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A President without precedent: Which record will Biden break in 2024? – politicalbetting.com

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  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    edited March 2021
    Pagan2 said:

    Perhaps your definition of god merely doesn't agree with mine.

    Mine is purely a force we don't understand that acts in ways we don't understand and produces results we don't understand and probably never will understand. I don't claim its sentient, benign or even know we exist
    I tend to try to base my understanding and usage of words on what is generally accepted by those with whom I converse, and dictionaries are quite useful in that regard. So:

    1. (in Christianity and other monotheistic religions) the creator and ruler of the universe and source of all moral authority; the supreme being.
    2. (in certain other religions) a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity.

    OR

    any of various beings conceived of as supernatural, immortal, and having special powers over the lives and affairs of people and the course of nature; deity, esp. a male deity: typically considered objects of worship

    Why use a word that is understood differently by others to describe something for which a well understood word - the unknown - already exists?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    kamski said:

    https://impfdashboard.de/
    Sunday was 168k, Saturday 272k
    weekends are always lower. Sunday was actually lower than the Sunday before, but Saturday was better than the Saturday before.
    Next weekend will be shit because it's Easter.
    Spain does not even vaccinate on weekends!
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    Pagan2 said:

    In other words its all a bit of a mystery, that is the essence of god if you think about it once you cut away all the mystic crap. Forces we don't understand caused something.
    That's also the essence of science for all but a few.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,349
    A mere COVID-19 vaccine crisis wasn't enough I see. What's the plan here? Promote a more general vaccine hesitancy worldwide and disrupt the supply of all medicines from Italy?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    edited March 2021
    DougSeal said:

    The core of Anglican teaching on predestination, which is shared by Lutherans, Calvinists, and Universalists, is that God chose His elect long before they were born and thus irrespective of anything they may do or not do. His election is completely gratuitous, completely free, and unaffected by our choice. See article 17 of the 39 Articles, a handy link to which is below -

    https://www.churchofengland.org/prayer-and-worship/worship-texts-and-resources/book-common-prayer/articles-religion
    Only Calvinists believe in double Predestination, the Church of England is an Anglo Catholic church.

    It believes those who are baptised and have faith comprise the elect but that does not mean some of those baptised will not reject the grace of Christ
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,461
    TimT said:

    But the Initial Singularity is only one such (speculative) origins theory out of several.

    "Various new models of what preceded and caused the Big Bang have been proposed as a result of the problems created by quantum mechanics. One model, using loop quantum gravity, aims to explain the beginnings of the Universe through a series of Big Bounces, in which quantum fluctuations cause the Universe to expand. This procreation also predicts a cyclic model of universes, with a new universe being created after an old one is destroyed, each with different physical constants.[3] Another procreation based on M-theory and observations of the cosmic microwave background (CMB), states that the Universe is but one of many in a multiverse, and has budded off from another universe as a result of quantum fluctuations, as opposed to our Universe being all that exists."
    Oi, quantum physics, just fuck right off. Going round with your crazy notions that means a simple bloke has no longer got the foggiest about what is going on the Universe. Yes, that's right, THE Universe. Enough of your multi-verse bollocks. If I can't understand it, it is so much crap. Capiche?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496
    DougSeal said:

    The core of Anglican teaching on predestination, which is shared by Lutherans, Calvinists, and Universalists, is that God chose His elect long before they were born and thus irrespective of anything they may do or not do. His election is completely gratuitous, completely free, and unaffected by our choice. See article 17 of the 39 Articles, a handy link to which is below -

    https://www.churchofengland.org/prayer-and-worship/worship-texts-and-resources/book-common-prayer/articles-religion
    Yes, but...
    ...There is a tradition, among a certain kind of Anglican, of wearing a cassock with 39 buttons on the front. The wearer then leaves some spots unbuttoned, indicating which Articles the wearer finds disagreeable. ...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    edited March 2021
    kamski said:

    I know lots of Christians and Muslims who don't believe that, and so don't agree with you.

    This should be pretty obvious when you look at those 56% of people's actual behaviour compared with theology.
    If you believe in God, whether as a Christian or Muslim, you are closer to me than Philip Thompson in your views of religion.

    Hence a comfortable majority of the global population are still Christian or Muslim.

    You do not need to be a Saint to believe in God, that is the whole point, humans are imperfect
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496

    Why do I get this nasty feeling that the Italians will inadvertently damage the other vaccine batches.
    Something tells me that the long term future for Italy's fill/finish business is somewhat uncertain.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    TimT said:

    I tend to try to base my understanding and usage of words on what is generally accepted by those with whom I converse, and dictionaries are quite useful in that regard. So:

    1. (in Christianity and other monotheistic religions) the creator and ruler of the universe and source of all moral authority; the supreme being.
    2. (in certain other religions) a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity.

