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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Senior Republicans not enthused by Trump’s postpone the electi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Senior Republicans not enthused by Trump’s postpone the election move
The only way that Trump’s controversial postpone the election move could become a reality would be if senior Republicans were ready to go along with it. So far that backing seems to be absent.
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Republicans already have enough trouble without acting like they are going to go for the King Donald routine.
Bet they are wishing they'd have disassociated themselves earlier and oftener.
BUT they sold what was left of their shriveled souls for corporate tax breaks, loosened environmental & other regulations, and federal judicial nominations.
AND now it's simply too late. Just like it was for the GOP and Hoover back in 1932.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/
And Biden is no Hillary.
I have a feeling this is going to be like the 2019 election. Trump is Corbyn (but he actually narrowly won against the odds rather than lost but made it hung parliament); Hillary is May. I don't think Biden and Boris is a great comparison though.
Because of the prior result people are disbelieving the polls and expecting a second shock because it happened the first time. I don't think its going to happen though. I certainly hope not.
https://youtu.be/7lJondUzeKk?t=59
Looks like another Republican is gonna bite the big weenie - US Rep. Davide Schweikert of Arizona CD06 has today admitted to 11 serious ethics violations.
He's the only Republican running in August 4 Primary. On Democratic side, several challengers, most likely winner appears to be emergency room doctor Hiral Tipirneni, who as of the end of June had $1.6m cash on hand, compared with $240k for the incumbent.
BTW, here's the percents Schweikert got in recent general elections:
2016 - 62.1% 2018 - 55.2%
For 2020, Rep. Schweikert sure looks like he's an endangered species . . . and that voters are preparing to nail his nasty pecker to the wall.
This quote seems rather apt from when Reagan visited a cemetery with Kohl (from Wiki).
Reagan was criticized for this statement by opponents of the visit. Equating Nazi soldiers with Holocaust victims, responded Rabbi Alexander M. Schindler, president of the Union of American Hebrew Congregations, was "a callous offense for the Jewish people." Some critics claimed that Communications Director Pat Buchanan wrote the statement, which he denied in 1999.[3] Kohl confirmed an earlier press comment that in the last days of the war he was able to avoid service in the SS because he was only 15, "but they hanged a boy from a tree who was perhaps only two years older with a sign saying 'traitor' because he had tried to run away rather than serve."
Kohl made a call to the White House days before Reagan's visit to make sure the President was not wavering in the face of criticism, not to mention pressure from wife, Nancy. The Chancellor's aide, Horst Teltschik later said: "Once we knew about the SS dead at Bitburg – knowing that these SS people were seventeen to eighteen years of age, and knowing that some Germans were forced to become members of the SS, having no alternative – the question was, Should this be a reason to cancel?" Reagan aide Robert McFarlane later said: "Once Reagan learned that Kohl would really be badly damaged by a withdrawal, he said 'We can't do that; I owe him.'" Prior to sending Deaver back to West Germany for the third time, just two days before the scheduled visit, Reagan told his deputy chief of staff: "I know you and Nancy don't want me to go through with this, but I don't want you to change anything when you get over there, because history will prove I'm right. If we can't reconcile after forty years, we are never going to be able to do it."
That was 35 years ago he said that! If we can't reconcile after seventy five years, when are we ever going to be able to do it?
Its been seventy five years since the war ended. Can we still not let the dead rest in peace yet? Mourning the dead and saying we want to avoid war is not suggesting the atrocities of the Nazis or WWII were OK. Lets leave the past in the past now, WWII is over.
Immediate sweeping responses might work in countries with a functioning media operating in good faith; sadly, we don't have that.
No election before COVID is finished!
They need to again.
Or, rather they need not to.
One big difference is Sanders. He had a legitimate grievance last time.
This time he is four square behind Biden having been entirely fairly beaten.
But I think Sanders felt he could ride the grievance train for all its worth as she was going to be President anyway as Trump was just a joke. This time, nobody is laughing anymore.
https://twitter.com/leicesterliz/status/1288943715130781697?s=09
When Ashley took over, Spurs and Newcastle had similar commercial revenue, and were both on the same level, and we were one of the richest clubs in Europe. In that time, our commercial revenue has plunged to one of the lowest in the league.
Likewise, he’s had 13 years worth of prime, free sponsorship, primarily in the premier league. How much is that worth in missed revenue? We receive no income from the club shop or advertisement in the stadium. It goes directly to Sports Direct.
By the way @dixiedean the Freeman of Newcastle upon Tyne own the land St James Park sits on (not the council), but the club does own the stadium itself.
https://twitter.com/thathollyperson/status/1288949540591206401
https://twitter.com/TheRockFairyHQ/status/1288944016277544962
Signs permanently for Norwich.
This is why we are crap.
