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The speculation mounts that McConnell could support the impeachment move – politicalbetting.com

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  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,934

    They already have:

    And one member of the Government has taken a hands-on approach to making sure this happens – deputy chief medical officer Professor Jonathan Van-Tam was pictured working at the vaccine clinic in Nottingham at the weekend.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9142597/AstraZeneca-says-deliver-2m-doses-week-imminently.html

    JvT is a member of the government? Has he been told?
  • How difficult would it for you to have dropped the rest of your guff and just say this? Instead of all these hungry child box outrages, just go back to vouchers? There is no need for you to defend Tory donor profiteering when you disagree with the policy to hand them public money.
    Because I don't like lies and dishonesty even when they're making an argument I agree with, I would prefer the truth to win.

    Yes voucher would be better than boxes.
    Yes the box was ridiculous.
    No the box clearly didn't cost £30 (it cost £10.50 we now know).

    I don't see how any of that is unreasonable. If you're saying just because someone says something I agree with I should let dishonesty slide I'm not like that.
  • glw said:

    Deaths might get up to 2.5k per day at the peak.
    And the worst of it is that there's so little to be done about those deaths. The infections have happened, and a percentage won't survive. For some people, we are past the point of no return.

    All we can do is hope that hospitals aren't swamped and get the infection rate back down as quickly as we can.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544

    Your example is stupid. I don't care what A Level grades my surgeon got so long as they passed their medical exams. I wouldn't even care if they failed their medical exams first time of asking as long as they passed subsequently, or what university they went to, so long as they are good at their job.
    Presumably HYUFD would also ban anyone who did not pass their driving test on the first attempt - they are clearly incorrigbly and inevitably bad drivers no matter how many decades they have been on the road now, even if they have been in less accidents than someone who passed first go.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited January 2021

    But Johnson was highly rated at Eton and Cameron got a First at Oxford. I don't think it's accurate to refer to them as the dregs. The problem is an excessive sense of entitlement, and it is widespread (but not universal) among this group.
    Johnson hit his limit at 18. Cameron is smart, but didn't have nuch of a career pre politics. Itv digital failure.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805

    But did he order a curry.....
    Nice photo.

    Good on him, I say.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK cases by specimen date

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  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Are you an Oxford alumnus? If so, it fits my theory that the place ruins people morally and intellectually.
    I am. Though if your theory is correct, you must have been there for decades.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    It might be the time to recall that Toby Young was admitted with BBB scores.
    Though which side of the argument that reinforces, I'm not entirely sure.
  • But Johnson was highly rated at Eton and Cameron got a First at Oxford. I don't think it's accurate to refer to them as the dregs. The problem is an excessive sense of entitlement, and it is widespread (but not universal) among this group.
    Actually, I think he got a 2:1.

    --AS
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168

    Calculus was reduced, not eliminated.
    So is that integral rather than differentiation or the other way around? Too long ago for me and, amazingly enough, not used since economics in second year at University.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,164
    kle4 said:

    Presumably HYUFD would also ban anyone who did not pass their driving test on the first attempt - they are clearly incorrigbly and inevitably bad drivers no matter how many decades they have been on the road now, even if they have been in less accidents than someone who passed first go.
    Luckily I passed 1st time!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168
    1564 deaths today, the highest yet. The urgency of vaccination really cannot be overstated.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK cases by specimen date and scaled to 100K population

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  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited January 2021
    Nigelb said:

    It might be the time to recall that Toby Young was admitted with BBB scores.
    Though which side of the argument that reinforces, I'm not entirely sure.

    Ed Miliband had crap A-levels....again difficult to tell which side of argument.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915
    HYUFD said:

    OK, I am a grade snob.

    I would prefer to be operated on by a surgeon with A Grades in Science and a first in Medicine than someone who got D Grades at A Level and failed his Medical exams multiple times.

    As indeed would anyone sane not obsessed with equality of outcome

    There's a minimum level, perhaps, but I'd bet that some of the A grade doctors the ones that ignore what people are telling them and end up making mistakes. They might also have a tremor and not be very coordinated.

    Most jobs require more than pure academic ability.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK local R

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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789
    HYUFD said:

    Just because you go to private school does not mean you are automatically Lord Fauntleroy.

