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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks.
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http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/ed-balls-day-live-twitter-3466960#.U16wUUoMzsU.twitter
Happy Ed Balls Day.
If you have an area with a 1:1 ratio of young males to young females and then make it 2:1 or 3:1 over a short period of time what happens?
According to the political class who have been doing this up and down the country for the last 14 years nothing happens.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-27191500
(*) Extra Geek points if you understand this reference.
'Ukip Is Party For 'Decent BNP Supporters', Says Deputy Chair Neil Hamilton'
http://tinyurl.com/nsaova4
Former Labour immigration minister Barbara Roche, has her work cut out for her if she expects 'euracism' to resonate with anyone other than the Guardian readership.
Not sure that we can make out a badly targeted conference call where you can't even speak will win over that many voters.
Like getting to listen to a low quality radio broadcast with no decent questions.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-27192012
(*) Okay, it was 'statistically no excess deaths' or somesuch. Rubbish at the time, rubbish now.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead by five points: CON 32%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 15%
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead by five points: CON 32%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 15%
Bring on the general election now.
We are no longer in mid term. The Tories just aren't going to break through in the numbers needed for a majority. We may have to have a coalition with the Lib Dems but we should take number 10 in 13 months.
Slough (Wexham Lea): only 2 candidates in 3-candidate seat
Milton Keynes (Bletchley East): only 1 candidate in 3-candidate seat
Eastleigh (Eastleigh North)
Eastleigh (Hedge End Grange Park)
Hart (Blackwater & Hawley): only 1 candidate in 3-candidate seat
Hart (Yateley East): only 1 candidate in 3-candidate seat
Hart (Yateley West): only 2 candidates in 3-candidate seat
Adur (Marine): Tories never stand against Shoreham Beach Residents' Association (on ballot as Independent)
I don't know what's going on in Hart. Normally that's a safe Tory area.
I expect Tory destruction. And given our electoral system comrade that is all we need to see.
After a nice weekend with temperatures of 80, my cell phone has been blowing up for the last hour or so with weather warnings - heavy rain, supercell thunderstorm wrapped tornadoes (sic), heavy downpour, large hail and damaging winds. As if that's not enough, it will last until Wednesday evening!
Tornadoes are on the ground in Mississippi, which has declared a state of emergency, the edge of the storm has reached Alabama. It's coming.
How badly is it raining over there? :-)
I agree, you should win in May 2015, but the party isn't fit for the job they will need to take on. If the electorate realise that, the keys won't come your way.
In fairness, I have thought it would be so since 2010, and I now actually own a hat to eat should I turn out to be wrong on that score.
on 3. If Cameron and Miliband decide they can safely shut Clegg out, and I think they are right because Clegg is so personally unpopular I cannot see a concerted campaign of complaints at the action, they will jump at the chance. Both of the big two yearn for the total destruction of a major third party which they regard as taking votes which should go to them, and any way to formalize that narrative any further would be eagerly seized.
Further evidence of how brain dead Ukip supporters are. One of them just described me as "Ed Miliband's lap dog".
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 3m
@DPJHodges called "Ed Miliband's lap dog" by kipper
the Tweet of the night.
We'll get "results" for the 12 Labour targets in Greater London: Hendon, Brent Central, Brentford & Isleworth, Enfield North, Croydon Central, Harrow East, Ealing Central & Acton, Ilford North, Battersea, Finchley & Golders Green, Hornsey & Wood Green, Bermondsey & Old Southwark.
Also 5 Labour targets in the West Midlands metropolitan area: Wolverhampton SW, Halesowen & Rowley Regis, B'ham Yardley, Dudley South, Stourbridge.
3 Labour targets in Greater Manchester and Merseyside: Manchester Withington, Bury North, Wirral West.
8 Labour targets in West Yorkshire: Bradford East, Dewsbury, Pudsey, Keighley, Elmet & Rothwell, Colne Valley, Calder Valley, Leeds NW.