    OR

    any of various beings conceived of as supernatural, immortal, and having special powers over the lives and affairs of people and the course of nature; deity, esp. a male deity: typically considered objects of worship

    Why use a word that is understood differently by others to describe something for which a well understood word - the unknown - already exists?
    So in other words conform to how I use words not how you use words?

    People didn't understand how thunder happened they called it Thor the thunder god

    We dont understand how the big bang happened I call it god

    Seems to me my usage is older and has more of a history of usage than yours
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,461
    Forget vaccines, put your faith in Covid only being beaten by the power of prayer within the Church of Rome.....
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    felix said:

    Spain does not even vaccinate on weekends!
    More haste less speed.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    HYUFD said:


    Only Calvinists believe in double Predestination, the Church of England is an Anglo Catholic church.

    It believes those who are baptised and have faith comprise the elect but that does not mean some of those baptised will not reject the grace of Christ

    Part of the C of E is an Anglo-Catholic church but even that part cannot jettison the 39 Articles and remain in communion with it.

    XVII. OF PREDESTINATION AND ELECTION

    PREDESTINATION to Life is the everlasting purpose of God, whereby (before the foundations of the world were laid) he hath constantly decreed by his counsel secret to us, to deliver from curse and damnation those whom he hath chosen in Christ out of mankind, and to bring them by Christ to everlasting salvation, as vessels made to honour. Wherefore, they which be endued with so excellent a benefit of God be called according to God's purpose by his Spirit working in due season: they through Grace obey the calling: they be justified freely: they be made sons of God by adoption: they be made like the image of his only-begotten Son Jesus Christ: they walk religiously in good works, and at length, by God's mercy, they attain to everlasting felicity.

    As the godly consideration of Predestination, and our Election in Christ, is full of sweet, pleasant, and unspeakable comfort to godly persons, and such as feel in themselves the working of the Spirit of Christ, mortifying the works of the flesh, and their earthly members, and drawing up their mind to high and heavenly things, as well because it doth greatly establish and confirm their faith of eternal Salvation to be enjoyed through Christ, as because it doth fervently kindle their love towards God: So, for curious and carnal persons, lacking the Spirit of Christ, to have continually before their eyes the sentence of God's Predestination, is a most dangerous downfal, whereby the Devil doth thrust them either into desperation, or into wretchlessness of most unclean living, no less perilous than desperation.

    Furthermore, we must receive God's promises in such wise, as they be generally set forth to us in holy Scripture: and, in our doings, that Will of God is to be followed, which we have expressly declared unto us in the Word of God.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,434
    Selebian said:

    Is that a known side-effect? (not one I'd heard of)

    Or possibly just coincidence?
    iirc it is listed on the leaflet they give you for AZ/Oxford.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Forget vaccines, put your faith in Covid only being beaten by the power of prayer within the Church of Rome.....
    Not exactly a lot of trust on display there.....
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731

    Oi, quantum physics, just fuck right off. Going round with your crazy notions that means a simple bloke has no longer got the foggiest about what is going on the Universe. Yes, that's right, THE Universe. Enough of your multi-verse bollocks. If I can't understand it, it is so much crap. Capiche?
    Let me explain it...once there was a mummy universe and she disagreed with herself and had two baby universes that hated each other
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,747

    Forget vaccines, put your faith in Covid only being beaten by the power of prayer within the Church of Rome.....
    When can we expect a papal bull against AstraZeneca?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pagan2 said:

    In other words its all a bit of a mystery, that is the essence of god if you think about it once you cut away all the mystic crap. Forces we don't understand caused something.
    No, mystery is the antithesis of god. God is mystic crap inserted to get rid of, resolve and explain the mysteries.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Just me, just the sun - or does today feel a whole lot brighter?

    The sun being out always helps
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    DougSeal said:

    Part of the C of E is an Anglo-Catholic church but even that part cannot jettison the 39 Articles and remain in communion with it.

    XVII. OF PREDESTINATION AND ELECTION

    PREDESTINATION to Life is the everlasting purpose of God, whereby (before the foundations of the world were laid) he hath constantly decreed by his counsel secret to us, to deliver from curse and damnation those whom he hath chosen in Christ out of mankind, and to bring them by Christ to everlasting salvation, as vessels made to honour. Wherefore, they which be endued with so excellent a benefit of God be called according to God's purpose by his Spirit working in due season: they through Grace obey the calling: they be justified freely: they be made sons of God by adoption: they be made like the image of his only-begotten Son Jesus Christ: they walk religiously in good works, and at length, by God's mercy, they attain to everlasting felicity.

