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The great vacillator: Starmer needs to find some backbone – politicalbetting.com

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  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,673
    stodge said:

    Back on matters domestic, two observations - first, walking past the Spoons in the Barking Road, it looked as though the usual suspects were all round their usual tables drinking their beer. After yesterday's comments (for which many thanks), I have agreed with my brother we will eat outdoors on Wednesday and sit in his garden after which I believe keeps us legal as long as I access his garden via the side gate and not through the house.

    I've reminded Mrs Stodge we can still go and eat at the local cafe and I will be giving them my custom next week as usual even though my T&T app tells me I am now in a High risk area. Anecdotally, more mask wearing in my part of London today but far from universal.

    As for the thread topic (thank you, as always, @david_herdson for the read), there's a dilemma for Starmer between playing politics and looking responsible. It's not the role of Opposition to oppose for the sake of it - it is the role of Opposition to scrutinise, to ask awkward questions and to point out inconsistencies and anomalies and seek clarification of those but in the end Starmer has to be seen to be joining the fight against the virus as much as Johnson.

    Opportunist Opposition doesn't help as it is all too often obvious. Supporting Government in difficult times is responsible and sensible and even more so if the election is 2024. Trying to carve out a different line just for the sake of being different is I believe politically counter-productive. Starmer is still working on the Labour "offer" for 2024 (or at least he should be). He will know the best way for Labour to look electable against a tired Conservative Government after a decade and a half in Opposition will not be to sound radical and promise the sun, moon and stars but to accept much of what has happened and simply argue it can be done better - that's basically how Blair and Wilson won as non-ideological politicians of the centre-left offering a better way of doing the same things.

    Yes, I think that's right. Patience!

    Went shopping today, the first time I've been ourdoors for a week. Dramatic increase in mask-wearing on the street, as opposed to merely inside the shops - from 5% to 50%, I'd say. Godalming is level 1, but we think level 2 and quite possibly level 3 are just a matter of time.
  • Perhaps you should have prefaced your post with "I am not racist but..."
    Oh here we go.....debate over well done.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186
    Cyclefree said:

    No they don’t. Though you would clearly like to believe so, which says rather more about you than me.

    @IanB2 is intelligent and often insightful.

    Unfortunately, he also has a nasty and unpleasant side and tries to go for people personally who he disagrees with - particularly when he senses some inconsistency in their approach. He's done this with me, SeanT, BigGNorthWales and is trying to dog whistle on you now too.

    He's also entirely incapable of humility or admitting he's wrong - ever. When I've challenged him on this in the past he's got ever more pompous, snide and self-aggrandizing, and never apologises.

    He just never thinks he's wrong.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,344
    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Hancock is wrong about herd immunity
    Confusion about the Covid-19 science is hampering debate — and costing lives
    BY SUNETRA GUPTA"

    https://unherd.com/2020/10/matt-hancock-is-wrong-about-herd-immunity/

    Are we going to have an article about how Gupta is also wrong? For balance, you know.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,155
    IBD/TIPP
    Biden 50% (+1)
    Trump 43% (-1)

    Changes from yesterday.
  • Johnson is going to repeat his performance as London Mayor - but will he be unpopular after winning one more time or will he have had his chance already?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186
    Foxy said:

    Reduction in food standards. Watch this, if you can.

    https://twitter.com/C4Dispatches/status/1315702629108985861?s=19
    I'm not a fan of some of its farming methods but America is not the third world or the wild west. If it were that unsafe for human consumption or resulted in cancer we'd see the results in the US population starkly with that of Europe.

    And don't forget there was horsemeat galore in the EU, right here in almost every processed meat product you could imagine, and perfectly legally only a few years ago.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,673

    So your solution is to continue to allow mass immigration from Muslim countries and we'll just have to put up with the odd beheading and bomb attack.

    Well you will be delighted to know that is exactly what is going to happen.
    That's OK with me, though immigration isn't mass and hasn't been for a long time. On the scale of threats, being beheaded by a nutter (Muslim or otherwise) is invisibly far down my list, and I'm certainly not supporting restrictions on movement for ordinary people just in case the odd one is bonkers.

    My mother grew up in Danzig and her father worked in Berlin in the 30s for over a decade - they saw lots of Germans. Her view was that the old aristocrats and some of the poorer groups were anti-Nazi, but most people were increasingly enthusiastic about Hitler- they felt they'd been humiliated and destitute and they liked what they saw as a winner. Violent extremism is always bad, but the parallels with Muslims and the likes of ISIS are IMO pretty much non-existent.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148

    Yes it is disgusting. As is us exporting animals to Spain for fast "fattening" and then them being exported again to the Middle East for slaughter in terrible conditions.

    But highlighting one and ignoring the other smacks of not wanting a deal with the US IMO.
    Oh, I agree. It isn't true though, as I oppose a lot of other factory farming practices domestically too. An American deal would be a big step in the wrong direction, when we should be moving in the direction of higher standards.
  • Foxy said:

    Oh, I agree. It isn't true though, as I oppose a lot of other factory farming practices domestically too. An American deal would be a big step in the wrong direction, when we should be moving in the direction of higher standards.
    Why don't we let people choose?

