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Labour has a bigger problem in seeking power than Scotland: the Midlands…. – politicalbetting.com

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  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,103
    Sandpit said:

    The issue is, that many politicians of the left spend a disproportionate amount of the time talking about buses, trains, and disincentivising car use. Mainly because they’re all from London or other large cities.

    To the vast majority of the country, including yourself, the car is the primary mode of transport, and the constant talk of buses, trains and taxes on cars is alienating.
    You're right to an extent, but even though the car is my primary mode of transport, better public transport in my area is still good for me. More options is always better.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,394
    eek said:

    The issue with public transport is always one of wait time - waiting for the train, waiting for the connection...

    Once that gets beyond a few minutes, cars become the preferred option.
    The changes really are the killer. If you live in the centre of Birmingham then the fastest way to get to the centre of Leeds is the train. If you live half way down a spoke heading to somewhere half way down a spoke of another hub then the car so much easier and pleasant.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    You're right to an extent, but even though the car is my primary mode of transport, better public transport in my area is still good for me. More options is always better.
    For the overwhelming majority of voters better roads for them to drive on will improve their transportation more.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited May 2021
    eek said:

    Gearbox - but that is still a part that you can only have x of a year.
    BBC website said engine. If it’s a new gearbox, that’s a five place grid drop (which a new engine wouldn’t be).

    Engines are three per season, gearboxes are six concecutive events unless you retire. Although actually, now I think about it, it may be a ‘Friday gearbox’ which doesn’t count.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,103

    Yes but who prominent from North East Labour speaks up on behalf of drivers? Speaks up on behalf of making road transportation better? Views driving as a good thing not an evil only for where public transport isn't available?

    Anyone?
    Don't have time to talk about that mate — gotta discuss Palestine instead.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited May 2021
    Dura_Ace said:

    The EU AVAS directive means BEVs have to emit an artificial noise of at least 56db up to speeds of 20km/hr. The BMW i4 had its noise custom synthesised the composer Hans Zimmer who's done loads of films I can't remember but am sure are notable.
    They could insert subtle little themes (as is Zimmer’s wont) as expensive options, Ritt der Wälkuren for yer Bayern beast, Nimrod for the Jeg.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681

    Despite the name, the Conservative Party is not some kind of historical re-enactment society; it adapts its tactics and strategy to the current circumstances while always holding to its most fundamental priorities: to keep socialists out of power, and to conserve as much as can be conserved while achieving that goal. To have offered the nation a purely Thatcherite economic prospectus in the context of 2019 would have been the best way to propel Jeremy Corbyn into power, and as such would have been a profoundly un-Conservative thing to do.

    Labour, by contrast, is remarkably backward-looking. The left look back to Attlee as their supreme model; the right look not only to Blairism for victory, but as Lord Adonis asserted just a few days ago, to Blair himself (!). The party of progress and solidarity is paradoxically stuck in the past and fatally riven; Conservatives stick together and look to the future.
    Yes. But you're dressing up vice as a virtue.

    What's good for the Conservatives is good for Britain because Labour are bad for Britain, so the Conservatives sacred duty is to win elections and keep out Labour who are very bad for Britain. Therefore whatever the Conservatives do to win elections and stay in power is not only good for them, it is by definition extremely good for Britain.

    This is the logic of the ultra partisan. And it's impeccable on its own terms.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    edited May 2021
    Foss said:

    The changes really are the killer. If you live in the centre of Birmingham then the fastest way to get to the centre of Leeds is the train. If you live half way down a spoke heading to somewhere half way down a spoke of another hub then the car so much easier and pleasant.
    It's why if you are in first class (or fly often) you get lounge access to make the wait bearable. That isn't (of course) an option for a hub and spoke bus network where 2 buses are required to get from home to work and back.

    That requires a very frequent bus service with limited wait periods...
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,103

    For the overwhelming majority of voters better roads for them to drive on will improve their transportation more.
    It's not an either/or though. Improving roads is good for cars AND buses, for example.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited May 2021
    eek said:

    Could you at least pick something that looks nice and is at least vaguely symmetrical - on the long walk to Aldi / M&S we go past a new estate and some of the houses are built with windows that emphasis that all the rooms on one side are about 7ft wide max.
    It’ll go great with our chlorinated chicken and steroidal Oz beef.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276
    edited May 2021
    HYUFD said:

    Looks like if Jo Cox's sister is confirmed as Labour candidate she will hold Batley and Spen Andrew Gimson finds on a visit to the constituency

    https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2021/05/labour-voters-make-kim-leadbeater-sister-of-jo-cox-early-favourite-in-the-batley-and-spen-by-election.html

    You can get 2.84 on Labour winning the seat with Smarkets. BF has been backed down to 2.51.