    Plenty of private school pupils come from very average families on bursaries and scholarships, plenty of state school pupils go to top performing state schools in expensive and leafy catchment areas and come from wealthy middle class homes
    Of course. But a generalization does not have to be 100% accurate to have (macro rather than micro) utility.
  • eek said:

    Surely the issue is - and it's one Richard you are missing, that Compass is a catering company - it is not a wholesale company and it is therefore trying to do a job which would be better done by someone else who has experience of that area.

    Yes I can see why Compass has been tasked with doing it - it's they job to feed school children at Lunchtime but they have then decided to do a job which would have been better offloaded elsewhere.
    That's a fair point, but I imagine that the reason is that they have spare capacity, but the normal wholesalers (and indeed supermarkets) don't, so the latter didn't bid for the contracts.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544

    My experience as an employer is that above a certain threshold, there is very little correlation between exam success and work performance. The skills required to pass exams are often very different to those required to be outstanding in a job.

    Probably why so little attention is paid to precisely what people got at A level or degree once they are in a job, and then move to another job and so on.

    Though I did a work qualification where no matter how many decades people had been on the job you had to prove GCSE or O level proficiency in English and Maths. Didn't matter if you had been working there for years, or had a masters degree in those subjects or whatever, you had to prove GCSE level. Some exam boards make you pay even to request copies, even if they find they do not hold them, whilst others will refund if it turns out your exam board was someone else.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK case summary

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  • glwglw Posts: 10,360

    My father commented on how busy everywhere was when he went for his jab. Now it might be that maybe ust hasn't been out that much for past year, but i do wonder about how well lockdown is going compared to last March....i think people have become desensitized to reports of 1000+ dying per day.

    A quick guestimate is that about 40% of all UK deaths at the moment are due to COVID-19, so it must be by far the leading cause of death right now.
  • TOPPING said:

    "almost impossible to keep up"...."got a 1st".

    Shirley something wrong. My guess? She'd be not thrilled at it described as "almost impossible to keep up". Challenging I'm sure but sounds like she is a bright button not phased by such trivia as not knowing the original languages used in the course she was studying.
    shrugs, that's how the place works.

    I would say I was always half-a-day behind where I wanted to be throughout my UG time there. Always another deadline, always something else to do.

    But yeah, that anecdote holds precious little water.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Are you an Oxford alumnus? If so, it fits my theory that the place ruins people morally and intellectually.
    Gibbon would certainly agree with you. But not my experience.

    I didn't go to Oxbridge but just about every other member of my family did and when I visited them I met precious few twats and a lot of intellectually voracious, smart people.

    I'm sure the twats were elsewhere at the time and that they no doubt existed. But like all things there is good and bad in everything*.

    *PB banal truism of the day.
  • The institution is fine, even if many individuals there aren't always up to scratch.

    I mean, on one hand we've got the Jenner institute making a vaccine, and on the other hand, Sunetra Gupta...

    Yep, that's very fair. My point was more about as teaching institutions.


  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544

    Actually, I think he got a 2:1.

    --AS
    It was Jo Johnson who got a First.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682

    One idea would be send a group of high performing students from "inner city comps" to a sixth-form style college for a year or 2 *after* 18. Give them some time and teaching to make lost ground before throwing them in the deep end....

    Forcing them into catchup at university doesn't sound like the best way to equalise outcomes.
    Did no one notice that the BBB story is entirely about Cambridge, and that it involves a fully funded foundation year ?

    I posted the BBC link upthread, but here's the Guardian version.
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2021/jan/13/cambridge-university-to-offer-free-foundation-year-for-disadvantaged-pupils
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK Hospitals

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  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Actually, I think he got a 2:1.

    --AS
    No Cameron got a first, according to Wikipedia.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    QAnon and ‘Stop the Steal’ rioters will be in a world of hurt as the law crashes down on them

    "This is what you need to absorb: QAnon and “stop the steal” are forever associated with a violent attack against the United States. Maybe that’s not what it’s meant to you, maybe you think that’s a misread of last week’s events, but that’s how the real Deep State, a lot of elected officials, and much of the public sees it.
    If that isn’t what you signed up for, now would be a good time to get out."

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/qanon-and-stop-the-steal-rioters-will-be-in-a-world-of-hurt-as-the-law-crashes-down-on-them-11610475743?mod=home-page
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK Deaths

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  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    It's unlikely that you studied it truly from first principles at school. Because a first-principles exposition needs to begin with a definition of the real numbers. A bit advanced for school, I'd say.