    If people want red tractor meat, free range eggs they will pay for that.
  • Foxy said:

    Oh, I agree. It isn't true though, as I oppose a lot of other factory farming practices domestically too. An American deal would be a big step in the wrong direction, when we should be moving in the direction of higher standards.
    Well I agree on animal standards, but are you happy not to have a free trade agreement with the EU on the same principle? As Spain and other countries have lower standards for these things than we do.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148

    I'm not a fan of some of its farming methods but America is not the third world or the wild west. If it were that unsafe for human consumption or resulted in cancer we'd see the results in the US population starkly with that of Europe.

    And don't forget there was horsemeat galore in the EU, right here in almost every processed meat product you could imagine, and perfectly legally only a few years ago.
    I think we do see the effects on American health. As I recall the horsemeat scandal was illegal at the time.

    If we get an American Deal, I think there will be a big reaction, not just from British farmers, but also a big swing to a plant based diet. Britons don't want that crap, and crap it is.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759

    I'm not a fan of some of its farming methods but America is not the third world or the wild west. If it were that unsafe for human consumption or resulted in cancer we'd see the results in the US population starkly with that of Europe.

    US life expectancy is measurably lower and they clearly have a bigger problem with certain food-related health issues.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,155

    Well I agree on animal standards, but are you happy not to have a free trade agreement with the EU on the same principle? As Spain and other countries have lower standards for these things than we do.
    If the US committed to enforcing standards at the level of Spain in return for a FTA with us, I think most people would be delighted.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Why don't we let people choose?

    If people want red tractor meat, free range eggs they will pay for that.
    It's part of government's duty to stop traders poisoning and infecting people just to make an extra buck. Or at least the Victorians thought so. The Americans pay a higher rate of food poisoning weith bactera for their chlorine washing and the like.;
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148

    Well I agree on animal standards, but are you happy not to have a free trade agreement with the EU on the same principle? As Spain and other countries have lower standards for these things than we do.
    One of our more positive influences on the EU was raising of food and agricultural standards standards. Its a pity we have abandoned it.

    Yes, like most Britons*, I support raising of welfare standards above other countries including the EU ones. Its not likely to happen though under this government.

    *https://yougov.co.uk/topics/food/articles-reports/2020/06/16/britain-chlorinated-chicken-US-trade-deal
  • isamisam Posts: 41,237
    edited October 2020

    That's OK with me, though immigration isn't mass and hasn't been for a long time. On the scale of threats, being beheaded by a nutter (Muslim or otherwise) is invisibly far down my list, and I'm certainly not supporting restrictions on movement for ordinary people just in case the odd one is bonkers.

    My mother grew up in Danzig and her father worked in Berlin in the 30s for over a decade - they saw lots of Germans. Her view was that the old aristocrats and some of the poorer groups were anti-Nazi, but most people were increasingly enthusiastic about Hitler- they felt they'd been humiliated and destitute and they liked what they saw as a winner. Violent extremism is always bad, but the parallels with Muslims and the likes of ISIS are IMO pretty much non-existent.
    Doesn't make me feel that much better about my girlfriend working in a 100% Muslim school that the UN have said was a breeding ground for extremism.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,719

    So your solution is to continue to allow mass immigration from Muslim countries and we'll just have to put up with the odd beheading and bomb attack.

    Well you will be delighted to know that is exactly what is going to happen.
    Controlled not open door immigration. Promotion of integration into mainstream society. Zero tolerance of hate speech. Support for moderate Islam. No segregated schools. No cultural cringe. Equality under the law. Appropriate funding and powers for the security services. This is imo a suitable and proportionate approach to the problem. Certainly preferable to demonizing a quarter of the world's population and nonsense such as a national blanket Muslim ban. One suspects, when hearing that sort of thing, that those proposing it are driven more by racism than anything else. I sense you are.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186
    Foxy said:

    I think we do see the effects on American health. As I recall the horsemeat scandal was illegal at the time.

    If we get an American Deal, I think there will be a big reaction, not just from British farmers, but also a big swing to a plant based diet. Britons don't want that crap, and crap it is.
    Then, there's nothing to fear from a US deal. If you're right British consumers will shun such products wholesale and the US will get nothing out of it.

    As it happens I've eaten meat in the USA - as have hundreds of thousands of Brits - with no ill effects.

    At the end of the day chemical washing might sometimes mask poorer animal welfare and hygiene during regarding rearing (or just be cheaper) but it's a very effective way of cleaning meat and making it safe to eat. Some Americans criticise EU standards for not doing the same with our chicken, making it more susceptible to E.coli, so these issues are not black and white.

    PS. You're incorrect about horsemeat. The labelling was improper but not the sale of the meat and the EU had to subsequently change its regulations as a result due to the backlash.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199
    edited October 2020
    Well done Jacinda Ardern.

