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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » That Boris could be so afflicted brings home in a powerful way

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  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,628



    In the UK this appeal would not have been allowed as there was, as I understand it, no new evidence and you can't appeal on the basis that the jury's verdict was perverse, no matter how clear it is that the jury has ignored the evidence. In Australia it is possible to appeal on the basis that the jury's verdict was unreasonable.

    The difference between the lower court and the higher court in this case was essentially one of approach. The lower court took the view that the "opportunity evidence" (which was unchallenged and was inconsistent with the prosecution case) left open the possibility that the prosecution may have been correct. The higher court took the view that the lower court had failed to consider whether the evidence (which essentially showed that there had not been any opportunity for Pell to commit the offences) meant there was a reasonable possibility that the offences had not taken place.

    As for the lower court finding one thing and then a higher court unanimously disagreeing, if that couldn't happen the higher courts would serve no purpose. And note that, in this case, there was a dissenting judge in the lower court. So the higher court has agreed with the dissenting judge.

    Thanks for the reply. Yes I see the logic that the higher court should be able to disagree with the lower court although it still seems stark that 7/7 judges thought that 2/3 judges got it wrong.

    So are there consequences for the lower court judges for making the 'wrong' decision?
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,592
    Next week's release will be more interesting when the numbers, sadly, get rather bigger. Would expect total deaths up at 13 or 14k based on the daily releases.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    My goodies from Amazon have just arrived

    Soap, thermometers, shampoo, moisturiser :D
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Pulpstar said:

    My goodies from Amazon have just arrived

    Soap, thermometers, shampoo, moisturiser :D

    wot, no clippers?
  • Andy_JS said:

    Who are you referring to?
    Adam Boulton no less.

    He is part of the Boulton, Burley, Rigby group on Sky of sad journalists forever looking for 'gotcha' moment or just asking insensitive or inane questions, and at the same time having an enormous opinion of themselves, and their value to journalism

    No wonder Sky only had approx 750,000 viewing the Queens Speech against the BBC of 14 million plus
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Foxy said:

    We used to do that here. In 1893 the The Fountain Hospital in Tooting was built in a few weeks as a fever hospital.

    http://www.workhouses.org.uk/MAB-Fountain/

    It is now St George's Hospital in Tooting, old St George's on Hyde Park Corner closed in 1981, now the Lanesborough Hotel.
    It's amazing what you can do when you don't give a fig for workers rights or conditions.

    We also used to fund things through philanthropy - Chelsea & Westminster Hospital, for example, was privately funded as was the University of Westminster.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    Andy_JS said:

    It may be that the vast majority of coronavirus deaths are people who would have died at some time within the next 12 months or so anyway of other conditions, and what's happening is that the numbers are being compressed into a shorter period of time. We'll know if that's true because there'll be less deaths than expected later on.
    Fewer deaths # grammar police
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132
    Andy_JS said:

    It may be that the vast majority of coronavirus deaths are people who would have died at some time within the next 12 months or so anyway of other conditions, and what's happening is that the numbers are being compressed into a shorter period of time. We'll know if that's true because there'll be less deaths than expected later on.
    All 5 of the people that I know of personally or relatives of persons known to me who have died of it were not on their last legs. 3 were in their fifties (all men) and 2 were spritely females in their mid seventies.

    The "nothing to see here" crowd need to get out more. Only they cannot.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,690

    Fewer deaths # grammar police
    That wouldn't work as a hashtag due to the spaces. #hashtagpolice
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Just saw the Harry and Meghan stuff. What a pair of tits. The royals are better off without them, she strikes me as the worst type of social climber and grasper.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    Foxy said:

    All 5 of the people that I know of personally or relatives of persons known to me who have died of it were not on their last legs. 3 were in their fifties (all men) and 2 were spritely females in their mid seventies.

    The "nothing to see here" crowd need to get out more. Only they cannot.
    The modelling was for between 50 and 66% of those that will die, would have died within the next 12 months.

    Obviously this may well be found to be utterly misguided.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,971
    algarkirk said:

    In England you can appeal on the basis that the verdict is 'unsafe' and it is possible to argue that the weight and quality of the evidence of innocence is such that the jury erred in convicting. This isn't common, mostly because it is a rare occurrence.