    --AS
    I only studied maths at school, not at uni (Traditional and Modern Maths at O, Maths and Further Maths at A).

    I certainly covered real and imaginary numbers, calculus from first principles (proof was one of the questions in my Cambridge entrance exam), topology, and sets. Statistics was the one area that was notably absent.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    UK R

    From case data

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    From hospitalisation data

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  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156
    Required vaccination rate (UK) is now 331,197 first doses per day to hit the 13.9 million first dose target by the end of February 15th.

    This is a correction of my earlier post that used England figures.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    Age related data

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  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    TOPPING said:

    "almost impossible to keep up"...."got a 1st".

    Shirley something wrong. My guess? She'd be not thrilled at it described as "almost impossible to keep up". Challenging I'm sure but sounds like she is a bright button not phased by such trivia as not knowing the original languages used in the course she was studying.
    No, it's a very common experience for bright students not adequately educated at school to have great struggles in their first year at university.
    That is the essence of what's being argued about here.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168

    Actually, I think he got a 2:1.

    --AS
    Cameron got a first. Johnson a 2:1.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732

    That's a fair point, but I imagine that the reason is that they have spare capacity, but the normal wholesalers (and indeed supermarkets) don't, so the latter didn't bid for the contracts.
    What contract to bid on?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    Vaccinations

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  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    Nigelb said:

    No, it's a very common experience for bright students not adequately educated at school to have great struggles in their first year at university.
    That is the essence of what's being argued about here.
    Yes I hear that but she got a 1st. If she had *really* been struggling she would have got something else.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661
    kle4 said:

    It was Jo Johnson who got a First.
    Still can't spell Joe though.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    kle4 said:

    Probably why so little attention is paid to precisely what people got at A level or degree once they are in a job, and then move to another job and so on.

    Though I did a work qualification where no matter how many decades people had been on the job you had to prove GCSE or O level proficiency in English and Maths. Didn't matter if you had been working there for years, or had a masters degree in those subjects or whatever, you had to prove GCSE level. Some exam boards make you pay even to request copies, even if they find they do not hold them, whilst others will refund if it turns out your exam board was someone else.
    When I applied to business schools, Notre Dame had a requirement that I pass an English as a Foreign Language test. Needless to say, I told them to take a running jump.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789
    edited January 2021

    I'm not disagreeing with you entirely. Getting a First if you read for Course II (where you start the languages from scratch) is less common, and the people who manage it are indeed impressive. On the other hand, the scope of Course II is narrower relative to Course I, concentrating on one language rather than both, and the first year is largely dedicated to intensive catch-up work, so inevitably the average Course II candidate will simply have read and covered less by the end of the degree.

    Still, it helps Classics to survive and be enjoyed by more people, so it's not all bad.
    Latin was both my best and favourite subject at school. Touch of the Billy Elliots about it except unlike him I caved in and went STEM instead. Others spoke, authority figures, and I did it their way. Regrets, I have sixty two, and this is one of them.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    edited January 2021
    Andy_JS said:

    3 million vaccinations in the UK, with 2.6 million being first vaccinations.

    That 0.4 difference is a lot of second jabs that shouldnt have been done
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,534

    UK local R

    image

    Just the basic optics of that chart make it look as though the R factor is coming down nicwly across the board the past 4-5 days? (Although Wales outside the south/Valleys looks less good, especially Gwynedd - and Orkney has gone horrible, but that just might be a family of four.)
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,164
    TOPPING said:

    Yes I hear that but she got a 1st. If she had *really* been struggling she would have got something else.
    What's your point here? I'm just using the words she used.
  • TimT said:

    I only studied maths at school, not at uni (Traditional and Modern Maths at O, Maths and Further Maths at A).

    I certainly covered real and imaginary numbers, calculus from first principles (proof was one of the questions in my Cambridge entrance exam), topology, and sets. Statistics was the one area that was notably absent.
    I'm not disagreeing with the idea, but we might be talking about different "first principles". Without a formal definition of limit, you really can't define derivative*, and this needs an axiomatization of the reals that is definitely beyond school ability. I would guess that your "first principles" definition of derivative used an informal definition of limit. That's what I did at school too and it's fine, but it's not first principles because the limit definition is fudged.

    I'm impressed that you did topology at school, though. Metric spaces only, or point set topology? Did they have enough examples to illustrate the concepts? Topology imo only got interesting when applied to function spaces.