    As the godly consideration of Predestination, and our Election in Christ, is full of sweet, pleasant, and unspeakable comfort to godly persons, and such as feel in themselves the working of the Spirit of Christ, mortifying the works of the flesh, and their earthly members, and drawing up their mind to high and heavenly things, as well because it doth greatly establish and confirm their faith of eternal Salvation to be enjoyed through Christ, as because it doth fervently kindle their love towards God: So, for curious and carnal persons, lacking the Spirit of Christ, to have continually before their eyes the sentence of God's Predestination, is a most dangerous downfal, whereby the Devil doth thrust them either into desperation, or into wretchlessness of most unclean living, no less perilous than desperation.

    Furthermore, we must receive God's promises in such wise, as they be generally set forth to us in holy Scripture: and, in our doings, that Will of God is to be followed, which we have expressly declared unto us in the Word of God.
    Predestination in the Church of England is based on baptism and faith, the Church of England is not and never has been a Calvinist Church.

    It has to be proved through conduct however 'they through Grace obey the calling: they be justified freely: they be made sons of God by adoption: they be made like the image of his only-begotten Son Jesus Christ: they walk religiously in good works'
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,051

    Just me, just the sun - or does today feel a whole lot brighter?

    What is a sun
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,553
    HYUFD said:

    56% of the global population are still Christian or Muslim, so rather more agree with me still than you

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_religious_populations
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argumentum_ad_populum

    "In argumentation theory, an argumentum ad populum (Latin for "appeal to the people"[1]) is a fallacious argument that concludes that a proposition must be true because many or most people believe it, often concisely encapsulated as: "If many believe so, it is so".

    "Other names for the fallacy include common belief fallacy or appeal to (common) belief,[2][3] appeal to the majority,[4] appeal to the masses,[5] appeal to popularity,[6][7] argument from consensus,[8] authority of the many,[8][9] bandwagon fallacy,[7][10] consensus gentium (Latin for "agreement of the people"),[10] democratic fallacy,[11], mob appeal, and truth by association.[12]"
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    HYUFD said:

    If you believe in God, whether as a Christian or Muslim, you are closer to me than Philip Thompson in your views of religion.

    Hence a comfortable majority of the global population are still Christian or Muslim.

    You do not need to be a Saint to believe in God, that is the whole point, humans are imperfect
    The omnipresent Philip Thompson's views on religion are about as deep, informative and persuasive as his views on everything else he pontificates on here about. If God exists, I am quite sure He is quite pleased that atheism has such an inarticulate advocate lol.
  • Animal_pbAnimal_pb Posts: 608
    What the fuck? What the Actual Terrence Fuck?

    Has the entire continental mainland of Europe just taken a trip back to the Dark Ages? How in the sweet name of anything that anyone holds dear can a civilised country be doing this?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    HYUFD said:

    If you believe in God, whether as a Christian or Muslim, you are closer to me than Philip Thompson in your views of religion.

    Hence a comfortable majority of the global population are still Christian or Muslim.

    You do not need to be a Saint to believe in God, that is the whole point, humans are imperfect
    I have to believe in God to achieve distance from Philip_Thompson?

    Tough choice but ok -

    There is a green hill far away without a city wall. Where the dear Lord was crucified and died to save us all.

    Credible. Very very credible.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731

    No, mystery is the antithesis of god. God is mystic crap inserted to get rid of, resolve and explain the mysteries.
    and its perfectly fine for you to feel that way, no doubt you also dont believe you have emotions because thats merely a chemical imbalance in your brain giving the illusion. If science can explain everything then you have to believe you are no more than a robot being controlled by electro chemical changes brought about by rules you have no input into.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    HYUFD said:

    Predestination in the Church of England is based on baptism and faith, the Church of England is not and never has been a Calvinist Church.

    It has to be proved through conduct however 'they through Grace obey the calling: they be justified freely: they be made sons of God by adoption: they be made like the image of his only-begotten Son Jesus Christ: they walk religiously in good works'
    Not what you were saying earlier.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    There's cost savings by running them on election day since the election is already happening on that day so its just one more ballot in the polling station.

    Running it a week after election day is an unnecessary expense.
    Thanks, that explains it.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,312
    HYUFD said:

    The outstanding CofE Davenant Foundation School in Loughton for example.