    Edit: BF now 2.58.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    edited May 2021
    Sandpit said:

    BBC website said engine. If it’s a new gearbox, that’s a five place grid drop (which a new engine wouldn’t be).

    Engines are three per season, gearboxes are six concecutive events unless you retire. Although actually, now I think about it, it may be a ‘Friday gearbox’ which doesn’t count.
    Looking on twitter

    Netflix is following Ferrari this weekend. As if Charles‘s home race curse wasn‘t enough. We need a bigger prayer circle this weekend

    Tells me that this is only the beginning of Ferrari's problems this weekend.

    And it's nice to know netflix will have another series next year - I rather enjoyed it.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    Dura_Ace said:

    They need some clear red water between themselves and the blue filth. There is definitely room for some real policy creativity here because, exterior to the undead wing of the tory party, nobody gives a fuck how anything is going to be paid for anymore.
    So long as the annoying notion that Tory spending-like-drunken-sailor* policies are somehow less scary than Labour ones can be killed off.

    * Carefully selected phrase for my correspondent. :smile:
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    You're right to an extent, but even though the car is my primary mode of transport, better public transport in my area is still good for me. More options is always better.
    One thing that should be talked about is the move to electric cars changing the dynamic of what is most environmentally friendly.

    When I lived in Wiltshire, an enterprising chap proposed that, since the ridership on the buses was very low, he could offer a better service (more frequent) with Priuses and less CO2 emissions.

    He proposal was rejected "because buses".
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    That makes me uneasy. None of the explanations that spring to mind are innocent.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280
    The XXL coat with 'HOME SECRETARY' emblazoned on it is a macabre touch.

    I reckon we're about 18 months away from Oliver Durden wearing a Lt Gen's sabre, baton and crown epaulettes.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,303
    edited May 2021



    Is there anyone who doesnt think the civil service needs reform? Cummings is hardly unique on that, in fact very mainstream. The question is if the best way to reform the civil service is by putting a few weirdos and misfits in front of 100 tv screens on a giant wall and making them all powerful?

    After all, Cumming's Hard Rain largely turned into water off a duck's back.

    Everyone knows that Yes, Minister tells you everything you need to know about British government. But there's a subtle difference between the book and the TV series.

    The final TV episode was The Tangled Web, where Hacker gets one over on Sir Humphrey. But in the novelisation, the final episode is The National Education service. The end (narrated as Hacker's diaries) is quite poignant;

    I took a deep breath. "Yes," I said quietly. My plans were turning to dust. Like all my plans. Suddenly I saw, with a real clarity that I'd never enjoyed before, that although I might win the occasional policy victory, or be indulged with a few scraps from the table, noting fundamental was ever ever going to change.
    Humphrey was now in the best of humour. I heard his voice, as if in the distance. "Prime Minister? Prime Minister? Are you all right?"
    I focused on him. "Yes".
    "Excellent. Then shall we continue with the agendum?"
    "Agendum?" I smiled. All the fight had gone out of me. "No, Humphrey, we have no agendum any more. Meeting declared closed. All right?"
    "Yes Prime Minister." He smiled at me with sympathy. He could see that at last I understood.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    eek said:

    Looking on twitter

    Netflix is following Ferrari this weekend. As if Charles‘s home race curse wasn‘t enough. We need a bigger prayer circle this weekend

    Tells me that this is only the beginning of Ferrari's problems this weekend.

    And it's nice to know netflix will have another series next year - I rather enjoyed it.
    The Netflix series is awesome, if only that it’s got my wife and her friends interested in F1 ;)

    Which, of course, is exactly what F1 wanted from the programme, new fans. Mostly women and Americans.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    Stocky said:

    You can get 2.84 on Labour winning the seat with Smarkets. BF has been backed down to 2.51.

    Edit: BF now 2.58.
    Now 2.72. Someone in there with a fiver.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,103

    One thing that should be talked about is the move to electric cars changing the dynamic of what is most environmentally friendly.

    When I lived in Wiltshire, an enterprising chap proposed that, since the ridership on the buses was very low, he could offer a better service (more frequent) with Priuses and less CO2 emissions.

