, really? Didn’t know that.

    Can I take a wild guess, that it’s not priced at anything close to the market rent for a two-bed in Westminster.
    Fascinating. I did not know that:

    https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/108880/response/270398/attach/3/Ernie Skillen FOI reply.pdf?cookie_passthrough=1
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109
    edited October 2021

    "The Treasury's "cautious" economic forecasts of the two years following a vote to leave - which assumes a bilateral trade agreement with the EU would have been negotiated - predicts Gross Domestic Product would grow by 3.6% less than currently predicted.

    In such a scenario, it suggests sterling would fall by 12%, unemployment would rise by 520,000, average wages would fall by 2.8% and house prices would be hit by 10%."

    Even if Brexit has constrained the UK economy, there has been no such shock.

    (I voted Remain)
    As I said, “there were predictions of a short-term recession” which did not occur, and I seem to remember these were Osborne-driven (and highly political) predictions.

    But my main contention is that Remainers did *not* predict mass economic collapse, which is constantly suggested on here.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,554

    One of the things I am interested in (vaguely) is that the modern assumption is that one’s sexuality is utterly essential to one’s identity.

    I don’t think that’s always been the case.

    It's often the least interesting thing about a person. Which is one of the reasons I get so bored with people going on and on about it. It elevates who they have sex with as the only important thing about a person. When in reality unless you're interested in them sexually who bloody cares.

    Whether they are funny, witty, kind, tell good stories, make you feel better, have something interesting to say, are there to help when help is needed, etc is so much more important.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792
    Sean_F said:

    So far as I can tell, people from that ethnic background mostly detest the term.
    Given (almost) every word in latinate languages like French and Spanish are gendered it would require a rework of epic proportions to neuterise the lingo.
  • I will always treasure your gracious admission that your assertion that the area between Glasgow and Edinburgh was virtually empty was complete shite.
    It is, relative the the area between Manchester and Liverpool, which is what I wrote.

    Far more farmland and undeveloped areas between Glasgow and Edinburgh. The vast bulk of the square miles between the two cities is like that, unlike Liverpool to Manchester which is now essentially a single large conurbation.
  • I’m not aware of anyone “supporting the EU” per se, just folks arguing again and again that Brexit is a wrong turn.

    It’s Brexiters who turn everything into a Manichaean “us” versus “them”. Until we left the EU, “they” were also “us”!

    As for “unable to beat Boris”, I am very confused. 50% of the time you are telling us you don’t like him, the other 50% you appear to be in supine adulation of him.

    I guess it depends what channel you were watching last.
    Silly comment

    My observation is perfectly compatible with my preference for Rishi over Boris

    I have supine adulation for only one person and that is my wife of 57 years
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721

    We already had full employment prior to Brexit. That's why closing the door to foreign drivers, care staff, and food pickers and packers wasn't such a great idea and is likely to cause economic damage to the UK.
    But if you look at this chart you will see that there is no change at all in the rate of increase of employment from the date of the referendum until March 2020 when Covid struck: https://www.statista.com/statistics/281992/employment-rate-in-the-united-kingdom/#:~:text=In the three months to April 2021, the,a relatively fast pace, peaking in early 2020.

    The contention that unemployment would go up by 520k was the exact opposite of the truth: instead employment went up by rather more than that (nearly twice) in the 2 year forecast period. As forecasts go it is at the bottom end of crap.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,568
    edited October 2021

    It is, relative the the area between Manchester and Liverpool, which is what I wrote.

    Far more farmland and undeveloped areas between Glasgow and Edinburgh. The vast bulk of the square miles between the two cities is like that, unlike Liverpool to Manchester which is now essentially a single large conurbation.
    But that's no different from Epping Forest, say, or the fields between Colchester and Epping. My (former) colleagues in an Edinburgh-based operation included commuters from Glasgow and the Borders as well as more local residents in [edit] the one building.

    Edit: this was in the context of their linkage for covid transmission purposes, rather than cow counting, obvs.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    As I said, “there were predictions of a short-term recession” which did not occur, and I seem to remember these were Osborne-driven (and highly political) predictions.

    But my main contention is that Remainers did *not* predict mass economic collapse, which is constantly suggested on here.
    Maybe not in their predictions, but some in the Remain camp did use alarmist rhetoric, including such phrases as 'cliff edge'.