MICHIGAN - from Detroit Free Press
As always, the even-year August primary is marked by partisan contests for congressional seats and in the last six years, Michigan voters have seen huge changes, with nine of the state’s 14 seats being filled by new U.S. representatives. While that kind of change doesn’t appear to be on tap in this year’s balloting, Michigan is certain to get two new members of Congress — in west Michigan where U.S. Rep. Justin Amash, L-Cascade Township, has decided not to run for reelection and in the Thumb and northern Macomb County, where U.S. Rep. Paul Mitchell, R-Dryden, is stepping down.
The Aug. 4 primaries in both will help determine who replaces them in Congress. And while there won’t be a primary in the race for one of Michigan’s U.S. Senate seats — Republican businessman John James has a clear field to face sitting U.S. Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., in what will be a nationally watched race in November’s general election — there are several others in which contested primaries will determine the makeup of the state delegation or set up intriguing matchups for November.
It will also be one of the last two elections (with the general election) with the current congressional district configurations. Michigan is expected to lose a seat in Congress once the Census is completed this year and new district lines will be drawn next year by a state commission created by a state referendum.
WOLVERINE STATE TRIFECTA (SSI based on DFP)
CD 03 (Grand Rapids) - incumbent Never Trump Republican Justin Amash NOT running for re-election. Large field of eager GOPers in Republican primary, including Peter Meijer, Iraq War vet & chain grocery heir; state Rep. Lynn Afendoulis. Democratic hopeful is Hillary Scholten, who has a fighting chance of scoring an upset thanks to anti-Trump wave in district about half suburban, half rural.
CD 10 (Sarnia, Saginaw (part), Detroit exurbs, The Thumb) - incumbent GOP businessman spent $3m to win seat in 2016, now retiring. Leading contenders for Republican nomination in this reliably Republican district include state Rep. Shane Hernandez, businesswoman Lisa McClain, and Doug Slocum, USAF retired &, former commander at Selfridge Air National Guard Base in the district. Incumbent endorsed Hernandez, while McClain running as super-Trumper.
CD 13 (Detroit) - incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib versus Detroit city council president Brenda Jones; this is rematch, 4th in 2 years, for the pair in this heavily Democratic district. Tlaib has national fame thanks to Trumpsky, but Jones is seasoned veteran of Mo Town politics.
They have an actual government page for local.lockdowns ffs. It has no guidance to accompany this whatsoever.
They met earlier today - the least they could have done is written it up properly. They have an entire civil service if they deign to use it.
Genuine confusion about whether pubs and restaurants were included, or even if gardens are, as Burnham understood.
The government messed this up big style, they have no concept of good administration, so don't dare sugar coat it, it's an omnishambles.
https://twitter.com/aisha_akramx/status/1288946883143098381?s=21
https://twitter.com/saffa00/status/1288945671073157120?s=21
https://twitter.com/nkauser/status/1288945149821820928?s=21
As for sponsorship, that's the thing I never understood fully. Sponsorship is generally to win customers over. To transfer allegiance from the club to the product you're trying to sell. I used to drink Carlsberg during the football. But Newcastle fans hate Ashley, they despise him. I don't know a single Newcastle fan with a good word to say about him. I'd have thought Newcastle fans would be less likely to shop at Sports Direct because of him, not more likely to do so.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3Mrfut-FSw
South Stockport was largely white when I lived there and Tameside was mostly WWC. Oldham (just north of Tameside) was very Asian but I did not see Oldham on the list.
It’s not about “could have been Spurs”. We WERE Spurs. We were simply negligently mismanaged into the ground. We are a shell of a club from when Ashley took over.
It's the same reason I strictly limit my post numbers.
Again Twitter is not Britain. People say loads of things on Twitter.
Same reason that Hispanic and Black areas are doing worst in the US.
Tameside certainly has a sizeable Asian population amongst its WWC, but not as high as Oldham, a lot of Hindus and some Muslims around Ashton-under-Lyne, and Bengalis in Hyde.
(Hyndburn and Pendle)
Cases scaled to 100k population -
Japan, France, Israel, Spain, Russia, Mexico, Argentina, South Africa, India.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/unique-memorial-unveiled-in-woodvale-park-in-tribute-to-world-war-one-soldiers-30673208.html
I think it is a little one eyed of you to obsess quite so much, truth is that a lot of these areas are away from the main through routes, and actually mostly had rather low levels of COVID through March-May despite the Asians. Geography played a role, the same soft water that attracted wool.and cotton spinning, the types of locations sitting slightly more isolated towards the heads of soft water valleys, the immigration of Asians to the mills, the very high numbers from the expansion of testing, all coincide. All contribute to the overall picture.
Perhaps Asians have unlocked down a bit more than others in their communities, but I didn't detect a general air of Muslim disobedience during the main lockdown tbh. It is important to note that these locations are not the top places in terms of aggregate COVID deaths - Kirklees, Calderdale and NELincs had the lowest case rates in the North coming into June, despite the Asian populations of the first two.
As such, why here might be the wrong question, why now might be more salient.
It is neither representative nor compulsory.
Like choosing or not to listen to the Pub bore.