    He proposal was rejected "because buses".
    Well that seems very silly, but it's hard to comment fully without knowing the full details. I doubt it was as simple as that!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    kinabalu said:

    That makes me uneasy. None of the explanations that spring to mind are innocent.
    Why? Home Secretary observing implementation of Home Office policy?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    Sandpit said:

    The Netflix series is awesome, if only that it’s got my wife and her friends interested in F1 ;)

    Which, of course, is exactly what F1 wanted from the programme, new fans. Mostly women and Americans.
    In other news (again from twitter)

    so let’s recap
    -mclaren has a celebratory livery
    -williams is celebrating 750 races
    -ferrari is being followed by netflix

    I anticipate chaos

    https://twitter.com/Chaaarlee1/status/1395259823973969920
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    It's not an either/or though. Improving roads is good for cars AND buses, for example.
    Of course! But the anti car zealots don't think about that.

    What gets me the most is the zealots who eg suggest over £100bn on HS2 is good to level up the north. When the overwhelming majority of us drive.

    If we can spend £100bn on new rail links, let alone whatever crossrail etc cost then I can only wonder what £100bn spent building new motorways could have done for transportation in this country?

    But those setting the agenda like to pretend we are all just waiting for trains.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited May 2021
    Dura_Ace said:

    The XXL coat with 'HOME SECRETARY' emblazoned on it is a macabre touch.

    I reckon we're about 18 months away from Oliver Durden wearing a Lt Gen's sabre, baton and crown epaulettes.
    And Priti with a necklace made of captured illegals’ ears.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,303
    kinabalu said:

    That makes me uneasy. None of the explanations that spring to mind are innocent.
    It gets her out of the office, which may be for the best.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    kinabalu said:

    That makes me uneasy. None of the explanations that spring to mind are innocent.
    What's the problem? Isn't this part of her job?

    Would you prefer she sat in her ivory tower and had no idea what deportations look like in practice, and the implications on the lives of the people targeted?
  • JBriskin3JBriskin3 Posts: 1,254
    eek said:

    In other news (again from twitter)

    so let’s recap
    -mclaren has a celebratory livery
    -williams is celebrating 750 races
    -ferrari is being followed by netflix

    I anticipate chaos

    https://twitter.com/Chaaarlee1/status/1395259823973969920
    Can someone explain to me what "Netflix following Ferrari" entails?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690

    One thing that should be talked about is the move to electric cars changing the dynamic of what is most environmentally friendly.

    When I lived in Wiltshire, an enterprising chap proposed that, since the ridership on the buses was very low, he could offer a better service (more frequent) with Priuses and less CO2 emissions.

    He proposal was rejected "because buses".
    That was Uber's entire business model - the issue is that drivers add inconvenience as they can only work x hours a day and are blooming expensive.

    Uber's entire aim was to be in prime position as the switch from humans driving to automated driving occurred.

    Then everyone discovered it not a 90%/10% problem but a 99.99%/0.01% problem and automation is nowhere near where everyone hoped it would be.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    Well that seems very silly, but it's hard to comment fully without knowing the full details. I doubt it was as simple as that!
    The decision was taken that only buses could be used for bus routes. So they continued to run an ancient bus that rattled you to death, while spewing out a black fog, once every 2 hours.

    I rather suspect that it was down to ensuring that the right people got the contract.

  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    JBriskin3 said:

    Can someone explain to me what "Netflix following Ferrari" entails?
    They're currently slipstreaming, and will look to overtake at the next corner.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    JBriskin3 said:

    Can someone explain to me what "Netflix following Ferrari" entails?
    Netflix have camera crews who follow each team for a weekend - it adds complexity and annoyance to the teams who have cameras pointing at them and questions being asked so it's a massive distraction - which means mistakes often occur that might not otherwise occur.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited May 2021
    kinabalu said:

    Yes. But you're dressing up vice as a virtue.

    What's good for the Conservatives is good for Britain because Labour are bad for Britain, so the Conservatives sacred duty is to win elections and keep out Labour who are very bad for Britain. Therefore whatever the Conservatives do to win elections and stay in power is not only good for them, it is by definition extremely good for Britain.

    This is the logic of the ultra partisan. And it's impeccable on its own terms.
    That is a most excellent summary indeed, and pretty much where the nation is right now.

    Here's the Labour version:

    What's good for Labour is good for Britain because the Tories are bad for Britain, so Labour's sacred duty is to win elections and keep out the Tories who are very bad for Britain. Unless that means compromising one micron with Blairites/Brownites/Soft Left/Blue Labour/Corbynites/Starmerites/reality, in which case our faction must maintain absolute ideological purity and if the Tories get in again then who cares anyway at least they'll keep our taxes down...
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    Sandpit said:

    So Cummings was right then, that massive CS reform is needed?
    So long as it includes the class angle. If it doesn't - waste of time.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    eek said:

    That was Uber's entire business model - the issue is that drivers add inconvenience as they can only work x hours a day and are blooming expensive.