    Looking back at Carney's pre-referendum pronouncements, he was actually quite balanced.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792

    One of the things I am interested in (vaguely) is that the modern assumption is that one’s sexuality is utterly essential to one’s identity.

    I don’t think that’s always been the case.


    I'm not sure it's always the case even now.

    I've been watching Blair & Brown on the telly. To what extent is Peter Mandelson's homosexuality essential to his identity? It strikes me that his identity revolves around his being ruthless, intelligent, articulate and very able. It has very little, if anything, to do with his being gay.
  • We already had full employment prior to Brexit. That's why closing the door to foreign drivers, care staff, and food pickers and packers wasn't such a great idea and is likely to cause economic damage to the UK.
    We're at full employment because the open door meant the market there was an effectively infinite supply of labour, dropping the market clearing rate for wages to the floor, meaning that there'd always be a shortage of minimum wage labour.

    Importing new "drivers, care staff, pickers and packers" etc would fill the vacancies at that moment but then new vacancies would appear as those new people would need their own drivers, food etc so the labour shortage was never filled.

    Which is why there's no economic damage to closing the door. What closing the door will do is sever the link between vacancies and infinite labour meaning that wages have to rise off the floor in order to see vacancies get filled.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721
    TimT said:

    Maybe not in their predictions, but some in the Remain camp did use alarmist rhetoric, including such phrases as 'cliff edge'.

    Looking back at Carney's pre-referendum pronouncements, he was actually quite balanced.
    Carney was a class act, by far the best Governor in my adult life.
  • Carnyx said:

    But that's no different from Epping Forest, say, or the fields between Colchester and Epping. My (former) colleagues in an Edinburgh-based operation included commuters from Glasgow and the Borders as well as more local residents in [edit] the one building.

    Edit: this was in the context of their linkage for covid transmission purposes, rather than cow counting, obvs.
    Agreed that's a better comparison. If you want to compare transmission rates in Epping Forest then that's smarter.

    The point in the conversation is that Covid transmission is happening in geographic areas with inevitably more transmission in contiguous conurbations without a natural firebreak between them. The virus can go from a person, to a shop, to a neighbour etc from Manchester to Liverpool without ever seeing a train or mass transit because of the way people are contiguously in together. That's natural firebreaks between Glasgow and Edinburgh in the way there isn't in NW England.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,240
    Carnyx said:

    Just realised that the title of the statue is 'A Daughter of Eve' - a very pointed reference to our common humanity. Indeed, a lot of slavers loved the alternative hypothesis that Blacks were a separately created species and therefore sans human rights etc. The fact that Armstrong bought it for Cragside (vide my earlier posting) suggests his views on the matter - ergo a valid aspect of Cragside. If that isn't cvoming over in the label, them someone hasn't done a good job surtely.
    Thanks Mr C. Over lunch I had a look through the guidebook we brought back with us, and the statue is described much better in that.
  • TazTaz Posts: 16,877

    Apologies if already posted but this article is as perfect an example of Covid Derangement Syndrome as any I have seen. It's been repurposed for the Guardian. The authors seem to ignore the effect of vaccination, for starters, but the flaws are manifold.

    https://theconversation.com/why-we-must-not-allow-covid-to-become-endemic-in-new-zealand-169608?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton

    They've got no choice in it if they want to be open to the rest of the world.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    edited October 2021


    I'm not sure it's always the case even now.

    I've been watching Blair & Brown on the telly. To what extent is Peter Mandelson's homosexuality essential to his identity? It strikes me that his identity revolves around his being ruthless, intelligent, articulate and very able. It has very little, if anything, to do with his being gay.
    You know I'd forgotten that Mandelson was gay.

    Of course that might be the effects of increasing age, rather than a reflection of its irrelevance.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,974
    Waving to Marquee Mark....in Torquay for a short stop Nd a coffee not far from the Marina.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721
    DavidL said:

    But if you look at this chart you will see that there is no change at all in the rate of increase of employment from the date of the referendum until March 2020 when Covid struck: https://www.statista.com/statistics/281992/employment-rate-in-the-united-kingdom/#:~:text=In the three months to April 2021, the,a relatively fast pace, peaking in early 2020.