    *yes okay pure maths nerds, you can define derivative through measure theory independent of the reals, good luck teaching it to schoolchildren!

    --AS
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591

    And the worst of it is that there's so little to be done about those deaths. The infections have happened, and a percentage won't survive. For some people, we are past the point of no return.

    All we can do is hope that hospitals aren't swamped and get the infection rate back down as quickly as we can.
    Looks quite likely that we will end up at perhaps 150k deaths directly attributable to Covid and God knows how many more indirectly caused by it (cancer patients whose treatment is delayed, people with other emergencies for whom there is no space in ITUs etc etc). So north of 200k all in all. That is a huge number - in little more than one year we will have lost almost half the number of casualties the UK suffered in the six years of WW2.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221

    Vaccinations

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    The vaccination picture looks good, a decent uptick from the 11th to the 12th.
  • Looking at the figures, in England a fair number of 2nd jabs are still being administered. In Scotland and Wales, we are talking in the 10s.
  • Required vaccination rate (UK) is now 331,197 first doses per day to hit the 13.9 million first dose target by the end of February 15th.

    This is a correction of my earlier post that used England figures.

    Looks tight but doable, given that we're at 207K yesterday and it's ramping up.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,544
    edited January 2021
    Italy seems to have had a decent start to its vaccination rollout, given when they started. As like us they among the worst death stats in Europe, that's good news.
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831
    IanB2 said:


    That 0.4 difference is a lot of second jabs that shouldnt have been done
    Maybe they're giving them to healthcare workers? Might make sense due to the extra risk of spreading the virus around hospitals.
  • The other thing (and frankly, the only benefit I can see of selective schools) is that it's much easier for keen students to excel if they are surrounded by other keen students. If you get a critical mass in a class (and it only takes a handful if they have big enough personalities), it lifts everyone else.

    Peer influence is profound. If your mates are working hard you're more likely to. If your mates are burning £50 notes in front of the homeless, you'll be more tempted to do so.

    The superabundance of emotionally abused boarding school victims and trust-fund hellions means that the pressure to become a dreadful twat is unendurable for many.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    TOPPING said:

    Gibbon would certainly agree with you. But not my experience.

    I didn't go to Oxbridge but just about every other member of my family did and when I visited them I met precious few twats and a lot of intellectually voracious, smart people.

    I'm sure the twats were elsewhere at the time and that they no doubt existed. But like all things there is good and bad in everything*.

    *PB banal truism of the day.
    Of course nowadays you are more likely to find toffs at Exeter or Durham or St Andrews apart from a few very posh colleges like Magdalen, Oxford and Trinity, Cambridge.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    What's your point here? I'm just using the words she used.
    Very intelligent and charmingly modest. Why didn't you marry her?

    Or did you?
  • Looks tight but doable, given that we're at 207K yesterday and it's ramping up.
    If they just promised Mid March, be done by start of March....everybody could have got massive gold stars for doing it under time.

    I fear they will get it done by start of March and get the media backlash of again over promise, under delivery, late, yadda yadda yadda.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    Ed Miliband had crap A-levels....again difficult to tell which side of argument.
    That was David, Ed got better A level grades than his brother
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    Just the basic optics of that chart make it look as though the R factor is coming down nicwly across the board the past 4-5 days? (Although Wales outside the south/Valleys looks less good, especially Gwynedd - and Orkney has gone horrible, but that just might be a family of four.)
    Orkney - yes, the flaw in the local R approach is that tiny populations etc etc... read it conjunction with the cases and scaled cases one.

    Yes, it is looking hopeful on cases. We shall see.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221

    Looks tight but doable, given that we're at 207K yesterday and it's ramping up.
    No chance we'll make the target, it doesn't particularly matter though.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188

    If they just promised Mid March, be done by start of March....everybody could have got massive gold stars for doing it under time.