    Uber's entire aim was to be in prime position as the switch from humans driving to automated driving occurred.

    Then everyone discovered it not a 90%/10% problem but a 99.99%/0.01% problem and automation is nowhere near where everyone hoped it would be.
    Nope - the idea was, IIRC, that he would run a more frequent, but still timed service. An interesting extra was a proposal to have a call-button at the bus stop and get a fill-in service, if required.
  • JBriskin3JBriskin3 Posts: 1,254
    eek said:

    Netflix have camera crews who follow each team for a weekend - it adds complexity and annoyance to the teams who have cameras pointing at them and questions being asked so it's a massive distraction - which means mistakes often occur that might not otherwise occur.
    Thanks. Do they broadcast this live or broadcast in the near future - or is it for a Season documentary?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Why? Home Secretary observing implementation of Home Office policy?
    Plus the Tweeter lied.

    It was an NCA raid arresting suspected people smuggling gangsters.

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/priti-patel-joins-raids-as-police-arrest-people-smuggling-suspects/ar-BB1gUvZt
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,560
    Endillion said:

    What's the problem? Isn't this part of her job?

    Would you prefer she sat in her ivory tower and had no idea what deportations look like in practice, and the implications on the lives of the people targeted?
    Our local councillor wrote an excellent letter to his constituents before his re-election, and I think there was a mention that he had attended at early morning police raids as part of his work. So, absolutely Priti Patel is entitled to do that - I just hope she draws the right lessons from that experience (whatever that may be, having never attended an immigration raid myself, I will not try to define what nuance is to be drawn from one).
  • StereodogStereodog Posts: 828
    Great article but it contains one of my most pedantic pet peeves. In the novel Scoop "Up to a point Lord Copper" doesn't literally mean "Up to a point". It was the strongest possible way his assistant could disagree. So in fact the phrase means "Not at all". I'll get my coat...
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    JBriskin3 said:

    Thanks. Do they broadcast this live or broadcast in the near future - or is it for a Season documentary?
    It's usually released March the following year.
  • JBriskin3JBriskin3 Posts: 1,254
    eek said:

    It's usually released March the following year.
    Got it. Thanks
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    Endillion said:

    What's the problem? Isn't this part of her job?

    Would you prefer she sat in her ivory tower and had no idea what deportations look like in practice, and the implications on the lives of the people targeted?
    Hope she turns up for a publicity photo the next time her Zollgenzschutz turn up in Glasgow.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480
    Sandpit said:

    In contrast to his Ferrari team mate, who needs a new engine!
    I'm fine with that, as I'm on at 60 (and a bit better than that for Sainz) for pole.
    If the Ferrari speed is real, then half that would be decent odds.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    Endillion said:

    Yes, I was (obviously) being facetious. You need Blair's abilities back, not his surname.

    Although, I was also making a wider point about how strange I find Labour's occasional dalliance with dynastic legacy (eg B&S) and how poorly it sits with a party that's supposed to be vehemently against inherited privilege.
    Abilities, yes. Policies and positioning, no.

    Picking Leadbetter would hardly be an example of dynastic inherited privilege! Nor of sentimentality for that matter. It would be based on hard-headed calculation of electoral appeal. The right candidate for Time & Place. The person with the best chance of winning. And, as it happens, with a good CV.

    But let's see if they do pick her. Maybe they won't. Seems a no-brainer to me but perhaps I'm missing something.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Hope she turns up for a publicity photo the next time her Zollgenzschutz turn up in Glasgow.
    Considering this wasn't an immigration raid, it was a raid on people smuggling gangsters, do you object to them being arrested?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    isam said:

    ...

    Shame is often those rich, public schoolboys who vote Labour, James O’Brien springs to mind, point & guffaw at working class Leave/UKIP/Tories saying “They’re literally voting to make themselves poorer!!” whilst voting to make themselves poorer and thinking it a virtue
    What a fantastically well observed point.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214
    edited May 2021
    Any thoughts on the New York Mayoral Election?

    I've opposed Yang from the start, so how have been quite offside as he went very short (as low as 1.21 at one point) and see he is now back to 2.2, which puts me about flat. It seems to be Yang head to head vs Adams. Adams is the candidate with better local ties, small lead in polls and with upwards momentum so any reason why he is not odds on?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    What a fantastically well observed point.
    Do you think a Labour government would make the likes of JOB poorer?