Step away.
Drove up to the border, first thing they noticed was, there was no line - very unusual. They were questioned in their car, then asked to park and be interviewed. Letter & documents were examined, and they were asked a lot of questions about the purpose & necessity of their trip. "Can't you do it via Zoom?" (They needed to be in person to scope out the site before making major business decision.)
After half hour or so, border guards told them they would NOT be allowed into Canada at this time. Weren't told why they didn't make the cut, but clear that official opinion was their trip was NOT necessary enough.
From what I understand, this is consistent with the strict control Canada is imposing at the US border. And haven't heard of any Americans - sensible ones anyway - that has a problem with that approach, when we clearly are doing way too little, way to late, to get our own pesthouse in order.
The ideal approach would be wholesale media reform; journalists are as important to the maintenance of political health as doctors as to the maintenance of physical health, so just as we introduced proper qualifications for doctors and legislation to hold them accountable for malpractice, we should introduce proper qualifications for journalists and legislation to hold them to account for malpractice. I have a deep admiration for journalists and the vital work they do, which is why I'm so depressed to see the profession so badly reduced in this country.
The fact that some of these places had the lowest rates earlier could explain why they're higher now, they're "behind the curve". Explains why the most Muslim city of all by far - London - is not on the list of infections now too, it was ahead of the curve.
I am no fan of religion and am happy to criticise it but it doesn't seem relevant here. isam is hearing horse hooves and thinking zebras.
The number of Americans claiming to be "driving to Alaska" has skyrocketed.
Trump may yet get his border wall.
Infections are higher in poorer densely populated towns and cities.
Muslims disproportionately live in poorer densely populated towns and cities.
Ergo Muslims disproportionately live in infected towns and cities.
Infections aren't going to be highest in small villages and small villages aren't going to be where more Muslims live. But correlation is not causation.
Makes me wonder how Vancouverites who maintain US post boxes in Point Roberts, WA are making out. As well as US residents of Point Roberts, who cannot drive to rest of US without going through BC and crossing border twice.
Saw a story about Yukon planning to get some kind of sign for local residents with cars licensed in more southerly climes (US or Canadian) not sure why they don't have local plates.
* You can't get more socially distanced than Alberta. When we visit my in-laws and they pick us up from the airport, after leaving the city the Sat Nav says "drive 400 kilometres then turn right".
I don't see anyone at all bringing Islam into the equation other than you to be honest.
If you don't think Islam is that relevant why are you constantly bringing it up here?
The list of hotspots in the North is a basically a list of Muslim areas. I'm not sure why this is - extended families, youth ignoring lockdowns, dense housing, poor working conditions or something else. But it is hard to get past this reality.
The odd thing is that they weren't badly affected earlier. Perhaps they weren't seeded by skiing holidays or trips to the Spanish sun.
Not sure about the Yukon. Probs not enough to make a difference before.
> in Pacific Northwest, most border towns on either side dead as a door nail, which is NOT the usual mid-summer situation; thus communities esp. hospitality business & workers very hard hit.
> one exception: Osoyoos, BC which is apparently thronging with tourists - not Americans, but by stir-crazy fellow Canucks from Vancouver & rest of Lower Mainland (Van burbs & exurbs). Osoyoos is smack on border in the Okanagan Valley (Okanogan south of the 49th) and is the closest thing in Canada to a mountain desert.
> one story interviewed lady in small Montana border town who owns a gift shop, her business is down to zilch. Yet she supported Canada's decision to virtually seal the border against Americans. She though it common sense they want to keep out the Covid if they can. Not sure how she's planning to vote - but she makes me proud to be an American.
> question I keep wondering about -actually three - is, how are they making out at on the bi-national St Regis Indian Reservation/Reserve, and at the bi-national Haskell Free Library & Opera House on the Quebec-Vermont line, and at the pool hall split by the border between La Belle Province and the State of New York?
Secretary of State Kim Wyman responds to President Trump’s tweet about delaying the General Election
July 30, 2020 · General Information
OLYMPIA —Washington Secretary of State Kim Wyman issued the following response to a tweet by President Donald Trump this morning about delaying the 2020 General Election.
“The 2020 General Election will take place Nov. 3 as required by law. Only an act of Congress can change that, and comments from lawmakers on both sides of the aisle have assured the American people that the election will take place as planned.
“The President’s and Attorney General’s continued consternation with vote-by-mail is precisely why I invite them to come to Washington state to see firsthand how my office and Washington’s 39 county election officials have worked diligently to build in robust security measures so people can vote safely this fall.”
At least one of the Washingtonians (my friend, a Democrat) who tried to crash the Canadian border thought he was problematic, but one of the others (a firm Republican) was sure it would NOT be a problem - he was mistaken.
Death of Black businessman, Tea Party activist and 2012 Republican presidential candidate just announced, attributed on his website to coronavirus, which Cain may (IIHO probably) contracted at President Trump's June rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma.