Why Democratic party candidates should welcome Trump backing their opponents – politicalbetting.com
Why Democratic party candidates should welcome Trump backing their opponents – politicalbetting.com
There’s a new academic analysis just been published which seeks to measure the effect of Trump backing certain Republican contenders in the 2018 midterm elections.
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Covid-19: Irish vaccine programme to include 12-15-year-olds
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-57984314
Past experienceInstinct is suggesting there will be a u-turn at the start of October.Edit: Yes, third, like the Reich.
I am shocked, shocked.....
https://order-order.com/2021/07/27/governments-meetings-transparency-hits-new-low/
A lifetime of billing in six minute blocks would mean things like that don't happen.
Cheshire Police CLOSE £10k blackmail probe into Wayne Rooney party pictures as Rooney agrees 'not to take matter further' https://trib.al/Y1Xn6qB
https://fullfact.org/health/robert-peston-reinfections/
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/565041-poll-republicans-want-trump-to-have-a-say-in-partys-future
...Forty-seven percent of Republican respondents say that the former president should yield “a lot” of influence within the party, while roughly one-third — 34 percent — believe that he should have “a little” sway over the GOP and its future.
The poll found that many Republicans are concerned about the direction of their party. A third of Republicans surveyed, 33 percent, are pessimistic about the GOP’s future, while 41 percent say they are optimistic. Only 13 percent say they are “very” optimistic about the future of the Republican Party...
Internment is too good for him.
Kenny Farquharson @KennyFarq
NEW: Defeating the Tories requires an electoral pact between all of the UK's progressive parties, including the SNP.
https://twitter.com/KennyFarq/status/1420054813656690690?s=20
Why didn't we see it before?
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=poison+song&docid=607986714341020364&mid=078403D17D6D9E3A8BB7078403D17D6D9E3A8BB7&view=detail&FORM=VIRE
There probably will be some rise, that's what happens to respiratory viral infections, in the autumn.
but I don't think a large number, cases for kids are dropping more slowly than for adults, according to the chartes posted below, suggesting that the fall in kids is a lagging secondary affect of the fall in adults, not because of the schools closeting.
For the original and even the alfa variant, kid to kid transiention was low, it seems to have been a bit higher for delta, but hard to say if amongst kids only the R0 number would be above 1, it might be but if its 1.1 or 1.2 then only 10 or 20% of kids need antibodies for there to be effetely zero growth in schools, and we probably have about that now.
I think the big risk is that there is a small rise in kids and then a massive over-reaction of kids being sent home n large numbers. ether kids get the vaccine or are allowed to get to heard immunity thought infection, but we cant keep sending them home sacrificing there education just to stop infections that might spread to adults, who have now mostly been vaccinated.
Getting things wrong is one thing, but he is far wose than this....and he keeps doing it. Remember the old my contact in the chemical industry bollocks. Loads of stuff on testing...JVT had to go om national tv and tell him to his face to STFU.
Please sign here
........................
But I'm warming to The Hundred.
TDS was at its height in 2018, with allegations over Russia and his never-ending commentary from the Presidency. I don't think he has the same galvanising force as he did in 2018 for the opposition (hardcore Democrats / anti-Trump haters yes, less bothered voters no).
Also, mid-terms are about turnout. Trump may galvanise the parts other Republicans cannot reach whereas Democrats may struggle to maintain enthusiasm. Uncle Joe's ratings are heading down and the picture does not look too rosy over the next 12 months.
Virginia will be an interesting one here, especially given the firestorm over CRT in schools. If McAuliffe scrapes a narrow victory or even loses (and he's not far ahead at this stage), it suggests the strategy of tying Republicans to Trump has faded appeal.
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-07-27/likely-california-voters-now-almost-evenly-split-on-newsom-recall-poll-finds
Graph of 8x the number in mechanical ventilation beds against people in hospital with covid in England through the pandemic.
It would be useful if contrarian could point to the recent dates when the ratio fell by half or more.
I suspect I'll hate it if I fear it ends up destroying the T20 blast.
AIUI the risk from the jab is similar but slightly lower than the conteseptive pill, which we allow 16 year olds to take.
We should be letting 16 and 17 year olds take the jab if they wish, many will not, and they should not be discriminated against if they don't but they should have the chose.
Yesterday we went on a trip to Ely, and I bought the little 'un a science primer for kids. He read it on the way back, and went very quiet. I looked over my shoulder and asked what he's reading about.
"Reproduction," he replied. Followed a few minutes later by: "I feel sick."
It's one way of introducing him to the subject...
It could be there are less people who are angry and want him removed than people who are content with him to stay.
But, I would think looking at how many people quickly singed the petition, that the anti Newsom side are more motivated, while the pro Newsom are comparably apathetic, so there could be a supportive.
