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Known unknowns. The General Election 2023/4 – politicalbetting.com

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  • eek said:

    Interest rates may be penal again if inflation hits and cannot be controlled by means other than interest rates.

    Equally houses weren't cheap, banks just couldn't lend the insane multiples (4.5x joint income) they now can. Back in the 70s you had to wait your turn for the mortgage and it was 3x first income + 1x second if you were lucky.
    Absolutely when I bought my first house (did I mention the 15% mortgage rate? :lol:) I had to borrow 3.5 times salary and it was hard work to get that.

    Because the rates are so low now, we indeed have the 'insane multiples' on offer now and this has been a huge factor in pushing up house prices.
  • eek said:

    Interest rates may be penal again if inflation hits and cannot be controlled by means other than interest rates.

    Equally houses weren't cheap, banks just couldn't lend the insane multiples (4.5x joint income) they now can. Back in the 70s you had to wait your turn for the mortgage and it was 3x first income + 1x second if you were lucky.
    That's all it needed to be as the prices weren't insane.

    And housing construction kept up with housing demand. As opposed to then a generation of NIMBYs wanting to preserve their views rather than have other people also be able to have a home too.
  • malcolmg said:

    Workers on low fixed incomes will not be affected , bring in higher tax rates for the richly paid workers
    But not pensioners of course! :lol:
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,628

    Maybe just me but I feel like it's unsporting to slag off somebody who can't respond because they're banned.

    It is. Politics seems to bring out some unpleasant traits in people.
  • Cyclefree said:

    A lot of unpleasant comments about pensioners on here today. @MaxPB's father on an £80k pa pension is hardly typical of most pensioners.

    Just raise income tax to pay for social care. Everyone who pays income tax pays it.

    A brave government would merge tax and NI.

    Absolutely and some of the references to pensioners are just unfair and unpleasant

    As a pensioner I support the £20 UC uplift, abolition of the triple lock, and taxing pensioners as part of the social care cost

    It can be achieved by extending NI to all pensioners who are in work, or as @Cyclefree says an increase on tax rates
  • The government did fix the fiscal mess that Brown created which is why we have come into this recession without the structural deficit that Brown had.

    It's also why I expect we will come out of this recession without the structural deficit Brown bequeathed the Tories.
    Quite right too. Just look at the numbers in the year before each big crash - night and day difference.
    2007: 2.9%
    2019: 2.6%

    Happily we have also avoided as big a shock to the economy after this time's structural deficit compared to the last on. A 2009 10.1% massive deficit compared to 2020's much smaller 14.9%. We will definitely be able to avoid another decade of austerity thanks to the average 2.4% structural deficit of the May and Johnson years.
  • Absolutely when I bought my first house (did I mention the 15% mortgage rate? :lol:) I had to borrow 3.5 times salary and it was hard work to get that.

    Because the rates are so low now, we indeed have the 'insane multiples' on offer now and this has been a huge factor in pushing up house prices.
    Actually it's not.

    Multiples went up before rates came down.

    Multiples went up because construction was halted by NIMBYism and demand surged due to population growth. Plus a generation of landlords realised they could buy homes for cash as an investment to generate an income from rent. That doesn't depend upon interest rates.

    If you drop supply but increase demand, it doesn't take genius to figure out what happens to prices next.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    malcolmg said:

    What next gulags for pensioners and all their assets confiscated so you can get a few extra weekends away.
    Good morning Malc. :D

    Max will be an old geezer one day...
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738

    Absolutely when I bought my first house (did I mention the 15% mortgage rate? :lol:) I had to borrow 3.5 times salary and it was hard work to get that.

    Because the rates are so low now, we indeed have the 'insane multiples' on offer now and this has been a huge factor in pushing up house prices.
    The initial late 1990 / early 2000 price increases directly correlate with the changes in mortgage multiples from 3+1 to 3x joint loans.

    After that demand / supply constraints become a far bigger issue...
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    Can you actually give vaccines to an African country in a cozy deal, or does it have to be through the scheme? Through the scheme you can’t choose the country’s it goes to, they assess who is ready to roll it out so it’s not wasted. Not just temperature but logistically ready.

    So if the old colonial powers are now triple vaccinating and vaccinating those not even in danger, those in danger in Africa waiting for their first, it’s simply down to colonialism isn’t it - brilliantly summed up by Geldof saying, hold on a moment, there are too many unnecessary countries in Africa?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    kjh said:

    They may be well crafted, but I detest every single one of them.

    And with regard to Mamma Mia the film, I was forced to watch it and almost had a fatal attack of cringe.

