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Alex Salmond looks set to do a lot better amongst Scottish men than women – politicalbetting.com
Alex Salmond looks set to do a lot better amongst Scottish men than women – politicalbetting.com
The latest YouGov Scotland poll that was published before the weekend gives a good indication of the challenge facing the ex-SNP leader and former Scottish First Minister as he attempts to make a comeback with his new Alba party.
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https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1376561589176918016
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9414625/Teacher-tells-father-fears-life-Prophet-Muhammad-row.html
https://twitter.com/PlanetofFinks/status/1376559768748232711
Full details here:
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7013e3.htm
Let’s just stick to it.
I'd expect most of those favourable to him would be independence supporters, and willing to vote for him for the super majority.
https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1376564590759268362?s=20
Salmond looks like someone’s dead uncle, not the leader of a new independence movement.
I picking them to get 4%, taking half their support from the SNP, and 1% each from the Greens and the Tories.
We really do need to check what the impact of R is at every stage as we open up which means allowing time for the impact to be assessed.
- Highly likely to be achievable, even given contingencies
&
- Widely understood by the public to allow for personal and business planning etc.
I agree that the costs are horrendous, believe me.
There are no meaningful deaths.
We should be at least as relaxed on regulations and law as we were in July last year.
Look June 21st will soon be here.
The Government isn't going to change 12 April 2021, not now, for stage 2.
But, it has allowed more than a month, to 17 May 2021, for stage 3.
We can in effect wait until 12 April 2021, and then think about that forward. It is easy to imagine, let's say, a week earlier - good news for the country hurrah hurrah - while keeping the overall timescale and allowing for a u-urn if cases rise based from 13 April.
Today it's 334 - which was the figure of June 22nd
Basically we are 2 weeks away from the position at the start of July 2020.
Which remarkably enough matches the rough dates from last July.
Alba like SNP are going to be 100% perceived as pro-Indy. If they replace the Greens let alone take list seats from unionists, that all but guarantees not just an Indy majority in Holyrood, but a perceived Indy majority.
So yes we should be announcing today that we are escalating the unlocking to July 2020 style regulations (essentially step 3 due in May) is to be brought forward to step 2 in April.
https://twitter.com/Number10cat/status/1376552352627429380
Also I adore alliteration.
Vaccinating the vulnerable has done more than Cockney Covid did.
This is the teacher's father talking:
'Look what happened to the teacher in France who was killed for doing the same thing. Eventually they will get my son and he knows this. His whole world has been turned upside down. He's devastated and crushed. '
There seems to have been one or two on here.
Secret filming exposes contamination risk at test results lab
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-56556806
By the 12th of April, we'll be somewhere between 80% and 105%
By the 17th of May, somewhere between 70% and 90%
By the 21st of June, somewhere between 40% and 60% (with an R value without restrictions somewhere between 1.0 and 1.6)
And within a fortnight of the second dose given to all adults, somewhere between 30% and 35% and an R of 0.8 to 1.0.
Very woolly and with loads of assumptions. And the effects on hospitalisations, etc, also need to be taken into account. As of today, we've bought 1 more doubling in ICUs and 2 more doublings in wider hospitals as we had against case numbers before vaccinations (which could happen pretty quickly with high values of R)
By the 12th of April, we'll have not quite 2 doublings in ICUs and ~3 doublings in hospitalisations against case numbers.
By the 17th of May, more than 2 doublings in ICUs and ~4 doublings in wider hospitalisations
By the 21st of June, around 3 doublings in ICU and 5+ doublings in wider hospitalisations against case numbers
Sometime after that, assuming that doubled-up vaccinations are as good as in Israel, we ain't seeing an overload in hospitals being feasible at all.
Again, all really woolly, but broadly indicative.
It ain't yet over, anymore than it was all over last summer. We're in a far better place, but if we rush things with Cockney Covid/Kentish Kovid around, we can end up going too far too fast.