    'Applicants will be invited to complete an Online Supplementary Information Form (SIF) which can be accessed via the school website. (A paper version of the SIF form will be available on request from the school, for use only, if a
    parent/legal guardian is unable to access the online form). The SIF requests parents/guardians to give details of the frequency of their attendance at a place of mainstream Christian or Jewish worship during the last seven years and to nominate referees who can confirm their record of attendance.'

    http://www.davenantschool.co.uk/page/?title=Year+7&pid=40
    That's pretty maximal these days- until quite recently, church schools could have fairly complex involvement points (+5 for being on the flower rota, that sort of thing.) They've definitely gone, often replaced by the church attendance check @HYUFD mentioned. Often with a slice reserved for heathens.

    But even that's a London/elsewhere thing in the main. "On your knees, avoid the fees" still happens in and around London at secondary level. But most church schools are primaries, often just the local village school. Disinterested community service.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,664
    Animal_pb said:

    What the fuck? What the Actual Terrence Fuck?

    Has the entire continental mainland of Europe just taken a trip back to the Dark Ages? How in the sweet name of anything that anyone holds dear can a civilised country be doing this?
    A trip back? Remember the geologists: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20025626
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    malcolmg said:

    What is a sun
    Its that hole they cut in the sky to let the light shine through nods
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    glw said:

    A mere COVID-19 vaccine crisis wasn't enough I see. What's the plan here? Promote a more general vaccine hesitancy worldwide and disrupt the supply of all medicines from Italy?
    I've previously mentioned - the Italian state has form for trying to impose political control on reality. So the issue is

    - The state says the problem is the theft of vaccines from the EU/Italy by the manufacturers
    - The evidence says that the vaccines aren't being stolen.
    - Therefore the evidence is politically unusable.
    - Therefor the police must get some more evidence, by new raids/investigations.
  • Crikey, this looks bad, especially as they could have used IPSA

    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1376540462211854339
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,461

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argumentum_ad_populum

    "In argumentation theory, an argumentum ad populum (Latin for "appeal to the people"[1]) is a fallacious argument that concludes that a proposition must be true because many or most people believe it, often concisely encapsulated as: "If many believe so, it is so".

    "Other names for the fallacy include common belief fallacy or appeal to (common) belief,[2][3] appeal to the majority,[4] appeal to the masses,[5] appeal to popularity,[6][7] argument from consensus,[8] authority of the many,[8][9] bandwagon fallacy,[7][10] consensus gentium (Latin for "agreement of the people"),[10] democratic fallacy,[11], mob appeal, and truth by association.[12]"
    What's the cut-off for "many"? 52%?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    carnforth said:

    A trip back? Remember the geologists: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20025626
    To be fair - the real issue, underlying the geologists (ha!) was that a local official was, apparently, trying to get people to say that there wasn't an earthquake risk in the style of the Mayor in Jaws on shark attack risks.

    Which in turn fed into memories of what happened at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vajont_Dam
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    The omnipresent Philip Thompson's views on religion are about as deep, informative and persuasive as his views on everything else he pontificates on here about. If God exists, I am quite sure He is quite pleased that atheism has such an inarticulate advocate lol.
    Philip is a libertarian, republican, atheist, currently Conservative voting, Little Englander, an unusual combination certainly.

    I doubt the Almighty will be too bothered he is not part of the flock no
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited March 2021
    Pagan2 said:

    and its perfectly fine for you to feel that way, no doubt you also dont believe you have emotions because thats merely a chemical imbalance in your brain giving the illusion. If science can explain everything then you have to believe you are no more than a robot being controlled by electro chemical changes brought about by rules you have no input into.
    No, I believe that I do have emotions and I believe emotions are indeed caused by and related to chemicals and different parts of your brain firing.

    Causation is not an illusion, it is causation. And indeed there is an entire pharmaceutical industry related to dealing with those chemicals if required too.

    I also believe the drinking of alcohol and other things can affect your emotions as a result. For better or worse.

    Science. Inserting "god" to explain whatever you don't understand is the opposite of saying that something is a mystery, and the opposite of science.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Wow, credit to him! He kept his cool, when it must've been very difficult to. He has gone up in my estimation massively
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    That's pretty maximal these days- until quite recently, church schools could have fairly complex involvement points (+5 for being on the flower rota, that sort of thing.) They've definitely gone, often replaced by the church attendance check @HYUFD mentioned. Often with a slice reserved for heathens.

    But even that's a London/elsewhere thing in the main. "On your knees, avoid the fees" still happens in and around London at secondary level. But most church schools are primaries, often just the local village school. Disinterested community service.
    Most church schools are primaries but at secondary level in local authorities which do not have grammar schools, church schools are often outstanding and the best state schools in the area.

    If you do not have the money to go private then regular church attendance is the best way to gain one of their limited places
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    edited March 2021

    No, I believe that I do have emotions and I believe emotions are indeed caused by and related to chemicals and different parts of your brain firing.

    Causation is not an illusion, it is causation. And indeed there is an entire pharmaceutical industry related to dealing with those chemicals if required too.

    I also believe the drinking of alcohol and other things can affect your emotions as a result. For better or worse.

    Science. Inserting "god" to explain whatever you don't understand is the opposite of saying that something is a mystery, and the opposite of science.
    Then you believe that everything you say and do will be totally predictable forever more with sufficient knowledge and your base electro chemical state now. Therefore you believe yourself an automaton without freewill
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,496

    What's the cut-off for "many"? 52%?
    Not when we're discussing the theft of the Presidential election.
  • Nigelb said:

    Something tells me that the long term future for Italy's fill/finish business is somewhat uncertain.
    This is so disturbing and has to be condemned by everyone, not least the EU commission

    It should be something all of us on PB, irrespective of our views, call out
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    Wow, credit to him! He kept his cool, when it must've been very difficult to. He has gone up in my estimation massively
    I don't think he could be much lower in most people's estimations so he's risen from a low base!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    malcolmg said:

    What is a sun
    An unlicensed thermo-nuclear reactor. Investigation has revelled - No containment wall, no emergency cooling system, no secondary emergency cooling system, no paperwork on earthquake tolerance, no paperwork on accident mitigation, no paperwork on accident risk analysis.

    Law suits are ongoing against the builder, who hasn't issued any statements on the matter.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    When can we expect a papal bull against AstraZeneca?
    Ox marks the spot.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    dixiedean said:

    "Blessed are the Churchgoers. For they shall inherit the best school places."
    Funded as part of a theocratic state and governing party massively biased towards that very sect.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487

    Most small businesses are UK based with UK customers. An estimated 91% of UK SMEs don't export.

    Those who were against leaving the European Union were free to make their case in 2016 and many did. They had valid arguments. Those arguments lost. It happens. Changes happens and all changes come with costs.

    If all changes could only be made if they were cost-free then we'd never change anything. That is a Luddite attitude.
    Re your first para I agree. It was the point I was making. Of course it will hit them eventually when the US multinational that they sell their sandwiches to moves its EMEA office from the UK to Europe. I mean why would it stay? The added hassle makes it pointless. Of course they won't go immediately, but when say the lease comes up on the building why would they stay with all the hassle running a European business from the UK.

    Re your second para I agree. What point are you making?

    Re your third para again I agree completely. Again I can't see your point. If anything the Luddite nature is of many Brexiteers (although not you I accept) who want to go back to the good old days. I'm all for change, but for the better not a return to the 1950s.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    Philip is a libertarian, republican, atheist, currently Conservative voting, Little Englander, an unusual combination certainly.

    I doubt the Almighty will be too bothered he is not part of the flock no
    IIRC it is a serious sin to condemn someone else as damned. Let he who is without sin cast the first stone, one is taight.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pagan2 said:

    Then you believe that everything you say and do will be totally predictable forever more with sufficient knowledge and your base electro chemical state now. Therefore you believe yourself an automaton without freewill
    No I don't. For one thing it isn't possible under the uncertainty principle as far as I know to ever get that level of knowledge.

    The only person I can see arguing for predeterminism right now is HYUFD and that is on religious grounds.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,114
    HYUFD said:

    Most church schools are primaries but at secondary level in local authorities which do not have grammar schools, church schools are often outstanding and the best state schools in the area.

    If you do not have the money to go private then regular church attendance is the best way to gain one of their limited places
    I coined the term "Education Christians", after seeing the back rows of the local Catholic Church full of bored people on their Blackberries (yes, a while back).

    My wife, who is from South America, hadn't come across the "Rice Christian" stories before.....
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,972
    TimT said:

    But for me, atheism is the position that goes with the evidence, even absent a 'proof' (given it is impossible to prove a negative).

    As with all my other scientific and non-scientific beliefs, I hold my atheism lightly. I have witnessed no proof of any god's existence, so my working hypothesis is that there is no god. That belief is consistent with all the evidence available to me. If new evidence emerges which challenges the presumption of atheism, I will revisit my belief.