    The idea of going to the musical just fills me with dread.
    You have no soul , I rewatched it again the other night and it was just a happy film with lots of great music.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    malcolmg said:

    What next gulags for pensioners and all their assets confiscated so you can get a few extra weekends away.
    Nope but the only fix is a wealth tax - we need to raise additional tax revenue and there is nowhere else available.
  • The government did fix the fiscal mess that Brown created which is why we have come into this recession without the structural deficit that Brown had.

    It's also why I expect we will come out of this recession without the structural deficit Brown bequeathed the Tories.
    The fiscal mess being a similar deficit to those run under the preceding Conservative governments, at least in the bust parts? It is time to throw away your 2010 Osborne briefing notes. They worked. He won. Now we can admit they were complete bollocks.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Not only is there the issue of massively higher multiples on house prices compared to earnings but there is also the current, long term, low inflation environment.

    Sure interest rates were eye watering but inflation was also no picnic (indeed the high interest rates were often to battle inflation) which erodes the real terms value of the outstanding mortgage.
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    I have always considered HY a sensible moderate.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    malcolmg said:

    You have no soul , I rewatched it again the other night and it was just a happy film with lots of great music.
    Just a shame Pierce Brosnan sounds like nails on a blackboard when he attempts to "sing"
  • Quite right too. Just look at the numbers in the year before each big crash - night and day difference.
    2007: 2.9%
    2019: 2.6%

    Happily we have also avoided as big a shock to the economy after this time's structural deficit compared to the last on. A 2009 10.1% massive deficit compared to 2020's much smaller 14.9%. We will definitely be able to avoid another decade of austerity thanks to the average 2.4% structural deficit of the May and Johnson years.
    Absolutely it was night and day.

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicspending/bulletins/ukgovernmentdebtanddeficitforeurostatmaast/september2019
    6.How much is the general government deficit?
    In the financial year ending (FYE) March 2019, the UK general government deficit was £38.7 billion, equivalent to 1.8% of gross domestic product (GDP) (Table 2 and Figure 2); this is the lowest since the FYE March 2002, when it was 0.4%. This represents a decrease of £17.3 billion compared with the FYE March 2018.


    Brown had the FYE March 2002 figures and he pissed it away leading to the 2007 mess.

    The Tories got us into a position where in 2019, despite Brown's toxic legacy, the figures were the best since 2002.
  • He wanted spending to go up by less than the rate of growth, which is quite appropriate given the mess Brown had created.

    There wasn't any growth though. Too late, the bell tolled and Browns mess he was already warning us about became apparent.
    Osborne literally said in his speech to conference that year that he would match Labour's spending "pound for pound" and then toured the studios reassuring punters that the days of Tory cuts were over.

    As that was the same spending that Labour were doing then you are saying that Darling's budget approach was "quite appropriate".

    And yet no! There was a difference! We had a bubble economy. And Osbrown wanted a bigger bubble so that not only would he match spending pound for pound but then share in the proceeds of (further growth) with a tax rise on top.

  • YouGov
    @YouGov

    National insurance will be increased in order to fund social care reforms, it has been reported. Net support for this, by age group:

    18-24 year olds: +14
    25-49 year olds: +11
    50-64 year olds: +40
    65+ year olds: +71

    All Britons: +32

    Interesting that strongly support or somewhat support are supported by

    42% 18-24

    44% 25-49

    63% 50-65

    82% 65+

    It should be noted that the nearer the populace get to a possible inheritance the higher the percentage, but even 18-24 are at 42%

    I am not at all sure posters are reflecting just how this measure does seem to be popular across the electorate
  • The fiscal mess being a similar deficit to those run under the preceding Conservative governments, at least in the bust parts? It is time to throw away your 2010 Osborne briefing notes. They worked. He won. Now we can admit they were complete bollocks.
    2007 was pre-bust.

    Why the heck should pre-bust deficits be "similar" to bust deficits previously?

    It wasn't bollocks. What was bollocks was Brown thinking he had "abolished boom and bust" so he could run bust-level deficits before the bust hit.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    DougSeal said:

    Ayrshire’s answer to Dorothy Parker opines once more.
    Even though you recognise my talents , I wish you would stop stalking me, get a crush on someone else please. Not surprised you would support such an arsehole.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    Maybe just me but I feel like it's unsporting to slag off somebody who can't respond because they're banned.

