It is a truth universally acknowledged that the most accurate poll is the one that reflects most you
It is a truth universally acknowledged that the most accurate poll is the one that reflects most your leanings – politicalbetting.com
Over the past three days three separate national polls have been published. All of them show the Tory lead less than the general election but that is about as far as it goes.
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https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/26/photos-show-the-deadly-toll-of-covid-in-india-as-coronavirus-cases-top-17-million.html
Wait.
Edit: never mind. Fourth like... dammit.
I've often bemoaned alpha personalities getting top jobs beyond their ability, but if that is what the alternative looks like I'm happy to admit I was wrong.
Either there are rules about pseudo political donations to avoid allegations of undue influence and conflicts of interest that apply equally, or there are not.
Boris knows the rules so there's no excuse.
If you want a free for all on political donations, feel free to argue that, but otherwise Boris, as Prime Minister, should follow the rules.
I make no comment on the seriousness of the matter, but he should still follow the rules.
I can't remember where I read it yesterday but the was a story about the Private hospitals in India being full with moderately ill patients because they wanted to be sure they had a bed if they became seriously ill.
While I don't know how accurate the story was it was clearly accurate enough the journalist thought it worth reporting.
The labour narrative is that Boris is not fit to be prime minister. Trouble is, less than two months ago, they granted him and his government more power to decide matters by fiat than any PM in history. More power than any labour party would have ever dreamed of granting any tory at any stage since WWII.
This makes any criticism labour make of the tories little more than hollow opportunism. If they are so bad why did you grant them all that power?
Voters aren't fools and they know this.
Interesting attempted deconstruction of Mr Gove's Parliamentary remarks on the Graun feed (at 16:41).
Gove has answered everything except the actual allegation...
IPSOS looks an outlier, then
Edit: I still expect labour to hold Hartlepool and lose Teeside and WM Mayorals!
Now the easiest way to fix it would be a piece of Javascript that mangled any link to twitter that was within a blockquote. If you set that to ran on newly created posts as the "Post Comment" button was pressed it would provide your solution but I'm not sure how easy that would be to work.
I will however look at options if rcs1000 wants to offload it to someone who probably has more recent Javascript experience than he has.
JS is client-side, you can do whatever you want when its in your browser.
The question is whether they can make a gain in the WoE Mayoral election.
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Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
Big contrast to Ipsos earlier, with fieldwork done this morning too - no evidence of briefing drama cutting through yet.
Current CON lead by pollster:
Ipsos: +3
Survation: +6
ComRes: +9
YouGov: +10
Redfield: +10
Opinium: +11
Quote Tweet
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
· 15m
Westminster Voting Intention (26 April):
Conservative 44% (–)
Labour 34% (–)
Liberal Democrat 8% (-2)
SNP 5% (+1)
Green 4% (–)
Reform UK 3% (–)
Changes +/- 19 April
Joint lowest Lab % since May 2020.
Follow @redfieldwilton to see our weekly VI first.
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-26-april-2021/
5:05 PM · Apr 26, 2021·Twitter Web App
Install the add-on, find your way into its dashboard, and set-up a filter to block platform.twitter.com as follows:
Even when tory votes go missing they aren't going to labour.
It's Bristol, Bath and a few suburbs.
The thing with a lot of these positions, it is either former PPC who didn't make it or former MPs that got flushed by the electorate and up they pop again elsewhere.
46% do not believe either !!!!!!!!
Who are you more inclined to believe, regarding the claims made by Boris Johnson and Dominic Cummings about leaks and conduct in Downing Street?
Boris Johnson - 22%
Dominic Cummings - 16%
Neither - 46%
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/survey-results/daily/2021/04/26/3548c/2?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=daily_questions&utm_campaign=question_2
And
A third of Britons are closely following the story around Dominic Cummings and his allegations about Boris Johnson’s conduct as PM
Following very/fairly closely - 34%
Not following closely - 27%
Aware but not following - 26%
Not aware at all - 12%
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/survey-results/daily/2021/04/26/3548c/1?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=daily_questions&utm_campaign=question_1
Gove says he was in the meeting and it wasn't said.
Peston says he heard it was said after everyone had left the meeting
Both statements could easily be 100% true..
AstraZeneca said the move was "without merit".
It said it would "strongly defend itself in court".
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56891326
This has turned into the international equivalent of when you hear those stories of two neighbours who has a falling out and before you know it they are burning down each others gardens.