    She is not very bright, and has not run a very effective adminstration, but she exudes empathy and made the right call on Covid. The Opposition have not been able to lay a glove on her.

    Her win is superlative, and she can now form a single party government - unprecedented in the modern era.

    Thank goodness too that Winston Peters and NZFirst have finally been booted out. He is/was NZ’s nearest thing to Nigel Farage. NZers finally - after 40 years - have tired of his crooked, race-baiting schtick.

    I’m not sure what lessons can be drawn for the U.K.

    On one hand, the election can be read as a massive shift leftwards (the Greens also did well). On the other, Jacinda governed and campaigned as a centrist. Her win was really a win for positivity and unity - qualities conspicuously lacking from Boris, Keir or Sturgeon.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186

    US life expectancy is measurably lower and they clearly have a bigger problem with certain food-related health issues.
    US cancer survival rates remain amongst the highest in the world.

    They have a problem with obesity and diabetes but that's a tangential issue.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148

    Why don't we let people choose?

    If people want red tractor meat, free range eggs they will pay for that.
    The Americans don't want their crap labelled.

    https://www.which.co.uk/news/2020/06/why-labels-wont-protect-uk-food-standards-from-a-us-trade-deal/

    Interesting to see that low income people in that survey are more keen than the wealthy on higher standards. I suppose that they cannot buy their way out of it so easily.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319

    Why don't we let people choose?

    If people want red tractor meat, free range eggs they will pay for that.
    Well, of course it depends where we want to draw the line. Otherwise you could say that about any regulation.
    Why don't we let people choose if they want toxic paint on children's toys?
    Or, if people want lead-free petrol they will pay for that.

    And if you want to only eat food produced without excessive cruelty, for example, it is not very easy to ask every time you eat when someone else cooks (whether a friend or in a restaurant etc) how they source their eggs.
  • VAR is crap, but pleased that it went against Liverpool for once.

    Twice. If Van Dijk had been onside they would have had a penalty and Pickford off the pitch.
    Though these days Pickford off the pitch is probably a plus for Everton.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186

    Well done Jacinda Ardern.

    She is not very bright, and has not run a very effective adminstration, but she exudes empathy and made the right call on Covid. The Opposition have not been able to lay a glove on her.

    Her win is superlative, and she can now form a single party government - unprecedented in the modern era.

    Thank goodness too that Winston Peters and NZFirst have finally been booted out. He is/was NZ’s nearest thing to Nigel Farage. NZers finally - after 40 years - have tired of his crooked, race-baiting schtick.

    I’m not sure what lessons can be drawn for the U.K.

    On one hand, the election can be read as a massive shift leftwards (the Greens also did well). On the other, Jacinda governed and campaigned as a centrist. Her win was really a win for positivity and unity - qualities conspicuously lacking from Boris, Keir or Sturgeon.

    Yes, I think that's right.

    It's her emotional intelligence that's supreme and she has been rewarded for.

    The antithesis of Theresa May perhaps?
  • kinabalu said:

    Controlled not open door immigration. Promotion of integration into mainstream society. Zero tolerance of hate speech. Support for moderate Islam. No segregated schools. No cultural cringe. Equality under the law. Appropriate funding and powers for the security services. This is imo a suitable and proportionate approach to the problem. Certainly preferable to demonizing a quarter of the world's population and nonsense such as a national blanket Muslim ban. One suspects, when hearing that sort of thing, that those proposing it are driven more by racism than anything else. I sense you are.
    Having a pause on immigration from some countries isn't demonising them, this is a crazy conclusion to draw. The vast majority of the planet aren't able to come and settle here, is that demonising them too?

    Your other ideas are reasonable, but will cost a lot of time and money. Immigration policy is supposed to best serve the current population of the country, not be a charity to spend a fortune on to solve issues that aren't present in other immigration groups.

    Sure yeah pointing out these issues is racism. I give up.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,917

    US cancer survival rates remain amongst the highest in the world.

    They have a problem with obesity and diabetes but that's a tangential issue.
    That's a portion control issue. They simply eat too much.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,917
    Last year I knew I'd see Everton top of the table again in my lifetime.
    Just wasn't sure of which division.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    US Presidential. This from The Hill is interesting and ties in with other analyses from other sources:

    "It was, after all, the virus that not only infected the country but brought down his presidential chances as well. In almost every state, Trump gets high marks (over 50 percent) for helping the economy and low marks (in the low 40s) for dealing with the virus. His stands on “law and order” in the face of riots and racial injustice were too far to the right for a public that wanted a balance between reforming the police and the justice systems and re-establishing stability in the country. Biden overwhelmingly is seen as the one who can bring racial reconciliation.

    ...

    "Trump has spent a lot of time courting the Black vote but, in these polls, he is getting about 10 percent. He is doing better (almost 40 percent) among voters he did not spend much time courting – the Latino vote – and he is likely to do especially well with voters from Cuba, Venezuela and Central America. Working-class voters continue to support him strongly, while he faces defections from 2016 among suburban voters and seniors who care more about their safety than the economy. Trump simply spent too much time reinforcing his base and too little time reaching out for swing voters."

    https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/521457-swing-state-polls-suggest-a-narrowed-path-for-trumps-reelection
  • Twice. If Van Dijk had been onside they would have had a penalty and Pickford off the pitch.
    Though these days Pickford off the pitch is probably a plus for Everton.
    Yes they were absolutely robbed.