    If a juror came forward and said, 'We agreed on the guilty verdict immediately without any discussion and spent the rest of the day playing cards' wouldn't that also be grounds for overturning the verdict?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    rkrkrk said:

    Thanks for the reply. Yes I see the logic that the higher court should be able to disagree with the lower court although it still seems stark that 7/7 judges thought that 2/3 judges got it wrong.

    So are there consequences for the lower court judges for making the 'wrong' decision?
    Depends how reasonable an error or judgement they made I guess! Sometimes the higher judgement seems harsher on the lower rulings than others, depending on what tests they applied and how I assume.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    That’s not evidence, next.
    You are the one positing a miracle, because for every infectious disease ever documented bar about 2, once it's there it is there to stay. I am pretty certain people will still be getting flu, colds and chicken pox in 2030. So the burden of proof is with you.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Andy_JS said:
    That's when the people doing proper exercise can come out, not those out for a jolly.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,956

    If a juror came forward and said, 'We agreed on the guilty verdict immediately without any discussion and spent the rest of the day playing cards' wouldn't that also be grounds for overturning the verdict?
    Yes, but the appeal court hates going into jury matters - it's a can of worms. Being 'unsafe' is the only ground as such.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    TOPPING said:

    Yes he does. But if you're the defender, you will have built your castle so that you gain the upper, ie free hand as you descend to protect your domain from intruders thus putting the attacker at a disadvantage (cf spiral staircases also as @Morris has also noted).

    Have at thee!
    ("Upper hand" comes from sword fighting - if your sword is on top our your opponent's it's easier to disarm them)

    But the design of the spiral staircase is to allow the defenders to use the central pillar to protect the left side of the body thereby allow them to be more aggressive while exposing the attacker's left flank as they climb the stairs.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,577
    TOPPING said:

    That middle "e" is going to irritate me every time I see it. Which won't be that often, I hope.
    Perhaps Archewell is in fact their son's full name. Archie for short?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    edited April 2020
    "‘I’ve been an idiot’: New Zealand’s health minister breaks lockdown to go for trip to the beach
    Prime minister Jacinda Ardern says she would have sacked him under normal circumstances"

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/australasia/coronavirus-new-zealand-david-clark-health-minister-lockdown-beach-a9451521.html
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132

    The modelling was for between 50 and 66% of those that will die, would have died within the next 12 months.

    Obviously this may well be found to be utterly misguided.
    I think that for every hospital death there is probably another in the community and care homes. Those may well have been of limited life expectancy.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited April 2020
    Dr. Anthony Cardillo said he has seen very promising results when prescribing hydroxychloroquine in combination with zinc for the most severely-ill COVID-19 patients.

    "Every patient I've prescribed it to has been very, very ill and within 8 to 12 hours, they were basically symptom-free," Cardillo told Eyewitness News. "So clinically I am seeing a resolution."

    He said he has found it only works if combined with zinc. The drug, he said, opens a channel for the zinc to enter the cell and block virus replication.

    https://abc7.com/coronavirus-drug-covid-19-malaria-hydroxychloroquine/6079864/
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Charles said:

    ("Upper hand" comes from sword fighting - if your sword is on top our your opponent's it's easier to disarm them)

    But the design of the spiral staircase is to allow the defenders to use the central pillar to protect the left side of the body thereby allow them to be more aggressive while exposing the attacker's left flank as they climb the stairs.
    We are agreeing.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    Perhaps Archewell is in fact their son's full name. Archie for short?
    Wouldn't rule it out, frankly.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,298
    MaxPB said:

    Just saw the Harry and Meghan stuff. What a pair of tits. The royals are better off without them, she strikes me as the worst type of social climber and grasper.

    I think she got an unjustifiably rough ride from the media shortly after they married but I do think they are now showing themselves up as a pair of right planks.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,349

    Reuters is reporting that Germany has recorded another 3,834 cases of Covid-19, bringing its total number of cases to 99,225, with 1,607 deaths.

