politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is PaddyPower right not to pay out now on these “2020 or later

Quite often punters contact me about disputes they are having with bookies and this is a case where I think the bookie, PaddyPower is wrong.
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If there is no further IndyRef, the punter shouldn't be entitled to pay out; likewise re aliens.
The Trump bet is a different matter. Trump will cease to be president sometime and on that basis, PP should pay out.
This might be a good one. Thornberry is probably the most experienced media performer in the entire (active duty) Labour party. She aint gonna go down too easily.
The Trump Bet ? YES.
Scottish Referendum ? Debatable.
Does unite back Starmer?
He can but he won't, I believe Martin Luther King's granddaughter is a potential future president.
What were the odds on alien life post 2020? Were they effectively laying discovery in or before 2019?
I'm shore Len whats RLB to win, and if he dose not endorse her many on the hard left (including in the union) will be angry. but if he does and she loses anyway he has shone himself to be powerless and especially if she loses amngest the union members section. and he will have annoyed the new leader.
Going for Nandy could be the magic solution, but again big risk if she does not win.
The problem I have is that - while aliens have not been found - neither you nor Paddy Power has won. And if aliens are discovered immediately after your death, well, Paddies will just say "couldn't find customer, I'll keep it". It seems there is an asymmetry that I'm not really happy with.
All my bets are done in store, I'm self excluded from every bookies online.
Lords won't force the Ping Pong on Brexit Bill - even if they wanted to they don't now have the numbers.
Lab + LD lead over Con has been being steadily whittled away - and it's now down to 28 - its lowest ever.
In most of Govt Brexit defeats in last two days, Con has actually marginally outvoted Lab + LD - due to higher Con turnout (and note no Con rebels on most votes).
So Govt has only been losing because of Crossbenchers + non-affiliateds - and if it goes to Ping Pong they always melt away straight away even if Lab + LD put up determined effort to block Govt.
I'd agree with that.
However, in all bets above there are three possible outcomes: Something happens before x, something happens after x, bet void.
In all three cases something happens before x has been ruled out, so if PP are sticking to their stance surely it'd make sense to return the stake to the punter, but only give the winnings when the thing actually happens.
That way the punter isn't disadvantaged by having a stake that they cannot lose in any circumstance tied up, while PP doesn't return winnings on a bet that should be void.
Do bets not have an expiry date and/or a settlement date? A date by which they must be resolved one way or another?
https://www.theweek.co.uk/105298/imf-british-economy-to-grow-faster-than-eurozone
Best of luck to the Punter heading to IBAS
It's not as if there're a large number.
They seem even more twisty and dishonest than AQA and speaking as a former employee who left after being swindled once too often that is saying something.
Meanwhile the sight of ardent Leavers (disclosed and undisclosed) cavorting with joy at predictions that Britain is going to endure anaemic growth for the foreseeable future is bewildering.
....RLB always looks to me that she has been created by Aardman Animation. That tiny mouth (obviously crafted so as to require less movement of the plasticine per frame). That Wallace-style Northern voice, just a little too deep.
Here's a challenge to any hacks reading. See if you can contrive to get her to say "Wensleydale"......
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51202000
Associated with the humourless and dictators down the ages.
So it probably depends on us striking enough trade deals in services and regulating them domestically flexibly enough to take advantage of future global growth opportunities whilst first offsetting for reduced ease of access into the EU market.
A tricky balancing act, and it will probably take 10-15 years before we’re clear. But it’s very possible.
Please don’t ask me why.
RLB reminds me of my old headmistress.
Perfect for saying "That won't do. That won't do at all..."
As we're being shallow, like.
https://youtu.be/tLhSMTPUIgc
Brutal for RLB and Starmer. Starmer was the most known candidate and slated heavily. Nandy was least known, but when shown videos of her gathered a lot of support in the room.
Although there apparently were those who had the hots for Maggie. (I suspect there was near total overlap with those who would pay to have their todger thrashed with nettles....)
Nevertheless the punter is surely having a laugh if s/he ever expected to be paid out for aliens being discovered on or after 2020 simply because aliens hadn’t been discovered before 31 December 2019.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7909915/Design-shortcomings-Boeing-plane-caused-737-crash-2009-new-report-finds.html
Richard Nabavi?
India measuring up HMS PoW for carpets and curtains. #classicdom
For now.
It’s remarkable that the company have been so slow to recognise and act on this.
https://youtu.be/C6ZDsUGiGqM
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1219863084879294465?s=20
You are so stubborn you still can't face the fact you were wrong can you?
https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1219897982876815360?s=20
Meanwhile the economy continues to languish, having drifted far behind its peers since the referendum vote, and Brexiteers hug themselves with delight because of an estimate that Britain might have anaemic growth for the foreseeable future if the government hoses the country with money that it can't afford to spend.
Look out the window at a grey, cold, dark January day. That is Brexit - dismal, dull and unending.
https://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/in-focus/ceta/ceta-chapter-by-chapter/