    I agree

  • YouGov
    @YouGov

    National insurance will be increased in order to fund social care reforms, it has been reported. Net support for this, by age group:

    18-24 year olds: +14
    25-49 year olds: +11
    50-64 year olds: +40
    65+ year olds: +71

    All Britons: +32

    Interesting that strongly support or somewhat support are supported by

    42% 18-24

    44% 25-49

    63% 50-65

    82% 65+

    It should be noted that the nearer the populace get to a possible inheritance the higher the percentage, but even 18-24 are at 42%

    I am not at all sure posters are reflecting just how this measure does seem to be popular across the electorate

    Just because a policy is popular doesn't make it right.

    I wonder how many of the 18-49 year olds realise pensioners don't pay NI. So this is a tax on the working-age only?

    Those of us who do shouldn't stop saying this is wrong just because its popular, or because a party we normally support is proposing it, should we?

    Let me make my position 100% clear: If the Tories do this, the Tories are in the wrong.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Cookie said:

    And yet - my understanding is that the 65+ demographic is by some way the wealthiest, following the combined effects of being in the right place at the right time for being able to buy housing when it was cheap, free university education for those who had it, and having final salary pensions. Not all of that demographic, of course, but huge numbers are hugely moee wealthy than their younger counterparts will ever be. A tax on the poorer demographic to pay for the richer seems a tad unfair.

    No odds to me personally, mind: I'm an only child with no cousins so things that are a benefit to the old and super-old are a benefit to me eventutally. But that doesn't seem any reason by itself to support this plan.
    Very similar debate going on in the US, but some argue the figures are questionable:
    https://economistwritingeveryday.com/2021/09/01/who-is-the-wealthiest-generation/
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    malcolmg said:

    You have no soul , I rewatched it again the other night and it was just a happy film with lots of great music.
    Aggghhhh.

    Well I seem to have united PB for once. Shame it is against me. Oh well.

    I'll just go back to listening to some blues, rock and 60s music.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    Carnyx said:

    That's a very good point, full marks.

    I too remember the high rates on my first mortgage but when Mrs C and I bought together we were soon able to start overpaying to get the capital down and the thing paid off early. And THEN interest rates collapsed. But I wasn't (and am not) complaining.
    The deposits then as a % were much higher, it was inflation that allowed him to pay it off as wages increased but you only had the same mortgage debt and payments.
  • 4 down already without adding to the score.

    At least it was the night watchman going out, but 53-4 is not good. 🏏
  • I missed @HYUFD temporary ban last night but would say that he must contribute considerably to the betting nature of this forum with his encyclopaedia style knowledge of opinion polls, though of course his application of them does tend to have a degree of licence

    I disagree with him over his attitude to indyref 2 and the fact that he is the arbiter of just who is a conservative

    I would also just say that I get things wrong on occasions and when I do an apology is quite cathartic

    I hope he will be posting again in due course
  • Just because a policy is popular doesn't make it right.

    I wonder how many of the 18-49 year olds realise pensioners don't pay NI. So this is a tax on the working-age only?

    Those of us who do shouldn't stop saying this is wrong just because its popular, or because a party we normally support is proposing it, should we?

    Let me make my position 100% clear: If the Tories do this, the Tories are in the wrong.
    I have always been against the exemption on NI for working age pensioners and correcting that anomaly would be the right thing to do
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    Cookie said:

    And yet - my understanding is that the 65+ demographic is by some way the wealthiest, following the combined effects of being in the right place at the right time for being able to buy housing when it was cheap, free university education for those who had it, and having final salary pensions. Not all of that demographic, of course, but huge numbers are hugely moee wealthy than their younger counterparts will ever be. A tax on the poorer demographic to pay for the richer seems a tad unfair.

    No odds to me personally, mind: I'm an only child with no cousins so things that are a benefit to the old and super-old are a benefit to me eventutally. But that doesn't seem any reason by itself to support this plan.
    Some pensioners are wealthy. Not all are. If taxes are raised, whether on wealth or income, then they should be applied equally to all. The young are having a hard time of it. I don't need to be told that. I am having to work to support myself and my young, them above all. But the income tax rates they pay are far less than what was paid in the past. Mortgage rates are very very much lower. So the idea that older generations had some sort of nirvana is nonsense. There are winners and losers in every generation. Not all pensioners are on final salary pensions. Not all have savings. Many still work because they need to. Not all have high value homes.

    Whatever tax is levied - whether on income or wealth or most likely both - needs to be applied to all. If people over pension age work then they should pay tax like anyone else working. Social care is something which everyone will benefit from, including the young, who will grow old one day.