Taking the theme of OGH’s header - that bampots damage campaigns they back - it would be lovely to see Boris Johnson* out on the campaign trail with BetterTogether2.
Mind you, if Dominic Cummings and Michael Gove really are the tactical geniuses they think they are, maybe they can persuade Johnson to back Yes?
(*BJ net approval in Scotland -44 according to latest Opinium)
Five minutes of Dan Wooton and I would empty my bank account to any terrorist group just to make it stop.
Nobody deserves GBNews.
Local ICU have moved to surge capacity again, aiming for 125% of regular capacity. Really struggling to staff it though. The operating theatre staff don't want to go back, and anaesthetists want to get on with their main job.
There is no way that waiting lists are going to reduce for a while, nor can hospital Infection Control be relaxed.
Edit: SLAB vote share now so low they might be better off getting the LDs or even the ScoTories to front it. Or not bother with Better Together again?
I mean his ratings earlier on this year were worse than Boris Johnson's ratings in Scotland.
It is why so many of us bet on Alba do very badly in May whereas the Scotch experts were predicting 12%-14% for Alba minimum.
Full marks for effort. Most Brown acolytes gave up long ago.
If the SLab vote share really is on the wrong side of 10% (and I don’t believe that for a second) then why is Next FM Sarwar priced at 12/1 but Next FM Ross is longer, at 18/1?
But hahahahahahahahaha at Martin Shkreli.
He's just turned seven.
Hahahahahahahahaha is pronounced 'Karma'.
Still hurts.
For example Israel's rules (which are currently on hiatus) are that you can travel there if you are vaccinated, or if you are 12 and under with a negative test.
Covid patients have to be isolated from other patients and with increased PPE around all of them; Covid is really quite infectious. The more covid patients you have, the more sources of potential infection.
When about 25-40% of beds are taken up by covid patients, cross-infection will be a more significant risk than when 2%-5% are taken up with covid patients.
https://twitter.com/dvir_a/status/1420059122725183491
Pretty sure some folk on here were slavering over the thought of Salmond getting back into Holyrood and destroying Nicola..
ICU admissions tend to be lagged a bit further.
Hospital numbers decline on discharge, and the average stay seems to be 6-7 days at the moment. Not sure of the average ICU stay.
You must have done some serious kicking out!
I’ve seen a lot of, well people just aren’t testing as much so case fall isn’t real.
Yes testing is down, but so is positivity. This is exactly as we would expect if there was less symptomatic covid about.
Less infection, less need for a pcr test.
https://twitter.com/ThatRyanChap/status/1420082187043487751?s=20
Now... if only I could travel between the US and the UK...
But it's not just a matter of vote share, unless improbably SLAB get an absolute majority of seats. Who else might vote for Mr Sarwar as FM rather than a footie referee? The LDs, sure, and perhaps the Greens. If the SNP abstained, that might be enough (but the core issue would probably have to be a loss of SG support of the SNP). But what can SLAB offer that the SNP won't, bearing ijn mind the Greens are pro-indy? Self-identification? Nah.
More than 200,000 adults have received a first vaccination in Newham (57%). Second dose just under 39%. Painfully slow progress - 344 first doses and 834 second yesterday.
Positive tests moving up but still well below the national average.
On my travels for work again today - the Underground remains quiet. Coming back through Bank just after 5, you'd expect a torrent of people in the streets and heading into Bank station - nothing like that. a trickle at best.
Notions of people returning to offices still very wide of the mark on my anecdotal evidence. Trains also very quiet part from leisure travellers.
Capacity rates for "General and acute" beds in winter (Oct-Dec) 2019 were regularly over 90% across England vs 80% the following year the same period.
Perhaps a more important question is whether Mr Johnson will come up to Scotland and not hide in a fridge. Mr Cameron at least did so repeatedly [edit: i mean came up, not hide in f.], even after the porridge factory visit of happy memory.
Or are they still saying they're analysing the data?
Oh yes, there was a rather good graphic done at the time of indyref 1 showing the two different teams on a footie pitch. Quite illuminating.
My sweet spot was Alba getting just one MSP and that MSP being Alex Salmond.
There would have been something tragic-comedic about that for the next four years.
I simply won't support Manchester and that's my "local" one.
“including Labour.
Scot Lab spent/wasted last decade most time energy attacking Nats & then predominantly Labour's left (soc dems like Leonard & Corbyn) giving Tories clear run”
Pia was media advisor & communications director for the Labour Party at the Scottish Parliament (2008-12) and special advisor to both Wendy Alexander and Iain Gray. He worked with the office of then Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling.
Very instructive to see such a key SLab figure now saying that SLab “wasted a decade” attacking the SNP and thereby giving Tories a clear run.
The "hybrid" pattern of 2-3 days per week seems to be in vogue though some forms have decided to eschew office working completely in the future.