    To take the position that there is a god, absent any evidence of such, requires a leap of faith that is not required to be an atheist.

    So beliefs in atheism vs theism are not equivalent.
    Your view rests on the idea that all the evidence is on the same side, ignoring the history of the idea that there is weighty but inconclusive evidence in more than one direction.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    algarkirk said:

    Your view rests on the idea that all the evidence is on the same side, ignoring the history of the idea that there is weighty but inconclusive evidence in more than one direction.

    All the evidence is on the side of science.

    What weighty evidence is there for theism?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Arguably the finest treatise on atheism
    https://youtu.be/fmpP73-SHPQ
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    kjh said:

    Re your first para I agree. It was the point I was making. Of course it will hit them eventually when the US multinational that they sell their sandwiches to moves its EMEA office from the UK to Europe. I mean why would it stay? The added hassle makes it pointless. Of course they won't go immediately, but when say the lease comes up on the building why would they stay with all the hassle running a European business from the UK.

    Re your second para I agree. What point are you making?

    Re your third para again I agree completely. Again I can't see your point. If anything the Luddite nature is of many Brexiteers (although not you I accept) who want to go back to the good old days. I'm all for change, but for the better not a return to the 1950s.
    PS What was your business? What did you do? Did you export? I appreciate you may not want to declare. Although I have much about mine I haven't ever made full disclosure.

    Lots of this lost business also won't be obvious. For instance a multi national that I am familiar with has already done the following but none of this will hit the press because it is all internal:

    a) It was going to move its Ireland operation to the UK. Cancelled
    b) It's legal operation European wide was in the UK. All except the UK lawyers moved to Europe.
    c) It has been outsourcing to India. Now speeding up and extended
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Everything heading down:


  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    All the evidence is on the side of science.

    What weighty evidence is there for theism?
    Religion is based on faith, that is the whole point
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197

    This is so disturbing and has to be condemned by everyone, not least the EU commission

    It should be something all of us on PB, irrespective of our views, call out
    Surely, according to PB Brexit logic, this will simply improve Italy’s balance of trade, and complaining Italian pharma exporters should just seek new markets.

    Everyone’s a winnah.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731

    No I don't. For one thing it isn't possible under the uncertainty principle as far as I know to ever get that level of knowledge.

    The only person I can see arguing for predeterminism right now is HYUFD and that is on religious grounds.
    Heisenburg is only a theory still as far as I am aware. With a perfect knowledge of all the physics and chemistry both macro and quantum it is pretty sure if your view is correct that we live in a determinate universe where knowing all would allow you pretty much determine the course of a life. Everything they say and do. Sounds like predestination to me.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696
    kjh said:

    PS What was your business? What did you do? Did you export? I appreciate you may not want to declare. Although I have much about mine I haven't ever made full disclosure.

    Lots of this lost business also won't be obvious. For instance a multi national that I am familiar with has already done the following but none of this will hit the press because it is all internal:

    a) It was going to move its Ireland operation to the UK. Cancelled
    b) It's legal operation European wide was in the UK. All except the UK lawyers moved to Europe.
    c) It has been outsourcing to India. Now speeding up and extended
    The latter probably has as much to do with covid as it does with Brexit - things that weren't practical a while ago can now be done remotely.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    Oi, quantum physics, just fuck right off. Going round with your crazy notions that means a simple bloke has no longer got the foggiest about what is going on the Universe. Yes, that's right, THE Universe. Enough of your multi-verse bollocks. If I can't understand it, it is so much crap. Capiche?
    LOLs. It just made me realize that The Universe is a tautology. There can only be one Uni-verse, so the The is unnecessary.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    kjh said:

    PS What was your business? What did you do? Did you export? I appreciate you may not want to declare. Although I have much about mine I haven't ever made full disclosure.

    Lots of this lost business also won't be obvious. For instance a multi national that I am familiar with has already done the following but none of this will hit the press because it is all internal:

    a) It was going to move its Ireland operation to the UK. Cancelled
    b) It's legal operation European wide was in the UK. All except the UK lawyers moved to Europe.
    c) It has been outsourcing to India. Now speeding up and extended
    Similar story at mine.

    But @DavidL this morning was raving about how our balance of trade deficit “cost a million jobs”.