    That's France, Spain, Germany, Belgium, Japan are recording "worse" numbers.

    I think those talking about lifting the lockdown and his will be done and dusted in a few weeks from now are deluded.

    Those people are just plain ignorant.

    In the Imperial College report that brought about the "U-turn"* the suppression strategy that was modelled was for a period of 5 MONTHS. This is not a state secret, any interested journalist can go read the report from the 16th March. Also the report makes quite clear that only deals with the first wave, and it models a 2/3 ON and 1/3 OFF repeated supression strategy to deal with future outbreaks until there is a vaccine or herd immunity.

    Unless we are incredibly lucky we will be taking drastic action to deal with COVID-19 all through this year, and probably most of next year as well.

    * It's more complicated than that, it was a switch between mitigation and supression, and even those strategies form a continuum of possible actions.
  • SockySocky Posts: 404


    I'm no fan of Banks or UKIP but I think he is morally right.

    UKIP were a bona fide political party whether you like them or not with political aims even when they had no MPs, as were the Greens when they had no MPs.

    Why should any political parties be absolved of tax?

    Personally I would levy a 50% sin tax on all party donations.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    TOPPING said:

    We are agreeing.
    For lols I once insisted on trying some fencing up and down a (partially) spiral staircase. The lower position has an advantage in many ways - you are stretching up and away from your body, while the defender above is reaching down past their own legs. If hits to the legs count, you would be in big trouble...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Socky said:

    Why should any political parties be absolved of tax?

    Personally I would levy a 50% sin tax on all party donations.
    That's a different question.

    But if gifts to parties don't require tax then that should be consistent between minor parties like UKIP and Greens whether they have one MP or not.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    algarkirk said:

    Yes, but the appeal court hates going into jury matters - it's a can of worms. Being 'unsafe' is the only ground as such.

    Anecdote: friend of mine was on jury for trial of alleged drug dealer. Defence was that drugs were planted on D by police. Jury unanimously agreed that was true but turned to the question: was it the case that D was in fact a drug dealer and police were therefore justified in planting drugs? Answer yes, therefore guilty verdict (11-1, my friend dissenting).
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Checking local news reports in Spain on Facebook I see that Hotels in Mallorca are now suggesting they will not be able to re-open until 2021 and asking for tax breaks. I suspect that will be part of a developing trend now.

    And also just seen this:

    https://www.euroweeklynews.com/2020/04/07/british-holiday-makers-wanting-to-book-for-the-costa-del-sol-and-the-costa-blanca-warned-against-travelling-to-spain/?fbclid=IwAR3WX_25toVqMuUO8AsQqIGnyHKqvu_AjfslHjWYnWnj6bpuFlquX6LdyIE
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060
    IshmaelZ said:

    Anecdote: friend of mine was on jury for trial of alleged drug dealer. Defence was that drugs were planted on D by police. Jury unanimously agreed that was true but turned to the question: was it the case that D was in fact a drug dealer and police were therefore justified in planting drugs? Answer yes, therefore guilty verdict (11-1, my friend dissenting).
    That (framing the guilty) is called "noble cause corruption" and illegal.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,034
    edited April 2020

    No, they've recorded them even if COVID is suspected - but we know most suspected tests are negative, so quite possibly many of those were not COVID deaths.
    Good to see Liverpool FC have finally been shamed into doing the right thing and carry on paying their non-playing staff. Now if only they could retrospectively change the decision to have gone ahead with the Madrid game in the middle of last month.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    Dr. Anthony Cardillo said he has seen very promising results when prescribing hydroxychloroquine in combination with zinc for the most severely-ill COVID-19 patients.

    "Every patient I've prescribed it to has been very, very ill and within 8 to 12 hours, they were basically symptom-free," Cardillo told Eyewitness News. "So clinically I am seeing a resolution."

