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With just over a month to go punters still confident that there’ll be a UK-EU deal – politicalbettin
With just over a month to go punters still confident that there’ll be a UK-EU deal – politicalbetting.com
Above is the market from Smarkets which, as can be seen has moved about a fair bit over the past year.
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One was a place where many journalists said don't agree with you on a political level, but you absolutely have the write what you feel, and the management made clear that was her role at the newspaper and would be back the same as the right leaning ones and the other was the Guardian, where she makes it sound very much like they have a culture similar to The New York Times as described by people like Bari Weiss, dissent from particular orthodoxy will not be tolerated.
Experts! Punters... whadda they know....
JACK W
First
that starts the thread.
You really are the most horrible bigot. Your repressive attitude to sex has no place in the Labour Party. Please take your reactionary views elsewhere.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/sportsnews/article-8989881/Manchester-United-held-RANSOM-cyberhackers-control-computers.html
It’s a shame we no longer get to weigh in.
https://twitter.com/alemannoEU/status/1330837498956754944
I see no momentum or urgency towards agreeing a deal, or any sign that this will change. It was noticeable that the Downing Street press conference today included no comments about Brexit that were reported on the BBC News at 10. I think agreeing a deal seems to be like just too much hard work for the government at the moment, which is preoccupied with the pandemic and its consequences.
Abbot and co must secretly be very happy to be back in their comfort zone, attacking the leader of the Labour party. It's awful finding yourself in a position of responsibility you are not suitable for but are too proud to step back from, the dreams of the membership on your shoulders and potentially actual voters to end up responsible for.
Much better to engage in internecine factional bickering where the enemy is beside you.
That’s all the past now though, when there was a festival period celebrating the birth of Christ, before it was the great consumption festival celebrating the birth of contactless commerce decorated by a few pagan trimmings.
Biden 1.07
Democrats 1.07
Biden PV 1.03
Biden PV 49-51.9% 1.04
Trump PV 46-48.9% 1.07
Trump ECV 210-239 1.1
Biden ECV 300-329 1.09
Biden ECV Hcap -48.5 1.06
Biden ECV Hcap -63.5 1.07
Trump ECV Hcap +81.5 1.01
AZ Dem 1.07
GA Dem 1.08
MI Dem 1.07
NV Dem 1.05
PA Dem 1.07
WI Dem 1.06
Trump to leave before end of term NO 1.09
Trump exit date 2021 1.08
We had Ann Black at the CLP this evening - huge audience, and intelligent, amicable discussion. I've heard there are CLPs that arenm't like that, but ours is - perhaps helps that we're in a safe Tory seat, so internal division seems a bit silly.
Pagan trimmings, songs, family and contactless commerce are quite enough for me.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHbM4JONmI8
https://youtu.be/dgmq30e7cu4?t=2820s
Would it have been stronger politically and scientifically not to have taken the country out of lockdown into tiers, just extend the lockdown till Christmas? Was decision actually driven by the economics of avoiding the fairer compensation packages to sectors hurt much the same by t3 even t2 as they would in lockdown, only now much less government support? If so, have they underestimated the political hit this approach can bring?
Also what is the situation with Liverpool style testing assistance? Liverpool got it for free but from now local authorities have to pay for it themselves?
It’s a Downing Street regime who love nothing better than stoking news cycles against themselves
Noting that many admired people of history also held views which would now be considered unusual or even abhorrent won't make consideration of those views as abhorrent change now, it'll just cause some people to get mad at those heroes because they judge historical figures by current morals.
Female legal equality and autonomy are pretty recent developments.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_women's_legal_rights_(other_than_voting)_in_the_20th_century
But the treatment of Diana was weird and regressive back when it occurred.
But in Saturnalia, as with abbots of unreason, and Lords of Misrule, did the social secretary setting up the weeks of feasting really get sacrificed as its centre piece?
Did they get to open their presents first? 😕
I view it as an outsider, of course, and with the bias of not liking Corbyn, but I don't think Starmer wants to destroy the left of the party or even Corbyn. I think he's too pragmatic an operator for that. But I also think that Corbyn and his outriders harboured dreams of exercising continued influence on the party through the mass membership, with the potential of undermining Starmer as leader whenever they wanted. Corbyn and co have always rebelled fruitlessly in parliament, but they might well like doing it but with the members behind them to undercut the party leadership.
