In the London Mayoralty betting the Brian Rose collapse continues – politicalbetting.com
In the London Mayoralty betting the Brian Rose collapse continues – politicalbetting.com
The chart is from Smarkets and shows the deteriorating fortunes of the big surprise in the betting for May’s London Mayoral election – Brian Rose.
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Sadiq Khan will be re-elected.
No other candidates matter.
I could understand the 'logic' of the deluded Trumpers than many of us absolutely rinsed from early November onwards but not this.
Many politicians will have made the wrong calls in a way which will lead to deaths, sometimes even foreseeably, but his one was so very cynical and for no other reason than politics.
Remember, though, it can only answer you if you say "Hey Cortana".
Now to all of us that just looks stupid, but a load of people gave him (as in literally just donated it, not invested) $1 million to build his own YouTube
What a shambles.
The Indian market is certainly not involved. He'd be trading 1000 to back if they were.
I've extracted a few hundred pounds from his stupidity. When he was trading at short prices I was tempted to move a substantial sum into BF to lay, but moving money around betting accounts can finish up being a pain in the arse, so I didn't.
So far as I can tell the self-backing on BF is all the campaign has. Weird.
I'm not all that interested in going back in at 1.04.
Tesla gets hurt of course, and some (but not many) banks directly. Perhaps many banks indirectly. Some associated firms of course vanish, and graphics card manufacturers take a hit.
There's no peril here though - unless I'm missing something?
Bitcoin and the others = 0. (For what it's worth I've never had a position long or short in any of them - nor would I ever do so)
The Conservatives would have done better had they put up Baldrick.
There's nothing wrong with Baldrick for a little job like Mayor!
Any Tory attack against Rosena for getting two Es at A-level would be a gift... for Rosena.
Here is a woman who went from a poor schools performance to grafting her way through college (including being a swimsuit model AIUI!) before going to Cambridge then becoming a doctor in A&E in the NHS.
I’d love to see the Tories try.
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1364269502511341574
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-56012952
Personal responsibility....oh
Personal freedom......ah
Small government.....hmmn.
Fiscal responsibility....LOL
Low taxation....ROFL
on the side of the small businessman.....FFS
Anti nanny state....Nope
Light touch regulation....chortle
Law and order....(shutting down picnics....)
I'm watching classic films I've never seen but always thought I should. Amazing Grace, Dead Poet's Society, Citizen Kane, Get Carter, and Dances with Wolves.. things like that.
The good thing is a film is only 2-3 hours max, so you can definitely get through it in a couple of nights, and most of them are just better than most boxsets and more thought provoking.
If I get really desperate I've also got a Steven Seagal boxset that a friend bought me as a "joke" for my 30th, most of which is still wrapped in cellophane.
I reckon Greg Hands could win London under the right circumstances.
If this were happening in Northern Ireland...
https://twitter.com/TelePolitics/status/1364225273298739213
Not that it’s worth anything anyway.
Nothing with Steven Seagal is good though.
Look for the remastered blu-ray reissues if you want classic films.
PM me if you want some that I love.
I'm always surprised by how conservative so many minorities can be from so many different backgrounds yet they rarely vote that way.
I tend to spend too much time rewatching action films like Back to the Future, Indiana Jones and the Bond films, and am otherwise generally an 80s nerd.
I don't know why but Crocodile Dundee is always on over a bank holiday weekend, and I always get sucked into watching it even though I've seen it countless times.
I reckon we're at least a decade away from the Tories coming close to winning London.
But in case she hasn’t noticed, it’s not been eliminated.
It is a pseudononymous on-line mechanism for effecting transactions. That is genuinely life-changing for people who live in countries with currency controls or who wish to buy illicit substances.
Now, what's the value of that? I could argue for $20-30bn (depending on volumes), maybe $50bn at a pinch.
But $1trillion?
Nope.
Mayor Lopez perhaps....
It's possible I wasn't the target market for the film.
So zero+.
By your own reasoning the level actually doesn't matter.
As in previous years, Labour had a strong lead among BME voters, although its vote share fell roughly the same amount among both white and BME groups. Among BME voters, Labour led the Conservatives by 64% to 20%, while among white voters the Conservatives led by 48% to 29%. However, Labour’s vote share fell a similar amount since 2017 among both groups, by 9 points and 10 points respectively.
https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/how-britain-voted-2019-election
IIRC previous research has indicated that Labour polls especially strongly amongst black and Muslim voters; the Conservatives do somewhat better amongst other BAME groups, but only lead with Jewish voters.
Since then, Mr and Mrs Suburban Conservative have continued to move out to the Home Counties, and the big party divide has switched more to social values and age, which isn't good for London Conservatives. If you want a socially conservative "somewhere" government, would you want to live in London anyway? Terrible place.
Oh, and some of the areas of Conservative strength in the GLA area don't even want to be in London anyway.
Never say never, but would even aligned stars be enough to get a Conservative Mayor? And for as long as that is the case, why would anyone electable put themselves up to waste a couple of years before almost certain defeat? Maybe Steve Norris should be invited back.
However I'm certain that all of the three mainstream parties have no religious view and are equally welcoming of all faiths.
So maybe in 20-30 years time.
My wife. Let's be honest, she's a rip roaring Tory. Dyed in the wool Blue. She reads the Conservative manifesto, agrees with every single line.
She dutifully goes to Bootle polling station every May and dutifully marks X against Labour.
I ask her why. She says she couldn't do anything else. Her mum would never forgive her.
I can rewatch any of Verhoevan's films multiple times too, even Showgirls...
Christ.