The teacher's mother is ALSO in hiding. This is an entire family living in terror, their lives ruined, because of a cowardly school with spineless authorities - but also because we are a cowardly country and we have yielded to a bullying minority.
The Mail article ably depicts our shame and failure.
I would not, for example, be taking St Aloysius Girls Year 10 to see “Piss Christ” at the local art gallery.
Of course one deplores the insane local “community”, and one feels immense pity he may now need to live anonymously, but the teacher seems to have been an idiot.
Credit Suisse and Nomura warn of hit after Archegos-linked sell-off
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/mar/29/credit-suisse-nomura-archegos-sell-off-hedge-fund
Why do banks feel it safe to do business in the billions with ex cons ?
https://www.finews.asia/people/34136-who-is-bill-hwang
...in 2001, Hwang established the former Tiger Asia Management which was established following his time as a "tiger cub" – a term to describe the dozen of hedge funds with roots that trace back to renowned hedge fund manager Julian Robertson and the 42-year old Tiger Management.
Tiger Asia grew to be a multi-billion dollar hedge fund and one of the largest investors in Asian financial markets but in 2012, the Securities and Exchange Commission charged Hwang and Tiger Asia with insider trading and manipulation of Chinese stocks. Hwang pleaded guilty, agreed to criminal and civil settlements of over $60 million and later closed the fund.
In 2013, Hwang converted the firm into a family office – Archegos Capital Management – which has reportedly grown to become larger than even many well-known hedge funds...
Over half the population have been vaccinated (at least once) and that population made up over 70% of admissions last year.
So who are the people currently being admitted to hospital as the demographics have to be different to last year.
"However, his father fumed: 'The school has thrown my son under a bus. The lesson that he delivered in which the picture of the Prophet Muhammad was shown was part of the curriculum, it had been approved by the school. Other teachers have done exactly the same thing.
"'So why is my son being victimised like this? The school should have come out fighting for him and made it clear to the protestors that if offence was caused, then it was not my son's fault. It was the school's policy to show this picture, it wasn't an individual decision made by him.'"
There’s probably a clause in the contract that says that in the event of his termination, you are also free of responsibilities to propagandise on his behalf.
The vaccine is injected now, it wasn't in January.
In which case, the man and family need the full support of the state; the school should immediately be placed in special measures; and the local “protesters” arrested for making death threats.
But I am not sure this is about “freedom of speech” as much as standing against hate.
Labour seem becalmed
from cases
from hospitalisations
First time we've seen his family for best part of 6 months!
People were even speculating he was there to see them at the time.
https://twitter.com/LiamThorpECHO/status/1376571133240213504
Even if we announced an advance to Stage 3 on 12 April, then by 12 April there would be fewer people hospitalised by 12 April than there were 4 July last year.
Vaccine effect is only going in one direction too.
Two wrongs, and all that, of course!
!
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1376572551812554760
Whichever story is true, death threats (or indeed demands for the teacher to be sacked) are simply unacceptable.
It's perfectly acceptable for parents to complain - and there is a mechanism for dealing with that - but mass protests aren't.
https://twitter.com/therecount/status/1376557932939206659?s=20
What's the reason, tho? America seems to be plateauing, if anything, rather than riding a new wave...
"You have the freedom to say x because of freedom of speech, however don't actually ever say x because you might offend people"
This is a bit like the queens ability to block legislation. In theory she has it the moment she tries to use it then it will be removed.
However, if Alba does not get a high list voteshare it will not only not win any MSPs but probably cost the SNP their majority through the loss of Borders SNP list MSPs and possibly even an SNP and Green majority if Unionist MSPs get elected elsewhere in Scotland thanks to the split in the Nationalist vote.
There was previously near zero chance of a Unionist majority pre Alba, thanks to Alba a Holyrood Unionist majority is now an outside chance. That would mean Boris does not even need to say he will refuse a legal indyref2, there will not be one automatically