By having the confrontation now it may not destroy the left of the party, may not even be designed to do that, but it might be able to cut Corbyn off from his dreams of harnessing the membership that once adored him. Certainly the members, voodoo poll or not, are not likely united on the issue of his having the whip, but that is kind of enough - he is being kept under review by Starmer, shown he cannot get his way when he throws a tantrum, and the membership is at best divided enough on the issue that Starmer reckons he can do it.
Keep that up, and as more become used to the leadership, and Corbyn may find he has to knuckle under a lot more than he was used to.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/relationships/articles-reports/2017/03/30/how-many-dates-should-you-wait-having-sex-someone
I kind of prefer people explain why they think social changes have not been good, as I'd rather they be honest and I can judge them for that, if I wish, and challenge it, than it fester beneath the surface or display itself through actions without explanation, and it is just presumed to no longer be a debate that needs having. Many what we consider to be fundamental rights and views would not have been seen as such by most of history, so the fight is everlasting.
Hipster whippersnapper alert.
Kowtowing remains acceptable I assume, but you have to draw the line. Not to the Emperor of China, nor to you, Dad!
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2020/nov/26/viggo-mortensen-lance-henriksen-falling
Henriksen has an amazing backstory, of which I was unaware.
The Asian bow is a very flexible form of greeting, which can indicate every degree of respect - or lack of it.
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1332119140870590471?s=20
Who even knew there was polling on the topic?
It's a view.
The tweet was when Eric Yuan knew something had to change.
Boris Johnson, the UK prime minister, shared a photo from his first ever virtual cabinet meeting. The cybersecurity red flags jumped out immediately.
Some cabinet secretaries' Zoom screen names were visible, you could see which platform the cabinet was running its computers on, and most glaringly, the meeting ID was visible for all to see.
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/23/tech/zoom-founder-eric-yuan-risk-takers/index.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55094301
https://unherd.com/thepost/i-am-utterly-confused-about-the-oxford-vaccine/
The referral to the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) marked "a significant first step" in getting the vaccine "approved for deployment", the government said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-55096434
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1332168970036719617?s=20
“The Head Master felt that some of the ideas put forward in my lecture – such as the view that men and women differ psychologically and not all of those differences are socially constructed – were too dangerous for the boys to be exposed to.”
“I explained to the Head Master that I wasn’t endorsing all the ideas in my lecture, but I wanted the boys to be made aware of a different point of view to the current radical feminist orthodoxy, which insists that there’s something fundamentally toxic about masculinity.
The name of this radical leftist academy?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/11/26/exclusive-eton-college-dismisses-teacher-amid-free-speech-row/
I don't buy into this, even though I would like to. I think Jon Ossoff 'may' beat Purdue but in the other battle I think Warnock will win for the GOP.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/usa-election-georgia/with-senate-on-the-line-trumps-claims-of-election-fraud-put-georgia-republicans-in-bind-idUSKBN2842XI
I did read to the end of your message and couldn't find any satire. Why would Eton College be any less part of the debate than Acland Burghley Comprehensive? Many leading private schools are more 'woke' on gender than state schools: St Paul's and Brighton College being good examples:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/feb/19/st-pauls-girls-school-pupils-choose-gender-indentity
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jan/20/brighton-college-axes-uniform-dress-code-accommodate-transgender-pupils
People should be allowed to disagree.
Most people would agree that a line is drawn somewhere in the sand, although there are some ultra-libertarians around. Preaching paedophilia would be an example of a toxic idea that is harmful. Terrorism is another. Both are currently covered under UK legislation.
Things get more thorny when it comes to vaccination. Or, indeed, mask wearing.
Did American Democracy Really Hold? Maybe Not.
Donald Trump didn’t manage to overthrow the electoral system. But he’s drawn a clear road map for breaking it.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/25/did-american-democracy-really-hold-maybe-not-440595
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/24/michigan-election-trump-voter-fraud-democracy-440475
Ms Rose, sometimes one has to be careful about 'terrorism'. What would we think of a 'terrorist' act which brought about regime change in, say, N. Korea?
That one is easy
I wouldn't go so far as @justin124 myself, but It does seem that the breakdown of conventional sexual morality over recent decades has had an adverse effect on many.
The gain in terms of individual sexual freedoms has been offset by considerable problems for individuals and society. Being a single parent household means more likely to be unemployed, more benefits dependency, higher rates of educational failure etc etc
Indeed conventional attitudes to family life correlate quite strongly with educational success and upward social mobility, as well as childhood mental health. When looked at objectively it is hard to disagree.