    He's the sort of luvvie I'd imagine has been caught up with the the Tories clamping down on tax evasion IR35 etc.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    kinabalu said:

    Cute point but flawed. Because rich people voting knowingly against their economic self-interest is a wholly different thing to poor people being conned into voting against theirs.

    That's why your point doesn't quite work. Whether they were actually being conned is a separate argument. I think they were, as you know.

    And I totally agree with you about 'guffawing'. It's in all circumstances a reprehensible thing. I never guffaw and I distance myself from those who do.
    Jeez I try to ignore you but only the most self regarding patronising twat could have written this *and* believe what he's written.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    Do you think a Labour government would make the likes of JOB poorer?

    He's the sort of luvvie I'd imagine has been caught up with the the Tories clamping down on tax evasion IR35 etc.
    I think he's great entertainment. Like Polly, Laurence Fox, etc.

    And his tax affairs had better be whiter than white so no I don't think he would have been caught up but you never know.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,453
    Mr. B, think it is, or sandbagging from the big two?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Nigelb said:

    I'm fine with that, as I'm on at 60 (and a bit better than that for Sainz) for pole.
    If the Ferrari speed is real, then half that would be decent odds.
    They are a good two or three seconds off the pace at the moment, so it’s difficult to tell. Each session is quicker than the previous one, as rubber goes down on the track and the drivers get more familiar with the place.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480

    Any thoughts on the New York Mayoral Election?

    I've opposed Yang from the start, so how have been quite offside as he went very short (as low as 1.21 at one point) and see he is now back to 2.2, which puts me about flat. It seems to be Yang head to head vs Adams. Adams is the candidate with better local ties, small lead in polls and with upwards momentum so any reason why he is not odds on?

    They haven't had a debate yet ?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    eek said:

    It's usually released March the following year.
    It has the advantage that the teams are somewhat more free to speak, given they know the season will be over before the footage gets shown. Even if their editing is terrible, for those of us who actually watch the season in progress.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480
    edited May 2021

    Mr. B, think it is, or sandbagging from the big two?

    Certainly Mercedes weren't going flat out.
    But at those odds, Ferrari just has to have some sort of a chance, not be the quickest. And Monaco gives them that.

    25 or 30/1 might be fair value ?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    edited May 2021

    Because the housing market doesn't play to money currently?

    Currently people can't afford to buy a home, with or without a view.

    Liberalise the housing market and it will be easier to buy a home, but maybe harder to buy a view. So which is more important: being able to buy a house, or buy a view?

    PS this already happens in many countries without a draconian planning regime. Communities can buy the fields near them then let them to farmers for peppercorn rents. That way they can only be developed if the community agrees to sell and if the community agrees to sell the community gets the income from selling.
    I'm sure you have a point. Our planning laws could be improved. It's the badging you need to work on. Like "defund the police" your slogan is not a good choice.

    Everyone "buying their own view" sounds appalling. Visions of wealthy people gazing forever upon rolling fields, softly tinkling fountains, swans gliding gracefully across tranquil waters, whilst the poor look out at somebody peeing against a brutalist, graffiti-covered wall.

    That's how it is now. Our goal has to be to mitigate this, not reinforce it.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited May 2021
    TOPPING said:



    Jeez I try to ignore you but only the most self regarding patronising twat could have written this *and* believe what he's written.

    I have to say that you’re extremely shit at ignoring him. Perhaps get a room and have a Women In Love style wrassle off to settle things once and for all?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Several of our pans don't work on our induction hob. At first we thought it was the hob, until we tried the right pan.
    Yes, that's another downside of this frankly shit excuse for a proper gas hob – all the great pans you have collected over the years at great expense. Guess what? They not longer work.

    Gas is where it's at.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    edited May 2021

    I have to say that you’re extremely shit at ignoring him. Perhaps get a room and have a Women In Love style wrassle off?
    That is true. I will try harder. But imagine @HYUFD explaining to you time and again the minutiae of Scottish independence politics and the associated invasion plan. Near-impossible to ignore, right?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Nigelb said:

    Certainly Mercedes weren't going flat out.
    But at those odds, Ferrari just has to have some sort of a chance, not be the quickest. And Monaco gives them that.