    I don't know what this new policy will be. It sounds from reports to be remarkably similar to Mrs May's policy. I seem to recall that many of those who were up in arms then were those who stood to inherit houses and thought that others without such inheritances to look forward to should pay more tax to preserve the inheritances of rich kids. Even some Labour supporters on here became very exercised by this. So the rich young are just as capable of being selfish and self-interested as the rich old.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867



    I hope he will be posting again in due course

    Just like Arnie - He'll be back! :D
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    I'm alright, Jack.
    :D:p
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738


    YouGov
    @YouGov

    National insurance will be increased in order to fund social care reforms, it has been reported. Net support for this, by age group:

    18-24 year olds: +14
    25-49 year olds: +11
    50-64 year olds: +40
    65+ year olds: +71

    All Britons: +32

    Interesting that strongly support or somewhat support are supported by

    42% 18-24

    44% 25-49

    63% 50-65

    82% 65+

    It should be noted that the nearer the populace get to a possible inheritance the higher the percentage, but even 18-24 are at 42%

    I am not at all sure posters are reflecting just how this measure does seem to be popular across the electorate

    It's on questions like that were "leading" background statements are required to get a true answer.

    Pensioners do not pay National Insurance. National insurance will be increased in order to fund social care reforms, it has been reported.

    would generate a far more accurate result that would more accurately reflect people's opinions in a couple of weeks time as the first point is repeated repeatedly until everyone has seen it.

    This is the problem with all social care reforms, the idea looks great until a few days of reflection occurs at which point the idea turns into the horse dung people expected it to be.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,821
    malcolmg said:

    You have no soul , I rewatched it again the other night and it was just a happy film with lots of great music.
    I'm with kjh here.

    Abba's songs are quite remarkably crafted. And yet they grate. I can just about stomach the disco ones (voulez vouz, etc.), though they are not my cup of tea and make me very glad I wasn't young and Swedish in the 70s. There is a darkness to them (I don't know whether this is intentional - probably it is: they are, after all, very good songwriters). But the easy listening end of the spectrum - Fernando etc - music for people who don't like music.

    And as for Mamma Mia - musical theatre is the lowest form of art. Lower than mime. (Musical theatre is the lowest form of artprecisley because it is stuffed with this sort of music-for-people-who-don't-like-music: see also anything by Andrew Lloyd Webber and Tim Rice).


  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    But not pensioners of course! :lol:
    I pay lots and lots of taxes , and whilst I would prefer to pay less like everyone else , I would never want it to be at the expense of others and especially people on low incomes. I have paid for my meagre state pension over 50 years and for some spoilt rich privileged arsehole like @MaxPB to be whining about robbing pensioners so he can boast about more weekends away , luxury trips etc is vomit inducing.
    I hope he gets his just desserts when he arrives at Old Nick.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317
    edited September 2021

    Has HYUFD really been banned? Wow!

    Actually, the most hilarious aspect to his recent behaviour was that ever since OGH and TSE "volunteered" him a Democrat Donkey avatar in the run-up to November's US election, he couldn't be arsed to change it! :lol:

    Taken away by three men in a Ford Falcon?

    https://medium.com/history-on-wheels/the-curse-of-the-ford-falcon-36cda9a8f97f
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    GIN1138 said:

    Just a shame Pierce Brosnan sounds like nails on a blackboard when he attempts to "sing"
    Yes he was pretty dire to be polite, but kudos for even trying , though I suspect the fat fee compensated.
  • On ABBA:

    Good music, well-crafted, and an interesting story. But their music never really grabbed me.

    Oddly, what introduced me to their music was Erasure's Aba-esque EP, which a friend had. It's hard to believe that was nearly 30 years ago now ...

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-d4J3YUQmU
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738

    I missed @HYUFD temporary ban last night but would say that he must contribute considerably to the betting nature of this forum with his encyclopaedia style knowledge of opinion polls, though of course his application of them does tend to have a degree of licence

    I disagree with him over his attitude to indyref 2 and the fact that he is the arbiter of just who is a conservative

    I would also just say that I get things wrong on occasions and when I do an apology is quite cathartic

    I hope he will be posting again in due course

    If he does post again I hope he will validate his posts rather than posting and then trying to defend utterly insane conspiracy theories.
  • Our Paralympians have recovered second place in the medals table by both criteria (quality and quantity of medals).
    https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/paralympic-games/en/results/all-sports/medal-standings.htm
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    GIN1138 said:

    Good morning Malc. :D

    Max will be an old geezer one day...
    Yes and will be whining about why he pays taxes for workers , despite being loaded and getting shedloads from his Dad he is still not a happy person. Greed and avarice are not a nice trait.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    The idea that given all the expenses of Covid, the NHS and social care, let alone anything else, we can avoid raising taxes on working people, as @MaxPB seems to want, is for the birds.