    He said he has found it only works if combined with zinc. The drug, he said, opens a channel for the zinc to enter the cell and block virus replication.

    https://abc7.com/coronavirus-drug-covid-19-malaria-hydroxychloroquine/6079864/

    I do think that hydroxychloroquine will be the basis for treatment
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    IshmaelZ said:

    Anecdote: friend of mine was on jury for trial of alleged drug dealer. Defence was that drugs were planted on D by police. Jury unanimously agreed that was true but turned to the question: was it the case that D was in fact a drug dealer and police were therefore justified in planting drugs? Answer yes, therefore guilty verdict (11-1, my friend dissenting).
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvZ2xRxdOWI
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    For lols I once insisted on trying some fencing up and down a (partially) spiral staircase. The lower position has an advantage in many ways - you are stretching up and away from your body, while the defender above is reaching down past their own legs. If hits to the legs count, you would be in big trouble...
    Not sure, they were made of stern stuff in days of yore.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmInkxbvlCs
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,034

    Somebody save us from Patel!!!!!

    I can't help thinking both Patel and Raab are in such high offices to please the Brexiteers rather than actually being the best people for the job.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    OllyT said:

    Good to see Liverpool FC have finally been shamed into doing the right thing and carry on paying their non-playing staff. Now if only they could retrospectively change the decision to have gone ahead with the Madrid game in the middle of last month.
    They were going to pay their non-playing staff either way. And it wasn't for Liverpool to stop tourists coming from Spain, that is and remains the government's responsibility.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132

    Dr. Anthony Cardillo said he has seen very promising results when prescribing hydroxychloroquine in combination with zinc for the most severely-ill COVID-19 patients.

    "Every patient I've prescribed it to has been very, very ill and within 8 to 12 hours, they were basically symptom-free," Cardillo told Eyewitness News. "So clinically I am seeing a resolution."

    He said he has found it only works if combined with zinc. The drug, he said, opens a channel for the zinc to enter the cell and block virus replication.

    https://abc7.com/coronavirus-drug-covid-19-malaria-hydroxychloroquine/6079864/

    To be published in The Journal of Anecdotal Medicine?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited April 2020
    Foxy said:

    To be published in The Journal of Anecdotal Medicine?
    :-) Top quality journal that one.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    Where is Priti Patel?

    The Home Secretary, in a time of National crisis, would normally be expected to be much more visible
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    TOPPING said:

    Not sure, they were made of stern stuff in days of yore.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmInkxbvlCs
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmFnX8DmEeA
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632

    They also serve who only stand and wait.

    I’d quote the whole thing, but out of deference to @Casino_Royale I'll go light on the poetry.
    Poetry is one of my consolations. I am going to do something I have not done for a long time which is to learn poems off by heart and recite them. There is no-one to hear them apart from my daughter (and she is well used to my eccentricities), the horse in the next field and the cats.

    At my primary school the nuns made us learn a poem every week and on Tuesday morning before classes started someone would be picked to recite it. It was a marvellous way of improving memory and above all giving us an ear for the sheer beauty and musicality of the English language. And I did lots of poetry reading when I studied drama. At one point we also did poems in Latin and, somewhere in the attic, is my certificate for 1st place in a Latin poetry reciting competition. Now is the time to revive such skills.

    I used to recite poems to my children at bed-time: nonsense rhymes and the rest but The Owl and the Pussycat was a particular favourite.

    Occasionally I have been known to put obscure references to snatches of poems in my headers. Not that anyone notices ........ :(
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IshmaelZ said:

    TIL: the French for curfew (and, I'm guessing, etymology of the word) is couvre feu.
    You're right on the etymology. There was a law at some point (back when houses were wooden) that you had to put out your hearth fires at a given time - and the watchmen used to walk around shouting "couvre feu"
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    OllyT said:


    I can't help thinking both Patel and Raab are in such high offices to please the Brexiteers rather than actually being the best people for the job.
    Probably, but are people ever in high offices purely by being the best people for the job? If it were possible to objectively assess the merits of all MPs and put those best placed in the most appropriate positions I imagine government and opposition alike would look very different.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    Andy_JS said:

    It may be that the vast majority of coronavirus deaths are people who would have died at some time within the next 12 months or so anyway of other conditions, and what's happening is that the numbers are being compressed into a shorter period of time. We'll know if that's true because there'll be less deaths than expected later on.
    So the prime minister being incapacitated and a reasonable proportion of people of good working age being at death's door or dying can be ignored, because "It may be that the vast majority of coronavirus deaths are people who would have died at some time within the next 12 months or so anyway of other conditions"
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Dr. Anthony Cardillo said he has seen very promising results when prescribing hydroxychloroquine in combination with zinc for the most severely-ill COVID-19 patients.