    25 or 30/1 might be fair value ?
    Could be P1 glory runs though. Ferrari have form with that tactic as well and Monaco is a big race for them.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214
    Nigelb said:

    They haven't had a debate yet ?
    2 debates so far and 2 to come according to wiki, although NY times reporting wikis 2nd as the 1st debate. Surprisingly little coverage on 538.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/13/nyregion/nyc-mayor-debate-takeaways.html

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_New_York_City_mayoral_election
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480
    edited May 2021
    The 'audit' of the Arizona vote is all kind of a mess.

    I watched the GOP’s Arizona election audit. It was worse than you think.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/05/19/gop-arizona-election-audit/

    Though 'Cyber Ninjas' makes an interesting change from PwC or KPMG...

    ...The volunteers only recounted if their tally sheets had three or more errors — a threshold they stuck to, no matter how many ballots a stack contained, whether it was 50 or 100. This allowed for a shocking amount of error. Some table managers told the counters to go back and recount when there were too many errors; other table managers just instructed the counters to fix their “math mistakes.” At no point did anyone track how many ballots they were processing at their station, to ensure that none got added or lost during handling....

    The determination that a folded ballot paper is 'suspicious' is just bizarre.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Labour might win Batley but heading into a pub and asking "Will you be voting for Jo Cox's sister" - which is about what the ConHome chap did is going to elicit a bias response.
    Most voters will have no idea who she is.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Here's an idea, instead of creating yet another culture war between cars/trains/buses (I mean WTF – these are all things with wheels), we should have a vision of a proper integrated transport system, with great roads, great railways and great bus networks. I've said before, it's horses for courses: I own a big Audi. But if I'm going into town, I take the train. I get about in town via the Tube and if I'm going out on the piss locally, I take the excellent bus. Long journeys point to point? It's the car.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,628

    Is there anyone who doesnt think the civil service needs reform? Cummings is hardly unique on that, in fact very mainstream. The question is if the best way to reform the civil service is by putting a few weirdos and misfits in front of 100 tv screens on a giant wall and making them all powerful?
    The other thing Cummings was keen on is having political appointments run things.
    IMO that's a mistake, we benefit a lot from having a neutral civil service that serves successive govts and gives them impartial advice.... rather than say the US system where everyone senior changes jobs with a new administration and a bunch of the people are offered jobs because they are big donors/influential in the party.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,584
    eek said:

    I think there is now a centralised point - the NHS system, which GPs have access to when needing to fill up their slots.
    I think there has been poor comms about this. My mother in law was in danger of falling through the cracks until we intervened.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kinabalu said:

    I'm sure you have a point. Our planning laws could be improved. It's the badging you need to work on. Like "defund the police" your slogan is not a good choice.

    Everyone "buying their own view" sounds appalling. Visions of wealthy people gazing forever upon rolling fields, softly tinkling fountains, swans gliding gracefully across tranquil waters, whilst the poor look out at somebody peeing against a brutalist, graffiti-covered wall.

    That's how it is now. Our goal has to be to mitigate this, not reinforce it.
    The point is my vision is that everyone ought to be able to buy their own home.

    Views are secondary to that. If I have a pretty neighbour, I don't get to demand to view her, that's creepy. Keeping views of your neighbours land is up to them surely, its not yours? Most important is getting people able to get their own home - beyond that is bonus.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    Priti Patel is one of those: an attractive woman with an absolutely massive arse. She gives me the horn of dilemma
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480
    MaxPB said:

    Could be P1 glory runs though. Ferrari have form with that tactic as well and Monaco is a big race for them.
    It could - but they were also genuinely quick in S3 in Catalunya.
    Slow corners suit their car.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Lol, Rhodes doesn't fall. Oriel College decline to do so because of expense and regulatory concerns, especially given that the culture secretary has an effective veto over its removal now.

    Expect Twitter go go mental over it, I wonder whether Labour will fall into this trap as well or if they'll manage to sidestep it by not saying anything. We know the Tories will celebrate it especially given that Oriel have cited regulatory issues as the major reason to not do it.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214
    Nigelb said:

    The 'audit' of the Arizona vote is all kind of a mess.

    I watched the GOP’s Arizona election audit. It was worse than you think.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/05/19/gop-arizona-election-audit/

    Though 'Cyber Ninjas' makes an interesting change from PwC or KPMG...

    ...The volunteers only recounted if their tally sheets had three or more errors — a threshold they stuck to, no matter how many ballots a stack contained, whether it was 50 or 100. This allowed for a shocking amount of error. Some table managers told the counters to go back and recount when there were too many errors; other table managers just instructed the counters to fix their “math mistakes.” At no point did anyone track how many ballots they were processing at their station, to ensure that none got added or lost during handling....