    Taxes will have to rise and all will have to pay. That's all there is to it. All these demands for special exclusions is just self-interested nonsense.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    gealbhan said:

    I have always considered HY a sensible moderate.

    Have to say recently he had lost the plot.
  • Interesting. Are they doing NI rather than income tax because of Scots complications?

    https://twitter.com/TorstenBell/status/1433717360926601229
  • malcolmg said:

    Yes and will be whining about why he pays taxes for workers , despite being loaded and getting shedloads from his Dad he is still not a happy person. Greed and avarice are not a nice trait.
    I do find that those who are built on family money are the worst in grasping for more...
  • Cyclefree said:

    The idea that given all the expenses of Covid, the NHS and social care, let alone anything else, we can avoid raising taxes on working people, as @MaxPB seems to want, is for the birds.

    Taxes will have to rise and all will have to pay. That's all there is to it. All these demands for special exclusions is just self-interested nonsense.

    Should we be raising taxes only on working age people?

    "1% on NI" is a 2% tax rise on the employed, and a 0% tax rise on pensioners.

    1%, 2% or whatever on income tax is a tax paid by all.
  • isam said:

    I watched an ABBA doc/drama on Ch5 the other week - still can’t get my head around Agnetha dating her weird stalker. She must have been in a very low place mentally after the deaths of her parents

    Shouldnt they be called A*AAA* now?
  • Should we be raising taxes only on working age people?

    "1% on NI" is a 2% tax rise on the employed, and a 0% tax rise on pensioners.

    1%, 2% or whatever on income tax is a tax paid by all.
    I did put forward the typically centre moderate view of 2% on income tax on here last night (I think). So workers and pensioners both contribute.
  • Should we be raising taxes only on working age people?

    "1% on NI" is a 2% tax rise on the employed, and a 0% tax rise on pensioners.

    1%, 2% or whatever on income tax is a tax paid by all.
    Agreed, not all will pay. The cohort who consistently vote Tory wont have to pay. The cohort who are richer (on average of course) than both their grandparents were and their grandchildren will become wont have to pay.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    Cyclefree said:

    The idea that given all the expenses of Covid, the NHS and social care, let alone anything else, we can avoid raising taxes on working people, as @MaxPB seems to want, is for the birds.

    Taxes will have to rise and all will have to pay. That's all there is to it. All these demands for special exclusions is just self-interested nonsense.

    Yep - it needs to be paid for but given the purpose - it really cannot come from another tax on income.
  • I did put forward the typically centre moderate view of 2% on income tax on here last night (I think). So workers and pensioners both contribute.
    Would be fairer.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005

    Quite right too. Just look at the numbers in the year before each big crash - night and day difference.
    2007: 2.9%
    2019: 2.6%

    Happily we have also avoided as big a shock to the economy after this time's structural deficit compared to the last on. A 2009 10.1% massive deficit compared to 2020's much smaller 14.9%. We will definitely be able to avoid another decade of austerity thanks to the average 2.4% structural deficit of the May and Johnson years.
    That is some epic selective quoting of stats.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,264
    Cookie said:

    I'm with kjh here.

    Abba's songs are quite remarkably crafted. And yet they grate. I can just about stomach the disco ones (voulez vouz, etc.), though they are not my cup of tea and make me very glad I wasn't young and Swedish in the 70s. There is a darkness to them (I don't know whether this is intentional - probably it is: they are, after all, very good songwriters). But the easy listening end of the spectrum - Fernando etc - music for people who don't like music.

    And as for Mamma Mia - musical theatre is the lowest form of art. Lower than mime. (Musical theatre is the lowest form of artprecisley because it is stuffed with this sort of music-for-people-who-don't-like-music: see also anything by Andrew Lloyd Webber and Tim Rice).


    It is surprising (or maybe not...) how bad (and samey) the bulk of music in a musical is. One or two good songs maybe, but the rest just dirge.

    At least with the musicals based around actual popular songs, you get good (to some definiton of good) music even if the plot is ludicrous.

    Further off topic, Rocketman is excellent and even Bohemian Rhapsody good fun, although it takes copious liberties with history.
  • Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    1h
    You could make a National Insurance rise better - ie more like an Income Tax one. We'll set out how on Monday. Or you could just increase Income Tax instead...
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    Cookie said:

    I'm with kjh here.