    I fear they will get it done by start of March and get the media backlash of again over promise, under delivery, late, yadda yadda yadda.
    Stretch targets seem entirely necessary to get the bureaucracy working properly...
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,253
    kinabalu said:

    Well this is the killer argument always deployed to shoot down my plans to remove the private opt out and at the same time concentrate resource on schools in left behind areas. Even if - the argument goes - I manage to flip the board so all schools are state schools and the best ones are now in Goole, all that will happen is that the affluent denizens of Guildford who used to go private will deviously move up there, and it's back to square one.
    We're currently considering moving and I'm finding myself, for the first time, having to have serious (at least, as far as my wife is concerned) conversations about which secondary school our three year old will go to! For some of the houses, Goole Academy might be the obvious option, but my wife - having grown up in North Yorkshire - is something of a snob about the good people of the East Riding. Maybe I should suggest we head south to Guildford...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited January 2021
    HYUFD said:

    That was David, Ed got better A level grades than his brother
    Yes you are right....maybe inadvertently proving points made in this thread, as I think most people regard David as the more capable of the two.

    Didn't he get in via some special scheme for kids from poor attaining schools?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352

    If they just promised Mid March, be done by start of March....everybody could have got massive gold stars for doing it under time.

    I fear they will get it done by start of March and get the media backlash of again over promise, under delivery, late, yadda yadda yadda.
    PHE has shown that if you don't set targets nothing will happen.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    Yes you are right....maybe inadvertently proving points made in this thread, as I think most people regard David as the more capable of the two.

    Didn't he get in via some special scheme for kids from poor attaining schools?
    David had more charisma, does not mean he was more intelligent than Ed.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661
    Just imagine what the daily death figures would be if we didn't now have drug therapies that were not available in the spring. A lot of lives have been saved.
  • RobD said:

    PHE has shown that if you don't set targets nothing will happen.
    Unfortunately that does seem to be the case. We would still be doing 50k tests a day if they had been left to organize testing....not possible you see to do any more.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Peer influence is profound. If your mates are working hard you're more likely to. If your mates are burning £50 notes in front of the homeless, you'll be more tempted to do so.

    The superabundance of emotionally abused boarding school victims and trust-fund hellions means that the pressure to become a dreadful twat is unendurable for many.
    Speaking from personal experience, are you?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,560
    kle4 said:

    Probably why so little attention is paid to precisely what people got at A level or degree once they are in a job, and then move to another job and so on.

    Though I did a work qualification where no matter how many decades people had been on the job you had to prove GCSE or O level proficiency in English and Maths. Didn't matter if you had been working there for years, or had a masters degree in those subjects or whatever, you had to prove GCSE level. Some exam boards make you pay even to request copies, even if they find they do not hold them, whilst others will refund if it turns out your exam board was someone else.
    Reminds of the highly qualified teacher who went for a Headship at a Borough run Grammar School in a Northern town before WWII. He quoted his degree from Oxford and his further degree from somewhere else and had the interviewing board nodding wisely, only to have a long serving Alderman ask,"Aye, but hast thou thy Matric?"
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168

    Looks tight but doable, given that we're at 207K yesterday and it's ramping up.
    I'm pretty confident. By the end of the month we will be well beyond 330k and catching up fast.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,682
    edited January 2021
    TOPPING said:

    Yes I hear that but she got a 1st. If she had *really* been struggling she would have got something else.
    Nope.
    You can really struggle in the first year, and then prosper. It is almost impossible to keep up with the better educated students around you (in some subjects) ... until you've made up the deficit - and it's not unusual for students in that situation to drop out.

  • Speaking from personal experience, are you?
    Funnily enough...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352

    Just imagine what the daily death figures would be if we didn't now have drug therapies that were not available in the spring. A lot of lives have been saved.

    Experts, I love 'em!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited January 2021
    DavidL said:

    I'm pretty confident. By the end of the month we will be well beyond 330k and catching up fast.
    I think its the supply side we have to worry about. They can always extend hours, and we know plans already in place for a lot more capacity in the next week or two.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    edited January 2021
    Wonderful indeed.

    It reminds me of an occasion when my old man was telling me he and my mum had been shopping in Oxford Street when a copper tried to turn them back because of a bomb warning. They laughed and said 'We survived the Blitz, mate. We're not turning back for the effing IRA.' And on they strolled.