    But in the week they tried to grab all the TV money for themselves and the other 5 biggest clubs I have to say...lolz.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Foxy said:

    The Americans don't want their crap labelled.

    https://www.which.co.uk/news/2020/06/why-labels-wont-protect-uk-food-standards-from-a-us-trade-deal/

    Interesting to see that low income people in that survey are more keen than the wealthy on higher standards. I suppose that they cannot buy their way out of it so easily.
    Very interesting observation - and a key rebuttal to the typical Tory assertion of let them get what they can pay for, as an excuse for throwing the poor to the wolves (or, in this case, microparasites such as campylobacter)..
  • Foxy said:

    The Americans don't want their crap labelled.

    https://www.which.co.uk/news/2020/06/why-labels-wont-protect-uk-food-standards-from-a-us-trade-deal/

    Interesting to see that low income people in that survey are more keen than the wealthy on higher standards. I suppose that they cannot buy their way out of it so easily.
    Americans are very keen on Country of Origin Labelling not against it.

    The idea that red tractor etc would be illegal after a deal is a total myth.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199

    Yes, I think that's right.

    It's her emotional intelligence that's supreme and she has been rewarded for.

    The antithesis of Theresa May perhaps?
    Pretty much.
    Though both manifestly care about their respective countries in a way that Boris does not, Sturgeon by definition does not, and Keir has yet to tell us.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    Yes, I think that's right.

    It's her emotional intelligence that's supreme and she has been rewarded for.

    The antithesis of Theresa May perhaps?

    If that is a global mood at the moment, it bodes well for Biden, and disastrous for Trump.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148
    edited October 2020

    Then, there's nothing to fear from a US deal. If you're right British consumers will shun such products wholesale and the US will get nothing out of it.

    As it happens I've eaten meat in the USA - as have hundreds of thousands of Brits - with no ill effects.

    At the end of the day chemical washing might sometimes mask poorer animal welfare and hygiene during regarding rearing (or just be cheaper) but it's a very effective way of cleaning meat and making it safe to eat. Some Americans criticise EU standards for not doing the same with our chicken, making it more susceptible to E.coli, so these issues are not black and white.

    PS. You're incorrect about horsemeat. The labelling was improper but not the sale of the meat and the EU had to subsequently change its regulations as a result due to the backlash.
    Did you watch the Despatches programme, and really conclude that such farming practices were something that we should import?

    If so you are in a very small minority. Repeated polling shows that Britons do not want that crap. I thought the point was to take back control.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199
    TimT said:


    If that is a global mood at the moment, it bodes well for Biden, and disastrous for Trump.
    We can only pray.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited October 2020

    Well done Jacinda Ardern.

    She is not very bright, and has not run a very effective adminstration, but she exudes empathy and made the right call of Covid. The Opposition have not been able to lay a glove on her.

    Her win is superlative, and she can now form a single party government - unprecedented in the modern era.

    Thank goodness too that Winston Peters and NZFirst have finally been booted out. He is/was NZ’s nearest thing to Nigel Farage. NZers finally - after 40 years - have tired of his crooked, race-baiting schtick.

    I’m not sure what lessons can be drawn for the U.K.

    On one hand, the election can be read as a massive shift leftwards (the Greens also did well). On the other, Jacinda governed and campaigned as a centrist. Her win was really a win for positivity and unity - qualities conspicuously lacking from Boris, Keir or Sturgeon.

    Congratulations are very much in order, as she took over a Labour party in 2017 at 24 per cent in the polls.

    It shows how really dramatically the right person can completely transform a party's electoral prospects.

    (There are plenty of UK parties who can take hope from that from SLAB to the LibDems).

    On Covid, she was a little fortunate as the virus hit in the NZ summer, and she basically panicked & shut the country down. It turned out that that was the right approach.

    It is interesting that the leaders who panicked and shut their country done have -- in general -- fared better than those who listened to the scientists, especially the theoretical modellers.

    Compare for example Norway & Sweden -- I think the Norwegian PM has said she closed everything down out of fear, whereas the Swedish approach was backed up by more cerebral arguments.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148
    dixiedean said:

    That's a portion control issue. They simply eat too much.
    It isn't just portion control that is wrong with the American diet, but also the amount of concealed sugar salt and fat in it. These are easy ways of making bland food more appealing, so core to US food manufacturing and retailing.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,917
    kinabalu said:

    Controlled not open door immigration. Promotion of integration into mainstream society. Zero tolerance of hate speech. Support for moderate Islam. No segregated schools. No cultural cringe. Equality under the law. Appropriate funding and powers for the security services. This is imo a suitable and proportionate approach to the problem. Certainly preferable to demonizing a quarter of the world's population and nonsense such as a national blanket Muslim ban. One suspects, when hearing that sort of thing, that those proposing it are driven more by racism than anything else. I sense you are.
    The no segregated schools bit is interesting. We have plenty right now.
    They are religious.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Americans are very keen on Country of Origin Labelling not against it.

