politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Which way will the Brexit trackers go after Friday?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Which way will the Brexit trackers go after Friday?
Today’s YouGov poll will probably be the last one before Britain leaves the EU on Friday evening. I do hope that the firm will continue its regular Brexit tracker question which has been put in the same way since the referendum in June 2016 .
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Just picking up on an earthquake in the Caribbean - one can only hope damage and loss of life is at a minimum.
On topic, the graphic shows the Conservative vote coalition from last December to perfection - 75% of LEAVE voters (36% of thr total based on the prevailing 52-48 split in favour of REMAIN rather than the 23/6/16 result).
Add to that the two much smaller groups - REMAIN voters terrified by the prospect of Corbyn and REMAIN voters who, for all they are opposed to the decision to leave the EU recognise the need for it to happen in democratic terms and therefore endorsed Johnson as the route to enacting the 23/6/16 referendum decision.
Once again I find myself in the ultimate minority - I am representative of no one but myself (it seems).
I predict what will happen is; a small bunch of people who want to be in the EU will go on about it a lot with great gusto, similar to the likes of Farage, James Goldsmith and a few ERG Tories in the 90s and early 2000s, while most people wont be all that bothered, like most people apart from those I have mentioned at that time.
What Remain need is something, something with a tangible effect on peoples lives, to happen that wouldn't have done if we were still in the EU. For Leave it was the Freedom of Movement from A8 countries in 2004
If Boris actually gets this right he'll be pint-buying-worthy across the land.
Despite his faults, if had to choose one person that might, it's him.
1) The Huawei plan is obviously the work of technical advisors. As an IT professional, this seems pretty clear.
2) The people who are doing the analysis of the Huawei kit & code are real experts, as opposed to "my expertise comes from the job I have been appointed to"
3) There seems to be a pattern developing for this government - not in the EU, but closer to Europe than Trump led USA.
4) The comments from the non-techincal opposition to the deal are a delight.
5) No one seems to have noticed the kicker - that Huawei is committed by this to handing over all their source code and kit to a well funded UK government lab for analysis. So we get to steal everything from them. Ready for the next generation...
On topic -
No matter what the PM says or does, it will offend Mr Meeks of this parish. The only question is, in the inevitable poll of the aftermath, whether "inappropriate" gets 13% or 37%.
I recommend you read the above. Seems to me Huawei kit will be gone from UK networks in 10 years.
Nobody "knows". As is acknowledged in the main question. Not "were" we right to leave the EU, but do you "think" we were right to leave the EU.
Pollsters should sort this sort of stuff out. It's important.
https://twitter.com/RichardBurgon/status/1222197910525435907?s=20
All of them except the Secretary. He wasn’t at home.
Why do we let people vote?
https://twitter.com/OfficialNTAs/status/1222254041792761857
We should insist we have
The greedy or retired party
The public sector party
The we know better party.
Actually there is an argument that the last applies to them all.
https://twitter.com/chrisjollyhale/status/1222257575250579458
The nation is united behind a kind of "OK fuck it, we voted for it, let's just get on and do it, whatever", sort of mood. Rather British, really.
Especially the MPs.
There is some evidence for the existence of Bigfoot.
Boris has a wonderful lacuna to work out what he's going to do.
There's great risk here, so lets hope he gets much of it right. Oddly the hopelessness of the arguments of the left will help him - he doesn't need to take them into account.
In April, when the slithy Starmer emerges from his place amongst the toves, things will change. Perhaps though only a little.
In December things will change more.
Presumably a lot of these were too young to vote in 2016.
Things more useful than Richard Burgon
Chocolate tea pot
Concrete pillow
A nun's dildo
A crocheted condom
Nipples on a breastplate
An ashtray on a motorbike
Italy as an ally in World War II
I maybe showing my naiveté.
Er, [Citation needed].
Still amazed to this day Virgin didn't ban me when my friend in a very drunken state decided to begin a conversation about suicide bombers on our flight.
I think all this fuss is not worth it.
It reminds me of the all the hype over the newest iphones, is it really that important to have 3 cameras on a phone ?
In the end I think it's a marketing ploy.
For context this flight was a few weeks after this.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_transatlantic_aircraft_plot
I don't know what a crocheted condom is so cannot comment
But....a nun's dildo.....that is far in away something that Burgon couldn't even comprehend even in his highest moment of triumph....
The discovery that the phenomenal download rates disappear when you walk inside buildings etc will put a lot of people off.
What will be interesting will be the combination of 5G and Starlink - so you will be able to roll out 5G in remote areas cheaply, with Starlink doing the back haul. So, in theory, you could put up a mast in the middle of nowhere, with some solar cells and batteries. Instant GB/s internet.
“ No one would have believed in the early years of the twenty-first century that this government was being watched keenly and closely by intelligences greater than that of cabinet ministers and yet as mortal as their own; that as Tories busied themselves about their various concerns they were scrutinised and studied, perhaps almost as narrowly as a man with a microscope might scrutinise the transient creatures that swarm and multiply in a drop of water. With infinite complacency Tories went to and fro across Westminster about their little affairs, serene in their assurance of their empire over politics. It is possible that the infusoria under the microscope do the same. No one gave a thought to the older world of Labour as sources of political danger, or thought of them only to dismiss the idea of original thought within it as impossible or improbable. It is curious to recall some of the mental habits of those departed days....
Yet across the gulf of politics, minds that are to Tory minds as theirs are to those of the MRLP, intellects vast and cool and unsympathetic, regarded this government front bench with envious eyes, and slowly and surely drew their plans against it. And early in the twenty-first century came the great disillusionment....”
Johnson certainly now has the chance to deliver on the implied benefits of Brexit but all polling suggests that more voters still remain convinced it was a mistake than think it was the correct decision and I don't see that reversing for a very long time and I expect the gap to widen not narrow as we deal with the reality
I'm biased, but I think the harder the Brexit, the quicker we rejoin.
And in the middle of nowhere where are you going to find customers ?
The only thing that I see is a mature technology that offers diminishing returns with every upgrade.
I’ll get my dressing gown.
Good night.
Or we could just borrow the money, that doesn't seem to be a problem at the moment
(Sorry, I'm feeling emotional, I've just picked up my French passport. Now all I need to do is *learn* French and I'll be set for life)
Most of us would struggle to find practical usage - but most of us aren’t developing the next generation of tech.
LDs 11
The biggest obstacle to rejoin will be that we will have to go through all this again.
https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/china
Wow. They've changed.
I'm sorry... what???
So, there will be something for everyone there so all sides can continue to claim to have been right all along.
https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1222282766617845761?s=20