    Abba's songs are quite remarkably crafted. And yet they grate. I can just about stomach the disco ones (voulez vouz, etc.), though they are not my cup of tea and make me very glad I wasn't young and Swedish in the 70s. There is a darkness to them (I don't know whether this is intentional - probably it is: they are, after all, very good songwriters). But the easy listening end of the spectrum - Fernando etc - music for people who don't like music.

    And as for Mamma Mia - musical theatre is the lowest form of art. Lower than mime. (Musical theatre is the lowest form of artprecisley because it is stuffed with this sort of music-for-people-who-don't-like-music: see also anything by Andrew Lloyd Webber and Tim Rice).


    Yeaaaah. And don't get me started on Andrew Lloyd Webber's stuff (shudders). And the bits where they talk in time to music in musicals. I mean, why? Crap stories and crap songs. Should have a good story, no songs, or just good songs.

    I will admit there are exceptions. I'm tempted to mention them but that could be another can of worms and I also don't mind the odd song in a film (Butch Cassidy, Breakfast at Tiffany's, ..)
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    I did put forward the typically centre moderate view of 2% on income tax on here last night (I think). So workers and pensioners both contribute.
    Sounds far more sensible , however they will pick the option they think loses them the least amount of votes rather than the best solution for the problem.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    kjh said:

    Yeaaaah. And don't get me started on Andrew Lloyd Webber's stuff (shudders). And the bits where they talk in time to music in musicals. I mean, why? Crap stories and crap songs. Should have a good story, no songs, or just good songs.

    I will admit there are exceptions. I'm tempted to mention them but that could be another can of worms and I also don't mind the odd song in a film (Butch Cassidy, Breakfast at Tiffany's, ..)
    What about Phantom of the Opera and Don't Cry for me Argentina. I will give you that there are many many crap ones out there for sure though.
  • malcolmg said:

    Sounds far more sensible , however they will pick the option they think loses them the least amount of votes rather than the best solution for the problem.
    Unfortunately I agree with you and disagree with them. 👎
  • Pulpstar said:

    Free the Epping One !

    Whilst I certainly echo the sentiment, and confident he will be back posting soon, it must be very uncomfortable for the site owners when someone libels one of the richest people in the world. Its a reminder we all need to be careful when slinging mud, I will try to be more precise and cautious on certain subjects like govt corruption for example.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    Whilst I certainly echo the sentiment, and confident he will be back posting soon, it must be very uncomfortable for the site owners when someone libels one of the richest people in the world. Its a reminder we all need to be careful when slinging mud, I will try to be more precise and cautious on certain subjects like govt corruption for example.
    So he was talking about me then
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    .
    Cookie said:

    I'm with kjh here.

    Abba's songs are quite remarkably crafted. And yet they grate. I can just about stomach the disco ones (voulez vouz, etc.), though they are not my cup of tea and make me very glad I wasn't young and Swedish in the 70s. There is a darkness to them (I don't know whether this is intentional - probably it is: they are, after all, very good songwriters). But the easy listening end of the spectrum - Fernando etc - music for people who don't like music.

    And as for Mamma Mia - musical theatre is the lowest form of art. Lower than mime. (Musical theatre is the lowest form of art precisley because it is stuffed with this sort of music-for-people-who-don't-like-music: see also anything by Andrew Lloyd Webber and Tim Rice).

    Apologies, but this is, IMO, utter nonsense.
    ABBA's stuff is musically quite complex for popular music. Sure, the lyrics are fairly banal, but they also have a certain genius at times.

    I'm not sure there's any such thing as people who don't like music, but I'm quite happy to switch between Bach's solo violin pieces and ABBA's greatest hits on occasion.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    Pulpstar said:

    Free the Epping One !

    He has to do his time, no parole with a tag or any of that rot.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    Well, he's a Conservative. So he's with the government. Lost the plot, too!
    "Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad"
  • forget ABBA@ what we really need are the best Swedish band to reform:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=di18hTFTwIw
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNmO233OztQ
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyNYQALwP38

    All hail the Army of Lovers! ;)
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    edited September 2021
    malcolmg said:

    What about Phantom of the Opera and Don't Cry for me Argentina. I will give you that there are many many crap ones out there for sure though.
    I'll give you those songs and some more to be honest, but as someone else said anything decent in a musical is usually surrounded by crap. The rest of the music is usually rubbish (there are exceptions) and plots dire and the acting (by the nature of the subject matter) awful.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    Fishing said:

    No, cut useless spending to pay for social care:

    - foreign aid
    - Northern Ireland subsidies
    - farming subsidies
    - etc, etc.