    "Every patient I've prescribed it to has been very, very ill and within 8 to 12 hours, they were basically symptom-free," Cardillo told Eyewitness News. "So clinically I am seeing a resolution."

    He said he has found it only works if combined with zinc. The drug, he said, opens a channel for the zinc to enter the cell and block virus replication.

    https://abc7.com/coronavirus-drug-covid-19-malaria-hydroxychloroquine/6079864/

    Dear God. Do you think they might have a supply in St Thomas'?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    Does calling people Fat Head make you feel better?

    It comes across to me as rather pathetic.
    Quite ironic from someone who called a pair of PB posters "dumb and dumber". :)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371

    Dear God. Do you think they might have a supply in St Thomas'?
    Did you not hear, The Donald has instructed the world best US researchers to go to the hospital and tell them what to do.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    OllyT said:


    I can't help thinking both Patel and Raab are in such high offices to please the Brexiteers rather than actually being the best people for the job.
    There is this fantasy on all sides of the political debate that people who reach high office either in government or opposition are thick as two short planks.

    Clue: they are not. They are very very smart and moreso diligent. Look at Raab or Lammy's CV. Outstanding.

    Problem is they have to deal with, appeal to, and somehow try to satisfy us lot, the public, and we are thick as fuck.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,353
    edited April 2020
    MaxPB said:

    Just saw the Harry and Meghan stuff. What a pair of tits.

    Unfortunate that we’ve got all this negative stuff to discuss about them and you are concentrating on her knockers.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,683
    MaxPB said:

    Just saw the Harry and Meghan stuff. What a pair of tits. The royals are better off without them, she strikes me as the worst type of social climber and grasper.

    Has she used her feminine wiles to befuddle and corrupt our Harry?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    IshmaelZ said:

    You are the one positing a miracle, because for every infectious disease ever documented bar about 2, once it's there it is there to stay. I am pretty certain people will still be getting flu, colds and chicken pox in 2030. So the burden of proof is with you.
    I’m not positing anything of the sort. I don’t know. I merely asked for evidence, which I have yet to receive.
  • SockySocky Posts: 404


    That's a different question.

    But if gifts to parties don't require tax then that should be consistent between minor parties like UKIP and Greens whether they have one MP or not.

    I agree, but to me the tax issue highlights the low-level corruption of the "establishment". Tax breaks for the big old parties but not for their rivals.

    The punishment should be for all parties to pay more tax. They are not after all slow to criticise private companies (or schools) avoiding tax.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    Scott_xP said:

    Where is Priti Patel?

    The Home Secretary, in a time of National crisis, would normally be expected to be much more visible

    Why? Sure the police are enforcing some new rules, but this is all being driven by public health considerations.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,906
    MaxPB said:

    Just saw the Harry and Meghan stuff. What a pair of tits.

    Is that kind of comment really necessary? ;-)
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632
    TOPPING said:

    That middle "e" is going to irritate me every time I see it. Which won't be that often, I hope.
    The aim “to do something that matters” makes it sound like a spoof. Or the 21st century version of those 18th century bubble companies: “For carrying-on an undertaking of great advantage but no-one to know what it is”.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,353
    Cyclefree said:

    Poetry is one of my consolations. I am going to do something I have not done for a long time which is to learn poems off by heart and recite them. There is no-one to hear them apart from my daughter (and she is well used to my eccentricities), the horse in the next field and the cats.

    At my primary school the nuns made us learn a poem every week and on Tuesday morning before classes started someone would be picked to recite it. It was a marvellous way of improving memory and above all giving us an ear for the sheer beauty and musicality of the English language. And I did lots of poetry reading when I studied drama. At one point we also did poems in Latin and, somewhere in the attic, is my certificate for 1st place in a Latin poetry reciting competition. Now is the time to revive such skills.