    The idea that red tractor etc would be illegal after a deal is a total myth.
    In America they may be - not their exports in the UK.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759

    Pretty much.
    Though both manifestly care about their respective countries in a way that Boris does not, Sturgeon by definition does not, and Keir has yet to tell us.
    Why do you think "Sturgeon by definition does not"?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,917
    Foxy said:

    It isn't just portion control that is wrong with the American diet, but also the amount of concealed sugar salt and fat in it. These are easy ways of making bland food more appealing, so core to US food manufacturing and retailing.
    This is true. But even when choosing the very healthiest option, I remain astonished it isn't brought on a forklift.
  • Carnyx said:

    In America they may be - not their exports in the UK.
    The advantage of reciprocal trade deals is the same standards apply to both sides.

    Oh and kamski many restaurants today already advertise their eggs as free range etc precisely because they know their customers appreciate that.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759
    dixiedean said:

    This is true. But even when choosing the very healthiest option, I remain astonished it isn't brought on a forklift.
    One time I arrived late after a flight and ordered what I thought would be a light salad... It could have fed a family of four.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186
    TimT said:


    If that is a global mood at the moment, it bodes well for Biden, and disastrous for Trump.
    I don't think there's any such thing as a global mood except to the extent that the western liberal internationalist chattering class applauds the successes of its own.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186

    Congratulations are very much in order, as she took over a Labour party in 2017 at 24 per cent in the polls.

    It shows how really dramatically the right person can completely transform a party's electoral prospects.

    (There are plenty of UK parties who can take hope from that from SLAB to the LibDems).

    On Covid, she was a little fortunate as the virus hit in the NZ summer, and she basically panicked & shut the country down. It turned out that that was the right approach.

    It is interesting that the leaders who panicked and shut their country done have -- in general -- fared better than those who listened to the scientists, especially the theoretical modellers.

    Compare for example Norway & Sweden -- I think the Norwegian PM has said she closed everything down out of fear, whereas the Swedish approach was backed up by more cerebral arguments.
    Yes, I think Corbyn, Ardern, Boris and the opposite (May and Corbyn part 2) are lessons about leadership not ideology.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199

    Congratulations are very much in order, as she took over a Labour party in 2017 at 24 per cent in the polls.

    It shows how really dramatically the right person can completely transform a party's electoral prospects.

    (There are plenty of UK parties who can take hope from that from SLAB to the LibDems).

    On Covid, she was a little fortunate as the virus hit in the NZ summer, and she basically panicked & shut the country down. It turned out that that was the right approach.

    It is interesting that the leaders who panicked and shut their country done have -- in general -- fared better than those who listened to the scientists, especially the theoretical modellers.

    Compare for example Norway & Sweden -- I think the Norwegian PM has said she closed everything down out of fear, whereas the Swedish approach was backed up by more cerebral arguments.
    Yes.

    It is quite something to watch the election coverage - people mingling, hugging, drinking, singing and laughing freely - and think of life in a Covid-free country.
  • I don't think there's any such thing as a global mood except to the extent that the western liberal internationalist chattering class applauds the successes of its own.
    Indeed. Politics is local not global.

    Trump is a disaster and his politics are disastrous. The rarely spoken truth is that when it comes to most policies Johnson is far, far, far closer to Biden than Trump.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,719
    edited October 2020

    Having a pause on immigration from some countries isn't demonising them, this is a crazy conclusion to draw. The vast majority of the planet aren't able to come and settle here, is that demonising them too?

    Your other ideas are reasonable, but will cost a lot of time and money. Immigration policy is supposed to best serve the current population of the country, not be a charity to spend a fortune on to solve issues that aren't present in other immigration groups.

    Sure yeah pointing out these issues is racism. I give up.
    It's one of our abiding values as a liberal democracy that we don't have race or religion as an excluding or including factor in immigration policy. To propose that Muslims be blanket banned is off the wall extreme and it places you in unsavoury company. Sorry but that's a fact. Just check out the sort of people who agree with you. So, yes, you should give it up.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199

    Why do you think "Sturgeon by definition does not"?
    Her country is - still - the UK.
    And she is pledged to dismantling it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,186
    Foxy said:

    Did you watch the Despatches programme, and really conclude that such farming practices were something that we should import?

    If so you are in a very small minority. Repeated polling shows that Britons do not want that crap. I thought the point was to take back control.
    We import meat and vegetables from all over the world.

    I'm not too fussed about it so long as it's safe, meets minimum standards and is properly labelled. And the best steak and lobster I've ever had in my life has been in North America.

    I'm afraid I think a lot of this is knee jerk anti-Americanism.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Her country is - still - the UK.
    And she is pledged to dismantling it.
    Her state might be, technically.