    The determination that a folded ballot paper is 'suspicious' is just bizarre.

    Not bizarre at all. The objective is to show the election was suspicious, that can only be done by determinations like that.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Nigelb said:

    It could - but they were also genuinely quick in S3 in Catalunya.
    Slow corners suit their car.
    True, I think 60/1 is a good value loser. Possibly a good trade if Sainz tops the time sheets in Q1 or Q2.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,584

    Well that seems very silly, but it's hard to comment fully without knowing the full details. I doubt it was as simple as that!
    Wiltshire is unbelievably rural and no-one uses the buses. I think it changed when it became free for oaps.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    MaxPB said:

    Lol, Rhodes doesn't fall. Oriel College decline to do so because of expense and regulatory concerns, especially given that the culture secretary has an effective veto over its removal now.

    Expect Twitter go go mental over it, I wonder whether Labour will fall into this trap as well or if they'll manage to sidestep it by not saying anything. We know the Tories will celebrate it especially given that Oriel have cited regulatory issues as the major reason to not do it.

    What was the point of all the independent review...they should have just stood up from the start and said no.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,480

    2 debates so far and 2 to come according to wiki, although NY times reporting wikis 2nd as the 1st debate. Surprisingly little coverage on 538.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/13/nyregion/nyc-mayor-debate-takeaways.html

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_New_York_City_mayoral_election
    Yes (I hadn't really been following it, either, so thanks for the link).
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280

    I have to say that you’re extremely shit at ignoring him. Perhaps get a room and have a Women In Love style wrassle off to settle things once and for all?
    They can have a melon-off if another pb.com meetup ever happens.
  • JBriskin3JBriskin3 Posts: 1,254
    Leon said:

    Priti Patel is one of those: an attractive woman with an absolutely massive arse. She gives me the horn of dilemma
    Reverse Butter Face. My nickname for her is Pretty Priti.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,584

    Yes, that's another downside of this frankly shit excuse for a proper gas hob – all the great pans you have collected over the years at great expense. Guess what? They not longer work.

    Gas is where it's at.
    I love my induction hob. Yes I had to replace the pans, but I took the chance to buy a really nice set and love using them.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,143
    MaxPB said:

    Yes it's why every announcement of tech that can win the climate change war rather than ridiculous lifestyle changes are met with scepticism by the loony bin Greens. The turning point will be when commercially viable tech that removes CO2 from the air and makes a useful substance from it becomes available in the next 5 years. Once atmospheric CO2 begins to have real value the private sector will pile in to extract it and eventually it will become a fairly important industry. That's the tech revolution we, as a nation, need to be at the forefront of, not bowing down to Green mentalists who want everyone to live in caves.
    One of my upper middle-class XR supporting Green friends posted a Facebook petition against CCS tech and asked me to sign it.

    I politely declined and sent her a message outlining why I disagreed. It's exactly what we need.

    She didn't respond.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Dura_Ace said:

    They can have a melon-off if another pb.com meetup ever happens.
    Surely a game of chicken in Dacia Dusters as they are cool again.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,540
    edited May 2021
    MaxPB said:

    Did you see the microwave based boiler concept earlier this year? I think that's going to be the solution as its price competitive and slots into existing spaces. Over 10-15 years the existing stock of gas boilers will naturally get replaced so there's no need to get people to change early or pay extortionate prices for air or ground based heat pump systems.
    The microwave boilers won't go anywhere fast - they are just on demand electrical heating by another name, and in the absence of storage require you to heat your property at peak electricity prices without the 3-4x cost reduction (through less electricity needed) you can get with a Heat Pump.

    To keep the price of heating the same with on demand electrical heating the same as a gas boiler the amount used has to reduced by about 75%, or somebody else to pay 75% of the bill. That's just physics and economics.

    In essence it is no different from the "Wall Mounted Electric Radiators" sold by spivs and con-artists as a 'replacement' for storage heaters.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681

    Why? Home Secretary observing implementation of Home Office policy?
    It has the air of mob boss wishing to witness at close quarters the 'debriefing' of the 'rat'.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    What was the point of all the independent review...they should have just stood up from the start and said no.
    Wait until next week when they find the money for a f***** rotunda, or something.