    I used to recite poems to my children at bed-time: nonsense rhymes and the rest but The Owl and the Pussycat was a particular favourite.

    Occasionally I have been known to put obscure references to snatches of poems in my headers. Not that anyone notices ........ :(
    Perhaps that’s why TSE doesn’t do subtlety.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    felix said:

    Checking local news reports in Spain on Facebook I see that Hotels in Mallorca are now suggesting they will not be able to re-open until 2021 and asking for tax breaks. I suspect that will be part of a developing trend now.

    And also just seen this:

    https://www.euroweeklynews.com/2020/04/07/british-holiday-makers-wanting-to-book-for-the-costa-del-sol-and-the-costa-blanca-warned-against-travelling-to-spain/?fbclid=IwAR3WX_25toVqMuUO8AsQqIGnyHKqvu_AjfslHjWYnWnj6bpuFlquX6LdyIE

    I can't believe people are even considering foreign holidays at the moment. In other news my better half has headed off to run the gauntlet at the supermarket.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,353
    Chris said:

    Is that kind of comment really necessary? ;-)
    I think it was just a boob.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    Is he right? It would be far beyond useless if the hospital deaths figure was that far out. 926:1649.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    edited April 2020
    Cyclefree said:

    Poetry is one of my consolations. I am going to do something I have not done for a long time which is to learn poems off by heart and recite them. There is no-one to hear them apart from my daughter (and she is well used to my eccentricities), the horse in the next field and the cats.

    At my primary school the nuns made us learn a poem every week and on Tuesday morning before classes started someone would be picked to recite it. It was a marvellous way of improving memory and above all giving us an ear for the sheer beauty and musicality of the English language. And I did lots of poetry reading when I studied drama. At one point we also did poems in Latin and, somewhere in the attic, is my certificate for 1st place in a Latin poetry reciting competition. Now is the time to revive such skills.

    I used to recite poems to my children at bed-time: nonsense rhymes and the rest but The Owl and the Pussycat was a particular favourite.

    Occasionally I have been known to put obscure references to snatches of poems in my headers. Not that anyone notices ........ :(
    I have to say, sitting here at home, working, dabbling on PB, listening to Kleiber's Brahms 4, beautiful day outside.

    It could be worse.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    Pulpstar said:

    I can't believe people are even considering foreign holidays at the moment. In other news my better half has headed off to run the gauntlet at the supermarket.
    Until there is real time testing and immunity passports, I don't see how we get back to travel for pleasure.
  • ydoethur said:

    Perhaps that’s why TSE doesn’t do subtlety.
    I do nuance.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I do wonder about who is advising them, although perhaps they aren't taking any notice. I can't believe any PR expert would be suggesting this is a good idea at the moment.
    Gives them an excuse for not actually doing anything, but they have the announcement to point to when someone criticises them for it
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    Cyclefree said:

    The aim “to do something that matters” makes it sound like a spoof. Or the 21st century version of those 18th century bubble companies: “For carrying-on an undertaking of great advantage but no-one to know what it is”.
    Where can I invest? I only have some tulip bulbs - perhaps we can do a swap for some shares?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    ydoethur said:

    Unfortunate that we’ve got all this negative stuff to discuss about them and you are concentrating on her knockers.
    Yeah, but they are ..... steps away from keyboard
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    edited April 2020
    Cyclefree said:

    The aim “to do something that matters” makes it sound like a spoof. Or the 21st century version of those 18th century bubble companies: “For carrying-on an undertaking of great advantage but no-one to know what it is”.
    There was a great Bloomberg DES(cription) of a company just listed on Nasdaq during the dot-com bubble which said something along the lines of: this company has no business or business interests but is actively looking for opportunities to invest in.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    There seems to be an unwelcome virus fascism settling in on PB, where any piece of potential good news is derided, those offering more positive interpretations of the data are attacked, and positions other than extreme extended lockdowns are castigated as irresponsible.