Threatening the EU states whose goodwill he might need after independence highlights the Scottish First Minister's curious approach to world affairs
So, what are we talking about here? A new Cod War with Admiral Alex or Ensign Eck (take your pick) pitting his unarmed fishery protection vessels against the Spanish, Portuguese, French trawler armadas – and, who knows, maybe even English, Welsh and Northern Irish fishing vessels?
And making threats about what might happen to the EU's existing members if they don't all rush to admit this new member doesn't appear an especially good negotiating stance, does it?
This warning of some kind of blockade of Scotland's territorial waters against Europe's fishing fleets if his aims of EU entry are thwarted is one that Mr Salmond has made before.
But yesterday's repetition will certainly ensure that his Bruges speech is remembered, perhaps not quite as well as is Margaret Thatcher's from 25 years ago, but remembered nevertheless.
David Mundell, the Scotland Office minister, said Salmond had made a significant legal and diplomatic error by threatening to block access to Norwegian waters. He said an independent Scotland would be legally obliged to allow safe passage to foreign ships with Norwegian fishing rights.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/apr/28/alex-salmond-fisheries-eu-scotland
Please please please note the word 'over-focus', which accepts the presence of such arguments.
The right wing in this country doesn't give a toss about Labour's ability to govern. It is more interested in telling Cameron to P!SS off.
Gotta love Dave. Split the right and unite the left.
+0.6%
A little bit below expectation because of the rain. Umbrella makers and sellers +10,000%.
But the big news tonight is that DavidL is officially enrolled into the distinguished and select band of Honorary PB Tories, who have won bets off 'tim', late of this parish (tim, of course, is 100% reliable on paying up). Congratulations!
However, I'm disturbed to see that DavidL thinks that packaging up his winnings and sending them off to some worthy cause, or even to BetterTogether, somehow exonerates him from his responsibilities as a PB Tory. It doesn't work like that - noblesse oblige and all that stuff. Neil's cocktails, and JohnO's explorations of the late-night railway network, are higher causes. We must fix the date!
"Ethnic-minority voters shun the party totally."
Not true. Lizzy Vaid and Sanya-Jeet Thandi for example:
http://www.westernmorningnews.co.uk/Devon-UKIP-voter-revealed-party-s-events-manager/story-20999035-detail/story.html
http://www.channel4.com/news/ukip-youth-members-who-and-why-ukip-party-conference
www.stationmasterapp.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/StrikeMap.jpg
I've gone on eBay to see if I can pick up a few, but so far, no luck.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/centralamericaandthecaribbean/bahamas/10794308/British-educated-multi-millionaire-Oliver-Gobat-feared-murdered-in-St-Lucia.html
I predict this word won't be used often enough to make the OED.
But when Barbara writes her memoirs, I might just buy them to see if she explains what on earth she was thinking.
Given the apparently biblical levels of rain, hail, and wind we are expecting until Wednesday evening, 'desert' may be overstating it just a tad :-)
Oddly enough the next book on my pile to read is RF Delderfield's God Is An Englishman.....
- and my wife just found out her citizenship interview is at the end of next month.
Iain Dale @IainDale · 1h
Im sensing @bbcnickrobinson has a new producer, who was presumably trained on @bbctw...
Polly Toynbee @pollytoynbee · 45m
@bbcnickrobinson Talk to and interview people everywhere, but don't distract from seriousness of what they say by serving fish and chips
Nick Robinson @bbcnickrobinson · 31m
@pollytoynbee So if I am one side of the counter it's patronising but if I am the other it's journalism? Honestly
https://audioboo.fm/boos/2112334-clifford-verdict
http://www.theguardian.com/travel/2010/jul/10/barga-festivals-fish-chips-tuscany
I expect that they can do a deep fried Mars bar for Polly as an off the menu treat....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/foodanddrink/restaurants/10793325/Worlds-Best-Restaurants-2014-the-top-50-in-full.html
General principles approved by 452 votes to 41 votes, a majority of 411.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27184269
But on Saturday night I ate at Meson Don Felipe in Southwark and it was great
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/10794504/Leeds-teacher-murder-boy-15-in-custody-after-Anne-Maguire-stabbed-to-death.html
Horrible story. Sincere condolences to the teacher's friends and family.