    Could they not have a whip around?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    edited May 2021
    kinabalu said:

    It has the air of mob boss wishing to witness at close quarters the 'debriefing' of the 'rat'.
    Talking of mob bosses, this is a fantastic article about the Mobs of Marbs.

    https://www.theguardian.com/news/2021/may/20/a-united-nations-of-how-marbella-became-a-magnet-for-gangsters
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    MattW said:

    In essence it is no different from the "Wall Mounted Electric Radiators" sold by spivs and con-artists as a 'replacement' for storage heaters.

    I saw an advert once for an electric radiator that was basically a crypto-currency miner
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,103
    MattW said:

    The microwave boilers won't go anywhere fast - they are just on demand electrical heating by another name, and in the absence of storage require you to heat your property at peak electricity prices without the 3-4x cost reduction (through less electricity needed) you can get with a Heat Pump.

    To keep the price of heating the same with on demand electrical heating the same as a gas boiler the amount used has to reduced by about 75%, or somebody else to pay 75% of the bill. That's just physics and economics.

    In essence it is no different from the "Wall Mounted Electric Radiators" sold by spivs and con-artists as a 'replacement' for storage heaters.
    100% right, and in fact I believe I highlighted this when we first spoke about it.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681

    The point is my vision is that everyone ought to be able to buy their own home.

    Views are secondary to that. If I have a pretty neighbour, I don't get to demand to view her, that's creepy. Keeping views of your neighbours land is up to them surely, its not yours? Most important is getting people able to get their own home - beyond that is bonus.
    Everyone "buying their own home" then. I can get behind that. You'd need to do something on the finance side for those with little income or capital, but this shouldn't be beyond the wit of man. Sold.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    Leon said:

    Priti Patel is one of those: an attractive woman with an absolutely massive arse. She gives me the horn of dilemma
    I think it’s massiveness blots out everything else, a massive arse eclipse if you will. Nigella on the right side of this argument imho.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    Dura_Ace said:

    They can have a melon-off if another pb.com meetup ever happens.
    Ok, I looked it up.
    Lol.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kinabalu said:

    It has the air of mob boss wishing to witness at close quarters the 'debriefing' of the 'rat'.
    The 'rat' is an alleged criminal gangster making money on others misery.

    Where do your sympathies lie?
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    kinabalu said:

    It has the air of mob boss wishing to witness at close quarters the 'debriefing' of the 'rat'.
    Only if you've completely lost your mind.

    Forgive my ignorance, but are such "debriefings" usually accompanied by TV cameras?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    Elon Musk UK visit drives Tesla factory rumours

    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-57185806

    Do billionaires not have to quarantine?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,182
    edited May 2021

    The issue is you are atypical for much of the left.

    I've said before I could well imagine you as a Tory in the future. I wouldn't say that about everyone.

    Take it as a compliment 😜
    Take it as an insult @Gallowgate. I would.

    As @HYUFD often affirms, @Philip_Thompson is not a Conservative anyway!
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    TOPPING said:

    Jeez I try to ignore you but only the most self regarding patronising twat could have written this *and* believe what he's written.
    Well why don't you "lead the team" through some "good debating" on electric toothbrushes then?

    There's room for all on here. PB = Diversity. :smile:
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223

    The 'rat' is an alleged criminal gangster making money on others misery.

    Where do your sympathies lie?
    The hundred+ migrants picked up as part of the operation? I’m sure they’re being treated as victims..
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214
    kinabalu said:

    Everyone "buying their own home" then. I can get behind that. You'd need to do something on the finance side for those with little income or capital, but this shouldn't be beyond the wit of man. Sold.
    Please not more govt subsidised finance, that is the prop that is making housing expensive as it makes a majority of the country believe the govt will just increase that subsidy if prices ever look like falling. In the very long run they are wrong, but the very long run is way too long for most people's lives.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361

    The 'rat' is an alleged criminal gangster making money on others misery.

    Where do your sympathies lie?
    I love all the screeching about how dare the authorities remove the two Indians illegal immigrants on an Islamic holy day.....and they turn out to two Sikhs. So essentially people are arguing you can't deport an individual from a nominally Christian country on the holy day of a different religion that has nothing to do with those being deported. Interesting logic.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Elon Musk UK visit drives Tesla factory rumours

    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-57185806

    Do billionaires not have to quarantine?

    If they're considering whether to invest billions, creating tens of thousands of well paid jobs? 🤔

    Red carpet.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    Scott_xP said:

    I saw an advert once for an electric radiator that was basically a crypto-currency miner
    When I was doing GPU computing, at one point I had my machine from work at home. It was driving 4 big cards and a CPU. The power supply was interesting. The noise was quite something. The space heating effect was quite pronounced when I was optimising a portfolio.....
This discussion has been closed.