politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hanco
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hancock
I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see.I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see.
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They could call it Matt’s Minutes
https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/coronavirus-uk-strategy-deaths?fbclid=IwAR2vpJQU6QIRer6fqirO5vsaLEWDnqoM-2A7_fRI9yAPnHWWjD6_iijrA8Y
That being said... there's been a lot of chatter about 75% (or so) of people with the disease being entirely asymptomatic. If that's true, then the path to herd immunity is somewhat easier.
For a start, we're not talking about 10% of people with CV-19 requiring hospitalisation, we're talking about 2.5%. (I.e. 25% symptomatic, of which one tenth require hospitalisation.)
That's a bit more manageable. If you can push the curve back, so that peak incidence is - say - 20% of people with the disease at any one time, then you're talking about 2.5% of 20%... which is still too much (0.5%), but the gap is narrower.
Enjoyed that header PT, thanks. Great poem.
Had a blast of optimism yesterday. That has dissipated somewhat.
It seems now to be only a matter of HOW catastrophic this will be.
My ample stock of quilted loo roll (even if scented) will be scant consolation.