    Jesus F Christ.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,911

    Everything heading down:


    Praise the Lord.
    Or praise science.
    Or maybe it was all pre destined and would have happened anyways...
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Key question for this board though - is God a Remainer or a Brexiter?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    eek said:

    The latter probably has as much to do with covid as it does with Brexit - things that weren't practical a while ago can now be done remotely.
    How do you know?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Everything heading down:


    The fall in positive tests is a) surprising and b) potentially very big news. Let’s keep a close eye on that - it had been edging up (unsurprisingly, given the huge leap in testing since the schools returned).
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    DougSeal said:

    Key question for this board though - is God a Remainer or a Brexiter?

    Farage, Putin and Trump.
    Unlikely angels.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Pagan2 said:

    Heisenburg is only a theory still as far as I am aware. With a perfect knowledge of all the physics and chemistry both macro and quantum it is pretty sure if your view is correct that we live in a determinate universe where knowing all would allow you pretty much determine the course of a life. Everything they say and do. Sounds like predestination to me.
    Heisenberg (sic) is unnecessary if you adopt the many worlds rather than Copenhagen interpretation of quantum events. In which case everything which can happen, happens in one world and not in another. Not sure if that's predestination or not.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    TimT said:

    LOLs. It just made me realize that The Universe is a tautology. There can only be one Uni-verse, so the The is unnecessary.
    Actually its not the universe merely describes everything within our space time continuum. It does not however rule out completely separate space continuums where things are different....for example england might have a good cricket team
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    HYUFD said:

    Religion is based on faith, that is the whole point

    I refer you back to the Babel Fish expo I shared moments ago
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    IshmaelZ said:

    Heisenberg (sic) is unnecessary if you adopt the many worlds rather than Copenhagen interpretation of quantum events. In which case everything which can happen, happens in one world and not in another. Not sure if that's predestination or not.
    That just means many destinies though as each time the universe splits each ongoing one would be similarly predestined. If you want to avoid predestiny you have to advocate being able to consciously picking which one.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Nigelb said:

    Yes, but...
    ...There is a tradition, among a certain kind of Anglican, of wearing a cassock with 39 buttons on the front. The wearer then leaves some spots unbuttoned, indicating which Articles the wearer finds disagreeable. ...
    I often wondered why it was the buttons around the nether regions that were the most frequently undone.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    Thanks Pip. On topic, here is another possible record - the first time since Benjamin Harrison was not re-elected in 1892 that two consecutive first-term Presidents have lost re-election

    (yes, you could argue Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter but I'm only assuming those who fought the election).
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    DougSeal said:

    Key question for this board though - is God a Remainer or a Brexiter?

    Possibly would have approved of Theresa May's position.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696

    How do you know?
    A lot of firms worked on the basis that you needed offices as otherwise people weren't productive.

    That was shown to be false.

    Now you know the work can be done from anywhere you don't need to do it in the UK and you could outsource it somewhere cheaper.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    I wonder what fun will be had with the blue screen after Johnson's press conference?


  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,461
    malcolmg said:

    What is a sun
    You'll never know, malcy....
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pagan2 said:

    Heisenburg is only a theory still as far as I am aware. With a perfect knowledge of all the physics and chemistry both macro and quantum it is pretty sure if your view is correct that we live in a determinate universe where knowing all would allow you pretty much determine the course of a life. Everything they say and do. Sounds like predestination to me.
    You may think that, but the truth is we don't have a perfect knowledge of all the physics and chemistry. AFAIK it isn't possible to know whether the world is predetestined or not with current quantum theories, this is an unknown. You may think it is, the answer for me is that I don't know and I don't know if its ever going to even be possible to know.

    Either way it doesn't matter. We have to make our own decisions however we make them.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    eek said:

    A lot of firms worked on the basis that you needed offices as otherwise people weren't productive.

    That was shown to be false.

    Now you know the work can be done from anywhere you don't need to do it in the UK and you could outsource it somewhere cheaper.
    It’s another person’s anecdote.
    You’re just making stuff up online.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243
    DougSeal said:

    Key question for this board though - is God a Remainer or a Brexiter?

    God strikes me as small-C conservative. Also part of the international elite. Likely a remainer.

    His son, with his anti-establishment, anti-capitalist leanings (see money changers in the temple) would probably be a Lexiteer
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,434
    Well, Scotland having its own currency was certainly a gamble on the patience of the bond markets.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Pagan2 said:

    Heisenburg is only a theory still as far as I am aware. With a perfect knowledge of all the physics and chemistry both macro and quantum it is pretty sure if your view is correct that we live in a determinate universe where knowing all would allow you pretty much determine the course of a life. Everything they say and do. Sounds like predestination to me.
    That is not how complex adaptive systems, of which the universe is clearly one, work. They are not deterministic, they cannot be entirely known, and hence nothing can be predicted with certainty, and some things cannot even be imagined until they happen.

