politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » John Rentoul: The sacking of Rebecca Long-Bailey was a “Blairi

Interesting angle from the Indy’s John Rentoul on the sacking of Shadow Education Secretary and former unsuccessful leadership challenger, Rebecca Long-Bailey.
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And it is not just those states seeing rising numbers. The national number of daily coronavirus case reports reached a new high Friday as well, at almost 40,000, according to data from Johns Hopkins University, and 32 states are seeing the number of new cases grow from the prior week.
Actually Burnley deserved to win.
But three points tomorrow v Southampton then happiness all round!
Kinnock expelled people from Labour to try and make the party more electable. We are waiting to see if Starmer does that. If he does, that will be transformative.
"The more we learn about the coronavirus, the more we realize it’s not just a respiratory infection. The virus can ravage many of the body’s major organ systems, including the brain and central nervous system."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/26/opinion/coronavirus-brain-damage-dementia.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage
Firstly, he was within a few seats of the Tories, not miles behind. Second, Blair was a charismatic leader not a worthy but dull sort. Thirdly, Blair had a very strong Shadow team with well developed policy ideas, whereas Starmer has a team of as yet nobodies and his main policy construct was Labour's farcical Brexit position which contributed handsomely to the big Tory election win.
1. Starmer has the same charisma as Tony Blair had when asleep
2. Starmer has removed Wrong Daily from the Shadow Cabinet but is yet to speak out against the taxis scuttling round the city handing out redundancy notices or expel Wrong Daily
I was genuinely amused when I heard he'd booted her. More amused to read the hysteria from the loony left. But he has a long long way to go to be Kinnock, never mind Blair
Starmer is trolling.
He doesn't really need to be a Blair or a Kinnock he just needs to be better than Johnson.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=liubu7WTsXc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdcHDxbYKfw
The news about the dam is a little concerning
And will Bart have to be voiced by a male actor now, along with Nelson, Ralph, Todd etc?
Trump wants to lose doesn't he? Maybe he is bored.
Oh yes, and Johnson looking shakier than at the last opinion poll and I had predicted a post Covid Johnson surge, so I'm looking pretty silly now
https://elemental.medium.com/surge-in-younger-covid-19-infections-could-worsen-the-pandemic-4622aa43126
Starmer is still outpolling his party
I couldn't agree more. And it's also lazy. Albeit a form of laziness that is widespread.
Blair's unpopularity within the party comes from the Iraq War and from moving the party to the right. Starmer is taking on toxicity within the party associated with aggressiveness* towards other viewpoints (which Blair did not do; Kinnock did that for him). These things are orthogonal. You can be centrist and militant. You can be left and open-minded.
*I'm not suggesting that Rebecca Long-Bailey is part of that aggressiveness. She clearly is not. But she perhaps doesn't recognise how toxic it is.
He is so very tiring.
https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1276767763843989505
There is no doubt something significant has happened but it may be that the Chinese are just determined to get a grip before it becomes another Wuhan.
You're also making the assumption that Boris Johnson will still be Prime Minister in four years' time.
Starmer wants schools open as soon as possible (I assume this popular publicly) and notably RLB's replacement said in their statement they agree. I assume this was a redline for Starmer.
Whoever identifies it, then attacks/defends/resolves it, probably wins.
https://www.npr.org/2020/06/24/882316641/what-parents-can-learn-from-child-care-centers-that-stayed-open-during-lockdowns
... Staff came up with creative ways to reinforce frequent and thorough hand-washing. Libby Corral is chief operating officer of the Valley of the Sun YMCA, which operated nine emergency child care sites across Arizona (this month they expanded to regular camp programming). She says that at the beginning of each 30-minute activity, such as sports or craft time, children get a stamp or marker doodle on their hands, which they have to wash off before moving on to the next activity.
"We were teaching them not just 'rinse your hands,' but 'scrub them.' And instead of having to dread washing their hands, they were able to get excited and laugh and have fun while they were doing that."...
Notably the US YMCAs have had no clusters of infection.
Once the man is obliged to draft and sell a manifesto, which might actually upset some people outside of the hard left of his own party, then we'll see whether the approval numbers hold up.
If I reload the page, I would like it to go to the bottom where the new post is (on Vanilla) but it will often go to a post a few above, which I assume is where it thinks I "read" up to. I wondered if this behaviour was changeable, hence my question.
https://twitter.com/AlishaEHillam/status/1113616271067762688
I am not sure this is correct. Didn't Corbyn lead once?
Starmer has a precarious majority on the NEC but to consolidate that he will need to win a key vote on the use of STV to elect constituency representatives that is coming up next month. If he loses that vote, there is still the possibility that the far left could pick up all 9 NEC CLP representatives ratherthan the 7 they have now, in which case Starmer will lose his majority. If he wins, his majority on the NEC will be secure. So if there was any planning in the fact that this came to a head now, it is probably came from Long-Bailey and McDonnell, who judged that the time to try and provoke a reaction was now, ahead of that key NEC meeting.
On the other hand, I think the cock-up theory is more plausible. Long-Bailey habitually felt the instinctive need to continue to snipe at the new leadership, misjudged the likely reaction to retweeting and endorsing such a divisive article and the controversy that would ensue, and then decided that it was better to become a martyr of the far left than to back down herself.
Not!
Look - there are always people crying for stupid stuff like books to be written by committees and so on. Most people will simply ignore them and they will fade into the sort of irrelevance that that sort of person always winds up in.
Last week, it was the toppling of statues that was going to end western civilisation. This week the streets seem free of pieces of public sclupture littering gutters and harbours and most people have forgotten it and moved on.
If you really want to worry about the end of civilisation, worry about Eadric's latest story that the Chinese have somehow made the virus worse.
https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2020/jun/27/milton-glaser-why-the-new-york-graphic-designer-was-so-influential