  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,058
    Latest data at 12:15 today



  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276
    ydoethur said:

    I think it was just a boob.
    Well - the ex-royal couple certainly aren`t without their knockers.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    There seems to be an unwelcome virus fascism settling in on PB, where any piece of potential good news is derided, those offering more positive interpretations of the data are attacked, and positions other than extreme extended lockdowns are castigated as irresponsible.

    I hope they keep posting because reading all the bad news is super depressing.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    Perception across the world covid 19 has peaked
    Perception may be wrong. I’m sticking with my position: overweight on gold.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Who cares about Harry and Meg’s charity name? What a trivial thing to get in a lather about.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    kle4 said:

    Why? Sure the police are enforcing some new rules, but this is all being driven by public health considerations.
    Yeah. It would be strange of Hancock was nowhere to be seen, but Patel?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    There seems to be an unwelcome virus fascism settling in on PB, where any piece of potential good news is derided, those offering more positive interpretations of the data are attacked, and positions other than extreme extended lockdowns are castigated as irresponsible.

    If people are overwhelmed by events out of their control and are fearful, a natural instinct is to go for the most controlled scenario they can think of.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    Who cares about Harry and Meg’s charity name? What a trivial thing to get in a lather about.

    They don't care about the name.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    There seems to be an unwelcome virus fascism settling in on PB, where any piece of potential good news is derided, those offering more positive interpretations of the data are attacked, and positions other than extreme extended lockdowns are castigated as irresponsible.

    Or providing misinformation
  • fox327fox327 Posts: 373
    MattW said:

    Not being clear - my comment relates to the quote. And I wonder if actually I have overdone the scepticism.

    Apologies for my tone. Not appropriate at this time.
    A lot of medical research is on low profile issues such as compression stockings in the treatment of lymphedema, nevertheless the correct research methodologies are supposed to be used.

    I suspect that the debate over COVID policy will not be conducted like an academic debate as the stakes are so high and the public are directly involved. It seems unlikely that academic reassurances will be enough to get many members of the public to accept a lifting of the lockdown. If the number of cases is less than about 400,000 a year herd immunity will not be achieved as the population is changing due to births and deaths. If a vaccine is not found, we will will face a choice between lifting the lockdown or accepting it essentially forever.

    Later this year the economic consequences of the lockdown will start to bite. The virus is unpopular but people don't want to starve either. Interesting times are ahead.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,353
    Stocky said:

    Well - the ex-royal couple certainly aren`t without their knockers.
    That was the point of the pun...

    I’m in even more sympathy with @Cyclefree about subtlety...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    I see lots of twitter are finding reasons why they possibly couldn't possibly clap for Boris. Insert your ist of choice.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,956
    ydoethur said:

    Perhaps that’s why TSE doesn’t do subtlety.
    Wordsworth, greatest of all Cumbrians, born 250 years ago today. April 7th 1770.

  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076

    They had 103,375 cases as of yesterday according to worldometers
    Deutschlandfunk has been reporting for probably two weeks now both the Robert Koch counts and the Johns Hopkins counts. It feels like they give a different reason every day as to why the two are different.

    Some of it is delay, but that can't explain the whole difference. I see two possible reasons, the first is that some test results are being reported to Johns Hopkins but not the RKI (bad, very bad) the second is that some test resuts are being reported directly to JH and then indirectly by the German State or the RKI, i.e. double counting by JH (sloppy by JH).
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    I see lots of twitter are finding reasons why they possibly couldn't possibly clap for Boris. Insert your ist of choice.

    Probably the same people who celebrated when Thatcher died. I have no doubt they would be cheering his death, too.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    edited April 2020
    Topping

    Agreed. But the idea that an extreme extended lockdown is controlled is an illusion and a delusion. Its effects are deeply uncontrollable and will probably cause untold permanent damage far in excess of that caused by the virus itself.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,540
    edited April 2020
    Cyclefree said:

    The aim “to do something that matters” makes it sound like a spoof. Or the 21st century version of those 18th century bubble companies: “For carrying-on an undertaking of great advantage but no-one to know what it is”.
    Clanger of a name. Right up there with Consignia.