    But I'm afraid Sunak's only instinct is to tax and spend.
    You forgot national ego subsidies - eg Trident.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    malcolmg said:

    Sounds far more sensible , however they will pick the option they think loses them the least amount of votes rather than the best solution for the problem.
    I half suspect that it's impossible to change income tax nowadays because of the way it's down in Scotland.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Malan out.
    England in trouble.
  • kjh said:

    I'll give you those songs and some more to be honest, but as someone else said anything decent in a musical is usually surrounded by crap. The rest of the music is usually rubbish (there are exceptions) and plots dire and the acting (by the nature of the subject matter) awful.
    I don't agree at all.

    I could quite happily listen to the music from G&S operettas, Phantom, Les Mis, Wicked and others.

    The plots of the successful ones tend to be pretty good too. Especially since many of them tend to be written based on the plots of books anyway.
  • Off you go on a well deserved 2 month holiday, Andrew. Don’t come back.

    https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1433727992405110819?s=21
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188

    I did put forward the typically centre moderate view of 2% on income tax on here last night (I think). So workers and pensioners both contribute.
    2% hike in income tax isn't moderate. It's almost Corbynite.

    I'm absolutely disgusted with the Tory leadership. I campaigned hard in 2019 and believed the no tax rise manifesto promise. Fiscal drag is the order of the day.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Apologies, but this is, IMO, utter nonsense.
    ABBA's stuff is musically quite complex for popular music. Sure, the lyrics are fairly banal, but they also have a certain genius at times.

    I'm not sure there's any such thing as people who don't like music, but I'm quite happy to switch between Bach's solo violin pieces and ABBA's greatest hits on occasion.
    "The day before you came" is probably my favourite Abba track and contains quite a lot of that darkness; it is a vivid image of the banality and boredom of so much of life, certainly a life without love.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733

    Shouldnt they be called A*AAA* now?
    Or 9889.
  • Mortimer said:

    2% hike in income tax isn't moderate. It's almost Corbynite.

    I'm absolutely disgusted with the Tory leadership. I campaigned hard in 2019 and believed the no tax rise manifesto promise. Fiscal drag is the order of the day.
    Rishi has already tried fiscal drag. No increases to personal allowance or higher rate threshold until 2026. Will drag lots of people into the higher rate threshold by then especially if inflation accelerates.

    But that will only raise so much...
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    Of course I've got tickets to day 4 of the test. Fucks sake. Now I'm just hoping for rain today so we actually get some play on Sunday!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    Mortimer said:

    2% hike in income tax isn't moderate. It's almost Corbynite.

    I'm absolutely disgusted with the Tory leadership. I campaigned hard in 2019 and believed the no tax rise manifesto promise. Fiscal drag is the order of the day.
    Combine NI and income tax. That way everyone pays it.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    edited September 2021
    Nigelb said:

    Or 9889.
    A***AA*A**
  • MaxPB said:

    Combine NI and income tax. That way everyone pays it.
    Alternatively have lower taxes.

    People work more because they get to keep more of their money, the state gets some of that extra work, people spend the extra money that they earn which grows the economy.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    Alternatively have lower taxes.

    People work more because they get to keep more of their money, the state gets some of that extra work, people spend the extra money that they earn which grows the economy.
    A novel argument, it will never catch on. Not with this bunch of idiots in charge.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    kjh said:

    I'll give you those songs and some more to be honest, but as someone else said anything decent in a musical is usually surrounded by crap. The rest of the music is usually rubbish (there are exceptions) and plots dire and the acting (by the nature of the subject matter) awful.
    I agree for a good majority of them
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    It's a myth that income tax rates are 0/20/40/45 for most people.

    Once you include NI the current tax rates are (roughly):

    For employed earners under 65: 0/32/42/47
    For self-employed under 65: 0/29/42/47
    For unearned income, or for those over 65: 0/20/40/45
    Don’t forget the 60% rate with the withdrawal of personal allowance over £100k, and the 65% universal credit withdrawal at the other end of the scale.
  • Carnyx said:

    More here (which confirms the social media accounts involved are government ones)

    https://www.politico.eu/article/queen-elizabeth-death-plan-britain-operation-london-bridge/

    'The Department for Transport has raised concerns that the number of people who may want to travel to London could cause major problems for the transport network, and lead to overcrowding in the capital.