    I do think of this from time to time when contemplating our current inconveniences.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,795

    That's a fair point, but I imagine that the reason is that they have spare capacity, but the normal wholesalers (and indeed supermarkets) don't, so the latter didn't bid for the contracts.
    Fair point, I hadn't considered that.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168

    I think its the supply side we have to worry about. They can always extend hours, and we know plans already in place for a lot more capacity in the next week or two.
    The supply side is why we will be short for the next couple of weeks but provided the capacity is built up over that time I expect us to be flying in early February with a good chance of making the target by mid February. We should certainly be aspiring to no less.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,789
    edited January 2021
    Selebian said:

    We're currently considering moving and I'm finding myself, for the first time, having to have serious (at least, as far as my wife is concerned) conversations about which secondary school our three year old will go to! For some of the houses, Goole Academy might be the obvious option, but my wife - having grown up in North Yorkshire - is something of a snob about the good people of the East Riding. Maybe I should suggest we head south to Guildford...
    I'm sure you'll get it right. Just googled it. Goole Academy. Looks to be a powerhouse (!) of a school. Could make sense to move fast and snap up a house right next to it before they all go to hooray henrys.
  • DavidL said:

    The supply side is why we will be short for the next couple of weeks but provided the capacity is built up over that time I expect us to be flying in early February with a good chance of making the target by mid February. We should certainly be aspiring to no less.
    One indication its going pretty well, the media are really struggling for stories on this. When todays "scandal" is a GP was asked to pause for a day or two, because he has done all the 80 year olds in his region and so they redirected supply, you know perhaps things aren't too bad.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    I'm not disagreeing with the idea, but we might be talking about different "first principles". Without a formal definition of limit, you really can't define derivative*, and this needs an axiomatization of the reals that is definitely beyond school ability. I would guess that your "first principles" definition of derivative used an informal definition of limit. That's what I did at school too and it's fine, but it's not first principles because the limit definition is fudged.

    I'm impressed that you did topology at school, though. Metric spaces only, or point set topology? Did they have enough examples to illustrate the concepts? Topology imo only got interesting when applied to function spaces.

    *yes okay pure maths nerds, you can define derivative through measure theory independent of the reals, good luck teaching it to schoolchildren!

    --AS
    Topology was pretty basic. Things like Mobius strips, the bridge problem. Basic stuff.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168
    HYUFD said:

    David had more charisma, does not mean he was more intelligent than Ed.

    I don't know either of them but from their speeches and public persona I would have said that Ed had more raw intelligence, if less charm.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    Looks tight but doable, given that we're at 207K yesterday and it's ramping up.
    I'm still positive about it, but I thought I'd calculate it this way because I know we have to get above 300,000 a day to hit the target and I want to keep track of this number.

    I'd not be surprised if we needed to do more than 400,000 a day towards the end, and I'd hope we'll end up doing more than that.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    Nigelb said:

    Nope.
    You can really struggle in the first year, and then prosper. It is almost impossible to keep up with the better educated students around you (in some subjects) ... until you've made up the deficit - and it's not unusual for students in that situation to drop out.

    So like any other course at any other university, then.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661
    The challenge for vaccinations comes after 12 weeks, when the 1st batch loop back around and there are still millions wanting their first dose.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    kinabalu said:

    Latin was both my best and favourite subject at school. Touch of the Billy Elliots about it except unlike him I caved in and went STEM instead. Others spoke, authority figures, and I did it their way. Regrets, I have sixty two, and this is one of them.
    I knew you were basically sound, kinabalu. Oddly enough, I started off school certain that I was going to become a scientist, and only did my volte-face to languages and humanities a little later, though not from any special pressure.

    The best people, of course, do both:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_James_Leggett
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732

    Fair point, I hadn't considered that.
    I don't think this is a capacity issue - it's a timing issue, the need for free school meals outside of school has appeared again because schools were closed with 4 hours notice..
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited January 2021

    The challenge for vaccinations comes after 12 weeks, when the 1st batch loop back around and there are still millions wanting their first dose.

    Come April, fingers crossed we should also be starting to get some Moderna and perhaps even J&J. AZN by that stage should be making insane amounts of theirs.

    With that supply available, no excuses to be going all guns blazing. So far it seems the ramp up when AZN came online has been pretty good, so much so it is supply that is stopping much more than 250k a day being done.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,562

    Just imagine what the daily death figures would be if we didn't now have drug therapies that were not available in the spring. A lot of lives have been saved.

    Deep breath and here is a good time to look at the by 'Date of Death' figures.

    It will get worse I'm sure as figures add in, but currently the worst confirmed day of this wave is 7/1, which is the 14th worst day overall. Perhaps the reporting date figures are bumpier this time round or perhaps the worsening of 'Date of Death' numbers is still in the pipeline.
  • TimT said:

    Topology was pretty basic. Things like Mobius strips, the bridge problem. Basic stuff.
    Nice. I was also lucky to have a teacher who took us well beyond A-level (though it's a shame he was an algebraist and geometer). Much of my career was made on the back of the enthusiasm he inspired.