    Her country and nation are Scotland. Which is the whole point. And she is doing far better in Scotland than Mr J in the UK or England (depending which hat he is wearing), according to the people who live in Scotland.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199
    kinabalu said:

    It's one of our abiding values as a liberal democracy that we don't have race or religion as an excluding or including factor in immigration policy. To propose that Muslims be blanket banned is off the wall extreme and it places you in unsavoury company. Sorry but that's a fact. Just check out the sort of people who agree with you. So, yes, you should give it up.
    Income thresholds tends to disfavour Muslim majority countries anyway.

    Not that Muslim immigration is the #1 or even #100 problem faced by this country.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759

    Her country is - still - the UK.
    And she is pledged to dismantling it.
    Presumably on that basis you thought anyone from the former Soviet Union who wanted to dismantle the USSR was unpatriotic by definition?
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Presumably on that basis you thought anyone from the former Soviet Union who wanted to dismantle the USSR was unpatriotic by definition?
    Says the person who was blathering about Wales not being a country the other day.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759
    edited October 2020

    Says the person who was blathering about Wales not being a country the other day.
    You've confused me with someone else entirely.

    Probably RochdalePioneers: https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3062923/#Comment_3062923
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199
    Carnyx said:

    Her state might be, technically.

    Her country and nation are Scotland. Which is the whole point. And she is doing far better in Scotland than Mr J in the UK or England (depending which hat he is wearing), according to the people who live in Scotland.
    The point I was making - perhaps too obliquely - is that there is an audience for positive appeals to unity.

    Sturgeon is a much, much smarter and more competent operator than Ardern, but she is also a professional grump and her ideology is by definition divisive.

    If we wish to protect the Union (and it appears many on here do not), we must hope for a Scots Labour Ruth Davidson type, who can do humour, optimism, and “togetherness”.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199

    Presumably on that basis you thought anyone from the former Soviet Union who wanted to dismantle the USSR was unpatriotic by definition?
    Dunno. Did the USSR have a demos?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    US cancer survival rates remain amongst the highest in the world.
    US Cancer survival rates are skewed by over diagnosis.

    If you have a slow but incurable cancer, like certain prostate cancers, then in America due to the vastly inefficient and expensive screening US GPS are wont to do you'll find out about it early yet won't do anything about it. In the UK you find out about it later with zero quality of life difference in the intervening years.

    Yet that will go down in the statistics as a better cancer survival rate for the US patient because it was known about for longer.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,759

    Dunno. Did the USSR have a demos?
    Well the UK certainly doesn't.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    You've confused me with someone else entirely.

    Probably RochdalePioneers: https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3062923/#Comment_3062923
    WilliamGlenn. Ah yes, my apologies.

    It was RochdalePioneers & Pulpstar who denied the existence of Wales as a country.

    I will add their names to the list.

    Yours has been removed.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,719
    dixiedean said:

    The no segregated schools bit is interesting. We have plenty right now.
    They are religious.
    Yes, for me this is a bit of a silver bullet for many things. Schools not to be segregated by religion or parental bank balance.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    The point I was making - perhaps too obliquely - is that there is an audience for positive appeals to unity.

    Sturgeon is a much, much smarter and more competent operator than Ardern, but she is also a professional grump and her ideology is by definition divisive.

    If we wish to protect the Union (and it appears many on here do not), we must hope for a Scots Labour Ruth Davidson type, who can do humour, optimism, and “togetherness”.
    You could just as well condemn Messrs Johnson and Gove for having ideology which is "by definition divisive." No, I must decline that as an argument as opposed to personal opinion (which is fair enough).

    Professional grump - I should hope so at this time of all times. We're Scots. Of course we understand grumps.

    The point re Ms D is interesting. What the Union really needs, however, is a competent government in its centre, nmot a comedain fronting it. There's only so much papering over the cracks that one can do with jokey photo opportunities - as Mr Johnson is showing now. I can't see that Ms Davidson could do any better. She, like Messrs J and Gove, is also a journalist, and specifically a TV one, and I think that showed in her performance, for better and worse. What I was never sure about was her ideology - other than staying in the Union (for which she is now being rewarded with a peerage). In fairness that also applies to most of the Conservative Party, especially in Scotland, who have jettisoned their pro-Europeanness and signed up to the new order. I think it is highly significant she resigned rather than (say) taking maternity leave, and although she had been called back, she's not fronting things.

    And you are asking Scottish Labour to repeat their mistake of 2014 and front for the Tories yet again in Scotland, effectively. It's not a good sign for Labour that it's the Tories who are desperate to replace Mr Leonard, who at least has not ignited a civil war within Scottish Labour, and has indeed seen a replacement bid off in recent weeks, possibly because the Tories were so obviously keen to dump him. Laboiur's best chance would have been Wendy Alexander by far - and she was stabbed in the back very quickly.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    The advantage of reciprocal trade deals is the same standards apply to both sides.

    Oh and kamski many restaurants today already advertise their eggs as free range etc precisely because they know their customers appreciate that.
    Trade deals say whatever they say. They don’t have to apply the same standards on both sides. You might be confusing with what happens in the EU.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319

    The advantage of reciprocal trade deals is the same standards apply to both sides.