    The contention that unemployment would go up by 520k was the exact opposite of the truth: instead employment went up by rather more than that (nearly twice) in the 2 year forecast period. As forecasts go it is at the bottom end of crap.
    And, it should hardly need saying, since their forecast of lost growth was built upon lost employment when in fact employment increased by over 1m, that alleged loss of GDP is also crap.

    But if this sort of nonsense makes @Gardenwalker feel superior who am I to argue?
  • DavidL said:

    Carney was a class act, by far the best Governor in my adult life.
    He certainly did more to make the rich richer than any other Governor, which I assume is why he was appointed.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,046

    "The Treasury's "cautious" economic forecasts of the two years following a vote to leave - which assumes a bilateral trade agreement with the EU would have been negotiated - predicts Gross Domestic Product would grow by 3.6% less than currently predicted.

    In such a scenario, it suggests sterling would fall by 12%, unemployment would rise by 520,000, average wages would fall by 2.8% and house prices would be hit by 10%."

    Even if Brexit has constrained the UK economy, there has been no such shock.

    (I voted Remain)
    I see this as simple: global free movement, a global single market, and a global single currency would undoubtedly be a boon to UK economic growth, and I've even seen one or two articles penned in the Economist arguing as such, however, we do perfectly well without it.

    I see being a member of the EU (or not) as the same argument.

    Yes, growth might be slightly lower for the UK across the broader European market due to increased border "frictions" but I see that as acceptable and a perfectly credible choice.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,846

    A serious plan to transition eg the Tube and rail like that to being fully automated and driverless might help.

    Unions would hate it, but does the rail network exist to serve customers or unions?
    Driverless' equals no drivers. In theory, that would be easy to do on many tube lines that have ATO (Automatic Train Operation). 'Fully automated' could be seen as driverless, except many 'fully automated' trains still have staff on board - just not at the front. Why?

    The darned public get in the way. Currently, 'drivers' on ATO lines are required to open and close the doors, because the public frequently don't act like the neat little automatons that engineers would like. Doors get blocked by bags. People crush in, leaving their backsides hanging out. Only when the public have behaved themselves can the driver let the train go.

    Then there are other issues, like the staff member helping in emergencies, or breakdowns.

    A way around this is to put doors on the platform edge - which is something the few true staffless train networks do. But doing this on the existing tube network would be humongously expensive - and next to impossible at stations where trains on different lines, with different door spacings, call at the same platform.

    This is why every 'driverless' DLR train still has a staff member on board: instead of a driver, they have train captains. But they're cheaper, right? Not by much. A tube driver earns around £56k. A DLR train captain earns ~£42k.

    This means, if you magically converted 3,300 drivers into train captains, you would save £14k by 3,300, or £46 million per year. Not a great saving on the ~£3 billion running cost of the tube network. Worse, some of those savings will be offset by other costs of implementing 'driverless' operation, such as refitting trains to allow a train captain.

    So; you either spend many, many billions converting all the platforms, including ones out in the boondocks, to have platform-edge doors and other safety systems, or you get small savings and have train captains instead of drivers.

    IMO the latter will eventually happen on the train network: but they will still have crew, even if they don't have drivers. The former won't happen in my lifetime.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,035

    I would rather we focused on sorting out care homes or logistics right now, than spend a lot of senior government resource learning lessons from a global pandemic. This kind of event happens on average once a century or so, so any lessons learnt are likely to be long forgotten by the time it happens

    That rather depends on how you define a global pandemic... although by any definition, you're well out on your once a century claim.

    Presumably you're thinking Spanish flu (1918-20), then COVID-19, neatly a century apart. But there have been other pandemics. There have been 3 other significant flu pandemics: Asian flu (1957-8) and Hong Kong flu (1968-70) killed around 1-4 million worldwide each. (Hong Kong flu deaths in the UK weren't very different from seasonal flu, but Asian flu was bad, killing ~14k, £10M spent on sickness benefits, factories closing.) The 1977 Russian flu wasn't on the same scale, but around 700k died worldwide. Swine flu in 2009-10 was undoubtedly a pandemic, but we got lucky and it was a relatively mild flu. Still, that's another ~300k deaths (457 confirmed in the UK, although true figure probably higher).