    --AS
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    DavidL said:

    1564 deaths today, the highest yet. The urgency of vaccination really cannot be overstated.

    Do you think vaccination alone solves this? Or will it require more than just vaccination? Testing testing testing. Wack a mole. Public compliance on measures for years to come?

    Is there now too much emphasis on vaccination as magic bullet, in the bigger picture we are losing our way?
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited January 2021
    "I think it is more the smart ones don't go into politics, just the dregs".

    There is some truth in that. I went to a well-known public school - not Eton, thank god - and there are a couple of people I remember who've done well in academia, the arts, etc and elsewhere. One of the people who was considered hugely unremarkable and conventional has become an MP. As mentioned, politics just isn't appealing to many more well-rounded or particularly interesting people any more.

    The point about entitlement raised below is also relevant, though. If you're unremarkable but entitled, both in terms of your opportunities, routes to power and attitude, it's more likely to be your own prejudices, rather than any particularly interesting or independent ideas you might have , that everyone else is having to live with.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Johnson got a 2.1.

    It is worth recalling that there has been substantial inflation in degrees.

    Roughly speaking, 30 per cent of students get a first. And ~ 50 per cent of students get a 2.1.

    So, Boris Johnson's degree is pretty average.

    In fact -- given his enormous educational advantages -- it is clear that Boris is a lazy fat fucker.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,168

    One indication its going pretty well, the media are really struggling for stories on this. When todays "scandal" is a GP was asked to pause for a day or two, because he has done all the 80 year olds in his region and so they redirected supply, you know perhaps things aren't too bad.
    Fortunately they can all go down to Dover and take pictures of all the lorries queued up. Although, funnily enough, they have not really been doing that since Christmas either. I wonder why not?
  • dr_spyn said:

    Wonders if The Daily Mail will notice that Prof Van Tam has been busy again.

    https://twitter.com/NHSNottsCCG/status/1349295842398760961

    Helping out with vaccinations in Nottingham.

    If that is his technique, I do not want to be jabbed by someone who sticks the needle in then leaves it swinging while he moves his hand to the plunger (if that is what they call it).
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    OllyT said:

    I really hope that, for once, Mr Ed's hunch is correct and Trump is not impeached.

    The GOP are screwed if Trump is able to stand in 2024. They won't be able to win with him and they won't be able to win without him.

    The moment he enters the primaries there will civil war in the GOP. Half the party have seen the light, the other half are doubling down and on their knees quivering in fear at the QAnon types.

    The only way I see out of this for the GOP is for Trump to be disbarred from elective office. That way he can't even stand as an independent if he loses the GOP nomination. None of the mini-Trump wannabes would have anything like the same pulling power. I think that is why the saner wing will seriously

    (For some reason I was unable to respond directly to Mr Ed. Kept getting a message saying my comment was "1 character too short")

    Don't worry, @OllyT I will probably be wrong :)
  • I knew you were basically sound, kinabalu. Oddly enough, I started off school certain that I was going to become a scientist, and only did my volte-face to languages and humanities a little later, though not from any special pressure.

    The best people, of course, do both:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_James_Leggett
    I wanted to do Maths, Further Maths, Music, and Ancient Greek at A-level, but they wouldn't let me : (

    (Instead I did Maths, Further Maths, Music, and lots of dossing around... which served me very nicely in later life.)

    --AS
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221

    The challenge for vaccinations comes after 12 weeks, when the 1st batch loop back around and there are still millions wanting their first dose.

    We can wait. Nan needs her second jab.

  • Johnson got a 2.1.

    It is worth recalling that there has been substantial inflation in degrees.

    Roughly speaking, 30 per cent of students get a first. And ~ 50 per cent of students get a 2.1.

    So, Boris Johnson's degree is pretty average.

    In fact -- given his enormous educational advantages -- it is clear that Boris is a lazy fat fucker.

    I wouldn't go that far. I think he is a very good example of somebody who found school very easy, got a way with words, which is perfect for the arts at A-Level, but then hit the reality of the required level of aptitude increasing and it was all of a sudden not a walk in the park...while others managed to continue to rise to the challenge.
This discussion has been closed.