    Oh and kamski many restaurants today already advertise their eggs as free range etc precisely because they know their customers appreciate that.
    Like I said it's a case of where you draw the line, unless you are actually arguing that no regulation at all is needed.

    Certain lines have been drawn looser in the US, I suspect most people here generally don't want our lines to be loosened to suit American exporters.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Alistair said:

    US Cancer survival rates are skewed by over diagnosis.

    If you have a slow but incurable cancer, like certain prostate cancers, then in America due to the vastly inefficient and expensive screening US GPS are wont to do you'll find out about it early yet won't do anything about it. In the UK you find out about it later with zero quality of life difference in the intervening years.

    Yet that will go down in the statistics as a better cancer survival rate for the US patient because it was known about for longer.

    Indeed, there is a whole South Korean saga about over diagnosis - and overtreatment - of slow growing, non-lethal cancers (thyroid) skewing not just the nation's cancer survival statistics, but its approach to treatment. To the detriment of patient care.

    See https://www.minnpost.com/second-opinion/2014/11/thyroid-cancer-south-korea-cautionary-tale-about-dangers-overdiagnosis/
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,673
    Carnyx said:

    In America they may be - not their exports in the UK.
    That's correct. This is my day job (we were responsible with partners for the film on live exports and also work with MPs across party on the trade deal and labelling issues.The detailed discussion which we wrote is here if anyone's interested: https://www.ciwf.org.uk/our-campaigns/other-campaigns/trade-and-animal-welfare/
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,455

    Yes, I think that's right.

    It's her emotional intelligence that's supreme and she has been rewarded for.

    The antithesis of Theresa May perhaps?
    Perhaps the more relevant question isn't why she won but why National lost so heavily. Only 2002 was worse in terms of vote share and seats since the coming of MMP.

    Pre-Covid, Simon Bridges had put National in a decent position - a Colmar Brunton poll in mid February had a 46-41 lead. Unfortunately, the response of Bridges and National to Covid was to carp, criticise and complain and you just don't do that at a time of crisis. In trying to defend National's core constituencies of business and farmers, Bridges struck the wrong note with the suburban and urban vote and from then on he and National started to sink.

    Replacing Bridges with farmer-friendly Todd Mueller was a disaster (think IDS) as he was completely incapable of the kind of leadership National needed so it was left to the vastly experienced Judith Collins and Gerry Brownlee to try to save something but they are relics from the Key Government - the nearest analogy is Howard becoming Conservative leader after IDS.

    In the end, all Collins could count on was the National core vote and that's the 27%. Yes, some National voters probably went ACT (as did some NZF) but the swing from National to Labour was 15% so there must have been huge direct switching of votes. The Party vote numbers tell a similar story - in Taranaki King-Country (the electorate of former NZ PM Jim Bolger), in 2017 National won the electorate vote by 15,000 and the Party vote by 12,000. This time the electorate was won by 3,500 and the Party vote by just 337.

    Another factor was the referendum also taking place on the legalisation of cannabis which I suspect led to a marked increase in voting among younger people who are strongly Labour. I believe turnout is up on 2017.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,148

    We import meat and vegetables from all over the world.

    I'm not too fussed about it so long as it's safe, meets minimum standards and is properly labelled. And the best steak and lobster I've ever had in my life has been in North America.

    I'm afraid I think a lot of this is knee jerk anti-Americanism.
    Yes, we import lots of foods - which meet our standards. It is certainly possible to eat well in America, if you are rich and choosy where you go.

    I am not Anti-American. I lived there for 5 years as a teenager and am really quite fond of the place, the landscapes and people. I even feel some affinity for Southern Redneck culture from my schooling in Georgia.

    America (like Britain) is a very diverse country, and it as hard to hate it all as to love it all. There are many bad things about America, including US agribusiness, as well as many positive things. A real patriot is not afraid of criticising their country, as any true patriot wants it to be a better place. I am a patriotic Brit who loves America and Europe too*. There is no conflict in that.

    *Many other places too, such as Africa and Australasia too.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    New thread
  • kamski said:

    Like I said it's a case of where you draw the line, unless you are actually arguing that no regulation at all is needed.

    Certain lines have been drawn looser in the US, I suspect most people here generally don't want our lines to be loosened to suit American exporters.
    I want the line to primarily concern safety for consumers.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,199
    Carnyx said:

    You could just as well condemn Messrs Johnson and Gove for having ideology which is "by definition divisive." No, I must decline that as an argument as opposed to personal opinion (which is fair enough).

    Professional grump - I should hope so at this time of all times. We're Scots. Of course we understand grumps.