    The other ongoing pandemic, albeit one with a very different course, is HIV/AIDS: >36 million deaths worldwide.

    Other epidemics/pandemics have had less impact on the UK. There isn't a formal definition of "pandemic", but we've seen multiple significant ebola outbreaks in recent years. There was Zika. SARS and MERS were both contained. Going back a bit further, there's the 7th global cholera pandemic of the '60s/'70s. Sometimes, the UK benefits from the wrong climate for certain disease vectors (thus no Zika risk). Sometimes, the UK benefits from being a rich, industrialised nation with good vaccination rates and infrastructure (so no cholera risk). Sometimes, the UK has benefitted from smart and quick action elsewhere to stop cases before they reached us (MERS, SARS). I think it would be a mistake to ignore these near-misses on the grounds we got lucky or action taken was successful. There are lessons to be learnt here too.

    Many would also say pandemics, or novel zoonotic epidemics at least, are getting more likely. Looking back over the last century may be misleading. SARS, MERS and COVID-19 were all in a relatively short period of time.

    Also overlooked area are animal pandemics. These can carry over to humans, but even if they don't (or don't much), they have huge impacts on the economy. You must remember BSE. UK deaths were 177. That's 177 more than you want, but admittedly much smaller that, say, seasonal flu, but it also had a huge impact on British beef farming. Another coronavirus that you don't hear about is Porcine epidemic diarrhea virus, an ongoing pandemic that began in Europe and has had a big impact on pig farming.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    I see this as simple: global free movement, a global single market, and a global single currency would undoubtedly be a boon to UK economic growth, and I've even seen one or two articles penned in the Economist arguing as such, however, we do perfectly well without it.

    I see being a member of the EU (or not) as the same argument.

    Yes, growth might be slightly lower for the UK across the broader European market due to increased border "frictions" but I see that as acceptable and a perfectly credible choice.
    Well, I have no quarrel with that.

    I think “slightly lower” will become “notably lower” over time, though.
  • I see this as simple: global free movement, a global single market, and a global single currency would undoubtedly be a boon to UK economic growth, and I've even seen one or two articles penned in the Economist arguing as such, however, we do perfectly well without it.

    I see being a member of the EU (or not) as the same argument.

    Yes, growth might be slightly lower for the UK across the broader European market due to increased border "frictions" but I see that as acceptable and a perfectly credible choice.
    Its also worth thinking about whether you want better GDP or better GDP per capita.
    Its almost a truism that every person in this country is adding to GDP, even an unemployed individual. Having someone paid minimum wage will boost GDP. But if they're claiming more in benefits than they are paying in taxes and deflating GDP per capita then is that a good thing?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    Its also worth thinking about whether you want better GDP or better GDP per capita.
    Its almost a truism that every person in this country is adding to GDP, even an unemployed individual. Having someone paid minimum wage will boost GDP. But if they're claiming more in benefits than they are paying in taxes and deflating GDP per capita then is that a good thing?
    And then PT had to come along to fuck it up.
  • We had years of Remainers saying that Britain would face economic chaos of mass unemployment and that Europe would bind us to their sphere of influence as they were so big and we were so small.

    Now we have full unemployment and the UK is carving its own path and the same people are complaining about the full employment and the "disruption" to "alliances" with Europe.

    They might be less grumpy if they could just admit they were wrong.
    I am a one time "Remainer", though it is now an obsolete title. The only thing the remain campaign was wrong about was that it might win. That was clearly wrong. Pretty much everything else that I was concerned about has come to pass, though sometimes masked by the scourge of Covid. We all have to live with Brexit, but the reality is, that as many of us predicted, it was a pointless pile of shite.

    I, for one, Philip am not grumpy at all. I find that people like yourself who are deranged enough to think Brexit was worth it are highly amusing in your total sillyness. I do, though, find it a little sad that a young man such as yourself has so little to do with his life that he has to spend hours on here trying to convince himself that Brexit was a good thing. Get out more. Meet some foreigners, you might find they are not secretly trying to take something off you that you don't have anyway. Brexit may be shit (we know that you know it is), but there are wonderful things out there. Have fun, I am going to have a late lunch!
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,881
    edited October 2021
    RobD said:

    Any evidence to back that up? All the reports suggest he was in a serious condition.
    well he was showing as fine , then said he needed some oxygen and was discharged a day or so later. I saw someone on maximum oxygen for 3 weeks , that is close to dying. An hour or two on low level oxygen is not near dying as far as I am concerned. @RobD
  • Farooq said:

    Unemployment is currently higher than it was 2 years ago.