    But even in deterministic systems, such as chaotic systems, determinism does not equate with predictability.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    He admitted it months back but the press decided not to say anything as it ruin the image of St Fauci

    If you want it phrased differently, they found a noble reason for not reporting a noble lie.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,972
    DougSeal said:

    Part of the C of E is an Anglo-Catholic church but even that part cannot jettison the 39 Articles and remain in communion with it.

    XVII. OF PREDESTINATION AND ELECTION

    PREDESTINATION to Life is the everlasting purpose of God, whereby (before the foundations of the world were laid) he hath constantly decreed by his counsel secret to us, to deliver from curse and damnation those whom he hath chosen in Christ out of mankind, and to bring them by Christ to everlasting salvation, as vessels made to honour. Wherefore, they which be endued with so excellent a benefit of God be called according to God's purpose by his Spirit working in due season: they through Grace obey the calling: they be justified freely: they be made sons of God by adoption: they be made like the image of his only-begotten Son Jesus Christ: they walk religiously in good works, and at length, by God's mercy, they attain to everlasting felicity.

    As the godly consideration of Predestination, and our Election in Christ, is full of sweet, pleasant, and unspeakable comfort to godly persons, and such as feel in themselves the working of the Spirit of Christ, mortifying the works of the flesh, and their earthly members, and drawing up their mind to high and heavenly things, as well because it doth greatly establish and confirm their faith of eternal Salvation to be enjoyed through Christ, as because it doth fervently kindle their love towards God: So, for curious and carnal persons, lacking the Spirit of Christ, to have continually before their eyes the sentence of God's Predestination, is a most dangerous downfal, whereby the Devil doth thrust them either into desperation, or into wretchlessness of most unclean living, no less perilous than desperation.

    Furthermore, we must receive God's promises in such wise, as they be generally set forth to us in holy Scripture: and, in our doings, that Will of God is to be followed, which we have expressly declared unto us in the Word of God.
    Any part can. No-one either lay or clergy has to sign up to agreeing with the 39 Articles in the modern world.

    NB We are a long way from political betting, a subject thankfully not covered by the 39 Articles.

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    TimT said:

    That is not how complex adaptive systems, of which the universe is clearly one, work. They are not deterministic, they cannot be entirely known, and hence nothing can be predicted with certainty, and some things cannot even be imagined until they happen.

    But even in deterministic systems, such as chaotic systems, determinism does not equate with predictability.
    Well scientists seem to disagree as they keep telling us they have valid climate predictions
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    Pagan2 said:

    Then you believe that everything you say and do will be totally predictable forever more with sufficient knowledge and your base electro chemical state now. Therefore you believe yourself an automaton without freewill
    That's not an impossible concept. But in terms of living your life, it has no positives.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,560
    malcolmg said:

    What is a sun
    If sunshine makes you happy, no wonder those of us in the West of Scotland are so miserable!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731
    kinabalu said:

    That's not an impossible concept. But in terms of living your life, it has no positives.
    Of course it has positives, if you destiny is premapped and every interaction predestined then you can't be blamed for smashing up police stations with skateboards.....you lefties will love it
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    The chat started this morning with aliens, and had now moved on to predestination.

    Can we rename please to epistemological betting dot com?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731

    If sunshine makes you happy, no wonder those of us in the West of Scotland are so miserable!
    I thought it was too many kilts and too many thistles?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,197
    MrEd said:

    He admitted it months back but the press decided not to say anything as it ruin the image of St Fauci

    If you want it phrased differently, they found a noble reason for not reporting a noble lie.
    I wonder if Boris lied nobly.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,731

    The chat started this morning with aliens, and had now moved on to predestination.

    Can we rename please to epistemological betting dot com?

    Thats probably tying your money up for far too many generations
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,589

    I wonder if Boris lied nobly.
    As in "of course I love you", "I'm definitely leaving her for you", "I'd never cheat on you" (while cheating on someone else)...
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243
    That may be true wrt Fauci, but it wasn't settled science (two epidemiologists of my acquaintance, both of whom I respect, had a prolonged ding-dong on Twitter over this, with competing papers on costs and benefits). If you believe fomites to be the dominant transmission vector (as was the view, early on) then being against general mask use is not an unreasonable position.

    Does not change the fact that scientists should not lie. We can avoid the question when we lack evidence and refuse to give personal opinions, but we should not lie, even for good reasons.
This discussion has been closed.