    The point re Ms D is interesting. What the Union really needs, however, is a competent government in its centre, nmot a comedain fronting it. There's only so much papering over the cracks that one can do with jokey photo opportunities - as Mr Johnson is showing now. I can't see that Ms Davidson could do any better. She, like Messrs J and Gove, is also a journalist, and specifically a TV one, and I think that showed in her performance, for better and worse. What I was never sure about was her ideology - other than staying in the Union (for which she is now being rewarded with a peerage). In fairness that also applies to most of the Conservative Party, especially in Scotland, who have jettisoned their pro-Europeanness and signed up to the new order. I think it is highly significant she resigned rather than (say) taking maternity leave, and although she had been called back, she's not fronting things.

    And you are asking Scottish Labour to repeat their mistake of 2014 and front for the Tories yet again in Scotland, effectively. It's not a good sign for Labour that it's the Tories who are desperate to replace Mr Leonard, who at least has not ignited a civil war within Scottish Labour, and has indeed seen a replacement bid off in recent weeks, possibly because the Tories were so obviously keen to dump him. Laboiur's best chance would have been Wendy Alexander by far - and she was stabbed in the back very quickly.
    You seem to be confusing me with a PB Tory.
    I loathe Boris and indeed, nothing has been more divisive than Brexit.

    I do like this country though - by which I mean - Britain - and I’m interested in ways of protecting the Union. It would make a good thread header for someone...

    It seems to me as an outsider to Scottish politics that the SNP have a near-monopoly on conviction, of not competence, and that the Unionist parties are bereft of talent. No, I don’t think Richard Leonard is up to snuff.
  • Alistair said:

    US Cancer survival rates are skewed by over diagnosis.

    If you have a slow but incurable cancer, like certain prostate cancers, then in America due to the vastly inefficient and expensive screening US GPS are wont to do you'll find out about it early yet won't do anything about it. In the UK you find out about it later with zero quality of life difference in the intervening years.

    Yet that will go down in the statistics as a better cancer survival rate for the US patient because it was known about for longer.

    Isn't the point of screening that the sooner you find it, the easier it is to treat?

    Some may be incurable but most are not if caught early enough.
  • kinabalu said:

    Yes, for me this is a bit of a silver bullet for many things. Schools not to be segregated by religion or parental bank balance.
    So you don't believe in children walking to their local school? Determined by the bank balance of who got a school in its catchment area.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    TimT said:

    Indeed, there is a whole South Korean saga about over diagnosis - and overtreatment - of slow growing, non-lethal cancers (thyroid) skewing not just the nation's cancer survival statistics, but its approach to treatment. To the detriment of patient care.

    See https://www.minnpost.com/second-opinion/2014/11/thyroid-cancer-south-korea-cautionary-tale-about-dangers-overdiagnosis/
    That said if I was over 65 (so on medicare) and had a nasty cancer I would prefer to be in America rather than the UK. Medicare is willing to spend silly money on cancer treatments.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited October 2020

    You seem to be confusing me with a PB Tory.
    I loathe Boris and indeed, nothing has been more divisive than Brexit.

    I do like this country though - by which I mean - Britain - and I’m interested in ways of protecting the Union. It would make a good thread header for someone...

    It seems to me as an outsider to Scottish politics that the SNP have a near-monopoly on conviction, of not competence, and that the Unionist parties are bereft of talent. No, I don’t think Richard Leonard is up to snuff.
    My apologies!

    I do think Ms Davidson has a certain talent - but it's very much the TV comedian front person - not without its real uses in politics as Mr J shows. And she pretty much erased a lot of the older Tories in the Annabel Goldie mould and replaced them with younger clones. Someone with a deeper observation skill than I could perhaps do a thread header on her similarities with Mr J,. which wouild no doubt horrify both of them. Though she's not history, yet, by any means, especially as she can carry on her campaign from the secure base of the HoL. I wouldn't be in the least surprised to see her replace Alister Jack as Satrap for Scotland in the Westminster cabinet once she takes up the ermine.

    On Labour talent, we do have Ms Baillie and Mr Sarwar, and Mr Rowley, though if they were so good why did they not win long before ...? I was talking to someone only this morning and suggesting that Mr Leonard was not that bad if only because there was nobody to replace him, at which my colocutor - who is socialist at heart - mentioned a certain Labour frontbencher and guffawed. I don't want to name that person, as I justr don't have the heart, but the politician in question is certainly half a haddock fillet and the brown sauce short of a full supper. That person even having a MSP seat - never mind a shadow position - is not a good sign of the level of Labour talent.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    RobD said:

    Are we going to have an article about how Gupta is also wrong? For balance, you know.
    Has she ever been right at any point during the pandemic?
    By which I mean - not obviously disproved within weeks of any of her pronouncements (unlike in March, April, May, or June).

    Or does she just rely on the fact that anyone who wants to believe what she’s saying will be automatically credulous?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,719
    Alistair said:

    That said if I was over 65 (so on medicare) and had a nasty cancer I would prefer to be in America rather than the UK. Medicare is willing to spend silly money on cancer treatments.
    Sorry - replied to wrong post.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,719

    So you don't believe in children walking to their local school? Determined by the bank balance of who got a school in its catchment area.
    Little that one can do about that other than spreading wealth around rather more evenly. Levelling up as more than soundbite.
This discussion has been closed.