    Do they have a logo? What about this:

    image

  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801

    There seems to be an unwelcome virus fascism settling in on PB, where any piece of potential good news is derided, those offering more positive interpretations of the data are attacked, and positions other than extreme extended lockdowns are castigated as irresponsible.

    Yes, completely agree. We've become doom mongers.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foxy said:

    All 5 of the people that I know of personally or relatives of persons known to me who have died of it were not on their last legs. 3 were in their fifties (all men) and 2 were spritely females in their mid seventies.

    The "nothing to see here" crowd need to get out more. Only they cannot.
    Where are this crowd? Andy is certainly not among them. He is simply offering an alternative interpretation of the numbers to yours.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,353
    algarkirk said:

    Wordsworth, greatest of all Cumbrians, born 250 years ago today. April 7th 1770.

    The greatest master of the English language was born on this day.

    And so was Wordsworth...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668


    Agreed. But the idea that an extreme extended lockdown is controlled is an illusion and a delusion. Its effects are deeply uncontrollable and will probably cause untold permanent damage far in excess of that caused by the virus itself.

    Agree absolutely. They are panicking. No good decisions are made in a panic.
  • Perception may be wrong. I’m sticking with my position: overweight on gold.
    I very much agree
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,683
    edited April 2020
    TOPPING said:

    There is this fantasy on all sides of the political debate that people who reach high office either in government or opposition are thick as two short planks.

    Clue: they are not. They are very very smart and moreso diligent. Look at Raab or Lammy's CV. Outstanding.

    Problem is they have to deal with, appeal to, and somehow try to satisfy us lot, the public, and we are thick as fuck.

    Fully behind your general point, which is more than reasonably solid, it's undeniably true. Almost every top politician is cleverer than most of the people who comment adversely on the intelligence of politicians. There are exceptions, however, e.g. Priti Patel. My genuine sense of her intellect is that it's not materially above average.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,540
    TOPPING said:

    I have to say, sitting here at home, working, dabbling on PB, listening to Kleiber's Brahms 4, beautiful day outside.

    It could be worse.
    I have The Tao of Pooh arriving later from Amazon.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076

    Or providing misinformation
    I welcome good news. I do not welcome clutching at straws being passed off as good news, e.g. the number of deaths on one day being lower than on the previous day. Unfounded optimism can also kill if it leads to people getting the wrong message.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    TOPPING said:

    If people are overwhelmed by events out of their control and are fearful, a natural instinct is to go for the most controlled scenario they can think of.
    Won't somebody pleeeeeeeease think of the children!!!!!!!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Think_of_the_children
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    RobD said:

    They don't care about the name.
    I refer you to MattW's post at 1233hrs BST B)
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    This surely can't be true?

    ‘Before the virus hit Europe, Italy sent tons of PPE to China to help China protect its own population,’ the administration official explained. ‘China then has sent Italian PPE back to Italy — some of it, not even all of it … and charged them for it.’

    China taking advantage of Italy’s generosity is just the latest example of its disastrous diplomacy in the wake of the pandemic. Much of the supplies and testing kits China has sold to other countries have turned out to be defective. Spain had to return 50,000 quick-testing kits to China after discovering that they were faulty. In some cases, instead of apologizing or fixing the issue, China has blamed its defective equipment on others. China condescendingly told the Netherlands to ‘double-check the instructions’ on its masks, for example, after the Netherlands complained that half of the masks they were sent did not meet safety standards.

    https://spectator.us/italy-china-ppe-sold-coronavirus/

    Dictatorship behaves like a complete arsehole. Who’d‘ve thunk it?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    I refer you to MattW's post at 1233hrs BST B)
    Poorly timed. :D

    I had honestly thought the complaint was over the timing. Like you said, the name really doesn't matter.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    kinabalu said:

    Fully behind your general point, which is more than reasonably solid, it's undeniably true. Almost every top politician is cleverer than most of the people who comment adversely on the intelligence of politicians. There are exceptions, however, e.g. Priti Patel. My genuine sense of her intellect is that it's not materially above average.
    She was clever enough to understand what she wanted and then to know how to go out and achieve it. By convincing people like me and you to vote for her and convincing her peers that she was able to handle high office.
This discussion has been closed.