    What does an "infinite" supply of labour mean. Taken literally it's obviously false, so you clearly mean something different.
    When economists say full employment they for good reason don't mean 100% of people employed. I've always considered 5% to be "full employment" and we've been at full employment or higher for many years now.

    I said effectively infinite. When there's hundreds of millions of people who can come here to fill vacancies who are living on wages below our minimum wage, then that's an almost infinite pool of potential staff to fill your vacancies when vacancies are not in the millions. It's not literally infinite but given the pool of potential labour at minimum wage increased to about 100,000% or more of our amount of vacancies its effectively infinite.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,547
    edited October 2021

    We're at full employment because the open door meant the market there was an effectively infinite supply of labour, dropping the market clearing rate for wages to the floor, meaning that there'd always be a shortage of minimum wage labour.

    Importing new "drivers, care staff, pickers and packers" etc would fill the vacancies at that moment but then new vacancies would appear as those new people would need their own drivers, food etc so the labour shortage was never filled.

    Which is why there's no economic damage to closing the door. What closing the door will do is sever the link between vacancies and infinite labour meaning that wages have to rise off the floor in order to see vacancies get filled.
    Wrong then and wrong now, Philip.

    You have chosen an intuitively satisfying but tiny part of the whole picture, itself anecdotal and incomplete, and projected it as explaining everything.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,046

    Well, I have no quarrel with that.

    I think “slightly lower” will become “notably lower” over time, though.
    Fair enough, and that's where you and I disagree.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118

    I see this as simple: global free movement, a global single market, and a global single currency would undoubtedly be a boon to UK economic growth, and I've even seen one or two articles penned in the Economist arguing as such, however, we do perfectly well without it.

    I see being a member of the EU (or not) as the same argument.

    Yes, growth might be slightly lower for the UK across the broader European market due to increased border "frictions" but I see that as acceptable and a perfectly credible choice.
    I've always said that the quality of our government will make much more difference than our EU membership to our future prospects as a nation.

    It also seems obvious, given how important the identities of Leaver and Remainer have become, that most people prioritised the question of identity over economics.

    So an economic blame game over Brexit is pure displacement activity.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,721
    Carnyx said:
    Not quite as compelling as this though: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/oct/09/tribunal-finds-evidence-of-sexist-culture-in-scotlands-armed-police

    Add in the recent story of, what was it, 156 officers facing allegations of sexual misconduct and zero dismissed and we clearly have real institutional problems with our police on both sides of the border. Indeed, when you look at America it seems that such attitudes and cultures seem to go with the territory.

    I am really not sure what the answer is.
  • TOPPING said:

    Wrong then and wrong now, Philip.

    You have chosen an intuitively satisfying but tiny part of the whole picture, itself anecdotal and incomplete, and projected it as explaining everything.
    Except its not anecdotal its factual and demonstrable - and I was wrong to dismiss it in 2016 and apologised recently to isam for calling this wrong. But I did call this wrong, the effect was real, so we should accept that and move on.

    If I'm making a mistake then point out the mistake. If you can't, then 'satisfying' will have to do. As will the expectation of real pay rises for millions of people to come.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,290

    Are you sure about that?

    I only knew that Frost had spoken yesterday because there was suddenly a whole swathe of FBPE-inspired Tweets getting posted here by people moaning (and people quoting people who were moaning) about what was said.

    Right now the Unionists are unhappy with the settlement and the UK government has the tactical advantage and holds all the cards so it makes sense to push hard for a victory in the dispute. That's just logic not animation. All the animation seem to be people horrified at the UK doing what is in the UK's best interests.
    None of us can be sure, it is just a gut feeling and we are impacted by our own biases. I wasn't really referring to yesterday, but just the overall feeling that many leavers are still angry at the EU.

    The reply was also specifically in response to the comment that this stuff harms Boris and it is this conclusion that I disagree with. I believe it helps him. I guess it comes down to what people thinks motivates the troops more:

    a) We are victorious

    or

    b) The battle is still to be won

    I think b) does, hence my disagreement with the previous poster
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,035
    edited October 2021

    I've always said that the quality of our government will make much more difference than our EU membership to our future prospects as a nation.

    So we're doomed!? Shit...
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    Afternoon. On topic, some cheery reading for all you regulars out there:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/10/trump-winning-2024-real-election-nightmare/620368/
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,881
    Charles said:

    IIRC they pay for accommodation in Downing Street as a BiK
    LOL, I doubt he ever pays for anything , a scrounger who lives of bungs and freebies.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,558
    Many people see their gender, sexuality and/or ethnicity as key characteristics that they define themselves by.

    I don't. And I consider the reason for that being that male, straight and white are all 'so what?' when it comes to those criteria.

    My class background and being from Tyneside are characteristics that I see as more defining of me.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,290

    I see this as simple: global free movement, a global single market, and a global single currency would undoubtedly be a boon to UK economic growth, and I've even seen one or two articles penned in the Economist arguing as such, however, we do perfectly well without it.

    I see being a member of the EU (or not) as the same argument.

    Yes, growth might be slightly lower for the UK across the broader European market due to increased border "frictions" but I see that as acceptable and a perfectly credible choice.
    An interesting post. I agree with the first two paragraphs, although the first is utopia, but doesn't mean we shouldn't aspire to it and the 2nd para is an attempt to do so.

    What is your reason for not wanting to do it?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,802

    Driverless' equals no drivers. In theory, that would be easy to do on many tube lines that have ATO (Automatic Train Operation). 'Fully automated' could be seen as driverless, except many 'fully automated' trains still have staff on board - just not at the front. Why?

    The darned public get in the way. Currently, 'drivers' on ATO lines are required to open and close the doors, because the public frequently don't act like the neat little automatons that engineers would like. Doors get blocked by bags. People crush in, leaving their backsides hanging out. Only when the public have behaved themselves can the driver let the train go.

    Then there are other issues, like the staff member helping in emergencies, or breakdowns.

    A way around this is to put doors on the platform edge - which is something the few true staffless train networks do. But doing this on the existing tube network would be humongously expensive - and next to impossible at stations where trains on different lines, with different door spacings, call at the same platform.

    This is why every 'driverless' DLR train still has a staff member on board: instead of a driver, they have train captains. But they're cheaper, right? Not by much. A tube driver earns around £56k. A DLR train captain earns ~£42k.

    This means, if you magically converted 3,300 drivers into train captains, you would save £14k by 3,300, or £46 million per year. Not a great saving on the ~£3 billion running cost of the tube network. Worse, some of those savings will be offset by other costs of implementing 'driverless' operation, such as refitting trains to allow a train captain.

    So; you either spend many, many billions converting all the platforms, including ones out in the boondocks, to have platform-edge doors and other safety systems, or you get small savings and have train captains instead of drivers.

    IMO the latter will eventually happen on the train network: but they will still have crew, even if they don't have drivers. The former won't happen in my lifetime.
    Not to mention loud, lairy drunks. And that most stations don't have ticket barriers in rural areas. Or even the facility to purchase one in quite a few.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,109

    Many people see their gender, sexuality and/or ethnicity as key characteristics that they define themselves by.

    I don't. And I consider the reason for that being that male, straight and white are all 'so what?' when it comes to those criteria.

    My class background and being from Tyneside are characteristics that I see as more defining of me.

    Easier to say of course as a white, straight, cis male.

    But, yeah.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,547

    Except its not anecdotal its factual and demonstrable - and I was wrong to dismiss it in 2016 and apologised recently to isam for calling this wrong. But I did call this wrong, the effect was real, so we should accept that and move on.

    If I'm making a mistake then point out the mistake. If you can't, then 'satisfying' will have to do. As will the expectation of real pay rises for millions of people to come.
    Shall we head over to the other thread? I will repost this there.

    It is anecdotal because you are taking a situation "infinite immigration" (we'll forgive you the clumsy language) and projecting from that a theoretical situation whereby they are all ready to come at the merest hint of the minimum wage rising. And from that you assume that without that "infinite" PAW, as Alan Greenspan termed it, wages would have risen.

    But that's all you've got.

    Whereas all we actually have is the number of immigrants who did come and what happened to employment and wages. Unemployment has ebbed and flowed over the past 17 years and of course we had the GFC shock. Trying within that to determine that throughout those events it was this imaginary workforce poised, like a gazelle, to leap into action in the UK is, well, anecdotal.

    Look how many people did come. Why do you suppose that ever more might have than did. Do we know that they were keeping tabs of the ONS wage data ready for the moment to mobilise? No of course we don't.

    Is why it's a satisfying theory, but anecdotal at best.

    And now you, amongst others, are lauding the fact that wages are rising now that there is a labour shortage but at least seem to have accepted the role of demand that the departed labour force played and hence we are likely to end up back where we started.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,281
    malcolmg said:

    well he was showing as fine , then said he needed some oxygen and was discharged a day or so later. I saw someone on maximum oxygen for 3 weeks , that is close to dying. An hour or two on low level oxygen is not near dying as far as I am concerned. @RobD
    Well that's just wrong. He came out of intensive care after three days of treatment, and stayed in hospital for a further three days.

    Apr 7 - Coronavirus: Boris Johnson moved to intensive care as symptoms worsen
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-52192604
    Apr 9 - Coronavirus: Boris Johnson out of intensive care but remains in hospital
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-52238276
    Apr 12 - Boris Johnson leaves hospital as he continues recovery from coronavirus
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/apr/12/boris-johnson-leaves-hospital-as-he-continues-recovery-from-coronavirus
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362


    I'm not sure it's always the case even now.

    I've been watching Blair & Brown on the telly. To what extent is Peter Mandelson's homosexuality essential to his identity? It strikes me that his identity revolves around his being ruthless, intelligent, articulate and very able. It has very little, if anything, to do with his being gay.
    Great on the dance floor apparently. Every indication from that he joined the wrong party.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118

    So we're doomed!? Shit...
    I'm not optimistic about our standards of governance and the likelihood of further deterioration, no.

    However, there is still a lot of good happening in the country despite this. Voluntary work by associations of citizens (such as parkrun and community gardens). New technologies being developed. Rewilding projects. The young becoming politically engaged over the climate.

    Maybe I'm in a glass one-eighth full kind of mood.

    No-one fills a brandy glass to the brim do they?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,253
    Charles said:

    Would you find it inappropriate for a living gay man who was still in the closet to be outed against their will? How is it different in principle if they are dead?
    I have said elsewhere on this thread that I don't agree with outing living people. Dead people become part of history and I think it is totally valid to discuss any aspect of their life as part of efforts to enquire into, and understand better, the past. More generally, if you can't see a distinction between living people and dead people then I'm not sure I can help you, except to say that you are the little boy in the Sixth Sense and I claim my £10.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,807

    I have said elsewhere on this thread that I don't agree with outing living people. Dead people become part of history and I think it is totally valid to discuss any aspect of their life as part of efforts to enquire into, and understand better, the past. More generally, if you can't see a distinction between living people and dead people then I'm not sure I can help you, except to say that you are the little boy in the Sixth Sense and I claim my £10.
    Surely there's a continuum here.

    If John dies on Saturday, outing him on Sunday is at the very best poor manners.

    If John died in 1823, then outing him is just - as you say - a part of history.
  • Farooq said:

    I think I preferred "infinite" to "100,000%" which is clearly mad.
    The EU's population is about 6x ours, give or take, and a great number of people have no interest in moving to another country. So words like "infinite" and ratios like "100,000%" look like yet more rhetoric than anything soberly quantified.

    By your definition, we've had "full employment" since... oh, before the referendum, which I think is the point someone else was making.
    100,000% isn't mad its the numbers but that's why I substituted "effectively infinite" in place of that.

    Comparing the UK's population with the EU's population isn't comparing like-for-like since the EU's population isn't the same as ours. If you're looking to fill a vacancy for national minimum wage then anyone employed with a wage higher than NMW will not be especially interested in that job. All you're going to attract is people who are either out of work or who will find a sideways change refreshing. So for the UK denominator you need to look at the number of people on minimum wage or below as your potential labour pool.

    Same thing for the EU numerator. How many people are at the UK's NMW (plus benefits) or below?

    Divide numerator by denominator. I estimate the answer is in the hundreds of thousands of percentage points.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,807

    Its also worth thinking about whether you want better GDP or better GDP per capita.
    Its almost a truism that every person in this country is adding to GDP, even an unemployed individual. Having someone paid minimum wage will boost GDP. But if they're claiming more in benefits than they are paying in taxes and deflating GDP per capita then is that a good thing?
    Sure: but do remember that that process has limits. Enforcing a maximum of one child per family, plus a brake on immigration will maximise GDP per capita in the short-run, but will absolutely massacre you in the longer-term. (See Japan and Italy.)
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,253
    rcs1000 said:

    Surely there's a continuum here.

    If John dies on Saturday, outing him on Sunday is at the very best poor manners.

    If John died in 1823, then outing him is just - as you say - a part of history.
    I disagree, to be honest. Once you're dead, you're dead. But the man in question died over 50 years ago, not on Saturday. I don't see why his life shouldn't be subject to discussion and analysis by historians.
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    rcs1000 said:

    Surely there's a continuum here.

    If John dies on Saturday, outing him on Sunday is at the very best poor manners.

    If John died in 1823, then outing him is just - as you say - a part of history.
    Has Sir Isaac Newton ever been outed? Shall we out him now, as a world first on PB - celebrate Robert’s new policy decision.

    I mean, just look at any portrait of Sir Isaac and the gaydar spins does it not.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,135
    edited October 2021

    I have said elsewhere on this thread that I don't agree with outing living people. Dead people become part of history and I think it is totally valid to discuss any aspect of their life as part of efforts to enquire into, and understand better, the past. More generally, if you can't see a distinction between living people and dead people then I'm not sure I can help you, except to say that you are the little boy in the Sixth Sense and I claim my £10.
    In the spirit of PB pedantry, the little boy in Sixth Sense can tell the difference between living people and dead people. Even the surprise dead person, I think.

    Perhaps you're thinking of Watson in the first Guy Ritchie Sherlock film? ("No girl wants to marry a doctor who can't tell if a man's dead or not")

    :tongue:
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,253
    Selebian said:

    In the spirit of PB pedantry, the little boy in Sixth Sense can tell the difference between living people and dead people. Even the surprise dead person, I think.

    Perhaps you're thinking of Watson in the first Guy Ritchie Sherlock film? ("No girl wants to marry a doctor who can't tell if a man's dead or not")

    :tongue:
    Ha ha very true, and great avoidance of spoilers too.
    There's also the great Groucho Marx line where he checks a corpse's pulse against his watch and says "either this man is dead or my watch has stopped".
  • Selebian said:

    In the spirit of PB pedantry, the little boy in Sixth Sense can tell the difference between living people and dead people. Even the surprise dead person, I think.

    Perhaps you're thinking of Watson in the first Guy Ritchie Sherlock film? ("No girl wants to marry a doctor who can't tell if a man's dead or not")

    :tongue:

    Cole Sear: I see PB Tory people.
    Malcolm Crowe: In your dreams?
    [Cole shakes his head]
    Malcolm Crowe: While you're awake?
    [Cole nods]
    Malcolm Crowe: PB Tories like, in thread headers? Below The Line?
    Cole Sear: Hanging around on PB like regular PBers. They don't see each other. They only vote for what they want to vote for. They don't know they're PB Tories.
    Malcolm Crowe: How often do you see them?
    Cole Sear: All the time. They're everywhere!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    isam said:
    Why are they ALWAYS such intensely annoying hypocrites. Every Single Time
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,807
    Leon said:

    Why are they ALWAYS such intensely annoying hypocrites. Every Single Time
    How is it hypocritical for her to be married to someone who works for TfL?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,846

    I disagree, to be honest. Once you're dead, you're dead. But the man in question died over 50 years ago, not on Saturday. I don't see why his life shouldn't be subject to discussion and analysis by historians.
    It's interesting to use past figures as a way of examining our historic attitudes to various topics. In this case, homosexuality. However, there is a difference between saying: "This gentleman was a very private man, and we are unsure of his sexuality. He may have been gay. Here is some evidence. What do you think?" and "HE WAS GAY! AREN'T WE WONDERFUL FOR SAYING IT!!!"
This discussion has been closed.