    In a striking assessment of the scenes that could unfold, one memo warns of a worst-case scenario in which London literally becomes “full” for the first time ever as potentially hundreds of thousands of people try to make their way there — with accommodation, roads, public transport, food, policing, healthcare and basic services stretched to breaking point. Concerns have also been raised about a shortage of stewards for crowd control purposes.'
    It’ll be Death of Stalin redux, dozens of sobbing royalists crushed to death as they try to get a glimpse of the catafalque. Various horrible people manoeuvring for power and being summarily executed would be nice.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    I don't agree at all.

    I could quite happily listen to the music from G&S operettas, Phantom, Les Mis, Wicked and others.

    The plots of the successful ones tend to be pretty good too. Especially since many of them tend to be written based on the plots of books anyway.
    As I said I am in a minority of 1, although having @Cookie now join me we have doubled our representation here. Tomorrow the world.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    I get pissed off by how many people manage to dodge paying tax by getting their income paid to a ltd co (despite working for one employer) and who are now buggering off to Portugal and Cyprus to cash it all out tax free.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    moonshine said:

    I get pissed off by how many people manage to dodge paying tax by getting their income paid to a ltd co (despite working for one employer) and who are now buggering off to Portugal and Cyprus to cash it all out tax free.

    That's way harder than they will expect it to be unless they stay there for 6+ years.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    eek said:

    That's way harder than they will expect it to be unless they stay there for 6+ years.
    Yes that’s what they plan on doing.
  • AslanAslan Posts: 1,673
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Apologies, but this is, IMO, utter nonsense.
    ABBA's stuff is musically quite complex for popular music. Sure, the lyrics are fairly banal, but they also have a certain genius at times.

    I'm not sure there's any such thing as people who don't like music, but I'm quite happy to switch between Bach's solo violin pieces and ABBA's greatest hits on occasion.
    I love music but the God awful ear worms of ABBA combined with the stupidity of their lyrics can make me feel like I don't. Eurotrash rubbish.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    Interesting snippet from elsewhere.

    The average age of a adult social care worker (i.e. someone who does the caring) for Durham County Council is 56.

    Social care is going to be an even bigger problem than I thought it would be.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    MaxPB said:

    Of course I've got tickets to day 4 of the test. Fucks sake. Now I'm just hoping for rain today so we actually get some play on Sunday!

    Good luck.
    Pope looking very scratchy.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    eek said:

    Interesting snippet from elsewhere.

    The average age of a adult social care worker (i.e. someone who does the caring) for Durham County Council is 56.

    Social care is going to be an even bigger problem than I thought it would be.

    Yeah we’re stuffed unless Musk’s home robots come along in the next decade.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569

    It’ll be Death of Stalin redux, dozens of sobbing royalists crushed to death as they try to get a glimpse of the catafalque. Various horrible people manoeuvring for power and being summarily executed would be nice.
    Couldn't see whether anything was being done about shutting down radio and TV. When George VI died all broadcasts stopped, except for solemn music.mEven Radio Luxembourg cut back IIRC.
    It was very boring!
    Think I've posted before about how the Head called us all into the Assembly Hall, told us, then said that as it was a sad occasion, we would not be going home; we were to go back to our classrooms.
    IIRC the actual funeral wasn't a day off either. Oddly, I've no memory of that.
  • eek said:

    Interesting snippet from elsewhere.

    The average age of a adult social care worker (i.e. someone who does the caring) for Durham County Council is 56.

    Social care is going to be an even bigger problem than I thought it would be.

    What kind of salary would recruit enough 20 and 30 somethings who are not immigrants? Perhaps £30-32k generally, £40-45k in London?

    You are right it is going to be expensive, especially if we are determined to do it properly and without much immigration.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    MaxPB said:

    A novel argument, it will never catch on. Not with this bunch of idiots in charge.
    You are making the grave error of thinking the conservatives have any principles.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Aslan said:

    I love music but the God awful ear worms of ABBA combined with the stupidity of their lyrics can make me feel like I don't. Eurotrash rubbish.
    Genius.
    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/sep/08/40-years-abba-dancing-queen-people-just-surrender-to-it
  • eek said:

    Interesting snippet from elsewhere.

    The average age of a adult social care worker (i.e. someone who does the caring) for Durham County Council is 56.

    Social care is going to be an even bigger problem than I thought it would be.

    Maybe. Maybe not.

    I know a fair few people who've gone into working social care after they've finished working in their prior career.

    Unless those 56 year olds joined at 16/18 or so and have aged to 56 then that stat can be less revealing than it appears at first glance.
This discussion has been closed.