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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hanco
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hancock
I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see.I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see.
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They could call it Matt’s Minutes
Strewth, have we actually been hit by The Event?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l28o6fJda1c
There'd genuinely be some logic to putting extra light entertainment on the box now we're all cooped up, watching 24/7 news coverage of COVID-19 is driving me potty, and lots people I know are being completely disoriented by the lack of sport to watch or listen to, which isn't just a distraction but provides a kind of backdrop and structured pattern to the week. I think the government should have a think - admittedly there's plenty on its plate at the moment - with some sport and entertainment chiefs to see what could be served up to keep us happy, on a bread and circus basis. Suspect it will be a good year for e-sports.
Incidentally, Mitchell and Webb called the loo roll issue right, too.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/coronavirus-uk-strategy-deaths?fbclid=IwAR2vpJQU6QIRer6fqirO5vsaLEWDnqoM-2A7_fRI9yAPnHWWjD6_iijrA8Y
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-guidance-on-social-distancing-and-for-vulnerable-people/guidance-on-social-distancing-for-everyone-in-the-uk-and-protecting-older-people-and-vulnerable-adults
I notice lots of discussions on here and elsewhere about "the oldies", i.e. 70+, facing a more extensive lockdown for some time, as well as a precautionary approach to pregnant women. But the list of medical conditions who are also counted in the vulnerable group is also long, roughly summarised as "anyone who gets told on medical grounds that they need to take an annual flu shot". It includes: That's a long list and must cover a quite substantial number of under-70. I did think this was covered quite clearly in news broadcasts though I'm not sure everyone who is on the list realises it - "if you are medically advised to get a flu jab" is a good short-hand but then, a lot of people who ought to get their flu jab don't seem to do so (just looking at older people, the UK does very well compared to other nations but it's still below WHO targets).
That being said... there's been a lot of chatter about 75% (or so) of people with the disease being entirely asymptomatic. If that's true, then the path to herd immunity is somewhat easier.
For a start, we're not talking about 10% of people with CV-19 requiring hospitalisation, we're talking about 2.5%. (I.e. 25% symptomatic, of which one tenth require hospitalisation.)
That's a bit more manageable. If you can push the curve back, so that peak incidence is - say - 20% of people with the disease at any one time, then you're talking about 2.5% of 20%... which is still too much (0.5%), but the gap is narrower.
Enjoyed that header PT, thanks. Great poem.
Had a blast of optimism yesterday. That has dissipated somewhat.
It seems now to be only a matter of HOW catastrophic this will be.
My ample stock of quilted loo roll (even if scented) will be scant consolation.