If you start to see Tory partisans turn against Boris (and I don't mean the ones who've always been against him) then the story is damaging.
In Theresa May's dying days Tory after Tory were unwilling to back her here.
The issue is that the other neighbours are looking at the troublesome neighbour and thinking - hmm we might be next, what can we do to mitigate the risk
And deciding that future home improvements may be better spent on their properties in a different neighbourhood.
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-truth-about-boris-s-bodies-pile-high-in-their-thousands-comment
I am told he shouted it in his study just after he agreed to the second lockdown 'in a rage'. The doors to the Cabinet room and outer office were allegedly open and supposedly a number of people heard. I am bothering to repeat this assertion about what the Prime Minister said because two eyewitnesses – or perhaps I should say 'ear witnesses' – have corroborated the Daily Mail's account to me.
So it's clear that what Gove said in Parliament is correct - as taken from the Guardian Blog
In his response, Gove repeated the point that he had been in a meeting in the cabinet room with the PM. He never heard the PM say “any such thing”, he said. They were all dealing with difficult discussions.
This answer did not address the point that the remark might have been made outside the room, after the meeting was over.
So as far as I can see Gove has been very careful to ensure he answered the question he was asked and didn't extend beyond that.
Which for Gove is job done until whatever is revealed next kicks off.
I'll always remember it, I was doing my A Levels at the time (a time when A Levels were hard), whilst my focus was on my exams I took a very deep interest in the election, I was expecting a Labour majority of 100, I wasn't expecting one closer to 200.
I was up for Portillo, I was up when the Tories were wiped out in Scotland & Wales, I was up for when my own rock solid Tory seat went to the yellow peril.
It had a profound impact on me.
Last month it was a difference of 4%, so I reckon Ipsos MORI have picked up a slightly soft Tory sample.
Interestingly Keir Starmer has a better rating than the PM on handling the pandemic.
* Successful vaccine roll-out
* Lockdown easing
* Furlough cushion
* House prices strong
* Triple lock
* Labour not trusted
We are set fair with this for a few months yet. People feel positive, especially the older demographics that vote, so they really don't care that much about whether Johnson said this or did that - and certainly not enough to change the way they vote.
A year later, and the defeat might not have been so bad. Indeed, Clark could have started to share the fruits of his recovery early. As I remember, he decided not to.
At times I felt like I was the only OUT AND PROUD Tory in London.
https://twitter.com/olvrtckr/status/1386576348127371267
On a UNS Major would have had a majority of 77, not 21, and then I think history would have been somewhat different. Sure, Black Wednesday would still have happened, but the splits and weakness of 94-97 would have been less marked and the defeat less severe.
The fact is that, whatever your views on leave or remain, the tories don't have that problem any more. They are essentially united. And that makes them incredibly difficult to shift.
Not a lot of use, TBF.
I don't think I've ever loved a SPAD more! Keep 'em coming Dom!
Does anyone know how such cases typically proceed in Belgium - does it follow pretty much the same course as we'd expect in the US and UK, or is it completely different?
Might as well ask BoJo's soulmate Trumpsky to follow the rules. Two rotten peas in a toxic pod.
and secondly the reporting of it is not attributed to Cummings
And as far as the public are concerned 46% do not believe Boris or Cummings
And
A third of Britons are closely following the story around Dominic Cummings and his allegations about Boris Johnson’s conduct as PM
Following very/fairly closely - 34%
Not following closely - 27%
Aware but not following - 26%
Not aware at all - 12%
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/survey-results/daily/2021/04/26/3548c/1?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=daily_questions&utm_campaign=question_1
https://twitter.com/MetroUK/status/1386733764722663424
"Final remedies focus on reparation through performance or restoration. If these remedies are not or no longer possible, the most common remedy is financial compensation.
"Belgian law adheres to the principle of restitutio in integrum, which requires that the injured party be put in the position it would have been in had the damage not occurred. Punitive damages are not allowed. The injured party is entitled to full compensation of its damage, but nothing more.
"When the exact amount of damages is difficult to determine (for example, in cases of reputational damage or violation of moral rights), the judge can award damages on an ex aequo et bono basis (that is, according to the right and good)."
https://uk.practicallaw.thomsonreuters.com/w-013-2762?transitionType=Default&contextData=(sc.Default)&firstPage=true